Caribbean Hurricane Network

- Updates from the Islands -

2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Website sponsored by: Gobeach Vacations where stormCARIB began:

Active Tropical Systems: None!
Atlantic Hurricane Season is from June 1 - November 30

GOES Satellite - Zoomed in on the Caribbean (11:50 UTC, 19 minutes ago)
Scale bar (lower right) is 250 miles. [more satellite imagery].
See storm-centered satellite image and loop in the tools section below (if available)

Tuesday, September 1, 2026 06:57AM EDT - TS Edouard

Good morning,

While the Atlantic Basin remains on the quiet side, especially with
the demise of TS Dolly, which, in a normal season sans Super El Nino,
would have probably became a major hurricane that recurved before the
island chain, the Eastern Pacific is frenetic while the GOM/GOA is
dealing with a homegrown TS named Edouard.

The remnants of Dolly, whose fast forward speed contributed to her
lack of intensification along with the SAL and wind shear, did not
bring as much rain as was anticipated to the NE Caribbean, although
any rain was welcome in this drought-ridden region. As Gert shared
earlier, those remnants have a low chance of re intensifying while
bringing blustery weather to the Bahamas plus the Turks and Caicos.
Elsewhere in the Atlantic, a few low riders will continue their march
westward with little opportunity of development. However, there are
several potent waves on the African continent that could alter our
future scenario.

Small core TS Edouard, semi paralleling the Gulf Coast off Louisiana
will be investigated again today by the hurricane hunters. A small
core system is capable of rapid transformations in intensity, up or
down. In this case, it will be up. TS Edouard will be traveling over
extremely warm waters near the coast as he approaches landfall. Rapid
Intensification upon approach to the coast of the LA/TX border,
including Houston's infamous flood prone infrastructure, is a good
possibility with Cat 1 potential at landfall. Not cut in stone though.

Regardless of a strong TS or minimal Cat 1 landfall, the results will
be virtually the same. While much needed and blessed rains will occur,
they will occur over concrete and concrete like dry, drought ridden
land resulting in major runoff with accompanying flash flooding.
Strong, increasingly gusty winds will lash the coast with coastal
erosion/flooding, storm surge, power outages, the usual suspect list
of a landfalling tropical system of this magnitude. If he landfalls
closer to Houston, the oil industry located in the port will likely
sustain damage as well although they have gone through this rodeo
before. Smaller storms have caused immense amounts of damage, largely
due to the copious amounts of rain in a short period of time.

Stay safe, prepared and vigilant.

Dave

Monday, August 31, 2026 15:10PM PDT - Dolly dissipates, Hallo TD Five

Dolly (the storm) dissipated before reaching the islands, and brought some welcome rain. From what I read, not too much rain, could even have been a bit more for some! Right now the remnants are over the Dominican Republic and Haiti, bringing locally heavy rains there. Hopefully not too much to cause landslides in the mountains... There is a very low chance that Dolly will regenerate into something, but be prepared for gusty and wet weather, TCI and Bahamas.

Meanwhile Tropical Depression Five formed from Invest 97L, off the coast of Louisiana. It is expected to make landfall near the Texas/Louisiana border in about 24 hours. The TD is not moving that fast at the moment so it might produce quite a lot of rainfall. Expect some flooding in the concrete prairie of Houston. Elsewhere it's quiet! -Gert

7:55PM update: Tropical Depression Five was upgraded to Tropical Storm Edouard. It should stay 'just' a tropical storm before it makes landfall, but with these warm waters you never know.

... Older discussions >>

Current Tropical Weather Outlook (NHC/TPC):

en Español

Accompanying satellite image (pop-up, source: NHC)

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Evans/Cangialosi

More detail in the Tropical Weather Discussion or view the Graphicast Image

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Latest local updates from the special
hurricane correspondents on the islands:
- St.Croix [Sep 3 23:05]
- St.Maarten/St.Martin [Sep 3 19:54]
- St.Thomas [Sep 2 16:06]
- Tortola & Virgin Gorda [Sep 1 17:55]
- Dominican Republic [Aug 31 14:43]
- Antigua [Aug 30 7:24]
- Dominica [Aug 27 11:30]
- Trinidad & Tobago [Aug 21 6:03]
- Turks & Caicos [Aug 15 8:00]
- Nevis [Aug 12 9:27]
- Saba [Aug 4 17:44]
- Bermuda [Jul 29 7:39]
- Jamaica [Jun 9 8:58]
- Puerto Rico [Jun 6 16:04]
- Haiti [Jun 2 15:13]

Only reports received for this season are listed. See the archive for previous years.

Links to excellent websites:
Satellite Imagery
- Navy/NRL Monterey
- NOAA/NESDIS (floater loops)
- RAMSDIS Imagery
- CIMSS/U.Wisc-Mad
Radar & Buoy Data
- Radar Composite - E-Carib.
- Radar Loops (McNoldy)
- Caribbean/Atl. buoy data
Model Guidance & Ensembles
- RT model guidance (RAL/NCAR)
- Tang/UAlbany (model tracks)
- tropicaltidbits.com
- PolarWX (Tomer Burg)
- weathernerds.org (ensembles)
- TC Realtime (RAMMB)
- ECMWF Model Forecast
Tracking & Analysis Tools
- Tracking Waves (McNoldy)
- zoom.earth hurricane tracker
Blogs
- Eye on the Storm (Jeff Masters)
- Brian McNoldy Blog
- Michael Lowry's Blog
Forums
- STORM2K forum
more...

Storm definitions by wind speed:
- Tropical Depression <39mph
- Tropical Storm 39-73mph
- Cat.1 Hurricane 74-95mph
- Cat.2 Hurricane 96-110mph
- Cat.3 Hurricane 111-129mph
- Cat.4 Hurricane 130-156mph
- Cat.5 Hurricane >=157mph
More info in the Practical Guide

Wind force relative to Category 1:
- Tropical Storm 39mph: 0.28x
- Cat.1 Hurricane 74mph: 1x
- Cat.2 Hurricane 96mph: 1.7x
- Cat.3 Hurricane 111mph: 2.3x
- Cat.4 Hurricane 130mph: 3.1x
- Cat.5 Hurricane 157mph: 4.5x
- Irma 185mph: 6.3x

Damage potential relative to Cat 1:
- Tropical Storm 39mph: 0.005x
- Cat.1 Hurricane 74mph: 1x
- Cat.2 Hurricane 96mph: 7.2x
- Cat.3 Hurricane 111mph: 23x
- Cat.4 Hurricane 130mph: 82x
- Cat.5 Hurricane 157mph: 369x
- Irma 185mph: 1372x

- - - Local hurricane correspondents wanted! - - -

The local hurricane correspondents are the heart and soul of stormCARIB. They are the people who live on the island and write to us what is going on around them. First hand very local personal reports instead of very limited or sensationalized coverage by the general media. Do you live on one of the islands? We need your help! We are looking for more people who are interested in sending us a few paragraphs about the situation on your island before, during and after a storm hits. You don't need to be a weatherman or expert on the subject, just share with us what you know, feel and see on your island. Your help will be really appreciated by Caribbean people living abroad with family living on the islands, future visitors who have their Caribbean dream-vacation booked, etc.etc. Reliable, not-sensationalized information is just so hard to get in crisis situations. Help keep the rest of the world up-to-date with what is really happening! We really need you, Georges back in 1998, and many others since then are proof! If interested, contact gert@gobeach.com.

WHAT TO FIND ON StormCARIB.com:
This website is all about the Caribbean. Here you can find information, weather discussions and local reports regarding tropical systems threatening the Caribbean islands. A central part of this website is the volunteer network of special local hurricane correspondents, living on the islands, who will report, when need be, on how it looks and feels like around them. Above also hopefully easy to understand weather discussions by me and Dave. In addition, as an aid in locating family or friends on the islands in an emergency situation you can post your 'plea for help' on the bulletin board. Also featured on this website is the Quick Hurricane Web Resource Navigator, for easy locating to the least overloaded webserver for National Hurricane Center advisories and the latest satellite images. Another part of the Caribbean Hurricane Network is the 'practical guide' to hurricane tracking with unit conversions, definitions, tips, links, etc. You can also find out how close the storm is and how many hours you have left to prepare plus you can map the closest point of approach of a hurricane to your location. New is the climatology of Caribbean hurricanes section. Find out when the real peak of hurricane season is for individual islands, view hurricane tracks passing by the islands over the last 150+ years. An archive with detailed reports of how the Caribbean islands fared during the 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004 (incl. Frances and Ivan), 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000, 1999 (incl. Floyd and Lenny), 1998 (incl. Georges and Mitch), 1997 and 1996 seasons are still available as well. Plus there is more, like storm-centered satellite images, make your own local satellite loop, etc. Hope you find the information on this website (now counting over thousands pages with original content) helpful. Comments always welcome! RSS web feed available. As a side note I am now accepting donations as well. Thanks for visiting!

Maintained & moderated by: Gert van Dijken (gert@gobeach.com).
Weather discussions also by Dave McDermott, St.Thomas, USVI.

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Disclaimer
The information on these pages is derived from weather statements provided by the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center, and others, and from hurricane correspondents in the Caribbean. I tried to translate the official weather statements in more layman's terms. Also, I tried to fill the gap in reporting on what is happening in the Caribbean, instead of the US (there are already many other good website which focus on the US). Keep in mind that my statements are my own interpretations from the information available to me. Therefore, use the information at your own risk, and above all, don't use these webpages for making life-or-death decisions, always rely on the official and qualified authorities! Accuracy of eye-witness reports by the special hurricane correspondents have not been checked. They may be highly subjective. The author can not be held responsible for lost property, ruined vacations and the like. Despite all this I hope you found the webpage informative and useful. These pages do not have a commercial intent. GoBeach Vacations provided the means and opportunity to start all this. 'Unfortunately' this website has become too popular, placing too much load on the gobeach.com webservers. Luckily, starting in 2000, my excellent webhost provider, pairNetworks, liked my website so much that they support services whenever they can. Comments are always welcome. Just send a note to gert@gobeach.com. Gert