- - Trinidad & Tobago - -

So gonna be very, very brief 

but Definitely NEGATIVE.

One of the imps from 'Isaias' tore down this tree 

Yesterday 2020-07-30th on Brian Lara Promenade

which is in the City Centre of Port of Spain.

Apparently this same short-lived (10mins.) Storm

had sideways rain gushing under my front door.

"Let us know how we can Help".

But,

(It's getting close to time when I can talk, ...)

Now is Election Time.

Let us know how we can Help???

Dominica had over two and a half inches of rain. Just Imagine !

Barbados bordered on two inches of rain. Just Imagine !

Hope and Pray, ... !

I think of Puerto Rico.

I think of Puerto Rico in three days time.

I think of Dominica and The Dominican Republic.

I think of St. Maarten and Barbuda.

I think of School Children.

Even I, Have been Silenced !

[Quote: Ian M. Borde] "It is sad! When someone 

can't say. What needs to be said. Because,

even little children speak and listen to the truth!"

Besides attaching images, ... , which I hope came out good.

That's all I can say for now.

stormcarib.com is Blessed

This is gonna be a Rain-Event to go down in The Books. Prepare !!!!

It has no Centre.

The Definition of a Depression should change, ... ???

(Rain, not Wind is the Killer Factor in Climate Change!!!!)

Anything above 2" inches, ....

In spite of a 2020 that has given me No Relief whatsoever, ...

GOD Bless

Good Day,

People of Paradise,

The ill-fated 40W.

And,

Still not a named Depression !!? Why ? "I ask?"

I am not going to have 'a take' or a 'as I see it'.

Except, I will be Negative, ...

... , and say,

"I don't see Dominica getting a Direct Hit!"

Weatherwise:

We had a Tropical Wave yesterday with Thunder and Lightning.

It lasted less than 10 minutes. On a bright and beautiful Sunday.

'Isaias', the Depression entered the area of windshear,

its top and centre is digesting dust so much so. 

That no moisture is protecting the Centre.

It's spinning slower than Gonzalo.

Broad storms tend to dissipate easier but

REMEMBER: Storms and Water temps. don't disappear.

The graphical representation disappears.

"Don't you think God is trying to tell us who is in charge?"

GOD Bless

The Grenadines, Tobago and Grenada can begin Recovery.

Tropical Storm Force Winds have only NOW entered Trinidad !!!

(Sangre Grande in Particular, . . . !)

Standing By, (but resting for Lunch, one hour and a half, ie. 2:30pm.)

The Centre is not where you think it is?

The heaviest precipitation passed thru the channel! Thank God!

At 11:00am. The Centre is Off Mayaro/Toco.

The caution can't be Lifted !!!!!

At this time in Palmiste San Fernando Trinidad,sporadic wind gusts with squall of showers and heavy overcast. No thunder temp falling.

Reports of heavy rainfall in Tobago and all over Trinidad.

This disorganised storm is packing a punch

Dr Adesh Nanan

Grenada, Tobago and Trinidad, ...

Good Morning Blessings !

As Hogan said, we are NOT The Authorities !!!!!

We know Nothing and are just QUOTING FACTS, . . . !!!!!

Tobago at 08:30am. started to be Impacted by 

Storm Winds. In the vicinity of Goldsboro Bay.

Carriacou has been affected the most (Precipitation-Wise)

the most so far. St. Lucia is covered in Dry Air.

As per the 05:00am SAL Graphic.

If you look at the jetstream image. The Centre 

(of a Depression/Storm) will make landfall

Between Goldsboro Bay in Tobago and 

Matura Bay in Trinidad.

In The Name of Jesus, more and more I am tempted to say,

the centre will pass through the channel between Trinidad and Tobago.

(Please see my previous post for timing?)

GOD BLESS

There is the temptation to say it will pass

thru the channel between Tobago and Trinidad.

Instead,

I am trained to paint the worst case scenario 

and work my way up. (It saves lifes!)

I see:

- Landfall happening from NOW !!!!!

- The Centre landfalling in Toco, just south of Toco,

including Toco, then Sangre Grande, Arima/St. Augustine 

and Piarco. Ie. The Centre !

- I see it Dispersing or Intensifying.

But, NOT staying the same.

- I see Destructive Impact from 09:30am - 7:30pm.

- I see a Plus, there is no tail to speak of.

STAY INDOORS

DON'T DRIVE THRU WATER

LISTEN TO THE AUTHORITIES

ASK FOR HELP

STAY INDOORS

I just looked at the Barbados met service graphic for pathway of the storm and it appears that a feeder band will affect Trinidad while Tobago will experience more direct confrontation

Dr Adesh Nanan

Yesterday there was a case of possible local transmission of the COVID...and now Gonzalo appears to be cutting a path to Trinidad.

I CONTINUE TO PRAY FOR THE SAFETY OF THE PEOPLE!

Ephesians Ch 2

Dr Adesh Nanan

The humidity is high and temp high in Palmiste in San Fernando Trinidad...classical signs of an approaching storm.

By my calculations the storm is 6 hours away.

The only advantage here is that it will be daylight when the impact will be felt

I continue to pray for the people of this beautiful twin island Republic that is dealing now with possible community spread of Vivid 19.

Dr Adesh Nanan

At this time in Palmiste ,San Fernando in Trinidad thunder is rolling in the distance.

No rain as yet but instability in the atmosphere. Eerie calm now!

We wait and watch mother nature.

Dr Adesh Nanan

Listen to NHC and the Authorities, . . . .

Reason for Posting? (I'll be up most of the Night).

No Matter what happens, . . . ! ! !

The Windsweep will be from Grenadines to Trinidad.

Yes! Trinidad (North and South) is DEFINITELY INCLUDED !

There are two Progresssive Attachments and a SAL at 5:00pm. (inversely).

Standing By, (till Sunday Morning), . . .

This scenario is almost identical to 3 years ago when an approaching Tropical Storm jagged NW at the last minute and spared Trinidad and Tobago.

I pray for another miracle for Tobago despite the latest models.

Jesus Christ is in charge!

Dr Adesh Nanan

'Gonzalo' is at 50 West!

There are two attachments;

1) 2020-07-23rd 8:00pm NHC Advisory, ... !!!!!

2) Sahara Dust (SAL) at 2020-07-23rd 5:00pm.

I am in Full Agreement with this Latest Advisory!

Except,

I see it Exiting the Eastern Caribbean 04hrs. later. (04:00 - 07:30am.)

(Even then, it  has a tail by then!)

I don't Think, it is Highlighted Enough that,

a) It's going to Intensify.

b) It is NOT a straight line or Graphic.

c) TOBAGO (as well as parts of Trinidad) are in the picture.

If you are a Critic, I say this because of,

i) The SAL jet stream.

ii) The Historical Nature of Climate Change.

The Point however is, 

"If you wait anytime after 50W. to PREPARE.

YOU ARE TEMPTING THE DEVIL!!!!!"

If you are not a Critic and worried about Financial Opportunities, ... ?

Factors like,

You are not covered by Insurance.

First responders will find it difficult to help you .

Begin to introduce themselves, ...

God Bless, because I can go on and on , . . . .

Just leave these two images 

at the ill-fated 40W.

Don't Panic.

Ask for Help (in Your Preparations), . . .

&

Prepare You Must !

Be Prepared

GOD Bless

A storm is a storm is a storm.

No matter what you do, "It is an unpredictable Act of God', . . .

Weatherwise for Example;

A Very Weak (Embryonic) Tropical Wave formed/exited at 58 W. 

this morning in daylight. Not hazardous to T&T but is a TW.

At 35W. (still hiding in the ITCZ) is a TW/Trough with massive Circulation.

You see what I mean !

Be Prepared,

God Bless

Two bad news first, ... , (not so bad).

T&T is going to start water rationing.

A southerly, fast moving TW is approaching in just after 12 hours.

There is a hole in the SAL (Dust). Windshear is east of the wave.

However, (My Take):

Winds; Normal

Seas; Choppy, not excessively Rough

Precipitation; Bordering closely on one inch

My RELIEF in a four year waiting period is approaching, ... !

Thank GOD !

But,

I still have to wait and can't tell?

[Thought]: The Dahara Dust is clearing during a Formidable Season.

Be Prepared, . . .

- Matthew

When I checked at eight o'clock.

Circulation started at seven o'clock.

Currently (my take) the centre is at 15N. 55W.

At 15N. it has run into deep SAL.

Therefore all precipitation is south of 15N.

Precipitation (over one inch) stretches for almost 400 miles.

At exactly midday rain fell where I live.

More rain 75 miles east of Manzanilla, Trinidad.

The SAL is not going to clear up.

So let's see how strong or rather weak it is.

God Bless

Good Day,

People of Paradise,

Getting straight to the Point;

The TW mentioned at midday Monday, (today) 

at 50W. has not slowed down. It was moving fast.

But,

What is going to be 'The Centre of Circulation' is 

still at 50W. at 10:45pm. The imps of this exiting TW

are still on schedule for Tuesday (around midday).

I was going to headline this post as:

- Beware - Rapid Intensification & Climate Change -

but that's not how we do things at stormcarib.

Further:

This possible 'Centre of Circulation' is bordering at 

12N. 50W. which is 02 degrees higher than Trinidad.

Or where it was.

If we are doing Preparedness Preparations. Then,

One cannot underscore enough one of the measures.

Monitor the System !

I repeat,

Monitor the System !

From no later than early Tuesday morning.

God Bless

While we are currently having inclement weather

due to a 'Blob' over us at 12:30pm. Monday.

It is just a typical lunchtime blob embedded in ITCZ

without circulation or less than one inch of rain.

Tomorrow's midday shower if there is direct impact 

will have two inches of rain (maybe slightly more).

This TW embedded in the ITCZ will last more than 24 hours.

However;

- It is in the ITCZ (no circulation as yet).

- There is Sahara Dust ( little but there).

- There is Wind-Shear.

Note: During Relief Efforts due to Saturday's Storm,

or in any Emergency. Don't criticize or complain, but comply.

1) They are skilled workers with emergency equipment.

2) They are risking their lifes.

3) Some of them are leaving disasters of their own to help you.

Just saying,

GOD Bless 

Authorities are already out working on Recovery.

Icacos and Tobago least affected.

See attached.

God Bless

But !!!!!!

And the point is:

1) The main system is west of us. (4:00pm.)

2) There seems to be nascent circulation west of T&T. 

3) Over water, directly heading for Margarita, (hardly inland).

Even if it stops for 36 hours after lunch tomorrow.

There is another southerly wave right behind.

4) Toco/Valencia had the most rainfall.

5) The entire twin-island had more than one inch of rain.

Waiting for Damage Reports, . . .

Shouldn't be much ???

God Bless

There's a substantial amount of Saharan dust and strong upper level winds affecting the wave so further development isn't expected but we could receive some heavy rains and gusty winds tomorrow (Thursday) going into the night. I'm of the opinion that the T&T Met Office might issue an Adverse Weather Alert sometime tonight or tomorrow morning just to be safe but nevertheless, it looks like we're in for a wet Corpus Christi holiday!

Have a good night everyone!

- Matthew

The Blob itself, plus windshear and SAL,

makes it ineffective except for supply of water.

Spiritual Holidays have Temporal Value.

Corpus Christi (Thursday) is a season for Planting/Sowing.

It is also the most Significant Day of Reopening the Economy.

In other words,

"It always 'rains' for Corpus Christi."

Even though there will be an ongoing 'drizzle' for 2 - 3 more days.

The Brilliant, National - Restraint & Precautions - deem it also necessary

to consider that the 'bad' weather has cleared up !!!

Congratulations T'dad & T'bgo of taking a cut-throat 2020 Year

and managing to begin, to start, to work on bouncing back.

May GOD continue to 'Bless', all in The Caribbean, . . . !!!

- Matthew 

There are mangoes, cherries, bananas (plantain & fig),

two Public Holidays, more COVID Reopening this June.

There is also the first Blob to pay attention to !

Scientific ENOUGH, but not actual Data says;

Waves over 6' (ft.)

Winds bordering on 20 - 25 mph.

Precipitation, definitely over one(01") inch.

The Pink and Yellow gigantic tree synonymous with 

the beginning of The Wet Season is called 'Poui' locally.

God Bless

As I type this, TS Amanda is currently impacting portions of Guatemala and El Salvador. Amanda is forecast to dissipate over the mountainous terrain of those areas tonight but then possibly regenerate in the Bay of Campeche and possibly strengthen back into a TS but be designated with the name Cristobal seeing as the system reformed in the Atlantic basin. 

I have a hunch that this hurricane season just might one for the record books I reckon!! We'll just have to wait and see.

Have a good day everyone!!

- Matthew

This second one is more southerly.

It is already impacting the Guyanas.

Windshear and SAL is not a hindrance.

It is a non-event but treat all as if they will stall over the Caribbean.

Blessings Flow

I am still waiting but being SILENT & PRUDENT, ... !

Without knowing me, a thousand guesses will be,

Mostly Correct. It can be summed up as.

I am waiting for 'Good Common Sense' to Prevail.

Weatherwise:

We have the first tropical wave/blob for the 2020 Wet Season.

Based on links Dave and Gert provided in the right-hand column.

I see,

Winds, above 15mph.

Seas, less than 10ft.

Precipitation, Marginally over one inch in Dominica and Martinique.

Maybe Guadeloupe, then Monsterrat, St. Kitts, Nevis area 

and then St. Thomas area.

COVID-19 & T&T;

Tomorrow over one-third of the 'Recovery' Economy will 'Reopen'.

All Emergency Travel was accomplished weeks now.

UWI Students will be next to Travel. (Maybe Cruiseship Workers???)

Exams and Online Education/Academics, like a 'toddler',

is making new and shaky PLEASANT AND SATISFYING Steps Forwards.

NO NEW CASES for 21 Days, ... ! (In the Name of Jesus, ... !)

My Daughter is a Final Year Undergraduate.

But, I'm Still Waiting. Please GOD!

( I mean it's Obvious?)

[ref: (retired) RC51-Ian M. Borde]