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- 30W. - 10.5N. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 15 Sep 2021 19:54:14 -0400
I see an Unclosed, Centre of Circulation at approx 30West.
Highly Protected by Moisture between it and SAL.

I wish and pray,
Authorities Concerned will Subsidize Bona Fide Websites
Proven to affect the difference in Climate Change
between, 
Life and Death !!!!!    

(In particular; Wind speeds, Wave Heights and Precipitation an Hour)?

I Pray      

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Better to be Proactive, than Reactive [Dave] -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 12 Sep 2021 12:03:00 -0400
Prepare,
People of Paradise,

I'm catching myself
So, the attached pics is All.

For Now !

Lord Have Mercy

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Back-to-Back (Again), . . .
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 8 Sep 2021 09:18:50 -0400
People of Paradise
Here we go Again !

Please check approx. 40W. <12N. and 20W.

[Tentative Take: Ian M. Borde]
A little North of Dead Centre (EC).

Please Prepare
and Don't Panic

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- a Folder called - 'Larry' Sept. 2021
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Sep 2021 15:59:54 -0400
Thanks,
Thanks!
Thanks !
Everyone, . . . !

I still am not ?objective? enough to Post. But, I'll try.
It will be disjointed. Might just quit anytime and attach official pics.

Firstly and most Importantly;
1) The tragedy is not just Friday gone. It started week-before.
2) Eg. Do you remember the landslide that claimed a Life.
GOD Rest HIs Soul ! Please GOD !
(His wife nearly died trying to save him.) Mercy, Lord! Mercy !
Can't be factual, but as a former first responder 
first-hand told me two more were missing.
Factually:
3) Anaisa, GOD REST HER SOUL, wrapped in Mercy !
Body was found offshore the Trinidad Yacht Club (TYC).
The TYC is at the bottom of my street.
Anaisa (RiP.) both lived and was hiking (both places different) 
a little more than a mile from where I lived before. 
The face is Too Familiar for Objectivity, ... !

I Gone

Ps. 70% Wed./Thurs./Fri. had either no internet or current.


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- Trinidad & Tobago -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2021 14:28:55 -0400
TnT,

A trough in the ITCZ will continue
to affect us tonight into tomorrow.

(In other words, landslides material tomorrow!)

God Bless

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- Meanwhile, ... , for the Eastern Caribbean, ... !!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 27 Aug 2021 12:41:06 -0400
Attached are two images.
Denoting some form of Hazard.
From;
Rough Seas when it misses us.
To, 
Landfall and everything hazardous
we are familiar with !!!
However,
The point of the Post is:

There are several more coming, ... !!!!

GOD Bless
and
Prepare

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- ALL Incoming and Outgoing Airlines Return -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 24 Aug 2021 20:48:56 -0400

- Caymans, Beware -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 18 Aug 2021 00:34:16 -0400
Something has to be said ?
Which appropriately, Dave, Haiti and Jamaica are doing/starting.

For correspondents who are daunted about reporting, ... , 
... , Don't Be !
It will take a whole interactive website for you to know my journey.
(By the way),
This time, I did not cry.
I am busy.
(Which Dominica alluded to.)

Okay! so what I got to say is Minor, ... , a kind of emergency procedure relief.
That is, "It is human to salvage". Pick up the pieces.
There are a lot of debris, fallen food, and 
God Rest Their Souls, 'Corpses' .
It will take the professionals to do that !!!
Among these professionals, spiritual elders, ... !

For us, the retired, the indirectly involved and assistants, 
as the islands most affected by Irma and Maria can teach us.
It will be, 
"To burn them!" They are toxic, for a lot of reasons.
Let the politicians and professionals control the aftermath.

At first, this post will seem bitter.
But, on reflection it will provide professional insight and relief !
and,
As we too focus on the dead and living Souls,
"May their Souls find Eternal Rest and Peace in a Greater Paradise, ... , Amen!"

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- Je Regrette -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 16 Aug 2021 09:50:46 -0400

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- Nous sommes Prets, Haiti !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 14 Aug 2021 15:46:58 -0400
Haiti: Qu'arrive-t-il ?

Grace's Landfall sees less than 25mph. winds.
No precise Centre.
(Almost) strong climate change tropical wave rain.

Nous sommes Prets.
We are ready to Help.

- Remain Calm AND Level-Headed
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 13 Aug 2021 17:47:12 -0400
People of Paradise,

Excuse Me !
For, not posting about Hazardous Weather between the passages 
of  'Fred' & PTC#7. To be Honest, that was Deliberate.

Moving On:
If anyone here asked me the 'one most singular thing' to Focus On,
in terms of Pro-active Emergency Procedures !!!!
It will be, "NHC estimated landfall time is 02:00 am. Sunday''.
With it's attendant Waves, Winds and Precipitation Saturday Night, ... !!

Maximum Winds are 25mph. in the NNE Sector, Not 30 mph. Nowhere.
Sadly however, (Worst-Case Scenario),
The Centre of Circulation could become an 'Eye' tonight.

Pro-actively Prepare

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- Landfall -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 10 Aug 2021 01:56:15 -0400
Here we see Landfall with the Centre of Circulation
at 01:45am. Brushing south Dominica with less than 
Storm Condition Winds but over 2" ins. Rain an Hour.

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- Next 3hrs. - Waterways Perilous
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 10 Aug 2021 00:17:24 -0400
In order of 'Hazardous':-
Dominica,
Guadeloupe,
Martinique,
(Montserrat),

GO INDOORS !!
EVACUATE 200 YARDS FROM WATERWAYS !!!
CALL for HELP !
For at least the Next Three (03) Hours, ...
If you haven't done so already?

Bynote;
The Centre Closed off (without rainclouds to the south) 
between 10:30 -11:30pm. 
50mls. - 75mls. East of north Martinique !!!!
with Top Consistent Winds just over 20mph.

I'm fully awake now!

Thanks, Dave

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- Update
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 9 Aug 2021 21:38:04 -0400
The Centre is less than 125 miles from Martinique.
BUT, The Centre is NOT CLOSED !!!!

Dominica is getting 25 mph winds and over one inch an hour.

- "I don't know. What to say!!!!" -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 9 Aug 2021 18:25:20 -0400
I don't know. What to say!!!!

Maybe,

"Rapid Intensification!!!!"

I will try to be up all night !!!!!

Thank God! The Diameter is Small !!!!

Get ready to go indoors.
Move away from Waterways.

- EXAMPLES of EMERGENCY Rational Planning -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 8 Aug 2021 11:02:57 -0400
Hi, People of Paradise!

Here is how a cash-starved but rational planner plans when Normalcy Flows, ...
(There are things more important. Which I wrote about before.)
" I Respect all Religious Practises ", . . .

- Water
- Medicines
- Water
- Waterproofing Documents and Identifications (Remember old filing-cabinets?)
- Yeast - Is better than baking powder (Respecting emergencies and religion)
- Chlorine - to go with WATER
- Generator - Some Islands need a Licence/Candles and Kerosene (last resort)
- Water and some Rubbing 'Spirits'

God Bless



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- Back-to-Back Realities, from 45W.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 7 Aug 2021 14:28:29 -0400
This is the latest Graphics to Help.

Except for the Saharan Air Layer.
They are easy to underestimate.

Prepare

God Bless

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- Southerly Islands (EC) - from (tomorrow?)
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 5 Aug 2021 11:59:41 -0400
Hi, People of Paradise !

You can imagine, How busy I am?

The 1st. TW approaching with a Centre of Circulation
(and nothing else to Identify it!) Is developing 
a feeder-band (tail). Due to less SAL which
it is doing on its own. At a quasi-stationery 40W.

That's my take. But if you read between the lines,
That is ITCZ exiting, ... !

Not today, but most likely tomorrow, the 
Emerging tail will affect southerly islands,
with localised heavy but short rain.

As I said that's my take during preparations time.

God Bless

- 40W. (and 25W.) -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 4 Aug 2021 18:54:07 -0400
Good Night, Good Day, People of Paradise,

There are two (02) African/Atlantic Tropical Waves.
With both a Centre of Circulaion, moving into less and less SAL.

The one at 40W. is southerly and dead centre.

The one at 25W. is too early to call but more northerly.

Qu. Can we prepare without panic, surprise and drama?
Ans. The answer is, "Yes!".

Prepare, because this is just the beginning, . . . !


- Centre of Circulation - Clear and Present -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 26 Jul 2021 20:13:04 -0400
My Apologies Haiti !
But,
I myself am daunted about 'reporting'.
As what was free, clinical, life-saving data 
is now a rare and costly occurrence.
Secondly the youths are not taking up the baton.
The truth is twisted to make money.

Weatherwise:

The graphic speaks for itself with a visible centre of circulation.
Thank GOD! The winds are less than 25 mph.

Dieu vous Benisse

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- TW in 36 hrs. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 22 Jul 2021 00:53:20 -0400
Dominica and Barbados,
all People of Paradise,

A Tropical Wave is at 55W approaching in 36 hours.

Winds are 15 - 20 mph.
Waves are going to be greater than three (03') feet.
Precipitation is hard to predict at this time but 
more than one inch in Barbados.

The Windshear is to the West of the Eastern Caribbean.
It's difficult to get a current SAL Map.

Prepare
without Drama

Noteworthy:

There was a 7.0 earthquake south of Panama with Moderate Damage!!


Standing By 

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- No Complacency, without Drama, Please ?
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 13 Jul 2021 12:20:04 -0400
People of Paradise,

This Webpage is Free! By any Definition, ... !
With Freedom. Comes Responsibility.
In this Case, over (life & death) Emergencies, ...
Taking action on just One view on a Low Pressure System,
is as silly, as it sounds.
Or,
Leaving everything upon the Gov't and Authorities.

Otherwise:
Weatherwise;

There are two Tropical Waves (TWs) approaching at just after
30W and 40W respectively, ... !! Battling SAL and losing !
They are also two low in Latitude to be Perilous.
The Bad News:
Any TW in Climate Change has 'Erika' Potential.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Hue & Cry -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 11 Jul 2021 19:32:12 -0400
Beloved People of Paradise,

I am solely posting a PHOTO.

(Only because Trinidad (and Tobago) is 
the day-before weather for other territories).
Recall: A key point in an emergency is "Don't Panic!"

The photo can be comic or serious.
It can be mildly informative or precautionary.

Here goes, . . .

God! Please Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Caution, Tobago !!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Jul 2021 14:31:56 -0400
Tobago,

Exert Vigilance. As a typical Climate Change Tropical Wave
that is leaving part of south Trinidad and the entire North West
is heading a little more vigorously in your direction, ... !!

We had 3.42 ins of rain.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Apparent feeder band from Elsa!
  • By Storm Carib <stormcarib>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Jul 2021 18:06:12 -0700


From: Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, Jul 2, 2021 at 5:49 PM
Subject: Apparent feeder band from Elsa!



Loud thunder overhead with sporadic rainfall and stiff breeze at times.Temp falling.This report from Palmiste, San Fernando.

Dr Adesh Nanan

- Pray for St. Vincent -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Jul 2021 12:46:23 -0400
The Centre of Circulation 
passed over the Middle of St. Vincent
between 10:30 - 11:15 am. Pray !

Historically:
'Elsa' Will strengthen on Exit. (Before any graveyard).
So?
MAINTAIN INDOOR POSTURE !!!!

Emergencies and Emergency Personnel
in BARBADOS ONLY !
Should be Possible. But More in Three (03 - 04) hours time.

Pray for St. Vincent, the Grenadines and St. Lucia 

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Update from Trinidad
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Jul 2021 15:12:26 +0000
7/2/2021
Trinidad

Good morning folks.

I trust that everything is ok with Barbados and St Vincent. Hope that no damage has been done through the passing of hurricane Elsa. Lots of rain Trinidad which began during the night and lasted throughout the morning. Reports of flooding in the southern part of the island. No wind is present at this time.

Best Regards,
Michael Abouhamad

- Barbados - Stay Indoors
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Jul 2021 04:21:08 -0400
Good Night, People of Paradise, Stay Calm ! ASK FOR HELP !!!

The attached Image is with Winds 30 mph. (+) plus Winds ONLY !!!
Barbados stay Indoors - Impact started. But NOT A DIRECT HIT.

The Grenadines, St. Vincent, in 02 hrs. - 04 1/2 hrs. - a Direct Hit -
St. Lucia, in 02 hrs. - 30mph(+) Winds -
From Martinique to Trinidad, - move 200 yards away from ANY Waterway !!! -
ByNote:
Tobago and Toco, ALREADY in the Tailend/Feeder Band !

Look at the Map !!

G O D! 
Please  Bless

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- (Sigh) - Here's to an Overactive 2021
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 1 Jul 2021 14:33:07 -0400
"Would someone please let the pressure out of the 'Steamer'?"
Hello, July 2021
Hello, People of Paradise!

Before I wrote this Post. I was Reading.
I was Reading and Researching, 
capturing images and reading some more, ...
(Started off with Dr. Jeff Masters, by the way!)

Before I was 'Reading', I was 'thinking and praying'.
Enhanced by the river in front of me in the gallery.
Giving it an aspect of 'Unitarian Meditation'?

Anyway, I was more than thinking. I was saying to myself.
"If just south of Barbados is The 1st. Impact Point.
Then why is there no talk of Grenada and Tobago 
getting 20mph (+) plus winds?"
Which science leads me to say. That winds will play 
an equal part to water in this one.

Even though it's 50 West and Designated
My take is: LET'S WAIT on The HURRICANE HUNTERS, ... ?

That way,
"We'll be waiting for an Update!!! Not a downscale".

God Bless

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- Ask for Help and OBEY the Authorities -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 22 Jun 2021 12:54:44 -0400
It's 12:45pm.
and,
I'm Now Doing Morning Chores and Prayers.

So! I'll be Short, ... , and standing by !!!!

There is a ?TW? approaching and to some have reached!
It is VERY Difficult to Analyse. I have Nothing to Add.

Obey the Authorities !

Don't Criticize or Complain. C O M P L Y !

If you want 'My Take'? They have it Right, . . . .

Obey the Authorities, . . . .

and "Yes!" Dominica:
These simple Tropical Waves have 'Erika' potential, . . .

Standing By
GOD Bless

- 40 West & African TW's
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2021 11:35:37 -0400
Good Day, Good Everything,
People of Paradise

The 1st. (of Significance) Tropical Wave coming from Africa
is medium-large BUT embedded in the ITCZ
with Nascent Circulation.

My Take:
Good News first,I don't see it exiting the ITCZ before 50 West.
Bad News! Because of its size,
When it reaches it will be more than 50% Hazardous.

Trinidad had I believe 3 instances of minor floods already.

BIG Public Shoutout to Isabel. I don't know 'bout you?
But Isabel keeps me Sane and even Calm during Emergencies.

GOD Bless Isabel and all Correspondents, ...

Peace

- When the Dust Clears, . . . !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 4 May 2021 23:05:26 -0400
Happy May Flowers,
People of Paradise !

While surrounded by more than a Hint of Wet Season.
Let's remember today as 26 days (less than 4 weeks)
before the Official Start of The Storm / Hurricane Season.

There are ssooo many topics to talk about, . . . .
I had to come out from;
Resting,
Hibernation/Self Isolation,
Scientific and Rescue Sabbatical. 

Since 2010 and the Haitian Earthquake and Tsunamis
WE HAVE COME A LONG WAY !

Ok, Then !
There's, ... , COVID,
There's, ... , Vaccinations,
There's, ... , Safe Haven Tourism.

There's Earthquakes, Volcanos, Evacuations, Emigrations.
There's Smoke, Dust, Ash, Lava, Old Craters and New Vents,
There's Poisonous Gases, Liquids and Materials. Water Scarcity.
There's Communications, Security, Solidarity, Relief and Rescue.

To stop! (Distressing, what is Stressful!!!!!)
There's more than one inch of rain, floods, rough seas, rip tides

Thank GOD, nobody reported HIGH WIND, . . . ?

PS. Volcanic Ash is the Best-Known Fertilizer, ....

May God show us the Good in this.


Virus-free. www.avg.com

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