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- June Weather data for Nevis
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 13 Jul 2024 09:41:48 -0400
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Greetings All,
Attached station weather data for those interested.
Attachment:
06_Jun_NOAA Nevis Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document
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- #Beryl update 2:20 pm 01/07/2024
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- By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 1 Jul 2024 18:24:33 +0000
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Good afternoon all,
It looks as is one of #Beryl’s rain bands has caught up with us. Some wind gusts in the region of 25 to 28 mph. About a 30 minute downpour from 1:45 pm giving about 0.25 inches of rain up in the Nevis Preakness foothills. Plenty of rain to the south of
Nevis looking at the Guadeloupe radar.
Short video attached of the downpour.
Stay safe,
Frank Goodwill
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Attachment:
Video.mov
Description: Video.mov
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- #Beryl - Nevis update
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- By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 1 Jul 2024 03:24:23 +0000
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Good night all,
Though we are some 300 odd miles to the north west of the centre of Hurricane Beryl, the St Kitts NEMA and Met Office have issued a high winds advisory warning (see attached).
There have been wind gusts around the 15 to 20 mph during Sunday. The weather forecast for Monday is partly cloudy, becoming increasingly cloudy with a high chance of showers. Winds northeast to east at 16 to 28 mph with possible gusts of 43 mph.
Looking at the satellite pictures, though #Beryl is a small hurricane in diameter there are rain bands on the northern side that could result in those showers for us.
It will be interesting to see how things develop tomorrow.
Stay safe.
Frank Goodwill
Sent from my iPhone
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- Storm Beryl Latest Information
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 29 Jun 2024 12:06:58 -0400
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Greetings All,
The latest 8am data from NHC puts Beryl strengthening to a Category 2, maybe 3 hurricane, as it moves toward & past the Windward Islands. The latest projected path will put the storm 300-320 miles to our south. The estimated time passing St, Vincent & the Grenadines is Monday 8am.
Presently as things stand this storm possesses no danger to Nevis/St. Kitts. Unless things change I will not post any additional information on Beryl. |
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- Invest 95L info….
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 27 Jun 2024 23:40:12 -0400
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Greetings All,
The latest track models (all models) put 95L well south of Nevis/St.Kitts. All models are predicting it will become a storm as it moves to the Windward Islands. It’s questionable if our island will even get any rain amounts as it passes. We are on the very northern edge.
Doesn’t mean we should relax though. More later as it progresses towards the Caribbean.
Harry Hallstrom
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- Saharan Dust Pulse
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- By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 26 Jun 2024 00:31:10 +0000
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Good day all,
Another plume of Saharan Dust (dry air) has arrived and is likely to be with us until Friday. This will be a dampener on shower activity. So far up in the Nevis Peak foothills I’ve measured 1.77 inches (45 mm) of much needed rain so far this month.
A Tropical Wave may develop into something interesting for the Lesser Antilles next week, is being monitored by the US National Hurricane Center. Early days yet but something to keep an eye on.
Also remember that at this time last year (2023) we had two Tropical Storms in the neighbourhood - TS Bret and TS Cindy.
Added a couple of views highlighting the Saharan Dust and the varied “wild life” running around my yard. None of which belong to me! 😀 Plus the Tropical Wave to watch in the Atlantic.🤔
Regards.
Frank Goodwill
Sent from my iPhone
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- The Heat Is On
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- By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 14 Jun 2024 23:05:05 +0000
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Good day everyone,
My first post for hurricane2024 season. Lots of speculation that this will be a very active season. Interesting that we didn’t have a pre-season named storm this year. A direct hit from a hurricane is a low risk but as they say it only takes one. People
seem to dwell on storm wind speeds, but more problems result from heavy rains and storm surge.
A tropical depression or tropical storm can dump a lot of rain. Flash flooding and run-off can cause problems.
So we keep an eye on the forecasts.
At the moment on Nevis there are high temperatures and not a lot of rain. Government supplied water conservation seems to be a way of life with large areas of the island having their water turned off at night. Note in the attached temperature picture 88F
is about 31C but the ‘feels like’ is higher. This is lower than temperatures at see level.
Keeping oneself hydrated with water and prevention against the impact of heat and strong sun are more on one’s mind at the moment.
As with every year you should prepare for the worst and hope and pray for the best.
I’ve added some photos:
Nevis Peak
On the horizon Antigua
Closer Redonda and Montserrat
The green foothills of Nevis Peak
Regards,
Frank Goodwill
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- Historical Record of hurricanes around Nevis
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 8 Jun 2024 14:28:01 -0400
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Greetings All,
Below is a NOAA website of hurricanes Cat 3,4 & 5 from 1890 - 2023. There were 34 storms many unnamed in the beginning years of hurricane tracking. Note these are storms that passed within a 70 mile radius of Nevis. Data shows some of these hurricanes did not reach Cat 3 or above til after passing beyond our area. Statistically that equates to a 25% chance based on above information. In actuality it is much less due to the 70 mile radius and the later development of hurricanes after passing Nevis.
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- Nevis Weather Data For May
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 1 Jun 2024 16:42:30 -0400
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Greetings All,
Attached Nevis Weather Data for May 2024, for those interested. Attachment:
05_May_NOAA Nevis Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document
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- Another way of analyzing data
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 22 May 2024 09:37:56 -0400
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Greetings All,
Here are a few more facts about past hurricane events in and around Nevis/St. Kitts.
Since 1851 to 1922 (151 years) there have been a TOTAL of 38 hurricanes passing within a 70 mi radius of our islands. Of those 38 hurricanes 8 were classified as Tropical storms not hurricanes, leaving a total number of 30 hurricanes ranging from Cat1 to Cat 5.
So now lets change to storm radius from 70 mi down to 50 mi. Now there are only nine hurricanes. As listed below. 1871 - category 3 Unnamed 1876 - category 3 “ 1898 - category 2 “ 1999 - category 4 “ 1908 - category 3 “ 1922 - category 3 “ 1924 - category 3 “ 1928 - category 5 “ 1932 - category 4 “
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- Some Hurricane History for Nevis/St.Kitts
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 21 May 2024 15:31:10 -0400
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Greetings All,
I've been reading and listening to all the worried up hype about this upcoming hurricane season. I've done a bit of research on the subject as it pertains to our area of the Caribbean. While we definitely need to pay attention, I also feel there is way too much "scare" being played into the subject. Take a look at what transpired around Nevis/St. Kitts over the last 42 years, and you tell me if I'm wrong.
Attachment:
Hurricane History St. Kitts & Nevis.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document
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- Nevis April Weather Data
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 1 May 2024 09:37:38 -0400
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Greetings All,
Attached weather station data for month of April for those interested. Early this month....for a change
Attachment:
04_Apr_NOAA Nevis Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document
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- Info on Upcoming hurricane season
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- By H Hallstrom <hwh888 at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 20 Apr 2024 18:16:02 -0400
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Greetings All,
This info is from
Colorado State University team.
Today Klotzbach and his team at Colorado State University issued their well respected forecast
for the upcoming season. And it is not looking good... This may come
as no surprise, since last year we had the battle between El Nino, which
decreases hurricane activity, and warm sea surface waters, which
increases hurricane activity. El Nino lost... This year we won't have
an El Nino, but La Nina conditions, which normally enhances hurricane
activity, plus the record warm sea surface temperatures are still here!
As it pertains to St. Kitts & Nevis there normally is a 9% chance of being hit with a hurricane, statically speaking. For the 2024 season, they are forecasting a 15% chance of a storm over or near our twin island. Which equates to a 60% increase of a possible "chance".
Maybe nothing to worry about, but still be aware of the potential.
Thanks to La Nina.
Perhaps a saving grace is large Sahara Dust movement across the Atlantic in our direction.
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