Caribbean Hurricane Network

- Updates from the Islands -

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2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season
| Arthur | Bertha | Cristobal | Dolly | Edouard | Fay | Gonzalo | Hanna | Isaias | Josephine | Kyle | Laura | Marco | Nana | Omar | Paulette | Rene | Sally | Teddy | Vicky | Wilfred | Alpha | Beta | Gamma | Delta | Epsilon | Zeta | Eta |

Active Tropical Systems: None!
Atlantic Hurricane Season is from June 1 - November 30


GOES Satellite - Zoomed in on the Caribbean (19:10 UTC, 18 minutes ago)
Scale bar (lower right) is 250 miles. [more satellite imagery].
See storm-centered satellite image and loop in the tools section below (if available)

96L Invest:

Friday, October 30, 2020 11:14AM PDT - Eta?
Looks like we have another storm forming in the Caribbean! This would tie the record for most storms with 2005, not break it as we all thought. Although officially the last storm in 2005 was Zeta, the NHC discovered one more storm in the post-season analysis that should have been named. So even though this year is the first time we get to Eta, it is still a tie...

Invest 96L did pass over the south Windward islands already causing some stormy weather in St.Vincent (see local report on the right). It is traveling westward, and as it looks right now moving well south of Jamaica making landfall in Nicaragua or Honduras next week as a possible hurricane. There is still some uncertainty about the track and forward speed, so we have to keep a close eye on this one! -Gert

Tuesday, October 27, 2020 20:09PM EDT - Zeta and who knows?

Good evening!

Once Hurricane Zeta, now TS Zeta, soon to become once again Hurricane Zeta is currently churning off the NW Yucatan Peninsula coast moving to the NW around 14 mph with the expectations of a mid Gulf Coast strike tomorrow late afternoon through the evening, possibly delivering a late season direct hit on New Orleans which has so far played dodgeballÂwith the numerous tropical systems to strike Louisiana this crazy busy 2020 season. This will be the third hurricane to hit Louisiana plus a few tropical storms and so far, the Big Easy has been scared but not struck. Current track shows a close call but a few wobbles and a direct hit is very possible. And wobbles, do occur. Meanwhile, Zeta takes up about 2/3 of the GOM with TS force winds out about 140 miles. Weird note, a TS watch is up for Atlanta, far inland from landfall. 50-60 mph wind gusts are possible with power outages, some structure damage and numerous trees down all during rush hour.

While the central Gulf Coast has been the main tropical system magnet this season for tropical landfalls, the Yucatan Peninsula comes in second and has taken several good shots to the chin this season but so far has fared better than expected. Flooding and structural damage has occurred each time but their resilience and fortitude keep picking that area back up each time. Preparation in advance has been life saving.

Off to the east of the Windward Islands, an approaching tropical wave has garnered some attention but nothing the NHC has shouted about this late in the season. However, the bulk is expected to move to the north of the islands at this moment. Time will tell. The season still has 4.5 weeks left officially and I'm sure there is an ETA in the wings (no, not estimated time of arrival).Â

Stay safe and prepared!Â

Dave

ÂÂ

... Older discussions >>

Current Tropical Weather Outlook (NHC/TPC):
Accompanying satellite image (pop-up, source: NHC)
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A tropical wave located over the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing 
a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. This system is 
gradually becoming better organized, and conditions appear 
conducive for further development. A tropical depression is 
likely to form this weekend or early next week as the system moves 
westward across the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless 
of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rainfall 
across portions of the ABC islands and Jamaica through the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Berg
More detail in the Tropical Weather Discussion or view the Graphicast Image

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Latest local updates from the special
hurricane correspondents on the islands:
- St.Vincent & Grenadines [Oct 30 10:39]
- Dominica [Oct 30 8:56]
- Grenada [Oct 30 8:41]
- St.Croix [Oct 30 0:00]
- Barbados [Oct 29 7:53]
- St.Lucia [Oct 28 23:43]
- St.Thomas [Oct 28 18:25]
- Bermuda [Oct 24 9:02]
- Jamaica [Oct 21 15:59]
- Trinidad & Tobago [Oct 17 17:29]
- Anguilla [Oct 16 17:00]
- St.Maarten/St.Martin [Oct 9 10:25]
- Mexico (incl. Cozumel & Cancun) [Oct 8 12:04]
- Nevis [Oct 7 20:27]
- Belize [Oct 7 11:36]
- Cayman Islands [Oct 6 15:01]
- Haiti [Oct 5 11:48]
- Antigua [Sep 20 18:24]
- Montserrat [Sep 15 19:40]
- Florida Keys [Sep 12 17:51]
- Vieques (PR) [Aug 26 13:42]
- Turks & Caicos [Aug 23 18:28]
- Dominican Republic [Aug 23 12:45]
- Puerto Rico [Aug 22 15:42]
- St.John [Aug 22 14:46]
- Bahamas [Aug 3 19:26]
- Bonaire [Jul 31 18:49]
- Martinique [Jul 29 11:53]

Only reports received for this season are listed. See the archive for previous years.

Links to excellent websites:
- Navy/NRL Monterey
- NOAA/NESDIS (floater loops)
- RAMSDIS Imagery
- Radar Composite - E-Carib.
- Caribbean/Atl. buoy data
- RT model guidance (RAL/NCAR)
- STORM2K forum
- Tracking Waves (McNoldy)
- Tang/UAlbany (model tracks)
- tropicaltidbits.com
- weathernerds.org (ensembles)
- CIMSS/U.Wisc-Mad
- Brammer/UAlbany
- ECMWF Model Forecast
- Jeff Masters Blog
- Brian McNoldy Blog
- more...

Storm definitions by wind speed:
- Tropical Depression <39mph
- Tropical Storm 39-73mph
- Cat.1 Hurricane 74-95mph
- Cat.2 Hurricane 96-110mph
- Cat.3 Hurricane 111-129mph
- Cat.4 Hurricane 130-156mph
- Cat.5 Hurricane >=157mph
More info in the Practical Guide

Wind force relative to Category 1:
- Tropical Storm 39mph: 0.28x
- Cat.1 Hurricane 74mph: 1x
- Cat.2 Hurricane 96mph: 1.7x
- Cat.3 Hurricane 111mph: 2.3x
- Cat.4 Hurricane 130mph: 3.1x
- Cat.5 Hurricane 157mph: 4.5x
- Irma 185mph: 6.3x



- - - Local hurricane correspondents wanted! - - -

The local hurricane correspondents are the heart and soul of stormCARIB. They are the people who live on the island and write to us what is going on around them. First hand very local personal reports instead of very limited or sensationalized coverage by the general media. Do you live on one of the islands? We need your help! We are looking for more people who are interested in sending us a few paragraphs about the situation on your island before, during and after a storm hits. You don't need to be a weatherman or expert on the subject, just share with us what you know, feel and see on your island. Your help will be really appreciated by Caribbean people living abroad with family living on the islands, future visitors who have their Caribbean dream-vacation booked, etc.etc. Reliable, not-sensationalized information is just so hard to get in crisis situations. Help keep the rest of the world up-to-date with what is really happening! We really need you, Georges back in 1998, and many others since then are proof! If interested, contact gert@gobeach.com.


WHAT TO FIND ON StormCARIB.com:
This website is all about the Caribbean. Here you can find information, weather discussions and local reports regarding tropical systems threatening the Caribbean islands. A central part of this website is the volunteer network of special local hurricane correspondents, living on the islands, who will report, when need be, on how it looks and feels like around them. Above also hopefully easy to understand weather discussions by me and Dave. In addition, as an aid in locating family or friends on the islands in an emergency situation you can post your 'plea for help' on the bulletin board. Also featured on this website is the Quick Hurricane Web Resource Navigator, for easy locating to the least overloaded webserver for National Hurricane Center advisories and the latest satellite images. Another part of the Caribbean Hurricane Network is the 'practical guide' to hurricane tracking with unit conversions, definitions, tips, links, etc. You can also find out how close the storm is and how many hours you have left to prepare plus you can map the closest point of approach of a hurricane to your location. New is the climatology of Caribbean hurricanes section. Find out when the real peak of hurricane season is for individual islands, view hurricane tracks passing by the islands over the last 150+ years. An archive with detailed reports of how the Caribbean islands fared during the 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004 (incl. Frances and Ivan), 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000, 1999 (incl. Floyd and Lenny), 1998 (incl. Georges and Mitch), 1997 and 1996 seasons are still available as well. Plus there is more, like storm-centered satellite images, make your own local satellite loop, etc. Hope you find the information on this website (now counting over thousands pages with original content) helpful. Comments always welcome! RSS web feed available. As a side note I am now accepting donations as well. Thanks for visiting!

Maintained & moderated by: Gert van Dijken (gert@gobeach.com).
Weather discussions also by Dave McDermott, St.Thomas, USVI.


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Disclaimer
The information on these pages is derived from weather statements provided by the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center, and others, and from hurricane correspondents in the Caribbean. I tried to translate the official weather statements in more layman's terms. Also, I tried to fill the gap in reporting on what is happening in the Caribbean, instead of the US (there are already many other good website which focus on the US). Keep in mind that my statements are my own interpretations from the information available to me. Therefore, use the information at your own risk, and above all, don't use these webpages for making life-or-death decisions, always rely on the official and qualified authorities! Accuracy of eye-witness reports by the special hurricane correspondents have not been checked. They may be highly subjective. The author can not be held responsible for lost property, ruined vacations and the like. Despite all this I hope you found the webpage informative and useful. These pages do not have a commercial intent. GoBeach Vacations provided the means and opportunity to start all this. 'Unfortunately' this website has become too popular, placing too much load on the gobeach.com webservers. Luckily, starting in 2000, my excellent webhost provider, pairNetworks, liked my website so much that they support services whenever they can. Comments are always welcome. Just send a note to gert@gobeach.com. Gert