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- Anything Can Happen -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 13 Sep 2019 04:02:23 -0400
Beautiful ForeDay Morning,
People of Paradise,

It is now 03:55 am. and I was supposed 
to make an early run leaving 03:45am.
However;

'When there is no Sahara Dust, Anything Can Happen!'

So I attach a few 'Real' Images, ... 

Make of them what you will?
(In the absence of data from a now-paying website.)

God Bless The Bahamas

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- 94L
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 9 Sep 2019 02:40:59 -0400
T&T, WI. 2019-09-09th. Mon.

To all People of Paradise,

Quote:

There is incomparable sadness.
When You are Helpless to Help!

While Silence is The Language of The Wise.
'Apathy & Denial' is a Catalyst for Fools.

[ref: Ian M. Borde] 

I am sixty-one years old and have been through a lot.
But, I have never given up, except once at University.

Because I intend to die with my boots on. I am still alive.
All my work including stormcarib.com keeps me alive.
I am bone-tired and financially bankrupt.
But this among many, many other, inspired works keep me alive.
I ask, that you too pray, by not giving up as well.

Images attached are for 94L.
My take is a Guadeloupe/Dominica landfall.

SideNote:
I will have to pay the website that fed me information.
So now my posts will have have less information.
Until 2020 when that situation is resolved.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- "Supernatural Rest and Relief, be given to The Victims in Bahamas, Dear Lord!"
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 4 Sep 2019 06:55:08 -0400
Trinidad and Tobago, WI.
2019-09-04th Wednesday

Prayers for the people of The Bahamas!  
[Quote: Dr. Jeff Masters]

Imagine what it would be like to endure a 14-hour period of Cat 5 winds
accompanied by flying debris, the insane shriek of the wind, 
a 20-foot storm surge and 20+ inches of rain.  

The people that lived through it are going to need substantial 
mental health services to address their PTSD issues, 
not to mention a massive disaster relief response.  

For a total of 36 hours, ending near 9 am EDT this morning, Dorian pummeled Grand Bahama Island while at major hurricane strength, with winds of 115 – 185 mph. During the first 14 hours of that period, Dorian was essentially stationary while at Category 5 strength. Damage on Grand Bahama and Great Abaco Island is going to be some of the most extreme ever seen from a hurricane--similar to what a 20-mile wide EF3 or EF4 tornado would do. Imagine what it would be like to endure a 14-hour period of Cat 5 winds accompanied by flying debris, the insane shriek of the wind, a 20-foot storm surge and 20+ inches of rain. The people that lived through it are going to need substantial mental health services to address their PTSD issues, not to mention a massive disaster relief response. Prayers for the people of The Bahamas!  

[The following is me, Ian M. Borde]

1) T'dad can expect sustaining rainy conditions beginning today.

2) Most models consensus landfall the night of Thursday / 
Friday morning in southeast USA.
The biggest threat is storm surge. So "Yes!",
You have to consider evacuating.

3) Relief Efforts and Mitigation:
"People we need to get Real!" - 'Help is Help'
(Given in The Right Spirit), 'Help is Help'.
- Don't Make it Worse -
Do NOT,
Complain,
Criticize, ...
... , Instead Comply and Compliment, ... !

God Bless, because it's not over.


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- St. Croix and Isabel -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 29 Aug 2019 02:24:54 -0400
Nice Posts, Isabel.
I was worried for You.

Let's hope and PRAY
the planes and boats (restricted in part)
have safe passage tomorrow.

One Has To Be Aware;
Things may appear normal in the morning.
But when the mainland has a cold.
Everybody sneezes.
THE SEASON IS NOT OVER !

Standing By
GOD Please Bless ! 
Amen

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Update
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 28 Aug 2019 19:51:47 -0400
Jane,

(As Dave and Gert say:)
"It just takes one".

Among all the stories of Christ as The Good Shepherd.
Most people argue it's insane to go after one sheep 
and leave ninety-nine.

That is,
Until you are that one.

God Bless and try to get some sleep/rest.

Virus-free. www.avg.com

- From Ian Borde, t'dad & T'bgo, standingby, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 28 Aug 2019 19:08:18 -0400
Jane as long as you are able and willing 
I will be on standby whole night 
(specially for you and those you help).

Or maybe just someone to keep your family company
with a world of experience in rescue.

Peace
Love

Ian (retired RC51)

Or anyone else who is able and willing to communicate.

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- BARBADOS IMPACT NOW FINISHING -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 27 Aug 2019 04:07:32 -0400
The main part of a 'normal' Tropical Storm
PASSED NORTH OF BARBADOS
since just before 7:00pm and is now finishing, ... !

God is Good !

I am Hoping and PRAYING (at 03:00am.) that a similar pattern, ...
... , evolves for St. Lucia, who have picked up the baton.
While,
"God is Good!" and Not to disrespect Him.
The 'woobling' of the 'Fighter' is SCIENTIFICALLY
giving way to Intensification LATER.

People of Paradise,
"This is the original track, intensity and time of 
The NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTRE at 40 West Longitude!"

Quote:
"Give Jack his jacket".

GOD is Good 

*3rd image borrowed from Puerto Rico

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- Stay Calm - Don't make it worse -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 26 Aug 2019 19:02:54 -0400
Stay Calm

Go Indoors

Listen to the authorities

Buckle Down

Just breathing in and out is sufficient !

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- Anytime NOW, (Outer Band) Landfall -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 26 Aug 2019 04:34:02 -0400
People of Paradise,

"We are in this TOGETHER".

Quote:
You can't throw water in a sinking ship on the other side of the boat.

We Need LEVEL-HEADS !

Facts:
Effects of 'Dorian' are 200 - 250 miles wide 
(ie. winds greater than 25 mph. sustained!)
Meaning, from Tobago to Antigua and Barbuda
will be feeling the effects momentarily.

Seas: 
Nobody, I mean nobody in the Caribbean needs to be told 
about the sea during a hurricane.
E V A C U A T E ,  . . . . !!!!

Precipitation:
(Because of the SAL the size is a small hurricane).
Above 2" inches, once again from Tobago to Antigua and Barbuda.
and, 
Direct Impact (eg. Barbados) 4"- 8" inches.

The Bad, Bad, News is, (copying from reliable sources):

Wobbling and Slowing Down, in other words,
RAPID INTENSIFICATION is a Possibility !

Stay Calm and Ask for H E L P ?????

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- Likely Intensification...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 25 Aug 2019 14:24:18 -0400
Dorian is getting its act together... Also, this snippet from the TnT Weather center is very enlightening: "confidence is increasing that Trinidad, Tobago, and Grenada *may* be affected by outer bands of this system, but not sustained tropical-storm-force winds"...

One thing seems sure- Dorian looks like it's certainly intensifying at this point. & CDO (central dense overcast) seems really evident. This is part of the difficulty with forecasting small storms. The 5p.m. update should be quite informative.

Unfortunately, it may not be surprising to see a track & intensity for Dorian similar to that of Hurricane Emily in 2005 or even Tomas in 2010. The 'Lesser Antilles rule' seems to have definitely kicked in at this time. Interestingly though TnT was affected by both of the above systems. So at this point all of the southern isles should be on alert. And Dorian's wind field may also be wider than suggested. In fact, we are already receiving a stiff North to North North East breeze in the environs of Woodbrook, Port of Spain. 

Satellite images seem to show the outer banding of the system extending to the Guyana region. Let's all be prepared & pray & trust that our region and especially the southern Caribbean is spared the worst.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Defiant Dorian...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 25 Aug 2019 02:56:03 -0400
With the system less than 48hrs from impact I think the following excerpt from a recent NHC advisory is a bit sobering:-
DORIAN MOVING STEADILY WESTWARD...
...WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES ON SUNDAY...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.9N 50.4W
It's current latitude is still troubling for the more southern islands like ourselves in TnT...
Hopefully, it will take that forecasted jog to the north, however, a more northerly course will be detrimental to our neighbouring windward islands north of us. However, given the likes of tropical storm Don's (2017) defiant westerly movement prior to its dissipation, and that of tropical storm Kirk in 2018, as well as the infamous Hurricane Ivan track back in 2004; developing systems such as Dorian cannot be watched too closely as they approach the island chain. 

& the potential for further intensification is there as noted by Michael's reference out of Dominica to the 'Lesser Antilles rule.' Of course, the weaker Dorian remains the greater its chances of heading in a more westerly direction. Perhaps its center could end up going over the St. Lucia/ St. Vincent area given some of the latest predictions from the weather models. In Time we shall see what happens...

No matter what, don't be complacent- Be prepared as Always this hurricane season.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Tuesday Preparations, will be TOO LATE !!!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 24 Aug 2019 21:10:28 -0400
GOD Bless ,  . . . 

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- Heads- up...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 24 Aug 2019 04:19:54 -0400

99L may in fact be the first serious tropical threat to the Lesser Antilles for the 2019 hurricane season.
We'll have to see what happens as it draws nearer, however at it's current latitude we in Trinidad and Tobago may still need to remain vigilant for possible impacts from this approaching tropical system. Of course, now is a good time to review our hurricane preparedness tips in the islands.

Let's be as prepared as possible- come what may, & May God Bless our islands.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Next One -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Aug 2019 15:48:36 -0400
Glencoe, 
Pt. Cumana
Diego Martin
2019-08-18th. Sun.
03:35 pm.

Folks,

Whether NHC is correct.
Whether your weatherman is correct.
Whether you have a financial interest or not.
You need to do your own research 
on atmosphere conditions and preparedness and mitigation.
The next one is not even a designated Blob,
with waves 6' - 8' feet. That tells you a lot.

The attached photos were taken at 11:00am.,
12:30 pm. and 3:00 pm. in that order.

Otherwise,
We are glad for the rain.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- St. Vincent Hazard -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 17 Aug 2019 20:44:24 -0400
Glencoe, Pt. Cumana,
T'dad & T'bgo, WI.
Sat. 17th. Aug.
8:30pm.

Hi, all Stormcarib People of Paradise,

Please note the graphic. It was taken at 8:00pm.
During the night will get worse.

If Dave and Gert will allow me?
This is a greater threat to St. Vincent 
than the one labelled as 20% in five days.
Ask Barbados?

Furthermore,
"It's the rainfall that's more dangerous than wind".

Small craft, bathers and squatters near water-flow 
should be alerted to avoid normal activity, . . . !!!!
Ask for Help !

Standing By
God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Severe weather...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 16 Aug 2019 12:52:56 -0400
Unfortunately, pretty bad weather prevailed yesterday across most of Trinidad. However, it was much worse in parts of central & south Trinidad where a few severe thunderstorms produced winds in excess of 65kmh which tore off roofs, downed trees and power lines, and cut off power temporarily to some of the same communities which were affected by the passage of the tail of 96L several days ago. This has really been a very untimely double whammy for these south & central communities.

The respective regional corporations have been activated and are assisting affected families especially in the communities of 
Pic­ton, Pe­nal, Debe, San Francique and Bar­rack­pore. We're all hoping that these unexpected storms associated with the adverse weather conditions from the passage of recent tropical waves are not an omen of anything worse to come.

Keep safe & Take good care this season everyone.

Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- stay Calm while Proactively Preparing, . . . !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 14 Aug 2019 06:05:04 -0400
Very Good Day,
People of Paradise,

All the Indicators are there.
And,
Nobody contests, Global Warming or Climate Change anymore.
"We have gone on from Tsunamis, Earthquakes and Storms.
And now are sorting trash and planting trees to finding a next planet".
We don't have time to blame or deny anyone.

Survival Preparedness is The K E Y !

Weatherwise: (from today):
Waves: 6' - 7' (Normal)
Winds: 15 - 20 mph. (relatively normal but gusting, ...)
Precipitation: Rain for two days and a half. (ie. over one inch.)

SAL is predominating the Atlantic atmosphere. (for now).

Prepare in Advance,
God's Richest Blessings

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Stay Calm & Ask for H e l p ! -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 04:04:38 -0400
Glencoe, Pt. Cumana, T&T, WI.
It's 03:50 am. (local time/eastern Caribbean)
Good Night !

Stay Calm !
If you ask for Help, and you may have to?
There are a lot, a lot, a lot of people willing and able.

Countries most affected so far:
Haiti, Antigua, Martinique, Guadeloupe, St. Lucia, Trinidad.

Precipitable Water Imagery says severe weather will continue
for a maximum of two and a half hours, from 03:45 am.

Except for Haiti (different system). It will continue in Turks & Caicos.

Just ask, . . .


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- Update on 2nd TW/(pos'lb. LPS) -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 00:20:32 -0400
I am glad to see how many Faithful correspondents
help the authorities and other people of Paradise
to prepare, plan, pray and procure, property and people
during 'Hazardous' conditions.

Remain Calm, Safe and Sound.

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- Fwd: Favour & Gratitude...
  • By Gert van Dijken <gert at vandijken.com>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Aug 2019 14:38:03 -0700
Delayed message from fedawshercloh.  Originally sent: Mon, Aug 5, 11:21 PM PDT
--
Gert van Dijken
Caribbean Hurricane Network
https://stormcarib.com


---------- Forwarded message ---------
From: fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
Date: Tue, Aug 6, 2019 at 12:18 PM
Subject: Favour & Gratitude...


Fortunately, for those who heeded the adverse weather alert which was issued from Sunday night- there was a bit more preparation for the bad weather which has been experienced over the last 48 hrs or so... At present the adverse weather alert has been cancelled though the potential for severe weather will continue.

Thankfully there was some Divine favour experienced in my area to the west of Downtown Port of Spain, as the squalls there remained pretty light to moderate as the early Monday morning hours passed. 
However, in other parts of the island such as in the South, central and the North Coast areas the gusts were apparently much more powerful compared to my location. Some trees and branches fell in such locations bringing down power lines and the like. Also, many areas once again had some flash flooding as heavy showers and thunderstorms continued in various parts of Trinidad into Monday evening & early this morning. Spectacular lightning displays also hit parts of South Trinidad.

Hopefully, the balance of Today's weather will be much more tolerable. However, these bouts of inclement weather are a good wake up call as the heart of the hurricane season gets nearer, & of course its a sober reminder that we are not immune at our latitude in Trinidad and Tobago.

Let's remain vigilant & prepared this season.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Update;
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Aug 2019 15:06:49 -0400
Je suis en attention !

Gardez-vous votres vies et votres essentielles, . . . !!

Dieu vous benisse !

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- Wet...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 05 Aug 2019 05:55:57 -0400
So far the rains have persisted, heavy at times, but the winds have calmed considerably -though it still coming occasionally from the South to South south West. There is also a bit of mist/ fog visible on the hills which is an uncommon sight.
Today will definitely be one for the indoors...

If You must be out- Stay safe & dry today.



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Squalls & wind reversal... (Tail of 96L)
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 05 Aug 2019 04:30:35 -0400
I was awoken by rain showers and light wind gusts coming from 'the wrong direction'... It looks like some convective build up most likely connected to the fringes of 96L are affecting us from the West in the region of the Gulf of Paria and Venezuela. (Its very unusual to have showers and sustained winds coming from that direction).

Yesterday's showers which were forecast with the approach of 96L through the island chain also brought some flooding to a few of the same areas affected by the tail effects of 95L last Monday. So I'm sure this morning's squalls are not all that welcome. 

Thankfully 96L was not enhanced too much in convective build up & intensity of its development & convergence. Had the usual quick intensification caused by the 'Lesser Antilles rule,' which has amply occured in the past taken place as expected - 96L would have been much worse for most of the islands with relatively very little warning time. It was a blessing that the convectively coupled Kelvin wave (cckw) feature was having a negative effect on atlantic tropical cyclone development.

However, I think the concerns of Michael in Dominica are quite valid since there will be certain systems which do not ultimately get named by the NHC for sometimes very technical reasons but, which are nevertheless capable of causing severe and adverse impacts to respective citizens. The special potential cyclone advisories definitely aid in greater public preparedness and sustained vigilance. & indeed, the NHC's rationale of under- classifying & non-designation of some Atlantic systems needs to be more closely looked at.

I hope and pray that the impacts of now downgraded 96L will be minimal enough in the islands to our north.

God's Blessings to all of our islands!


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- TouchDown !! (at 01:00 am. - Martinique)
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 5 Aug 2019 01:36:49 -0400
Dieu Vous Benisse,

Here are two pics of pre-Chantal's eye
directly crossing over the entire Martinique.

Standing By

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- 2019-08-04th. Sunday 4:30 pm.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Aug 2019 17:42:03 -0400
My post before still Pertains.

I will be on standby tonight.

God Bless

Virus-free. www.avg.com

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- Buckle Up ! The LPS/TW is exiting The ITCZ -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 3 Aug 2019 03:41:19 -0400
Good Night and Good Day,
StormCarib People of Paradise,

Mere words cannot say what is unfolding before our eyes.
Whether looking for sympathy or Not !
I am tired, really tired. Other facts are:

[Conditions Tuesday] :
(Subject to increases, ... !!)

Waves; 8' - 10' feet (in 36 hrs.)
Winds: above 20 mph. (from Grenadines northwards, Tuesday night)
Precipitation: (too early and too wide) 1.75" - 4.0" inches

My take:
I have it off Dominica, Tuesday. (NHC also)
For some un-Godly reason, (millibars - pressure gradient)
I see Haiti in the picture.

Business interests in this should be minimized.
That way business interests will be well served afterwards.
This is a Human/Social, Global Warming Problem.

Don't just standby, Get ready,
God Bless

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- Peak of the Season Approaching...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 01 Aug 2019 00:44:46 -0400
Having had a bit of the sting of the
Tail of 95L here in TnT over the start of this week impacting parts of the East-West corridor region, which were hardest hit by the brief flooding. Major roads along the corridor then were flooded or rendered near impassable at times. Namely, the Priority Bus Route, the Eastern Main Road, and the Churchill Roosevelt Highway were all at one point underwater. This was an additional 'wake up call' yet again as this year's hurricane season advances.

We are now coming to the very heart of the season during a weak El Nino year. & It will be interesting to see how the models fare out with the upcoming systems especially Re: 96L. So far the Euro has definitely been the most reliable, of course. That being said the Northern Leewards certainly need to look out for upcoming impacts early next week from a moderate to strong Tropical system and possibly even a hurricane...
Islands as far south as Martinique may need to be vigilant.

Be safe this season all, God Bless!



Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Tomorrow Night, Sunday till Tuesday, Nascent Circulation, . . . !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 26 Jul 2019 19:18:18 -0400
Fellow StormCarib People of Paradise,

NHC has two TW's COVERED three hours ago.
I continued tracking the ITCZ it's embedded in for three hours ,
This may be the earliest call.
I think they are trying to exit the ITCZ, ... !!!!
Because I see LPS characteristics.
There are the usual lifesavers of SAL & Wind Shear, ...
Nobody ever knows.
Least of all, me.

Waves seven (07') feet for quite a while, (maybe till Tuesday).
Winds 15 -25 mph. (Not bad as yet!).
Precipitation It's too early to tell. But most likely over one inches 
affecting and area of over 4 islands.

Nobody knows, just monitor for yourself and forget 
bandwagonism and opportunists.

May God Bless Us

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- Shower activity...
  • By Fedaw Shercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2019 04:54:51 -0400
Near the capital We have been having some thunder showers with light winds, but so far the impacts seem quite manageable thank God. 
However, given the radar imagery & satellite presentation Perhaps Tobago and the North Coast of Trinidad got a bit more hammered from this latest blob of convection associated with Post 93L.
Looks like more showers are en-route as the day unfolds too... If any worse weather conditions develop I'll report a bit more later on.

Stay dry and warm today TnT.

- Timing & potential with Post 93L...
  • By Fedaw Shercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2019 01:24:30 -0400
So far we have had some intense but short-lived showers late Sunday afternoon near the Woodbrook area of Port of Spain & environs.... Apparently Heavy Showers have largely been scattered  around Trinidad & Tobago, which eventually abated by night time.

However, adverse weather conditions are in the forecast for Monday morning so it will be an 'interesting' start to the work week for all concerned. Prolonged rainfall along with some squally weather is expected. I'll report further should adverse conditions eventually materialise. Thus far the worst weather seems to have affected the southern windward islands like St. Lucia and St. Vincent etc.

Keep safe & Vigilant everyone.

- Potential Vigorous Tropical Waves...
  • By fedawshercloh <fedawshercloh at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Jul 2019 11:09:16 -0400

Well, we are getting into the heart of things. July is definitely the month to standby... While the coined term by our fellow correspondent from Dominica- the 'Lesser Antilles rule' may not be in full effect as yet, the upcoming tropical waves do bear watching. Hopefully there will be no substantial threat to any of the islands though there is already potential for some development especially for the wave in the far Eastern Atlantic. 

However, so far it continues to be mainly dry and hot with the odd shower in Trinidad. There was a solid downpour just recently this morning in the Port of Spain area. Perhaps a sign of things to come. Hopefully these drought type conditions do not break with the flooding rains of a tropical system or an active ITCZ (Inter-tropical Convergence Zone).

No matter what comes- Stay safe this season everyone...
& May God Bless our Beautiful island Nations.


Sent from my Samsung Galaxy smartphone.

- Another Blob in July -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Jul 2019 05:52:15 -0400
People of Paradise,

I love how NHC puts this.
(Couldn't have done it better.)

God Bless;

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 55W from 13N southward, 
moving W at 15-20 kt. A surface trough is analyzed just east of 
this wave from 13N49W to 08N51W. Satellite imagery shows a low 
cloud swirl along the trough. Scattered moderate convection is 
seen from 08N- 12N between 50W- 57W. The wave will bring enhanced
rainfall to the Windward and southern Leeward Islands beginning 
early Friday. It will reach the central Caribbean by late Saturday
and Central America by early Monday.

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- In Emergencies, Listen to The Authorities, NOT MEDIA -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 7 Jul 2019 07:04:35 -0400
Good People of paradise,

After 'Irma' and 'Maria' any Natural Disaster
is going to be COSTLY, if Not Deadly !
Costly: Financially, Socially & Politically !!!!!!!

After Haiti in 2010, a Peace Zone was Shattered !

The following comes from NHC, NOT ME.
It does not serve interests to highlight it !
Educate Yourselves and Do Your own Research.
"There is no easy way or shortcuts in Disasters, ... !"

NHC:
A new tropical wave will enter the E Caribbean Sea on 
Sunday, and it will move to the central part of the Caribbean 
Sea on Monday night. A second wave will enter the E Caribbean 
Sea on Monday night into Tuesday, with rainshowers and winds to 
near gale-force associated with it.


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- Preparedness: The Most Important Thing -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 6 Jul 2019 06:17:18 -0400
Dear StormCarib, People of Paradise,

STAY CALM

Remove the Person from the Danger
Or,
Remove The Danger from The Person 

You have to be highly skilled and Equipped
to do this. It's not easy to do. In short, However:

DON'T MAKE THE SITUATION GO WORSE

This is one of four steps in Emergency Rescue.

The others are;
1) Survey the scene. Do a preliminary Examination.
2) Call for Help. Giving without shame, criticizing or complaining,
identification, location and nature of illness or injury.
3) Check ABC's. (If you are not certified this is illegal.)
Call for Help !!!!!
4) Call for Help! With trained help, render assistance.
Remove the person from the danger
Or,
Remove the danger from the person.
5) Do a Secondary Examination. (Do Not Attempt!)

Just Saying, . . .

God Bless

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- Happy Independence -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 4 Jul 2019 07:23:14 -0400
There are a series of Troughs and Waves,
(the largest of the season) approaching and here already.
They also are the most Northerly so far.
(St. Vincent - Northwards, ... !!!!)

I am on standby and will post as necessary.
Remember: Input is Welcome, ... ?

God Bless America

american-flag-usa-6121.jpg

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- 12 - 36 Hrs. Insignificant TW. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Jun 2019 08:33:42 -0400
Happy School Closing,
To all People of Paradise,

All who are glad when teachers help with the kids,
now have to appreciate their own handy work.
As the 'mommy masks' come off, ....
Happy Summer !

Features of the Blob within a Blob:
Waves reaching an average of nine (09') feet.
Winds marginally but consistent during downpours of over 20 mph.
Precipitation definitely more than one inch.
Note: As Tobago is experiencing,
There will be short but heavy spurts of weather before and after.
This is called 'Localised Rainfall', (for 72 hrs.)

Please note the evidence of other correspondents that
"The air is hotter and drier than average records".

Happy Summer !

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- T&T, more rain tonight and tomorrow -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 18 Jun 2019 19:38:37 -0400
Dear Stormcarib, People of Paradise,
specially Trinidad & Tobago,

There has easily, nationwide been
three days of rain.

My experienced guess is there will be
more Rain tonight and Tomorrow, ... !!

You don't have to be experienced or take a guess,
but there is the likelihood of flooding tomorrow.

My secondary take on the matter is,
"Why come Port of Spain unnecessarily?"

Ans. "There are enough highways and businesses elsewhere."

God Bless


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- Things Changed -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Jun 2019 15:31:32 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

The Sahara Air layer (SAL) was over the top !!!!
So even though there is a TW over us presently and continuing.
One assumed 'normalcy' and did not post like everybody else.

The latest SAL image shows things are changing and 
The prediction Now is;
for Rain.

There are no wind or waves to talk about.

God Bless

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- Jupiter and its moons -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Jun 2019 01:00:51 -0400
Good Night, Dear Folks!

I don't know if you  can still see it.
But between 10:23 pm and 11:24 pm. tonight,
when my overworked computer technician 
finally got the time to fix my Desktop PC,
broken since the earthquake.

Directly overhead, Jupiter was visible with its moons.
I saw three moons with and without binoculars.

Peace

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- rain this weekend -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 7 Jun 2019 08:06:39 -0400
Hi, StormCarib People of Paradise,

Two (02) noteworthy News:

We are fighting bushfires in our neighbourhood for three days now.
And Boy !   Can I tell you it's scary !

The other is a TW in 36 hours;
Waves - Averaging 6' - 8' feet.
Winds - More than 20 mph.
Rain - (just marginally) above 1" inch.

If you have not prepared as yet !
God Bless You !

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- Trinidad and South of St. Lucia
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 1 Jun 2019 18:46:22 -0400
Good Evening,
StormCarib People of Paradise,

While not like the Leewards, Trinidad had its share 
of drought and forest fires. So much so that I missed 
monkeys leaving the deep forest and coming by the river 
in front of me. Everybody but me saw them, ....

One can't say the estimated time of arrival, as 
with all suspicion the next blob should dip into South America.
But, drawing a bottomline of preparedness, south Trinidad 
should be prepared 30% - 50% of hazardous conditions.

Nothing bad, it's just a wave, a South America Wave.

God Bless

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- for Your Information -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 31 May 2019 06:43:16 -0400
People of Paradise,
(which includes Belize),

I most certainly did not plan it. But,
if you have been following my posts for 2019.

The attached graphic should prove
regrettably interesting.

God Bless

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- (Entire Wind-Is.) Rain in 36 hrs. NOT HAZARDOUS -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 27 May 2019 20:19:06 -0400
Rain is coming. I am busy (and tired) so this is gonna be quick.

It's gonna affect all the islands ( in a good way ).

For two reasons if you analyse the attached graphic images,
it has the potential to be a LPS. BUT WILL NOT BE. The 1st one !!

I think it is millibars. The 16 millibar ISOMETRIC IS QUITE HIGH.
1) That means it's going to veer north.
I have been watching it and it has slowed down.
2) I don't have to tell you what that means?
[according to Dominica: The Lesser Antilles Rule]

Enjoy it, ...

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- 1st Atlantic Tropical Trough
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 9 May 2019 05:43:14 -0400
Sorry Fellow stormcarib followers,

Due to Dry Air intrusion, a tropical wave, the 1st.
remains a trough about to affect the Eastern Caribbean and South America.

It's gonna surprise a lot of people because
there is no Dry Air over the Windwards.

God Bless

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