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- For southern islands, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 12 Aug 2018 22:29:57 -0400
Hi People of Paradise,

Most likely,
There will be heavy rain tonight and whole day tomorrow.
At least for Trinidad and Tobago.

Not that that is anything different.

The point is,
The clearing of drains.
Traffic problems.

God Bless

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- Monitoring a TW 45-85 miles from Guadeloupe at 0100am. (Local)
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Aug 2018 01:53:49 -0400
I am monitoring a cluster that formed from 
west of Guadeloupe and St. Lucia then 
passed over north Martinique and had 
a center for 20 minutes 75 miles east of Marie Galante.

The last SAL imagery is at 2:00 pm. yesterday 
and it is headed north, north-west. (No more centre).
So Dominica doesn't seem to be in the picture.
Too early for winds in excess of 35 mph.
Waves are a normal six (06') feet.

My take:
I see formation, short-lived, but formation.
I think another correspondent mentioned 
this long-lasting TW southern islands experienced 
would maybe form into something.

Even more circumspect, definitely with tongue in cheek,
I see between 6:00 - 8:00 o'clock am. Barbuda 
and to a lesser extent Antigua being on the southern side.

It sure postponed a second doze off for the night.

God Bless

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- Complacency and Throwing Caution to the Wind -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 27 Jul 2018 05:46:08 -0400
My Dear People of Paradise,

In this foreday morning, 
Something told me don't be complacent 
and check NHC's SAL image for midnight.

True-to-Form, the SAL has cleared up enough 
to warrant a post. For seasoned trackers
when SAL is clearing up we check the generators 
and gas and water. Okay, Mr. Alarmist, but there is 
no possibility of cyclonic activity for the next three days.
Ans. "Yes! But we are in the middle of a huge bunch of tropical waves!"
Work on Sahara Dust - SAL - is un-understandable for the present
but a 'truism' is;
When it's not there, anything can happen at anytime.

To quote the correspondent from St. Croix,
who I respect very much and I am glad the road is going 
to be finished. It was the most affected thing 
where she lived during last year.
[" We cannot become complacent. 
We have to stay in a preparedness mode. 
May God bless us all."]

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- Nothing Cyclonic Threatening -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 23 Jul 2018 08:15:34 -0400
People of Paradise,

I wish that all the rain Trinidad is getting 
we could share with near drought stricken islands, ....

In tandem, this is probably the longest mango season 
I ever witnessed! I picked and gave away 'cherries' twice 
and the tree is giving off another crop as we write.
If I sell the amount of limes on the tree, I would have $100.

From today, Trinidad and southerly islands can expect rain 
for the next three days. It will get heavier as the midweek arrives.
(Saying that; I am hearing some strange weather forecasts 
for the weekend gone.)

There is something, probably cyclonic just left Africa.
This however is likely to be a fish storm.

[(My) Quote:] "Survival is not paranoia, but the essence for culture."

God Bless

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- Lovely Day for Football -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 11 Jul 2018 06:44:56 -0400
Beautiful People of Paradise,

What a Lovely Day for Football !!!

Trinidadians could do well 
to keep this 'handy'.

God Bless


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- 'Beryl' is a Sprinter, Thank God -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 9 Jul 2018 02:22:26 -0400
Beryl is the second (2nd) smallest Atlantic storm.
I think it is the 'quickest' one.

For what weight my opinion is worth.
1) First - Responders can operate from now in
Barbados, Martinique, Dominica and Marie - Galante,
with a 'Normal' Degree of Safety.
Waves can reach 11' feet and the runoff from mountains 
will continue till just before midday. 
So civilians should stay put for the night.

2) Montserrat and Guadeloupe are experiencing 
emergency conditions still, but:
a) 'Beryl' is not even a depression now.
b) 'Beryl' is northwest of Guadeloupe and south of Montserrat.
First-Respondents can perform well in these conditions 
specially if the injured and ill are cooperative.

If sleep comes now.
I will embrace her.

Thank, The Almighty One

- Stay Safe -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 8 Jul 2018 21:49:00 -0400
S t a y
S a f e

until further Notice !

At about 9:00 o'clock the defined centre 
seemed to be over Grande Anse and Vieux Fort 
heading west of Guadeloupe in 4 - 6 hours time.

Sorry to say, but Marie-Galante took the biggest beating.

The attached images of predicted and actual precipitation is 
'PERILOUS' even for Emergency workers!
I repeat: The tail is nothing to play with!!!!!

Stay Safe and Secure by listening to The Authorities.

Standing By

Attachment: - - Precipitation in 'Beryl's Tail - -.JPG
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Attachment: 'Beryl' Centre at 830pm Sunday 08th July 2018.JPG
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Attachment: 'Beryl' Centre at 845pm Sunday 08th July 2018.JPG
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- It's far from Over -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 8 Jul 2018 19:30:46 -0400
Beware of The Rain & Tail

- You are NOT Alone !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 8 Jul 2018 16:03:28 -0400
The People of Paradise,

You are not alone, ... !!!!!!!!

Moving on (along with Congratulatory Work already Done), ...

Expect Landfall anytime now.
My take is slightly above Dominica.
The heavier winds will definitely be north of Dominica.

Waves: 7' - 11' feet.
Winds: 20 - 50 mph. (no uprooting but broken branches).
Rain: more (may be much more) than four (04") inches over a 24 hour period.


The work this year is Exemplary.

God is Blessing us Now !

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- Pro-Active Watching, (but not waiting), .... !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jun 2018 06:49:10 -0400
Dear People of Paradise,

Just a heads-up to tell you the dry spell is over.
We can expect rain, moderate rain, for the on-going 3-5 days.

After this there may be something to talk about.
Hint: It is not a 'Reprieve'.

Sometimes, Staying Silent is a Simple Solution,
and What More, a Worthy Example, ... !

God Bless

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- Timeout - Reprieve -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 23 Jun 2018 08:35:42 -0400
Hearty Blessings, People of Paradise,

It is joyous to say when the TW mentioned by almost all of us,
passes its final stage in the Eastern Caribbean 
ie. Puerto Rico and The Virgin Islands.
Good or Bad after - effects of this current one.
There will be the semblance of a reprieve.

This post is about neither the TW or the Reprieve.

Let's give "Thanks!'

Whatever higher authority helped you this far.

Let's give, "Thanks!"

Attachment: - - Manzanilla & Galeota Point - Trinidad's East Coast - -.JPG
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Attachment: - - - - Psalm 91-4 - - - -.jpg
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- Stand Up & Be Brave - Don't Panic -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 18 Jun 2018 03:17:07 -0400
People of Paradise,

Anyone 'sneezing' in our company. Is 'wind' we can do without.
Sad to say. But basically and have-to-be-said is, 
We are still traumatized.

Please forgive me,
"it is very hard to remain 'real' and true".

As per NHC:
A tropical wave will reach the waters E of the Lesser Antilles
towards the morning, then enter the eastern Caribbean through Wed
night. This system is expected to be accompanied by scattered 
showers and thunderstorms. As the wave passes across the Lesser 
Antilles into the eastern Caribbean, it will bring gusty winds and
a modest increase in showers and thunderstorms to the Leeward 
Islands, the UK/US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico by mid week.

Winds: 15 - 18 mph. (gusting above 20 mph.)
Seas: 6' - 7' feet. (Mild, compared to the graphics)
Precipitation: (Slightly) Over one (01") inch.

Nothing to worry about,
Just 'bad news' at this time.

God Bless

Attachment: - Guadeloupe Radar - Mon 18th June 2018 approx 0200 am -.JPG
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Attachment: - T'dad Radar - Mon 18th June 2018 at 0115 am -.JPG
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- Another Long Weekend in T&T -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Jun 2018 10:29:16 -0400
Hi to all People of Paradise,

Just to let you know from today and the next two days.

It will be great to go to 'The Beach' or River, ... !

(People like me, who are irrational and paranoid, 
would find the weather 'Great' to get Survival Aides 
and Techniques in place with the three days weather.)

Sunny and Dry !

[There is a section of the current TW. at 45 W. trying
to break away and trying to circulate 
in the wind-shear and SAL.] He said, sounding irrational.
But definitely not in 'denial', ... !

Albert Einstein said:
"You can't fix new problems with old ideas".

He said, sounding irrational.

God Bless

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- 2nd June - Second TW -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 3 Jun 2018 08:25:29 -0400
People of Paradise,

In The Cumana/Chaguaramas Peninsula area of Trinidad
the Black and Yellow ?Toucan? is in almost abundant proliferation now.
He feeds and nests every afternoon at sunset just outside the gallery.
The ravens haven't left. But are dwindling. (I see hawks every so often).

Our (wet season) second Blob is more distinct 
( heavier & high-altitude clouds) but more southerly than the first.

Forget the Blob !!!!!!! Forget the Graphics !!!!!!!
Specially as it's moving at 25 - 30 kts. due west.
TOP, TOP, TOP, priority !
ie. Water, Medicines, Non-Perishables, 
Emergency shelters (Information and logistics),
Communication Devices and Essential Documents (Valid!),
Government and Volunteer Liaison and Input, etc, etc, etc, ... !!!

As usual I include NHC information:
A tropical wave is over the central Atlantic with axis extending
from 13N46W to 00N47W, moving westward at 25-30 kt. The wave is 
depicted as a broad trough of moisture on TPW imagery. The wave is
void of convection at this time.
God Bless You

Attachment: - 2nd June - Second TW -.JPG
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- Watchful Weekend !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 25 May 2018 04:20:21 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

It has been miraculously sunny in this early wet season.
That is after a prolonged wet season last year.
There is plenty of what I like most going on.
Enlightening and mind-opening sharing of ideas and conversation.
All this while steady progress is going on with the retaining wall.
A charitable organization I belong to, seems to be back on its feet.

Pre-'Alberto' is exiting Central America to take formation in The Gulf.
My sentiments to Belize, Cayman Islands and Central America.
Trinidadian Vessels using the Panama are nearby.

Same time, the first 'Distinct' eastern Caribbean (minimal) Tropical Wave
will affect us. (Instead of 36 hours, let's say this weekend.)
This will be Trinidad's Third Blob for the season.

All in a day's work.

Now off to Morning Meditation and Prayer!

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- 1st of June approaches !!!!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 21 May 2018 07:00:49 -0400
Glencoe, Carenage,
Diego Martin, T&T, W.I.
2018-05-21st Monday 06:50 am.

Friday 1st June is approaching.
The beginning of 'The Wet Season'.

We have war wounds and to heal,
we need to defend ourselves, ... !
Not relive the past.
We need HELP, however we get it.

I will not even bother to detail the 'drill' !

Just keep on,
Go on,
Do it !

(Staying humble and caring), ...

Attachment: Protective Male Bird - North Coast (pcs).jpg
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- 2nd Blob -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 8 May 2018 16:50:59 -0400
Hardly any birds lit up the sky today.

The reason,
Picture attached, ...

Thank God for Wind Shear besides the SAL.

Almighty God Protect Us

Attachment: 2018-05-08th PM - 2nd tropical wave.JPG
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- 2nd Blob of 2018 -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 8 May 2018 16:47:44 -0400
Hardly any birds and butterflies lit up the sky today.

The reason,

- Happy 1st May / Month of May -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 1 May 2018 04:34:35 -0400
2018-05-01st Tuesday 04:25 a.m.

I am "Sorry!" but "Yes!" the evidence is clear.
(And to a certain extent it's collaborated).
When it survives SAL and 'terrible' (in this case 'good') wind-shear. 
A tropical wave, the first from Africa (exited Sunday)
will affect the Eastern Caribbean.

It's way much too early. That anyone can predict arrival time or intensity.
However waves are 8' - 9' feet in the vicinity of its influence.

I wish I could curl up with my head under a pillow next to my wife 
under the covers. But none of that is possible.

Enjoy the Month of May, ...

Your bro

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Attachment: 2018-05-01st Tue 0300am - 1st African Wave for 2018.JPG
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- The 'Wet' Season is Here -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 15 Apr 2018 03:41:30 -0400
Glencoe, Carenage,
Diego Martin,
T&T, W.I.

2018-04-15th. Sunday
03:20 a.m.

[Thought:] "Find the courage and strength within yourself.
That we work selflessly as a 'Team' without early judging
anyone or anything". [ref: Ian M. Borde]

There we have it. The 'Reprieve' of Dry Season, barely
lasted three weeks. As I am writing ITCZ rain clouds
are forming over Trinidad just short of Barbados.
Included in this post is a 36 hour scientific image forecast.
At the present circumstance, it is nothing to worry about.
Winds; Gusting over 15 mph.
Seas; over 6' feet.
Precipitation; less than an inch.

Wake up, because this is 'Modern Weather'.
Included in the images is a forecast for Gale conditions
in 36 hours for parts of the Bahamas.

I really don't know how else to put this across.

God Bless

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