- Updates from the Islands -

- - Trinidad & Tobago - -

- Waves of up to 2.5m expected to hit Tobago tomorrow

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Wed, 1 Sep 2010 20:38:59 +0100

15.26
2010-9-1

According to Met Crown Point waves of up to 2.0 to 2.5m are likely tomorrow in open water, with less than 1.0m in sheltered areas.
Rest of the forecast for tomorrow:
Mostly fair, but with the chance of an isolated afternoon shower or thundershower.
Sunrise: 5:53am
Sunset: 6:12 pm
Winds: ESE-E 11-16 knts.
Seas: Normal occasionally moderate.
Forecast High : 32⁰C
Humidity range: 65/80%
Forecast Low: 26°C
Heat Index:35 ⁰C

Thanks
Katy

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar,
Pigeon Point Road,
Crown Point,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- The Sting is in The Tail !!!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 1 Sep 2010 05:40:41 -0400

2010 - 09 - 01 Wed.

5 : 10 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything, Everyone !!

The Sting is in The Tail !

After Hurricane Earl, 'The Raging Bull', in Our Neighbourhood, how can anyone talk of doom sayers, negative forecasters, and alarmists chasing ambulances like hungry dogs.

If history is anything to go by? Hind-Sight is 20/20 Vision? And the Taiwan Cyclone, last year. And The Pakistani Floods, of this year are anything to go by;

As a few Words of Caution:

It is in the debris and persistent rain afterwards that; the Deaths Occur.!.!!.!.

The rainfall in the tail is what the damage to property in the winds, did not destroy.

Even, even if history is wrong. Depression to be, Gaston, is between 5 - 15 N. Latitude and is already half way across, at 40 W. Longtitude. Fiona is already here. What if, dissipating or not, (it means for other storms), if Fiona goes thru the other side of Guadeloupe???

To put a smile on everyone's face; Let's do like the frogs and put on our Wellingtons and Go, "Knee-Deep, Knee-Deep !!".

I really, really, know what everyone is going thru.

By the way could we subsidize the purchase of generators and lessen electricity restictions, please? (It's archaic.)

Brotherly Love,

God bless,

Ian M. Borde

Read Krox 51

- Fiona

By Lorne Ramsoomair <lorne_ramsoomair at yahoo.com>
Date: Tue, 31 Aug 2010 08:03:07 -0700 (PDT)

Public Advisory:

TROPICAL STORM FIONA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL082010
1100 AM AST TUE AUG 31 2010
 
...FIONA CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 55.3W
ABOUT 440 MI...705 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST.
 EUSTATIUS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF FIONA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.3 WEST. FIONA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
ANTICIPATED
 DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF FIONA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS EARLY WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.  AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE STORM THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.
__________________________________________________________________

Good news is Fiona is a Tropical Storm and seems to be staying
that way whilst in our neighborhood.
Trini's having to travel to the Leeward Islands tomorrow 
please be aware of Public Advisories for possible changes in 
weather patterns. (This means you old friend)

Stay safe,
Lorne

- Earl

By Lorne Ramsoomair <lorne_ramsoomair at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 14:35:26 -0700 (PDT)

Two more vids

Attachment: St. Thomas.AVI.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

Attachment: Hurricane Earl - Category 4 - August 30, 2010.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

- Earl

By Lorne Ramsoomair <lorne_ramsoomair at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 09:36:13 -0700 (PDT)

More footage.

Attachment: Hurricane Earl footage from St.Croix part 2.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

Attachment: WhiteHouseOcean.wmv.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

- Earl

By Lorne Ramsoomair <lorne_ramsoomair at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 08:03:01 -0700 (PDT)

Recent videos in the last hour...

Hang in there folks!!

Attachment: Hurricane Earl- Rama frente a KFC se cae.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

Attachment: Hurricane Earl Part 2.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

Attachment: St. Kitts hurricane earl.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

Attachment: Hurricane Earl Now Intensifying Near Puerto Rico at 10AM - 8_30_10.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

Attachment: Hurricane Earl - St. Maarten 30th August 2010.wmv
Description: Windows Media File

- Earl

By Lorne Ramsoomair <lorne_ramsoomair at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 30 Aug 2010 00:22:46 -0700 (PDT)

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

DURING THE STORM

By the time the storm makes landfall it is far too late to change your mind and try to flee to a safer location. You must have everything you need by this point and be prepared to ride out the storm.

Once the storm hits, you must:

- Listen to the radio, or TV if you still have power, and check for updates
- Stay away from all windows - huddle in a hallway or the bathroom
- If flooding threatens your home, turn off electricity at the main breaker
- If you lose power, turn off major appliances - such as the air conditioner or water heater - to reduce damage
- Do not use electrical appliances, including your computer
- Do not go outside - when the eye of the storm passes over your area, there will be a short period of calm, but the eye will pass and the wind will increase and will come from the opposite direction. Do not go outside to see "what the wind feels like" - you will have a good chance of being struck by flying debris
- Stay away from electrical equipment - don't use your phone, take a bath or shower during the storm.

Once the storm passes

More deaths actually occur after a hurricane than during. These deaths come from people being curious about the extent of the damage, and then coming into contact with downed power lines or unstable trees, etc.

These tips will help you to remain safe in the aftermath of a storm:

- Remain indoors until an official "all clear" is given
- Do not touch fallen or low-hanging wires of any kind under any circumstances. Stay away from puddles with wires in/near them. Do not touch trees or other objects in contact with power lines.
- Use phones for emergencies only.
- Call police or utility companies immediately to report hazards such as downed power lines, broken gas or water mains, overturned gas tanks, etc.
- Watch for weakened roads, bridges, tree limbs or porches that could collapse unexpectedly
- After power is restored, check the refrigerator for any spoiled food .
- When reinstalling a CB, TV or satellite antenna, check in all directions to be sure no power lines are nearby
- If trying to clear debris from trees, check in all directions for power lines
- Do not operate charcoal grills, propane camping stoves or generators indoors
- Always be aware of your surroundings and stay as up to date as possible on storm conditions and damages. It cannot be stressed enough how dangerous sight seeing is in the wake of a hurricane. For your own safety, follow these tips and stay safe.

All our prayers

- Earl

By Lorne Ramsoomair <lorne_ramsoomair at yahoo.com>
Date: Sun, 29 Aug 2010 11:40:48 -0700 (PDT)

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

Looks like you've got some wind and rain coming folks.
From all of us here in T&T, 
BE SAFE AND GOD-BLESS!!!

- Focus, ... Rally and Let's Focus.!!.

By Read Krox <readkrox51 at yahoo.co.uk>
Date: Sat, 28 Aug 2010 16:18:01 +0000 (GMT)

2010 - 08 - 28 Sat.

11 : 40 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything, Everyone !!

First of all, I would like to forgive the last post for a lack of information.!. It's just that every so often, in life, one has to exhale !!!

Now, come on, we know this was expected. Am I sensing an air of panic. Come on, Let's focus.!.

The question is: - WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE? -

Starting with Danielle, it is still south of Bermuda, so what can be done post-Danielle (minimal damage) and pre-Earl and Fiona?

Now Earl:

[We have to construct a system or process, with sub-routines, based on a MODULE.]

[These Modules must be a worst case scenario, a best case scenario, and what lies in between, 85% probability]

[The processes must define or identify: 1) What can happen? (as the outcome of a cause or history) 2) What can be done about it? 3) Post-Mortem, How is success defined? 4) Who will carry out the Input and Feed-back of The Sub-Routines? 5) Build the system backwards, based on a worst case scenario.!.!!.!.

Module 1) Earl, after passing thru, - North of Guadeloupe -, as numerous thunderstorms, 14 - 20 N Latitude, with Gusts, of 40 mph. ( in other words, a little disorganised) and waves over 6 feet. Develops as a (small) Hurricane, south of Puerto Rico.

Module 2) Earl. develops as a Category one Hurricane, 125-250 miles north of Puerto Rico (and south of Bermuda).

Note: I feel somehow, Guyana and Venezuela, will be involved, (if not with Earl, with at least one).

I have pictures, and other indicators, that it is here: Other things are more important now. Eg. My e-mail address is over subscribed and srver errors, all over the net.

I know how you feel, right now.

By the way, the measure of success is; This is a test run, ...! So, don't panic! Earl is still a storm. Not a Hurricane!

Stay safe and sound,

Help, when you can,

Remember the less abled,

Ian M. Borde

- So far, ..., yet, ...!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 26 Aug 2010 01:31:03 -0400

2010 - 08 - 26 Thurs.

1 : 20 a.m.

So far, I would like to say;

Gracias al Dios!

Rendez graces au Dieu!

Thanks be to God, for His mercy!

This is all so near yet so far! We pray for the citizens of Bermuda to be spared from Danielle, as we have been.!.!!.!.

I don't like Earl !!

Or (Fiona) or Danielle for that matter.!.

I love Saharan Dust!!! Long Live Dust !!

Good Night, Sleep well, Give thanks,

Keep praying and preparing,

Ian M. Borde

- On the button .!.

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 24 Aug 2010 05:58:40 -0400

2010 - 08 - 24 Tues.

5 : 25 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything, Everyone !!

This year, we ( or the professional forecasters ), seemed to be on the button, each and every time, so far! One can only hope that the safety and welfare of the The Tropical Basin, was enhanced, because of this!! ( - Remember, Haiti! - ) That's why, I believe, it is better to panic and prepare than not to plan and prepare at all.!.

So said, T'dad and T'bgo, yesterday and the day before, had on each day; periods of 20 - 30 mins. of heavy showers twice in the day! Followed by drizzle, within a two hour periods. A partial white-out. Pavement to pavement flood in the lower half of my street!

In between, the birds sing and the frogs croak and people lime. By the way, besides the prevalence of 'squitoes, it was unusal to see, earlier on, a second swarm of rain flies (termites) for the season.!. (Humpf).

The African hurdlers are off the blocks, with Danielle and ?Earl? getting past the first hurdle (ITCZ), in good form and shape. Will these runners know they have a right bend to make as soon as possible, or will they play a practical joke, and throw down the hurdles, (50 - 60 W. Longtitude and 20 N. Latitude), like bowling pins.!. I am ready to make a BOLT for it! (smile). But,The Tropical Seas, (read Barbados) have 4 - 6 foot waves going already.!.

Once again: 1) Don't Panic 2) Call for help 3) Water (drinking water) 4) Power supply 5) Communications and Transport 6) Non perishable food, small tools, and I.D. Documents, (inc. shelter and emergency nos. 7) Help your brother and sister (esp. lesser abled) as a team, ...!

Remember the days of bucket bridgade,

God Bless,

Ian M.Borde

- Motor-Bike Arthritis stepping up to the Plate .!.

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 20 Aug 2010 00:15:00 -0400

2010 - 08 - 19 Thurs.

11 : 30 p.m.

Good Night, Good Day, Good Everything, Everyone !!

This post is a little disparate, as it is divided into three parts; including, superstition and random thoughts! (Nothing Exotic!)

My arthritis has had me down for about four days now being under productive! At 2:00 p.m. today after a fairly heavy shower of rain, I fell asleep, (probably with slight fever). When I woke up my left ankle was a mess. Pain !!! That's what you get from downplaying a sure God-given sign !! Two pain-killers and rhematuoid fever after, I am writing to say that from now, till the next 7 days, we can expect severe or hazardous weather in the environment of The Caribbean. Climaxing 4-5 days from now! That is if the arthritis as always is correct ?? Besides which (humph) 4-5 days from now is full moon!!!

The second but no less important, is that the scientists probably know it already, but to the novice like myself, there are four grey areas to look at carefully. These I believe are where blobs dissipate or threaten in the Western Atlantic. One seems to be around The Yucatan peninsula. One between Bermuda and The Virgin Islands. One between 50 - 60 degrees Longtitude, ( off Barbados and Trinidad and Tobago). No less important, the last, is around 10 degrees Latitude, where the ?Invest? leaves the ITCZ and is born.!. Just a thought! By the way, we can probaly re-trace the tracks of the three previous storms and two depressions, in the History archives for this year.!.

The Third disparate point I will like to make is: When electricity goes. Even if it is a bird or branch and it lasts for more than half an hour. Water goes. When water goes, it does not come back till two hours after electricity, and muddy. Meanwhile, trying to phone the electricity company on a mechanical (land-line) phone is difficult as most phones in the house are electrical. The mobile/cellular company service may be down for a while due to excessive traffic.!. - Get the picture -

Let's leave on the note that "The pumpkin is never too heavy for the pumpkin branch.!." We are in the 21st century and there is nothing new under the sun. [ or clouds, : ) ] We are well equipped and had enough blue, white and sunny days to prepare and plan. The future is in our hands, today.

God Bless,

Ian

- Tobagonian thunderstorms

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Mon, 16 Aug 2010 14:27:58 +0100

0923 16-8-10

Thunderstorms over Store Bay in the early hours of this morning - thunderclaps right over the anchorage. Still overcast here with small amounts of standing water this morning..

The weather for the rest of today from the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service - Fair to partly cloudy with the chance of a few isolated showers.
Winds: NE-ENE 12-30km /h. Seas: Normal. Waves: Up to 2.0m in open water and less than 1.0m in sheltered areas. Forecast High: 32°C. Forecast Low: 25°C. Heat Index: 34⁰C. Humidity range: 55/75%

Katy

--
Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar,
Pigeon Point Road,
Crown Point,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- Non-stop.

By R K <feb1660 at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 16 Aug 2010 05:44:07 -0700 (PDT)

Well it continues to rain this morning much as expected. I am hoping it clears out by late morning. Possibly we're looking at another round of flooding in low lying areas yet again.

We had a moderate earthquake (5) early on Saturday morning.

http://www.uwiseismic.com/NewsDetails.aspx?id=165

With the earth soaked from the steady rain over the last few weeks, this combination can be a trigger for major landslides not unlike the one that covered a man and a girl on the Lady Young Road last Thursday night was it? They were rescued and okay though thank God.

This provokes memory of the Caracas disaster a few years ago. We have to be mindful of this.

Given the further development of the area of moisture over the Indian Ocean, I will be keeping an eye across Central Africa for heavy rains and possible flooding this week. If that happens, we will really need to watch out over the following week or two.

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/globe/spincg.html

- Normal?

By R K <feb1660 at yahoo.com>
Date: Sat, 14 Aug 2010 04:42:58 -0700 (PDT)

Looking again at the Indian Ocean, I've never seen that. It that normal activity? It certainly is a lot of moisture. Any real experts to comment please?

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/globe/spincg.html

- Uh-oh.

By R K <feb1660 at yahoo.com>
Date: Sat, 14 Aug 2010 04:30:48 -0700 (PDT)

Here we go again.

Today looks like more rain with more flooding.

Over the next couple weeks will it be similar weather?

Looking Eastward into the Indian Ocean the Zone looks extremely active. Makes me think the season is really about to change gears, it's that time so watch out all and be prepared.

We had a mild earthquake around 3.42 this morning. No reports yet but I'll guess 4.5- 4.8 ish.

- REDUCED RAINFALL?

By adesh nanan <adeshcnanan at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 11 Aug 2010 11:47:38 +0000

The more southerly shift in the ITCZ could spell reduced rainfall to Trinidad bringing a halt to repeated severe flooding.
The approaching tropical wave should not interact maximally with the ITCZ to produce torrential showers
Any heavy showers may come from the southwestern side of the island but this will be only sporadic and not enough to cause catastrophic flooding

- ATTACHMENT!

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 11 Aug 2010 01:42:00 +0000

Attachment mentioned in previous posting. 
Apparently it did not load. Lol. Here it is!!! 
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

Attachment: Weather bulletin.png
Description: Binary data

- FLOOD WARNING!!

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 11 Aug 2010 01:39:39 +0000

Attached is a bulletin I acquired, issued by the Meteorological Office of 
Trinidad and Tobago. In accordance to the adverse or severe weather patterns 
that Trinidad And Tobago has been experiencing for the past week.   Please take 
heed. This can be catastrophic, as more severe weather is expected tomorrow 
afternoon and continuing for a couple days on an already heavily saturated 
ground. God speed to all flood prone and to all affected people. 
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- Tropical wave approaching Tobago

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Tue, 10 Aug 2010 21:28:57 +0100

An active Tropical Wave is approaching Trinidad and Tobago and should begin to affect the islands some time tomorrow, according to the latest information from Met Crown Point.
Heavy showers and thundershowers with possible flooding and land slides may accompany the heavier showers.

Weather for tomorrow:
Fair at first, gradually becoming cloudy with showers and isolated Thundershowers.
Winds: ESE-SE 12-25km/h, Waves: Up to 2.0m in open water and less than 1.0m in sheltered areas, Forecast High : 30⁰C, Forecast Low: 25°C, Humidity range: 60/85%

Weather for Thursday
Cloudy with showers and thundershowers..Flooding and landslides may accompany heavy precipitation in areas so prone..
Winds: E 12-20km/h, Seas: Slight occasionally Normal, Waves: 1.0 to 2.0m in open water and almost calm in sheltered areas, Forecast High : 28⁰C, Forecast Low: 24°C, Humidity range: 70/95%.

Katy

--
Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar,
Pigeon Point Road,
Crown Point,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- PHOTOS!!!!

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 9 Aug 2010 21:55:41 +0000

Attached are some pics I managed to take. Whilst sweeping the water out of the 
gallery before it gets into
The house.
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

Attachment: IMG00555-20100809-1709.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: IMG00554-20100809-1706.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: IMG00556-20100809-1726.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- RAIN RAIN AND MORE RAIN!!!

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 9 Aug 2010 21:34:50 +0000

Over the past hour or so, the weather in south trinidad has deteorated 
significantly. Its a total wash out. Skies are dark grey and visibility is low. 
Also some major thunderstorms accompanied by gusty winds at times. Its the 
closest thing I've ever seen to a hurricane right now. WOW IS IT WRONG THAT IM 
EXCITED????  
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- Blue and White, Silver Linings, ..., in a storm of overcast Grey .!.!.!!.

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 9 Aug 2010 05:40:19 -0400

2010-08-09 Mon.

5:00 a.m.

Pleasant Morning, Good Day, Good Everything,

Firstly, I will like to, THANK, GOD !! As far as June is to August, that while there were more than a few roofs blown off, there is no major report of Gale Force Winds or Storm devastation !! The latest in His act of Mercy was the sparing of Bermuda, yesterday.

Next: The Acts of Brotherly Compassion and Humanitarian Relief, esp. evidenced this week gone, in Trinidad & Tobago, leave my family assured that, the future which is in the hands of a 'younger' generation, understands the role they have to play to 'inherit the Earth'.

To continue: I or we agree, with the government, the weather forecasters and the storm discussions, that this week will see a continuation of above normal rainfall or to be straight-forward, nascient storm conditions. This is the point: Interspersed with Hot and Humid, Blue and White Skies.!.!!.!. Ideal, for planning and preparation !!

Attached below are some picture representations of how to look for The Silver Lining. (Even the parasitic vine is a running orchid.)

(I empathise with all those who do research and write professionally, or as a hobby.)

God Bless,

Ian M. Borde

Attachment: (Exora, flowers).jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: (Flowers, exoras).jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: Weather.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Colin 11

By R K <feb1660 at yahoo.com>
Date: Fri, 6 Aug 2010 03:23:20 -0700 (PDT)

Can't help noticing what looks like a very fast moving spiral on the west side of Colin and wondering what the wind speed is like in there. This looks like Colin is winding up for round two, or maybe just throwing a short lived tantrum. Glad it's in open water, hope it stays there but for Bermuda.

People here really feeling the effects of last weekend's flooding and it's still raining everyday. East of us still typical for this time of year, we really needed the rain when it initially came. Now we could use a little sunshine to dry out a bit.

- Bad weather for the next few days

By Keith Ferreira <Keith.Ferreira at sta.uwi.edu>
Date: Wed, 4 Aug 2010 08:44:46 -0400

Hi, Trinidad and Tobago has been experiencing “bad or adverse” weather for a few days now, but to my mind it hopefully hit the peek on Monday last. The Caura river over flowed it’s banks as never before and what made matters worse, is that it was a public holiday here and rain or sunshine, Trines like their river lime, but I had to help pull many cars/people from the river. The forecast is for more of the same .

b safe

Keith Ferreira

Keith.Ferreira at sta.uwi.edu

"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails."

Don't walk in front of me, I may not follow. Don't walk behind me, I may
not lead. Just walk beside me and be my friend.

Watch your thoughts, for they become words;
Watch your words, for they become actions;
Watch your actions, for they become character;
Watch your character, for it becomes destiny.

CONFIDENTIALITY: This email (including any attachments) may contain confidential, proprietary and/or privileged information. Any duplication, copying, distribution, dissemination, transmission, disclosure or use in any manner of this email (including any attachments) without the authorisation of the sender is strictly prohibited. If you receive this email (including any attachments) in error, please notify the sender and delete this email (including any attachments) from your system. Thank you.

- I am NOT an Authority, ..., but we are our brother's keepers !!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 2 Aug 2010 23:37:36 -0400

2010-08-02 Mon.

10:50 p.m.

Good Night, Good Day, Good Everything, StormCarib correspondents and readers,

In T'dad & T'bgo: Today is the holiday to mark yesterday's Observance of Emancipation Day.!.

Today also, was a total white/wipe out. Rain, from10:30 a.m. in Diego Martin, until ,... it is still overcast but drying . One news program said 3/4 of the island flooded. That's quite possible. Just a thought: (I am sorry for Venezuela right now.) My take is; It will rain again, 3:00 - 4:00 a.m. tonight again. At least during the day again tomorrow, {as Colin? pulls moisture ahead of it (from South America, (Orinoco) T.W.} !!

This Wednesday 4th July, between 10:30 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. tropical depression #4 will be closest to Trinidad and Tobago. That is approx. 600 miles NE. Winds by then will be well over 50mph. in the depression/storm. Guessing his girth and we being on the more foceful side to be over 150miles and impinging on us !!

In education, mathematics and computing, there is a clause called; 'Recap or Recall' !!

From first hand victims of Flora in Tobago. I can't remember, I think it's Hugo in Dominica. And the most recent one in Grenada. Hurricances are not a few horrendous hours or a miserable night?!? It is a day and a half to two, of; beginning drizzle, then driving wind, rain and water. Then half day to one and a half days of drizzle and showers.

Recall also! That we are our brothers' keepers'.

In emergency relief efforts of rescue, resusication and restoration, one compares it, (i.e. the rescue routine/process) as a system of a bucket bridgade. A system of sub-routines. Each calling and responding in a helpful manner !! Inter alia: "No Man is An Island"

Recall also:

The simplest depression is multi-fold. That is 1) Wave, Tidal and Storm Surge 2) Wind 3) Water ( From above, below and across).

Lastly recall, that after the storm there is a lot of debris to clear. that is influenza, shock, pollutants, etc. etc. etc,...!!!!

May we all see the light of day for many years to come because it is a trully beautiful sight ot be alive and see the sun rise and set.

God Bless,

Your bro,

Ian

- Watching path of low pressure system!

By adesh nanan <adeshcnanan at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 2 Aug 2010 04:00:29 +0000

The low pressure system east of the lesser Antilles is moving west. The centre of this system can form anywhere from 8N to 14N in the next 24 hours
If the system intensifies rapidly ,it could pose a threat to Tobago
Once again a system is intensifying on the weekend where there is no weather bulletin issued

Dr Adesh Nanan

- Wishing on a Full Moon !!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 27 Jul 2010 15:30:47 -0400

2010-07-27 Tues.

3 : 15 p.m.

Good Afternoon, Good Day, Good Everything !!

The attached pictures are of The Moon, the night before Full Moon. That's because The Full Moon on Mon. 26th July was obscured by clouds. (distant rain clouds!).

While those at home made our respective wishs for The Full Moon Monday, the electorate were wishing as well. The New Administration has been given a clear mandate and majority. Here's wishing all well.

Weather-wise, we have (in Diego martin), experienced a total whiteout since 4:00 a.m. It started with moderate to heavy rainfall, at dawn, then moisture and drizzle, then from 1:30 p.m. to 2:00 p.m. moderate to heavy rainfall in Diego Martin.

There's alot more to write. But, save to say, if it didn't have potential for others besides myself, I would not be writing/typing. :)

By the way, thanks to all for the encouragement.

Remember the lesser abled,

Stay safe,

God Bless,

readkrox51

Ian M. Borde

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- The saharan dust has vacated, my allergies and the heat abated.

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 27 Jul 2010 10:56:23 +0000

The saharan dust responsible for my allergies is gOne and the ITCZ has lifted 
its margins and is sitting n top Of us. Awoke to pitter patter on the roof, 
pulled the drapes and saw a beautiful grey sky. Judging from the the Satellite 
pics, it looks like its gonna be a rainy day.  
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- La pli ca veneh !!!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 22 Jul 2010 09:03:24 -0400

2010-07-22 Thurs.

8:50 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything,

La pli ca veneh [Rain coming! (in Patois)]

Yesterday, Wednesday 21st. was totally overcast. This started about 10:00 p.m. the night before, with thunder claps. However, it was not a total white-out! There was some rain for about an hour or more around dawn. No discernible breeze accompanied it.

The attached pictures are at 6:00 p.m. yesterday, 21st. July. Today, Thursday 22nd. July, began hazy to sunny, but all eyes and senses are trained to the sky and horizons.

May all our brothers and sisters remain safe and sound.

God Bless,

Ian

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- Arthritis never wrong !

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 18 Jul 2010 22:57:38 -0400

2010-07-18 Sun.

10:30 p.m.

Good Night, Good Day, Good Everything !!

Well it is extremely hot right now. I don't know if it is only pre-inclement weather or part of rhemautoid fever.

Trinidad has not been getting the weather the rest of you all got and reported. The last three days (at least for me), was good for bonding, resting, and catching up. No extra gardening, laundry dried same day on the line, and dusty forgotten corners were given a face lift. As is usual to make things a perfect 10 in the Tropics; Friends passed by.

We noticed the blogs, the radar, the pictures,..., locally, now, the expansive, high grey clouds trying to catch a Venezuelan bus.

And of course, THE RISING HEAT.

These as we know are tell tale signs or food for the fodder. (Just check the (emptiness of) The Trinidad Triangle.) Whatever, my arthritis is never wrong. It says beginning now and climaxing after 3-4 days from now, severe weather will dominate a limited horizon. I will bet my suffering and pain I'm right.

Well hopefully, more friends will make an appearance before then.

God Bless,

Ian

- Dust,!

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 11 Jul 2010 02:49:50 +0000

Saharan dust has blanketed the caribbean, and my allergies are killing me. And 
if that doesn't do the job the heat will. 

Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- Tonight's Blob, bigger than Yesterday's, ..., "What does that say?"

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 9 Jul 2010 06:20:34 -0400

2010-07-09 Fri.

5:55 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything, Fellow West Indians,

Getting to the point, The Blob we all see off Martinique, St. Lucia and St. Vincent and The Grenadines is bigger and has more high level intensity than the one yesterday, over Trinidad and Tobago, and Grenada and St. Vincent last night.

Yesterday''s blob lasted, in Diego Martin, for some eight (8) hours. From, Dawn; circa 6:30 a.m. - 2:30 p.m. Only between 2:30-3:00 p.m. did the moisture and precipitation abate, allowing the sun to be a small circle of white in a COMPLETELY OVERCAST Sky. There was rain and drizzle, rain and drizzle, on and off, on and off!!!

Please note there were no reports of damage, flooding or gusty winds!!! At least that we know of.

Thank, God! There were no gusty conditions. Pictures are attached. Some of the green mountains.

Permit me to say, that past experience, the barometric line, the sahara dust and the experience of this year's blobs, 'The possibility of it dipping south (towards Venezuela) is a poossible outcome'. In other words, let's take into account, that: "The only thing we know, now that it is on our door step, is that we know, little !!!"

My previous post have some tips that came in handy for me in my younger days.

God bless,

readkrox51

Ian M. Borde

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- Heavy Showers Approaching!

By adesh nanan <adeshcnanan at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 8 Jul 2010 10:41:46 +0000

Heavy showers overhead in Palmiste ,San Fernando
There is thunder rolling in the distance
Satellite picture shows strong tropical wave approaching, bracing for heavy showers and thundershowers

Dr Adesh Nanan

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- One for the money, Two for The Show, ..., Three??, ..., One is going to Blow!!!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 7 Jul 2010 07:56:08 -0400

2010 - 07 - 07 Wed.

7:30 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything,

Judging more from Scientific Satellite Imagery and no matter how I try I can't see any Trinidad Triangle diminuition;

There are three blobs sharing the 'ITCZ' zone, to the east and south of T'dad & T'bgo. (10 degress Latitiude). The likely hood of them impinging on The Caribbean is a definite.

The properties they possess, will be clearer later as only Time and God, will tell, ...!

At present, we have the sun slightly obscured by white clouds and the possibility of a light, day-time shower. More than adequate to stock up on neccessary medications, power supplies and communication devices. Read and revise, (keep handy) identification items, non-perishable food and simple tools, precautionary brochures and only heed offical, confirmed reports and not gossip, panic and confusion.

We are in the 21st century and have never before been more developed and prepared for any eventuallity.

It's just another day in Paradise.

God Bless,

Ian

Ps. Always help the lesser abled !!

- One to Watch!

By adesh nanan <adeshcnanan at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 7 Jul 2010 11:27:58 +0000

The tropical wave located at 39W looks ominous as it moves westward
This is a possible low pressure area that may develop rapidly due to the amount of moisture ahead of it

Dr Adesh Nanan

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- Rain!!!!!

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 4 Jul 2010 16:06:28 +0000

Good morning fellow islanders. Its been raining steadily all morning in 
trinidad. The entire island is overcast and some places are getting heavier 
showers than others. Getting out of bed this morning was a task in itself. Lol. 
But its sunday my only day off from work and the household chores needs to get 
done. 

Right now all I can think of doing is flopping over the sofa and look at movies 
all day.  
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- Rain and winds.

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 1 Jul 2010 22:20:26 +0000

Its raining VERY HEAVILY in san fernando right now. The sky is the darkest I've 
seen in a looong while and the winds are very gusty at times. 
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- Long Respite, ..., Water Lillies, Butterflies, ..., and The Next blog (blob).

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 30 Jun 2010 13:11:02 -0400

2010 - 06 - 30 Wed.

12 : 45 p.m.

Good Afternoon, Good Day, Good Everything,

Welcome to The Month of July,

Trinidad & Tobago had some excellent, tropical sunshine and island breezees, with the odd social gathering, (lime), in wonderful outdoor conditions. The vegetation is lush and green, with the hill-sides the same, after convectional, brief showers continued to irrigate, from the mountaintops to the plains and swamps, of flora and fauna, humankind and beasts.

The fruit flowers are now joined by, (at least in my garden), butterflies and is that a water lilly attached below? I don't know the name or variety, so could some one help me identify my 'water lily'. I've got two!!!

This same convectional rainfall, however, is giving way to blob/TW overcast skys.

Notice I did not say precipitation, or wind, but skies. The winds on aggregate since my last post have picked up to a level where; I wonder, "..., if it's like this now, imagine?" This was not so before with the first two TW's.

In life or death situations "One can never be late." but, in the context of whether Alex's effect on Texas is early. "One must NEVER be LATE".

Have to go back to gardening, laundry, and transportation duties.

Happy School Holidays !!

God Bless,

readkrox51

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- Tropical Wave to cross Tobago on Thursday - Warning of Strong Gusty Winds

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Tue, 29 Jun 2010 21:13:01 +0100

2010-0629
17.11

Latest from Met Crown Point:

A fast moving Tropical Wave is expected to cross Trinidad & Tobago on Thursday bringing with it showers, thundershowers and strong gusty winds.

From early Thursday seas are expected to become choppy even along coastal areas and 'SEA BATHERS AND SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS' are advised to exercise extreme caution.

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar,
Pigeon Point Road,
Crown Point,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- Update

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Tue, 29 Jun 2010 14:05:34 +0100

2010-06-29
08.59

Looking at the charts there appears to be patches of low pressure heading our way - sweeping over Tobago on Wednesday night and over the weekend. Wind Guru is currently showing wave heights of between 2-2.6m for Thursday and Friday - wave direction is predicted to be ENE or NE over Thursday, Friday and Saturday which could make landing tricky, especially further up the island. By Sunday it should have flattened off.

Forecast for today: Wind ENE-E-ESE, 8-16knts. Waves of up to 1.5m in open water and calm in sheltered areas. Temp high of 32 degrees C, low of 25 degrees C.Humidity range 55-80%. There's a risk of issolated showers throughout the day, especially this afternoon.

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar,
Pigeon Point Road,
Crown Point,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- Is this a little spinner forming in the Atlantic ?

By adesh nanan <adeshcnanan at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 26 Jun 2010 01:17:12 +0000

At this time there is a little spinner that appears to be accumulating some clouds around it. I do hope that it is my imagination running wild since it is another weekend and these systems have a tendency to just show up without any warning.
The spinner is very southerly placed at this time and if there is any rapid build up could threaten Trinidad and Tobago
We need to monitor this possibility just in case . Please take note that it may be another false alarm
This is not a case of crying wolf

Dr Adesh Nanan

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- ??

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 22 Jun 2010 18:21:24 +0000

Although satellite images show no cloud cover over trinidad, san fernando has 
become EXTREMELY overcast over the past hour or so. Clouds are moving in 
opposite directions. Which never is a good sign. 
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- Beautiful rainfall

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Jun 2010 16:00:57 +0000

In San Fernando, it has been raining since late last evening. And has only just 
desist.  The rains fell softly and steadily all night creating a beautiful 
lullaby as it hit the roof of the house and onto the floor. 

My guess its because of the fact that the ITCZ is directly over us and because 
of the few waves lined up and has been crossing  over us. 

Keep dry TNT and drive safely on the roads they're very slick. 
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- Rain to continue

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Mon, 21 Jun 2010 13:39:40 +0100

2010-06-21
08.34

Heavy rain showers all last night and rain looks set to continue this morning. Standing water on many roads in Crown Point and the Trinidad and Tobago Meterological Service is warning that there could be street and flash flooding in prone areas. More heavy rain showers are expected overnight and into tomorrow (Wind Guru is predicting 11 milimetres of rain in three hours from 5am on Tuesday)

Winds ESE-E, 8-16knts, waves of up to 2.5m in open water and under 1.0m in sheltered areas. Temp high of 28 degrees C and a low of 24 degrees C. Humidity 65-90%

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar,
Pigeon Point Road,
Crown Point,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- It's Here (apparently) !!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 21 Jun 2010 01:29:32 -0400

Whatever, or whoever, we were preparing for seems to be with us.

I really don't know. But, Tobago, Toco and Manzanilla, seems to have had rain whole day yesterday and tonight.

Where I live, in Diego, since mid-night, we had tropical wave weather, without the gusty winds. That is over 20-30 mins. of heavy rain. (More like an hour, and continuing to drizzle.)

- This is during a period since Friday of precipitation and moisture in the air. -

I don't know (or I am just saying so).

What to say? I guess the morning will tell !!

readkrox51

- Happy Father's Day, follow up.

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 20 Jun 2010 06:20:11 -0400

These are the pictures of the Barbados blob effect in Trinidad before it dissipated. They did not appear in the first e-mail.

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- Happy Father's Day !!!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 20 Jun 2010 06:09:46 -0400

2010 - 06 - 20 Sun.

5 : 40 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything,

HAPPY FATHER'S DAY:

To all the Dads out there; May your love-light shine in this fruitful season!!

Well, we are well into the rainy season! The water-shed between dry and stormy has long since passed!! It may even be a time for meditaton and thanksgiving! For some reason I (my family), seem to ge getting a lot of rest and relaxation. It is always said in emergency work, that: "Last minute actions only add to the danger, leave well enough alone!"

We have attached some pictures. They comprise two batches. One, when the blob was over Barbados, before it dissipated. (Trinidad pictures). Seven days after, when the TW, that never became Alex, had a 50% chance of developing. Before it headed into the shear. The point is; By now we should have established our markers, pointers and signs, of when weather that can produce hazardous conditions are coming!!! That leaves me to say that the TW is on a direct path to Haiti, today. or, so it seems.

Whatever happens the old is giving way to the new, ...! The young fruit have ripened, became old and rotted on the ground. This caused flies and worms. And these, will provide food for, .... The hatchlings that will fly when the buttressed trees, like: poui, flambouyant, pine, cedar, bois float, sand box, ..., send their seeds, wild and far, in the wind. All, in the coming dry season.

An old West Indian saying is, "Water, water everywhere, yet not a drop to spare."

I see signs of rain coming. I either will go back to sleep now or after church.

God Bless,

Until,

Ian M. Borde

Ps. The hue and shape of these celestial panoramas are real.

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- Tropical wave approaching Tobago

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Sat, 19 Jun 2010 15:35:17 +0100

2010-06-19
10.30am

An approaching Tropical Wave is expected to bring showers and isolated thunder-showers to Tobago from before dawn tomorrow.
The usual street and flash flooding and associated land slips may accompany this event.
It is also possible that wind speeds may gust in excess of 35km/h in heavier showers and thundershowers.

Wind E 8-19knts, waves up to 2.5m in open water and below 1.0m in sheltered areas. Temp high of 28 degrees C, temp low of 24 degrees C. Humidity range 65-90%

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar,
Pigeon Point Road,
Crown Point,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- One To Watch Carefully !

By adesh nanan <adeshcnanan at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 18 Jun 2010 10:58:10 +0000

The system that is moving towards the lesser Antilles at 14N has heavy showers and thundershowers .It is forecasted to continue moving in a westerly direction however at this time it is moving in a southerly direction bringing the showers more toward a 13N location.
If this trend continues over the next few hours ,the system will be bringing heavy showers and thunder showers to Tobago.The area has a lot of moisture and could become more favourable for enhanced activity

Dr Adesh Nanan

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- Surprising Development !

By adesh nanan <adeshcnanan at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 18 Jun 2010 10:43:30 +0000

The birds are chirping, there is clear blue sky overhead however satellite picture shows that the cloud buildup near Antigua is suprisingly drifting southward towards Tobago for the next three hours and if this trend contiunes it appears that the cloud build has come full circle and may threathen us again

Dr Adesh Nanan

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- Ominous Black Clouds

By "Jamie" <jboogy2604 at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 16 Jun 2010 13:34:44 +0000

This is my first posting to this site excited to be on the team. 

Some black ominous clouds are approaching from the southern coastline 
associated with the tropical wave that's passing by today which would explain 
the heat were getting this morning. 

I hope this system doesn't affect my travels in the morning to margarita. More 
than likely it WOULD. 
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel

- Uh oh.

By R K <feb1660 at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 14 Jun 2010 06:51:02 -0700 (PDT)

Hello fellow correspondents, Gert, Dave.

12N 38W

9.50.am

I see beginnings of rotation.....

Also maybe a drift to the North/North-West... hoping it misses everybody, goes into the open Atlantic and fizzles out.

Trinidad still not ready for a major hurricane, lot of talk from the powers that be though.

Robert Krucia.

Port of Spain.

- Tropical Cyclone update

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Mon, 14 Jun 2010 12:37:51 +0100

2010-06-14
07.36

The National Huricane Centre is now saying that there is a 60% chance that this area of low pressure, which is currently 1025 miles south west of the Cape Verdes will develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours. Current models now show that this potential cyclone will track west-northwestward to northwestward at about 15 mph and will NOT pass over Trinidad or Tobago.

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- FW: Ominous build up in the Atlantic !

By adesh nanan <adeshcnanan at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 14 Jun 2010 01:02:43 +0000

From: adeshcnanan at hotmail.com
To: tab at stormcarib.net
Subject: Ominous build up in the Atlantic !
Date: Mon, 14 Jun 2010 00:54:55 +0000

The forecast models for the low pressure east of Trinidad are scary
It has been a long time since Trinidad has been included as a possible target.
We cannot take this occurence lightly as the conditions continue to be favourable for rapid development
There was severe flooding recently and this event could become catastrophic
The rainfall with this system could be very heavy at times if it passes close to the North of Trinidad
Our drainage system is deplorable and we have not cleared enough water courses to minimise the high levels of water that can affect our low lying communities
Our shelters must also be identified early and our citizens given adequate warning
If it is a false alarm, so be it, but it is better to be prepared than fail to prepare

Dr Adesh Nanan

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- Tropical cyclone now upgraded

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Sun, 13 Jun 2010 19:41:55 +0100

The National Hurricane Centre has now upgraded the tropical cyclone to a 50% chance. Two models are still showing it passing over Trinidad.

--
Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- Developing tropical cyclone

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Sun, 13 Jun 2010 15:35:25 +0100

2010-06-13
10.15am

The latest NWS Tropical Prediction Center National Hurricane Center models show a 30 per cent chance of a tropical cyclone (winds of 50-70 mph) developing which could reach Tobago and Trinidad in the next four days (Wednesday/Thursday). This low pressure system is currently 800 miles south west of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands but it looks set to move west-nothwestward at around 10-15mph.Two of the forecast models currently have it passing over Trinidad. It is one to definately keep an eye on.

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- The Trinidad Triangle ??

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 11 Jun 2010 05:44:59 -0400

2010 - 06 - 11 Fri.

5 : 20 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything,

It's been a while. And what a day it is. The frogs and crickets are singing for their intended spouses and fooling their prey. Which hopefully include mosquitoes and fruit flies. The (termites) rain flies have long since migrated since late May. The Flamboyant trees are not flowering as they should have by now. And the birds are still singing and mating but for shorter periods and flying less and higher.

Every day since my last post, we had rain. Sometimes twice for the day, with showers in the late evening, morning or night. Not just the average mid-day shower. There were no reports during this time of hazardous episodes. As a matter of fact, if it's possible for me to say so, some problem regions/districts seems to have alleviated or work is going on.

I have a different take on the trough/jet stream that dispersed the last wave/blob over Barbados. It may not be a recurrence of last year's trough systems, unfortunately. It may be the next blob, (heat in the Atlantic between 50 - 30 degrees Longtitude), 'pulling' moisture to feed it. I don't know.

Anyway, now is exams time for my daughter and the school children and she has to go in the Friday traffic. With me. (smile).

Until, maybe even later today,

readkrox51

- Heavy showers for Tobago

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Thu, 10 Jun 2010 15:02:25 +0100

09.52
2010-06-10

Already had several heavy showers this morning leaving standing water around Crown Point. More showers and thunderstorms expected throughout the day and there are warnings of the risk of flash flooding and landslides.

Forecasters are indicating that there will be some respite in the weather tonight into Friday.

Winds SE-ESE, winds 8-16 knts, waves of up to 2.5m in open water and 1.0m in shelterted areas. Temp high of 27 degrees C, low of 24 degrees C. Humidity range of 70-95%

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar,
Pigeon Point Road,
Crown Point,
Tobago.
www.sbms.co.tt

- Weak tropical wave over Tobago

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Tue, 8 Jun 2010 14:27:02 +0100

09.30
2010-06-08

Expecting occasional heavy rain/showers and possibly thunderstorms as a weak tropical wave crosses Tobago today. Skies are already overcast here and grey and there has been some showers in Crown Point. The wind is also picking up.
The Trinidad and Tobago Meterological Service is predicting wind gusts in excess of 40km/h and is also warning that there could be flooding and land slides after heavier or prolonged showery periods.

Winds E-ENE, 13-22knts, seas normal occasionally moderate, waves of up to 2.5m in open water and less than 1.0m in sheltered areas. Temp high of 28 degrees C and a low of 24 degrees C and humidity range of 65-90%

Katy Young,
Store Bay Marine Services,
Tobago
www.sbms.co.tt

- The Corpus Christi Week-End

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 4 Jun 2010 05:31:48 -0400

2010 - 06 - 04 Fri.

5 : 00 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything,

Since my last post, our twin island republic has experienced 4 - 5 days of glorious, tropical sunshine and somewhat less but yet persistent mosqitoes' bites. Temperatures began to almost pass the 33 C figure. The last two days saw small mid-day showers and a beautiful but indescribable Sahara Haze.

Yesterday was a public holiday. My daughter and I, took my partially, ambulant mom to Holy Mass for the feast of Corpus Christi. We then came back to mangoes!!! Mangoes everywhere!! Seeing the satellite images and feeling the moisture in the air; we had an extended lunch - breakfast of hot dogs and chicken and chips. This we did while washing what will have been week-end laundry. Then while my daughter did her home work, I cleared the yard of loose material and cleared the drains, finishing by 5:45 p.m.

Luckily we did this. At 8:45p.m. yesterday, until 3:00a.m. today, there was an alternating between 4 -5 moderate showers, drizzle and moisture in the atmosphere. In true training style and as an effect of the hard work; we had a deep sleep, during all this. I suspect this blob today will not be as bad as the one last week. That is today. There is some affect going on between 50 - 60 degress Longtitude. Saturday and Sunday may be a different matter though.

Will keep you posted,

Until,

Ian M. Borde

- Holiday, Tomorrow !!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 30 May 2010 06:10:41 -0400

2010 - 05 - 30 Sun.

5 : 30 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything !!

It's dawn, on Indian Arrival Day in T'dad & T'bgo. Tomorrow, however, is the public holiday. Tomorrow, is also, our 12th Wedding Anniversary, but my wife is no longer with us, mortally. Next Sunday, is my 52nd. Birthday.

Yesterday, Saturday, we went to the supermarket, to get among other things, flour and yeast. The sky had no golden globe but patches of white cloud amongst mainly grey overcast and drizzle. Today, we intend to take mom to the pool, at The Sailing Association. Today or Tomorrow? Otherwise, we will stay home and bake moist brownies and crunchy cookies, with my daughter. Then, watch a DVD of ['Lightning Thief' with Percy Jackson] (for the third time), and surprise Madonna, with a skit of [ 'Vibert gets a dog' by Paul Keens-Douglas].

Today is the last day of forecasted inclement weather with this band of Tropical Waves. And as the attached picture shows; The mist and cloud is lifting over The Fort George Hilltop, with the rising sun and (yay!) patches of blue forcing over the horizon. The Trinidad Triangle is in effect today. Let's see what tomorrow will bring?

Until,

Ian M. Borde

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- Tropical wave still over Tobago

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Sat, 29 May 2010 14:20:17 +0100

09.10
2010-05-29

Moderate and heavy showers since early hours of this morning - and it looks set to continue for a while yet. Areas of flooding around Crown Point, standing water on many roads and a small part of Cable Beach has been washed into the sea by flood water (see photo).
The Trinidad and Tobago Meterological Service is warning that there is a potential for land slippage and minor landslides in hilly areas on Tobago due to the sustained rain we've been having but again it is stressing that Trinidad and Tobago are NOT under any tropical storm threat, watch or warning.

Wind ESE, 8-16knts, waves of up to 2.0m in open water and less than 1.0m in sheltered areas. Humidity range 70-95%. Temp high of 28 degrees C and a low of 24 degrees C Warnings of possible isolated thunderstorms.

Katy Young,
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
www.sbms.co.tt

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- Tobago Weather Update

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Fri, 28 May 2010 16:59:22 +0100

11.42
2010-05-28

Another fast moving tropical wave is expected to traverse Trinidad and Tobago throughout the day which could result in showers and maybe the odd isolated thunderstorm.

Crown Point is overcast with only isolated showers. Winds E/ESE, 6-16knts, seas normal, occasionally moderate, waves 2.0m to 2.5m in open water and less than 1.0m in sheltered areas. Highs of 31 degrees C, humidity - 65-80%.

Most standing water in Crown Point has gone down - although some isolated patches still remain.

The Trinidad and Tobago Meterological Service has issued a PRECAUTIONARY continuance of flood alert as of 09.56 this morning. It says residents need to be vigilant about landslides/slips but stresses that the island is NOT under ANY tropical storm threat, watch or warning.

Katy Young
Director,
Store Bay Marine Services,
www.sbms.co.tt

- Citizen Advisory !!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 28 May 2010 10:38:23 -0400

2010 - 05 - 28 Fri.

10 :10 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything, fellow West Indians,

It may be noted that the following SHOULD NOT be the norm in posting here, because:

- It can lead to excess and sensation. (Not StormCarib style)

- It's a post-mortem.

- Skilled and Trained professionals have to deal with these circumstances.

But,

I will word it for us to see what we are dealing with, this May 28th 2010. Assuming Trinidad had the brunt of one of the first episodes to come.

- There is a Citizen Advisory to exercise Caution to avoid further damage to property and life, for the next five days.

- One death was reported in Sangre Grande area.

- Visual report of a house in a landslide in Tobago.

- After Her Inaugaration May 26th, Honourable Madam Prime Minister lead flood relief efforts, for the day, May 27th.

- Water restrictions raised ONLY for affected citizens to CLEAN-UP.

As we are intimating; This may be a sequence that will follow wherever next Tropical Waves go and remain sustained or organised.

The smiling sun is shining for the better part of the morning. HOWEVER, rain is threathening. Certain areas by phone have showers.

The point is:

the point is, Don't Panic but Prepare.

I remain in service,

Ian M. Borde

- RAINY SEASON ARRIVES IN TOBAGO

By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
Date: Wed, 26 May 2010 15:04:21 +0100

2010-05-26

0950

I'm Katy Young - latest hurricane correspondent to sign up to StormCARIB. I live in Tobago and help run Store Bay Marine Services - established to offer everything for domestic and visiting sailors to Tobago - from repairs to laundry, WI-FI and other internet. Our website is www.sbms.co.tt

Onto the weather:

Rainy season has arrived in Tobago. Between 2pm yesterday to 8am this morning around 130mm of rainfall. Lots of standing water around this morning. Cloudy with risk of more showers today and possibly thunderstorms. This morning been drizzling. According to the Trinidad Tobago Meterological Service - wind E-ESE 10-21knts, sea moderate, occasionally rough with waves of up to 3.0m, but could be 1.0m in sheltered areas. Temp high of 30 degrees c, humidity between 67-90%.

Katy

- Down South, ...???

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 26 May 2010 05:39:03 -0400

2010 - 05 - 26 Wed.

5:05 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything !!

Well, since my last post, the Tropical Waves impacted on areas just short of T'dad and further south. Until yesterday they dissipated. Leaving temperatures cooler than the 34 - 36 degrees sometimes in April. The winds or gentle breezes were constant and refreshing. The skies were for 4 - 6 hours daily, in daylight, more than half way filled with middle level overcast clouds, with the isolated daily sprinkle on the mountain tops.

For approximately, 12 hours until 10:00 p.m. yesterday, moderate rain fell on and off. (Some telephone friends say whole day.) Then, I don't know about other parts of the island, but in Diego Martin, rain fell from moderate to heavy whole night. I drove about but there was no flooding and the river was less than half way up. The wave is still over us but it is mainly drizzling since 4:30 a.m. Last night there were vague thunder claps in the distance.

Today is the changing of the guards, (to the National Treasury). We welcome Honorable Madam, Prime Minister, Kamla Persad-Bissessar! Not only the guard is changed but apparently the system of reporting to the land owners has taken place. We wish Her, a safe and sagacious term of offfice. T'dad & T'bgo is one of the wealthest countries in The Western Hemisphere. NO DOUBT, THERE WILL BE A HONEYMOON PERIOD. In the spirit of Guiness and Puncheon, my wish is; there will be no witch hunting! But, that justice is served.

I'm trying to attach pictures for the first time. They did not come out bad. It is full moon (more or less) and the lights in the pictures are less than 50 feet away. It's the conditions.

Until,

God Bless,

readkrox51

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- Sustained, Early Morning Shower, Today !!

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 18 May 2010 07:58:00 -0400

2010 - 05 - 18 Tues.

7 : 25 a.m.

Dear Fellow Islanders,

Apparently, to me, The Tropical Waves are dissipating off The Guyanas, ( or north South-America), and the Trinidad Triangle, less and less. They seem to be more sustained, (trying to organize), more than early to mid - May. The last five (5) days, excluding Saturday, from last Thursday saw rainfall each day.This morning, at 2:30 for five minutes and 5:30 - 6:30 a.m. (more than an hour). Understand, that this is moderate; light to normal rainfall and not heavy showers! This morning typifies a tropical wave over Trinidad weather, or rainy season, early morning showers. ( To be followed by mid-day thunder-showers.) Tide is low lunch time.

Between Port of Spain and Maracas Beach on the North Coast, lies a moutainous village called Maraval. Maraval is part of the Ward or Municipality of Diego Martin. I live in Diego Martin. Yesterday, we drove through Morne Coco Road, (Diego Martin - Maraval mountain road link), and villages of Cameron, Les Plattes, and foothills of Saut D'Eau, Paramin. There were literally a few stones in the road, in odd spots. One maybe two piled like very small leaning pyrmaids against the cliff sides. Apparently brought down by shower activity.

The point is that heavy weathering and loosening of rock, will have taken place over the 100 or more dry days of drought we experienced.

God is Good !! And He probably holidays in The West Indies. So let's continue to enjoy this Paradise, preparing, planning and preserving our safety and surroundings.

Until probably, Thursday or Saturday,

Respectfully,

readkrox51

- New Moon in May, New Me on Storm Carib, New rainy season and harvest time.

By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, 14 May 2010 08:38:52 -0400

2010 - 05 - 14 Fri.

8 : 15 a.m.

Hi, Fellow Islanders,

First, we thank Gert and Storm Carib, for welcoming us to this useful web-site. Here we not only keep in touch with each other and monitor the weather, but the abundance of ambrosia and flora and fauna of Paradise are revealed for all to see.

Trinidad and Tobago just came out of a very dry season. A drought, as a matter of fact. However, around the time when snow was reported to have fallen in Florida, a little after this, I saw in all places, (the highway on the fore-shore from Port of Spain), a 'sissors tail' bird making his way back to the temperate regions he came from. In the water off the fore-shore at this same time 'pelicans' were feeding, profusely! Right now in May, the 'humming-bird' is feeding whole morning in my garden.

For the last two weeks, therabout, we had rain for 5 - 20 minutes once a day, every 4 - 5 days, without flooding, landslides or hazardous episodes. NORMAL RAIN. I am looking forward to fresh fruit and food prices getting lower. The (beggining of rainy-season) 'poui' tree has already blossomed over a month ago. the ' flamboyant' tree will blossom next around June, exams' time.

I come with experience in emergency and trauma volunteerism, and the happenings of Haiti, cause me to get involved, although we would much rather keep a low profile.

I feel welcome,

Thanks again,

readkrox51