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- The tropical wave mentioned yesterday
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 7 Jul 2020 09:04:50 -0400
Good morning,

The axis of the tropical wave I mentioned yesterday is still about 200 miles to our East, but as predicted it has weakened somewhat. Most of the showers associated with it are ahead of the Axis and mostly travelling to the North of us.  We could have some heavy, possibly thundery showers, but currently most of the rain is north of a line between Barbados and St Vincent.

It is a beautiful morning, the horizon is crystal clear, the first time for several weeks. But still can't see the tops of the mountains in Venezuela or Trinidad! There are a few low clouds over the mountains, otherwise, just a few higher clouds.

Hope you all had a nice day.

Hogan



- Next wave
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 6 Jul 2020 07:52:00 -0400
Good morning,

Sorry for lack of posts over the last few days. My wife & I spend a few nights at True Blue Bay Resort, for a welcome break.

We have had a few showers over night and this morning. But currently it is a lovely morning, with a slight rainbow in the direction of Grand Anse/ St George area.

About 700 miles to our East, in the Atlantic, there is a tropical wave which, at it's current speed will arrive tomorrow afternoon/evening. The NHC have it marked on their chart with a yellow X with a 10% chance of developing over the next 48 hours, although conditions from tomorrow are less favourable. It is possible that we could have some showers, possibly heavy with gusty winds, later tomorrow. I will have another look tomorrow morning,

Have a nice day

Hogan


- Next wave
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 30 Jun 2020 11:13:09 -0400
Good morning (late),

Hesitated today as I am trying to see what the next wave has in store. It no longer shows as a potential depression, but it does appear to have some convection running ahead of it. Currently the wave is about  370 miles East of us.  At it's current speed it appears that the axis of the tropical wave will pass through tomorrow morning. But, currently, there does appear to be rain showers ahead of it. From about 12N southwards.  I may have another look later today.

Currently a lovely day.

Hogan


- Less Sahara dust today
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 29 Jun 2020 08:19:14 -0400
There is far less Sahara dust today, and it looks like that will be the case for the next few days, at least.

Out in the Atlantic - the next 'wave' is due in our area on Tuesday, but is currently fairly weak. Currently most showers associated with it are South of 10N.

Further out and due in our region about Friday (at current speed) is another wave, which has a 10% chance of developing over the next 5 days, but the NHC are saying it should not develop further due to high level winds. More over the next few days.

This morning I can see a fairly clear horizon (about 20 miles away from my view point*. The hills are much clearer, a few low clouds hitting the top of them. The Sun is still a bit hazy, but I think that is more thin high cloud. There are a few small blips on the radar and the latest satellite shows no big convection clouds, so maybe we could get the odd small shower.

* Please note that over the past week or so I have stated that I don't have a clear horizon - yet people at sea level probably wondered what I was talking about. The reason for this is that a person standing at sea level , their eye level is about 6 ft, then their horizon is only about 3 miles away.

All the best

Hogan



- Sorry, I didn't see that wind and rain coming yesterday, until too late!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 28 Jun 2020 11:56:39 -0400
Yesterday morning, I looked and there was only a large area of cloud over Trini.  I didn't think much about it. I had a few problems, so didn't do a post. If I had, I would have said it was going to be a fine day with little, if any, rain. I would have been very wrong!

Today, we still have the Sahara dust. And a 'wave' due to arrive tomorrow. Another wave, due to arrive about Thursday is marked with a yellow X on the NHC chart.It has a 20% chance of developing in the next 5 days. It is predicted to travel towards the Northern Lesser Antilles.

Hazy, and no sign of rain.

Have a great day.

Hogan



- We appear to have a second wave of Sahara dust
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 26 Jun 2020 07:20:09 -0400
The dust is back after a brief break yesterday. Hazy Sun, no clear horizon. I believe the link below shows the bulge of dry/dusty air (5 day animation)?

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/sal/g16split/movies/goes16split.html

The next 'wave' is due about Sunday. Until then I expect only occasional showers. And looks like more dust?

Hogan




- Still some Sahara dust and a wave coming
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 25 Jun 2020 07:31:19 -0400
Visibility is still poor. There are a few showers in the vivcnity. The next tropical waves is due over night, with possibility of showers either side of the Axis. But currently, most of the showers are South of 11N, which does not include us (at 12N).

Currently there is a very hazy horizon, approximately 20 miles distance. There are a few small showers just passed through to the South. Also a few radar blips to the North. A satellite image appears to show that we are in a bit of a break in the Sahara dust.

So maybe we could have some showers as he wave approaches.

Have a good day

Hogan



- Sargasso seaweed back with a vengence
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 24 Jun 2020 08:26:45 -0400
Along with the Sahara dust, slightly less today, we now have a batch of Sargasso seaweed. It gives the appearance of being a sandy beach. See photo.

It has been drizzling this morning. I believe I can see the horizon, so not as much dust in the air.

A very weak tropical wave is approaching, with 'no significant convection noted in this wave' (NHC).

Another wave is just under 1000 miles to our West and should arrive Friday.

Hogan


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- Dust
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Jun 2020 06:28:19 -0400
Photos taken yesterday evening.

This morning there is slightly less haze, the Sun is a little clearer.

The next tropical wave is due about Thursday. Not much, if any, rain expected over the next two days.

Hogan

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- So what has happened to the wave
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 22 Jun 2020 06:57:08 -0400

The tropical wave is passing through see the bit below from NHC.

'The axis of a tropical wave is near 61W south of 18N, moving W 
at 20 to 25 kt. Isolated showers are over water south of 12N 
within 180 nm of the wave axis. A stable air mass attributed to 
the Saharan Air Layer is preventing any convection N of 12N.'

So it appears this Sahara dust has weakened the wave. There is currently a band of rain showers midway between us and Trinidad.

I can't see more than a few miles in the Sahara dust haze.  The Sun is just visible through either high cloud or Sahara dust.

Have a good day

Hogan





- Sahara Dust?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 Jun 2020 08:26:45 -0400
Good morning,

This is the haziest I have ever seen here. I believe it is Sahara dust, which we have heard about so much over the last week.  I can't see the mountains, so can't tell if there is cloud cover or just dust.The Sun is just a hazy yellow.

Being between tropical waves, there shouldn't be too many showers. Currently there are no blips near us. Also no sign of any significant convection. It is a shame about the dust, as it looks like it would have been a mostly sunny day!

The next 'wave' is just about 660 miles to our east. Is moving towards us fairly fast and expected (axis) to pass us tomorrow early afternoon.

Have a great day.

Hogan




- Tropical wave passing through.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 20 Jun 2020 08:16:31 -0400
The tropical wave is passing through. Looking at satellite and radar , they show rain and some large clouds between us and Barbados, but most look as if that will pass to the North of us. But I would expect some showers during the day.

Looking out, there is plenty of blue sky to the South, dull to the North. There appears to be rain in the mountains and I could feel a very fine rain. I can see a shower heading towards us from the East. The horizon is a bit hazy, but visible, unlike yesterday.

So my guess is Sunshine and possible showers. A typical day?

Have a nice day.

Hogan



- Looks like a good day today?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 19 Jun 2020 09:35:26 -0400
Hi,

Apart from the heavy haze, which I assume is Sahara dust, there is no sign of the horizon! It does look like a reasonable day. Currently there are no blips nearby on the radar. Because of the haze, I can't see much of the sky due to the haze. The mountains are barely visible.

The next tropical wave (axis) is due tomorrow morning, but currently does not have much convection. Websites I monitor are showing a slight increase in the prospects of having rain.

Have a great day - Grenada is (apparently) free of the virus, I believe.

Hogan


- A dull morning.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 17 Jun 2020 07:43:55 -0400
This morning we have plenty of cloud, stiff breeze and we have had some rain. It is very hazy, possibly caused by large amounts of Sahara dust?

The tropical wave axis is about 200 miles to our East. But we are already getting the cloud and rain from it. Looking at satellite images, the worst of the weather should pass South of us. With T&T getting the heaviest rain. But it does look as if we will have a fairly cloudy day and we should get some rain, some possibly heavy. My guess is that we will see less of the Sun as the day goes on.

Apart from the weather - Have a nice day and keep safe.

Hogan


- Sunshine and small chance of showers - maybe!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 16 Jun 2020 07:57:45 -0400
Good morning,

We are between two tropical waves.  The one yesterday did bring a few showers here in the South of Grenada, during the morning, but it brightened up for the afternoon. Photo taken from Ft Jeudy looking North.

Today looks as if it will be mostly sunny with a chance of showers before........

.... the next tropical wave comes through Wednesday.  Currently the axis of this wave is about 500 miles east of us with moderate convection up to about 13 degs N.

It is a lovely morning, mostly Blue skies in all directions other than the usual few clouds over the mountains.There are no blips in our area on the Martinique radar.

So I hope you all have a pleasant day and keep safe.

Hogan

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- Tropical wave passing through.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jun 2020 06:52:04 -0400
So far it has brought a few small showers, but there does not appear (as yet) to be any really heavy rain associated with this Wave, in our area.  Looking out, there is a lot of blue sky to the South and South-East. It is currently raining in the hills to the North. The Martinique radar doesn't show any blips out to the East of us.

Another tropical wave has just come off of the coast of Africa. This makes 4 in the Atlantic, including the one passing through.

It looks like a day of sunshine and probable showers.

Have a safe day.

Hogan


- The next wave....
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 14 Jun 2020 07:44:36 -0400
Good morning

The next wave is approx 300 miles East of us. Looking at it and the forecast, it looks as if, at the moment,  most of the rain will pass well South of us, tomorrow morning.

Currently there is a lovely blue sky, just a hint of high wispy cloud, a few low bubbly clouds, especially over the mountains.

No rain showing, on the Martinique radar, anywhere in the Southern part of the Windwards.

So we wait to see what the tropical wave brings us tomorrow, if anything.

Hogan



- The tropical wave is passing through
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 12 Jun 2020 06:53:23 -0400

The tropical wave mentioned yesterday, although passing through, has weakened considerably. Currently most rain from it is from just North of Grenada to St Lucia. The sky to the North is definitely much darker than looking South.

So now we look back into the Atlantic where there are three more tropical waves, the next to arrive Monday (at it's current speed). The conveyor belt has definitely been switched on.

Looking out I see plenty of blue sky to the south, but to the North, as I mentioned above, completely overcast with the mountains completely shrouded in low cloud. The Martinique radar shows a large amount of blips and blobs between here and St Lucia. Satellite imagery does show some heavy convection just to our East, so there looks like a chance that we might get some rain, possibly heavy)?

Have a nice day.

Hogan


- The next tropical wave
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Jun 2020 06:41:18 -0400

The  next tropical wave is just 300 miles or so East of us and the following is from the NHC:

 A well-defined tropical wave located about 350 miles east of the 
Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Although significant development is not expected due 
to dry air and adverse upper-level winds, some areas of heavy rain 
and gusty winds are possible across portions of the Windward 
Islands later today through early Friday while the wave moves 
westward at 15 to 20 mph.

It is clearly see on Satellite images as a large blob to the East of Barbados, and is the first 'wave' in our area to be given a yellow 'X' on the NHC chart, indicating 10% chance of developing in the next 24 hours.

The first indications of what weather this is bringing will be in Barbados this afternoon, hopefully someone there will update the StormCARIB later today?

Another 'wave' is following it, currently halfway across the Atlantic from West Africa, estimated to arrive in our region about Monday.

Looking out, there are a few bubbly low clouds. There is almost 100% hazy high cloud to the East, with a very hazy Sun attempting to shine through, but much clearer to the West. Currently there are no weather related blips on the radar to our East.

Have a nice day.

Hogan



- No need to water the garden today!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 10 Jun 2020 06:09:47 -0400
Good wet morning,

For the last half hour we have had very heavy rain.  One website I look at is showing the rain passing through, but it is not associated with any tropical wave, or at least any appearing on the NOAA synoptic charts or NHC website. The nearest tropical wave is still not expected until approximately Friday.

Looking out - I see nothing, not even Westerhall Point, which is only a few hundred yards away. The Martinique radar shows the blob, which also looks as if it has almost passed through. With no further blips (as yet) to follow. But I suspect we could suffer from high cloud for a good part of the day?

Already I have noticed new leaves appearing on many plants. It does appear the dry season is over.

Have a nice day.

Hogan



- Rain showers
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 9 Jun 2020 09:31:17 -0400
Rain update

We have just had some showers clip the SW of the island, and I can now see some more out to our east (photo). Maybe the websites were right?

Hogan

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- The wave that wasn't?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 9 Jun 2020 07:41:59 -0400
Good morning,

Well that wave has passed, with very little rain. Compare that with the one a few days ago!

All day yesterday I was monitoring some heavy convection about 200 miles East of us. The strange thing is, it is still there! About 80 miles East of Tobago

See this satellite loop, it will show the last 5 hours (note it will be updated to when you look): https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastfullDiskband14&lat=12.0&type=Animation&numframes=30&lon=-61.0zoom=1&width=700&height=600&quality=80&palette=ir2.pal

Note that you can change the number of frames (each one is 10 mins) maximum is 50.

Further East is the next tropical wave, but it's westerly movement has slowed down. Now (according to NHC) it is approaching at 7knts. Is this due to the convection ahead of it, only the experts will know. At it's present speed it is expected in our area about Saturday. I will update tomorrow.

It is a lovely morning. We had a short shower about a couple of hours ago. I can't see any rain showers, looking out. Nor many blips on the radar. To the South East there are a few towering clouds. A pleasant breeze. A very clear horizon, first time for a while.

There are two websites I monitor that say that we are in an area of possible rain showers! Oh well?

Have a great day and stay safe.

Hogan



- What Wave?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 8 Jun 2020 09:41:04 -0400
Good morning,

According to the NHC and NOAA websites the Tropical wave that was due late yesterday is passing through now. The NHC says it is inducing scattered thunder storms ahead of it - No sign of them here. But there are signs of some convection a) between Tobago and Barbados (East of us), this can just be seen entering the range of the Martinique radar and b) a lot more to the East of Trinidad & Tobago.

The following two 'waves' are due Friday and Saturday using their current position and the speed from NHC.

Despite us apparently being in the middle of a tropical wave, it is a lovely morning. There is plenty of blue sky to the South and a few clouds to the North, over the mountains, as usual.  No visible sign of rain (with the exception of the blip on the radar about 80 miles east of us). Neither of the web sites I look at give indications of rain until this evening. But I wouldn't rule out the odd shower?

At least, for now, we have lost most of the high cloud.

Have a nice and safe day.  And thanks for many photos of last nights Sunset.

Hogan





- Thunder this morning???
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 7 Jun 2020 09:09:34 -0400
Good morning,

I hear from a few friends that they heard thunder this morning. Apparently towards the NE of Grenada. I can't say I heard it!

So now we have another tropical wave passing through. The NHC says most convection (rain) is South of 10N. If this is the case then we shouldn't get much rain. The axis of this wave should pass through this afternoon, although it looks like it will have little effect on us (maybe)!

After the last two days of rain the plants are already looking happier.

There are two more 'waves' following the one that is currently passing through. The one in mid Atlantic is currently showing very little convection. The other one has only just come off of Africa.

There is plenty of high hazy cloud around, Some low bubbly clouds. No visible sign of rain, as yet. Definitely can't hear any thunder! The Martinique radar isn't showing any significant showers in our area.

I wish you all a good and safe day.

Hogan


- More rain than was expected yesterday
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 6 Jun 2020 07:55:42 -0400
Plenty of rain spread over the day. The garden and the gardeners loved it. The web sites I follow did not predict that amount of rain, but no complaints from me. The rain also brought out the flying bugs. Must scoop them off the surface of the pool.

There are currently two more tropical waves in the Atlantic. At current speeds they are expected Sunday and Wednesday. Currently they do not look as if they have much in the way of rain, but neither did yesterday's.

Today, the radar shows a few showers in the area, including over the North of the island. Looking out I can see some towering clouds to the North, guess it is raining up there? Just a slight Easterly breeze.

There is a high level South-westerly airflow bringing some high cloud which looks like staying, in varying amounts throughout the day.



- Leading edge of the wave.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 5 Jun 2020 07:13:55 -0400
Good damp morning,

The axis of the wave is about 170 miles East of us, and the rain we are getting is the leading edge. So far not that heavy, but the plants must be enjoying it.

The Martinique radar (08:40) a break in the rain, There appears to be more rain to come, and I just heard what sounded like distant rumble of thunder out to the East, but not convinced. A friend wit lightning detectors says he has no indication of lightning - perhaps the local concrete works doing something??? The satellite images show plenty of cloud to come.

Looking out it is overcast in all directions except West. Darkest to the South East. The horizon is a bit hazy, and currently I can't see any heavy rain showers in any direction.

The axis of this wave is now due this afternoon/evening. As it nears, I believe, there could be clearer spells. Hopefully followed by some more rain. But we are on the northern limit of the rain area, and could miss out on some well needed decent rain.

There are now two tropical waves following, one may arrive in our area about Tuesday, the next about Thursday.

A last quick peep out and I see another shower coming from the East. It may scrape the South of the island.

Have a good and safe day.

Hogan



- Tropical waves
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 4 Jun 2020 08:19:51 -0400
Good morning,

Yesterday, we had a couple of nice showers, enough to wet the ground, a bit.

The two tropical waves are still moving closer, the nearest is now 409 miles to our East. the 2nd one is about 1900 miles to our east.

A tropical wave is an area of relatively low pressure, just north of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). On satellite images often looks like a wave or inverted "V" of cloud bulging north of the East/West line of clouds that are the ITCZ. When I mention the position of a tropical wave, the distance given is to a line, normally North/South drawn through the middle of the Tropical wave. Rain can precede and/or follow the wave. The NHC are stating that in the nearest wave there are scattered showers 200 miles either side of the wave.

At the current speed the 'wave' axis should reach us tomorrow. It is only a weak one, but let's hope it brings some more rain.

Today it is very hazy, I can't see the horizon.There is slightly more wispy high cloud than yesterday. There is a chance of the odd shower (hope).

Keep safe and have a nice day.

Hogan




- Another lovely day in Paradise
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 3 Jun 2020 08:33:02 -0400
Good morning,

Similar morning to yesterday, blue skies, slightly hazy, very few clouds other than over the hills. Just a couple of wisps of high cloud. And a pleasant Easterly breeze.

Again, it looks like just a small chance of the odd shower. We also seems to be between two areas of high cloud coming off South America, one to our south another further north. So hopefully very little high cloud?

As for the two tropical waves, they are still steadily moving across the Atlantic. They are not very strong and neither of the web sites I look at are predicting much rain from the first one. So don't put your hopes too high. The axis of the wave is excepted (at it's current speed) some time on Friday. Currently satellites are showing more convection (rain?) on it's trailing edge. Two websites I monitor are suggesting more chance of rain on Saturday.   The second wave is estimated to reach us about next Wednesday.

Have a nice and safe day.

Hogan


- Two tropical waves now
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 2 Jun 2020 08:32:34 -0400
Good morning, and a lovely one it is. Mostly blue sky, only a few of those high clouds that have virtually blocked out the Sun for the last few days. With no large convection over Venezuela, and a slight change of upper level winds, it looks like we won't have much high cloud today. The radar is showing a few 'blips' to the Northeast of us, so maybe and hopefully, might get the odd short shower. The horizon is still hazy, maybe Sahara dust?

Out in the Atlantic, we now have two tropical waves, neither very strong, The first may pass through about Friday and hopefully bring more rain than the last one. The web sites I monitor are not giving me much hope of rain, though. On satellite images the showers from this wave, are still south of our latitude.

The other tropical wave is south of the Cabo Verdes. I will keep watching this.over the next few days.

Have a great safe day

Hogan


- Tropical wave later in the week per National Hurricane Centre
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 1 Jun 2020 07:43:44 -0400
Good morning,

Sorry for not posting yesterday, but was watching the Dragon approach the ISS.  We had a couple of showers in the morning. The rest of the day was that dull overcast high cloud courtesy of Venezuela and a high level Westerly wind.

Today, we are still suffering from that high cloud, which will probably continue, with varying thickness, throughout the day. Only a small chance of rain. Very misty. Add the smoke from peoples fires up in he hills making the mountains even more hazy. I thought their weren't meant to be fires? The radar has shown some recent showers have passed through the Grenadines.

I have just seen that there is a new tropical wave 43W expected here later in the week. Could we get some rain from this one? Never thought I would look forward to tropical waves!

Get those rain dancing shoes back on!

Have a good and safe day.

Hogan


- The rain I was hoping for tomorrow is no longer forecast!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 May 2020 08:49:07 -0400
The Atlantic is clear of tropical waves. The rain that one website predicted for tomorrow has dried up.

We had a small shower here late yesterday afternoon. It was enough to wet the tiles, but not enough for the plants. I heard that there was some welcome rain at the North end of the island.

There is less high cloud today. Still very hazy. We should see more of the Sun. Still very little chance of rain.

Hogan


- Looks like similar to yesterday!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 29 May 2020 09:17:35 -0400
Maybe slightly less high cloud later. Very little chance of rain.

The web sites that told me there was a good chance of rain a couple of days ago, and were wrong, are now saying there is a small chance of rain Sunday - we will see.

No tropical waves (as yet) in the Atlantic.

Have a good day, keep safe.

Hogan


- High cloud very little chance of rain.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 28 May 2020 07:00:18 -0400
Good morning,

A very overcast morning. Mostly high cloud being dragged over us, from Venezuela, where they do have rain! The tops of these tall rain clouds being peeled off in the high level Westerly wind. It does look as if this is with us for most of the day, one web site forecasting 100% high cloud cover all day. At low level, there are a few clouds, and just out to sea, I did spot a couple of weak showers. No rain showers, in this area, seen on the Martinique weather radar

The websites I follow are not predicting any rain today (hopefully they will be wrong, again).

There are no tropical waves out in the Atlantic, and there seems little chance of any significant, if any, rain over the next few days.

Hope you all have a pleasant day, and stay safe.

Hogan


- Please don't shoot the messenger! Lack of rain.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 27 May 2020 07:55:53 -0400

Hi all,

I would like to apologize for giving you false hope about having rain. My sources included the National Hurricane Centre. According to the NOAA Synoptic chart, the wave is passing over this area right now. Yet looking out it looks like a typical day, just a few fluffy clouds, just the odd one that could bring a few drips..

NHC Tropical wave discussion :

'A tropical wave is along 16N60W to 08N62W. The wave is moving 
west at 10 to 15 knots. TPW imagery has been showing enhanced 
moisture to the east of the wave. Precipitation: isolated 
moderate is from 10N southward between 50W and 60W'.

Note we are 12N and 62W

Everywhere is now really beginning to look dry. Unfortunately, looking at the same websites, they show no rain for some time. But as at any time, we could have the occasional shower.

My wife always points out that I am wrong, so let us hope I am wrong again. The garden needs rain!

Have a good day, and stay safe.

Hogan


- Where is the rain?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 26 May 2020 07:46:18 -0400
Hi all,

Good news is  I have my internet back after 4 days leaning over my neighbour's wall.

The not so good news is the tropical wave appears to have weakened somewhat. It is still approaching, but all the web sites I monitor have reduced the potential rainfall we could expect. Satellite images are not showing much in the amount of heavy clouds/rain. The only weather radar I can view hardly shows any showers, in the Lesser Antilles. The plants are really suffering and I was really hoping for rain. What is drying the ground even more is the strong winds, and these are expected to be with us all day, and if anything possibly get stronger.

There is a chance that as the back half of this tropical wave passes it gives a second chance of rain tomorrow.

I am still hoping for the rain, but will need you to all get those rain dancing shoes out again!

Hope you all have a nice day.

Hogan




- Still a chance of rain Tuesday/Wednesday
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 25 May 2020 07:09:28 -0400
A tropical wave is still approaching.

It does look like we could have an increase chance of rain Tuesday Wednesday.    Still no FLOW internet (4 days now),

Sorry for being brief, but struggling to see screen in sunlight.

Hogan


- Tropical wave Tuesday-Wednesday
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 24 May 2020 06:38:23 -0400
Good morning,

First I would like to thank my neighbour for allowing me to access his Internet by sitting at the end of my garden. I still do not have internet from my service Provider 'FLOW' after nearly 3 days! The only call from them was to sell me something! But since yesterday's post, I have found that I am not alone!

Due to my limited access, I will be brief. There is a tropical wave 2 to 3 days out in the Atlantic. With a bit of luck we could get some rain around Tuesday to Wednesday.

Hardly any breeze this morning, the horizon is slightly hazy, a few clouds to the South and low cloud to the North scraping the tops of the mountains.

Now to go close to neighbour's house to send this post.

Keep safe

Hogan



- Sorry, no weather from me today due to FLOW problems
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 23 May 2020 06:26:16 -0400
Good morning,

I, do not have internet and have not had it for getting on for two days. The only call I have had from FLOW is saying they see I have a problem, they are having problems with their 'legacy LIME system' and asked if I would like to go to their more reliable FLOW system. I am now getting calls from other 'LIME users that they are having the same problems/calls!  I have reluctantly agreed (will cost more) to go onto their system, but until they install the new, system sometime next week, I will find it difficult to do weather related posts, I am sorry.

If I had a suspicious nature, I would think this could be intentional, to force people to change!

Having to use neighbour's internet to send this.  The rain came late a couple of days ago, but it came , with wind.

It is too difficult balanced on a fence to try to look up the weather, but I don't see any signs of rain at the moment.

More posts as I can. Sorry!

Hogan


- Rain?????
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 20 May 2020 06:49:46 -0400
The only thing this tropical wave has brought us so far are clear skies! The horizon is clearer than I have seen it for weeks. There is just a slight breeze.

The wave appears to be weakening, and the rain has moved further North. There are some heavy showers showing on the satellite images, but most are further north and East.

But still keep doing the rain dances, we may still get some rain later. Still hoping! The radar shows some rain near Barbados.

The rest of the Atlantic is currently clear of tropical waves.

Have a good day - keep safe.

Hogan


- The tropical wave seems to have weakened.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 19 May 2020 07:56:18 -0400
Good morning,

We had a little rain over night. This was not part of the tropical wave I mentioned, that isn't expected until over night tonight, or more likely Wednesday morning. The wave seems to have reduce in intensity, I do hope it brings some rain.

Still lots of high cloud making a very hazy Sun. It does look as if this could thin out a bit as the morning goes on.

Now down to do some gardening.

Hogan


- Tropical wave MIGHT bring rain Wednesday
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 18 May 2020 07:33:07 -0400
Good morning,

The tropical wave I mentioned yesterday is moving slowly towards us. The indications are that it could bring us some rain Wednesday morning - let us hope.

Still very hazy, the breeze has picked up in the last hour.

Tropical Storm Arthur is scraping the coast of N. Carolina and about to swing out into the Atlantic.

Hope you all keep safe.

Hogan



- Weak tropical wave coming across the Atlantic
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 17 May 2020 12:47:59 -0400
Hi all,

First of my weather related posts. There is a tropical wave about two to three days away. Is it just possible we could get some rain late Tuesday into Wednesday? The garden needs a good soaking. Plants are dying.

There is the first named storm drifting north just off the East coast of the USA  'TS Arthur'.

Hope you all keep safe and life gets back to normal fairly soon.

Hogan


- Overcast and rain.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 25 Apr 2020 08:18:39 -0400
Not a day for gardening! And looking at the satellite and radar images, it looks like these showers are quite widespread throughout the Lesser Antilles. With plenty more coming in from the Atlantic.

It appears that we will get a lot of low cloud today and guessing rain with it. There could be breaks

Have a safe day

Hogan


- Still very little to say about the weather
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 20 Apr 2020 06:55:01 -0400
Hi all,

Only a very small number of showers scattered around our part of the Caribbean.

But an interesting thing is happening (in Grenada), the Sun passes from South of us (today) to our North (tomorrow)*. But for all intense and purposes, the Sun will be directly overhead at 12:05 - So if you have anything that is completely upright it will not cast a shadow, or something like a flowerpot, it will cast a perfect circle.

*Sorry Phil at Petit Anse, you will have to wait one more day for this to happen up North!

Sorry about this useless information, but with most of us stuck at home with nothing better to do, why not go outside at 12:05 and look at shadows, stand upright and look at your own. Try a cylindrical object such as a Pringle tub on a horizontal surface.

All the best to you all and keep safe.

Hogan



- Did anyone feel an earthquake?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 7 Apr 2020 06:31:54 -0400
Hi all,

Not much weather happening, except we haven't seen any rain for nearly 1 week. But did anyone feel an earthquake at about 22:30 last night? There was a Magnitude 5.2 earthquake mid way between us and Tobago.

I was asleep and didn't feel it.

I hope you all keep safe during this time of Covid-19.

Hogan


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