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- 95L latest
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 17 Sep 2021 15:21:36 +0100
The weather system (95L) is over half way across the Atlantic. The latest I have is that it is at  44W 11.8N . The predicted path shows it passing close to the most northerly of the Lesser Antilles. Also most models don't seem to have it getting to hurricane strength. So (hope) it appears that Grenada should be OK from this storm.

There is another system Near the Cabo Verdes. But it appears this will just go North into the Atlantic.

Hope you all remain safe.

Hogan



- 95L (The system just left East Africa)
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 14 Sep 2021 07:05:57 +0100
The low pressure that I mentioned yesterday has now left the coast of East Africa. Currently it as at about 12 degs N - (the same as Grenada).  Looking at the current predicted path it should  move north of the island chain, but it needs watching. If by Friday it is at about 18N then it is following the predicted path.

Try to keep safe.

Hogan




- Keeping an eye on a nasty blob coming off of Africa!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 13 Sep 2021 15:37:11 +0100
There is a 80% chance of a system coming off of East Africa developing into something in the next 5 days. Much too early to get a real idea where it will head but NHC has it coming across the Atlantic with just a slight movement towards the North.

More over the net few days.

Hogan



- For interest sake.....
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 7 Sep 2021 15:03:03 +0100
Sorry for lack of posts this year. Just to let you know that I am keeping an eye on the weather.

The temperature at Cambridge airport in the UK is exactly the same as that in Grenada (airport)!!! And it is September! 30C/86F at 1300 UTC.

Currently there are no predicted storms in the Atlantic that should affect Grenada, although there is a Low pressure just SSW of the Cabo Verde islands.

Trying times in Grenada with Covid, let's hope the weather behaves.

All the best and keep safe.

Hogan



- Elsa now a Cat 1 hurricane.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Jul 2021 09:19:36 -0400
As it passed through Barbados it upgraded to a cat 1. Now heading for North of St Vincent (using the latest NHC directions).

Heavy rain here as I type, rain coming from a westerly direction, but only a slight breeze from same.

It still looks as if we will not get very high winds (my feeling), but could get plenty of rain.

Please listen to official forecasts.

Hogan



- Calm before the .........
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Jul 2021 06:33:51 -0400

Good morning,

No breeze here in southern part of Grenada!

Elsa - still a Tropical Storm. And just approaching Barbados. It does look as if it will pass over the Southern part of that island. Looking at it's path since last night and if it keeps that direction, it will pass between St Vincent and St Lucia, with St Lucia getting the stronger winds. This is all based on the NHC data, other websites still have the storm passing slightly further south (through the Grenadines ). 

The current Barbados weather radar shows quite clearly the centre of the storm just off to the SE of Barbados. It also shows very clearly the difference between the speed of the rain showers north (fast) of the storm centre  and south (slow).  Confirming that it is better to be south rather than north of these storms.  Barbados Radar

The same radar shows a band of  rain associated with Elsa approaching Grenada as I send this.

So my guess is we will not get strong winds, currently hardly a breeze. Later we will pick up wind from the west, but not too strong (hope). I expect a fair amount of showers though.

Please note that I only post information that I gather from various sources, I am not an expert and don't pretend to be. Always check official websites.

My best to you all, and keep safe.

Hogan




- Elsa late evening update.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 1 Jul 2021 21:19:06 -0400
It currently appears that Elsa will pass through the Grenadines (if current path continues). If this is correct, then we should expect the wind to turn to westerlies tomorrow morning. Wrong way winds. There could be a lot of rain with Elsa.  Expect to feel the effects tomorrow morning into the afternoon. Elsa is fast moving, currently at about 28 mph. So it should pass through fairly fast.

Please note that I only post information that I gather from various sources, I am not an expert and don't pretend to be. Always check official websites.

My best to you all, and keep safe.

Hogan



- 97L has become Tropical Storm Elsa
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 1 Jul 2021 07:04:56 -0400
Good morning all,

Overnight, 97L jumped to Tropical Storm strength. Now the first named storm, in our area. this year.

It's predicted path has moved slightly further south over night. It still looks as if it will pass slightly north of us, between Grenada and St Vincent, but there is still a day to go and plenty of time to decide on a different route. Some of last year's hurricanes showed us that.  NHC appear to show the centre of the storm passing about midday Friday, still as a Tropical Storm.

I will send another update this afternoon.

Please note that I only post information that I gather from various sources, I am not an expert and don't pretend to be. Always check official websites.

My best to you all, and keep safe.

Hogan



- Look out for a possible Tropical Storm ....
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 30 Jun 2021 07:11:28 -0400
Good morning from an overcast and showery Grenada.

We now have two weather systems approaching the Caribbean.

Invest 95L is now at 13.2N 64.9W  It looks as if this will pass just north of Barbados iover the next 24 hours..

More worrying for Grenada is 97L currently about  8.6N 39.3W. This is at a very low latitude (8.6N). Looking at various websites it does look as if it will pass near to us in Grenada as a Tropical Storm or maybe even a Cat 1 hurricane, Friday/Saturday.


Please note that I only post information that I gather from various sources, I am not an expert and don't pretend to be. Always check official websites.

My best to you all, and keep safe.

Hogan



- 95L mid Atlantic heading towards the Caribbean
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 28 Jun 2021 15:56:06 -0400
This is the first post from me for some time. It now looks as if the Atlantic conveyor is starting up.  For a few days I have been monitoring a tropical wave that came off of East Africa at a very low latitude. It is now midway across the Atlantic and the centre of the weather system is at 39.5degrees West and 11.7 degs North and travelling at about 20mph in our general direction. As far as I can see, looking at the various websites, it looks as if it should pass just north of Barbados as a tropical storm in about 3 days. If this is the case we should be OK in Grenada (hope). I will update daily until it has cleared.

This is the first system coming across the Atlantic that at least looks like developing to some extent. This should be a warning to us to be prepared for the coming season. make sure you have some hurricane supplies and check that there is nothing that can be picked up by strong winds.

Please note that I only post information that I gather from various sources, I am not an expert and don't pretend to be. Always check official websites.

My best to you all, and keep safe.

Hogan



- Just a reminder
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 9 May 2021 12:16:57 -0400


This is the dry season - believe it or not!

I have never had my water cistern as full as this at this time of the year!

Keep Safe

Hogan



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