- Updates from the Islands -

- - Trinidad & Tobago - -

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- Shower activity...
  • By Fedaw Shercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2019 04:54:51 -0400
Near the capital We have been having some thunder showers with light winds, but so far the impacts seem quite manageable thank God. 
However, given the radar imagery & satellite presentation Perhaps Tobago and the North Coast of Trinidad got a bit more hammered from this latest blob of convection associated with Post 93L.
Looks like more showers are en-route as the day unfolds too... If any worse weather conditions develop I'll report a bit more later on.

Stay dry and warm today TnT.

- Timing & potential with Post 93L...
  • By Fedaw Shercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2019 01:24:30 -0400
So far we have had some intense but short-lived showers late Sunday afternoon near the Woodbrook area of Port of Spain & environs.... Apparently Heavy Showers have largely been scattered  around Trinidad & Tobago, which eventually abated by night time.

However, adverse weather conditions are in the forecast for Monday morning so it will be an 'interesting' start to the work week for all concerned. Prolonged rainfall along with some squally weather is expected. I'll report further should adverse conditions eventually materialise. Thus far the worst weather seems to have affected the southern windward islands like St. Lucia and St. Vincent etc.

Keep safe & Vigilant everyone.

- Potential Vigorous Tropical Waves...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Jul 2019 11:09:16 -0400

Well, we are getting into the heart of things. July is definitely the month to standby... While the coined term by our fellow correspondent from Dominica- the 'Lesser Antilles rule' may not be in full effect as yet, the upcoming tropical waves do bear watching. Hopefully there will be no substantial threat to any of the islands though there is already potential for some development especially for the wave in the far Eastern Atlantic. 

However, so far it continues to be mainly dry and hot with the odd shower in Trinidad. There was a solid downpour just recently this morning in the Port of Spain area. Perhaps a sign of things to come. Hopefully these drought type conditions do not break with the flooding rains of a tropical system or an active ITCZ (Inter-tropical Convergence Zone).

No matter what comes- Stay safe this season everyone...
& May God Bless our Beautiful island Nations.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Another Blob in July -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Jul 2019 05:52:15 -0400
People of Paradise,

I love how NHC puts this.
(Couldn't have done it better.)

God Bless;

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 55W from 13N southward, 
moving W at 15-20 kt. A surface trough is analyzed just east of 
this wave from 13N49W to 08N51W. Satellite imagery shows a low 
cloud swirl along the trough. Scattered moderate convection is 
seen from 08N- 12N between 50W- 57W. The wave will bring enhanced
rainfall to the Windward and southern Leeward Islands beginning 
early Friday. It will reach the central Caribbean by late Saturday
and Central America by early Monday.

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- In Emergencies, Listen to The Authorities, NOT MEDIA -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 7 Jul 2019 07:04:35 -0400
Good People of paradise,

After 'Irma' and 'Maria' any Natural Disaster
is going to be COSTLY, if Not Deadly !
Costly: Financially, Socially & Politically !!!!!!!

After Haiti in 2010, a Peace Zone was Shattered !

The following comes from NHC, NOT ME.
It does not serve interests to highlight it !
Educate Yourselves and Do Your own Research.
"There is no easy way or shortcuts in Disasters, ... !"

NHC:
A new tropical wave will enter the E Caribbean Sea on 
Sunday, and it will move to the central part of the Caribbean 
Sea on Monday night. A second wave will enter the E Caribbean 
Sea on Monday night into Tuesday, with rainshowers and winds to 
near gale-force associated with it.


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- Preparedness: The Most Important Thing -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 6 Jul 2019 06:17:18 -0400
Dear StormCarib, People of Paradise,

STAY CALM

Remove the Person from the Danger
Or,
Remove The Danger from The Person 

You have to be highly skilled and Equipped
to do this. It's not easy to do. In short, However:

DON'T MAKE THE SITUATION GO WORSE

This is one of four steps in Emergency Rescue.

The others are;
1) Survey the scene. Do a preliminary Examination.
2) Call for Help. Giving without shame, criticizing or complaining,
identification, location and nature of illness or injury.
3) Check ABC's. (If you are not certified this is illegal.)
Call for Help !!!!!
4) Call for Help! With trained help, render assistance.
Remove the person from the danger
Or,
Remove the danger from the person.
5) Do a Secondary Examination. (Do Not Attempt!)

Just Saying, . . .

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Happy Independence -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 4 Jul 2019 07:23:14 -0400
There are a series of Troughs and Waves,
(the largest of the season) approaching and here already.
They also are the most Northerly so far.
(St. Vincent - Northwards, ... !!!!)

I am on standby and will post as necessary.
Remember: Input is Welcome, ... ?

God Bless America

american-flag-usa-6121.jpg

Virus-free. www.avg.com

- 12 - 36 Hrs. Insignificant TW. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Jun 2019 08:33:42 -0400
Happy School Closing,
To all People of Paradise,

All who are glad when teachers help with the kids,
now have to appreciate their own handy work.
As the 'mommy masks' come off, ....
Happy Summer !

Features of the Blob within a Blob:
Waves reaching an average of nine (09') feet.
Winds marginally but consistent during downpours of over 20 mph.
Precipitation definitely more than one inch.
Note: As Tobago is experiencing,
There will be short but heavy spurts of weather before and after.
This is called 'Localised Rainfall', (for 72 hrs.)

Please note the evidence of other correspondents that
"The air is hotter and drier than average records".

Happy Summer !

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- T&T, more rain tonight and tomorrow -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 18 Jun 2019 19:38:37 -0400
Dear Stormcarib, People of Paradise,
specially Trinidad & Tobago,

There has easily, nationwide been
three days of rain.

My experienced guess is there will be
more Rain tonight and Tomorrow, ... !!

You don't have to be experienced or take a guess,
but there is the likelihood of flooding tomorrow.

My secondary take on the matter is,
"Why come Port of Spain unnecessarily?"

Ans. "There are enough highways and businesses elsewhere."

God Bless


Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Things Changed -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Jun 2019 15:31:32 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

The Sahara Air layer (SAL) was over the top !!!!
So even though there is a TW over us presently and continuing.
One assumed 'normalcy' and did not post like everybody else.

The latest SAL image shows things are changing and 
The prediction Now is;
for Rain.

There are no wind or waves to talk about.

God Bless

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- Jupiter and its moons -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Jun 2019 01:00:51 -0400
Good Night, Dear Folks!

I don't know if you  can still see it.
But between 10:23 pm and 11:24 pm. tonight,
when my overworked computer technician 
finally got the time to fix my Desktop PC,
broken since the earthquake.

Directly overhead, Jupiter was visible with its moons.
I saw three moons with and without binoculars.

Peace

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- rain this weekend -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 7 Jun 2019 08:06:39 -0400
Hi, StormCarib People of Paradise,

Two (02) noteworthy News:

We are fighting bushfires in our neighbourhood for three days now.
And Boy !   Can I tell you it's scary !

The other is a TW in 36 hours;
Waves - Averaging 6' - 8' feet.
Winds - More than 20 mph.
Rain - (just marginally) above 1" inch.

If you have not prepared as yet !
God Bless You !

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Trinidad and South of St. Lucia
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 1 Jun 2019 18:46:22 -0400
Good Evening,
StormCarib People of Paradise,

While not like the Leewards, Trinidad had its share 
of drought and forest fires. So much so that I missed 
monkeys leaving the deep forest and coming by the river 
in front of me. Everybody but me saw them, ....

One can't say the estimated time of arrival, as 
with all suspicion the next blob should dip into South America.
But, drawing a bottomline of preparedness, south Trinidad 
should be prepared 30% - 50% of hazardous conditions.

Nothing bad, it's just a wave, a South America Wave.

God Bless

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- for Your Information -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 31 May 2019 06:43:16 -0400
People of Paradise,
(which includes Belize),

I most certainly did not plan it. But,
if you have been following my posts for 2019.

The attached graphic should prove
regrettably interesting.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- (Entire Wind-Is.) Rain in 36 hrs. NOT HAZARDOUS -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 27 May 2019 20:19:06 -0400
Rain is coming. I am busy (and tired) so this is gonna be quick.

It's gonna affect all the islands ( in a good way ).

For two reasons if you analyse the attached graphic images,
it has the potential to be a LPS. BUT WILL NOT BE. The 1st one !!

I think it is millibars. The 16 millibar ISOMETRIC IS QUITE HIGH.
1) That means it's going to veer north.
I have been watching it and it has slowed down.
2) I don't have to tell you what that means?
[according to Dominica: The Lesser Antilles Rule]

Enjoy it, ...

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- 1st Atlantic Tropical Trough
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 9 May 2019 05:43:14 -0400
Sorry Fellow stormcarib followers,

Due to Dry Air intrusion, a tropical wave, the 1st.
remains a trough about to affect the Eastern Caribbean and South America.

It's gonna surprise a lot of people because
there is no Dry Air over the Windwards.

God Bless

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