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- NEXT In Line ? (Previous update escaped me and went out unfinished)
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Sep 2015 23:05:01 -0500
We've been having beautiful weather, though hot and humid a good part of the time..This last Tropical Wave that was bringing at least a 90% chance of rain didn't quite make it except for a few drops. I was already warning my grandchildren to take proper rain gear to school. We can still have rain showers on and off from other activity, but nothing at all significant.

However, the National Hurricane Center of Miami is keeping an eye on a Tropical Wave that will exit the African Coast on Thursday. Whether this develops or not, it should reach the Lesser Antilles on Friday of next week. That will bring us the next significant rain, let us hope and pray that it is not coming with a name attached. Have a good night. May God bless us all.

Isabel


- Next in Line?
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Sep 2015 22:27:27 -0500
According to the NHC, a Tropical wave 

- Back to Drier Days!
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 31 Aug 2015 15:30:49 -0500
Good Afternoon!

Thank God that Hurricane FRED is far from us. It pummeled the Cape Verde Islands today. The first time in recorded history that they were in such a state. They're usually passed to the south and head west to our islands. Sorry for Dominica where the number of dead keeps rising. The devastation there must be absolutely incredible.Let's do what we can to help, We are having a repeat performance of pre-ERIKA days with dry weather, kind of hazy out there. However, there is supposed to be a tropical wave coming in to our area tomorrow, I noticed on Satellite Imagery that the TW, which looked healthy before, is looking smashed. Could be that we will get some "moisture" nevertheless. We can use lots more, that's for sure, but I'm not holding my breath. Let's do our best with what we have. May God bless us all.

Isabel

- ERIKA & The Empty Fi
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 30 Aug 2015 00:05:33 -0400
This tank was under a covered area yet it is half full of water with ERIKA'S 
brief visit (blown in?). I also forgot to mention that there was no thunder 
whatsoever. I thought we would get the whole works. A storm without lightning 
and thunder! Bizarre! Another almost funny thing. The forecast has a TW for 
early Sunday morning and it started raining already a few minutes ago; at the 
first drop, power outage! I wonder, until when. Next week there is another TW, 
about midweek. So it looks as if we are going to have the rain we wanted 
anyway, without a storm. AND I understand that 99L could become Fred tonight or 
tomorrow. Have a good night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- Power Outages on St. Croix
  • From: captaindee1 at gmail.com
  • Date: Sat, 29 Aug 2015 20:10:42 -0400
The Virgin Islands Water and Power Authority 
is under a tremendous amount of pressure from angry residents to better inform 
us via radio or the Internet as to the status of restoring power to all 
households. 
As of about one hour ago WAPA gave its first 
website update since YESTERDAY -informing the public that by tonight 90% of the 
power would be restored and by Sunday night we should expect complete 
restoration.
The general sentiment of locals is that this was not a major storm and outrages 
of this magnitude demonstrates the fragility 
of our power grid and the inability of WAPA
to maintain a utility. 
Please visit the VI WAPA Facebook page 
and the Virgin Islands Consortium. 

Sent from my iPhone

- ERIKA's Blue
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2015 19:48:12 -0400
This photo of one of ERIKA's rain bands, was taken on Thursday morning. The 
blue that we see in the Satellite Imagery    is not blue but gray like the 
cloud we see here. All day we have had this gray shroud over us: not a drop all 
day, yet it seems that it's been raining! Hopefully the sun will reign 
tomorrow. The videos from Dominica are heartbreaking. Let's hope that they will 
not be touched for the rest of the season. It seems that the next "potential" 
will avoid the Caribbean Islands. That would be great! May God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- Fwd: FW: Four photos from the east end...
  • From: Gert van Dijken <gert at vandijken.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2015 11:31:41 -0700
Message from Michael Luce, who is in Grapetree Bay overlooking the old Grapetree Bay Hotel.  Received email via Susan Beck, Allure Travel.
--
Gert van Dijken
Caribbean Hurricane Network
http://stormcarib.com



-----Original Message-----
From: Michael Luce 
Sent: Friday, August 28, 2015 12:52 PM
To: Susan Beck
Subject: Four photos from the east end...

[...]

As you can see, it could have been worse. My house was thankfully spared any apparent damage.

We'll hopefully have power restored soon. I hear that 40% of the island is now back on WAPA.

[...]

-mll



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- The Day After ERIKA
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2015 13:24:56 -0500
Good Afternoon,

We were prepared for the worse, and we're happily surprised that we were only buffeted for an hour and a half where I am in the town. We thought it would last all night. We were told to expect 4- 8 " of rain , 12" in isolated areas. It rained heavily for that short space of time with some brief pauses and then it was quiet. The wind was like a mini hurricane, but it just vanished and all we got was drizzle and some slightly heavier mix. The power outage happened almost right at the beginning. I don't know if it was purposely turned off as a precaution, but we did not get it back for 12 hrs or more. Some got it back sooner, and so on. There was  a curfew to keep vehicles off the roads so that debris from trees could be cleaned up. The curfew was lifted at 11:00 a.m. It has been very overcast on the verge of oncoming rain otherwise since last night's onslaught it's been quiet. We had no internet service until mid morning today. I tried several times. I want to thank everyone for your concern. We have yet to find out if there have been any severe damage or injuries to anyone. May God bless us all. 

Isabel

- Update.
  • From: Ehsan Said <esaid09 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2015 14:09:47 -0400
We have to thank God damages were nothing like Dominica. We had a lot of debris, poles down and trees knocked down. As of now, only 40% of the island has Electricity. Curfew has also been lifted as of 11 am.

Stay safe!

- Erika
  • From: Gert van Dijken <gert at vandijken.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2015 10:57:25 -0700
From Cordelia on St.Croix...
--
Gert van Dijken
Caribbean Hurricane Network
http://stormcarib.com

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Cordelia Jones <cordelia667 at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, Aug 28, 2015 at 10:42 AM
Subject: Erika
To: Gert Van Dijken <gert at vandijken.com>


Hi Gert.  I hope You get this. My email, cell service quit working about 3 hours ago.. Your email is only one that has come through.  Cannot send or receive texts either. If you get this, we are ok. Last night we had major high TS Force winds, & one gust was 65 mph. We received 2.3" of rain in our Rain Gauge. I'm in Eastend STX. Today, went out to assess damage, trees & power lines down.  Some flooding, but didn't see much structural damage. Thank God. 
Anyway, I hope you get this, but none of my other emails or texts going out. Surprised I got yours!

Stay safe,
Cordelia Jones




- Update
  • From: Ehsan Said <esaid09 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2015 13:35:02 -0400

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- ERIKA has ARRIVED!!!
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Aug 2015 19:01:55 -0500
On target! We are having very intense RAIN !
The power is out! Just went! It had been fluctuating for several hours. So far we've had only bands of heavy rain, but not a steady heavy rain. We are sorry for the people of Dominica who suffered such a blow. A local friend from there told me that the river overflowed it's banks and took houses and everything with it. Four people lost their lives. The storm is raging here. I hope every one here took the precautions necessary. May God help us and bless us all. I'm sending this out at 8:00p.m. Don't know if it will go out right away. Will update later.

Isabel


- Re: ERIKA
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Aug 2015 11:12:52 -0400
The storm is closer. We have on again, off again sunshine, a sudden burst of 
showers and wind, and so on. The sailboat in the photo was beyond the reef when 
I saw it very early this morning. Perhaps it was looking for a safe place. VI 
Alert is already warning of Flash Floods ahead of the storm. I will send in 
updates throughout the day. God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- 6:00 A.M. - First Signs of ERIKA
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Aug 2015 06:30:06 -0400
Good morning, weather friends, near and far!

We do not expect the "fullness" of ERIKA until this evening, but this is how 
it's starting out. I will try to send updates throughout the day. 

Blessings, 
Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- Ready or Not
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 26 Aug 2015 23:02:16 -0500
Good night, dear followers, and new found friends of the Caribbean Hurricane Network. Thank you very much for sticking with us. We can use all the support and encouragement during times like these. An approaching storm is a very stressful situation. The larger the storm, the more the stress. After all is said and done and prepared, there's the waiting...will it ever arrive? It's so sloooow... And then the wind picks up and the howling around the house, otherwise, it's QUIET! So, I shall retire now and hope to wake up to the delightful sound of rain. Before I sign off, I was happy to learn from VI Alert that hospital shelters were available for people with special medical needs. As for ERIKA, be good, give us the much needed rain, especially to the farmers, who work so hard producing our food.Have a restful night everyone, and may God bless us all.

isabel


- Preparing for ERIKA
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 26 Aug 2015 18:59:46 -0500
Good Evening,

Everyone is getting ready for ERIKA.. We did the same for DANNY and some of us were very disappointed that we only got a drizzle. We hope ERIKA will deliver without over doing. Too much of a good thing can also be dangerous. As a matter of fact, VITEMA has been very diligent in sending out alerts at every moment, about everything concerning the storm. The shelter, I guess there's only one, opened at 6 p.m. this evening. Government will be closed on Thursday. Parochial schools will be closed for the second time this week.Ports are closing at midnight, the funeral was postponed to Monday, and so on.

In the meanwhile, ERIKA is out there, looking ragged again, which probably means she is getting stronger. I understand that the storm is to intensify before arriving in our area tomorrow. The probable rain amounts have increased to 3 - 5 inches, possibly 8 in some areas. Clearly, water will be the main issue here, not wind. Flooding occurs with just a normal rainfall, therefore, we can expect a lot of flooding if we get that amount of rain. We need the rain, unfortunately, it comes with flooding. I just hope, though, we all get a fair share. Our friends on the East End of the Island got over 3000 gallons when Danny passed. We got a drizzle in Christiansted, as others did from what I heard.

It has been very breezy, with thick dark clouds coming from the direction of the storm. We have checked around the house to make sure all loose objects are put away, and there is not much to do for the moment except wait and hope everyone is taking the necessary precautions to stay safe. May God bless us all.

Isabel

I will update before retiring tonight.



- Tropical Storm Warning In Effect
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 26 Aug 2015 13:35:08 -0400
At this moment it is sunny and somewhat hazy, with an easterly breeze. 
Charming! However, rolling towards us is ERIKA. Tonight she will be passing 
through the island chain into the Caribbean Sea. We expect this nice breeze to 
become stiffer as the hours pass. It is not 
expected to impact our islands until tomorrow afternoon. I suspect that school 
will be canceled, but how about the funeral for my former classmate tomorrow 
morning?! Suspense! I'll keep you posted later on the current conditions. I 
hope ERIKA does not have a trick up her sleeve-- like becoming a full fledged 
hurricane! God help us and bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- T. S. ERIKA
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 25 Aug 2015 18:53:19 -0500
I'm  keeping an eye on the weather. DANNY did not give my neighborhood as much rain as others on our island, but did we ever get some powerful thunder during the night! As a result we had a power outage, which fortunately did not last too long. However, it's a good idea, to have a battery powered lamp turned on in the bathroom in case the power goes and you happen to be taking a shower just then!

ERIKA seems to have moved down a bit, which is good for us, that is, as far as the rain goes. We can use more rain. I worry especially about the farmers. Today I heard of a man who just lost 5 of his cattle due to shortage of grass and not able to keep up buying food. It's really hard for those who depend on animals for their livelihood. How to water and feed them during an extended drought as this.

We're counting on ERIKA to give everyone a good soaking, a saturated soil that will bring back life to the non-drought-resistant plants and the grass. ERIKA is packing more moisture than DANNY and since it is now closer to us, and hope it stays, or even gets closer, we'll definitely get what we need.

I was also watching with awe the even bigger wave that was coming off the coast of Africa. We can almost be sure that it will follow DANNY and ERIKA, seems to be the trend. Be well, be happy, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

- Tropical Storm ERIKA
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 24 Aug 2015 22:16:58 -0500
We are hearing a lot of rumbling, there've been flashes every now and then, but what we need most , RAIN, is sorely lacking. These occasional spurts do not  qualify as 
Rain.- It has to be a good steady downpour. Perhaps ERIKA will deliver the free water.
She'll be coming round In a couple if days!
Much bigger than DANNY.! Ready or not. ERIKA  is coming! May God protect and bless us all.

Isabel

- FREE WATER DELIVERY.?
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 24 Aug 2015 18:23:55 -0500
Good Evening, All!

We were hoping we would get free water from DANNY, but so far nothing. ( WAIT! It just started raining! BUT for how long,,,,) The Satellite Imagery does not always reflect reality. There can be an orange blob over a place and then you find out that they only got a drop of rain, as I heard was the case with Guadeloupe and Antigua. It has happened to us in the past as well.

Worrisome is 98L, which can give us a nasty surprise on Wednesday night. The experts in this field believe that it is serious about becoming a Tropical Storm very soon! Before it gets to the islands. It has been traveling very fast from the time it left the African coast, that's why it just about caught up with slow little DANNY.

Well, I'm done with this update and I can tell you that the rain was only a spurt. it's quiet again, except for the night creatures which are celebrating in anticipation of the rain. The little tree frogs have been very quiet for a long time. They need RAIN,, not spurts, then they're happy, like us, during this long drought. Be well. May God bless us all.

Isabel

- Waiting for Drought Relief
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 23 Aug 2015 16:15:06 -0400
A very good afternoon to one and all! Here we are practically counting down the 
hours to the arrival of DANNY in whatever form, hoping to get the promised 
drought relief. It is sunny and breezy at the moment with patchy, dark clouds 
here and there. Other than the little wind chimes, it's quiet. Parochial 
Schools open tomorrow, private schools next week, and Public Schools open the 
day after Labor Day. It seems that they will be impacted in some way or other 
by the onslaught of tropical systems that are heading across the Atlantic. It's 
beginning to look like the Pacific. Will keep posting on the current 
conditions. Be well. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- Rain? Or No Rain?
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 22 Aug 2015 21:44:37 -0500
Good night, Everyone !

We're waiting with bated breath for TS Danny. Is it going to bring the rain we've been hoping for? I just did a CPA and the results were 47.6 miles to the north  from us.!!In the meanwhile, though, the storm's movement  is West. We'll see what happens  with that At the same time I am keeping an eye on the new Invest 98L,off the coast of Africa, movement to the West. I'll shall keep you posted on both of these. May God bless us all.

Isabel


- VITEMA ( from previous )
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 22 Aug 2015 10:26:35 -0500
I was surprised that it was still a category one when I rose this morning! Weakening is expected later today. We should get a good amount of rain if it does not get away from us too far to the North. Let's pray and watch!
May God bless us all.

Isabel



- Fwd: Danny Forecasted to Reach the USVI Early Tuesday as a Tropical Storm, VITEMA Urges Public to Prepare, Monitor
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 22 Aug 2015 10:18:43 -0500
Good Morning! 

Hurricane DANNY has not weakened as quickly as was thought. I was surprised that it was still a Cat 2 hurricane 

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: VITEMA <VITEMA at vialert.gov>
Date: Saturday, August 22, 2015
Subject: Danny Forecasted to Reach the USVI Early Tuesday as a Tropical Storm, VITEMA Urges Public to Prepare, Monitor
To: isabelcerni at gmail.com


Alert / Warning
Meteorological - SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

...This is an ACTUAL SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ALERT...


Issued By:  VITEMA
Affected Jurisdictions:  St. Croix, St. John, St. Thomas, Water Island Counties

Headline:  Danny Forecasted to Reach the USVI Early Tuesday as a Tropical Storm, VITEMA Urges Public to Prepare, Monitor

  At 5 a.m. today, the center of Hurricane Danny was located near latitude 15.2 degrees north, longitude 50.8 degrees west.  Danny is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 miles per hour.  A turn to the west with an increase in forward speed is expected later today. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 miles per hour with higher gusts.  Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Danny is expected to become a tropical storm on Sunday as it approaches the Leeward Islands.

  Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles.







The National Hurricane Center is advising the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands to closely monitor the progress of Danny.  The Tropical storm watches may be required for portions of the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands on Saturday. Danny is forecasted to make its closest approach to the Virgin Islands at about 2 a.m. on Tuesday as a tropical storm with sustained winds of 50 to 55 miles per hour.

 There are no coastal watches or warnings currently in effect.

  VITEMA joins the National Weather Service in advising the marine community to remain vigilant to the evolution of Tropical Cyclone Danny. Marine conditions may rapidly deteriorate as Danny makes it approach to the Territory. VITEMA Director Mona Barnes is urging the public to make final preparations for the arrival of storm weather conditions early Tuesday morning, to stay informed by monitoring weather reports via local radio and television or the NOAA weather radio.





----------

For a permanent link to this Notification (may contain additional formatting and / or content which could not be sent), follow this link:  http://www.vialert.gov/Public/News/AlertView.aspx?notID=3336850&refer=HOME&source=ADFTFT&messageID=56753159&

To Un-Subscribe to this distribution, log into the VI-Alert - Civilians Portal using the following URL:  https://users.vialert.gov



- VITEMA; Sandbag distribution Territorywide
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Aug 2015 22:45:44 -0500
This was an Alert / Warning  that was sent  today. by VITEMA. Obviously a lot of rain is expected with the passage of Hurricane Danny. It is to begin weakening by tomorrow and pass us as a Tropical Wave by Tuesday. The sand bags will be distributed on Saturday and Sunday morning. If the storm moves too far to our north, we will not get any rain, but we can use the sand bags for the next one, which has already moved off the African coast moving West. So, we are going to be very busy for the rest of the Hurricane season it seems. In the Pacific Ocean there are five systems right now. Five.! Perhaps DANNY opened a Pandora's box.?? May God bless us all.

Isabel

- 0% Chance of Rain
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Aug 2015 13:34:28 -0400
..And even with a very healthy tropical wave going by. The Saharan dust is just 
choking it. That is what forecasters are saying about Cat 2 Hurricane DANNY. 
They expect the dust to weaken it. I just hope it does nochoke it to death! One 
way or the other we are going to get RAIN! Stay tuned and prepare for an 
unpredictable HURRICANE  
DANNY. Will check back later. God bless us all. 

Isabel


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Sent from my iPhone

- Closest Point of Approach to St. Croix
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Aug 2015 00:13:45 -0500
Based on the location of the storm at the moment and our location 17.7N  64.8 W the closest the storm will get to us is 11.6 miles, which is great because that being the case we should get a lot of rain without being too destructive. The CPA should happen in 3 days, 23 hours, 31 mins.

This can change with each update. One need just put in the location of the storm along with our own and get the results. This is only on storm carib as far as I know.
Try it. Have a good night.

Blessings,
Isabel

- Current Pre- Hurricane DANNY Conditions
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 20 Aug 2015 13:26:52 -0500
At the moment, it's very hazy due to the Saharan Air Layer (SAL), occasionally dark, heavy clouds mix in; those are from the TW that is affecting us through Friday. Rain is in the forecast, however, the dust always manages to limit any rain. It's breezy, so much so , that it could seem that Hurricane Danny is right around the corner. Hopefully, it does not get any larger, but I have the gut feeling that it will be a Cat 3 before it gets here. Maybe it's because of all the super typhoons in the Pacific. At least we have the SAL as an advantage, let's hope it works especially as it approaches the islands where the warmer sea provides more energy. Let's prepare for the worse while hoping for the best.  May God bless us all.

Isabel

- Re: TS DANNY __ Eye to EYE...?
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 20 Aug 2015 09:23:02 -0500
Good morning, followers of Stormcarib near and far,

I'm not sure if I saw what I saw, but it seems to me that there is a closed circulation and an eye has formed. A dot in the middle of a circulation has always been considered an eye, or not?  Take a look at the Satelitte Imagery. If it is really accurate, it would be surprising if the NHC does not label DANNY a hurricane at 11:00 a.m. this morning. The original forecast was for it to become a hurricane today, Thursday. That would be right on track. It's very important that we monitor this storm. It has a mind of it's own and by now the computer models are going crazy trying to figure out where it's going. As I said before, we are all in need of RAIN. We do not want TS DANNY to be diminish by the SAL or 97L above it to such a degree that it dries up or blows away our chances to finally get a reasonable amount of rain. May God bless and protect us all.

Isabel

- Questions and Answers:
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 19 Aug 2015 22:54:45 -0500
Which way is TS DANNY moving.? To the North. No, to the South. No, a direct hit.

In what form is it arriving in our area? As a hurricane, possibly a 2 or stronger. No, as a Depression. No, a weak Tropical Storm. No, an open Tropical Wave.

When is it arriving? The middle of the week. No, on Monday night. No, some time next week depending on speed.

The best thing is to hurry with whatever last minute preparations that still need to be done. Listen to whatever local media for the latest and obey the civil authorities.

Finally, stay put when the storm arrives. It is extremely dangerous to be out there whether it's wind or water.

The Prime Minister of St. Marten is concerned about landslides because of the drought and now the heavy rain in this system. We should be concerned as well. I know that if it gets really bad several areas in our property will most likely be further damaged. The good thing is that all the plants bounce back in no time.

Let's do what we have to do well ahead of the storm, Pray, prepare, and watch! And let's not forget to help the helpless. May God bless and protect us all.

Isabel



- Hurricane by Thursday??"
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 18 Aug 2015 23:44:15 -0500
Here we are on the verge of what could be a major challenge for us. We have not had to deal with a hurricane for some time. It's northwest track would bring it very close. Rain is so important that we look forward to this storm to provide us with the moisture we need. But won't it be too much all at once? 
Time will soon tell. Let's watch and pray. May God bless bless us all.

Isabel

- Divine Rain
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 17 Aug 2015 21:51:44 -0400
I could not help taking a picture of this Poster at the dentist's today.,.it 
seems that every one is pining for rain, even if it comes in the form of a 
Tropical Storm or worse. 96L could be the answer to their wishes. Be careful 
what we wish for. Right  now it is churning in the Atlantic, looking as if it 
means serious business. Where is it going? The computer models has it pointing 
in several directions, including here. So, whether it's divine rain or not, 
there's hope for some moisture from this system next week. May God bless us all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPhone

- Cloudy / Rainy Day
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 16 Aug 2015 20:48:16 -0400
We've had a very overcast day with showers in some areas. We had some at midday 
and every night for several nights . Things are beginning to look up and in 
addition, the Atlantic is heating up. 96 L in the Atlantic is being given a 
high chance of developing into the 4th name storm in a few days. It has to be 
tested and if it passes the test should be turning to the northwest into our 
neighborhood. We have to monitor and be prepared.
May God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- Wet Weekend?
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 14 Aug 2015 22:48:13 -0500
Hi, folks! Any day now, we wish, that the wind shear will abate. The forecast for the weekend is rain, however, the wind shear is very strong. While the dust has abated in our area, the wind is ripping apart the waves that can give us the much needed rain. LIFE IS BEAUTIFUL nevertheless, come and visit. May God bless us all.

Isabel

 

- Clouds come, Clouds go..
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Aug 2015 13:29:24 -0400
We're all in the same boat, waiting for rain. In the meanwhile, we can easily 
be the envy of so many countries which are having disasters of all sorts. Just 
read the horror stories of the weather articles on Weather Underground and find 
out. How long will the Atlantic remain quiet? Only Time can tell. I just wish 
that the entire face of the earth can be renewed. May God bless us all. 

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- Beautiful Hurricane Season continues.....
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 10 Aug 2015 19:30:37 -0400
Good Evening, folks!

We are in awe at the quiet, lovely, Time this has turned out to be. No 
frightful hurricanes, no flooding systems, just gentle showers that provide 
enough moisture to turn brown into green like the lawn at the Christiansted 
Fort. The evening air is cool and very pleasant to sit outside. A tropical wave 
is expected over the local islands on Tuesday into Wednesday and another on the 
weekend,  if they get through. Be well, be happy, and may God bless us all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPhone

- What little showers produce..
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 9 Aug 2015 00:12:19 -0400
The daily showers we've been having is bringing back to life what appeared 
dead. Have a wonderful Sunday and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- Daily Showers
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 6 Aug 2015 23:05:12 -0500
Less or virtually no Saharan  dust equals more showers. That's exactly what we have each day now. There are some waves in the Atlantic that are raising eyebrows : they are actually Low Pressure systems. As we enter the crucial part of the Hurricane Season, it's wise to be attentive, alert, and prepared. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel

The Hurricane Hat. by Sally Jacobs

- Sunny / Rainy Day
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 4 Aug 2015 20:55:57 -0500
It was a perfect morning for Sunnee to meet his mother. (See photos in previous post.) Even the tortoises realized it has been a long time since it really rained, they stayed out to enjoy it. Have a good night and may God bless us all.

Isabel


- RAIN !!
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 4 Aug 2015 21:38:11 -0400
It started raining late this afternoon and after a pause, it's raining again as 
I write! We haven't had rain like this "in ages"! My husband and I were 
noticing at noon that the dust had let up. As a matter of fact, if the dust 
lets up for good we should be getting more of the same Friday thru Sunday. 
There is a very Big wave coming off the coast of Africa which bears watching. 
This is a rainy evening photo:

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During the morning, as most of the day, it was very warm and sunny. It was the 
perfect time for Mama Tortoise and baby Sunnee to meet.

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   Not easy on this table...

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May God bless us all,

Isabel


Sent from my iPhone

- The Bromelias
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 3 Aug 2015 23:56:55 -0400
No, that's not a family; it's a plant that sports these pink flowers on a stem 
. At the moment they are all blooming. They appreciate the precious drops of 
rain we have been getting during this long drought and are showing it. We need 
a lot more rain to repair all the damage done to our garden. Previous photo 
updates will prove this. In Time I know it will rain. God forbid we should have 
a super storm like the one bearing down on China, Japan, and other countries 
nearby. Let's pray for them. We can imagine what they must be going through. 
May God bless us all.

Isabel

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           Bromelias 

Sent from my iPhone

- A Droopy Palm Waves Goodbye
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 2 Aug 2015 19:27:36 -0400
Yes, another hot day without a good drenching, says the palm tree in this 
photo. Though 94L has fizzled, hopefully some of the rain will come through. 
Hey everyone, last night I happened to see part of the documentary on PBS on 
the 100th anniversary of the construction of the aqueduct from the Sierra 
Nevada through the Mojave Desert to Los Angeles and the San Fernando Valley. I 
missed a good bit but what I caught was absolutely amazing. It's a pity that so 
many people take water for granted by wasting so much of it. Here, we are 
seeing many plants, even trees drying out because of the lack of rain, these 
cannot be watered like potted plants. Water has to be the most important 
resource we have. What would we not give for a glass of cold water on a hot day 
when there's no water? It Can Happen Tomorrow- as The Weather Channel reminds 
us about other natural elements. Have a good night, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- What A Difference A Day Makes
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 1 Aug 2015 20:43:30 -0400
Hello again! Here we have similar photos to compare the difference in the air. 
Today, there was more blue sky and sea. Made me wonder if we were having a 
break in the Saharan dust. And 94L is still more alive than I thought. Behind 
it is another blob that, as Dave said, could benefit from the moisture of the 
previous one. Whatever the case, it is doubtful that we can continue this way; 
one of those big waves will get through sooner or later. At the moment I am 
only focusing on what is coming out of Africa, crossing the Atlantic, to the 
Caribbean. 94L is fighting the Saharan Air Layer (SAL). That's good and bad. 
Good because we can get the rain we need if it wins, and bad, because it can 
develop into a cyclone and we lose. So, let it be, and let us see, and may God 
bless us all.

Isabel

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3-day old Sunnee is sunbathing. ( the name is pronounced like "Sonny").

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Same view as yesterday, just lots more blue.

Sent from my iPhone

- Another Dry Fuzzy Day
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 31 Jul 2015 22:36:07 -0400
However, we have Sunnee. 
He is very active. He "enjoys" his coffee-can-cover swimming pool even with a 
gray, fuzzy background. It is annoying, though, to see full clouds, which 
amount to nothing because of the relentless Saharan dust in the air. Today we 
had another water delivery. Business is booming for the Water Companies that's 
for sure. They don't do well during rainy seasons. 94 L is "clinging to life" 
out in the Atlantic, according to Dr. Masters. And so it goes. Have a good 
night and may God bless us all.

Isabel


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Sent from my iPhone

- A "SUNNEE" Day
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 31 Jul 2015 00:45:35 -0400
It was a sunny, windy day just passed. So, our new, little tortoise, has 
officially received the name "Sunnee". All our pets names end with "ee". If the 
remaining 4 eggs hatch they will all receive "weather term" names at the 
suggestion of my Salutatorian granddaughter. She is smart! As for 94L, it's far 
away and does not have a good chance to develop. That's great, but can it 
please come this far with rain?? May God bless us all.

Isabel

Sunnee managed to get  out of thiš tray where I had him getting a sunbath.

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So for lack of a safer place he ended up in the Pet Taxi.

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Sent from my iPhone

- New News
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 29 Jul 2015 20:34:01 -0400
Hello! I'm keeping an eye on our baby tortoise and on 94L off the coast of 
Africa. As usual, we watch it in case it means trouble down the road, rather, 
up the road to us. We are approaching our hurricane season. I just hope it will 
also be the beginning of the rainy season for us. 

Our baby tortoise was a big surprise.!! I was watching 4 eggs and there was 
this little critter as if waiting for me to open the door, which I did in order 
to transfer the eggs. I had no idea where it came from: no sign of a shell 
anywhere. So, it's our surprise baby. It drank lots of water and will do so for 
the first days. Two pieces of New News. I am definitely keeping my eyes on 
both. Actually, I also have 4 eggs to watch as well. May God bless us all!

Isabel

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Sent from my iPhone

- Weather Beaten-(favorite) Tortoise House
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 29 Jul 2015 09:43:05 -0400
Good Morning, All!  This morning it seemed for a while that the rain clouds 
would break. They didn't, the glorious sun was shining as it ought to on the 
Sunshine State, and we could really use some of the torrential rain they are 
having in parts.

In continuation from my previous post. Here is a photo of the favorite Tortoise 
House, their favorite, which is closed to them now because of the eggs. 

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My favorite is this one with the flags.

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They don't like wind so the Burlap flaps allow them protection, at the same 
time the freedom to go in and out. Will they eventually have new company ? 
Suspense! (See previous post if you haven't as yet.) I think we may have to 
build a third house!

Have a wonderful day and may God bless our good plans and endeavors.

Isabel

 
Sent from my iPhone

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