- Updates from the Islands -

- - Trinidad & Tobago - -

| home | satellite | tools | pleas for help | guide | climatology | archive

- Re-organizing under Wind-Shear -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 16 Oct 2019 04:46:15 -0400
My take:

The dissipated TW/LPS is going to Impact
the Dominica/Monsterrat area as a
Tropical Depression (35 mph. winds)
for the entire day tomorrow.
Starting in the dark foreday morning.

Get Prepared

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Bears watching...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 15 Oct 2019 21:45:10 -0400

Although further immediate intensification of 95L seems to have halted temporarily, for the time being the system still bears watching as it nears the area of the windward islands. Of course, climatology is still in its favour, And certain models have been trending more southward as well which is concerning. The re-formation of a new more southerly closed low level centre of circulation, or a low level meso- circulation is a real possibility. Also, weakened systems will be more than likely to move more in a westerly direction while re- developing instead of heading more west north westerly or North Westerly. All of the Windward islands need to pay attention to this approaching tropical wave. Hopefully, sudden organisation and intensification may not happen near or directly over the southern windward isles.

Additional vigilance is required once again as this system is already capable of producing winds to at least tropical storm force. Therefore, irrespective of whether this system gets named, or has any further significant development -tropical storm conditions, with the potential for intense trough type impacts will likely spread across most of the southern islands of the Lesser Antilles within 24-36hrs. & With the recent battering that the ITCZ has given to some of the southern isles especially to Trinidad and Tobago; heightened precaution is definitely needed.
I hope that all concerned will Stay prepared, & Remain alert as this weather threat inches ever closer to the southern Windwards with the potential for significant effects... 



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Possible Cyclogenesis...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 14 Oct 2019 13:40:20 -0400
95L definitely seems to be getting better organized inspite of shear as was hinted at in earlier posts. A closed low level centre of circulation appears to be getting better formed as is evident on 'windy' & earth.nullschool.net
Potential tropical cyclone warnings may be necessary for the southern windwards soon...
Be prepared and vigilant everyone.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Readiness...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 14 Oct 2019 01:03:59 -0400
The following early forecast was released by the TT Weather Center which speaks to the likely threat(s) of the approaching disturbance:

....Tropical Wave 55 is already producing near-gale-force winds (sustained at 55 KM/H, gusts to 74 KM/H)...
— Much of the heaviest showers, thunderstorms, and winds are forecast to move north of T&T later this week.
(This could always change)
— Between 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm) with isolated totals up to 4 inches (100 mm) are possible across the Southern Windwards, mainly north of Trinidad and Tobago. There is the threat of street flooding and flash flooding Wednesday into Thursday.
(Riverine flooding is a possibilty)
— Moderate seas with waves generally near 2.0 meters and up to 2.5 meters are possible in open waters east of T&T on Wednesday into Thursday.
— Gusty winds in excess of 65 KM/H possible. Winds of this strength will produce wind damage, including downed trees, utility poles and roof damage. Localized power outages  are possible.

As I've been hinting in the past - there is a sustained  tropical cyclonic threat to the Southern windwards which may materialize with this system. Keep vigilant and safe. Some inclement weather ahead of this system is expected from a tropical wave and the ITCZ...

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- A Hampered & Postponed Analysis -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 13 Oct 2019 09:50:23 -0400
T&T, WI.
2019-10-13th.
Sun. 09:35 am.

Dear People of Paradise,

I can't wait for The Year 2020, ... !

While I, (the collective We/I), are grateful
that I/We have come this far. There is still
So much more needs to be done and revisited?

Weatherwise:
I had to wait one more day for this post.
As the situation unfolding was not certain yesterday.

In 36 hrs. 
There is a trough, that is more like a tropical Wave.

In 72 hrs.
There is a Wave that is more like an LPS.

Both going to affect the already affected southern Windwards.

Once more I am Grateful, and Give "Thanks!".

Things could not have worked out better !

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image

GIF image

JPEG image


- Advisory...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 11 Oct 2019 05:51:20 -0400
The following insights from the TT weather center are very instructive. I should think this forecast still holds true as cited below.
Continued precaution is advised...

Through Friday, an additional 1 to 2.5 inches (25 to 62.5 millimeters) are possible across Trinidad and Tobago with heavier totals across Northern and Western halves of Trinidad. 

There is an elevated threat of street flooding and flash flooding by the late week period. There is the low chance of riverine flooding.
— Seas will remain moderate, with waves between 1.5 meters and 2.0 meters are possible in open waters and choppy in sheltered areas. Swells are forecast to persist through today.
—& Gusty winds in excess of 55 KM/H possible, particularly on Tuesday. Winds of this strength will produce wind damage including downed trees, utility poles and possible roof damage. Localized power outages possible.
— Landslides possible in elevated areas...



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Worst of the ITCZ...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 10 Oct 2019 15:28:55 -0400
The region of the North Western Peninsular of Trinidad, & parts of North & Central Trinidad have been under the relentless assault of the ITCZ, and what appears to be an associated trough system of low pressure from since late morning. Gale type conditions have resulted in some areas, and thundershowers have approached the intensities seen during tropical storm Karen. Within the last hour we witnessed what was probably one of the most intense thunderstorms to have hit the St. James/ Woodbrook area in as many years... This is a very active weather situation.

Of course, All the usual hazards typically associated with adverse weather have been occurring. The power has also dipped somewhat. The ITCZ appears to have been somewhat energized by semi- baroclinic forces from a nearby tropical low near the Panama area as well.

Meanwhile a lot of the highways and roadways are understandably chaotic and flood affected as persons try to head home given the impacts sustained... Nonetheless, motorists are urged to stay off the roads if possible given the situation in some areas, and should seek shelter until flooding has subsided, or conditions have improved far better than they are at present.

So far several areas in & around Port of Spain have flooded and many roadways in the city's environs are experiencing prolonged street flooding and flash flood occurrences at this time. The TT Weather center listed the following areas as flooded below, however, as rains persist some areas which were receeding may have experienced some renewed flooding.

List of Flooded areas- (Not an exhaustive list, and not updated since 1:40p.m.):

  • The Southbound lane of the Uriah Butler Highway in the vicinity of Monroe Road and Bejucal Road
  • The Uriah Butler Highway in the vicinity of Arthur Lok Jack
  • The Churchill Roosevelt Highway in the vicinity of Trincity and again in Tacarigua
  • Bamboo Settlement #3 in the vicinity of Grand Bazaar.
  • The University of the West Indies (nearly all surrounding roads), St. Augustine
  • The Caroni Savannah Road between the Southern Main Road and the Southern Main Road, Caroni.
  • The Southern Main Road between Fredrick Settlement and La Paille, Caroni
  • Wrightson Road (westbound lanes), Port of Spain in the vicinity of Powergen
  • Boundary Road, El Socorro and various areas of El Socorro South
  • Agostini Street, St. Augustine
  • Eastern Main Road, several areas between Mount Hope and Arouca
  • Eastern Main Road in Arouca, in the vicinity of Bon Air at River Line Bar
  • Roads surrounding Trincity, Trincity Mall and Trinicty Central Road
  • Monroe Road, Central Trinidad
  • Saddle Road, Santa Cruz in Hololo
Again flooding and flash flooding is imminent or occurring in many areas of North Trinidad especially in the North Western Peninsular. All measures to protect Life and or property should be taken immediately or should have already been taken especially in those areas which are flood prone.

Thankfully, the hour of Jesus' Mercy (3p.m.) brought a gracious let-up in the weather at my location. Sadly, More rains are likely... Trinidad & Tobago remains under an adverse weather alert at this time. Keep vigilant & prepared during the balance of this wet/ hurricane season everyone.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Additional Impacts possible...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 10 Oct 2019 02:12:47 -0400

As atmospheric conditions set up in a similar fashion to Wednesday's ITCZ weather episode a repeat of inclement conditions are possible on Thursday across both islands of TnT.
Stay alert people, and Let's also keep vigilant during the balance of this hurricane season.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- ITCZ Adverse weather...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 09 Oct 2019 15:29:05 -0400
Well the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) continues to negatively affect the weather in Trinidad and Tobago. Here in the North Western Peninsular the worst of the weather so far rolled in near 1p.m., which brought moderate to heavy thundershowers across the Port of Spain area and environs. Of course, there have been the usual reports of street and flash flooding across parts of Western, southern, northern and eastern Trinidad.

However, at present the rains have let up for the most part at my location, and there's a bit of a drizzle still falling. It is expected that some thunderstorms, showers, and broad areas of rain will continue into nightfall across parts of Trinidad and Tobago. According to the TT weather center thunderstorms will continue to favor Northwestern, Western and Eastern Trinidad at this time. 
Keep safe everyone especially those in the worst affected areas of Tobago.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Impending Impacts...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 09 Oct 2019 10:22:33 -0400
While some showers are still approaching Trinidad's east coast -flash flooding has already been reported in Tobago so far. Mason Hall, Paige Gully has been negatively affected by floods, and a landslide has occurred at Broad Road, Moriah. 

It's still a wait and see as to what may happen in Trinidad over the next 24hrs. However, everyone needs to be vigilant and keep safe in TnT as the ITCZ will continue to bring some effects over the islands....

Also, as the hurricane season progresses let's continue to keep alert, hopefully there will be no more majors roaming the Atlantic like Category 5 hurricane Lorenzo which was the latest Superstorm of this 2019 Hurricane season.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Adverse weather Alert- 6a.m.
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 09 Oct 2019 00:45:18 -0400
The adverse weather alert comes into effect from 6a.m. on Wednesday as issued by the met office. And as forecasted additional showers from the ITCZ are already showing up on radar near T&T. Extra caution and vigilance is advised especially on the road ways where affected...



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- ITCZ etc. Vigilance...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 08 Oct 2019 23:32:52 -0400

Thankfully, today's inclement weather was not too impactful. Overall, the East and North East parts of Trinidad seemed to have experienced the forecasted heavy rainfall. Mainly light showers fell here in the Northwestern peninsular which brought some cool breezes which were really welcomed.

However, the ITCZ is forecast to continue affecting Trinidad and Tobago between Tuesday 8th October and Friday 11th October 2019. This will likely bring periods of showers and thunderstorms to both islands, which will most likely trigger some street and flash flooding. According to the TT Weather center it will likely be a wet week, so there is a small chance of riverine flooding including some potential for downed trees, utility poles, and lines; & possibly landslides/landslips; power outages and hazardous seas in the most affected areas. As a result a Yellow weather alert has been issued by the TT met office for the next 24-36hrs.

Over the next 24 hours rain showers, and thunderstorm activity is forecast to persist across both islands. Although heavier activity is forecast across Tobago and the Northern and Eastern halves of Trinidad. In heavy showers and thunderstorms, street/flash flooding and gusty winds in excess of 55 KM/H are possible.

Also, some of the weather models are hinting at possible stormy and potentially cyclonic impacts by the coming week for the windward islands... As always it's a wait and see situation, however let's not become complacent. Already it seems like it has been a fairly stormy start to the week in most of the windward islands with the passage of the latest tropical wave which preceded the ITCZ cloud mass. Michael's prediction appeared to be mostly on target there... Infact, winds recorded at Hewanorra Airport in St. Lucia over the last 24-36hrs measured Tropical storm force gusts to as much as 51mph and near sustained storm force winds at times! That's quite a serious wind event recorded in St. Lucia being unrelated to a named tropical system. & Grenada and Barbados airports also recorded very windy conditions. 

Stay prepared everyone, & regards to Ian.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Note to Tourists - WELCOME -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 8 Oct 2019 06:27:19 -0400
To all The Tourists of Paradise,

Belize and Central America including Mexico,
Aruba, Bonaire & Curacao, Margarita, Guyanas,
The Bahamas, Caymans, Cuba, Jamaica, Haiti, Santo Domingo,
Turks and Caicos, Puerto Rico, The Virgin Islands,
Leewards and Windwards, et al.

A Thunderstorm, Tropical Wave, Storm, is Normal.
Most times it doesn't last a full day.
It leaves the place more PRISTINE and Habitable.
Most of all, it has given us tremendous LIFE-SKILLS, . . .
This we use to Help God continue His Creations and Gifts.
WE SHARE THESE GIFTS FREELY WITH YOU, . . . !

Weatherwise:
(see attached)
also,
a map of the West Indies before 1492.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image

GIF image


- Blob in 24 Hours -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 6 Oct 2019 06:50:08 -0400
Good Day, 
People of Paradise,

There is a tropical wave with Potential going to Impact in 24 hrs.

I have been deterred from sending the amount of data I did before.

I needed a rest from high-level activity anyway.

Also Congratulating  fedawshercloh    corresponding from Trinidad
on doing a commendable and magnificent job.  

Eternal Rest be on the soul of the 'veteran' correspondent from St. Vincent.

God Bless Everyone   

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- A bit too early...?
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 03 Oct 2019 14:53:30 -0400

The discontinuation of the weather alert at 1p.m. by the met may have been a little pre-mature it seems, at least for the north western peninsular of Trinidad.

So far we have had the heaviest thunder- shower this afternoon since we began to be affected early this morning by this latest system. In fact, the most recent round of stormy weather appeared to impact areas a lot more to our west like Point Cumana/ Carenage, compared to the sort of intermittent deluge we have been having in the St. Clair- Woodbrook area. Thankfully, of course, this is not another 'Karen' however, it seems likely that some minor street and flash flooding may be occurring in the urban 'east- west' corridor. We also had a slight dip in the electricity just recently with an overhead thunderstorm... Lightning activity must be waxing near the capital.(Be safe out there)...

Again the likelihood for further inclement weather conditions by not too distant incoming systems, and additional Tropical maritime cyclonic type impact remains for the southern windwards including Trinidad and Tobago -so we do need to remain prepared and vigilant for the balance of this wet/ hurricane season. 

Nevertheless, hopefully this inclement weather will benefit the volume and holding capacity of our water reservoirs, which are still in a deficit. Unfortunately, the more glaring effects of accelerated global warming and climate change are becoming increasingly evident here with the growing threat of unpredictable weather patterns, & even "flash droughts" & extended 'heat seasons' disrupting our usual wet season patterns. These are unusual times for our planet for sure. Stay alert folks...



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Alert...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 03 Oct 2019 02:33:42 -0400

Well, we are on a wait and see in terms of full expected impacts from this system... Not terribly organized at the moment, which is a good thing of course. It remains to be seen how disruptive this active wave may get here in TnT. We are currently under a yellow alert by the met service beginning from 2am onwards to the afternoon.

So far it seems to have been pretty accurate as I was awoken by peals of thunder just earlier. & showers have been noted in the south and east of Trinidad as a band of convection spreads westward & northward.
Hopefully, when all is said and done the areas still weary of flood waters after tropical storm Karen will not be badly inundated once again.

Keep safe everybody.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Potential threats...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 01 Oct 2019 15:48:20 -0400

If the GFS and a couple other reliable models are to be trusted- it appears that Potential threats are looming for the southern windwards once more, & possibly for the Leewards from this coming weekend into next week respectively.
The latter projected system may pass through the lesser Antilles as a strong wave at the very least, or weak TD Or even possibly a tropical storm or worse...

& given the precedent of the "Lesser Antilles Rule" so far; cases in point Dorian and Karen- the real potential for cyclogenesis is indeed very possible.

Remain vigilant...

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Simply Incredulous...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 29 Sep 2019 01:52:36 -0400

This Lorenzo advisory below speaks for itself- truly shocking and unprecedented stuff... Thank God this Category 5 hurricane is headed out to sea.

Public Advisory:
Hurricane Lorenzo Advisory Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL132019
1100 PM AST Sat Sep 28 2019

...LARGE AND POWERFUL CATEGORY 5 LORENZO BECOMES THE STRONGEST
HURRICANE THIS FAR NORTH AND EAST IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 44.9W
ABOUT 1420 MI...2285 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- What a N i g h t m a r e -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 25 Sep 2019 01:40:50 -0400
- Jerry is still affecting already HIT Bermuda.

- Karen is going over the length of already hit Puerto Rico.

- Lorenzo is NOT going North !

- The Bahamas are in future Cyclogenesis.

"What is going on?"

Lord! Please have Mercy !

Virus-free. www.avg.com

- Impact at 7:00 pm
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 24 Sep 2019 19:30:27 -0400
The Centre of Circulation went
directly over Vieques, Puerto Rico 
at 7:00pm.

Any wobble to the right, St. Thomas
will get a direct hit !

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- Karen re-organizing...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 24 Sep 2019 06:54:58 -0400
With Karen now back up to Tropical storm status, & re-organising as it approaches Puerto Rico and the Virgin islands the residents there need to take every precaution, and not be complacent.
Praying and hoping that You all will not get the same type of flood damages and other wind and surge impacts & hazards which affected parts of Trinidad and Tobago.

Keep safe and Alert...



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- We are Praying -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 23 Sep 2019 18:50:41 -0400
People of Paradise,

While we are praying that Puerto Rico 
be spared any further hardship, ....

History DOES repeat itself !!!
La Cuenta de la Vida es una repetacion 
de la misma fortuna, si o no !!!

The attached image is 
EXACTLY THE SIZE AND INTENSITY as 
it was for two hours off Tobago.

I don't know what else to say, ... ?

Standing By
God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- Safe and Sound -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 23 Sep 2019 00:19:28 -0400
Glencoe, Pt. Cumana,
Diego Martin, T&T, WI.
2019-09-22nd. 11:55pm.

Dear People of Paradise,

Cleanup has Started

I am safe and sound. Tired but safe and sound.
Up to an hour ago, I got four (04) hours sleep and rest.

Cleanup operations have started and will go on 
(evacuations too) during the night. Rivers are still full 
but around half full. Rain has stopped!!!!!!! Winds, no more !
This is not normal, but all coasts including the West Coast 
have boat damage. Minor but reported.
Tobago had just under a Cat 1 Hurricane!

Tobago and Trinidad handled it well, THANK GOD, 
compared to the severity of the Impact.
Just like the earthquake, it could have turned out much worse.
Apparently Trinidad's Infrastructure (including personnel),
are made of resilient stuff, .... It is a saying in T&T; 
"We play hard, because we work hard and own our country".

At this time, forget me and think of all the sacrificing souls 
who leave their own circumstances and risk their lifes 
to help others (complete strangers) after this disaster, ....
Not everything is Money and Politics.


God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

- Karen really packed a punch!
  • By adeshcnanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 23:07:53 -0400
Karen has moved into the Caribbean sea leaving a trail of latent damage due to severe riverine flooding.
At this time people are being evacuated from low lying areas in Central Trinidad due to flooded homes.
We have witnessed widespread flash flooding and now there are reports of closure of our main highway.
All schools are closed tomorrow as clean up begins.
This tropical storm meandered along as a strong disorganised tropical wave that suddenly was upgraded.
Although located north of Tobago , its tentacles spread far and wide with such fury that all quadrants were laced with "venom"
Let this event be a reality check for all the doubters.
Mother nature is definitely the leveller in any chess match.
Prayers definitely go a long way
God bless Trinidad and Tobago!

Dr Adesh Nanan



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Greatly Improved conditions...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 22:58:30 -0400

Conditions are normalising... Over the last few hours our general Rainfall rates and intensity have let up thankfully. Nevertheless, Life threatening Flood damage resulted in Trinidad after tropical storm Karen brought substantial flooding damage first to Tobago earlier in the day (>132mm) and later to Trinidad (>75mm). In some cases in Trinidad motorists who were trapped in quickly rising flood waters had to swim for their lives to safety. However, the worst damage seemed to have been concentrated in Western and Northern/ Central areas of Trinidad. So far no major injuries or deaths have been attributed to the Storm, thank God.

Notably for the last few hours tropical storm Karen has had a bit of a sheared appearance as a result of strong northwesterly wind shear. & this actually prevented the system from strengthening right on top of us, thank God. Its bands eventually stretched out all the way to Guyana in South America, which no doubt would have triggered flash flooding there too.

We are so Grateful that this storm was Not any stronger as it could have resulted in even more extreme weather conditions over Trinidad, and much more extensive damage in both Trinidad & Tobago. Right now conditions have mostly let up right across Trinidad & Tobago with just a light drizzle occurring at times- a far cry from the deluge which was swamping the nation mere hours ago. Additional rainfall with occasional gusty winds are still forecast into tonight.

As a result of the damaging impacts from the storm earlier today a decision has been taken that Schools will be closed tomorrow, although the U.W.I campus will be opening despite some flooding there. Presently utilities are still being restored in TnT, & TnTec has promised that most outages ought to be fixed in both Trinidad and Tobago by tomorrow God's Willing. Helicopter activity commenced late in the afternoon from the North west helipad facility & likely entailed aerial surveys of flooded regions. Riverine flood alerts remain in full effect as some rivers continue to rise as flood run off gets into their already swollen channels...

Tomorrow please God- the clean up and extensive mop-up of certain communities continues especially in Tobago which was worse hit. In the meantime Government officials have requested that Motorists who don't need to be on the roads- Stay off the nations highways and roads as heavy duty equipment and personnel do the necessary cleanup works post Tropical storm Karen.
Keep safe everyone.... thoughts and prayers are with those who were most affected by Karen today including those islands being threatened soon by storm conditions.




Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Squall Finished - South & West of Grenada
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 15:16:29 -0400
It is NOT All Clear Yet !
It is still raining and water is cresting the river banks.
Non-Stop rain (specially North West Trinidad)
will continue for at least two more hours.

But Tobago can breathe a sigh of Relief !
Cleanup operations can commence.
Before it gets more dark and dangerous!

Land can Slip up to 48 - 72 hours after heavy rainfall. Caution !

The pics are across the road from in front my gallery.
As you can see the tree has fallen and the tributary is cresting.
The banana trees held up well.

Grenada has not been spared as yet.

God is Goodness and Love

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Flash Flooding Imminent or Occuring...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 13:32:46 -0400
Heavy to violent rainfall rates have continued unabated along many parts of Western, Eastern, Southern and Northern Trinidad. Flash flooding is being reported in several locations and riverine flooding of streams and rivers is ongoing. The Diego Martin River among many such water courses is said to be at threshold levels. Those in areas prone to riverine inundation should seek alternative shelter NOW!!! This is a Life threatening situation unfolding. Emergency & Rescue officials may not be able to get to You soon enough.

This is not a good situation at present to say the least... Several more hours of moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast into Monday.
Praying and hoping for no loss of life during this unfolding weather emergency.

Please Keep us in thought & Prayer fellow Caribbean islanders.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- No Air Condition Required today
  • By adeshcnanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 13:18:36 -0400
It is cold outside with constant rainfall in Palmiste in San Fernando at this time.
There is no breeze and grey clouds all around.
Reports are coming in of heavy rainfall concentrated along the western side of the island leading to flash flooding.
The once calm Gulf of Paria is now littered with choppy waves as the tropical storm is pulling away from Tobago and its feeder bands are having a profound effect.
On the brighter side , let us hope that some of this rainfall makes its way to our catchment areas so that our reservoirs can be replenished.
We continue to pray

Dr Adesh Nanan



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Adverse Weather Conditions...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 13:04:49 -0400
As was forecast, and is now playing out- the centre of Karen has moved more West and somewhat south in relation to Trinidad. The latter was shown by the early model runs of the GFS. As a result right now the more intense feeder bands of rain have hit the Western coastal areas of Trinidad and beyond. Winds have picked up in our area, but are stronger directly along the western coast. Winds right along the coast are near or over 30mph, which is probably being experiened right now in areas like Diego Martin by Ian.

It is pretty squally & a lot more gusty in those areas. However, all utilities are holding fine so far in the Port of Spain area which is great as there are only occasional gusts so things are sort of manageable so far. There has been only one flick in the current so far. TnTec is holding the power so far, which is Great news.

However, Tobago has been hit the worst so far by Karen. The pictures & videos of severe flash flooding and riverine flooding on social media are all from Tobago. Trinidad has only recently started to get prolonged heavy rainfall, which will lead to some flash flooding and riverine flooding inevitably, but things are still prettt manageable in most areas. Of course, Street flooding is already ongoing in many areas that I'm aware of and with this type of heavy rainfall ongoing flash flooding will follow.

On a positive note though; the Republic of Trinidad & Tobago was well prepared for this severe weather event by the met office and officials, and at risk areas were sufficiently warned of this impending adverse weather system. Most persons stocked up, and many persons sought out shelters and or sand-bagged their homes in advance.

I'll update later as things progress... Tropical Storm Karen is turning out to be mean enough so far. Hoping and praying for the best. This will be a prolonged impact event.




Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- G e e ! - I pray ! -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 11:41:35 -0400
For an early report, Dr. Adesh Nanan
has summed it up nicely. I can only quantify
and put figures to what he said.

First (1st) and Most Important of All:
Tobago ?should? in earnest begin mop-up
operations in 1 1/2 - 4 hours time.

Trinidad is not that lucky! It has been moist and grey 
like Dr. Nanan said since 12:30 am. and it's 
not going to stop before 4:00 pm. Yes it has dipped south. 
But I waited before writing and I can't see the 
Centre of Circulation crossing the North Coast 
and coming inland (over Noth-West Trinidad).

Grenada; no matter what happens, Grenada should 
take this Very Seriously and go indoors.
It's gonna be a long night !!
The Circulation has broadened, ... !!!!!

As I am finished typing,
Wind (over 35mph.) has started in Diego Martin.
It is raining sideways in gusts, ... !!

We are Not alone !
Be Brave

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- Grey Fast Moving Clouds Overhead
  • By Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 11:07:11 -0400
Rainfall at present in Palmiste in San Fernando with a  slight breeze and we just had an update from the authorities.
Satellite picture shows clouds moving to the south east bringing moderate rainfall potential.
There is a possibility of thunder showers in the northern quadrant of Trinidad.
There are reports of significant flooding in Tobago with wind damage in certain areas.
Rough seas are also wreaking havoc along the coastlines with destruction to wooden jetties and damaged boats.
At this time Trinidad has been spared the brunt of Karen with only sporadic rainfall and a few wind gusts with no damage reported.
We continue to pray

Dr Adesh Nanan

- EERIE CALM OVER THE ISLAND OF TRINIDAD
  • By adeshcnanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 08:00:46 -0400
There is a slight drizzle at this time, no breeze and grey clouds overhead in Palmiste , San Fernando.
There are reports of lines at the gas stations ad the reality of an impending storm sinks in.
Last night we had a strong tropical wave approaching and this morning there is Tropical storm Karen on our doorstep.
The unpredictable nature of the weather can be fascinating and scary.
This time there was ample warning over the weekend and preparedness just in case.
Still we need to pray!

Dr Adesh Nansn



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Karen's Presence...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 06:47:29 -0400
As dawn has arrived the sure signs of a tropical weather system are evident- not only the inclement weather, but the very unusual movement of over head moisture-laden clouds from West to east. This is not something that's seen too often especially in the more Southern islands.

As the center moves past Tobago more intense bands are likely to affect Trinidad.
It's a wait and see situation Re: Trinidad as we watch and pray. Keeping Tobago especially in mind at this time as well.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Winds and Warnings...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 06:22:14 -0400
More watches are about to be issued for the Lesser Antilles islands due to recently formed tropical storm Karen. Of course, Trinidad and Tobago, and Grenada and its dependencies are under a tropical storm warning being in the direct line of fire of this system.

However, further watches for the remainder of the windward islands may be necessary apart from just St. Vincent and the Grenadines at this point...

The first advisory on the system had this to say:- "Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. Barbados recently reported a sustained wind of37 mph (59 km/h) and a gust to 45 mph (72 km/h).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:Tropical storm conditions are 
expected to first reach those
islands within the warning area 
later this morning and afternoon,
making outside preparations difficult
or dangerous."
Hopefully these winds will not become too strong in Trinidad since we are on the 'weaker' southern part of the system. However, the developing feeder bands of the system are presently affecting the South western and Easternmost part of Trinidad. Wishing the best to Tobago which will get the brunt of Karen first.

Keep alert and safe throughout this storm TnT.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- New Storm East of the TnT Republic...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 05:26:30 -0400
Not surprisingly Tropical storm Karen has formed. It's really getting its act together as organisation of the system has increased greatly over the last few hours... Fortunately, it's not a strong tropical storm as yet. As successive rain bands from the system continue to wrap around its core more rainfall of a moderate intensity for now continues to soak my area. Winds are likely to pick up a bit later as the centre nears the Trinidad and Tobago location before crossing into the Caribbean sea.
So far only St. Vincent and the Grenadines seem to have watched issued -I expect that to change soon.

Let hope that it does not strengthen too much while it's still spinning on top of our islands. TnT keep safe and stay alert.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Highly Possible RI -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 05:18:44 -0400
The Centre of Circulation
is Virtually Stationary
East of Tobago (RI).

Watches and Warnings 
have to be Expanded, . . . !!!!

The image is at 04:30 am.

Evacuate Waterways' Perimeters.

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- Gradual deterioration... definite Cyclogenesis
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 03:09:56 -0400


99L is certainly organising and intensifying based on radar imagery etc.
Within the last hour or so the weather conditions have become much more inclement in the outskirts of Port of Spain. We have had recent squalls occurring during the last hour or so, and there has definitely been a change in the wind direction. Winds are generally coming out of the North west to North north west as they attempt to wrap around the center of circulation which appears to be forming nearer Tobago. It's likely that we will have a designated tropical system by morning.
Expectedly, the chance of formation is increased now to 80%. And a more defined center of circulation is now visible at earth.nullschool.net and on Windy.com. 
Ongoing development of the system is observable at this time.

Also, lately there appears to be a slight dip in the system which is likely moving slightly south of due west. This will likely bring some of the more intense bands of convection over the Trinidad area as Tobago gets the core of the system affecting their area first. The Early Euro model ensembles and GFS runs on predicting this system were rather accurate.

However, We are most concerned about the rainfall threat here in TnT. The projected estimates while no-where near the totals received in Texas from T.S. Imelda- they will be damaging nonetheless. TnT weather center noted:-That Between 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated totals up to 8 inches (200 mm) are possible across the Southern Windwards. There is an elevated threat of street floodingflash flooding and riverine flooding Sunday into Monday.

Stay vigilant and whatever comes keep out of harm's way everyone... Let's be prudent and take all necessary actions to protect life and property. Lives Cannot be replaced.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Damage Control in The Morning after 'All Clear' -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 02:32:46 -0400
Sadly,

A Centre of Circulation formed east of Tobago after midnight.
Tobago is getting Hit Real Hard.
Landfall in Grenada is happening Now !

Tobago, "Call for  H e l p"  !

JPEG image


- Foretaste...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 02:16:16 -0400
99L/ Or what can already deservedly be called a Potential tropical cyclone (PTC) made its presence felt from early on Saturday- coupled with an energized outflow from T.S. Jerry, which produced intense thunderstorms and heavy convection over western and Northern parts of Trinidad in particular. Street and flash flooding resulted and there were incidents of some minor impacts to general low-lying infrastructure.

It appeared to have been a slight taste of things to come as the system has continued to organize all day to our East receiving a higher percentage of formation into the evening hours from the NHC. I also noted reports out of Grantley Adams International airport indicating wind gusts to Tropical storm force. We are anticipating much of the same here in Trinidad and Tobago. (TnT)
Keep safe TnT...




Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- 75 - 125 miles east of Tobago '99L'
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Sep 2019 00:44:25 -0400
Invest '99L' is 75 - 125 miles directly east of Tobago
at midnight Sunday 22nd September 2019.

Apparently Hurricane Hunters were sent out tonight.

God Bless

JPEG image

JPEG image


- '99L' is Starting -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 21 Sep 2019 22:05:50 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

'99L' has started in Dominica. (Landfall!!)

What can be called the centre of The Trough/TW
will - !! oscillate !! - between St. Lucia and Grenada!!

In 2 - 4 hours !!!!!

Trinidadians are taking things seriously as they should.

As Grenada says,
Please avoid 'hysteria'!
The Almighty and Disasters are NOTHING 
to seek FAME & FORTUNE about !

The AUTHORITIES are;
Ready, Competent, Equipped and Trained,
Do Your Part !!

Comply,
Compliment, 
Compassion,

In The Name of God ! Amen!

GIF image

PNG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Active Weather imminent...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 21 Sep 2019 01:37:20 -0400


I think the following bulletins and public advisories for 99L speak for themselves, although as mentioned at some point by our hurricane correspondents out of Dominica- the use of the potential tropical cyclone classifications and warnings do serve as the best way to sensitize and sufficiently alert populations which are most likely to be impacted by intensifying systems with imminent impact being likely.

Note (TnT weather center alert): The Southern and Central Windwards are forecast to be affected by this strong tropical wave, with most impacts across the Southern and Central Windwards. This area includes Dominica, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Grenada, and its dependencies, and Trinidad and Tobago.

As mentioned by different sites and weather competencies, regardless of development, this system will be a heavy rainfall threat above all else...

All models, the EMCWF (European), GFS (US), UKMET (UK), ICON (German), ARPEGE (French) and CMC (Canadian) bring heavy rainfall and winds between 40-55 KM/H and gusts in excess of 65 KM/H to Trinidad, Tobago and to the remainder of the Southern Windwards, particularly on Sunday into Monday. Initial Impacts are possible from early Sunday morning.

As a result the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service has issued the Adverse Weather Alert (Yellow Level) as an active tropical wave with medium chances of development nears Trinidad & Tobago and the Southern Windwards. The alert goes into effect from 6:00 AM Sunday 22nd September 2019 through 8:00 PM Monday 23rd September 2019. 

This is forecast to be a medium to high impact event, with 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 millimeters) with isolated totals up to 6 inches (150 millimeters) are possible across the Southern Windwards. There is an elevated threat of street flooding, flash flooding and riverine flooding next week. Rough seas with waves between 2.5 meters and 4.5 meters are possible in open waters east of T&T on Sunday into Monday, with battering swells along the Atlantic Coasts which could cause coastal flooding (surge). Gusty winds in excess of 65 KM/H are expected across both islands. -Be prepared everyone and let's be as proactive as possible this time... The time tested motto is worth recalling- Be prepared for the worst, but pray and hope for the best. However the bottom line is preparation...
God be with our Southern isles & the rest of the Caribbean come what may.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Standing By -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 19 Sep 2019 22:02:44 -0400
My van broke down. Never planned to work tomorrow anyway.

So I am on standby tonight and tomorrow.

Thanks to the Landlord, I started to get a nice rest today.


God is Blessing You Now

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image


- ... , here we go again, ... -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 18 Sep 2019 21:53:11 -0400
It's 9:30 pm.
Gee !

Grenada, Tobago and Trinidad are directly in 'Jerry's feeder band.
I am resting from work today (whole week, a new hustle) to get up 
early tomorrow morning before taking a rest Friday. Which means 
I don't know if it's drizzling since I came home or the river is flowing 
with drizzle in the mountain top, 150' feet above me. (Over 400' ft.)
It's dark and moist. (I don't want to say 'cold'.)

From 3rd-hand communication at 6:30pm. (social media/news media),
- There was flash flooding in Diego Martin - (complete with pics).
Another area in Trinidad also had flash flooding. (I can't recall.)
I live in the Diego Martin area.

What I know is satellite pics show heavy rain fell over most of Trinidad 
specially North-West. I was in Port of Spain, and driving was difficult.

Listening to some Jazz Fusion, to go through the syndrome
all over again. Before Morphus takes me into his arms.
(This is a joke:)
Or are we having a nightmare. And I need to wake up?

God Bless 

JPEG image


- Tracking...
  • By Fedaw Shercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 18 Sep 2019 06:51:48 -0400

Much like the rest of the Caribbean Trinidad has been absolutely baking with heat over the last few weeks with high temperatures often soaring to near 35C. It has been truly unbearable at times...
Thankfully though the heat has been broken by some wet weather of late- though of course it comes for many as a mixed Blessing in Trinidad and Tobago.

From last weekend bouts of bad weather have accompanied the badly needed rains in our TnT Republic. On Sunday day-time Convergence associated with convective build up from what appeared to be the periphery effects of Ex 96L produced heavy rains mainly along western Trinidad.

Monday's inclement weather was more widespread affecting both the North and West of the island. & atmospheric Conditions were so unstable that day-time heating resulted in intense thunderstorm build-ups which spawned a brief tornado in Cunupia. Fortunately the damage caused was not extensive.

However, yesterday's rainfall in Trinidad and Tobago was a more prolonged event & brought adverse weather conditions to both islands. Unfortunately, Tobago had the Lion's share of damaging severe weather resulting in fallen trees and utility poles, & some blocked roads due to debris and soil flows across the island. Trinidad and Tobago remain under an adverse weather alert until Wednesday afternoon. Let's hope that Wednesday's weather will not be worse than yesterday's. So far pockets of sunshine are coming through so it seems like a pretty bright start; keeping fingers crossed...

We too are also keeping an eye on newly upgraded tropical storm Jerry which is likely to directly or indirectly affect the island chain. Most likely the Leeward islands though- & its a probability that may be growing. In the last few years especially of late the storms have shown that they are highly umpredictable & rapid organisation snd intensification have been the order of the day quite sadly ('Lesser Antilles rule'). 

Also, let's not forget that "J" storms can be just as destructive and fearsome as 'I' named storms. Of course, the historically disastrous hurricane Janet (1955) comes to mind. & our eyes are still going to be kept eastward as the models are hinting at what could be the "K" or "L" named storm heading westward toward the more southern windward islands. The Tropical atlantic outlook for this morning had this interesting note from the NHC:
An area of low pressure is expected to develop this weekend to the
east of the Windward Islands. Some gradual development of this
system is possible as it moves west to west-northwestward over the
islands and across the eastern Caribbean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
If what happened with Imelda is anything to go by I think Michael is right in his post from Dominica that we need to be extra vigilant with these systems... Hoping that we will not have any Rapid intensification or Rapid organisation for that matter to deal with.
Keep alert and remain as prepared as possible.

- Don't Give Up ! -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 18 Sep 2019 06:35:19 -0400
When The Going 

Gets Tough.

The Tough 

Gets Going, . . . !

Ne Quittez Pas !
No Desistan Nunca !
Don't Ever Give Up !

God Bless

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Anything Can Happen -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 13 Sep 2019 04:02:23 -0400
Beautiful ForeDay Morning,
People of Paradise,

It is now 03:55 am. and I was supposed 
to make an early run leaving 03:45am.
However;

'When there is no Sahara Dust, Anything Can Happen!'

So I attach a few 'Real' Images, ... 

Make of them what you will?
(In the absence of data from a now-paying website.)

God Bless The Bahamas

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- 94L
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 9 Sep 2019 02:40:59 -0400
T&T, WI. 2019-09-09th. Mon.

To all People of Paradise,

Quote:

There is incomparable sadness.
When You are Helpless to Help!

While Silence is The Language of The Wise.
'Apathy & Denial' is a Catalyst for Fools.

[ref: Ian M. Borde] 

I am sixty-one years old and have been through a lot.
But, I have never given up, except once at University.

Because I intend to die with my boots on. I am still alive.
All my work including stormcarib.com keeps me alive.
I am bone-tired and financially bankrupt.
But this among many, many other, inspired works keep me alive.
I ask, that you too pray, by not giving up as well.

Images attached are for 94L.
My take is a Guadeloupe/Dominica landfall.

SideNote:
I will have to pay the website that fed me information.
So now my posts will have have less information.
Until 2020 when that situation is resolved.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

GIF image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- "Supernatural Rest and Relief, be given to The Victims in Bahamas, Dear Lord!"
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 4 Sep 2019 06:55:08 -0400
Trinidad and Tobago, WI.
2019-09-04th Wednesday

Prayers for the people of The Bahamas!  
[Quote: Dr. Jeff Masters]

Imagine what it would be like to endure a 14-hour period of Cat 5 winds
accompanied by flying debris, the insane shriek of the wind, 
a 20-foot storm surge and 20+ inches of rain.  

The people that lived through it are going to need substantial 
mental health services to address their PTSD issues, 
not to mention a massive disaster relief response.  

For a total of 36 hours, ending near 9 am EDT this morning, Dorian pummeled Grand Bahama Island while at major hurricane strength, with winds of 115 – 185 mph. During the first 14 hours of that period, Dorian was essentially stationary while at Category 5 strength. Damage on Grand Bahama and Great Abaco Island is going to be some of the most extreme ever seen from a hurricane--similar to what a 20-mile wide EF3 or EF4 tornado would do. Imagine what it would be like to endure a 14-hour period of Cat 5 winds accompanied by flying debris, the insane shriek of the wind, a 20-foot storm surge and 20+ inches of rain. The people that lived through it are going to need substantial mental health services to address their PTSD issues, not to mention a massive disaster relief response. Prayers for the people of The Bahamas!  

[The following is me, Ian M. Borde]

1) T'dad can expect sustaining rainy conditions beginning today.

2) Most models consensus landfall the night of Thursday / 
Friday morning in southeast USA.
The biggest threat is storm surge. So "Yes!",
You have to consider evacuating.

3) Relief Efforts and Mitigation:
"People we need to get Real!" - 'Help is Help'
(Given in The Right Spirit), 'Help is Help'.
- Don't Make it Worse -
Do NOT,
Complain,
Criticize, ...
... , Instead Comply and Compliment, ... !

God Bless, because it's not over.


JPEG image

JPEG image

PNG image


- St. Croix and Isabel -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 29 Aug 2019 02:24:54 -0400
Nice Posts, Isabel.
I was worried for You.

Let's hope and PRAY
the planes and boats (restricted in part)
have safe passage tomorrow.

One Has To Be Aware;
Things may appear normal in the morning.
But when the mainland has a cold.
Everybody sneezes.
THE SEASON IS NOT OVER !

Standing By
GOD Please Bless ! 
Amen

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Update
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 28 Aug 2019 19:51:47 -0400
Jane,

(As Dave and Gert say:)
"It just takes one".

Among all the stories of Christ as The Good Shepherd.
Most people argue it's insane to go after one sheep 
and leave ninety-nine.

That is,
Until you are that one.

God Bless and try to get some sleep/rest.

Virus-free. www.avg.com

- From Ian Borde, t'dad & T'bgo, standingby, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 28 Aug 2019 19:08:18 -0400
Jane as long as you are able and willing 
I will be on standby whole night 
(specially for you and those you help).

Or maybe just someone to keep your family company
with a world of experience in rescue.

Peace
Love

Ian (retired RC51)

Or anyone else who is able and willing to communicate.

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- BARBADOS IMPACT NOW FINISHING -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 27 Aug 2019 04:07:32 -0400
The main part of a 'normal' Tropical Storm
PASSED NORTH OF BARBADOS
since just before 7:00pm and is now finishing, ... !

God is Good !

I am Hoping and PRAYING (at 03:00am.) that a similar pattern, ...
... , evolves for St. Lucia, who have picked up the baton.
While,
"God is Good!" and Not to disrespect Him.
The 'woobling' of the 'Fighter' is SCIENTIFICALLY
giving way to Intensification LATER.

People of Paradise,
"This is the original track, intensity and time of 
The NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTRE at 40 West Longitude!"

Quote:
"Give Jack his jacket".

GOD is Good 

*3rd image borrowed from Puerto Rico

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Stay Calm - Don't make it worse -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 26 Aug 2019 19:02:54 -0400
Stay Calm

Go Indoors

Listen to the authorities

Buckle Down

Just breathing in and out is sufficient !

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Anytime NOW, (Outer Band) Landfall -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 26 Aug 2019 04:34:02 -0400
People of Paradise,

"We are in this TOGETHER".

Quote:
You can't throw water in a sinking ship on the other side of the boat.

We Need LEVEL-HEADS !

Facts:
Effects of 'Dorian' are 200 - 250 miles wide 
(ie. winds greater than 25 mph. sustained!)
Meaning, from Tobago to Antigua and Barbuda
will be feeling the effects momentarily.

Seas: 
Nobody, I mean nobody in the Caribbean needs to be told 
about the sea during a hurricane.
E V A C U A T E ,  . . . . !!!!

Precipitation:
(Because of the SAL the size is a small hurricane).
Above 2" inches, once again from Tobago to Antigua and Barbuda.
and, 
Direct Impact (eg. Barbados) 4"- 8" inches.

The Bad, Bad, News is, (copying from reliable sources):

Wobbling and Slowing Down, in other words,
RAPID INTENSIFICATION is a Possibility !

Stay Calm and Ask for H E L P ?????

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Likely Intensification...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 25 Aug 2019 14:24:18 -0400
Dorian is getting its act together... Also, this snippet from the TnT Weather center is very enlightening: "confidence is increasing that Trinidad, Tobago, and Grenada *may* be affected by outer bands of this system, but not sustained tropical-storm-force winds"...

One thing seems sure- Dorian looks like it's certainly intensifying at this point. & CDO (central dense overcast) seems really evident. This is part of the difficulty with forecasting small storms. The 5p.m. update should be quite informative.

Unfortunately, it may not be surprising to see a track & intensity for Dorian similar to that of Hurricane Emily in 2005 or even Tomas in 2010. The 'Lesser Antilles rule' seems to have definitely kicked in at this time. Interestingly though TnT was affected by both of the above systems. So at this point all of the southern isles should be on alert. And Dorian's wind field may also be wider than suggested. In fact, we are already receiving a stiff North to North North East breeze in the environs of Woodbrook, Port of Spain. 

Satellite images seem to show the outer banding of the system extending to the Guyana region. Let's all be prepared & pray & trust that our region and especially the southern Caribbean is spared the worst.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Defiant Dorian...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 25 Aug 2019 02:56:03 -0400
With the system less than 48hrs from impact I think the following excerpt from a recent NHC advisory is a bit sobering:-
DORIAN MOVING STEADILY WESTWARD...
...WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES ON SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.9N 50.4W
It's current latitude is still troubling for the more southern islands like ourselves in TnT...
Hopefully, it will take that forecasted jog to the north, however, a more northerly course will be detrimental to our neighbouring windward islands north of us. However, given the likes of tropical storm Don's (2017) defiant westerly movement prior to its dissipation, and that of tropical storm Kirk in 2018, as well as the infamous Hurricane Ivan track back in 2004; developing systems such as Dorian cannot be watched too closely as they approach the island chain. 

& the potential for further intensification is there as noted by Michael's reference out of Dominica to the 'Lesser Antilles rule.' Of course, the weaker Dorian remains the greater its chances of heading in a more westerly direction. Perhaps its center could end up going over the St. Lucia/ St. Vincent area given some of the latest predictions from the weather models. In Time we shall see what happens...

No matter what, don't be complacent- Be prepared as Always this hurricane season.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Tuesday Preparations, will be TOO LATE !!!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 24 Aug 2019 21:10:28 -0400
GOD Bless ,  . . . 

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Heads- up...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 24 Aug 2019 04:19:54 -0400

99L may in fact be the first serious tropical threat to the Lesser Antilles for the 2019 hurricane season.
We'll have to see what happens as it draws nearer, however at it's current latitude we in Trinidad and Tobago may still need to remain vigilant for possible impacts from this approaching tropical system. Of course, now is a good time to review our hurricane preparedness tips in the islands.

Let's be as prepared as possible- come what may, & May God Bless our islands.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Next One -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Aug 2019 15:48:36 -0400
Glencoe, 
Pt. Cumana
Diego Martin
2019-08-18th. Sun.
03:35 pm.

Folks,

Whether NHC is correct.
Whether your weatherman is correct.
Whether you have a financial interest or not.
You need to do your own research 
on atmosphere conditions and preparedness and mitigation.
The next one is not even a designated Blob,
with waves 6' - 8' feet. That tells you a lot.

The attached photos were taken at 11:00am.,
12:30 pm. and 3:00 pm. in that order.

Otherwise,
We are glad for the rain.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- St. Vincent Hazard -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 17 Aug 2019 20:44:24 -0400
Glencoe, Pt. Cumana,
T'dad & T'bgo, WI.
Sat. 17th. Aug.
8:30pm.

Hi, all Stormcarib People of Paradise,

Please note the graphic. It was taken at 8:00pm.
During the night will get worse.

If Dave and Gert will allow me?
This is a greater threat to St. Vincent 
than the one labelled as 20% in five days.
Ask Barbados?

Furthermore,
"It's the rainfall that's more dangerous than wind".

Small craft, bathers and squatters near water-flow 
should be alerted to avoid normal activity, . . . !!!!
Ask for Help !

Standing By
God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Severe weather...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 16 Aug 2019 12:52:56 -0400
Unfortunately, pretty bad weather prevailed yesterday across most of Trinidad. However, it was much worse in parts of central & south Trinidad where a few severe thunderstorms produced winds in excess of 65kmh which tore off roofs, downed trees and power lines, and cut off power temporarily to some of the same communities which were affected by the passage of the tail of 96L several days ago. This has really been a very untimely double whammy for these south & central communities.

The respective regional corporations have been activated and are assisting affected families especially in the communities of 
Pic­ton, Pe­nal, Debe, San Francique and Bar­rack­pore. We're all hoping that these unexpected storms associated with the adverse weather conditions from the passage of recent tropical waves are not an omen of anything worse to come.

Keep safe & Take good care this season everyone.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- stay Calm while Proactively Preparing, . . . !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 14 Aug 2019 06:05:04 -0400
Very Good Day,
People of Paradise,

All the Indicators are there.
And,
Nobody contests, Global Warming or Climate Change anymore.
"We have gone on from Tsunamis, Earthquakes and Storms.
And now are sorting trash and planting trees to finding a next planet".
We don't have time to blame or deny anyone.

Survival Preparedness is The K E Y !

Weatherwise: (from today):
Waves: 6' - 7' (Normal)
Winds: 15 - 20 mph. (relatively normal but gusting, ...)
Precipitation: Rain for two days and a half. (ie. over one inch.)

SAL is predominating the Atlantic atmosphere. (for now).

Prepare in Advance,
God's Richest Blessings

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Stay Calm & Ask for H e l p ! -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 04:04:38 -0400
Glencoe, Pt. Cumana, T&T, WI.
It's 03:50 am. (local time/eastern Caribbean)
Good Night !

Stay Calm !
If you ask for Help, and you may have to?
There are a lot, a lot, a lot of people willing and able.

Countries most affected so far:
Haiti, Antigua, Martinique, Guadeloupe, St. Lucia, Trinidad.

Precipitable Water Imagery says severe weather will continue
for a maximum of two and a half hours, from 03:45 am.

Except for Haiti (different system). It will continue in Turks & Caicos.

Just ask, . . .


JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Update on 2nd TW/(pos'lb. LPS) -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 00:20:32 -0400
I am glad to see how many Faithful correspondents
help the authorities and other people of Paradise
to prepare, plan, pray and procure, property and people
during 'Hazardous' conditions.

Remain Calm, Safe and Sound.

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Fwd: Favour & Gratitude...
  • By Gert van Dijken <gert at vandijken.com>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Aug 2019 14:38:03 -0700
Delayed message from fedawshercloh.  Originally sent: Mon, Aug 5, 11:21 PM PDT
--
Gert van Dijken
Caribbean Hurricane Network
https://stormcarib.com


---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Aug 6, 2019 at 12:18 PM
Subject: Favour & Gratitude...


Fortunately, for those who heeded the adverse weather alert which was issued from Sunday night- there was a bit more preparation for the bad weather which has been experienced over the last 48 hrs or so... At present the adverse weather alert has been cancelled though the potential for severe weather will continue.

Thankfully there was some Divine favour experienced in my area to the west of Downtown Port of Spain, as the squalls there remained pretty light to moderate as the early Monday morning hours passed. 
However, in other parts of the island such as in the South, central and the North Coast areas the gusts were apparently much more powerful compared to my location. Some trees and branches fell in such locations bringing down power lines and the like. Also, many areas once again had some flash flooding as heavy showers and thunderstorms continued in various parts of Trinidad into Monday evening & early this morning. Spectacular lightning displays also hit parts of South Trinidad.

Hopefully, the balance of Today's weather will be much more tolerable. However, these bouts of inclement weather are a good wake up call as the heart of the hurricane season gets nearer, & of course its a sober reminder that we are not immune at our latitude in Trinidad and Tobago.

Let's remain vigilant & prepared this season.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Update;
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Aug 2019 15:06:49 -0400
Je suis en attention !

Gardez-vous votres vies et votres essentielles, . . . !!

Dieu vous benisse !

JPEG image


- Wet...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 05 Aug 2019 05:55:57 -0400
So far the rains have persisted, heavy at times, but the winds have calmed considerably -though it still coming occasionally from the South to South south West. There is also a bit of mist/ fog visible on the hills which is an uncommon sight.
Today will definitely be one for the indoors...

If You must be out- Stay safe & dry today.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Squalls & wind reversal... (Tail of 96L)
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 05 Aug 2019 04:30:35 -0400
I was awoken by rain showers and light wind gusts coming from 'the wrong direction'... It looks like some convective build up most likely connected to the fringes of 96L are affecting us from the West in the region of the Gulf of Paria and Venezuela. (Its very unusual to have showers and sustained winds coming from that direction).

Yesterday's showers which were forecast with the approach of 96L through the island chain also brought some flooding to a few of the same areas affected by the tail effects of 95L last Monday. So I'm sure this morning's squalls are not all that welcome. 

Thankfully 96L was not enhanced too much in convective build up & intensity of its development & convergence. Had the usual quick intensification caused by the 'Lesser Antilles rule,' which has amply occured in the past taken place as expected - 96L would have been much worse for most of the islands with relatively very little warning time. It was a blessing that the convectively coupled Kelvin wave (cckw) feature was having a negative effect on atlantic tropical cyclone development.

However, I think the concerns of Michael in Dominica are quite valid since there will be certain systems which do not ultimately get named by the NHC for sometimes very technical reasons but, which are nevertheless capable of causing severe and adverse impacts to respective citizens. The special potential cyclone advisories definitely aid in greater public preparedness and sustained vigilance. & indeed, the NHC's rationale of under- classifying & non-designation of some Atlantic systems needs to be more closely looked at.

I hope and pray that the impacts of now downgraded 96L will be minimal enough in the islands to our north.

God's Blessings to all of our islands!


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- TouchDown !! (at 01:00 am. - Martinique)
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 5 Aug 2019 01:36:49 -0400
Dieu Vous Benisse,

Here are two pics of pre-Chantal's eye
directly crossing over the entire Martinique.

Standing By

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image

JPEG image


- 2019-08-04th. Sunday 4:30 pm.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Aug 2019 17:42:03 -0400
My post before still Pertains.

I will be on standby tonight.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- Buckle Up ! The LPS/TW is exiting The ITCZ -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 3 Aug 2019 03:41:19 -0400
Good Night and Good Day,
StormCarib People of Paradise,

Mere words cannot say what is unfolding before our eyes.
Whether looking for sympathy or Not !
I am tired, really tired. Other facts are:

[Conditions Tuesday] :
(Subject to increases, ... !!)

Waves; 8' - 10' feet (in 36 hrs.)
Winds: above 20 mph. (from Grenadines northwards, Tuesday night)
Precipitation: (too early and too wide) 1.75" - 4.0" inches

My take:
I have it off Dominica, Tuesday. (NHC also)
For some un-Godly reason, (millibars - pressure gradient)
I see Haiti in the picture.

Business interests in this should be minimized.
That way business interests will be well served afterwards.
This is a Human/Social, Global Warming Problem.

Don't just standby, Get ready,
God Bless

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Peak of the Season Approaching...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 01 Aug 2019 00:44:46 -0400
Having had a bit of the sting of the
Tail of 95L here in TnT over the start of this week impacting parts of the East-West corridor region, which were hardest hit by the brief flooding. Major roads along the corridor then were flooded or rendered near impassable at times. Namely, the Priority Bus Route, the Eastern Main Road, and the Churchill Roosevelt Highway were all at one point underwater. This was an additional 'wake up call' yet again as this year's hurricane season advances.

We are now coming to the very heart of the season during a weak El Nino year. & It will be interesting to see how the models fare out with the upcoming systems especially Re: 96L. So far the Euro has definitely been the most reliable, of course. That being said the Northern Leewards certainly need to look out for upcoming impacts early next week from a moderate to strong Tropical system and possibly even a hurricane...
Islands as far south as Martinique may need to be vigilant.

Be safe this season all, God Bless!



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Tomorrow Night, Sunday till Tuesday, Nascent Circulation, . . . !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 26 Jul 2019 19:18:18 -0400
Fellow StormCarib People of Paradise,

NHC has two TW's COVERED three hours ago.
I continued tracking the ITCZ it's embedded in for three hours ,
This may be the earliest call.
I think they are trying to exit the ITCZ, ... !!!!
Because I see LPS characteristics.
There are the usual lifesavers of SAL & Wind Shear, ...
Nobody ever knows.
Least of all, me.

Waves seven (07') feet for quite a while, (maybe till Tuesday).
Winds 15 -25 mph. (Not bad as yet!).
Precipitation It's too early to tell. But most likely over one inches 
affecting and area of over 4 islands.

Nobody knows, just monitor for yourself and forget 
bandwagonism and opportunists.

May God Bless Us

JPEG image

JPEG image

JPEG image


- Shower activity...
  • By Fedaw Shercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2019 04:54:51 -0400
Near the capital We have been having some thunder showers with light winds, but so far the impacts seem quite manageable thank God. 
However, given the radar imagery & satellite presentation Perhaps Tobago and the North Coast of Trinidad got a bit more hammered from this latest blob of convection associated with Post 93L.
Looks like more showers are en-route as the day unfolds too... If any worse weather conditions develop I'll report a bit more later on.

Stay dry and warm today TnT.

- Timing & potential with Post 93L...
  • By Fedaw Shercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2019 01:24:30 -0400
So far we have had some intense but short-lived showers late Sunday afternoon near the Woodbrook area of Port of Spain & environs.... Apparently Heavy Showers have largely been scattered  around Trinidad & Tobago, which eventually abated by night time.

However, adverse weather conditions are in the forecast for Monday morning so it will be an 'interesting' start to the work week for all concerned. Prolonged rainfall along with some squally weather is expected. I'll report further should adverse conditions eventually materialise. Thus far the worst weather seems to have affected the southern windward islands like St. Lucia and St. Vincent etc.

Keep safe & Vigilant everyone.

- Potential Vigorous Tropical Waves...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Jul 2019 11:09:16 -0400

Well, we are getting into the heart of things. July is definitely the month to standby... While the coined term by our fellow correspondent from Dominica- the 'Lesser Antilles rule' may not be in full effect as yet, the upcoming tropical waves do bear watching. Hopefully there will be no substantial threat to any of the islands though there is already potential for some development especially for the wave in the far Eastern Atlantic. 

However, so far it continues to be mainly dry and hot with the odd shower in Trinidad. There was a solid downpour just recently this morning in the Port of Spain area. Perhaps a sign of things to come. Hopefully these drought type conditions do not break with the flooding rains of a tropical system or an active ITCZ (Inter-tropical Convergence Zone).

No matter what comes- Stay safe this season everyone...
& May God Bless our Beautiful island Nations.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Another Blob in July -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Jul 2019 05:52:15 -0400
People of Paradise,

I love how NHC puts this.
(Couldn't have done it better.)

God Bless;

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 55W from 13N southward, 
moving W at 15-20 kt. A surface trough is analyzed just east of 
this wave from 13N49W to 08N51W. Satellite imagery shows a low 
cloud swirl along the trough. Scattered moderate convection is 
seen from 08N- 12N between 50W- 57W. The wave will bring enhanced
rainfall to the Windward and southern Leeward Islands beginning 
early Friday. It will reach the central Caribbean by late Saturday
and Central America by early Monday.

JPEG image


- In Emergencies, Listen to The Authorities, NOT MEDIA -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 7 Jul 2019 07:04:35 -0400
Good People of paradise,

After 'Irma' and 'Maria' any Natural Disaster
is going to be COSTLY, if Not Deadly !
Costly: Financially, Socially & Politically !!!!!!!

After Haiti in 2010, a Peace Zone was Shattered !

The following comes from NHC, NOT ME.
It does not serve interests to highlight it !
Educate Yourselves and Do Your own Research.
"There is no easy way or shortcuts in Disasters, ... !"

NHC:
A new tropical wave will enter the E Caribbean Sea on 
Sunday, and it will move to the central part of the Caribbean 
Sea on Monday night. A second wave will enter the E Caribbean 
Sea on Monday night into Tuesday, with rainshowers and winds to 
near gale-force associated with it.


JPEG image


- Preparedness: The Most Important Thing -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 6 Jul 2019 06:17:18 -0400
Dear StormCarib, People of Paradise,

STAY CALM

Remove the Person from the Danger
Or,
Remove The Danger from The Person 

You have to be highly skilled and Equipped
to do this. It's not easy to do. In short, However:

DON'T MAKE THE SITUATION GO WORSE

This is one of four steps in Emergency Rescue.

The others are;
1) Survey the scene. Do a preliminary Examination.
2) Call for Help. Giving without shame, criticizing or complaining,
identification, location and nature of illness or injury.
3) Check ABC's. (If you are not certified this is illegal.)
Call for Help !!!!!
4) Call for Help! With trained help, render assistance.
Remove the person from the danger
Or,
Remove the danger from the person.
5) Do a Secondary Examination. (Do Not Attempt!)

Just Saying, . . .

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- Happy Independence -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 4 Jul 2019 07:23:14 -0400
There are a series of Troughs and Waves,
(the largest of the season) approaching and here already.
They also are the most Northerly so far.
(St. Vincent - Northwards, ... !!!!)

I am on standby and will post as necessary.
Remember: Input is Welcome, ... ?

God Bless America

american-flag-usa-6121.jpg

Virus-free. www.avg.com

- 12 - 36 Hrs. Insignificant TW. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Jun 2019 08:33:42 -0400
Happy School Closing,
To all People of Paradise,

All who are glad when teachers help with the kids,
now have to appreciate their own handy work.
As the 'mommy masks' come off, ....
Happy Summer !

Features of the Blob within a Blob:
Waves reaching an average of nine (09') feet.
Winds marginally but consistent during downpours of over 20 mph.
Precipitation definitely more than one inch.
Note: As Tobago is experiencing,
There will be short but heavy spurts of weather before and after.
This is called 'Localised Rainfall', (for 72 hrs.)

Please note the evidence of other correspondents that
"The air is hotter and drier than average records".

Happy Summer !

JPEG image


- T&T, more rain tonight and tomorrow -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 18 Jun 2019 19:38:37 -0400
Dear Stormcarib, People of Paradise,
specially Trinidad & Tobago,

There has easily, nationwide been
three days of rain.

My experienced guess is there will be
more Rain tonight and Tomorrow, ... !!

You don't have to be experienced or take a guess,
but there is the likelihood of flooding tomorrow.

My secondary take on the matter is,
"Why come Port of Spain unnecessarily?"

Ans. "There are enough highways and businesses elsewhere."

God Bless


Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- Things Changed -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Jun 2019 15:31:32 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

The Sahara Air layer (SAL) was over the top !!!!
So even though there is a TW over us presently and continuing.
One assumed 'normalcy' and did not post like everybody else.

The latest SAL image shows things are changing and 
The prediction Now is;
for Rain.

There are no wind or waves to talk about.

God Bless

JPEG image


- Jupiter and its moons -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Jun 2019 01:00:51 -0400
Good Night, Dear Folks!

I don't know if you  can still see it.
But between 10:23 pm and 11:24 pm. tonight,
when my overworked computer technician 
finally got the time to fix my Desktop PC,
broken since the earthquake.

Directly overhead, Jupiter was visible with its moons.
I saw three moons with and without binoculars.

Peace

JPEG image

JPEG image


- rain this weekend -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 7 Jun 2019 08:06:39 -0400
Hi, StormCarib People of Paradise,

Two (02) noteworthy News:

We are fighting bushfires in our neighbourhood for three days now.
And Boy !   Can I tell you it's scary !

The other is a TW in 36 hours;
Waves - Averaging 6' - 8' feet.
Winds - More than 20 mph.
Rain - (just marginally) above 1" inch.

If you have not prepared as yet !
God Bless You !

Virus-free. www.avg.com

GIF image

GIF image


- Trinidad and South of St. Lucia
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 1 Jun 2019 18:46:22 -0400
Good Evening,
StormCarib People of Paradise,

While not like the Leewards, Trinidad had its share 
of drought and forest fires. So much so that I missed 
monkeys leaving the deep forest and coming by the river 
in front of me. Everybody but me saw them, ....

One can't say the estimated time of arrival, as 
with all suspicion the next blob should dip into South America.
But, drawing a bottomline of preparedness, south Trinidad 
should be prepared 30% - 50% of hazardous conditions.

Nothing bad, it's just a wave, a South America Wave.

God Bless

JPEG image


- for Your Information -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 31 May 2019 06:43:16 -0400
People of Paradise,
(which includes Belize),

I most certainly did not plan it. But,
if you have been following my posts for 2019.

The attached graphic should prove
regrettably interesting.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

JPEG image


- (Entire Wind-Is.) Rain in 36 hrs. NOT HAZARDOUS -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 27 May 2019 20:19:06 -0400
Rain is coming. I am busy (and tired) so this is gonna be quick.

It's gonna affect all the islands ( in a good way ).

For two reasons if you analyse the attached graphic images,
it has the potential to be a LPS. BUT WILL NOT BE. The 1st one !!

I think it is millibars. The 16 millibar ISOMETRIC IS QUITE HIGH.
1) That means it's going to veer north.
I have been watching it and it has slowed down.
2) I don't have to tell you what that means?
[according to Dominica: The Lesser Antilles Rule]

Enjoy it, ...

GIF image

GIF image

JPEG image


- 1st Atlantic Tropical Trough
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 9 May 2019 05:43:14 -0400
Sorry Fellow stormcarib followers,

Due to Dry Air intrusion, a tropical wave, the 1st.
remains a trough about to affect the Eastern Caribbean and South America.

It's gonna surprise a lot of people because
there is no Dry Air over the Windwards.

God Bless

GIF image

JPEG image


Back to top | home | satellite | tools | pleas for help | QHWRN | guide | climatology | archive