|
|
- TD9 now TS Gaston.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 02 Sep 2010 08:59:10 +0100
|
Good morning Grenada.
System 98L has rapidly gone through Tropical Depression Nine and is now
Tropical Storm Gaston. The predictions are a bit erratic, but most have
it strengthening and following a similar path to the last two. It is
expected to be about 250 miles NE of Barbados in 5 days time (should
mean our flight will have to make a detour!).
Last year we were up to "E" in named storms, by this time.
All the best
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Fiona passing just east of Antigua?
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 01 Sep 2010 12:01:12 +0100
|
Hi Grenada,
Back to join you in a few days, if I can sort out the car insurance! I
think the old car is a write off! Still lucky to be uninjured.
With TS Fiona just passing East of ANtigua and predicted to dissipate
over the next few days, and Hurricane Earl rushing up off the east caost
of the USA, we now look east to SW of the Cape Verdes here we find 98L
showing signs of spinning up. It's latest position is 12.5N and 33.5W
The few polts they have for this depression have it following the same
sort of paths as the previous two (Earl & Fiona).
Next post tomorrow.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Brilliant Correspondents
|
- By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 1 Sep 2010 03:10:19 -0400
|
|
Just wanted to put a shout out to all the correspondents
from the Northern Islands that have managed through extreme difficulties to post
photos and reports both during and immediately after Earl. Well done all
of you. Good to hear most of you say that you weren't too badly
damaged.... the photos show that you had it pretty bad though. We in
Grenada know only to well the feeling after such an event but I'm sure you'll at
least get your electric back quicker than we did. Take heart that Fiona is
a lesser storm but let us still hope it takes a wider path from the
Islands. Good luck, stay safe and once again a big well done for keeping
us in touch.
Jacquie
xx
|
|
|
- Daniel, Earl, Fiona and 98L
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 31 Aug 2010 10:32:02 +0100
|
Getting very busy!!!
Daniel is now a tropical storm in N. Atlantic.
Earl now a Hurricane Cat 4 scraping north of San Juan and expected to
pass to the East of the Bahamas and West of Bermuda.
Now we have FionaAt about 15N 52 West About 700 miles due east of
Dominica and with a predicted path missing the islands.
There is a new disturbance 98L 10N 28W, Just SW of Cape Verdes. The
limited number of predictions show it following the others.
More later.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- TS Earl and 97L
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 18:26:10 +0100
|
At 17:15GMT Earl appears to have split in two. One, the spinny bit seems
to, almost, be following the recent predicted path. The more SW bit
(which does not appear to be spinning has broken off on a more westerly
course. I don't know if a TS has ever properly spit into two. I guess
the westerly bit will not develop, but what do I know? If it does
continue then we should watch it. Whatever, it probably doesn't have
time to develop.
Behind it and over mid Atlantic is 97L, 13N 29W, which seems to be in
Earls path and predicted to move north along the same route as Earl.
Hope to look tomorrow.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- TS Earl and 97L and a car crash!
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 12:26:13 +0100
|
Hi all,
Sorry for any delay in sending this post.
I have just arrived in Scotland by Taxi. Started the journey in our car
but ended it in a Taxi.We last saw our car disappearing on the back of a
tow truck!! We had a nasty accident on the M74 motorway when someone
crashed into the back of us! We both seem OK, but a bit stiff. The
other driver involved had a blow-out at about 70+ MPH and ended up
rolling up a bank.
Anyway we are OK and so I am now looking at the weather. Tropical Storm
Earl has followed a more southerly course (since I saw it a couple of
days ago). It still looks as if it will miss the Windwards, but may you
get some weather from it. Further out in the Atlantic is another system
97L, I will try to keep an eye on that.
All the best
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- 97L - Fiona?
|
- By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 27 Aug 2010 07:16:38 -0400
|
Well I'm more interested in 97L today than I was yesterday. As I suspected, it's taking a bit longer to organize since the SST's have been cooled by the other two systems. Because of that, the system will continue to follow a westerly track until it gets it's act together. Models bring it close to the Leeward Islands, and since the reliability of models so far ahead are notoriously unreliable, this system is worth observing closely for the time being.
|
|
- 97L - Fiona?
|
- By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 26 Aug 2010 17:02:05 -0400
|
The new system just off Africa has my interest. It's dropped off Africa a bit lower than the others, and since the other two systems have taken a lot of the juice out of the Atlantic SST's this one might form a little later, causing it to follow a more westerly track. I also notice that the other two systems have mixed up the sahara dust, so when the low moves into warmer SST's if the upper level winds are good, it'll fire up.
It's all really guess work at this pointhough, because it really is too early to say..... but this is a system I'll be tracking over the next day or so.
|
|
- Locally heavy rainfall
|
- By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 24 Aug 2010 12:44:58 -0400
|
Well Grenada doesn't have much to worry about with the Verde's out there (thank goodness!) but locally heavy rainfall last night and this morning are bound to be creating problems around the island. No NADMA flood warnings yet, but I'm sure there'll be some flooding/slides on the news tonight. All this rain is great since we had the drought last year, but my goodness, the mosquito's don't need anymore help, and Dengue is getting a bit out of control these days - I'd say at least 1 out of 20 people I know have come down with it this season. That's awfully high!
|
|
- Correction - Danielle is a Cat 2 hurricane, not a TS!
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 24 Aug 2010 08:46:02 +0100
|
Good morning Grenada,
Hurricane Cat 2 Danielle is 15.7 N 44W as of 06:00 GMT and following a
track that should take it well clear of the Windies.
There is a disturbance, 96L, just south of the Cape Verdes. 12.2N
21.7W. Again, the predicted path takes it initially on a Westerly path,
then turningtowards the NW.
I will monitor these.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Two disturbances in the Atlantic.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 24 Aug 2010 08:43:39 +0100
|
Good morning Grenada,
TS Danielle is 15.7 N 44W as of 06:00 GMT and following a track that
should take it well clear of the Windies.
There is a disturbance, 96L, just south of the Cape Verdes. 12.2N
21.7W. Again, the predicted path takes it initially on a Westerly path,
then turningtowards the NW.
I will monitor these.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Danielle - Tropical Storm.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 23 Aug 2010 11:15:45 +0100
|
TS Danielle has formed out in the Mid Atlantic. It is currently at about
14N and predicted to turn in a more Notherly direction and thus miss the
Caribbean.
More later.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Tropical Depression 6
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 21 Aug 2010 22:18:17 +0100
|
Hi Grenada,
Tropical Depression 6 has formed SW of Cape Verdes. It has developed a
bit during the day. All predictions show it will move north up through
the Atlantic.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Coming week prediction. and a bit from the UK
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 15 Aug 2010 08:44:19 +0100
|
Hi Grenada,
It is still quiet across the tropical Atlantic. But apparently, some
weather models are predicting a Tropical Storm could develop off the
coast of Africa by Friday.
For anyone interested - here in the UK (near Cambridge) the weather,
this Sunday morning, is hazy sunshine with a cool breeze, Northerly
wind. The weather here is not expected to improve much over the next
few days. The Summer started well, but seems to have gone down hill
since the schools broke up, typical!
I am returning to Grenada soon, so will be able to give first hand
observations when I get back.
All the best.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Perseids
|
- By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 14 Aug 2010 12:55:57 -0400
|
|
Good Day weather watchers
There I was hoping to get a glimpse of
the meteor shower, clear sky full of stars - perfect and then it happened.
The sky was alight - not with perseids but with lightening. My peaceful
evening of star gazing had come to end with the rumble of thunder and 6 dogs
leaping up at me!! (That Russian who shall remain nameless, has a lot to
answer for) then it rained and rained..... thunder rolled and lightening
flashed.
I think I may have caught a glimpse out
of the corner of my eye of what could have been a meteor streaking by or there
again maybe it was just wishful thinking.
Blue sky and white puffy clouds at the
moment but I doubt it will last.
Take care, stay safe.
Jacquie
|
|
|
- From little blobs, big blobs grow!!!!
|
- By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 13 Aug 2010 06:22:00 -0400
|
|
Good morning weather
watchers,
Where did that come from, there
were only a few speckles when I first looked on here yesterday evening.
Then when it poured down I checked again and sure enough there was a little blob
just over Grenada. After the dogs were falling over each other to get into
the lounge (I was up late watching the final of So you think you can Dance!!!
sad but true.) I decided to pop back onto the computer to check it out again and
the blob had grown...... a bit of lightening, heavy rain and probably some
distant thunder (I didn't hear it until this morning but the dogs obviously did)
later and the blob is bigger still. You see I really do know nothing about
the weather as I thought it would be a quiet night.
I shall continue to read the various
weather blogs in hopes of some better understanding of all the technical
jargon but so far I spend so much time looking up on the internet the
meaning of stuff they talk about that I am not getting very far. They
say you are never too old to learn but I think I shall leave this to those who
already know and stick to my...... 'it's raining folks'!!!!.
I can see, however, that it is getting
much busier to our east and we should all be very vigilant. I am pleased
to note that more people here in Grenada seem to be checking out the weather
these days and are hopefully more prepared than they used to be for something
horrible in that department impacting us. If nothing else that Russian and
young Emily made them more aware that we are not such a safe haven.
Stay safe,
Jacquie.
|
|
|
- Light Show
|
- By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 9 Aug 2010 09:26:50 -0400
|
|
Good morning weather watchers,
Yesterday, early evening we had the first rumble of
thunder but the dogs had already heard it and come in for protection. Late
evening we had the lightening which gave us a magnificent light show,
followed by thunder and rain, rain, rain. The rumbling went on through the
night and we had some rumbles this morning. Very humid still, the rain
doesn't seem to help at all.
Stay safe
Jacquie.
|
|
|
- Disturbance 93L mid Atlantic. Update
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 06 Aug 2010 19:13:49 +0100
|
Hi Grenada,
The disturbance I mentioned earlier today (93L), all models show it
going harmlessly up through the Atlantic.
Will look again tomorrow.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Colin has returned to being a Tropical Storm.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 06 Aug 2010 09:12:03 +0100
|
Colin has built back to a Tropical Storm and is heading North. The only
threat is to Bermuda.
There is a Tropical Wave in Mid Atlantic that is worth watching. Very
low chance of developing to TS in next couple of days. I will try to
keep an eye on it.
Keep safe
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Colin is downgraded.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 04 Aug 2010 12:08:01 +0100
|
Colin has been downgraded, It seems to have broken up just east of
Antigua. Guess there could be some weather up in that area.
The Atlantic conveyor is beginning to build up, with a couple of things
coming off Africa, but nothing serious yet.
Before anyone else comments about Kick em Jenny (wish I hadn't mentioned
it). It was only a comment to someone that commented about the rumblings
of thunder and the sky and was just asking if anything was happening
with the volcano. The answer is as far as we know there is nothing
happening. It has been quiet since 2001.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- TD4 now TS Colin
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 03 Aug 2010 15:37:06 +0100
|
All,
TD4 is now a tropical storm by the name of Colin. it is about 750 miles
due East of Barbados (14N 48.5W) and still travelling in a WNW
direction. At the moment we seem OK.
Colin shows up well on Google Earth - Weather - Clouds layer
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Tropical Wave passed through Windwards.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 03 Aug 2010 10:13:21 +0100
|
In answer to an email from someone asking about the weather yesterday
evening,
Looks like a tropical wave has just passed through Grenada, thus the
thundery looking weather last night (reports of)
This is now moving West.
TD4 is still on course to miss the Caribbean. Latest position 13.7N
46.2W 1006 Mbars. It has turned slightly to a more westerly direction,
but predictions are still for a track north of islands.
Oh and there are no signs of any activity at Kick em Jenny (at the moment!).
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- The weather....mais oui!
|
- By "Sally Stalker" <stalker at spiceisle.com>
- Date: Mon, 2 Aug 2010 17:51:16 -0400
|
It has been a really weird day to-day! It
started off with a lot of rain and then it went very still, but cool. No
sun and everywhere very grey with leaden clouds as far as one could see.
Then the thunder started but it was more like a giant grumbling . This
has gone on all day and the whole atmosphere is , well, rather spooky!
Have we another depression nearer home? None of the boffins has mentioned
one! I had intended to lie around in my nightie all day as himself
left yesterday and I thought it would be a great idea to read and do naught all
day. However , looking up the Grenadines, or rather where the Grenadines can
normally be seen I wondered if I had better be properly dressed in case....well,
you never know do you? I’m not far from Kick ‘em Jenny.
Be awfully embarrassing to be caught out in one’s nightie, even if it is
one of the old-fashioned sort!
I am wondering how some friends are doing. They set out
for the Tobago Cays on Wednesday and it has been dreadful weather around the
North and up into Carriacou and the Grenadines. They were with George
Grant whose Sunday program was being broadcast from the boat. Hopefully
things were better than they looked from here. Was there a regatta somewhere?
Well there’s more bad weather coming in from Barbados,
think I’ll risk it, get back into my nightie and curl up with that great
book Marcelle and Peter recommended.
Chin, chin
|
|
|
- 91L = TD4
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 02 Aug 2010 17:16:21 +0100
|
The Tropical Wave 91L has now been upgraded to Tropical Depression 04.
Still moving in a WNW direction. Position at time of sending 12.3N
40.3W pressure 1006Mbars
All models show it passing N. of all Caribbean islands.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- 91L - progress
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 02 Aug 2010 09:19:07 +0100
|
Good morning Grenada,
Since yesterday 91L appears to be breaking away from the ITCZ breeding
ground. This morning the centre is at 11N 38W. All the models are show
it moving N of the Lesser Antilles. As you know I believe the models
when they have been proved correct, but the fact that 91L has moved
substantially further North is a good sign. It still has not made
Tropical Depression status, but the pressure has dropped to 1007Mbars
(29.74 Inches). The NHC are giving this system a 90% chance of
developing into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 48 hours.
Although this one looks as if it is going to move north, I do hope you
all have your supplies in.
All the best.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- 91L
|
- By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 1 Aug 2010 07:15:33 -0400
|
The summer has been so quiet I started to become a bit more slack in my monitoring. I noticed this wave yesterday morning, but didn't bother to check back on its status until this morning. Central pressure has fallen from 1010 to 1009 and the NHC has taken notice of it now. Looks like we're all going to be praying it develops very quickly (today would be great) so it goes out to see and stays out to sea harming no one - nay a few shipping interests with strong stomachs and big ships!
|
|
- Is it raining?
|
- By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 1 Aug 2010 06:41:09 -0400
|
|
Good morning all you weather watchers,
I have always admitted that I do not do technical
weather, I can only tell people what weather we are experiencing not what is
likely to be happening tomorrow. Of course there are times, like now, when
even I can look at the satellite pictures and see that there is something
out there we should be very wary of.
Now, I know I just told you that my predictive skills
are very low but I am just looking out of the window and seeing blue sky and a
few wispy white clouds and what just happened? You guessed it, a rain
shower!!! Earlier in the week whilst walking to catch the bus I was caught
in another rain shower, not unusual at this time of year I admit but because I
didn't have my trusty sea weed with me I glanced up at the sky to view the rain
cloud that should be there. Nothing!!! Clouds off to the left, clouds off
to the right but above me..... nothing. In Grenada as I am sure it would
be on the other Islands we hear the rain coming before it gets here but this
time.... nothing. Are my weather skills really that bad?
My dogs have decided that as my predictive skills are
zilch they won't take any chances and encamp in the lounge every evening now,
just in case it rains or thunders and so they are behind chairs, under coffee
tables or squeezed down next to my chair and I don't have the heart to put them
back in the kitchen or on the verandah. They no longer have trust in me, I
can see it in their eyes when I tell them it is not going to rain, they look at
me and their eyes tell me, that's what you said last time. These are dogs
that still remember Ivan and they are definitely prepared.
I don't need to tell anyone that they should really keep
on eye on this next one heading our way and in preparation I have even been
reading the blog on Weather Underground in the hopes I will learn something but
I have come to the conclusion that half of them are almost hoping for something
big to build which each wave to comes off Africa. We, however, do not want
that, we know better as most of us have experienced some really bad weather of
some kind. So let's hope the waves all fizzle out but expect they won't
and be prepared for the worst.
Stay safe Islanders and do all you can to be
ready.
Jacquie.
PS. Hogan, as you can see, you are sadly
missed.
|
|
|
- Tropical Wave 91L
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 01 Aug 2010 10:43:04 +0100
|
Good morning Grenada,
There is a tropical wave (91L) about 1700 miles East of Grenada. It has
a 40% chance, per NHC, of developing in the next 48 hours. It is
currently 9N 36W. I will be monitoring this one.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Looks like rain on the way for today.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 29 Jul 2010 11:57:59 +0100
|
I have just been looking at the radar and satellite images. It looks
like plenty of showers coming towards Grenada today.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Tropical wave just east of the islands.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 18 Jul 2010 08:12:55 +0100
|
There is a tropical wave just approaching the Windward & Leeward
islands. It is very weak, but likely to produce some rain over night
(Sunday). This rain is more likely to be in the Leeward islands.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Wet Wet Wet
|
- By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 9 Jul 2010 21:09:01 -0400
|
|
Yes Hogan we had rain for so today, well all morning
anyway. Last night we had thunder and lightening for quite a few hours and
plenty of rain but not much wind to speak of. Of course as usual I had 6
very frightened dogs all trying to sit as close to me as possible so it was a
late night/early morning to bed for me!!
There has been no rain in the Mt. Moritz area at least
for some time now and my wind chimes are silent. Not sure how long that
will last but it's peaceful for now.
Wet Wet Wet..... now there was a group!!!!
Stay safe,
Jacquie.
|
|
|
- Wave passing through Windwards.
|
- By "Wildingrenada (chris)" <chris at wildingrenada.com>
- Date: Fri, 09 Jul 2010 22:01:55 +0100
|
Hi there Grenada,
There appears to be a tropical wave passing through the island chain. At
time of writing there does not appears to be much rain. But it does look
as if you have had some today.
Hogan of Grenada, watching from a distance.
|
|
- Rain, rain, rain.
|
- By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 1 Jul 2010 19:07:54 -0400
|
|
It has been raining on and off most of the day in the
South/south west of the Island today, not a good time for any tourists who
may be here. It looks as though it will be with us for a while.... I
know this because my seaweed is wet!!!!
Sally I'm with you on the weather scene, I rely on the
more knowledgeable ones amongst us to tell us what will be happening
with the weather, I can only tell you what IS happening now.
I feel sorry for Trinidad at the moment because they are
obviously getting more rain than they will be able to handle, let's hope it
won't be too bad.
I am pretty confident that later this evening I shall
have the 6 precious dogs (not small dogs you understand but quite large ones)
all wanting to occupy space on my lap!!! Oh joy.
Stay safe.
Jacquie.
|
|
|
- The bad weather we had on Mrs Crumbles b/d party ...
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 30 Jun 2010 10:26:53 +0100
|
Hi all,
The bad weather we had on Mrs Crumbles b/d party on 20th has now turned
into Hurricane Alex in the Gulf of Mexico. It is the first Atlantic
named storm and hurricane.
There are a few showers around, but it looks like a good day in Grenada.
Hogan of Grenada.
|
|
- Oh dear..
|
- By "Sally Stalker" <stalker at spiceisle.com>
- Date: Tue, 29 Jun 2010 21:28:25 -0400
|
Hogan has passed the cloak to me while he is otherwise
occupied. I told him I’m rubbish at foretelling the weather.
My idea of a weather report is to crawl out of bed in the morning, peer out the
window through puffy eyes and if the sun is shining I’v overslept and if
it is still dark I can go back to sleep. I’m a bit better on the
wind side, if the palm outside my window is waving gracefully the wind is from
the east and if it is not moving the wind is coming over the mountain from the
west and it is going to be bloody hot....and I go back to bed! My friend
Maria lives on the west coast in an oasis. The wind rushes in from the
west, hits the hill directly behind her house and returns to cool the house and
garden. When the wind comes from my neck of the woods it slides down her
mountain and cools the house and garden. It is quite wonderful to sit in
her garden sipping wine, watching the sun disappear and, wait for it...not get
bitten by mosquitoes or sand flies.
I’m sick to death of Hogan and his daily tales of yet
more baby tortoises! He has fifteen now. Tysonne (used to be Tyson)
my female tortoise laid eggs all over her garden and to date one has hatched.
Freddy hatched in an incubator, not even in the wild. He is very tiny and
keeps flipping over on to his back! He’s a full time job at the
moment.
Well we get rain every night which is great, the days are
very hot and humid. The vegetation is in full bloom and in St George’s
the flame trees are simply stunning.
Hurry home, Hogan , what do I know of satellites, cloud
formations, wind drifts....
Chin,chin!
|
|
|
- radar and satellite looks ready for a fine day.
|
- By "Wildingrenada (chris)" <chris at wildingrenada.com>
- Date: Sun, 27 Jun 2010 06:34:30 -0400
|
Although we can never tell. Both the radar and the Satellite images show
very few small showers in our area. At this time of year showers can
pop up, but it does look pretty good for today.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Alex - first of the season.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 26 Jun 2010 06:16:49 -0400
|
The bad weather we had a few days ago has turned into Tropical Storm
Alex. Looks like it will pass through Yucatan Peninsula then into Gulf
of Mexico.
The weather looks OK for our neck of the woods, maybe some small showers.
I did a post last night, but forgot to hit send! Sorry.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Nice in the windwards.
|
- By "Wildingrenada (chris)" <chris at wildingrenada.com>
- Date: Fri, 25 Jun 2010 11:40:40 -0400
|
Hi,
Nice here for the time. Little sign of rain. The Northern Leewards are
getting some rain showers.
The weather we had a couple of days ago is now in the Western Caribbean
and seems to be developing into something. The NHC give it a 70% chance
of developing in next couple of days.
We have found two more baby tortoises in the last 3 days.
Hogan of Grenada
|
|
- Mostly cloudy
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 22 Jun 2010 07:30:27 -0400
|
The wave has moved further towards the NW. NHC have now given it a 50%
chance of developing into a tropical storm as it moves NW.
Nearer to us the radar is showing a few showers scattered within range,
but a lot fewer than over the last few days.
The horizon is clear, but not able to see either Trini or Vene today.
The rain I predicted last night did not materialize, the rain passed
further north.
There are 2 tropical waves heading across the ATlantic (according to the
NHC) . You have to have a good imagination to see the one nearest to us
(about 55W), I can't see it in the background clouds of the ITCZ. The
second is at about 30W and is very clear, appears as an inverted V in
the cloud formations and this one has what looks like a tumbling wave
formation in front of it (I think this is what NHC call "A well defined
cyclonic curvature"). This shows clearly on the Google Earth cloud
animation. Any heavy convection appears to be in the ITCZ near 6N. I
will keep an eye on this one and also try my imagination re the one at 55W.
Now to do some tiling and Mrs Crumble is considering painting the gates.
Hey doesn't metal rust fast here!
Have a good day.
Hogan of Grenada
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- Could see the mountains of Trinidad today.
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 21 Jun 2010 19:31:17 -0400
|
Hi,
Went to a beach do yesterday. Fortunately Morne Rouge did not get much
rain and Wild Woods is a covered a area anyway. The rains continued over
night, rather heavy at times. Today has been overcast, with showers this
morning.
All of this weather was caused by the tropical wave that has passed
through. It is the one that spun off 92L. NHC give it a 30% chance of
developing in the next 48 hours. This should not affect us..
There is another band of rain approaching us from the eas, according to
the radar, if it continues it should reach us about 22:00 Behind it
there is some disorganised weather.
After the rain this afternoon we had a clear view of the mountain tops
of Trinidad (first time for me) and Venezuela (seen these before). And
on the sea horizon many large ships that pass through that we don't
normally see.
I have been doing some pool tiling, so must cover it to keep it dry.
All thr best
Hogan of Grenada.
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- Anyone having a beach party today?
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- By "Wildingrenada (chris)" <chris at wildingrenada.com>
- Date: Sun, 20 Jun 2010 08:36:22 -0400
|
Morning Grenada (I didn't use the term GOOD, although we do still need
rain).
Seems like we are being affected by remnants of 92L. Although that
passed through the Northern Lesser Antilles yesterday, the wave that it
is part of seems to be dragging through us now. It does seem to have
stalled and is hanging over us. Looking on the satellite images it is
difficult to see any really clear weather coming through from the East
for some distance. The radar is showing rain over us at the moment
(confirmed by noise on the roof). It also shows big showers spreading
out to beyond and south of Barbados. But it is showing less showers to
the SE, but that could be as it is at the extreme range of the radar
which does not show lower rain showers.
So if you were to ask me, I would say that today will be showery, many
heavy. I am often wrong, and hope this is one of those times as we are
going to a beach party. Well we have been waiting for good rain for
long enough, so mustn't complain.
A last eyeball check shows the clouds coming from the ESE a small shower
passing through and I can just see the horizon in that direction, and a
glimpse of a brighter sky. No blue sky as yet.
Regardless of the weather, I hope you all have a good day.
Hogan of Grenada
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- Showers from 92L
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 19 Jun 2010 07:42:47 -0400
|
Good morning,
92L is still moving slowly through the northern islands in the chain. We
seem to be getting some tendrils from it. Many showers are visible, some
heading our way.
The radar is showing some showers in the Windwards, but a huge amount in
the Leewards. So my seaweed tells me that we will continue to get
showers as this wave continues Westward.
I heard on a weather station that the ITCZ (Inter Tropical Convergence
Zone) is further north, for this time of year, than normal. It can be
seen clearly on satellite images and Google Earth cloud animation as a
band of cloud all the way across the Atlantic. These clouds are heavy
rain and thunderstorms. With it so close I think we could have a wet wet
season. But one thought is that, although tropical storms come out of
waves that break off the ITCZ they don't actually form in it. I am
reluctant to say any more!
have a good day.
Hogan of Grenada
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- Looks like Dominica will get the worst of the rain.
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- By "Wildingrenada (chris)" <chris at wildingrenada.com>
- Date: Fri, 18 Jun 2010 06:52:24 -0400
|
Hi all,
It looks like 92L, what there is of it, is going to go through Dominica,
starting about now. Fortunately the really heavy stuff has dwindled a
bit over night. But heavy rain could occur. If it says the same shape as
now then Dominica and adjacent islands could get some prolonged rain.
There is no sign of any showers near Grenada at the moment (06:51).
Very little breeze over night.
Hogan of Grenada.
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- 92L at 01:00 18/06/2010
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 18 Jun 2010 00:58:03 -0400
|
92L does not appear to have any circulation. It's path seems to have
gropped a bit and now looks as if it will come though the islands about
Dominica and Martinique. The last NHC report says it has a 20% chance of
becoming a tropical storm in the next 48 hours. See what it is like in
the morning.
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- 92L reappears.
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 17 Jun 2010 16:00:20 -0400
|
Although it really didn't disappear completely, NHC did stop mentioning
92L for a while. Well it has re appeared and appears to be heading for
the Leeward islands. If it continues on it's present course then it
looks like it will reach Antigua area tomorrow. As long as it keeps that
course we, in Grenada, should not be affected by it much. I will look
later this evening to see where it has moved to.
Hogan of Grenada
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- 92L is now only a few showers in the Atlantic
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 17 Jun 2010 06:03:59 -0400
|
NHC have dropped any mention of 92L. The only sign of it is a few
showers a few hundred miles off the Antigua area.
There are a few showers in the area north of Union Island and some out
near Barbados. None showing around Grenada, yet. I now need a heavy
shower to test something I have done on the roof where the rain was
missing the gutter and pouring down the weather boards.
Have a good day.
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- A few showers showing off to our east.
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 16 Jun 2010 06:30:40 -0400
|
Good morning Grenada.
92L is still out there, about 900 miles due East of Dominica. It
appears to have turned into a blob over night, but with little sign of
turning. NHC give it about 10% chance of developing. On it's present
course it looks like it may scrape the northern islands of the Caribbean.
Closer to home, there are a few showers about 40 miles off to our east.
At the moment they don't appear to be too large, but if they continue in
our direction could bring some showers in about 3 hours.
Last night I said I thought there was little chance of rain, 20 minutes
later we had a slight shower on the way to the Prickly Bay quiz night.
But not enough to stop us sitting outside for the quiz. Not many turned
up, so we split into two teams (Women v Men). The women won 30 - 24 (I
think), well done girls. Still you have to do the questions next week!
It is always a fun Tuesday evening.
Best of luck, again, to the couple having their beach wedding today.
Hope the showers miss you.
Hogan of Grenada
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- 92L almost disappeared.
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 15 Jun 2010 17:52:10 -0400
|
Hi all,
92L is just a small blob out in the Atlantic. NHC give it less than 20%
to do anything in next 48 hours. It looks as if it might disappear
completely.
There are no showers showing on radar for our area. This doesn't mean we
won't get a rogue one.
Tomorrow is looking OK with perhaps some odd showers. There doesn't
appear to be any weather systems nearby! Hope I am correct as I believe
there is a beach wedding tomorrow. All the best to the couple!
Hogan of Grenada
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- 92L is still there, but not too strong.
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 15 Jun 2010 06:07:38 -0400
|
Hi,
The first Atlantic system is still out there. It appears to be on the
predicted path which, if it continues, will take it N of the Caribbean.
It still shows a circulation, but is not classified as a Tropical
depression, yet. The NHC give it a 50% chance of developing over the
next 2 days. It is currently 1250 miles due East of Grenada. It is
travelling at about 300 miles per day in a WNW direction.
The radar is showing many showers throughout our part of the Caribbean.
With a small clump between us and Barbados (about 40 miles away) and
heading generally in this direction. Mrs Crumble has her paint brush
out again, so expect rain showers! Her paint brush is a better
indication of rain than seaweed!
Have a good day.
Hogan of Grenada
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- North She Goes?
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- By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 14 Jun 2010 11:38:46 -0400
|
Well 92L seems to be bearing a Northward track as it gathers into a named storm. Let's see what happens when she hits the 1016 mb pressure just north of 15N.....for our interests in Grenada, these last few hours bring good news for us so far.
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- Just received an update from NHC about 92L
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- By "Wildingrenada (chris)" <chris at wildingrenada.com>
- Date: Sun, 13 Jun 2010 20:48:17 -0400
|
NHC have just stated that 92L at 8N 36W is 60 % likely to became a
cyclone in next 48 hours. Most of the models predict it to pass well
North and many have it curving out into the Atlantic. See NHC map
attached. Sme models have it reaching TS (Tropical Storm) status, others
just TD (Tropical Depression).
Hogan of Grenada.
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- 92L
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- By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 13 Jun 2010 07:50:21 -0400
|
Hi Hogan (and company),
You were up earlier to look at the system than I was! The only inhibiting factor I'd seen yesterday was a nice piece of shear that someone else from the Babados discussion thread had also noticed, but this morning the shear is gone, which is probably why the NHC upgraded the development potential. I was in the ocean yesterday and it was warm as soup!
I guess we keep watching it - most forecast models have it going north of us, but I don't like the low ITCZ and the 1016mb pressure above us.
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- The first disturbance is out there!
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 13 Jun 2010 06:46:37 -0400
|
About 6N 35W there is a disturbance which the NHC give between 30-50%
chance of developing in the next 48 hours. It has developed very well in
the last 24 hours from a few big blobs into something that is beginning
to show signs of a swirl.. 6N is worryingly low latitude for Grenada as
most systems have a slow northerly movement as they cross the Atlantic.
We should keep an eye on this one.
Hogan of Grenada
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- First system of interest #2
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- By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 12 Jun 2010 14:35:32 -0400
|
The central pressure of the low has fallen from 1014 this morning to 1012 as of the 12pm UTC surface analysis.
|
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- First system of interest
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- By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
- Date: Sat, 12 Jun 2010 09:19:36 -0400
|
I am following the first system that has caught my interest for Grenada:
A 1014 Low which at a quick glance seems to be near 30W and 8 N. Has a bit of rotation, no sahara dust impeding it's way, and some very warm SST's and a 1016 pressure line that would steer it towards the windwards unless something changes over the next week. Haven't looked at the upper level wind forecast - could provide the limiting factor we'd all want to see.
No systems focused on it yet, so there's limited info on the system itself at this point.
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- What a strange couple of days"
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 13:03:09 -0400
|
Hi,
Yesterday I predicted rain, possibly heavy, in the afternoon. The
tropical wave that was approaching gave Barbados 10 hours + of rain. But
as it approached us it just disappeared! The National Hurricane Centre
did a post saying (after I had predicted it) that it had a 30% chance of
developing. By this morning they down graded it to 0% (yes zero). Now
it does not appear on their map. But looking at the Satellite images it
seems to be reappearing to our East, it seems to have jumped over us!
This morning Mrs Crumble decided to paint the West side of our utility
room, yes outside! Within minutes we didn't only get rain, but rain and
a wind from the west, just strong enough to blow it against the newly
painted wall! This was followed by some interesting language and our new
kitten "Brandy" running away in fright (from Mrs Crumble, not the rain)!
I notice from the Wells weather station on Westerhall point that the
wind did briefly move round to the West, despite my wife thinking it was
just where we live!
Although the system is to our West, the heavy clouds seem to be
spreading from the west. At time of writing there is some quite heavy
stuff just off the south west coast.
Ahhhh, I have just noticed I have got my radar (well not mine exactly)
and it is confirming what I have said above. The main rain area is to
the west and South. There are quite a few showers to the East. So my
guess is the wave will continue Westward and things will brighten up
(with showers). I also have a feeling that the wave may reappear on the
NHC site again if it rebuilds at this rate.
Hogan of Grenada
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- Update
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 09 Jun 2010 16:14:56 -0400
|
The tropical wave I mentioned this morning seems to have fizzled out
somewhat. Most of the convection has reduced. Again, as the system
approached Grenada, it seemed to stop and withdraw. But it still shows
to the East of us, but far less active. Barbados had about 10 hours of
rain, some heavy.
So for the time we just watch and see what happens.
Hogan
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- Rain in the next couple of hours!?
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 09 Jun 2010 10:57:40 -0400
|
I have been following the progress of the rain front. Barbados has been
having rain for about 6 hours, their latest report was very heavy rain
and now thunder & lightning. It still seems to be heading in our
direction. I estimate it to arrive about 4pm-5pm. Still unable to
confirm with radar as it is still unavailable. It still seems to have
heavy convection and thus I guess some heavy rain.
We will see.
Hogan
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- Heavy rain way out to the East and heading this way?
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 09 Jun 2010 07:19:27 -0400
|
Good morning (Wednesday)
For the last 2-3 days I have not been able to view the Rain radar from
Martinique. I don't know if the web site has moved or if it has been
restricted. This is one of my best tools for seeing rain approaching. If
anyone else can find out where it has moved to or why it is not showing,
then please let me know.
So just looking at the satellite images this morning, it shows a band of
heavy convection, bubbling up, stretching South from Barbados (where
heavy rain is showing on the airport report) to well off to the East of
Tobago. It is moving in our general direction. This rain is the northern
crest of a tropical wave As I have seen on many occasions this type of
convection can disappear as quick as it appears. But my feeling is we
could see some rain (maybe heavy) before the day is out. We have some
painting to do so do we have time to do it?
Have a good day.
Hogan of Grenada
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- The problem with living on a hill.
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- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Sun, 06 Jun 2010 08:34:48 -0400
|
Good morning Grenada.
We had a small shower during the night. The radar image, this morning,
showed a band of rain approaching Grenada. Looking out from, from our
vantage point on a hill, we could see showers in all directions. A
street of clouds to the East stretching to the South (as per the
radar). We could see heavy rain dropping in many places under the
clouds. Interestingly as we watched, the rain showers reduced as they
approached. Until all we got was a few drips. Sometimes I envy people
that don't have a view, they wouldn't have had the expectations that we
have seeing the rain approach. It does appear that further up the
island maybe getting a bit more than the South.
As I type this a slightly heavier shower is passing, every little helps.
Looking further to the there are far fewer showers showing on the radar,
and there doesn't appear to be any rain areas approaching. But we do see
the odd large cloud in the distance. This looks a typical Caribbean Day
with blue skies and scattered short showers.
Looking in the WSW direction we can see largest boats (stationary) about
15 miles off the coast (beyond point Saline). There appears to be at
least one there all the time. At night we can nearly always see a light
in the same place. Does anyone know what they are? My guess is
international fishing boats and mother ship? Anyone have any ideas?
Have a good day whatever you are doing. For those having beach parties
we hope the weather is good for you.
As I end this post, we are getting gentle rain that appears to be coming
from highish cloud. We have mostly Blue skies to the South. Some high
overcast above us and to the North. And one towering cloud to the East
(many miles away).
Hogan of Grenada.
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- Most peculiar evening sky!
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 03 Jun 2010 18:41:51 -0400
|
2010-06-03 18:41
Just after the sun has set. It is very hazy. The sky is glowing orange
and the sea is the same colour.
Radar show a band of rain approaching Tobago and heading in this general
direction, not that that means anything. Often rain that far away
fizzles out. But looking at the satellite images there is a weather
system SE of Tobago of which the radar rain is just the fore runner to
it. Prediction, well, I think I will wait until the morning to see what
is happening then. I have been caught out too many times by systems that
fizzle out (except the last one).
Could do with more rain.
There are many predictions coming from 'experts' saying this is going to
be a very active hurricane season. Maybe now is the time to start
topping up on those hurricane supplies.
Will try to do a post tomorrow.
Hogan of Grenada
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- Well that was worth it. Good rain at last.
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 26 May 2010 07:30:48 -0400
|
Hi Grenada weather people,
Last night, in fact most of the night, we had rain, sometimes very
heavy. I am unable to tell how much as it overflowed the tank I use for
measuring it. My Cistern has topped up by about 4500 gallons. Westerhall
Bay is completely brown with run off water from the river feeding it.
Calivigny Harbour is also streaked with brown now stretching out into
Chemin Bay. The silt is being dragged out by a falling tide, low tide
about 08:30, after that the rising tide should push it back into the
bays to settle. All of this brown run off must have a detrimental affect
on the reefs just outside the bays, and is mostly caused by man's
activities such as completely stripping new building plots of all
vegetation. The roots and scrub hold the soil together which acts like a
sponge. Remove this and the rain just drags the soil with it.
Interestingly, Egmont Harbour does not seem to be affected by run off,
it has a deep greenish colour from my view point.
There are still a few light showers visible just out to the South. The
radar shows that the worst appears to have passed through, but the
satellite image shows some heavy cloud further to the south, nearer to
Trinidad. This is too far away from the Martinique radar to see if it
contains rain. Tobago (Crown Point) airport is reporting rain and
thunder at 06:00.
I guess the hose pipe ban will be lifted now! jJust looked out again and
the sky is turning darker to the East, more rain?
All the best.
Hogan of Grenada
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- Weather to the SE of Grenada
|
- By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 25 May 2010 15:18:44 -0400
|
Hi all of you in Grenada,
Looking at both the Satellite and radar images, it looks as if we have
some rain showers both South and SE of us. They appear to be trying to
move towards Grenada. I would have said that they m\ay not bring rain
except for the fact that Mrs Hogan has just decided to paint our veranda
fence. Therefore I predict rain! The only thing stopping us having very
heavy rain is a strong NWesterly high level wind shear that appears to
be whipping the tops of the clouds, thus reducing the strength of the rain.
Tobago has had some rain today and it is the same band of rain/cloud
that is moving between us and Tobago.
The garden still needs more rain, and looking at most streams the
mountains could do with more as well.
Hogan of Grenada
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- Haven't seen this for a while!
|
- By "Wildingrenada (chris)" <chris at wildingrenada.com>
- Date: Fri, 14 May 2010 07:40:59 -0400
|
Hi all,
Woke up to overcast sky and very gusty wind. Looking at the radar we
have a large blob of rain which appears to be moving towards us from the
SE. The radar shows it as mostly light rain, but with heavier showers.
The satellite images show plenty of cloud building to the SE. The
hourly Grenada forecast shows showers followed by thunder, but they
often show that and we don't get any. I think that we will see an
overcast morning with showers of varying degree. But what do I know, I
am wrong more than right!?
Still this pattern is different from normal. Let's jhope for a good bit
of rain.
Hogan of Grenada
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- best rain we have had in the south for ages.
|
- By "Wildingrenada (chris)" <chris at wildingrenada.com>
- Date: Tue, 04 May 2010 11:24:38 -0400
|
We are receiving some lovely rain at the moment (11:23). It has been
raining good for about 10-15 minutes. I can see the water pouring into
our plastic tank. Great!
Need a bit more though.
Hogan
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- Rain
|
- By "Sally Stalker" <stalker at spiceisle.com>
- Date: Sun, 2 May 2010 21:38:16 -0400
|
We spent the weekend in the South and the dry and burned out
appearance is quite shocking. We are so much better off up North.
We are getting rain spasmodically but the little we are getting has cheered up
the greenery no end and it looks almost normal. The garden loves it and
although the soil penetration is minimal somehow it is enough to start a lot of
new growth.
This week was hilarious! I returned home from a trip
into the Big Nutmeg to see clouds of smoke billowing across the hillside and
flashes of flame shooting into the sky. I tore up the road and into our
access road to find a Postman Pat truck with two men, husband no 1 and three
small dogs gazing into the forest. Incidentally, our house is sat in the
middle of the dry forest. Smoke was everywhere and little spurts of flame
could be seen. Hello, says I, “where’s the Firebrigade?”
“ This is it “says Husband no.1 glumly. Batperson to the
rescue! After an hysterical call to our doughty Police Inspector
informing him that one little truck would not be enough to stop the progress of
this fire and that it was now 100 yards from habitation, I returned to ask my
spouse if we had remembered to renew our house insurance and what should we
save first. “Photos” he said, which was the right answer
because some are irreplaceable but they are all in a cedar chest somewhere!
I was sitting with husband no 1, two firemen and three dogs watching the fire
when a real fire truck trundled up and out came Action Man and we were saved!!
Apparently the Grenville Fire Engine had broken down and Sauteurs had loaned
them our big one!! I think it’s called Murphy’s Law!!
Sally
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