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- Nov. 30 - Time to say Goodbye!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 30 Nov 2022 23:37:03 -0400
I want to thank all who have faithfully kept up with  Storm Carib  and my posts.
I wish you and your loved ones a healthy, happy rest of 2022, a Merry Christmas or any other celebration that is special to you, and a very Happy New Year. If all goes well I will check in from time to time from day 1 of the ‘23 hurricane season with whatever information is of concern. If there’s nothing I will not be posting. Whenever I wrote “ Greetings from your weather lady” the recipient knew what I meant. Be well, be happy, and May God bless us all.

Isabel


End of day photo:
The afterglow on Schooner Bay
One more look at the Fort and the Cay





- Nov. 29 - The Night Before Last
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 29 Nov 2022 23:35:39 -0400

The six months of hurricane season are almost up. I must say I enjoy sending in the updates, but if I’m “still kicking” next season, it will be on a limited basis. I’ve also been working on a Christmas book for several months. I’m hoping to get it out soon. We have been very blessed that we cdid not have to experience another hurricane this season. My heart goes out to those who are still picking up the pieces or drying out from much flooding. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Today’s weather and sunset

- Nov. 28 - Another Beautiful Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 29 Nov 2022 00:16:14 -0400
I was so busy that I couldn’t take any daytime photos. Our weather has been amazing, but looks like rain is coming with a cold front this week. May God bless us all.

Isabel 

End of beautiful day photos:


- Nov. 27 - All Clear!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 27 Nov 2022 23:56:56 -0400
Today was another beautiful day! 

May God bless us all!

Isabel


- 2nd “end of day” photo
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 26 Nov 2022 23:36:29 -0400

- Nov. 26 - A Gentle Departure
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 26 Nov 2022 23:33:32 -0400
Everyone should be breathing easier now with no signs of cyclone threats anywhere. Nevertheless, we know from past experience that nasty no name storms do pop up after the hurricane season causing major flooding and destruction. So, we should always keep emergency supplies on hand, replenishing them from time to time.  Be happy, stay safe, and May God bless us all.

Isabel

Today’s weather
End of day photos:


- Nov. 25 - Only Five Days !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 25 Nov 2022 23:46:11 -0400
Soon the official hurricane Season will end. It’s been terrible for some folks. They will never forget. Will the number of dead from IAN’s wrath ever be known? One thing for sure, we’re never going to see that name again. Let’s hope a December hurricane will not appear. There has been some talk about it. May God bless us all.

Isabel

At noon today.
 End of day photos.


- Thanksgiving Day 2022
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 24 Nov 2022 23:39:43 -0400
Great weather! Hope you also enjoyed your day and weather. The folks to our south keep getting flooding rains. We can expect brief passing showers each day/night. I hope that Jump Up downtown tomorrow evening will be dry. Many people tend to turn out for that event. Music, food, and stores remain open late for Christmas shoppers. Visitors will surely enjoy it. Have a good night. May God bless us all.

Isabel

A beautiful day was enjoyed by all.


- Nov. 23 - Thanksgiving Eve
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 23 Nov 2022 23:36:33 -0400
I wish you all a very Happy Thanksgiving Day with your families and friends. Now with so many ways we can chat with them face to face the distance has shortened considerably. Most Sundays and on other special days we get together through Portal which has a wide picture as opposed to the small cell phone screen. It’s great! Enjoy your day and if possible make someone’s day brighter. Sometimes it only takes a smile. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

This early morning’s face:
End of day photos:


- Nov. 22 - Almost there….
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 22 Nov 2022 23:46:53 -0400
The  Corwith Cramer - the Sea Education Association, is back !

Evening:
End of day photo:
May God bless us all,
 Isabel

- Nov. 20 - Rain Expected
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 20 Nov 2022 23:43:42 -0400
Light rain fell earlier and more is in the air. Looks like a wet Thanksgiving Day so far. Hopefully that changes. My heart goes out to all the folks in Buffalo and surrounding area. We were buried under a “ton” of snow in the mountain in Chile once and they had to dig a tunnel from the entrance of the ski lodge to the exterior, then the car had to be dug out. You can read all about it in my book Donkey Years Ago chapter Transfer to Chile. So, I can’t help feeling sorry for them. I foresee a very rough upcoming Winter. May God bless us all.

Isabel ,
 
End of another beautiful day.



- Nov. 19 - Breezy Conditions
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 19 Nov 2022 23:50:21 -0400
We are enjoying breezy conditions, which get cooler as the mainland gets colder. These breezes as known as Christmas breezes. Fortunately, it is not going to be as rainy as had been predicted. I think the strong winds aloft blowing from west to east is keeping the rain back or eliminating it altogether. This would make for a more pleasant Thanksgiving week for everyone. However, Central America continues to see lots of rain with the potential for the formation of a cyclone. For their sake I hope that will not be the case. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

Another beautiful day!

End of day photos:


- Nov. 18 - Rain in the forecast….
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 18 Nov 2022 23:48:36 -0400
As a matter of fact, a rainy week is coming up according to the weather people. Many will be out and about shopping for the Thanksgiving dinner. Feeding the homeless and the lonely will be a priority. We’ll have to walk between the drops. Be safe and remember that we are still in hurricane mode, and there is still that possibility. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

End of another beautiful day:


- Nov. 17 - The End is Near !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 17 Nov 2022 23:57:59 -0400
That sounds ominous, but we’re only talking about the end of the hurricane season! Have no fear! If anything what folks in the mainland should fear
Is the Artic cyclonic bomb that should be affecting most of the mainland next week. We could  be having rain most of the week. May God bless us all.

Isabel, 

The caterpillars at work
Clouds carry messages
End of day photo:


- Nov. 16 - Beautiful Weather
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 16 Nov 2022 23:29:34 -0400

Perfect for visitors and locals alike. We have a lot to be thankful for this hurricane season.
  
There even was a Hibiscus festival at the turtles’ domain today.
End of day photo:
Be well, be happy, and May God bless  us all!

Isabel

- Nov. 15 - LENNY 23 Years Ago!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 15 Nov 2022 23:43:19 -0400
I will always remember LENNY for two reasons. 1. I experienced that Cat 4 hurricane all by myself. Read all about it and hurricane HUGO, and MARIA in my book Donkey Years Ago; 2. My one and only grandson was born on this day while LENNY was at my door.  / I keep hearing about the probability of one or two cyclones more, before the end of the season, or even into December. I definitely hope that will not be the case.. I see a lot of rain in the forecast for Thanksgiving Week and that would be  sad because so many visitors come and family reunions take place. Let’s pray for a dry week ahead. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Early morning 
Early afternoon
End of day photos:



- Nov. 14 - Very Nice Day….
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 14 Nov 2022 23:22:18 -0400
Stormy overnight tonight according to the Weather Channel. The hurricane season is gradually coming to an end, however, the storms don’t follow  a schedule, they form as they will, so we should be prepared for whatever cones. Be safe, be happy! May God bless us all.

Isabel,





End of day photo:)


- Nov. 13 - Another Beautiful Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 13 Nov 2022 22:04:24 -0400
Hope you all enjoyed it. I am “under the weather” right now, so I could not capture the beauty of the day. However, I would like to share with you a photo of the S/V Denis Sullivan Schooner which is sailing into it’s Winter home of St. Croix, in place of the RoseWay which is going to dry dock for a couple of years for a “medical checkup and treatment”. The RoseWay Schooner has been coming to St. Croix for several years. We are getting ready to welcome the S/V Denis Sullivan Schooner in mid-December. Unfortunately, it will miss the Christmas Boat Parade in Christiansted harbor on Dec.9. Be well, be happy, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

The S/V Denis Sullivan Schooner
You can learn more about this ship on the internet. AND, you can go sailing on this beautiful schooner if you come to St. Croix after the middle of Dec.
T

- Nov. 12 - Unsettable weather soon…::-
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 12 Nov 2022 23:58:13 -0400
A tropical wave nearing our islands is forecast to bring some additional  showers. We, otherwise, have good weather in between showers. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

End of day photos:



- Nov. 11 - Watching some tropical waves
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 11 Nov 2022 23:54:31 -0400
One is far south, so no worries there. The second one could affect us in one way or another eventually. We had rain showers on and off today. The Weather 
 Channel has a higher chance  of rain for the next few days. The ground is very saturated; we do not not need more rain, hopeful it will be light. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Looks very busy at the pier.
End of day photos:


- Nov. 10 - Another tropical wave..?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 10 Nov 2022 23:54:00 -0400
Within all the information coming out of Florida about the destruction caused by Hurricane Nicole, i’m getting confusing information about a tropical wave heading to our vicinity.  Maybe tomorrow it will be clearer. But what a horrible disaster in Florida! May God bless them and us all .

Isabel

A beautiful day in St. Croix

End of day photos:


- Nov. 9 - NICOLE 8th Hurricane!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 9 Nov 2022 23:45:22 -0400
Florida is beginning to feel the approach of NICOLE. There’s flooding up and down the coast. In some parts the storm surge will be 25 ft ! I spoke to a friend in Miami earlier and they were preparing. on our side the east Caribbean should be expecting a tropical wave  in a few days. It seems that the hurricanes plan to continue after the 30th, so said a weatherman last night. May God bless the Floridians and us all.

Isabel 

End of day photos:


- Nov. - Day of the Blood Moon
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 8 Nov 2022 23:23:49 -0400
Tonight the moon was surrounded by little puffy dark clouds. TWC changed the forecast to rain beginning at 3 a.m. those little cloud puffs usually announce rain. We shall see, or not, depends on sleep. After a deluge the night before, today was very sunny.  And as the moon started to become eclipsed a cloud came along and hid it from view. Maybe some of you saw it. Floridians, be prepared, be safe! May God bless you and us all.

Isabel

The moon this morning just before the eclipse and cloud cover.
Evening clouds to the north.
End of day photo:
Tonight: the moon surrounded by little dark, puffy clouds.


- Nov.7 -Sub-Tropical Storm NICOLE !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 7 Nov 2022 23:54:09 -0400
That system which passed through us over the weekend has strengthened and is looking to arrive in Florida as a hurricane. We are still getting rain from it and some additional rain is moving up from the south. I doubt we will see the eclipse of the moon tomorrow morning. This is the busiest November ever. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Today’s weather:
End of day photos:


- Nov. 6 - Very Unstable Weather
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 6 Nov 2022 23:57:12 -0400
We had lots of sun on this Sunday, but the tropical energy has not yet exited the area and according to The Weather Channel there are thunderstorms in the forecast beginning at midnight through tomorrow. This system apparently is the culprit that is being monitored for possible cyclonic development which will be targeting Florida this time from the east side. The weatherman, Fede Felix from the DR showed a lot of waves, some of them fiery looking coming from Africa. A very busy November indeed! May God bless us all.

Isabel

Early this morning
End of day photos:


- Nov. 5 - Flash Flood Advisories!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 5 Nov 2022 19:53:32 -0400
We must have accumulated quite a few inches already! It’s been rising most of the day with just a few short pauses. There’s a lot of flooding out there. We decided to play the Fireplace video on YouTube to warm up psychologically. We contacted a friend in Puerto Rico who traveled for a few days to visit her mom and she said the weather there was “ a thing that is too brutally strong “ as translated from Spanish. And so it is. We can expect this to continue for at least 2 days more although others think more like mid-week. Be prepared and safe out there. May God bless us all.

Isabel


End of day photo:


- Nov. 5 - Very Early Saturday Morning:
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 5 Nov 2022 07:05:28 -0400
This is the weather now which promises to deteriorate more during the course of the day. Blessings,

Isabel



- Nov. 4 - Waiting For the BIG Rain!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 4 Nov 2022 18:22:38 -0400
The sky dramatically clouded over late afternoon, the air felt very cool, there were a couple of rumbles. It got windy and s few drops fell. That was it. However, I understand that the bulk is coming from tonight and for the next three days as two systems converge and drop a lot of rain. Christiansted has been dry all day, but that was not the case in Fredriksted to the west. It was pouring there. I will report back later if conditions deteriorate. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Photos of the day ( late afternoon):


- Nov. 3 - Flash Flood Watch in effect !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 3 Nov 2022 23:53:01 -0400
For the next 4 days, beginning tomorrow morning at 4 am with thunderstorms through the morning; we should start getting those rain bands, that, as reported, should drop up to a foot of rain in parts. It is to average 8-12” depending on the location. People tend to become skeptical after a time of hearing weather reports that do not materialize, however, anyone living in a flood prone area should get out now, or at least with the first rain band. Be safe, be prepared!

Isabel

Lush vegetation from all the rain we have had lately.
End of day photos:


- Nov. 2 - The Spotlight is on Us.
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 2 Nov 2022 23:50:44 -0400
 If all my weather sources are correct then we’re in for a very stormy weekend.    Plus the potential of this stornness leading to the formation of a  cyclone. I remember when Tropical Storm JEANNE formed eight over our heads. It is possible. We shall have to see if this is all actually going to happen. May God bless us all. 

Isabel 



The Ginger Thomas bushes are blooming all over the island


End of day photo:


- Nov. 1 - Weather Woes brewing for us!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Nov 2022 23:39:44 -0400
According to Meteorologist Ruben Garcia of  Puerto Rico, a big RAIN event is coming for this weekend. A large area which includes the Virgin Islands has been circled as having potential for the formation of a cyclone, at the very least a Tropical Depression. This system can bring 3 - 4 inches of flooding precipitation. Everyone is asked to be prepared especially those living in flood prone areas. The hurricane season is not over as yet. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Evening falls on another lovely day.
End of day photos:


- Oct. 31 - Tropical Storm LISA
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Nov 2022 00:07:28 -0400
It is the 15th Storm  of the Season. It is headed in the direction of Belize, but all the other countries around are on alert as the route can change. Our weather has cleared considerably, but we still have rain in the forecast. So far so good! 
May God bless us all.


Isabel


Friendlier weather today

End of day photo:


- Oct. 30 - Rainy Sun
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 31 Oct 2022 00:11:27 -0400
As predicted we got a lot of rain on and off all day. It’s quiet now but there’s more rain in the forecast for tonight and to a lesser degree tomorrow. 95 L is now officially a potential  hurricane!. It seems to be heading to Belize. I hope the folks there are prepared. May God bless them and us all.

Isabel

The double bougaInvillea is blooming every day.


- Oct. 29 - Expect 95L Rain
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 29 Oct 2022 23:44:34 -0400
If the timing is correct we should start getting the effects of 95L from 4 a.m. tomorrow morning. This information comes from various sources. It is very overcast tonight. The system is passing close to our south. Time will tell. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Happy last Sunday of October!

- Oct. 28 - Invest 95 L in the Caribbean
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Oct 2022 23:51:13 -0400
It’s going to pass fairly close to our south, so if it rains this weekend we know where it’s coming from. PR and DR expect flooding rains from this system. Eventually it will be curving down towards Central America. Wind shear and dry air might prevent it from developing into a cyclone. So hang in there. The season is almost over. May God bless us all.

Isabel


This photo was posted earlier today. We finally could see blue again. My favorite color. After that rainstorm went through us it remained very gray until this morning.

Our kitty says it’s time to relax!



- Oct. 28 - Our Weather Today!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Oct 2022 12:18:56 -0400
This is more like it.  Blessings!

Isabel



- Oct. 27- Flash Flood Watch/Warning
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Oct 2022 23:53:34 -0400
 Very gray day today:
This system which passed us yesterday with flooding rains still poses a threat.
We are keeping an eye on it. LENNY and OMAR turned back to us. Hope that does not happen again. May God bless us all.

Isabel 



- Oct. 26 - What a Stormy Day!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 26 Oct 2022 23:33:28 -0400
It poured, drizzled, and dripped all day and it plans to do the same tomorrow. We’ve had thunderstorms and rumblings. The tiny tree frogs are having a ball. They are happiest when it rains.  And after the long drought this year we are happy too. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Photos of today’s Weather Face:


- Oct. 26 - Heavy rain, gusty winds NOW
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 26 Oct 2022 13:05:10 -0400
It is a clash between a trough and a tropical wave coming from east. Will report back later. Hope the little video from my porch helps to appreciate the conditions.God bless….

Isabel

Attachment: IMG_7093.MOV
Description: QuickTime movie


- Oct. 25- Flash Flood Alerts!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 25 Oct 2022 23:40:10 -0400
We have been getting them all day, but the rain has not arrived as yet. It’s on it’s way up. The most likely scenario is towards DR and PR. Our rain chances for this hour as I write have dropped by half. The stars were shining brightly, so if anything, we’ll probably get spotty showers. The next system coming from Africa could present some problems. May God bless us all.

Isabel

This morning’s rainbow
Flowery view to the pier.
End of day photo:


- Oct. 24 - Hurricane in the Caribbean ??
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 24 Oct 2022 23:53:03 -0400
There is more and more concern that the right ingredients are coming together for the formation of possibly a Cat. 4 hurricane in our neck of the woods. Both the Greater and the Lesser Antilles have been alerted. If there is a hurricane it is not expected to happen until the first week of November. In the meanwhile, the atmosphere in the Caribbean is prepping for that storm. It will be preceded by lots of rain coming from the south. There is a high percentage chance for several days. Tomorrow, 25th, it’s 80%+. May God bless us all.   

Isabel.


The beautiful Colombian Vine is in.
End of Day photo:




- Oct. 23 - Another Beautiful Day….
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 23 Oct 2022 23:47:42 -0400
However, according to my weather sources rain should begin in earnest on Tuesday and continuing for several days. Seeing is believing in this case. I like to live one day at a time and enjoy it as much as is possible. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Early Sunday Morning Glory!!
End of day photos:


- Oct. 22 - Showery Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 23 Oct 2022 00:05:26 -0400
Showers are increasing  with each passing day but I was unable to find the exact cause. Any visitors would surely be happy that the day was not ruined. Blue skies and sunshine were always following  after a downpour. May God  bless us all.

Isabel

The flower of the territory reigns.q
 Interesting clouds at sunset.
End of day photo:


- Oct. 21 - Trouble Brewing to our East.
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Oct 2022 23:48:09 -0400
We are expecting rain from the next tropical wave which is almost here. Sometimes wind shear does not allow it to develop; in the case of this one it is mostly a rain maker. The next one is a newly named Invest because it has the potential to become a cyclone. It must be monitored by everyone in the island chain. May God bless us all.

Isabel


Beginning of day photo:

End of day photo:


- Oct. 20 -.Low Pressure System Approaching!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 20 Oct 2022 23:31:37 -0400
It’s going to be rainy for several days when it arrives. When exactly I did not hear, but there’s rain in the forecast from Sunday. This system could mean trouble elsewhere if it develops. Some 3 to 10 inches of rain will fall depending on the area. Sounds like a lot of rain to me. May God bless us all.

Isabel

End of beautiful day photos:


- Oct. 19 - So far, So good!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 19 Oct 2022 23:38:45 -0400
I heard that there could  be a Tropical Storm in the Caribbean by the end of this month. Where in the Caribbean? Maybe that will become clearer with each passing day. For now, we’re having occasional showers. Everything is green and lush. However, according to the same weatherman, this weekend promises lots of rain. We shall see…
May God bless us all.

Isabel 



The weather today

End of day photo:


- Oct. 18 - Showers & Sunshine today
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 19 Oct 2022 00:10:30 -0400
I usually sleep through heavy rain but not last night! We got at least another two like that during the day, otherwise it was sunny. From now on we should be getting these downpours as there is a lot of unstable weather around us. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Enjoying the rain!

End of day photos:


- Oct. 17- All is well
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 17 Oct 2022 23:30:08 -0400
At least in our neck of the woods, so
 we’ll have a weather in photos:


Early morning glassy, radiance

Today’s sunset

Tranquil, calm, and oh so peaceful.

Evening view towards St Thomas.


- Oct. 16 - Cold Front Approaching …
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 16 Oct 2022 23:12:55 -0400
It is coming from the mainland. But, will it reach us?  At the same time there are three tropical waves coming from Africa. It looks as if we can expect rain this week from both sides. The TWs are being monitored by the NHC. So in case of any threats we shall know immediately. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Another beautiful day!
A rainbow splashed into the sea early this morning.
End of day photos:


- Oct. 15 - Below Average Season
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 15 Oct 2022 23:59:41 -0400
That’s what I heard today from the FOX reporter.  But will it stay below average? This was suppose to be a hyperactive year. Thankfully it has not turned out that way, Hurricane IAN has made this the worst season ever for those 
 who survived it.  A man who was interviewed said that he lost family and friends. One can only imagine his pain. This season seems to be over. May God bless us all.

Isabel



- Oct. 14 - All is Quiet
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 14 Oct 2022 23:44:52 -0400
Perhaps not for the rest of season,  but at the moment it is quiet. We are tracking a tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic which will have to be very strong and resistant to survive any attempt to reach the Caribbean. We shall keep an eye on it. May God bless us all. 

Isabel

Very busy at the pier 

End of day photo:


- Oct. 13 - New Disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic! Atlantic
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Oct 2022 23:57:42 -0400
If the NHC has noticed it means that it could be significant down the road. There is a possibility according to some computers  that it can come towards us. It certainly bears watching! May God bless us all .  
 
Isabel


Orchids  for you!
End of  day photo:



- Oct. 12 - TS KARL to Mexico
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 12 Oct 2022 23:54:30 -0400
It is not expected to become a major hurricane. That’s great for the folks in Mexico. There are three TWs crossing the Atlantic . None of them are coming to us, but that can change.we have to keep an eye on them. May God bless us all.

Isabel


This morning’s rainbow

 End of day photo:


- Oct. 11 -.Tropical Storm KARL !!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 11 Oct 2022 23:51:58 -0400
The 11th storm of the season has formed on the 11th of October in the  Bay of Campeche. It’s going to dump a “ton” of rain on Mexico during the next 2-3 days. At the same time there are 3 TWs crossing the Atlantic. The good news is that the environment is not conducive for the formation of storms. One of them is close to the Lesser Antilles so if it starts getting rainy we know where it is coming from. Be always  safe and prepared!  May God bless us all.

Isabel

 Nice showers today
End of day photo:

 

- Oct. 10 - The Next Name Storm….?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 10 Oct 2022 23:57:24 -0400
There is a ? mark on the TW I mentioned yesterday. It’s on its way across the Atlantic. Hopefully it will just be a TW, we can deal with that. May God bless us all.

Isabel


End of day photos…

The moon tonight surrounded by a lacy-lookin cloud.



- Oct. 9 - Out of Africa- another TW !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 9 Oct 2022 23:18:44 -0400
That may be a tame one through the MDR, where storms form easily mid season but when it gets to the Caribbean, it can develop if the conditions are right, especially the warm sea. In the meanwhile, this evening we were surprised by thunderstorms! We can deal with that compared to what they are undergoing in all the countries south of us. The tremendous flooding is being captured on videos. And there is no end to the horror of what happened in Florida. May God bless the survivors and us all.

Isabel

Early morning face, but we did get a fair amount of sunshine!

End of day photo:


- Oct. 8 - Cat. 1 Hurricane JULIA f!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 8 Oct 2022 23:56:18 -0400
It is battering the Central American coastlines with an EyE on Nicaragua. Everyone in the surrounding is feeling it in one way for another. The good news for us is that there nothing imminent threatening at the moment. We just have to keep in mind that the season is still open for business. Be safe! Be prepared!


Isabel 

Early morning
End of day photos:


- Oct. 7 - Tropical Storm Julia !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 7 Oct 2022 23:40:12 -0400
It has been a slow mover and the trail behind it has been of massive floods wherever it touched, loss of personal property, and perhaps more than one life. A woman was washed away in the early stages when it was just a tropical wave. I hope the folks at landfall are prepared. Again, it’s the water that should be feared. We still have a way to go and some future waves can still be determined to get a name from the list. Be safe, be prepared!

Isabel

A very interesting rain cloud today.
End of day photo:


- Oct. 6 - PTC 13 headed to Central
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 6 Oct 2022 23:53:45 -0400
It is scraping along several coasts to our south leaving a trail of torrential rain and floods everywhere. This misery should continue for days after it has passed. I remember when hurricane FLOYD passed us close to our north it kept raining for a whole week. We still have almost two good months of hurricane season, so remain safe and prepared ! May God bless us all.

Isabel 

End of another beautiful day.




- Oct. 5 - Apocalyptic Scenes Everywhere !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 5 Oct 2022 23:52:35 -0400
The first thing I saw on YouTube this evening was a repeat scene of floods in Trinidad &Tobago caused by another loaded system ripe and ready to become    a hurricane. These scenes were prevalent in Florida and South Carolina. 91L is now a Depression, a slow moving rainmaker like IAN. It has already dumped massive amounts of rain in a short period of time causing  immense flooding. My heart goes out to all the people suffering from these effects. May God bless them and us all.

Isabel


An idyllic entrance to the lower garden and grotto:

End of day photo:


- Oct. 4 - Another Hurricane Brewing…?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 4 Oct 2022 23:07:59 -0400
It seems more and more like it. 91L was originally going to scrape by to our south; then it suddenly dropped to the south scraping by the South American countries as it aims for Central America. The “cone of uncertainty” curves down at that point. It has a high chance of forming into a cyclone while in the Caribbean. Today we got some heavy rain showers but I have no clue where from. 92L will be too far from us when it passes way below us, unless it moves up which is also a possibility. That’s why the Invests should always be monitored. May God bless us all.

Isabel 

A Showery kind of Day
From our front door to beyond
End of day photo:


- Oct. 3 - 91 L No Threat for Us
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 3 Oct 2022 23:49:55 -0400
We can breathe easy, or can we? Hurricane IAN was unpredictable. I think the weather people must have been going crazy. The last change in it’s path probably saved hundreds of lives in Tampa, when it made landfall much earlier devastating the whole area with a tsunami like surge. Our friends said that Naples was destroyed. Now the countries in Central America are bracing for impacts from 91 L which can become a cyclone. Then on the other hand it can climb back up to us. May God bless us all

Isabel,

Very lovely day
End of day photo:


- Oct. 2 - Invest 91L is Coming this Way
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 3 Oct 2022 00:02:50 -0400
So far, it looks like just rain, but there’s a chance that it can develop into a cyclone. We are all asked to monitor the system. There are varied possibilities, one of them brings it closer to us in the Lesser Antilles. May God bless us all.,

Isabel    

A beautiful day.
End of day photo: there are 3 people to the right.



- Oct. 1 - Watching an Approaching TW
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 1 Oct 2022 23:52:16 -0400
There is some confusion about this wave. It does not show up on the map. There’s only the one recognized by the NHC. That is expected to turn to the north away from any land. The one that the weathermen are buzzing about is in the middle of the Atlantic. It has a good chance of becoming a cyclone as early as the middle of next week as a Depression and the general agreement  has it moving in our direction. We have to monitor this one carefully. May God bless us all.  

Isabel 



Early morning:

End of day photo:



- Sept. 30 - Nineteen and Counting……
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 30 Sep 2022 23:35:08 -0400
That’s the number of known dead  from the most powerful hurricane to hit Florida in fifty years. Sure, there have been others similar, but still no comparison to IAN. Most of Florida was battered by IAN except for a section of Miami on the east side where a friend of mine lives. Not a drop of rain fell there. For others this will be an unforgettable nightmare and it’s not over. IAN  continues reigning havoc up the east coast a distance of 1000 miles. South Carolina was hit very hard. It’s going to be a very long recovery period. We still have two months of hurricane season to go. We were hit by thunderstorms last night and it rained torrentially for a couple of hours. Flash flood warnings were issued. May God bless us all.

Isabel

The morning after the thunderstorms.

End of day photos: Late afternoon threat  of more thunderstorms.


- Sept. 30 - The Day After the Thunderstorms
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 30 Sep 2022 03:40:02 -0700

- Sept. 29 - Flash Flood Warning!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 29 Sep 2022 21:54:15 -0400
At the moment, it is pouring!  We had a whole day of clouds threatening, but nothing  happening until now. The wind has also picked up. This area was circled as suspicious; something to watch. A wave coming from Africa could be bad news for the Lesser Antilles, that definitely is something to watch. Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel

Heavy Rain!


- Sept. 28 - The Powerful IAN !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2022 23:09:10 -0400
Scary just looking at the size of that monster storm! Some people apparently said they were used to hurricanes and did not want to evacuate. BUT,
has there ever been such a one as IAN? I hope the number of fatalities will not be too high, though one fatality is one too many. May God bless us all.

Isabel


Today’s postcards:
End of day photo:


- Sept. 27 - Hurricane IAN-one of the worst?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 27 Sep 2022 23:11:41 -0400
Will Hurricane IAN get the number one place for most destruction, floods, and fatalities? The reports sound horrible especially with so many tornados. St. Croix was leveled by HUGO, but it was a dry storm the rain came after. IAN is a wind and rainmaker, spawning tornados in addition. I am especially concerned about Tampa Bay which is below sea level. There’s nothing to keep the storm surge from flooding well inland. I have a lot of people there and no word as to whether they evacuated the area. I hope and pray that everyone will survive this. May God bless them and us all.

Isabel 

Today’s afternoon weather:

End of day photo:


- Sept. 26 - Hurricane IAN !m
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 26 Sep 2022 23:30:43 -0400
This monster of a hurricane is taking it’s time and it’s going to grow even more. I fear for my relatives and friends in Tampa. I hope they  are going to be evacuated.May God bless them and us all.

Isabel

An isolated rain cloud.
Plumbago 
End of day photo:




Plumbago

- Sept. 25 - I A N, the Terrible
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 25 Sep 2022 23:43:02 -0400
This potential Cat 3  is determined to get to Florida. The storm surge is most likely to take the sea way inland because the waves are high and powerful, and the land is low. There was a documentary about this possible scenario several years ago. The hurricane will be crawling  through Florida so that both sea and rain will create a massive situation. I hope and pray that all of my folks and friends will be in a safe place. May God bless them and us all.

Isabel

Flowers courtesy of the RAIN brought by tropical storm Fiona last weekend. 
The drought is finally over.
End of day photo:


- Sept. 24 - Tropical Storm IAN !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 24 Sep 2022 23:42:26 -0400
It has Florida on ALERT. We have many relatives and friends scattered throughout Florida. I hope and pray that everyone is taking this storm/soon -to -be -hurricane, seriously. It is aiming for a Cat 3 or 4 status! Please heed the authorities if you have to evacuate if not the storm surge will go in and the rest is history. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

Today’s postcard: Wish you were here.
End of day photos:


- Sept. 23 - Depression # 9 heading to Florida
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 23 Sep 2022 23:37:44 -0400
It will arrive the middle of next week as a major hurricane according to the National Hurricane Center, that is, a Cat 3 and above. Residents living along the coast should prepare to evacuate ahead  of the storm and the devastating surge it will cause. I hope everyone is paying attention and will heed the authorities. May God bless them and us all.

Isabel

Tranquility

End of day photo:


- Sept. 21 - VERY Active!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 22 Sep 2022 23:56:17 -0400
Keeping an eye on the next storm in the Caribbean. It looks like a major hurricane   is in the works. It should have its name by this hour. May God bless us all.

Isabel

End of day photos:


- Sept. 21 - Watch the Next One!!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 21 Sep 2022 23:44:52 -0400
We are now focused on 98L which will be the H storm, unless another one gets ahead of it. Tonight I heard it had moved up to latitude 12, we are on 17, but the fact the it moved up is alarming. If this trend continues it will be too close for comfort. It is forecast to become a Cat 4 hurricane before it gets to the GOM. It’s only now approaching the Windward  islands. Be safe everyone, be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel

Calm and Serene
End of day photo:


- Sept. 20. - Flood Watch until 8:00 p.m.
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 20 Sep 2022 05:55:47 -0500

- Sept 19 - FIONA’s amazing Clouds!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Sep 2022 22:50:49 -0500


- Sept. 19 - Hurricane FIONA’s Amazing Clouds!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Sep 2022 22:47:38 -0500
All day long we’ve been having a display of storm clouds as a result of the backlash. Some of them were rumbling. More like grumbling. So our dog growled back. The next wave is going to pass to mage south and is forecast to head to the western Caribbean. We have to keep an eye on this one.
 
Isabel



- Sept. 19 - The Vestiges of Hurricane FIONA
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Sep 2022 16:05:41 -0500

- Sept. 18 - It’s QUIET….
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Sep 2022 22:28:02 -0500

After the last heavy rain late this afternoon, it has been quiet; nevertheless, there high percentages of rain in the forecast. Our hearts go out to those who are suffering the ravages of
Hurricane FIONA. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

Taken from the gazebo in the lower garden when my husband was caught by the last heavy downpour of the day.

- Sept. 17 - It’s NOT Over!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Sep 2022 18:11:57 -0400
We had a short QUIET pause, followed by heavy rain. We expect this to continue through tomorrow with the high chance of rain in the forecast. The folks in flood prone areas have to be especially careful. We live on a hill and when we drove to church we avoided low lying areas during the short ride. May God bless us all.

Isabel 

RAIN !


- Sept. 18 - It’s Finally QUIET!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Sep 2022 14:42:49 -0500
BUT, is it over..? We shall see. However, “all schools in the USVI are closed on Monday 19th” was the word issued by the government a few minutes ago. Will check back later. FIONA did not keep us from going to church this morning. May God bless us all.

Isabel


- Sept. 17- this photo belonged to the previous update
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 17 Sep 2022 15:44:09 -0500

- Sept. 17 - A Drippy/Windy day so far ..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 17 Sep 2022 15:41:02 -0500
BUT the worst is still to come! I heard from  Brian Shields, the Weatherman, that Guadeloupe got 17” of rain, 1 death reported, roads washed away but even though this is not a Hurricane MARIA it does have RAIN which in some cases can drop 20” if caught in one of those heavy rain bands. As I write the rain is becoming more consistent. Will report back later if we have internet. May God bless us all.

Isabel






- Sept. 16 - Tropical Storm FIONA Approaching..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 16 Sep 2022 23:25:27 -0400
The storm is fluctuating from weakness to strength. She threatens to become a hurricane I’ve with all; the question is when will that happen? We have been getting windier conditions and sporadic showers, nothing intense as yet. We were advised to stay indoors beginning tomorrow noon as that is when FIONA will arrive with all her fury. I plan to go out early and get back as soon as possible. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

Face of the day:


- Sept. 15 - Tropical Storm Watch in Effect
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 15 Sep 2022 23:32:56 -0400
So far it has only rained in fits and starts, however, when it becomes consistent it will be serious. We can expect  a major rain event ! I guess that means RAIN as we have never seen before. FIONA has fought the dust all the way from Africa and now she is also fighting strong “cutting winds”. She has to push against the wind and is being slowed down; that will mean intense, heavy rain for 24 to 48 hours as she tracks her way to through the islands to PR and beyond. That’s why the weatherman in PR is very concerned over what will be “extreme flooding conditions”. I pray that all who are in the path of FIONA will take all the precautions necessary to be safe. May God bless us all.

Isabel,



- Sept. 15 - Rain Ahead of FIONA
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 15 Sep 2022 10:34:25 -0700

- Sept. 14 - Tropical Storm FIONA !!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 14 Sep 2022 23:34:54 -0400
Be ready St. Croix! She’s swinging by some 42+miles distant before noon on Saturday 17th.That info is according to the CPA-closest point of approach . The distance can vary as well as the timing. We can expect very stormy conditions with winds 45-50mph. Torrential rain will be an impact; water can be more dangerous than wind.We can count on outages, hopefully not long ones. Be safe!  Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel,  

A very active pier.
This beauty is for TS FIONA.
End of day photo:


- Sept. 13 - Invest 96L impacts this weekend
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 13 Sep 2022 23:35:58 -0400
This disturbance which was classified this evening as Invest 96L is heading here possibly arriving as a Depression, a tropical storm, or a hurricane on the 5th anniversary of Hurricane MARIA. Impacts should begin on Friday through the weekend. Many people are unaware of this from what I have gathered. I try to encourage them to monitor the progress of the system. Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel

A beautiful Tuesday evening.
End of day photo:


- Sept. 12 - A Strong Tropical Wave Heading this Way!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 12 Sep 2022 23:58:48 -0400
It’s moving very slowly, but will be here by Friday or Saturday if it is held back. It is large and disorganized. Thanks to the dust around it the TW cannot develop into a cyclone. However, it will bring “bad”weather with “good” rain to the islands. It’s quite possible that it will  acquire a name while in our neck of the woods. That was quite a lengthy drought that we had this year, so I appreciate the wet weather for a change. Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel,

Mid morning colors:
Looks like from another dimension …
End of day photo:


- Sept. 11 - A Day to Remember
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 11 Sep 2022 23:56:07 -0400
The greatest tragedy of this day in 2001, left many babies without one or both of their parents lost along with thousands of others. They are all 21 years of age like our granddaughter who was born in Spain in March of that year and grew up in St. Croix. A real joy. The hurricane season of that year produced 17 cyclones. 15 name storms, 9 hurricanes, 4 of those major. According to Google.; The worst one was Hurricane Michelle. Damage total $11.94 billion dollars, no comparison to the loss of life and countless grieving families. This year the season has been milder than predicted but that can change. At the moment the most reliable models are in agreement that we could have a Depression or Tropical Storm affecting the Lesser Antilles by the upcoming weekend. The second TW should be passing us to the north. Travelers to this region should check before traveling. May God bless us all.

Isabel, do

Many avocados this year 
 End of day photo:




- Sept. 10 - The Peak of the Hurricane Season
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 10 Sep 2022 23:44:43 -0400
With all the tropical waves coming off the coast of Africa it looks like the beginning not the peak. This could be the year that we go all the way into December! I must say we’ve had a beautiful season so far, including all the rain we received from EARL before it became a name storm. Everything is so green! What is next? Remember to track the waves as they emerge from Africa. May God bless us all.

Isabel,


Our new bright green decor.
End of day photo: the sunset reflecting  on the clouds.
Tonight: Our home sweet home glowing with moonlight.


- Sept. 9 - Tracking Two Tropical Waves
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 9 Sep 2022 23:29:53 -0400
We really have to keep an eye on these two systems, especially the second one. I suggest that if anyone is planning to travel to the Caribbean to make sure that it will be safe to come. Let it not be like the couple who arrived on a Saturday in Sept. five years ago, and had to return home on Monday because Hurricane Maria was arriving on Tuesday. Be safe, be prepared. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

Very early morning photo:
Middle of day photo view from the porch
End of day photo:


- Sept. 8 - Absolutely Beautiful Day !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 8 Sep 2022 23:34:59 -0400
I had an extremely busy day so could not stop long enough to capture some of that beauty, however, got some great photos of the evening sky. I’m watching a wave that just moved off of the coast of Africa.  It’s moving west or west northwest which means it could be something to deal with next week if it does not fizzle before. In the meanwhile, let’s enjoy what we have while we can. A big hello to my newest fan from Canada! May God bless us all.

Isabel,


End of day photos:
Cloud sculpture
Fire in the sky..?


- Sept. 7 - Stormy days continue….
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 7 Sep 2022 23:32:23 -0400
With sunny moments and beautiful sunsets. There is rain in the forecast for the rest of the week. The next wave is looking to move a bit higher than EARL. But the one after is lower and that can present a problem for us. May God bless us all.

Isabel, 

Very early this morning
Stormy looking face all morning
End of day photos:


- Sept. 6 -
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Sep 2022 23:30:03 -0400
I think everyone was caught by surprise by that thunderstorm last night. I was and I’m usually trying to stay informed. It was great! Hadn’t had one of those for a long time. There were heavy showers on and off today. The rumblings of thunder continued also and our big dog growled back. He cannot stand them. We are now tracking two systems from Africa. One looks harmless, the second is more worrisome, but too soon to tell. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

This beautiful little pink cloud, to the west, greeted me first thing this morning.
What a lovely sight! More rain!
End of day photo:

- Sept. 5 - Great Rain from T.S EARL
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 5 Sep 2022 23:27:19 -0400
The sky was dramatic all day with rumblings on and off and finally it was after dark when it broke. It was windy with heavy rain. A squall!! The ground needed a good soaking and I’m sure it did. EARL will be pulling away from the Caribbean but we may still have some good rain percentages over the next days. It is raining as I write. Sounds great on the roof! May God bless us all.

Isabel,  

Photos of the gray day:


- Sept. 4. - T.S. EARL SWEEPS BY…..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Sep 2022 23:52:00 -0400
We got some heavy downpours during the morning and gusty winds throughout the day. I heard that a good part of the island to our west had a lot of down trees which fell on cables and caused power outages to many. It could have been worse. May God bless us all.

Isabel,
 
We were not hit as hard as the Northern Leewards and Puerto Rico.
End of day photo:


- Sept. 3 - Tropical Storm EARL
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 3 Sep 2022 23:35:09 -0400
It formed last night as it plods along to the west northwest passing by the islands without any impacts. However, we should get some rain. I’ve been praying for Japan  who are being hit by a mega hurricane. 100,000 People were evacuated!! May God bless them and us all.

Isabel,  

 Today’s weather from my porch.
End of day photo:


- Sept. 2 - 91L is getting ready!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Sep 2022 23:41:29 -0400
Ready to become a cyclone! The Northern Leewards are preparing for heavy rain, or worse, over the next couple of days. We would like some of it.  Hope we’re not too far south. The system looks broad enough to extend some rain this way. We shall see. May God bless us all.

Isabel

End of day photos:


- Sept 1 - Beautiful Weather Continues…
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 1 Sep 2022 23:44:42 -0400
However, it has not rained in our neighborhood. It was very hot today, but my husband and I decided to be tourists and visit the Fort as we celebrated our 59th wedding anniversary. It is a fascinating place with video documentaries playing in some of the rooms.(you can Google Fort Christianvearn for more info) Please check it out if you visit St. Croix. Alexander Hamilton lived here. 
91 L will be no threat to us as it passes by, so they say, yet we have been told that a weaker system would stay west rather  that climb. This so far is a weak system because of the encroaching dust. There are others coming so be
safe, be prepared. May God bless us all.

Isabel,


Our favorite beach on the cay from the fort.
End of day photo:


- Aug. 31 - Three months down…..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 31 Aug 2022 23:54:56 -0400
AND Three to go!! Will the next three months fulfill the quota of storms for the season? I heard 18 and we’ve only had 3 name storms so far, that means we should be having 15 in three months! We probably will be hearing something from CSU soon. So far no rain either . It would be nice if we can get some from 91 L but it’s passing too far to our north. Friends in Rhinebeck, NY said today that it’s dry there too. May God bless us all.

Isabel,  


End of day photo:


- Aug. 30 - it is so Quiet…..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 30 Aug 2022 23:39:34 -0400
Since 1988 we have not had such a quiet hurricane season. We are being told that the worst months are coming. We should not let our guard down. Today was another hot and dusty day, so it doesn’t look as if we are getting any tropical waves from Africa. We rely on those to water the whole island, not just a shower here and a shower there; mostly there, we haven’t had any substantial rain on our hill for a long while. Everything a drying up again. It must be a cycle. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Could not attach photos.







- Aug 29 - How Close will the Storm get to us ?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 29 Aug 2022 23:41:49 -0400

We shall find out very soon. We were asked to monitor 91L because it is passing to our North as of now but that can change: they have a mind of their own and also tend to wobble. Towards the end of the week we shall know more. May God bless us all.

Isabel


Another beautiful day!
End of day photo:


- Aug. 28 - Monitoring invest 91 L
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 28 Aug 2022 23:41:40 -0400
This disturbance is now being investigated for possible development into a cyclone. It has to deal with wind shear and some dust but has been given a 70% chance which is high. We have to monitor this system closely as any wobble to the left can cause direct impacts. Though it is forecast to pass close to the northern islands that can change. Be safe ! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel,

Sorry, I could not attach photos.

- Aug. 27 - Tropical Cyclones Brewing !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 27 Aug 2022 23:38:48 -0400
That was Dani’s forecasts. She usually has good updates. At the moment all the weather people out there agree that next week there will definitely be cyclone activity. One of them is forecast to move to our north near the  northern Leeward Islands. Too close for comfort. My favorite weatherman Dave said that there will be plenty of activity in the weeks to come. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

End of day photo:


- Aug. 26 - The Quiet before the Storms
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2022 23:53:47 -0400
The weathermen are getting more and more excited about the awakening of the Atlantic which has been asleep for 8 wks now. It’s looking more and more active out there in the MDR . Hope no one gets impacted. The worst hurricane in history is on record is MARIA IN 2017 as killing more than 3000 people in Puerto Rico with others elsewhere. Will the exact number ever be known? It had winds of 175 mph sustained. Our house vibrated as the hurricane trekked alongside us as it made it’s way to PR. My cousin there thought the island would be split in two. That was five years ago. We don’t want another like it. May God bless us all.

Isabel, 

Hidden beauties 
End of day photo:


- Aug. 25 - “No name storms in 53 days.”
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 25 Aug 2022 23:18:47 -0400
I heard it from the Weather Man tonight. 1914 produced the least amount of storms. So far we only have three. 2022 could very well outdo 1914. We don’t mind at all. However, there’s a lot of moisture on the way and it can very well include a name storm or two.I just hope and pray that no one gets hit by devastating hurricane this season. May God bless bless us all.

Isabel.    


We are having beautiful hurricane season days as you can see :
End of day photo:


- Aug. 24 - The Best Hurricane Season
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 25 Aug 2022 00:41:11 -0400
This photo says it all::


May God bless us all,  
Isabel

- Aug. 23 - They Are Coming!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2022 23:39:08 -0400
There is a wave train on the way. It’s no wonder I see rain in the forecast for each day. The closest one is designated 90L. That should be here as a rainmaker for the weekend. Be safe! Be ready for anything ! May God bless us all.

Isabel 

Flat sea..
Interesting clouds!
End of day photo :


- Aug.22/‘22 - Busy Tropical Atlantic!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 22 Aug 2022 23:43:41 -0400
The Saharan dust is dissipating, the wind has dropped; two factors which inhibit storms from developing tropical waves into monsters. In other words: the  2022 hurricane season has finally started! May God bless us all.

Isabel


Very Quiet Season!

End of day photo :


- Aug. 21 - Something is Coming
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2022 23:50:32 -0400
The first of three tropical waves coming off the coast of Africa should bring a lot of moisture to the islands. The second has a better chance of developing and the third has an even greater chance of developing into a cyclone. That is bad enough already, but they all s-eem to be following the same route, toward us! Don’t get caught unprepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel

View to the Cay!!

End of day photo:
Q

- Aug- 29 Are We for the Storm Our Neighborhoo!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2022 23:30:59 -0400
Everything is pointing that way. The dust is beginning to clear. The way from Africa here has and is being moistened. In other words the Main Developing Region is ready for action. May God Bless us all. 

Isabel, 

Rain
End of day photo.


- Aug. 19 - Tropical Activity Around the Corner!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 19 Aug 2022 23:38:48 -0400
It’s beginning to look a lot like the Hurricane Season is about to start! So, we know the rules. Do we have everything in place? This is the time to go over a checklist. Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel


Another beautiful day was enjoyed.

End of day photo:

- Aug. 18.- No Storms in Sight!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2022 23:47:24 -0400
But wait! According to the latest updates in about a week or so that’s going to change. So be ready! Let us make sure that we have everything we need and not have to run around the last minute! May God bless us all.

Isabel

Another beautiful day!
End of day photos :


- Aug. 17 - Rain in our forecast
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2022 23:23:46 -0400
The next few days promise us some precipitation. It has been hot and dry as I mentioned yesterday so this would be a most welcome relief.  It was really nice to hear the raindrops on the roof this morning. May God bless us all. 

Isabel,


Early this morning the sea was like a mirror. The ferry was on it’s way to pick up passengers at the pier.

End of day photo:


- Aug. 16 - Hot and dry!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 16 Aug 2022 23:42:53 -0400
Everyone is feeling the heat. Lucky those who can get a dip in the sea though it feels warmer — hurricane fuel.
My four weather apps indicate rain for the next few days. I don’t see any sign of where it could possibly be coming from but I hope it does come. May God bless us all.

Isabel


A beautiful day…with a lovely end.

End of day photo:/


- Aug. 15 - Watching a New Suspicious Tropical Wave
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Aug 2022 23:25:44 -0400
I heard it should be developing and by next week we could have something with which to contend. I just hope it passes close enough to get some good, substancial rain out of it. We’re still in drought mode. The green lawn is turning   yellow. Let’s be ready for whatever comes. May God bless us all.

Isabel,  

Three of our seven Red-footed Tortoises
End of day photos:


- Aug. 14 - Quiet Days!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 14 Aug 2022 23:57:57 -0400
Suspense is growing. Is something going to pounce on us all is a sudden? There is a system above us that is being watched.Looks kind of suspicious. Coming off the coast of Africa is another wave that can develop and could be threatening us by next weekend. That sounds too soon. So, let us continue enjoying these days. We are getting blessed at times by passing showers. Prepare and be safe! May God bless us all. 

Isabel

One of those showers.
End of day photo:


- Aug. 13- So far, so good!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2022 23:53:22 -0400
Wave after tropical wave is being swallowed up by Saharan dust. How long is this going to last? In 1992 there was no name Storm at all until Aug. 16 when ANDREW, a category 5 hurricane crossed the Atlantic and killed 65 people and millions of dollars in damages. It was the first storm of that year and it was powerful. We still have a long way to go to Nov. 30. Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel



- Aug. 12 - Weather is Great, for now ….
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 12 Aug 2022 23:53:29 -0400
Let us not be lulled by this beautiful weather. It’s bound to change. I’m praying for rain, hope it comes this weekend. The dust has been drying it up. We certainly are grateful to go so long without a storm, but it’s not going to remain quiet. Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel m,


Our gazebo
Our porch 

End of day photo:


- Aug. 11 - “Quietist Hurricane Season”
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Aug 2022 23:38:06 -0400
So said Mr. Weatherman. It hasn’t been this way in 10 to 15 yrs. And with the Saharan Air Layer he showed covering the tropical Atlantic there is no possibility of anything developing any time soon. The tropical waves cannot survive in so much dust. Bet Central America wish they had a share in the dust. They are getting flooded ever so often, and I wish we could get some of their rain. However, the hurricane season still has three and a half months to go and lots can happen in that space of time. Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel

End of day photo: the sky was cloudy a good part of the day. A sunless sunset.

Our kitty says a “good night” meow.

- Aug. 10 - The Waning of 97L
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 10 Aug 2022 23:42:19 -0400
Good news! What could have been a cyclone has been reduced significantly to an open wave, but most of the moisture will be to our north, so we may not get as much rain. The dust which interfered with 97L is not going to around forever. There are other tropical waves heading this way. So, be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel

Shy, hidden orchids.
View to the Northwest.
End of day photo: a circus in progress.


- Aug. 9 - We Need a Rainmaker
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 9 Aug 2022 23:33:31 -0400
I am hoping that Invest 97L will be just that, a rainmaker. Our green is quickly disappearing. It hasn’t rained for a while now and it has been hot! We, nevertheless, must prepare for a possibility of more than a rainmaker! Be safe! Be ready! May God bless us all.

Isabel,

This morning:

End of day photo:


- Aug. 8 - Tracking invest 97 L
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 8 Aug 2022 23:45:41 -0400
Still far away, but it’s not coming near us, at least everyone seems to agree on that.There’s another one behind it which also has to be monitored, and so on. We have entered the busiest time of the season. Be safe! Be ready ! May God Bless us all.

Isabel,

A very breezy day
End of day photo:



- Aug. 7 - A disturbance with potential ?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 7 Aug 2022 23:08:59 -0400
That is to be seen. Will it be able to get through ? There are a couple of a scenarios which I heard today.  If it is a strong system it will stay far to our north, however, a weaker system would bring it into our neck of the woods. By the middle of this coming week we shall find out which track it will take. Be safe! Be ready! May God bless us all.

Isabel,

An abundance of red double-hibiscus !
A beautiful day!
End of day photo: I see two faces looking down into the cloud.


- Aug. 6 - Disturbance off the coast of Africa
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 6 Aug 2022 23:41:59 -0400
It does not mean that it will become anything threatening. It will have a few challenges along the way. But if it does it will have the D name. Possible routes are to our north and to our south; maybe just scraping by. Be safe! Be ready! May God bless us all.

Isabel,

Our green is back! 
Rain!
End of day photo:


- Aug. 5 - Activity increasing in Africa
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 5 Aug 2022 23:41:51 -0400
That means that activity will intensify across  the Atlantic basin. The Lesser Antilles have been mentioned in regard to the tropical wave about to exit Africa. Tonight the sky was clear. The dust has diminished considerably. May God bless us all.

Isabel,  

End of beautiful day photo:



- Aug. 3 - A “train of tropical waves”
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 3 Aug 2022 23:12:53 -0400
They are coming! Are we ready? Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel,


A regular visitor

End of day photo:


- Aug. 2 - Ready or Not..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 2 Aug 2022 23:13:28 -0400
Well, it looks as if the storms are getting ready to emerge. Are we ready? We have had enough time to prepare. Visitors are dwindling now; my daughter and her son went to the Cay and it was almost empty. That’s the way I like beaches. Be safe. Be prepared. May God bless us all.

Isabel,


View of the Cay from our house.
Beach on the Cay, our favorite.
End of day photo:


- August 1 - The Third Momth
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 1 Aug 2022 23:26:02 -0400
I just noticed a  Low Pressure system coming off the coast of Africa. If the dust stays in place we should not have a problem, but then, we need the rain. Soon the green will fade again. This month should be very interesting as far as the number of storms go. Are they all coming in a bunch? Be safe ! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel,   


Another beautiful day!
End of day photos:
Is that a pig?


- July 31 - Two Months Down
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 31 Jul 2022 23:02:39 -0400
They were mostly hot and dry. We had very little rain, but what we had brought back the green again. The next four months, after our protective SAL is gone, we will  see what the forecasters were saying and why we should be ready.  Be safe! Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel.

Our pelican hopes it survives the hurricane season.

End of day photo:


- July 30 - Swirly Saharan dust
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2022 23:22:00 -0400
It has dried up our rain. It rained some during the night but not the 70% .However, the dust is a blessing. Hurricanes cannot form. Soon the dust will be gone though, and we will be having a lot of tropical activity. Are we ready? May God bless us all.

Isabel,  

A gray day with spurts of sunshine.

End of day photo:


- July 29 - Another Beautiful Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2022 23:43:43 -0400
My daughter returned home from her vacation with a plane load of visitors. This is the time to come. In another week or two it could be more difficult. Tomorrow there’s a 70% chance of rain, hope it does not ruin too many plans. The sargassum is becoming a nuisance and it has to be dealt with. The person who comes up with a solution should win a prize. May God bless us all.

Isabel


Sargassum- when it reaches the shores can’t it be disposed of somehow.? 
End of day photo:


- July 28 - Hot days/Cook nights
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 28 Jul 2022 23:56:38 -0400
I did some light trimming late afternoon, my favorite time. The lawn and surroundings were in need. All the showers recently have brought the green back! No hurricane threats in sight, unless the swirling Saharan dust that Jane mentioned are undercover hurricanes!! May God bless us all.

Isabel

End of day photos:

- July 27 - A Very Active Season 2022
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 27 Jul 2022 23:53:30 -0400
That, we still have to see whether we want to or not. So, ready  or not, the storms are coming. This quiet before the storms is the time to prepare. Use it well. Be safe, not sorry. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

This Spider Lily is the result of the daily showers we’re having.

End of date photo:


- July 26 - Three Tropical Waves
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 26 Jul 2022 23:55:06 -0400
Those three have been spotted in the MDR heading in his direction . Each one contributes to moisten the way. Two of the arrows are pointing towards us . We were urged to pay attention and prepare while there is still time. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

On and off showers today:

End of day photo:


- July 25 - A Mixed Bag
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 25 Jul 2022 23:16:50 -0400
We had all kinds of weather today and the roughest surf, very windy. It’s been so quiet since the first three storms that  I wonder if the predicted number still stands . It means we would have to have 18 name storms in a bunch; it has been crazy some years. Maybe this will be the same. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Rain!
End of day photo:
 

- July 24 - A Mostly Sunny Sunday
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 24 Jul 2022 23:35:59 -0400
Beautiful weather today after an early morning rain blessing. Except for the rip currents it would be a 100% good day. One has to extremely careful with those. Tomorrow’s forecast has changed to mostly rain chances.. Earthquake alerts were issued over the weekend, thankfully nothing stronger than a 4.5 in the Mona Passage. All is well. May God bless us all.

Isabel. 

A beautiful day

End of day photo:


- July 23 - Who is Next?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 23 Jul 2022 23:38:45 -0400
There’s talk about the D name storm. It could be forming from the vigorous tropical wave coming off the coast of Africa. If it does develop it would have the D name and be in our neck of the woods by the end of this month/ or the beginning of the next. May God bless us all..

Isabel

Rainy early morning
End of day photo:




- July 22 - Another lovely day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 22 Jul 2022 23:45:15 -0400
Great all around especially for the Cruise Ship visitors. It sure was busy around town today. I guess folks just don’t care if we’re in the hurricane season. They know that the ships won’t be going out if there was any danger in the Caribbean. So far it’s been quiet. We have a showery night ahead and for the next days on and off, like a faucet. May God bless us all.

Isabel

A  Lovely  Day
End of day photos:


- July 21 - The Passing Wave
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 21 Jul 2022 23:08:22 -0400
How much rain did we get.? As long as it rained it doesn’t matter. It rumbled! Not outright thunder, but our biggest dog has been fearful all day of more of the same. Lucky for him it was long gone with no other in sight. There is some rain in the forecast which is good. Be well, be happy, and above all, be prepared! The worst is yet to come!!

Isabel
 
End of cloudy day photo:


- July 20 - Tropical Wave….?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 20 Jul 2022 23:12:55 -0400
According to what I’m seeing it looks weak. Can it really produce 1 - 2 inches of rain ? The rain should begin around midnight  I will have to wait until then, but I can also sleep through and miss it.  At this point just plain moisture is better than nothing. May God bless us all.

Isabel


Today’s weather:

End of day photos:
 

- July 19 - Tropical Wave Approaching
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 19 Jul 2022 23:12:23 -0400
VITEMA has issued a statement concerning the tropical wave which should arrive here late Wednesday through Thursday with an accumulation of 1 to 2 inches of rain. That is exactly what we need right now. This island has not had  a good drenching all season so far. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Early morning - boat surrounded….
Looking northwest
End of day photo:


- July 18 - The TWs are Coming
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 18 Jul 2022 23:12:22 -0400
That means rain if it passes near or over us. As we get closer to the end of July, we are told that the Atlantic should become more active. We can see that already by the waves coming off the coast of Africa. May Cod bless us all,

Isabel

End of day photos:


- July 17 - Mostly Sunny/Very Breezy
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 17 Jul 2022 22:53:09 -0400
Looks like the next rain chance will be on Wednesday. As the waves approach we will have more consecutive days of rain. We have a lot of visitors on island. It is still safe to come if you don’t mind getting wet from time to time. I saw a full safari bus a few days ago. I’m sure they enjoyed the varied scenery and the splashes of bright flowers along the route. May God bless them and us all.

Isabel

The weather today:

End of day photo:


- July 16 - More Rain and Very Windy
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Jul 2022 23:19:17 -0400
Everything’s starting to look greener with the intermittent showers, which sometimes are quite heavy. This pattern looks set for the foreseeable future. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Rainy morning

End of day photo:


- July 15 - More Rain in forecast
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Jul 2022 23:07:54 -0400
Looks like some rainy days ahead. One day yes and one day no, kind of scenario. We need the rain for sure. Has anyone come up  with a solution to the Sargassum  problem? I was seeing how it was creeping into the harbor. Something has to be done . There are many TWs heading west, that could be the reason for the rainy forecast. May God bless us all.

Isabel   

Our beauties are all blooming
End of day photo:


- July 14 - Rainy Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 14 Jul 2022 19:47:36 -0400
Finally, some substancial rain! It’s been dry for so long that there’s music coming out of the ground, along with the weeds!! The tree frogs are especially happy. I expect a lot of singing from them tonight.
There are TWs coming off the coast of Africa. One of them looks quite hefty. May God bless us all. 

Isabel

Rain!
End of day photos:


- July 13 - Rain..!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 13 Jul 2022 23:08:12 -0400
It rained this morning but I have no proof because I was running with the shopping cart to my car and I could not take a picture. Next downpour, I was driving. Then the sun was out and shining again. It was a very nice day. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Rain clouds assembling:
What is that…!!
End of day photo:


- July 12 - Where’s the Weather?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 12 Jul 2022 23:25:21 -0400
According to the radar it’s all around us, but nothing falls. However, there’s hope for the coming days. As for the Sargassum algae. Something can be done about it. How about a giant vacuum to suck it out of the water directly into dump trucks then hauled away. It will dry up and can be burned. Algae is only active in the water. How about it? Can someone invent such a machine? May God bless us all.

Isabel


End of day photo:


- July 11 - Weak TW in our Area
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 11 Jul 2022 22:59:56 -0400
Every now and then we get a heavy downpour, or a brief rain shower, some drizzle, threatening clouds, occasional gusts of wind, that’s all because of the weak wave that’s passing through. In spite of the dust, we are still able to get something out of this wave. May God bless us all.

Isabel


Another nice day today
Our prettiest Flamboyant tree
End of day photo:


- July 10 - Nice Weather Today
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 10 Jul 2022 19:20:39 -0400
It started out with a good, heavy, rainfall ! A mixed bag followed, but all in all, it turned out great. Perfect for the Mango Melee’s 50th anniversary celebration.!! May God bless us all.

Isabel

A good, early, heavy rainfall.

A beautiful evening 

End of day photo: I see a puppy sitting on the sun!


- July - 9 Dust is Creeping In
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 9 Jul 2022 23:19:23 -0400
It’s been very hazy, cloudy, very breezy, etc. kind of day. The drought is really causing havoc. The deer are forced to come down from the hills due to lack of rain and the pools of water that they count on. Yesterday while on a WhatsApp video call through the lower garden with a friend in Chile she was able to see three deer. She was delighted !  I wanted to show her the Flamboyant tree in full bloom. She had never seen one and she got to see deer as well. It was quite a birthday treat for her.!
Now with more Saharan dust invading the region any hint of rain will probably dry up. I hope this drought ends soon. May God bless us all.

Isabel


Some flowers do not care how dry it is; when it’s time to bloom, it’s time to bloom!

There’s something going on….
End of day photo :  I see people! Do you?



- July 8 - Get Ready - End of July!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 8 Jul 2022 23:06:30 -0400
According to weatherman David Schlotthauer, watch out for renewed activity in the Atlantic by the end of the month. We still have time to get everything ready. Let’s do it! May God bless us all.

Isabel 


The ferry returning from St.Thomas 
End of day photos:

- July 6 - Hot and Humid !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 6 Jul 2022 19:59:45 -0400
Humidity is good for the skin, so it was not  all bad and I’m sure the visitors and locals as well are having great beach time. Nothing threatening for the next 5 days or longer, so come on down if you will and see this gem for yourself. Sounds like an ad, right? Not! It’s coming from a Crucian soul. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Rain showers in our neck of the woods.

End of day photo :



- July 5 - A Quiet Spell
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 5 Jul 2022 21:07:59 -0400
It should last about 10 days, I heard. Then all H will break loose.! Definitely by the end of July we must be completely ready for whatever is coming. Enjoy this quiet spell while we have it. May God bless us all.

Isabel,

End of day photos :


- July 4 - Enjoy the Fireworks!!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 4 Jul 2022 19:49:14 -0400
A. Very happy 4th of July to all !! May God bless America and all its Territories and May we remain Free and Safe, and May gas prices keep going down! Here it went as high as $5.99 and suddenly one day it was $5.48..! Weather wise, nothing to be concerned about for a while, for us anyway. Unfortunately, the TW coming off the coast of Africa will be following the same path as what ultimately became TS BONNIE. Please monitor.! May Cod bless us all.

Isabel

Nice rain showers today

End of day photo:


- July 3 - A Beautiful Emancipation Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 3 Jul 2022 19:57:20 -0400
With the TW that passed mostly to our south long gone, this day was a lot friendlier. I am sure that our visitors enjoyed it; and if they happened to be in Fredriksted, they would have participated  in the celebration of this Emancipation Day where there was going to be lots of music and where there’s music there’s always lots of food. That celebration was surely blessed with a nice day. May God bless us all.

Isabel

A really beautiful day !

End of day photo: that looks line a # 5 and we are 5 people in our family!


- July 3 - A Disappointing TW
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 2 Jul 2022 19:45:01 -0400
We certainly expected more rain than we got out of this TW. Not complaining though, it was enough to saturate and make green again. For the next several days there will be a percentage of rain. Surely, there will be other TWs coming and soon we’ll have more than we can handle. May God bless us all.

Isabel

This was the face of our day today, with some spotty showers on and off.

Happy 4th of July flag is up. We are also celebrating Emancipation day tomorrow.


- July 1 - One down, Five to go !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 1 Jul 2022 19:48:35 -0400
Let’s see what July has in store for us. It began with Tropical Storm Bonnie forming in Central America, a disturbance 96L off the coast of Georgia, and our tropical wave which arrives tomorrow bringing lots of rain, we hope. The day was nice for visitors, but I was so busy that I only caught the sunset. Our weather is to change drastically tomorrow with the approach of the TW__ thunderstorms at 5:00 a.m.?? The dogs are not going to be happy! May God bless us all.

Isabel

End of Day photos:


- June 30 - Looking forward to RAIN
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 30 Jun 2022 19:53:21 -0400
I could not believe when I heard this morning that a “mini hurricane” swept past us with very strong gusts and heavy rain around 2 a.m.! I slept through it! That was probably coming from one of the rain bands of “wanna be “ Bonnie. Well, hopefully this weekend we shall get that much awaited rain. We need not fear any development into something more powerful. This is  a tropical wave which should remain just that when it’s in our neighborhood. May God bless us all.

Isabel

The weather was a mixed bag today.
End of day photo.


- June 29 - Pre-Tropical Wave Weather
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 29 Jun 2022 19:05:17 -0400
It has been very stormy with strong winds, high surf, rip currents, sometimes very cloudy, otherwise partly sunny. I thought it was coming from potential TS BONNIE, but that seemed too far to the south, however, according to some reports that “cutting wind” courtesy of that disturbance is what will keep our strong tropical wave from developing. Apparently we are suppose to get that much needed rain beginning with 100% on Saturday. We hope it materializes. May God bless us all.

Isabel

This is the kind of weather we had today.

End of Day photo :


- June 28 - Our TW is bringing RAIN!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 28 Jun 2022 23:54:34 -0400
Well, we sure hope that’s the case. It has been hot and dry. Ii’s time for real rain! The TW heading this way is to join with another to eventually produce the “D” storm? Could be, I saw one image of our TW yellow and suddenly saw it red! In the meanwhile it still stands that we are going to have a delightfully soggy weekend from Saturday to Monday and that sounds good enough for me. May God bless us all. 

Isabel

Rough surf and Rip current alerts

End of day photo :




- June 27 - Will We Have A Deluge This Coming Weekend
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 27 Jun 2022 23:55:23 -0400
A very strong tropical wave is forecast to pass through our territory and surrounding islands this weekend. It is capable of producing more rain than we’ve had all year so far. The strong wind cutting  across from the potential tropical storm to our south will make it difficult for our disturbance to develop into anything more than a Depression. Nevertheless, we must prepare for the worse just in case . My prayers are with the folks to our south. Correspondent Ian, batten down over there in Trinidad and be safe along with all your people. May God bless us all.

Isabel 

This is the kind of day we had today.

End of Day photo: not meant to be a video

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- June 26 - A Real SUN Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 26 Jun 2022 18:58:15 -0400
Hello! I must add SUN with some roaming clouds. The possibility of afternoon thunderstorms did not materialize, so it was another hot, dry day. However, as long as we can smile, it’s a good day. As it looks at the moment, we should not have any effects whatsoever from 94 L except for some strong winds from the south which will help to keep the second tropical wave from forming. By the time that gets to us in several days it will be a tropical Depression bringing lots of rain to some very thirsty islands, like ours. That would be by next weekend. May God bless us all.

Isabel


Breezy and very pleasant late afternoon.
Our very own Pelican
End of Day photo:


- June 25 - Another Hot, Dry Day!!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 25 Jun 2022 19:43:14 -0400
The sea is getting warmer each day. The hurricane fuel is ready! We are hoping to ONLY get some rain from Invest 94L. That would probably be Tuesday 28th and perhaps a few extra days after that. That would be great! The deer are out eating all the succulent plants they can find. They are often in our property. A cousin in Germany said that we are so lucky. They have to go to the zoo to see deer! Well, for the sake of the deer and everything, and everyone, I hope and pray that it finally does rain. May God bless us all.

Isabel 


Hot and Dry !

End of Day photo:


- June 23 - Invest 94 L is Headed this Way !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 24 Jun 2022 19:55:12 -0400
It went from 20% to 60% chance in another five days as it forms into the “B” storm. By next Wednesday we should be feeling some effects from it. We are all hoping we can get some rain. Behind 94L there’s another one, but so far the NHC has not been very interested. At the moment they are focusing on 94L and another system in the Gulf area that can also become a name Storm. Lots of activity! At the moment we are getting a very nice rainfall! May God bless us all.

Isabel
  
Today’s weather:
End of day photos:




- June 23 -End of Day Photo(forgotten)
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 24 Jun 2022 00:18:51 -0400
Prophetic Sky! “Something is coming!”


- June 23 - On their Way!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 24 Jun 2022 00:00:07 -0400
More and more interest is growing as the third tropical wave is showing signs of becoming the “B” storm. The NHC has classified it as #1, a disturbance worth monitoring. We should all keep an eye on it as it gets closer to the island chain. May God bless us all. 

Isabel

The weather today: hot and dry!
Evening’s makarel sky.- e we M


- June 22 - Three Tropical Waves
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 22 Jun 2022 23:37:56 -0400
Thanks to one of my sources I can pass on this vital information to you. Deciphering Weather is usually on too with the latest. The first TW is going to fight the dry air, or Saharan dust. The second wave  is going to moisten the atmosphere, and the third one looks as if it will be one with which to contend. It could be the next name storm. May God bless us all.

Isabel

The day was beautiful, but long and busy.


End of Day photo:


- June 21 - All Weather Eyes on Next Week!I
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 21 Jun 2022 19:42:22 -0400
I heard from one of my weather sources that there’s a general agreement that the “B” storm could be making an appearance through the Caribbean next week. It’s a matter of tracking and watching the direction it takes. It could be too low to our south, but we don’t know for sure. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Some of the survivors:
End of day photos:


- June 20 - (part 2) In the Next two weeks…
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 20 Jun 2022 19:35:42 -0400
Last night’s post not only went out late - it was a busy day- but something went wrong with the photos and they came out extra large. Sorry about that. 

I was hearing today from one of my weather sources about a system forming in the main development region between Africa and the islands; so far, it remains a possibility. That would be around the end of June. It’s never too early to prepare! May God bless us all.

Isabel

Today’s postcard weather- early a.m.
Best way to save an orchid plant!
End of day photo :


- June 19 - A beautiful Father’s Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 20 Jun 2022 00:03:02 -0400
I certainly hope you all had a wonderful, well-deserved day in your honor. May you have many more. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Father’s Day weather:

End of day photo:



- June 18 - Tropical Activity Soon (?)
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 18 Jun 2022 19:29:28 -0400
There’s so much activity all around that the weather people cannot catch up. First it was the beginning of July to watch, now it’s before the end of June. And I don’t think anyone is ready for it, not at least until August. Well, we had better get with it because they were not kidding when they predicted a hyper active season. Plus, the waves are mostly coming this way, not like in the past when they turned up north. Watch and pray! May Gods bless us all!

Isabel


Late afternoon:

End of Day photo:



- June 17 - A July Hurricane ?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 17 Jun 2022 22:31:24 -0400
There is a possibility of development of a storm in the Main Development Region or MDR in July. We have to watch, prepare, and pray. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Mid-morning
Mid-afternoon
End of Day photo:


- June 16 - Cloudy All Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 16 Jun 2022 23:55:23 -0400
That is, with a smattering of sunshine sprinkled here and there. Gloomy..? Yes, I guess we can call it gloomy, especially if we paid for sunshine. I always feel sorry for the visitors who expect a blue sky and sea and they get a gray, sunless one instead. But hey, that’s better than a storm, right? I remember the couple who arrived late one Saturday and on Monday they were heading back home running from powerful Hurricane MARIA. They had just enough time to snap a few pictures at their beachfront Condo. Nothing like that now, just cloudy and calm. May God bless us all.

Isabel




- June 15 - Gray Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 15 Jun 2022 22:27:00 -0400
After last night’s wonderful rain and accompanying rumbling of thunder it has looked overcast all day as if ready to rain again. There’s rain in the forecast for tomorrow. The main talk is the  very early activity between Africa and the Caribbean!! We could be having a hurricane in July somewhere in the Caribbean. This is serious talk, we have to prepare earlier. Be well, be ready, and may God bless us all.

Isabel, 

Turbulent clouds and a quiet gecko chime  
 
End of day photo:


- June 14- End of Day Photo
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 14 Jun 2022 22:33:30 -0400

The update went out before this was attached.  Isabel
Check out the cloud formations. Lots of activity.!

- June 14 - Tropical Wave Slowly Aprroachiing
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 14 Jun 2022 22:25:55 -0400
It was the usual hot day but a refreshing breeze. That helps. Tracking the tropical wave I saw that it was not too far. It was going to pass mostly below us but we were going to get some rain. Well, shortly after 9 pm we got a very heavy shower, then another, I detected some rumbling in the distance. That was it, but got rain. This is just the beginning. May God bless us all.

Isabel

Late this afternoon the boats were in anticipation of the Tropical Wave


End of Day 

- June 13 - Four Tropical Waves in the Atlantic !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 13 Jun 2022 23:43:31 -0400
One of them is headed west between Cape Verde and St. Lucia, the other is headed west between Cape Verde and the British Isles. Monitor, please! Those are the two that should be of interest to us. The other two are potentially dangerous for the mainland. This is a regional forecast from Huracan Tropical in the Dominican Republic.  So far, the activity for this season is surpassing the initial prediction. May God bless us all.

Isabel

This morning: R A I N !!
Noontime:
End of Day photo:


- June 12 - Dry, Dry, Dry !!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 12 Jun 2022 22:41:30 -0400
Our sky today was just as you see it in the photos. We feel better each day, so it was a good day despite the fuzziness. May God bless us all.
 
Isabel 


End of Day Photos:             E E R I E !!


- June 11 - Did I hear Raindrops last night?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 11 Jun 2022 16:38:13 -0400
I sure did! Every drop is a blessing and it was so soothing. That was probably from the tropical wave mentioned by Barbados Correspondent Jurgen Starck. It must have rained again during the night. No lasting rains as yet to soak the ground but a little is better than nothing. We had two swift, hard showers this morning after I was up and about. I’m sure we caught some water in our tall blue tank. I think before long it’s going to rain, rain, rain. It’s good to be optimistic!! Then I’ll be begging it to stop, right? Such is life! May God bless us all.

Isabel

This was the early morning look. We did get a brief shower a bit later.

Two of our Flamboyant trees are finally blooming. I appreciate the evergreens. They make such a difference.

End of day photo:  

It’s been this way all day long.


- June 10 - What a beautiful day!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 10 Jun 2022 19:02:17 -0400
On the road to Covid recovery, we hope. Healing comes with each day and when the days are as beautiful as the ones we’ve been having it makes us feel much better. May God bless us all.

Isabel

End of day photos:





- June 7 - Looks like RAIN in the Saturday Forecastng down to a trikle.
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 7 Jun 2022 21:36:02 -0400
Today the water from the hose of my garden tank was low, working down to a trickle. We will have to start using  the cistern water for the plants and turtles. Hopefully on Saturday we will get that rain! I know that the day will come when will be begging it to stop. This drought has lasted longer than usual. I also keep hearing reports of a very active season. Everyone is in agreement also that the number of hurricanes will be higher that in previous years.  It’s wise to begin early preparations as we could have lots of activity before the peak of the season. Be well. Prepare. aweend stay well. May God bless us all.  

Isabel


Usually the gazebo cannot be seen from the upper level. As for the white flowers, they are not affected by the drought as the  branches are loaded with a milky moisture.


End of day photo:


- June 6 - Photo of the Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 6 Jun 2022 20:46:24 -0700
 A postcard view of Schooner Bay Condos from our house on the hill. (please be sure to read the update. It escaped without the photo.) Isabel 

- June 6 - Eleven Hurricanes in the New Forecast !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 6 Jun 2022 23:36:27 -0400
Heads up, everyone! It's never too early to start preparing for what is considered "a very aggressive" hurricane season. Today I met someone who came down from Florida to fix his father's roof and get it ready. A fine move! The roof is the most critical part of the house. If that goes, so does the rest. Granted, houses are better constructed now than in pre-HUGO times. Shoddy construction led to mountains of debris after that hurricane. So, let's get to work! I hope Public Works will begin cleaning up the many abandoned houses which have caved in creating piles of debris; these in turn become missiles during hurricanes. We have to start working at hurricane preparedness from now; apparently, the storms are going to traverse more to the south this time and that means right through our Caribbean neighborhood. May God bless us all!

Isabel

- June 5- Tropical Storm ALEX !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Jun 2022 21:13:48 -0400
The potential storm # 1 finally was officially declared  the first tropical storm of the season after it had beaten up a few places along the way leaving a trail of death and destruction with 30 people missing! Now it’s heading for a bull’s eye assault on Bermuda on Monday. They are always well prepared and should be able to brave the storm which will be considerably smaller than others with which they dealt in the past. This is only the beginning folks! We have a long road ahead until November. Be prepared! May God bless us all.

Isabel

End of day photo:




- June 5 - A Fuzzy-Wuzzy Day !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Jun 2022 13:17:01 -0700
Saharan dust! It leaves a tell-tale sign on our cars and on everything else! The blue turns to gray and then, of course, the sea. Worst of all, when the dust is present it dries up any possibility of rain which we need so much. The dust also makes it feel hotter, perhaps because it comes from Africa..? Naw, that’s a bit far-fetched. I can hardly wait for those refreshing tropical waves from Africa, even if they get dramatic sometimes.. At the moment they are too low to our south to benefit us. Hope you’re having a cooler day. May God bless us all.

Isabel
 
Looking towards the Northwest.

- June 4 - The Drought Continues…
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 4 Jun 2022 18:34:11 -0700
In the meanwhile other places are getting an over abundance of rain produced by the disturbance in the GOM. It has remained a “potential” cyclone making its way across Florida and parts of Cuba leaving a trail of flooded areas behind. Here the Saharan dust has crept back in. Our 1 minute Ferry ride to the beach on the cay this morning was most refreshing. We wanted our guest from Delaware to experience it. She was amazed at how warm the water felt. The sky was most entertaining with all sorts of puffy cloud formations. It was another wonderful day in the American Paradise. May God bless us all.

Isabel


JPEG image

JPEG image


- June 3 - Morning Glory!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 3 Jun 2022 13:04:39 -0400
Very early this morning as the sun rose it kissed our golden palace in the historic site, which we can see from our house. Actually, it is not a palace, but a real fort with cannons and canon balls ready for any threat. Tourists and locals alike enjoy a visit there. It has a beautiful, commanding view of the surrounding area. The weather is “dreamy”- no rain in sight. Watching Florida and hoping everyone gets through the worst safely. May God bless them and us all.

Isabel



- June 2 - All Quiet, Hot and Dry !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 3 Jun 2022 00:14:59 +0000
If hot and dry is your kind of weather, then welcome to St. Croix! Even this palm tree looks as if it’s begging for some relief. I must admit that night temps are cool, so it’s like the desert. We’re keeping an eye on Florida where we have many people. We were expecting a friend from Delaware tonight and all flights were canceled this morning, so fortunately she can come tomorrow arriving earlier which is better. However, she’s coming through Miami !! The storm heading to  Florida has a 90% chance of developing, so that’s kind of “iffy”. We can only hope for the best. May God bless us all.

Isabel 

Hot and Dry

- Helloooooo, Caribbean neighbors and beyond!!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 1 Jun 2022 15:33:25 +0000
June 1 - Hurricane Season 2022 promises to be very active, or hyper-active, with the presence of the MJO (Madden Julian Oscillation) which tends to enhance things. As you see from my signature photo, our weather is very pleasant. However, we wish that the drought be over soon so that we can see green lawns and the flamboyant trees blooming with their beautiful, flaming flowers. We need rain, not like the 10” they expect in Florida and Cuba by the weekend, but enough each day to make a difference. I wish you all a safe and happy season. Enjoy it one day at a time as we do. May God bless us all.

Isabel


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