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- 99 L is Arriving
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 12:45:49 -0400
Good Afternoon! This morning the clouds heralded the approach of 99 L. The 
morning was dry until just about noon. Heavy rain-laden clouds suddenly made an 
appearance and burst. I read on the WU Blog that between this system and a 
couple of troughs we can expect rain for 7 days. Again, Mother Nature decides. 
I shall send another update later. At the moment it stopped raining. This 
morning I noticed another Invest in the Atlantic. 98L? I have to look again to 
be sure. Be safe. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- 99 L is Arriving
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 12:45:49 -0400
Good Afternoon! This morning the clouds heralded the approach of 99 L. The 
morning was dry until just about noon. Heavy rain-laden clouds suddenly made an 
appearance and burst. I read on the WU Blog that between this system and a 
couple of troughs we can expect rain for 7 days. Again, Mother Nature decides. 
I shall send another update later. At the moment it stopped raining. This 
morning I noticed another Invest in the Atlantic. 98L? I have to look again to 
be sure. Be safe. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Very Quiet
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 00:49:54 -0400
Some light rain around 11:30 and that was it .WU has the rain arriving towards morning. The NWS says that 99 L is getting better organized. Stay tuned! Good night, all. God bless you.

Isabel

- Waiting for 99 L
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2016 21:58:47 -0400
Hi! Here we are with a Flash Flood Watch since this morning, way ahead of the 
arrival of 99 L. It was a beautiful day starting with a leftover piece of 
rainbow in the morning sky and ending with an interesting cloud sculpture in 
the evening. In between it has been quite breezy and comfortable in the shade. 
This evening we have a very cool breeze coming from the east; must say the 
breeze picked up somewhat. According to NOAA Weather Radio, we should begin to 
feel the effects of 99 L after midnight. I'll send an update before I turn in 
for the day. This is not a wind event, we are told, so if suddenly it forms 
over our heads we're in trouble. The heavy rain is definitely going to cause 
flooding in many areas. I just hope everyone is taking the necessary 
precautions. May God bless us all.

Isabel 


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- T. S. GASTON !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 22 Aug 2016 23:56:59 -0400
Good night, All! Well, well,  90 L became GASTON. Next name up should be for 99 
L  if it develops into a cyclone. Right now it's a massive disorganized 
disturbance, which is expected to soak our region for a few days. A 
reconnaissance airplane is going out tomorrow to get accurate data as it now 
has a 60% chance of developing. Rain is good, but too much of it causes chaos 
as we have seen in Louisiana, Texas, and other parts of the world. So, whether 
it has a name or not, we'd better be prepared for this system. On the other 
hand, GASTON is supposed to follow a similar path to FIONA, but coming off the 
coast of Africa soon are some mighty looking waves, which are looking for a 
name all their own.
Be prepared ! For now, stay safe all of us in the path of 99 L ! (The clouds in 
the photo yesterday were irresistible.) May God bless us all.

Isabel


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- Saharan Dust & 99 L
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2016 21:14:37 -0400
Hi, All ! As we can see from the photo, the Saharan dust has played an Olympic 
role in suppressing what could have been a Hugo Cape Verde type hurricane. It 
would be great if it can stick around for the rest of the season.     
99 L will continue to keep us in suspense, especially with the obvious spin it 
had earlier. The post from Sint Martin has it possibly developing into a Cat 3 
down the road, according to the Miami source. It's only a matter of Time and 
we'll know for sure what's what.
Let's pray that no one gets hurt, or worse, in the progress of this system. 
Computer models have 90 L developing before 99 L if and when it does; in which 
case, the G name would go to 90 L and the H name to our 99 L. Let's stay tuned. 
May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Is 99 L Still a Threat?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2016 22:43:37 -0400
Good night, All! There are conflicting posts out there from correspondents and 
meteorologists as well. Last coordinates I saw before writing this post: 12.6N 
38.7W.  Moving WNW at 20 mph. Wind speed still at 30mph. So, what exactly is 
happening? I've been hoping the dust would strangle it and diminish any chance 
of intensification; that has been happening, but will it be enough?We shall 
see. Let's not be too complacent that 99L is done. I understand it's going to 
enter a more favorable environment and that's when we'll know if there's a real 
threat of a cyclone or not. I am grateful for rain, so if it passes by as an 
open wave, it will rain. We certainly don't want a cyclone. The wave behind 
this one could be following the path of FIONA, but then, we have to wait and 
see. There's a lot of hurricane season to go, so staying prepared and alert
is the best way to deal with it. Be happy. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- 99 L a Threat to the Caribbean
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 19 Aug 2016 15:26:28 -0400
Good afternoon, everyone, near and far, with interests in the Caribbean. Model 
guidance supported by meteorologists on WU suggest that Invest 99 L , which is 
very low in the Atlantic, is going to remain on a westerly course bringing it 
to the Leeward Islands and intensifying into a hurricane by next Wednesday. It 
is very important that this system be monitored as it can speed up, slow down, 
change direction, but whatever it does, it will become a name storm and should 
be impacting the Caribbean. Which island will be targeted will be known as it 
progresses in this direction. It could go above or below us, but we won't know 
for a few days. FIONA is not a threat to us but definitely 99L and most likely 
the one following that as well.
Our Weather today has been as lovely as the photo. Lovely weather makes it even 
more incredulous that a potential hurricane could be here by next 
week. Surely we have had enough time to prepare? If not, now's the time. May 
God bless us all.

Isabel

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- TS FIONA & Company
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2016 22:45:21 -0400
Our tropical wave fizzled, so not a drop of rain today. FIONA is looking rather 
healthy and the future Gaston looks fierce. If he stays west we are in trouble. 
The NHC has not noticed, or have they..? Yes, they have! "Formation chance 
through 5 days is 40%..." And the future Hermine is not off the coast of Africa 
as yet and already has a "formation chance of 30%! So as we can see it's 
becoming very active! Unfortunately, those will probably be aided by La Niña! 
Oh, no! For the moment we have some dust and another tropical wave in the 
forecast for next Wednesday. Have a good night and may God bless us all. 

Isabel

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- Tropical Storm FIONA !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2016 18:07:37 -0400
Good evening, All! According to WU a few minutes ago, we  have a tropical storm 
in the central Atlantic moving NW  at  16mph.   It shall pass us at a distance, so 
no need to worry about this one. However, there are others behind it. This is 
the time to make sure we are prepared. This morning we had a good shower with 
more to come as the tropical wave arrives overnight. Our hearts and prayers go 
out to those suffering in Louisiana from the ravages of the historic floods 
there. May God bless them and all of us. Keep an eye on FIONA!

Isabel


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- Clear Night, TW Approaching
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 16 Aug 2016 22:31:58 -0400
Hi, the good night moon is shining its glory upon us before the tropical wave 
arrives Wednesday night into Thursday, which is to bring "deep moisture" to the 
local area. The last one dumped sporadic flooding rain. What we have to watch 
is 98 L and the disturbances behind it coming off the coast of Africa. Sooner 
or later we may have to deal with a storm. Are we ready? With that  thought in 
mind I wish you a good night and may God bless us all.

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- Invest 98 L
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Aug 2016 13:39:45 -0400
Late last night or early  this morning it was confirmed what I noticed before. 
A huge blob just off Africa was labeled 98 L. Computer models has it turning 
above us and off in other directions. However, only Time will tell. It has to 
be monitored and i will be keeping you posted. Be well, may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Drying Out
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 14 Aug 2016 20:58:34 -0400
Hi! Hope you had a wonderful day. We dried out today, at least on our part of 
the Big Island. From the Sun Bursts to the evening glowing Christmas Palm the 
day was just lovely. The next Tropical Wave is expected on Thursday. That 
should bring another few rounds of rain and thunderstorms. Keep in mind that I 
rely on the NWS for the latest; also, the weather has a mind of its own, that's 
why forecasts change all the time. So stay tuned because any day now we may 
have to scramble. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- What a day!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2016 21:54:05 -0400
It started out with a dramatic sunrise. Then the sun dispelled any thought of a 
tropical wave. We were on the way to our beach picnic when the sky to the east 
was suddenly very dark. We were able to enjoy the refreshing sea before those 
little diamonds rained down on us. It was amazing! Picnic went fine. We were 
truly blessed. I went to the supermarket and on the way back drove through a 
deluge. Parts of King 
Street were flooded. It
was intense. I made it back without a problem. At dinner on our covered deck it 
poured once more and we remembered how we had to run indoors before. Now we can 
just stay at the table and enjoy the rain. The TW is moving away tonight and no 
other system is anywhere near, but it's only a matter of time. Have a good 
night and may God bless us all.

Isabel


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- Tropical Wave Approaching
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 12 Aug 2016 22:01:34 -0400
Hi! We are suppose to be getting wet on Saturday if the tropical wave decides 
to drop some rain. Not good for a picnic at the beach. According to the NWS the 
rain should arrive after midnight and last through Saturday.
Our Flamboyant trees suffered so much from the drought last
year that they were late bloomers this year and they're not as full as before. 
The colors provide brilliant splashes all around the island, which I'm sure all 
the islands are enjoying as well. The hurricane season between June and 
November is the best time to visit. Come on down folks from the CONUS and 
beyond ! If there is a hurricane, a direct hit, there's enough time to leave or 
batten down the hatches and experience it. AND may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Tropical Wave Approaching
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 12 Aug 2016 22:01:34 -0400
Hi! We are suppose to be getting wet on Saturday if the tropical wave decides 
to drop some rain. Not good for a picnic at the beach. According to the NWS the 
rain should arrive after midnight and last through Saturday.
Our Flamboyant trees suffered so much from the drought last
year that they were late bloomers this year and they're not as full as before. 
The colors provide brilliant splashes all around the island, which I'm sure all 
the islands are enjoying as well. The hurricane season between June and 
November is the best time to visit. Come on down folks from the CONUS and 
beyond ! If there is a hurricane, a direct hit, there's enough time to leave or 
batten down the hatches and experience it. AND may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- What is a Trough?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Aug 2016 19:50:42 -0400
Hi! I prefer the word Trof. It means the same thing: "an elongated region of 
relatively low atmospheric pressure, often associated with a front." Well, we 
have one of those in the area right now that's why we have those Trofy clouds 
this evening. As for rain, we got a good shower late last night in 
Christiansted Town, that's it so far. Trofs vary in intensity, this one is 
quieter. It seems that the tropical wave for the weekend will be mostly 
offshore, according to the NWS in San Juan. We shall see. We should enjoy each 
day whatever weather it brings. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Plants and the Weather
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 10 Aug 2016 21:46:22 -0400
Hi! Every plant is thriving with the daily showers we've been having. As is 
expected they often are shredded by storms with the exception of some, like the 
orchid spray that withstood the 130 mph winds of OMAR. So far there is nothing 
threatening out there. However, the number of storms have been increased for 
this year and the season is after all to be quite active. If La Niña kicks in 
it can even become quite dangerous. Let's pray and hope that all will be 
manageable with a good preparation. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Still Quiet
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 9 Aug 2016 22:01:09 -0400
Hi! It's been a typical tropical day, hot and breezy. If anyone wants to visit, 
there's no cyclone in sight. A tropical wave might be passing through on 
Saturday, otherwise there's nothing big. The weather seems much better here 
than in Florida with 12" of rain in the St. Petersburg area. Also heard of the 
inclement weather in Arizona. Tucson was hit hard. Sorry for the folks in 
Mexico who lost their lives in mudslides caused by EARL. Be prepared! There's a 
lot of hurricane season left to go.  Have a good night, and may God bless us 
all.

Isabel

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- Mixed Weather Bag
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 8 Aug 2016 21:24:36 -0400
Hi! This week should be quiet with just a little trough here and a little 
trough there ending with a tropical wave by Friday through the weekend. As we 
go down the steps to the lower garden, or the jungle park as I call it 
sometimes, it's such a difference from last year's drought. Every little shower 
that comes by is highly appreciated. So far so good this hurricane season. May 
God bless us all.

Isabel

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- A Beautiful Hurricane Season Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 7 Aug 2016 22:03:39 -0400
Hi! Some days are extra special. The flooded mess in front of the church was 
repaired; except for a few clouds, the day was mostly sunny and very warm, a 
sudden downpour during the afternoon surprised us, and every plant and tree was 
sparkling. We will have a lull in the waves this week at least until this 
weekend when a wave will bring some  "decent moisture". Hope it was a great day 
for everyone all around. May God bless us all.

Isabel  

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- Calm Again
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 6 Aug 2016 21:37:23 -0400
Hi, the severe weather is over, for now. Model guidance has the next system 
right over our area by the next weekend. As we go farther into the month, these 
waves are going to become more serious. As a matter of fact, the tropical wave 
for next weekend looks quite ominous. I am sure that Xabi ( Sha-bee ) is 
watching The Weather Channel. Be well. Be happy. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Severe Weather
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 5 Aug 2016 21:42:01 -0400
Hi ! This morning started off with the face in the photo. It cleared up for a 
while then came the alert of thunderstorms approaching! What a deluge!  And 
that during a funeral! Water everywhere. It stopped only to resume just as 
everyone was leaving! That was tropical wave # 1. The Flash Flood Watch is now 
extended until Sunday morning with the second TW arriving overnight tonight 
according to 
NWS. If it goes as announced we can get a rainfall total of 2-4" or more 
between tonight and Sunday morning. Sounds unreal... At the moment it's raining 
on and off. Maybe tonight I call fall asleep to the real thing rather than the 
recorded.😄 May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- An Active Season
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 4 Aug 2016 21:47:25 -0400
Hi! As we await the two tropical waves this weekend with the hope of getting 
the much needed rain, word came that Colorado U. has increased the number of 
storms by 10. Ten?
Those of us who look ahead to the African coast see the waves moving towards 
the Atlantic. There are many, so an increase in the number of storms makes 
sense. The Saharan dust is the only hindrance at the moment and soon that will 
be gone. Dave suspects an impact in the Caribbean. We just have to be ready for 
whatever comes. The sunset was captured in today's photos. So far it is quiet, 
but should be stormy later tonight if the forecast is accurate. Be well, have a 
good night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- An Active Season
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 4 Aug 2016 21:47:25 -0400
Hi! As we await the two tropical waves this weekend with the hope of getting 
the much needed rain, word came that Colorado U. has increased the number of 
storms by 10. Ten?
Those of us who look ahead to the African coast see the waves moving towards 
the Atlantic. There are many, so an increase in the number of storms makes 
sense. The Saharan dust is the only hindrance at the moment and soon that will 
be gone. Dave suspects an impact in the Caribbean. We just have to be ready for 
whatever comes. The sunset was captured in today's photos. So far it is quiet, 
but should be stormy later tonight if the forecast is accurate. Be well, have a 
good night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Visitors Approaching
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 3 Aug 2016 23:26:18 -0400
I hope they are friendly. Those those u possible 98L. I don't know how fast 
they are moving, however, a tropical wave is expected tomorrow
night into Friday, and the first one looks so far away. We have to wait and 
see. In the meanwhile , Hurricane EARL is wreaking havoc in Belize. Let's hope 
and pray that everyone is taking the necessary precautions and that there are 
no other threats up the road. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Visitors Approaching
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 3 Aug 2016 23:26:18 -0400
I hope they are friendly. Those those u possible 98L. I don't know how fast 
they are moving, however, a tropical wave is expected tomorrow
night into Friday, and the first one looks so far away. We have to wait and 
see. In the meanwhile , Hurricane EARL is wreaking havoc in Belize. Let's hope 
and pray that everyone is taking the necessary precautions and that there are 
no other threats up the road. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Calm Weather
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 2 Aug 2016 21:04:08 -0400
Hi, we had a dry, calm, peaceful day. However, coming up we have three tropical 
waves in the wings. According to WU we can expect one on Friday (this could be 
the remnants of 96L. It was looking rather impressive to our east.); there's 
one on Sunday, and one on Tuesday. Dave thinks one of the next waves will be 
labeled 98L. Suspense! Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- RAIN- a Blessing and a Curse?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 1 Aug 2016 20:31:49 -0400
Hi, whatever amount of rain we got, it surely boosted this Hibiscus bush. A 
great treat for the tortoises! They love them! We did not get the 4 inches of 
rain and more that were predicted, but that might have caused problems. Sorry 
about the folks who lost their lives in Hispaniola due to this tropical wave 
which grew in intensity after it passed us. It can become a name storm by 
tonight. The NHC has given it a 90% chance. That's a done deal. As I said in a 
recent post, it is going to be a busy season. I hope everyone is going to be 
safe, not curious. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Sunday Evening with 97 L
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 31 Jul 2016 20:13:18 -0400
Hi! After a disappointing lack of rain out of 97L we are
finally beginning to get some real moisture albeit in "fits and starts". It 
would be so heavy and loud enough to cause Olli's ears to go back, and then in 
an instant it would stop. Like Dave, I do think that 97L will be something to 
deal with down the road. As for 96 L, I'm counting on that one for a better 
chance  of rain. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Where is 97 L ?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 31 Jul 2016 05:46:50 -0400
It is 5:42 a.m. and no
rain as yet. There is, however, a 100% chance of rain. The photos show how it 
looks at this hour of Sunday morning. See you in church. May God bless us all. 
Will check in later.

Isabel

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- Some Timid Rumblings
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 31 Jul 2016 01:19:46 -0400
Good night, All ! I'm turning in.(Yawn..,yawn...) So far, except for a few hiccups, 97L is not ready to show it's full force as yet. I went outside a short while ago and there are occasional flashes, so something is definitely in the neighborhood. I just hope we get some rain. I'll let you know tomorrow morning. I was just reading up on 96 L, which is trailing this one. There is a potential for it to become a Depression in the Central Atlantic by midweek. The Computer models have it going in all directions including this way. Then there are a couple of blood red monsters coming off the coast of Africa soon. I'm sure those are going to be invests as well. We are going to be very busy this hurricane season that's for sure. Sweet dreams. Blessings!

Isabel

- Flash Flood Watch!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2016 22:24:58 -0400
Hi, everyone, near and far. Until it's here we are never absolutely sure. This 
one looks serious, so we have to pay attention. The action is suppose to begin 
in 
ernest around 2 a.m. We can expect 2-4 inches of rain and maybe more. Is it 
going to become a name storm, over us, or after it passes? It has that kind of 
face. I hope that everyone in its path will take the necessary precautions. 
Being that this is not a cyclone, the usual is not done. We never batten down 
the hatches for a tropical wave, which consists of rain and some wind. This, 
however, is a strong one with potential for us or for others down the road. At 
the moment it is quiet. We have had only spurts of rain and some wind thus far. 
I shall send another update before I retire at whatever time that will be. Have 
a good night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- The Leading Edge of 97 L
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2016 14:12:06 -0400
Hi! This is it! The leading edge arrived earlier than anticipated, but at a 
speed of 30 mph that is to be expected. The wave itself is coming along soon. 
How long will it last? The NWS in San Juan said it should last until tomorrow 
night, though there is a high percentage of rain for Monday as well. I will 
update again later. 

Blessings!
Isabel

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- 97 L is on the Way
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2016 21:55:28 -0400
Hi! Here we are, some believe and some don't that we are going to have a mini 
deluge. The NWS said we can get as much as 2.5 inches of rain with the whole 
works! Sounds dramatic! It's moving too fast to form into a cyclone. On the 
other hand, 96 L was moving slower and has more of a potential to develop. That 
one may not threaten us. For now, we have to deal with 
97 L. May God bless us all.

Isabel


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- Keep an eye on 96 L !!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 28 Jul 2016 21:44:31 -0400
Hi! This new invest is posing a threat for us in the Caribbean.  It bears 
watching. I am hoping it does not slip to the south so that we can get some 
much needed rain. The photos show why. As for 97L, that one is already above 
the islands; unless it recurves, we should be in the clear. Keep track of 96L! 
Have a good night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- What? The First invest!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 27 Jul 2016 23:03:53 -0400
Hi! That seems to be the evident concern of our pet, Xavi! However, 96 L may 
not be a concern at all. It's more than 3000 miles away and most likely will be 
going out to sea, or pass far from us. We do have some tropical waves coming 
our way. Hopefully the one on Sunday, which is a stronger one, will bring us 
more rain. The previous showers did not benefit our cisterns enough, so today 
the water truck was making yet another visit. We all should be concerned about 
future potential storms and be sure to prepare well. Have a good night, and may 
God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Early Arrival
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 26 Jul 2016 22:43:34 -0400
Hi! You never know with the weather which way it's going to go. It rained 
through Monday evening instead of Tuesday, but on Tuesday evening all of a 
sudden a huge black cloud appeared and I thought this was it!  Not a drop! 
However, it was a great photo opportunity. Earlier, the Agave plant with it's 
needle tips was a decorative touch to the setting sun. Two more waves on the 
way, one on Friday and a stronger one on Sunday. That one is being monitored by 
the GFS model guidance. There's going to be more activity with each day. It's 
the season to be hurricane ready. Have a good night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Early Arrival
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 26 Jul 2016 22:43:34 -0400
Hi! You never know with the weather which way it's going to go. It rained 
through Monday evening instead of Tuesday, but on Tuesday evening all of a 
sudden a huge black cloud appeared and I thought this was it!  Not a drop! 
However, it was a great photo opportunity. Earlier, the Agave plant with it's 
needle tips was a decorative touch to the setting sun. Two more waves on the 
way, one on Friday and a stronger one on Sunday. That one is being monitored by 
the GFS model guidance. There's going to be more activity with each day. It's 
the season to be hurricane ready. Have a good night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Rainy Evening
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 26 Jul 2016 00:22:28 -0400
Hi! Either the TW arrived early, or this was a preview of tomorrow's weather 
when it is actually expected. It was perfect timing, too. I was watering with 
an extended hose from the tank a "mile" away when it started to rain. This is a 
weak wave according to the  NWS compared with the "vigorous" one on the 
weekend. Another good soaking would be exactly what we need. There is a Low 
Pressure System coming off the coast of Africa (1009 mb). The one before 
dissipated, mostly due to the dust. It goes to show that when the dust ends the 
activity will ramp up. In the meantime have good nights, and  may God bless us 
all.

Isabel

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- Dust Free
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 24 Jul 2016 22:01:08 -0400
Hi! Free of Saharan  dust today, but it remains in the forecast for the next 
days after the passage of a tropical wave on Tuesday. Last night we had some 
very heavy showers and our sky was a pretty blue again. It was a very nice day. 
Hope yours was as well. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Long Range Models..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 23 Jul 2016 22:20:45 -0400
Hi, I hope everyone with interests in the Caribbean and the Mainland have taken 
a few minutes to read Dave's post on July 20th. The long range models, he said, 
forecast tropical formation at the end of July with the possibility of a 
hurricane in three weeks. Though these models are often inaccurate, he said, 
now is the time we start to look towards the West Coast of Africa. The sea is 
warm, the Saharan dust will soon cease, wind shear absent, La Niña kicking in, 
all the ingredients are there. Are we ready for EARL, and FIONA, and the 
others? If not, it's late. The heat all around the globe is extreme, our 
hurricanes can be extremely "frightful"as we have seen in other countries. 
Let's pray and hope for a safe season for everyone. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Hot! Hot! Hot?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 22 Jul 2016 21:47:46 -0400
Yes, and getting hotter. The ice has melted, so it will be hot! We have some 
delicious breezes that  beckon a hammock for a long nap. The Lagoon in the 
photos is quite refreshing. Christiansted is in the background in the first 
one. This serene scene can change dramatically in the next few weeks. Read "On 
the Horizon" in Stormcarib if you haven't as yet. I only saw it today. The 
Atlantic is looking active and with no wind shear or dust, EARL and FIONA can 
form in a matter of weeks. Time to prepare! May God bless us all.

Isabel 
 

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- TW Brushed By..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 21 Jul 2016 23:31:57 -0400
Hi! The photos show the brushing after a night of flashes and rumblings. We 
hope for better with each tropical wave. We just have to be careful what we 
wish for. This could be the year when La Niña will make a terrible difference 
in our neck of the woods. Let's not become complacent, let's prepare. The dry 
branches at the top of the African Tulip Tree were stripped bare by the 130 mph 
winds of Hurricane Omar in 2008, many other branches were torn off; there was a 
lot of damage during that last hurricane. We have to be ready. Have a good 
night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Still Waiting...
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 20 Jul 2016 21:00:40 -0400
Hi! That's right! Except for a few drops, no rain whatsoever; however,
"numerous showers" are still in the forecast. This morning there was a hint of 
a rainbow in the distance above the Divi tree and turtle domain in the middle 
of the driveway. The second photo shows the on going landscaping work in the 
lower garden. It can use some rain and I hope it is still coming. Well, one 
thing is certain, there are many Tropical Waves coming off the coast of Africa 
and they're all coming this way! Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Weather Cats
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 19 Jul 2016 22:32:07 -0400
Hi! Here we have Olli (blk) and Xavi, fearful of storms, even just a tropical 
wave, which can contain thunder! 
This is quoted from the NWS "High moisture content associated to this tropical 
wave in combination with an unstable environment will result in showers and 
thunderstorms across the local islands through at least Thursday morning." That 
sounds like RAIN ! We will not get our hopes up until we see it. In the 
meanwhile, the pets have nothing to fear but Fear itself. Have a good night and 
may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- C l o u d s !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 18 Jul 2016 20:31:10 -0400
Hi! It was not a cloudy day by any means, there were just clusters of 
interesting 
clouds. This week, between some trofiness, and a couple of TWs, there should be 
a good chance of rain. Right? 
We shall see. Have a good night and may God bless America, -one nation under 
God, as we head into 4 very stormy months.

Isabel 

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- Tropical Showers
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 17 Jul 2016 21:24:36 -0400
Hi! Today everyone got showered upon at different times of the day. This seems 
to be the pattern for the next days until the tropical wave next Thursday. It 
looks larger than the previous ones. The SAL will remain for now sometimes 
less, other times more. The photo were taken in the early morning and late 
afternoon. Have a good night and may 
God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Tropical Wave vs Saharan Dust
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Jul 2016 21:29:00 -0400
Well, the dust won again. No rain, just a hazy, partly cloudy and hot day. 
There's always rain in the forecast, so it's hopeful that a repeat performance 
of last year's drought will not happen. Likewise, I decided to try another 
method of growing tomatoes. Maybe we can finally have a successful harvest one 
day. Always try and try again, which is what I'm doing with the landscaping in 
the lower garden as well, but we need rain. It makes a big difference. Hope you 
all had a wonderful day. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Tropical Wave vs Saharan Dust
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Jul 2016 21:29:00 -0400
Well, the dust won again. No rain, just a hazy, partly cloudy and hot day. 
There's always rain in the forecast, so it's hopeful that a repeat performance 
of last year's drought will not happen. Likewise, I decided to try another 
method of growing tomatoes. Maybe we can finally have a successful harvest one 
day. Always try and try again, which is what I'm doing with the landscaping in 
the lower garden as well, but we need rain. It makes a big difference. Hope you 
all had a wonderful day. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Phantom Wave..?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Jul 2016 20:27:02 -0400
We ended this beautiful day at Shoys Beach, our favorite. The sea is hurricane 
ready, warm. However, I don't see anything out there on the map. Not even a 
hint of the tropical wave that was forecast to enter the Caribbean on Saturday, 
yet, it is still on track. It must be one of those phantoms. We'll see 
tomorrow. The Saharan dust is relentless, so any possibility for showers could 
be severely limited. Hope you had a good day in your neck of the woods. Have a 
good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel


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- Soothing Evening Showers
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 14 Jul 2016 21:14:46 -0400
Hi! These frequent but brief passing showers are such a blessing. It beats 
watering. With my on-going landscaping and the transfer of ground cover to 
re-create what was lost with the drought last year, these showers are indeed a 
blessing. Every bit of moisture helps the plants to grow and spread. Today I 
also filled two large bags with ground cover for senior friends who want to 
eliminate trimming on a slope. That will do it. I got that tip from a 
House&Garden magazine some years a ago. It really works! We should be getting 
rain from another tropical wave on Saturday. That makes garden work so much 
easier. Showers came by as I wrote. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- No Trough for Us
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 13 Jul 2016 21:41:46 -0400
Hello! No trough, no rain. That was disappointing, but understandable with all 
the dust in the atmosphere. The tropical wave expected for Saturday will 
probably get snuffed out as well unless the dust disappears. In the meanwhile, 
I sometimes sit on the bench near the oldest Divi Divi Tree we have and wonder 
how old is old. It has a very wide canopy and a very wise trunk that has been 
through much in its lifespan.
Will it survive a strong storm if that should happen this year? I will invite 
someone from agriculture to take a look at our tree before it's no longer 
there. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- No Trough for Us
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 13 Jul 2016 21:41:46 -0400
Hello! No trough, no rain. That was disappointing, but understandable with all 
the dust in the atmosphere. The tropical wave expected for Saturday will 
probably get snuffed out as well unless the dust disappears. In the meanwhile, 
I sometimes sit on the bench near the oldest Divi Divi Tree we have and wonder 
how old is old. It has a very wide canopy and a very wise trunk that has been 
through much in its lifespan.
Will it survive a strong storm if that should happen this year? I will invite 
someone from agriculture to take a look at our tree before it's no longer 
there. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Weather Kitten Fun
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 12 Jul 2016 20:38:34 -0400
This morning, our adopted kitten, XABI, was playing with the weatherman on the 
screen. At the same time you can see our weather forecast for the week. A 
trough is expected overnight into Wednesday.  A tropical wave is expected this 
weekend. It all depends on the Saharan dust. I must say I'm happy to still 
write today. I was protected from electrocution last night. Imagine trying to 
put out a fire in an electric oven with a wet dish towel! Thank God for life! 
Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Weather plants
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 11 Jul 2016 21:51:53 -0400
Well, it's been a very pleasant 41st day of the H season, especially late 
afternoon and evening. During this week we should be having a trough passing by 
giving us a 
chance of rain. Today's photos have to do with using this ground cover to 
prevent erosion. We had a dangerous situation some years ago, where the slope 
behind our house was eroding at an alarming rate. I could not enjoy a good 
rainfall while at the same time expecting a landslide, so I contacted my 
connection at  DPNR (Public Works). Securing the slope, he said, would have 
been difficult and costly, so he suggested the next best thing. Seeing that we 
had so much ground cover, we could use it to stop the erosion by spreading it 
out on the top so that the rain would hit the plants not the ground itself. 
Heavy rain pounding on ground causes it to break apart, but the plants would 
protect the ground as indeed it has, so far. This ground cover can be thrown 
wherever you want it, no need to plant it. Have a good night and may God bless 
us all.

Isabel

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- Tropical Wave to the South
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 10 Jul 2016 21:39:51 -0400
Good Sunday Night, All. I was happy for the visitors that we did not get the 
rain. It would've been lots of rain. As it passed well to the south of us, we 
got the clouds, the hazy skies, obviously dust, and a little sprinkle at 6 p.m. 
That was it for TW #2. As the " bowling alley" opens up and more and more waves 
shoot across the Atlantic we are going to have some passing through us for 
sure. We must start our survival preparations. Storms have increased in size. 
Be ready, not sorry. May God bless us all.   

Isabel

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- Soggy Ground
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 9 Jul 2016 21:19:09 -0400
Tropical Wave #1 moved in today with heavy showers at intervals. Easy to pull 
those talk grass plugs out. Those will be replaced with large ground cover. My 
landscaping has come along and it's looking lots improved since the drought 
last year when the ground was left bare. It so happens that deer love that 
ground cover as it's very succulent. So far so good. There should be at least a 
couple of waves passing through each week. Tropical Wave#2 was forecast to 
arrive on Sunday. We shall see. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel
Some clouds above our new cinema under construction.

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- Tropical Nights...
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 8 Jul 2016 21:13:32 -0400
Can only be experienced in the tropics; so many sounds, including the distant 
love songs coming from a tavern. This is the time to enjoy the quiet before the 
potential storms later on. This weekend two tropical systems are forecast to 
enter the Caribbean. First, a weak one on Saturday, then a stronger one on 
Sunday. Looking across the Atlantic to Africa there is a trail of TWs on the 
way. That means rain, which is good. So, on this note, I'll bid you a good 
night and may God bless us all.

Isabel 

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- Turtle Weather
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 7 Jul 2016 22:43:12 -0400
Today was perfect for our turtles, no wind, just a pleasant breeze. So, they 
shared a meal together. They love rain, it makes good mud, and they love mud. 
It's hard to keep them shiny-looking with their life style. Next tropical wave 
and chance for rain in during this coming weekend. That should make them and 
all of us happy. So, here they are. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Trailing Moisture
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 6 Jul 2016 21:20:09 -0400
The photos reflect our Wednesday morning weather. Moisture was trailing the 
tropical wave with some hefty showers. Later the Saharan dust invaded the area. 
 I'm keeping an eye towards the coast of Africa from where eventually shall 
come 
a few challenges this hurricane season. There is already some thing to watch as 
mentioned by Dave in his July 4th post. We are already in the 36th day of the 
hurricane season. During this month we should be in full hurricane preparedness 
mode.
Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Anything else on the way?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 5 Jul 2016 21:51:57 -0400
A couple of blobs (monsoon troffs) are stepping off the coast of Africa that 
bear watching. With the Saharan dust in place it's doubtful that anything will 
get through bigger than a few rain showers. We still have to monitor these 
systems to see what direction they are taking. Today was rather pleasant after 
the refreshing night showers. Hope we will have more of those soon! Have a good 
night and may God bless us all.

Isabel


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- Tropical Wave Changes
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 4 Jul 2016 22:22:49 -0400
Happy 4th of July! Hope it has a been a great one for all of America and 
wherever Freedom is celebrated. As far as our weather today, a mixed bag, quite 
breezy, with threatening clouds, some sprinkles all ahead of what we expected 
to be a bigger rain maker than the last one; but it's done it again. The Wave 
is losing some of it's former promise 
and looks as if we may get even less rain. However, whatever we can get is much 
appreciated. So, tonight it should arrive through Tuesday morning. We shall 
hope. Be well, be happy, and may God bless America and each one of us in a 
special way.

Isabel🇺🇸

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- Best Wishes
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 3 Jul 2016 23:45:05 -0400
That's right! Best wishes for a safe July 4th and rest of month in terms of 
activity. All the tropical waves seem to be headed in this direction. The next 
one on Tuesday should be stronger with more convection than the last. In the 
meanwhile, I expect that after the soaking rain on Saturday our fruit trees 
should produce an abundance of fruit. Have a good night and may God bless us 
all.

Isabel

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- Tropical Wave Arrives!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 2 Jul 2016 15:45:14 -0400
Good Saturday afternoon to all! Our otherwise dry and tranquil weather was 
dramatized for several hours with the passing of a tropical wave which seemed 
directly overhead, at first, waves of quick moving showers, thunder, then more 
frequent heavier showers with all the works! That was this morning, now at mid 
afternoon it's overcast and dry. Thank God for the wedding party.! The ceremony 
should be taking place as I write. The next tropical wave I understand from the 
NWS in San Juan is coming in on Monday night into Tuesday with more convection 
than this one and lots more rain. We need all we can get for now. Have a great 
rest of day and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Morning Rain
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 1 Jul 2016 23:33:34 -0400
Part of the tropical wave came through this morning and the rest is expected 
over night and Saturday. We look forward to it. It makes a big difference! 
Amazing how so much of it falls in other places causing such devastating 
flooding. As I write the rain is pouring!  Just as was forecasted to do. Have a 
good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- The Elusive Tropical Waves
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 30 Jun 2016 22:45:43 -0400
Good night, all! The dry, brownish lawn, the droopy branches, and giant leaves, 
are signs of a prolonged dry spell. The tropical waves go by so fast if they 
get here at all, that they hardly wet the ground. Now, I'm hoping it will get 
better as we go. This year it's still way better than it was last year, so we 
are truly grateful. We harvested loads of Mespels of which many people enjoyed. 
I'm hoping that the next two tropical waves will bring copious amounts of rain 
so that the Sugar
Apples and Yellow Plums will do well, and our cisterns be replenished. It's 
been very breezy; sometimes the wind contributes to the lack of rain by blowing 
away the clouds. Right now the wind is howling out there. Maybe rain is on the 
way! May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Colors and Feathery Clouds
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 29 Jun 2016 21:17:01 -0400
Hello again, I did not realize that I wrote so late last night that it was 
already today, so you get two for the price of one! For those of you, like 
myself, who might be interested in Meteorology, I would like to turn your 
attention to Dr. Masters' Blog--A GALLERY OF TROPICAL INFLUENCES SUCH AS MJO, 
CCKW, TIW, and LA NIÑA. Each one is described, explained and make known that we 
can be affected by them this season. So, for those of us in the area and along 
the US Coastline, it would be good to read this in-depth article. Within this 
blog are other articles as well relating to these tropical influences. VERY 
interesting!

During the last couple of seasons we have been protected by wind shear, well, 
this captured my attention right away, "The shift toward La Niña should lead to 
reduced vertical wind shear over the Atlantic thus favoring a greater amount of 
tropical cyclone treatment." So, with that, I'll bid you good night, and may 
God bless us all.

Isabel

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- RAIN !
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 28 Jun 2016 23:59:17 -0400
What an awesome site that was today before noon! A heavy downpour of short 
duration was the blessing we needed. During the remainder of the day there were 
brief showers and over night more rain is expected. A tropical wave is due to 
enter the local area on the weekend. We look forward to many blessings, hope 
you are too. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- The Airport Cloud-Man
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 27 Jun 2016 23:05:29 -0400
Take a look at that cloud and see a face there. It was right over the airport 
at mid afternoon today. I thought the clouds were interesting but I  did not 
see a face. Those clouds have a lot to do with the weather pattern lately, 
always rain in the forecast, rain clouds with no rain. There are two more 
tropical waves approaching one to the south and a more promising one later in 
the weekend, but will it deliver? The more I look at the cloud-man, the more it 
looks like a cat.! Be well, be happy, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Not a Chance!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 27 Jun 2016 00:08:31 -0400
Good night, folks! The photo does not reflect today's mood. I like it because 
blue is my favorite color. My husband was disappointed today that we did not 
get any of the 90% chance of rain in the forecast. It looked as if it could, 
but it didn't. During the week there are some hopeful signs of rain. Climate 
change has changed a lot of things, but when the face of the earth is 
renewed, it will all be back to normal. Be well, be happy. May God bless us all!

Isabel

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- Rumblings...?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 25 Jun 2016 23:56:51 -0400
That was the state of the afternoon. Threatening clouds, rumbles in the 
distance, a drop or two?  We have a 40% chance of rain for today/tonight I hope 
to get a bit of moisture out of this trough.  
Sleep well and May the God bless us all.

Isabel
  

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- The TUTT Visited
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 25 Jun 2016 01:03:22 -0400
The Tot? No, the Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough passed through on the 24th 
dragging all rain to the south of us. For a while it looked as if we were in 
for it. Later on we could have more rain than we can handle. Thinking back on 
the unnamed storm that rained havoc on Dominica. Let's be ready for any and 
everything, and may God bless us all!

Isabel

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- Shhhh! The Sun is going to Bed
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 23 Jun 2016 20:58:18 -0400
Hi! And am I ever glad he does not stay up any later.! By the looks of that 
sunset you can tell it was a
very nice day. Let's enjoy these blessings while we have them. I would like you 
to read Jonathan Belles report on Weather Underground about  these early named 
storms and what it means for the rest of the season. This is what I jotted 
down, "la Niña, a favorable pattern for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic is 
forecast to develop as we move toward the the peak of the hurricane season." 
With that I guess we can expect some massive action, and then, maybe not. Read 
it. Be happy with those who are happy, and weep with those who weep. And may 
God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Weather Concerns
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 23 Jun 2016 00:50:32 -0400
Good night, All! This day (22nd) was great. In addition to the good weather, 
breezy, and comfortable, it was a very happy birthday for my daughter! Some 
people are happy and some are sad, with reason. When the weather is "bad" I 
can't help thinking of the homeless people and cute kittens like the one in the 
photo. Where do they go? Hopefully they have shelter. I see quite a few waves 
coming from Africa and a 1010 mb Low just coming off the coast. The Saharan Air 
Layer is in place as a shield. Will it do the job again? The SAL is a blessing 
and a curse another time. We need rain without the storm attached. Let's pray 
and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Morning and Afternoon
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 21 Jun 2016 23:15:52 -0400
Hello Again! Today's weather was a mixed bag, but the best part of it was the 
rain. I think the ground got a  good soaking. Exactly what the fruit trees 
need. There's a 90%
chance of rain after midnight. I'm not holding my breath. I'll be very grateful 
if it does. During this month and July the    tropical waves are lower to the 
south; later that's going to be another story. That's also when the 
"disturbances" appear and form. Rather not look too far ahead. Have a good 
night and may God bless us all. 

Isabel


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- GRAY! The Color of the Day!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 21 Jun 2016 00:30:29 -0400
That's right! No rain! Just gray, sometimes stormy looking skies. And what 
happens when it does not rain? Take a look at our Papaya tree. I was so happy 
we had a fruit bearing tree again; by it's sad appearance we could very well 
lose it. 

Tropical Storm Danielle, the 4th storm of the season made a brief appearance as 
it approached the coast of Mexico. See how active. We have to seriously prepare 
before August when  the  waves from 
Africa will come one after the other with potential to develop. Let's hope and 
pray it 
won't be a bad season. May God bless us all.

Isabel


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- Stormy Night..?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 20 Jun 2016 00:16:13 -0400
Best wishes to all the fathers out there. Hope it was a very happy day for you. 
This day has been on and off as far as the weather goes. At the moment it' 80 
degrees, mostly cloudy, with a 70% chance of rain, but rain is not expected 
until 5:30 a.m. Another tropical wave  is passing through on Monday. We shall 
see.  Have a good night and may qGod bless us all.

Isabel




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- Piggy Cloud
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 19 Jun 2016 00:34:50 -0400
It sure looks like a pig. Just on time for the Father's Day roast. Oh no, he's 
much too cute. Our Father' s Day could be rainy for part of the day starting in 
the morning and then later in the day with possible thunderstorms. All of this 
is kind of wait and see. A couple of tropical waves are forecast to enter the 
Caribbean early next week. 94L is threatening to develop in the Bay Campeche 
moving WNW. Far away from us. Let's hope that "the girl" does not affect our 
weather
this hurricane season. It is already active with 3 named storms and a potential 
one in the GOM. May God bless all the Father's out there with a very happy day 
surrounded by family and friends. Enjoy your roast! Blessings on all of us so 
that we can enjoy together.

Isabel

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- Weather Friends
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 17 Jun 2016 20:33:56 -0400
Thank you, weather friends. Like they say birds of a feather flock together. I 
do appreciate receiving mail from all of you kind folks out there. This 
morning, it was beautiful, this afternoon, it was beautiful, and in addition 
suddenly got a heavy rainfall, short but sweet. Then late this afternoon Mother 
Hen said goodbye wandering further away with her chicks. It made me reflect 
again that Jesus mentioned the hen more than two thousand years ago..see 
Matthew 23:37. Now going back to the weather. Is it going to be influenced by 
the boy? Or the girl? That is still the question. Have a wonderful Friday and 
may God bless is all.

Isabel

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- Weather Friends
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 17 Jun 2016 20:33:56 -0400
Thank you, weather friends. Like they say birds of a feather flock together. I 
do appreciate receiving mail from all of you kind folks out there. This 
morning, it was beautiful, this afternoon, it was beautiful, and in addition 
suddenly got a heavy rainfall, short but sweet. Then late this afternoon Mother 
Hen said goodbye wandering further away with her chicks. It made me reflect 
again that Jesus mentioned the hen more than two thousand years ago..see 
Matthew 23:37. Now going back to the weather. Is it going to be influenced by 
the boy? Or the girl? That is still the question. Have a wonderful Friday and 
may God bless is all.

Isabel

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- Chicken Weather
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 17 Jun 2016 08:41:43 -0400
G'morning! Mother Hen takes her newly hatched chicks for short outings while 
the weather is still agreeable for such. No rain expected until Sunday, and 
sometimes we don't get any of it in our neck of the woods. C'est la weather! 
God bless us all.

Isabel

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Jesus mentioned the hen more than 2000 years ago. See Matthew 23:37


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- Clouds, Empty Clouds..
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 16 Jun 2016 21:57:23 -0400
It was hot with stormy looking clouds above, which did not produce rain, just 
ghost clouds. By this coming Sunday we should have real clouds with real rain 
from the tropical wave in the forecast. However, as long as there is Saharan 
Dust in the atmosphere it can severely limit the chance of rain. Anyway, Sunday 
should always be sunny. Now I have a question for the Stormcarib followers in 
the Caribbean. What kind of tree would this be in the photos? I know it's not 
Breadfruit as someone suggested. Then what is it? Praise God for all our fruit 
and vegetables. May we always be blessed.

Isabel

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- Possible Tropical Wave this Sunday
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 15 Jun 2016 22:05:04 -0400
Our Jungle Park needs rain to keep it alive and well. There seems to be such a 
hope with the next tropical wave. As usual the Sal is drying up those systems 
before they reach us. Maybe this one will be diddwrenrWe look forward to a good 
soaking. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Drought-like
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 14 Jun 2016 23:21:13 -0400
The Iguana in the photo blends in with the lawn that's starting to look dry. So 
many thick clouds and no rain! It's scary to think there could be a repetition 
of last year's drought. I hope and pray that that will not be the case. May God 
bless us all.

Isabel

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- A Fuzzy / Sunny Day
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 13 Jun 2016 23:03:35 -0400
Another very warm day with partly sunny skies due to the so called weak 
tropical wave in the area. Some threatening clouds came and went, but it was 
friendly enough to have that outing at the Lagoon Park with my niece from 
Arkansas. The sole peacock in the park listened as we talked to him. No 
squawking! Gosh, peacocks let out the most horrendous sound! Not today. It was 
enjoying the day as we were. Have a good night and may  
God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Sky Watching
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 12 Jun 2016 23:39:52 -0400
Anything going on up there? Now, at night? Nothing that we can see, but it's 
fascinating. Every now and then something moves and it happens to be an 
airplane on its way somewhere . In this daytime photo I was trying to catch the 
airplane that was taking my kids away on vacation. Can't see it. Can 
you?Tomorrow we should be having some "moisture" which usually means nothing. 
Anyway, I have some outdoor plans; if that does not work out I certainly won't 
blame the weather. There are more dry days than wet at the moment. So, let's 
take it a day at a time, be happy with what we have and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Trough and Tropical Wave
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 12 Jun 2016 00:16:04 -0400
Good night, folks! This morning we had some rain showers courtesy of a trough. 
I could not resist taking   this photo. On Sunday into Monday a weak tropical 
wave will bring an increase of showers to the local area. Looking ahead I 
noticed that the Tropical waves are lining up to cross the the Atlantic. If the 
dry air can combat them successfully they cannot develop into threatening  
storms. Let's pray and may God bless us all.

Isabel





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- The Green Desert
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 10 Jun 2016 23:42:46 -0400
Good night, Folks! It's currently a cool 78 degrees on my little hill, but 
during the day the heat can be intense, like today. So, everything is green and 
beautiful with desert like conditions. That's my opinion. I am looking forward 
to the next tropical wave which should arrive Sunday night into Monday. In the 
photo I was sitting on a bench when I took that picture. Above, is the wide 
canopy of our largest, oldest Divi-Divi Tree. It has survived many a storm 
including Hurricane Hugo which ravaged the island in 1989. I should try to get 
the whole tree into one photo by itself. This one was not intended to focus on 
the tree. It has to be well over 100 yrs old.  Be well, and may God bless us 
all.

Isabel

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- A Weather Hen..?
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 9 Jun 2016 22:50:08 -0400
We have one. She sits on her eggs through wind and rain and stormy nights. She 
is supposed to. I was told that a hen sits on her eggs until they hatch-approx. 
21 days. She laid the eggs next to our grotto at the base of a Divi-Divi tree. 
Well, today the eggs were exposed, 10 eggs! Later in the afternoon she was back 
on the eggs! She has to eat after all! May God bless us and all His creatures.

Isabel 

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- A Good Soaking
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 8 Jun 2016 23:07:55 -0400
Good night, all! Just when the stars in the were indicating no rain. There was 
a big flash as if someone heralding good news. The tropical wave was 
approaching. Rumbles of thunder followed and the night was spent in soaking the 
ground. Great! Last year our one, solitary Mango tree dried up. It stands, as
you see, as a testimony to how terrible a thing, a drought can be. Farmers lost 
many fruit trees and cattle.
Thank God this year we are enjoying a wetter pattern, the results of which are 
absolutely beautiful. May God bless us all!

Isabel

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Through the arch down the path.

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- Waiting for the T Wave
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 7 Jun 2016 21:09:38 -0400
We expect the rain overnight, but it almost seems as if the Saharan dust has 
dried it up. I'll keep hoping so that the lush vegetation we have now will 
continue to thrive. Hope all is well in your neck of the woods. May God bless 
us all.

Isabel

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- Tropical Waves
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 6 Jun 2016 23:58:27 -0400
We are currently expecting the sweet relief of a tropical wave, which should 
bring us some much needed rain, always needed for the cisterns so that we don't 
have to buy it by the truckful. By tomorrow afternoon we should be seeing and 
feeling the effects of the TW. It will be followed by another wave on Sunday 
into Monday. COLIN is soaking Florida. This could be a busier season after all. 
Take care of yourselves wherever you are. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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   Looks like a lake.

Sent from my iPhone

- Update in Previous Post
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Jun 2016 22:00:44 -0400
The Adastra visited us recently. This super yacht, is truly a beautiful one. 
It's worth seeing on the Internet. It has lots of great information.!

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- Update in Previous Post
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Jun 2016 22:00:44 -0400
The Adastra visited us recently. This super yacht, is truly a beautiful one. 
It's worth seeing on the Internet. It has lots of great information.!

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Sent from my iPhone

- Tropical Storm COLIN
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Jun 2016 21:30:27 -0400
Well, well, the third named storm already into the first week of June!. So, the Hurricane Season started off real hot! What does that mean for the rest of the season?. As far as the folks here, they think it's going to be something to the contend with because of the weather pattern and the heat we've been having. The experts only know so much and they are trying to inform us as best they can. I must say they were right on target with COLIN. They said it would form on Sunday evening and it did. There is a tropical wave battling it's way towards us. It's big, so it might be able to get through the remaining bit of dust. Perhaps the change of weather for Tuesday has to do with that wave. We shall see. In the meanwhile, we enjoy what we have, be thankful, and keep smiling. May God bless us all.

Isabel

- Those Heavy Clouds!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 4 Jun 2016 23:28:18 -0400
Good Saturday night Folks! We have some pesky clouds hanging around these pass 
few days. It looks like rain, but it doesn't and so on. The clouds above the 
The Cay in the photo is a classic
example. In the meanwhile, 93 L in the Western Atlantic is looking rather 
serious and could very well become the 3rd named storm of the season. It's a 
matter of time. In the meanwhile, no rain in the forecast until maybe next 
Tuesday, just those heavy, but empty clouds. Have a good night and may God 
bless us all.

Isabel

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- A loaded Mesple ( Sapodilla) Tree
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 3 Jun 2016 23:40:57 -0400
This abundance is thanks to the frequent rain showers we've been
having so far this year. It's nice to share, so that's what we're
doing. Wish I could share with you too. Well at least you can see this
photo. Blessings!

Isabel

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- Tranquillity
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 3 Jun 2016 20:33:01 -0700
A day well spent with a hundred cares. The voluminous clouds were
empty so we haven't seen rain for a few days. The disturbance in the
Western Caribbean is threatening to become a Tropical Storm in the
Gulf by Monday. Batten down the hatches? Or hutches ? Something like
that. It is forecast to cross Florida north of Tampa. Very heavy rain
can be expected with this system. Be ready!
May God bless you and all ah we.

Isabel

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- Home Sweet Home
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 2 Jun 2016 19:13:21 -0700
The 2016 Hurricane Season is definitely off and running. We'd better
catch up. What is this I hear about a possible Colin which could even
arrive as a Cat 1 in Florida? I hope our Floridians friends are paying
attention. This is only the beginning. So keep an eye to the weather
and do the right thing. PREPARE.! May God bless us one and all.

Isabel

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- June 1st - Hello there!
  • By Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 1 Jun 2016 23:19:44 -0400
Greetings to all the Storm Carib friends! We seem to be off to a busy start! Wow! Alex started it well before in January and Bonnie just exited and is trying a comeback and so on. La Ninia could be more than a hand full. The experts might be underestimating "The Girl". It will probably be a year of surprises, just hope we are all prepared. The world has gone crazy and so has the weather. There's no telling what can happen next. Are we prepared? That's a good question. We're always kind of slow because things don't usually happen around here until August or so. This year can be very different. Watch out ! Those of you on the mainland, you have a lot of flooding to deal with, tornadoes, wicked weather brewing everywhere.Our weather has been wetter this year than last, so that the trees are producing an abundance of fruit. It has been hot and humid, what people tend to call "hurricane weather". We'll take it a day at a time and monitor anything suspicious. Take care of yourselves..Be safe! We'll try to do the same. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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