Caribbean Hurricane Network

Good evening all,

First, I'd like to say I am very happy that this forum and the contributions of our all volunteer correspondents throughout the region keep this all weather related informational website to the topic at hand: weather. Not politricks. While both are unpredictable, politics have no place on a dedicated weather site as the weather doesn't take sides nor cares about politics. Other sites sadly sometimes have more politics on them than weather and weather is a constant anomaly. Politics are as well. I'm just proud we stick to the weather and proud of all our volunteer correspondents. I am thankful to Gert as well for everything he has done to provide this website to give all of us in the region a forum but also information and knowledge.

Yes it's been awhile since I posted and that's good news actually as no tropical systems have threatened anywhere in the Caribbean, the GOMEX/America and the East Coast. With that said the Super El Nino has done its job, as forecast, of Super suppressing tropical formation in all these basins, except early on, with limited, short lived, non threatening to land systems making an effort and then getting dissolved going straight to Davy Jones locker. With our Saharan Dust annual event almost over, wind shear will be our final protector of the season unless a late season low rider sneaks in or the Western Caribbean makes a last minute run.

Now we have 94L trying hard to add another name to that list. Maybe it might defy the odds but doubtful and headed easterly much like the rains we have been receiving in the NE Caribbean btw last night, today and more to come. Very beneficial but too much in too short a time it becomes runoff as the droughts in this area have made the grounds so hard to soak it up so fast. That makes flooding a real possibility. Puerto Rico finally received today a mostly island wide quick but very welcome saturation as did the USVI, and the BVI's. Up next will be Antigua, Anguilla and Barbuda with St. Maarten/St. Martin and St. Barts looking to get a good piece of the action. There will be some lingering rains the next few days though overnight into Sunday as it pulls away from this area as well.

There is a low rider, quite elongated, in the Central Atlantic MDR and we will see if it can avoid the wind shear. Just something to watch even late in season.

Happy to report on beneficial, non tropical events. Stay safe and prepared though. It's not done yet season wise.

Dave

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Sat Nov 7 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Western and Central Atlantic (AL94): A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles south-southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The low could still acquire some subtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level winds increase on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend. For more information, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Mahoney

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