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- Looks like a fairly good day today.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Aug 2019 06:11:18 -0400
The Atlantic is still quiet. Just one weak tropical wave about mid ocean.

Very few blips on the radar, and the satellite images show a clear area to our East.

Hardly any breeze as I write.

The horizon is clear, a few fluffy clouds. Dare I say, it looks like a nice day.

Hogan



- Tropical wave passing through today
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 17 Aug 2019 07:11:27 -0400
The tropical Wave I mentioned yesterday is passing through the area. It could bring some rain. A small shower has just passed.

The radar and satellite images do show an area of rain/cloud to our SE and East. But looking out this appears to be mostly high cloud.

Light Easterly winds are forecast.

The rest of the Atlantic remains quiet, for now. There is another wave, just West of the Capo Verde islands.

Hogan


- Tropical wave due late Saturday early Sunday
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 16 Aug 2019 07:27:32 -0400
Very hazy today - I cannot see the horizon. There is a slight Easterly breeze. The radar* and satellite images show very few cloud/rain in the area, at the present time.

* Radar comes from Martinique and Trinidad. Martinique, being 170+ milesaway only sees the highest of rain showers (as radar can't see over the horizon) and the Trinidad radar at about 100 miles away, much nearer but has a range of mountains, which must give limited view of low altitude clouds. Unfortunately the Barbados radar appears to have been not working for some time, "BMS still awaiting return of RF front-end component from manufacturer", at 150(ish) miles from us did used to provide good cover to our east.

The Atlantic still quiet today, apart from two tropical waves. One is just off the African coast, the other is due to arrive in our area later tomorrow. Currently the wave is weak, but has significant moderate to heavy showers within it, where it is causing the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) to bulge north. Some web sites are predicting a good chance of rain as this system passes. We will hopefully get a better idea tomorrow morning.

The ITCZ is an area where the Southern hemisphere  S-Easterly Trade winds meet the Northern N-Easterly trade winds, with nowhere else to go they tend to create a band of rain and storms. This area moves further North at this time of year. It is currently shown at about 10degs N across the Atlantic (apart from the bulge I mentioned above). On a synoptic chart ( such as: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/USA_06Z.gif ) you will also notice Monsoon Trough - As best I can find out they are almost the same thing.

As I was about to post this, we have just had a slight shower. Also in the haze it looks like some darker clouds are approaching. also a couple of blips on Trini radar, maybe take back what I said about them.

Have a good day.

Hogan


- A storm passing South of Grenada
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 15 Aug 2019 06:15:59 -0400
At 06:00 there is a storm passing just South of Grenada. There is a slight Easterly breeze. Plenty of high cloud. The radar and satellite images show more heavy cloud to our East, these could bring more heavy showers or thunder this morning.

The Atlantic is still quiet, with only one tropical wave just our side of mid Atlantic.

Hogan


- Looks like rain,
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 14 Aug 2019 10:09:51 -0400
Sky dark to the East. Radar and satellite images show clouds coming from the East. This is as a small tropical wave has just passed through.

Atlantic still quiet.

Hogan


- The Atlantic is still quiet.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 11 Aug 2019 07:56:06 -0400
Good morning,

Commancheros (the most entertaining band), came 2nd to New Dimension at Panorama.  Well done to both bands.  But my congratulations go to the band that brought the stadium, if not the judges, to life!

There was a couple of small showers during the show, but it didn't stop or spoil the event.

There are only a couple of tropical waves in the Atlantic as of this morning, according to NHC Synoptic chart. One, although you wouldn't notice it, is passing through the area this morning, A few showers further up the chain. Here just a few scattered clouds. There is a lovely breeze.

Let us hope that this spell of dry weather lasts until end of Carnival (Tuesday).

Hogan



- Few showers around
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 10 Aug 2019 08:55:24 -0400
There is a weak wave approaching. But the radar only shows a few showers.

We have had a couple of heavy showers this morning, but hoping there will be less this afternoon for Panorama. At least we should have a pleasant Easterly breeze.

Hogan


- Looks like another hot day with only a slight easterly breeze.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 9 Aug 2019 07:22:09 -0400
The Atlantic is still quiet, so far.

Just a slight Easterly breeze. A few fluffy clouds, except over the mountains, where they look a bit darker.

Looks like a few more days similar to this.  I guess there is always a chance of a small shower.

Have a great day and weekend. Hope rain keeps off for the rest of Carnival - we are off to Panorama Saturday.

Hogan


- Apart from a few showers , the rain predicted yesterday - missed us.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 06:51:02 -0400
The overnight rain predicted by other websites (and me) missed Grenada. It passed North of us.

On the whole, the Atlantic looks fairly quiet, at the moment. A weak wave about 950 miles to our East, and another wave leaving the West Coast of Africa.

Two photos this morning contrast the view East(multilayered veils of cloud) and West (fairly clear with the Sun hitting the top of a billowing cloud). South is a thicker layer of medium high cloud, which could possibly bring a few drops of rain (guess). Radar shows this moving north towards us.

No predictions from me for today. With 3 out of 3 almost completely wrong. But I am hoping for the slight Easterly breeze to return.

Must get tickets for Panorama today!

Hogan


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- Tropical wave approaching
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 7 Aug 2019 08:44:45 -0400
Having got the last two days wrong, well more like right, but in the wrong order, I will try again.

The one thing I did get right was the light winds. This looks as if it will continue today. One of the web sites I monitor shows increasing cloud and rain starting this evening. This is due to a tropical wave just East of us. Looking at the satellite images, it appears to have plenty of clouds/rain on the leading edge of the wave. I will probably be wrong (as usual), but I think we could get some heavy showers earlier than this evening. Data from Barbados shows they have already had some rain overnight. And the radar show numerous echoes east of a line from Tobago to St Lucia.

Currently there is no breeze, the boats at anchor in the bay are pointing in all directions. Almost 100% high cloud cover. A shower is visible just South of the airport. Clouds just scraping the tops of the mountains.

Have a great day.

Hogan

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- Having got it wrong yesterday let's have nother go.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Aug 2019 07:24:47 -0400
It was a hot and humid night, with no breeze to speak of - floor fan blowing full on me. Minimum temp last night (per airport) was 27C (81F). Humidity reached 90% during the night - currently 84%.

We  have just had a heavy shower, and looking round there are many large clouds out there (photo) in all directions. The radar shows numerous showers, so it is quite possible to get one. It looks as if we have at least another 24 hours of just light breezes (East to South-east). Two web sites I monitor are saying that the showers will ease off during the morning, but with light winds I guess showers can build at any time.

So, sticking my head out - Risk of early showers. Mostly sunny day (always a risk of rain), very light East to South-East breeze, Will feel hot. Another night with little or no breeze.

Have a nice day

Hogan


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- Well I got that wrong!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 5 Aug 2019 10:58:34 -0400
So, Most of the high cloud has gone, the sun is shining hot. No sign of rain (at the moment). The only thing I got right was the wind from a southerly direction.

Also, what I forgot to mention, the Sargasso seaweed is being blown into the southern inlets and beaches.

Still we can now enjoy the breeze from the south and the sunshine, while they last.

Hogan


- Wrong way rain
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 5 Aug 2019 07:45:32 -0400
Good (rainy) morning,

I was wondering what to write this morning, as this tropical wave passes through. Then the weather gave me a helping hand.  We had already had one heavy shower, then a brighter period. I was expecting a slight wind direction change, with the breeze starting to come from more a southerly direction. Then we had another heavy shower, this time with the rain accompanied by a strong wind from the South. Resulting in a misty rain being blown in a well covered air vent in the roof.

So we are now well into the tropical wave. Change of wind direction is a good indicator. So for the next 24 hours we can expect a wind with a more southerly component. But gusts from any direction when squally rain showers pass through. And I do expect some to pop up from the direction of Tobago.

Martinique radar only picks up the heaviest (highest) of showers in our area, but the Trinidad weather radar is showing showers in our vicinity.

Looking out - The remnants of the last shower can still be seen over towards St George. To the East it is very dark and I can see rain falling. This will probably go up the East coast and Carriacou. To the South mostly high cloud. If you look up, you will notice any low cloud coming from a Southerly direction.

My feeling is that today will be mostly (high) overcast, maybe some light rain, intermixed with heavy showers. I hope I am wrong, but I don;t expect much in the way of sunshine. Meanwhile I will enjoy the southerly breeze, as will my friend Pat?

All the best

Hogan


- 96L is no more.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Aug 2019 20:34:15 -0400
96L no longer appears on the NHC charts, but the tropical Wave which spawned it does still exist, so  we can expect showers for the next couple of days.

Hogan



- The difference a few minutes makes.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Aug 2019 07:54:08 -0400
Since my post a few minutes ago. I have just taken these three photos. East - towering Cumulus (More rain?). South - Sargasso seaweed passing by (Guess the East coast is getting it. And to the West a rainbow (Hopefully the house on the left has a pot of gold?

Enjoy.

Hogan

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- Now a low chanc of 96L developing in next few days into a Tropical storm.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Aug 2019 07:30:53 -0400
NHC have downgraded the forecasts for 96L. What there is of it (a tropical wave) is on course for the northern part of the chain. It could still bring some rain to us, also a period of very little wind (probably Monday night through Tuesday.

Today, the radar shows numerous showers between ST Vincent and Grenada. Looking out I can see a heavy shower passing just South of Ft Jeudy, with some more out to the East. I can feel some rain in the air. The sky is overcast to the East, but still blue areas to the West. I can see the top of Morne Gazo, but all the rest of the mountains are shrouded in cloud. A breeze from the East. Humidity (at airport) 89%.

Have a nice Sunday - We hope to go to Coconut Beach to hear some steel pans - weather permitting.

Hogan



- 96L - still not a Tropical Depression.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 3 Aug 2019 07:39:50 -0400
96L has still not gathered enough strength to become a Tropical Depression. There is only a 20% chance of this happening in the next two days, with only 3 days to go before it reaches our area. It is still expected to pass through or near the northern part of the Lesser Antilles. The leading edge of the associated tropical wave does appear to have a large amount of cloud and rain in it. It does not, at this time, look like we will have any strong winds, as it passes.

Today is the sky is hazy and a stiff Easterly breeze. There appears to be some large areas of rain/cloud near Trinidad & Tobago showing on the satellite and radar images. These could spread towards us during the day??? So I think there could be an increased chance of some rain as the day goes on (again with many question marks!).

Have a good day.

Hogan


- 96L - expected in the Lesser Antilles about Tuesday
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Aug 2019 06:56:25 -0400
The latest models have it heading towards the northern half of the island chain as a tropical storm.  It is currently about 1400 miles east of Grenada.

It is too early to predict how it will effect us, but expect light winds and rain Monday through Tuesday, as the associated tropical wave passes through.

This morning we had some light rain. There are more clouds around compared with yesterday. I can see a shower off to the East, but the Martinique radar does not show any rain nearby. The weather chart does show a very weak wave passing through. Possibly it could bring some showers throughout the day.

Hogan




- Storm 96L
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 1 Aug 2019 07:36:39 -0400
The tropical wave is now at 9.5N 37.4W or about 1600 miles East of us. We are beginning to see more predictions of where it will be in 5 days time. They are suggesting it will pass North of Barbados and head towards the northern part of the Lesser Antilles, most have it as a tropical Storm/Cat 1.

This morning, the breeze has dropped, the sky. as I write, is clear blue to the West and lots of fluffy clouds to the East. The mountains have mostly cloud cover.

If you happen to be out very late at night (after midnight) over the next two weeks, spend a little time (if the sky is clear) looking up. There will be an increasing opportunity to see meteors streaking across the sky. They will peak on about the twelfth of August, unfortunately a near full Moon will spoil this years display. This is the annual Perseids  meteor shower. It occurs each year as the Earth passes through dust left behind from 109P/Swift Tuttle comet. So be ready to make your wishes.

Hogan


- Tropical wave SW of Cabo Verdes
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 31 Jul 2019 12:04:49 -0400
Good breezy morning, At last the trades are back.

Hazy, but bright with a few clouds, strong Easterly breeze. We had some rain over night, but none showing in our area on the Martinique radar. This does not mean we can't have some small showers.

The Tropical wave I mentioned yesterday is now showing a 50% chance of developing into a tropical depression/storm in the next 5 days. It is currently about 2000 miles due east of Grenada. So the 50% prediction in 5 days puts it just East of the Lesser Antilles ! Currently I can't find any predicted tracks, but NHC has it going slightly North of Barbados. Let us see what tomorrow brings.

The breeze should drop a bit tomorrow.

Hogan



- Keeping an eye on the Atlantic
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 30 Jul 2019 06:42:30 -0400
Hi,

Well we received a few drips here (Westerhall) yesterday. I did see some large clouds billowing over the mountains, guess some areas had some rain, my guess was in the Grand Roy area??

Today looks to be a mostly sunny day, very low chance of the odd shower. The breeze has returned to a SE-E direction.

Looking across the Atlantic, the NHC have an "X" marking the spot where a tropical wave has 20% chance of developing (in 5 days) as it comes across the Atlantic, I will keep an eye on this one.

Have a nice day

Hogan


- Very calm - after effects of 95L
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 29 Jul 2019 07:34:43 -0400
Good morning,

Calm, almost clear but slightly hazy sky.  As the remnants of the yesterday's tropical wave moves NW towards Puerto Rico, we still feel the effect as it nullifies the trade winds.

Unless the South-easterly breeze picks up today, I expect some rain later as the land heats up and clouds build up over the island.

We should see the trade winds returning over the next two days.

Nothing significant in the Atlantic, apart from a couple of tropical waves.

I must, as every year, mention that my forecasts are completely amateur, I do my best based on information from various websites. I am always happy to receive feedback. Especially how accurate the previous forecast was (please give as a percentage 0(completely wrong) to 100(spot on). My observations are from a vantage point near Westerhall, and I do realise that Sauteurs/Bathway area is on a different planet, as Sally always tells me.

Have a great day -

Hogan




- The tropical wave going through update.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 28 Jul 2019 15:59:58 -0400
Since this morning, the axis of the tropical wave has passed through. It has given us a bit of the rain I was expecting. But have just noticed that it is now shown as storm 95L and on the NHC website has a 10% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. This system is not a problem for us, but as it moves NW could cause heavy rain and thunder further up the island chain. But here, is currently causing the lack of a breeze and some rain, also the planes to land in the 'wrong' direction.

Hogan


- Well I got that wrong!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 28 Jul 2019 07:09:16 -0400
Yesterday I suggested that today would be wet. Well I (along with other websites) got that wrong - so far. A tropical wave is passing through (Sunday Morning), but it has not brought any rain, yet.

The current radar is showing some scattered showers. Looking out, I can see rain showers to the South, Southeast and one building up to the East. So we may still get some rain.  There is also a bright rainbow to the Southwest.

Nothing brewing in the Atlantic (per NHC).

Have a good Sunday.

Hogan


- Tropical wave to pass through the area Sunday
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 27 Jul 2019 04:58:26 -0400
Hi all,

I have just arrived back in Grenada to cool off! Temperatures in the UK were hotter than in Grenada, on Wednesday and Thursday.

Currently there are no tropical storms predicted (NHC). But there is a Tropical wave a few hundred miles to the East of us, which looks like it could bring some rain on Sunday.

Nice to be back.

Hogan



- Plenty Rain
  • By jacqueline dowden <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 14 Jul 2019 22:17:07 +0000
Friday evening gave us plenty rain, thunder and lightening and power outages (Mt.Moritz 9 hours).

Today (Sunday) we have had thunder and rain this afternoon and seems more is to come...hearing thunder in the distance again now.

Stay dry and safe,
Jacquie xx


- Storm 93 no longer a threat.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 14 Jul 2019 09:42:05 +0100
Hi all,

Storm 93 is no longer shown on the NHC website. But it does look like Monday could have quite a lot of rain. I have heard that our water tank is now full, the first time for several months. I am looking forward to returning to lovely, and I expect a lot greener, Grenada.

Hogan


- Storm 93
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Jul 2019 07:16:04 +0100
Since my quick post yesterday,  NHC now show it as having 10% chance of developing, against 20% yesterday.

Further update tomorrow.

Hogan


- Storm 93 in the Atlantic
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 12 Jul 2019 22:38:19 +0100
Hi folks,

I have been very quiet over the last few months. Currently I am in the UK, but keeping an eye on the weather. There is a storm mid Atlantic, with some predictions showing that it could pass through the Southern part of the Windwards. I will keep an eye on it.

Hopefully  we should be back with you soon.

Hogan


- From the other side of the Atlantic...
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 17 Jun 2019 12:33:29 +0100
Hi all,

I have just looked at some satellite images and see that Trini & Tobago are having heavy showers and storms. The area of bad weather appears to be covering an area just up to Grenada. I can see from Dive Grenada webcam that the sea looks calm, but a lot of overcast. There is a tropical wave passing through the area.

Hope to be back to join you soon.

Hogan


- Don't have to water the plants today!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Apr 2019 06:38:42 -0400
We are having some lovely rain. Looks like we could have quite a bit today.

Hogan


- Hey we are having some real rain!!!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 2 Apr 2019 10:55:15 -0400

The garden really needs it.

As usual I am talking about what is happening down South. Probably dry as a bone up north of the island?

Hogan


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