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- ..., window closes, door opens, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2017 02:58:48 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

We here in The Windward and Leeward Islands
(Eastern Caribbean), are going thru a period of quiet.
A time of Restoration, ....

However there are four systems out there.
That will affect other brothers and sisters.
And they need monitoring.

If you were to ask me how I made it?
I would say,
"Using what I went thru, to help others."

God Bless

Attachment: Manzanilla Milky Way - East coast Trinidad - Five Layer.jpg
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- Good Rallying & Reports on all sides
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 18 Aug 2017 22:09:18 -0400

To God
The adequate Reports!

Help has been and is
on the way, ....

But I have to go to sleep now 
for the second time since day before.

NHC you are doing a fantastic job!!!!!!!!

God bless

- Five (05) hours of Rain and Wind and Waves -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 18 Aug 2017 01:55:46 -0400
I have been up since 9:50 p.m.

I got a little more than 3 hours sleep 
and will not be going to sleep till, ...

An eye is forming north of St. Peter's, 
Barbados as at 01:15 a.m.

Barbados, St. Lucia and St. Vincent
have had 5 hours of rain and it's only now 
north of Barbados.

Believe me, I can go on, ....


Attachment: 2017-08-18th 00.jpg
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Attachment: GANIMF00veV.jpg
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- Standing By !!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 17 Aug 2017 05:48:37 -0400
To all People of Paradise,

May God Bless us, ... !!!

From this evening:

Possible; Storm Surge of much less than 2' feet.
Waves will be 5' - 11' feet.
Winds will be 25 - 35 mph. (Gusting in excess of this.)
Precipitation indeterminate yet. But in excess of one a half inches, ....

[ref: NHC, this is until The Hurricane Hunters Reconnaissance] 

Standing By



- Be Calm!!!!!!! ..., but prepare, ... !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 16 Aug 2017 02:43:26 -0400
There are two LPS systems 

less than (04) days away.
Possible PTC's (Tropical Depressions or Storms).

I don't know how else to put this across!

God Bless

- Let's Control Ourselves in The Face of Danger -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 9 Aug 2017 04:52:08 -0400
People of Paradise,

The following copy and paste from NHC
is going to affect Trinidad today.
This includes minor flooding.

A tropical wave extends from 10N55W to 24N49W moving W at 10-15 
kt. A 1012 mb low is centered along the wave axis near 16N53W 
providing focus for scattered moderate convection from 15N-21N 
between 47W-54W.

In case you don't understand what has been said
and is going on in weather and emergency circles.?.

(It's just when?)


Attachment: 2017-08-08th Tuesday's full moon from TYC Bayshore (courtesy Steve.jpg
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Attachment: 2017-08-09th Wednesday 0415am.jpg
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- Being the devil's advocate with a bottom line !!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 5 Aug 2017 01:28:58 -0400
Glencoe, T&T, W.I.
2017-08-05th Sat.
01:05 a.m.

My dear People of Paradise,

It behooved me to write and warn Haiti 
(and the eastern Caribbean) earlier.
It's such bad news I delayed it as long as possible ! 
Tonight is apparently the deadline.

I mean there is the sun, sand, rivers and streams,
as memories of true love and romance 
even when things turn gory?

Two within 24 hours;

- I always felt that while the last tropical wave 
will careen into south America, 
Haiti was in the path of 'its northern element'.
[Whether it be 'trough, TW, LPS, or PTC']

[By the way, it is my understanding that 
a trough winds run parallel not circular.]

- Trinidad (and Tobago), yes, Trinidad 
will have more than an inch of rain from early this morning.
1) It is possible it might continue raining 
until the next system to be warned about, reaches.
2) No one can say if it will be windy.
But it's definitely possible!

- The system to be warned about !!!!!
Is at 30 degrees West Longitude.
Tonight it stared trekking north.
Since this post is a worst case scenario.
It might not be trekking north
but just separating from the ITCZ.
(And will impact south of Guadeloupe the hardest.)

Just another rant from just another storm-chaser.

God Bless

- Good Morning !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 30 Jul 2017 07:59:05 -0400
Good Morning,
People of Paradise,

If you go to the beach early.

You will avoid the showers attached
with less than an inch of rain this evening 
and tonight till midday tomorrow.

God Bless

Attachment: 2017-07-30th Sunday 0645am.jpg
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Attachment: Maracas Beach.jpg
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- Bonne Soiree !!?
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 26 Jul 2017 20:40:39 -0400
Hello to all People of Paradise,

Qu'y a-t-il arrive maintenant en Haiti ?

Il ensemble que il faut necesaire
de rester enleves cette nuite? Oui ?

Ditez-moi !

For the rest of The Windward Islands and Eastern Caribbean.
It doesn't seem so, it's actually happening!
The Tropical Wave that had on and off potential
has stalled and is going to stall over us. From tonight !

Time to dust off the boots and maybe put them on early tomorrow.

God Bless

Attachment: 2017-07-26th Wednesday 745pm.jpg
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- Posture + Prayer - If you save one (01) life! YOU are complete.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 25 Jul 2017 04:13:37 -0400
Good Night, Good Day, Good Everything,
People of Paradise,

"Time, Love and God heals all wounds, ... "

I am going to post something similar to what my third post 
in stormcarib.com was, ...

- If the waves, (whether high or low tide),
push past the high tide mark.
Which will be obvious from the sand.
There is storm surge.
- If one in every five waves or less is greater than 2 - 3 feet
(Usually accompanied by a rip current.)
Then within 8 hours if not immediately,
Seas will be unmanageable.
25 - 30 mph. Leaves and twigs will break off.
35 - 40 mph. Small branches will break. Top of trees will bend.
More than 1" in. but less than 2" ins. of rain
will cause puddles, where there were none.
2" - 4" of rain will cause your shoes and clothes 
to get wet while walking outdoors.
Initial Emergency:
Call for Help !
Survey the scene and remove the danger or person,
IF QUALIFIED - Otherwise, don't make the situation get worse.
Call for Help !
Examine the ABC's of the person without touching!
Call for Help !
Identify; Names, Location, and Nature of Injury or Illness.
NEVER be ashamed or egotistical about this.
That will affect the response of the first responders, ...

Weather wise:
A tropical wave is approaching the Lesser Antilles, with its axis 
extending from near 18N55W to 11N56W to the coast of South America 
at 06N56W. It is moving westward at 10-15 kt. Broad 700 mb
troughing is indicated by the models to be present over the
northern and central portions of the wave, however, the presence
of dry air aloft as noted in water vapor imagery is only allowing
for isolated showers and weak isolated thunderstorms near those 
portions of the wave. A diffluent flow aloft provided by an upper 
trough that exists across the northern part of the wave, and
ridging across the southern part of the wave is helping to 
support increasing scattered shower and thunderstorm activity 
within an area from 11N-14N between 53W-61W. The wave will cross
the Lesser Antilles tonight, and move across the eastern Caribbean
on Wednesday. Moisture associated with this wave is forecast
to bring increasing chances for scattered showers and
thunderstorms to the the eastern Caribbean on Wednesday, however,
before the wave arrives there scattered showers and thunderstorms
ahead of it will move across portions of mainly the Leeward 
Islands today. Some of this activity may be attendant by gusty 
God Bless

Attachment: 2017-07-25th Tuesday 0245am.jpg
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- As per NHC, ... -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 23 Jul 2017 17:53:47 -0400
T & T, W.I.
2017-07-23rd. Sunday

Brethren in Paradise,

There was a trough,
Not a Tropical Wave 
that just created havoc in Trinidad.
(As I mentioned before. It resembled early 'Bret').
It's Gone !

The system that exited Africa before (developed).
Can now safely be said to be headed north of Anguilla.
(If it survives the SAL.)
There is another potent one exiting Africa as I write.

There is one a little past 50 West.
While it will affect the southern Windwards
It is the first 'hazard' more north than the others previously.
According to NHC:

A tropical wave is in the central Atlc with axis extending from 
16N49W to 06N50W, moving W at 15-20 kt within the last 24 hours. 
The wave is in a region of favorable vertical shear S of 14N, 
however it continues being severely affected by intrusion of 
Saharan dry air dust to its northern environment. Middle to upper
level diffluence and shallow moisture as seen in CIRA LPW support
scattered to isolated showers from 10N to 13.5N between 48W and 
The graphics attached should be taken very seriously 
but not panicked over, ....

Stay Safe and Sound

God Bless

Attachment: 48 hrs forecast valid for midnight 2017-07-25th tuesday.gif
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Attachment: Sea Swells midnight 2017-07-23rd Sunday.gif
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- Is there a little spinner leaving the African coast?
  • By Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 22 Jul 2017 04:23:59 -0700
Dear Gert
My eyes may be playing tricks on me , but is there a little spinner out there making it's way towards the lesser Antilles.
If this is correct then with any gradual formation this could be another cyclone heading our way.

Dr Adesh Nanan

- Thank You, My Lord and God !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Jul 2017 04:27:49 -0400
Phew ! (Timeout was needed, ...!)

What was it people say,
"Once bitten, Twice shy."

I guess it will be to the chagrin of some people.
I believe in persistence and that,
"To know everything, is to forgive Everything."

So, here goes, ...

1) Tonight the wind-shear moved west and SAL east
while simultaneously cropping the top off of (pre-Emily).
NHC says it better:
A large amplitude tropical wave is over the central Atlantic with
axis from 24N52W to 08N53W, moving west at 15 kt. The Total 
Precipitable Water imagery animation depicts deep moisture south 
of 24N between 47W-58W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong 
convection is from 03N-12N between 41W-49W. A portion of this 
wave is forecast to move across the eastern Caribbean during the 
upcoming weekend, bringing increasing moisture and probabilities 
for scattered showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds.
2) (On the humorous side): 
'Bret' (to me) seems to have an identical twin sister 
that he left behind in Africa and in the ITCZ  
(approx. = 10 North 45 West).
(When I place the graphical attachments I will try to prove this.)
It's no secret that from the 2nd week in August
things are expected to be more prone to atmospheric hazards.
It also is no secret that July comes before August.
The third week in July !
3) There is a clearly forming Tropical Wave, by all models,
exiting the Monsoon area. As well as the ITCZ!
It is definitely too early to say it will go north (like pre-Emily), ....

Thank You, Lord

Attachment: 2017-06-19th Monday 1245pm.jpg
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Attachment: 2017-07-17th Monday 0115am Formidable 'PTC#5'.JPG
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Attachment: 2017-07-21st 0200am.jpg
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Attachment: 2017-07-21st Friday 0245am.jpg
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- Back to Normal
  • By Buffalo Soldier <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 19 Jul 2017 17:15:03 -0300
Hi stormcarib family,

Well TS Don is gone and everything is alright here in Tobago.

The storm passed north of Tobago and there was little impact. Yesterday from around 3-5pm there was just light showers and then at around 10 last night there was a very heavy downpour with strong winds. That shower lasted for about 5mins and that was all we got from Don.

Today stared off overcast but as the day progressed the sun peeped out. There was just a couple of daytime showers but overall it was a normal day. 

All these weather systems are reminders that we are in the hurricane season and you never can tell where or when something serious might happen. Whoever though that there would be 4 storms already and 2 passing very close to home. My eyes are stuck to the east for the next happening.

I was looking in the garden and found 2 Jack Spaniard nests one in the lemon tree and the other under a banana leaf. These wasps surely give a painful sting if there nest is disturbed. They love to hide in the trees and it is only when you start getting stung you realise that they were there. I took two pics of them.

Stay safe everyone.


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- Hhmmmm, ....
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 18 Jul 2017 11:46:48 -0400
What can I say?

"I told you so."
Would be most inappropriate!!!

Graphics are attached.

(If I can still have the weight I had 
when I was younger and 'distinguished'.
We need to put a condition red and monitoring
Tobago & Toco
East-West Corridor
Port of Spain
Diego Martin
because Dr. Masters and all eminent minds says it will dip into north western Venezuela after.)

God Bless
Learn from Your Mistakes, ....

Attachment: 2017-07-18th Tuesday 1015am.jpg
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Attachment: 2017-0718th Tuesday 1100am.png
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Attachment: Capture 'Don' 250 miles away 2017-07-18th Tuesday 1100am.JPG
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  • By Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 17 Jul 2017 17:20:11 -0700
Dear Gert,
The newly named tropical storm Don is forecasted to pass North of Trinidad and Tobago hence no advisory .The storm has favorable conditions ahead and is expected to intensify. Due to its small center of circulation, the expected winds from the center decreases exponentially .However if there is any shift to the south , the island of Tobago could become a target.
Always be prepared!

Dr Adesh Nanan

- Formidable 36 hrs. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 17 Jul 2017 03:03:00 -0400
My Dear People of Paradise,

Let's get the facts.

770 miles away at 01:15 a.m. Monday
moving at approx. = 12 mph. due west.
Gives you 770 / 12 = 64 hours (or 48+16=64).
Following on from 01:15 a.m. Monday 
to 01:15 a.m. Wednesday + 16 hrs.

The Centre should be over us at 5:15 p.m. Wednesday.

Now, If it is 270 miles wide, (and the centre is near the middle),
minus 135 / 12 = (approx.) 11 hrs.

Meaning Impact will commence at 06:00 a.m. Wednesday.

I also attach graphics. (NHC)

God Bless

Attachment: 2017-07-17th Monday 0115am Formidable 'PTC#5'.JPG
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Attachment: Forecast Valid for 2017-07-19th Tuesday Night 0000am.gif
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- Every Storm has an Element of Surprise -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 15 Jul 2017 05:09:41 -0400
My Dear People of Paradise,

Please assist me and yourselves,
by monitoring The Tropical Wave
I am going to copy and paste from NHC.

For the simple reason that;
"If and When it evolves,
It will be too late to prepare."


A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis from 15N44W to 
02N44W, moving westward 20 knots. The wave is surrounded by dry 
Saharan air as depicted in the latest METEOSAT-9 Saharan Air Layer
imagery. Only convection noted with this wave is south of 10N to 
the ITCZ region between 43W-48W.
God Bless

- Meanwhile, In The Atlantic, ....
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 14 Jul 2017 03:29:19 -0400
My Dear People of Paradise,

Careful you get run over by a landing plane.
How can this take place in Paradise, .... ?

- One (ex-TD #4) TW is on its way to Florida.

- The present One is giving Martinique trouble.

- There is something, something big, out at 40 W.
There is not much time to prepare if it turns, ... !!!!

This overnight phenomenon needs for EVERYONE

Standing by,
God Bless 

- Former Menace has reached !!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Jul 2017 16:34:15 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

As St. Lucia wrote,


Tonight by far will be the worst of
the last 3 - 5 days. Yet hazard conditions for
Tobago, Grenada, St. Vincent, & St. Lucia and Barbados
are nothing higher than a yellow A l e r t !!

Seas will be normal.
Winds will be non-existent.
Rain, if prepared, nothing higher than 2.5" ins.

There is no SAL or Wind-Shear over the islands.
However there is SAL and Wind-Shear directly West
that air currents will blow over the island tonight as well.

While it will be foolish to drive more than 4 - 7 miles tonight
away from home. UNLESS YOU DID NOT PREPARE, ...,
There is nothing un-normal about the weather tonight
for the normal rainy season.

God Bless
Standing By

Attachment: Capture at 315pm Thursday 13th July 2017.JPG
Description: JPEG image

- More accurate satellite pic showing cluster of thunderstorms in the Central Atlantic at 40 w
  • By Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 12 Jul 2017 14:34:39 -0700

Attachment: image.jpg
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- Satellite pic update
  • By Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 12 Jul 2017 14:28:19 -0700

Attachment: image.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Fwd: Approaching Atlantic System
  • By Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 12 Jul 2017 16:38:21 -0400

Sent from my iPad

Begin forwarded message:

From: Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
Date: July 12, 2017, 4:32:50 PM AST
To: gert at stormcarib.net
Subject: Approaching Atlantic System

The latest loop shows a cluster of thunderstorms dipping below the Sahara dust by drifting more south.This cluster of thunder showers will soon be developing a low and as the environment becomes more favorable could develop rapidly and be on our doorstep in no time at all. We have already experienced the damaging effect of Bret and sustained flooding. Our watercourses have not been cleared and it is a high possibility that severe flooding could occur again. The winds that emanated from Bret were around 45 miles per hour and led to roofs being blown off. The entire island felt the effect and I shudder to think if this was a hurricane what would have been the result.
We are so helpless with natural disasters and must continue to follow Jesus Christ as our North Star!

Dr Adesh Nanan

- In Reply
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 11 Jul 2017 05:34:21 -0400
Good Day, Good Everything,
People of Paradise,

How are things in this neck of the seas?

I think we had enough hazards since March
that everyone knows the drills and realize
being prepared and managing during an 
emergency. Has nothing to do with shopping, ... !

For my part ever since 'Bret' the retaining wall 
on my property is caving in. Ad Hoc gov't systems
and a planning process that only puts placebo plaster
after the wound has been cut. Is the order of the day.
Since Independence !
That also is NOT how to prepare.

Weatherwise, people have been asking me 
why I am not posting about the three TW's
semi-threatening in the seas surrounding us?

35 W. is a long way off !!!!! Stay calm !
Also I attach an image that shows,
"Everywhere the TW's threaten, SAL is overriding!"

So while preparing for the 'next one', please enjoy life, ....

Preparedness is developing 'survival skills', 
not paranoia and marketing !

God Bless

Attachment: 2017-07-11th Tuesday 0200am.jpg
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Attachment: August 2016 - Dindial - Sea Lots.png
Description: PNG image

Attachment: - Metropolitan Trinidad -.jpg
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Attachment: Port of Port of Spain.jpg
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- There! You have it! (Accurately !!!)
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 8 Jul 2017 10:33:25 -0400
Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything !
People of Paradise,

Quite accurately, NHC has covered the possibility 
of gusty conditions and moisture in the atmosphere 
for the Northern Leeward Islands.

A tropical wave, remnants of Tropical Depression Four, is over 
the central Atlantic with its axis extending from near 22N54W to 
19N54W to 13N55W. It is moving west-northwest around 18 kt. The 
atmospheric environment surrounding the wave is very moist as 
observed on the Total Precipitable Water (TPW) loop series. Also,
the CIRA moisture analysis reveals the presence of deep layer 
moisture over and near the wave. Deep convection is pulsing along 
the wave axis. This convection is observed as a large cluster of 
the scattered moderate type intensity from 17N-19N between 54W-
56W. Scattered moderate convection is ahead of the wave within 30 
nm of 20N58W. An Ascat pass from 0110Z last night nicely depicted 
a northeast to southeast wind shift across the wave axis, with 
fresh to strong east to southeast winds east of the axis from 17N-
20N between the wave and 50W. The wave is forecast to pass to the 
northeast of the Leeward Islands by Sunday evening attendant with 
possible brief gusty winds and squalls over portions of the 
northeast Caribbean. It is then forecast to approach the SE 
Bahamas on Monday.
Have a great weekend, everyone !

God Bless

Attachment: Td #4 Remnants.png
Description: PNG image

- Follow-up and updates
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 7 Jul 2017 05:54:41 -0400
My dear people of Paradise,

I attach some images that may help us understand 
where 'Don' has reached and what can happen in 48 hours.

PLEASE bear in mind that there is what I call 
an anti-low pressure vortex at 27N. and 57 W. 
that besides SAL and Wind-Shear could 
but not likely push it south.

God Bless

Attachment: 2017-06-07th friday 0200am.jpg
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Attachment: 2017-06-07th Friday 0215am - 'Don' -.JPG
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Attachment: 2017-06-07th friday 0415am.jpg
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Attachment: 2017-06-09th Sunday 0000am - 48 Hours Shear Forecast -.gif
Description: GIF image

Attachment: Capture 'Don' at 813 miles away 2017-06-07th friday 0445am.JPG
Description: JPEG image

- Tropical Depression ? 'Don' ?
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 6 Jul 2017 20:06:12 -0400
Good People,

Tropical Storm 'Don',
"Yes!", no matter what,
It's gonna be called 'Don'.

Tropical Storm 'Don'
is less than three (03) days away, ... !!!!!

Prepare, Pray, Plan, and Procure !
To save Personnel and Property !

- Approaching TW (not PTC or LPS) with less Impact than previous - 24 hrs. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 30 Jun 2017 11:46:54 -0400
People of Paradise,

We are recovering from TS 'Bret'
and the TW after that is still dumping rain.

There is another TW approaching and due by midday tomorrow.
Except for land slippage due to rain logged soil.
It will pose the least of all hazards so far.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis from 16N48W to 
03N49W, moving westward at about 15 knots. A plume of Saharan 
African dust is observed to the north of this wave. This appears 
to be suppressing deep convection from developing along and near 
the wave axis at this time. An area of isolated moderate
convection is observed from 09N-12N between 48W-52W. This wave is
forecast to enter the eastern Caribbean by Saturday.
I will continue (with the new designation of PTC's)
for NHC to advise you.

God bless

- Down South !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 27 Jun 2017 04:09:50 -0400
Brothers and Sisters in Paradise,

Trinidad and Tobago, and all areas in The Eastern caribbean where land-slippage is possible should be cautious of this TW that (like others before) dramtically became hazardous at 55 W. Longitude.

A tropical wave extends over the central Atlantic with axis from
11N48W to 04N52W, moving westward at 10-15 kt. The wave is in an
area of moderate moisture and a diffluent flow aloft. These
features are supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms north
of 06N between 45W-57W. 
Winds are manageable.
Seas need experience.
Precipitation is Hazardous, ....

God bless

Attachment: 2017-06-27th Tuesday 0345am.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- PTC # 4 (?) - 3 days away -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 23 Jun 2017 03:09:16 -0400
Fellow People of Paradise,

It is amazing what a lil sleep can do!

My feet can stand me up once again.
Our hands are joined together in prayer and work!!!!
My brain and eyes are continuing to contribute, ...

(At times however my heart and soul aches, ....)

With the new analysis and development of Potential Tropical Cyclones (PTC's),
my contribution will be to quote those in authority and more equipped than I am.

I, (and all who concern me), are really, really, really happy 
about this PTC development.

A tropical wave is in the central Atlc with axis extending from
15N41W to a 1009 mb low near 08N42W to 04N42W, moving W at 5 kt
within the last 24 hours. The wave is in a region of favorable 
wind shear, is mainly in a very moist environment with some 
patches of dry air according to CIRA LPW, and is under a region of
upper level divergence. These factors support scattered heavy 
showers and tstms from 0N to 04N between 41W and 50W, and
scattered showers within 250 nm of the low center.

God Bless

Attachment: 2017-06-23RD FRI 0200AM.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Phew !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 20 Jun 2017 22:59:53 -0400
# 08 Holder Drive, WestVale Park
La Horquette Valley Road
Carenage, T'dad & T'bgo.
2017-06-20th. 10:55pm.

My dear brothers and sisters 
in Paradise,

To God be The Dominion, Praise and Glory !

There are times in Life when
words don't come easy or simple.
You have to give a lot of thought about God to continue
edifying, educating and exemplifying
what are the list of priorities that you are most concerned 
and worried about to the next and younger generations, .... !!!!!!

This is one of those times when,
"One feels to sit and put clenched hands between their knees.
Bow down ones' head and cry!"

NOW, for a normal post:
- My studio apartment had no electricity for the whole day 
since before 6:00 a.m.
- I had breakfast at 02:15 a.m. knowing with 'some' experience 
the day would unfurl as it did. I had bread and sausage for lunch.
Thank God !
- Living alone, I had to mop up the effects of two leaks in the roof,
all doorway entrances, (upstairs and downstairs), and one window 
that was closed but facing south. The channel below the windows 
(not the window) fed water through a space wind created 
to run through at the end of the last window.
- I had to go to a commercial centre in the suburbs, (St. James), 
to get cash and groceries. I left home in drizzle and the car 
I got a drop with was not starting and idling properly !
- We fixed two cars today. One a VW 'Love Bug'.
- I fell asleep in stress and frustration at 4:00 p.m. 
(With no phone and electricity!)
- Mind you, besides The Almighty, people are rallying 
and support is forthcoming islandwide, ....
- Reports are coming in, but in certain places
one can expect the worst !!!

Later and May God Bless You !

- In the light of Tuesday morning
  • By Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Tue, 20 Jun 2017 14:16:43 +0000 (UTC)
We had a night of wild wind and furious rain with just a couple of flashes of lightning, literally.  We were safe and snug in our home and have suffered no damage to property at all.  I tried to send a post to Stormcarib but it just would not go.  I don't understand why.  We did not lose electricity although we had one or two low voltage happenings.  I was able to stay in touch with family and colleagues from school through most of the night via Whatsapp.  That was very comforting and helped us all to feel strong and positive.
In my neighbourhood there has been some flooding, especially in the low lying area close to the Cipero River.  I understand that the river burst its banks and created flooding headaches for residents in Gulf View too.  I suspect that Green Acres may have been affected too.  The Creek (leading to Fyzabad, Point Fortin, etc) has been flooded but that's not surprising as that road can become flooded at high tide, storm or no storm.  The Maritine Plaza in Barataria was completely surrounded by water up to daylight.  I don't know what it is like as I write but I do not think it is worth trying to pass along the road abutting that plaza at all.  Tragic flooding for so many residents of Penal and Barrackpore.  It is painful just to look at the extent of the damage.  Some homes are covered to a depth of at least 5 feet.  In other areas, Cedros included, the electricity went during the night and has not yet been restored.
Schools and banks are closed today and many people have either been told to work from home or have opted to take a day off and stay in the safety of their homes.
We expect more rain today and a tropical wave comes through on Friday.
I will post again later with more information as it becomes available.  God be with our neighbours in the path of this storm.  Thank God that this was not a hurricane.  We appreciate all the blessings that have been so generously bestowed upon us.  

- Safe and Sound
  • By Buffalo Soldier <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 20 Jun 2017 09:39:50 -0300
As of 5am the TS Warning has been discontinued. 

Last night, I wanted to keep the stormcarib family updated as the night progressed but my electricity went at around 6:30pm and never returned until around 4:00am.

Tobago was spared the brunt of the storm but in Trinidad there are reports of flooding, fallen trees and lost roofs.

In Tobago we experienced mostly wind with a few heavy showers, there was no thunder or lightning. The wind really blew and those trees danced . It is a miracle that no trees went down in my neighborhood.

The only reports in Tobago so far are of fallen trees and one house that collapsed entirely. I have my ears on the ground for any further information.

Well no school today so my son and I are at home and all government offices are closed so my husband is also home. More rain expected throughout the day so I am just going to chill out and relax. The weather right now is windy and the sun is peeping through.

My prayers go out to those affected and to those in the storm's path. Be safe.


- 'Bret' exits. Rain starts! -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 20 Jun 2017 02:21:25 -0400
( PHEW !!! )

2017-06-20th. Tuesday

People of Paradise,

Tonight, Monday Night! The winds woke me up !

I fell asleep at around 7:30 - 8:00 p.m. Monday (yesterday) evening.
Somewhere around midnight the winds woke me up! Violently !
My guess is that winds were around 35 - 50 mph.
If one wants to talk about dying down,
The winds died down for minute seconds to about 22 mph.
Big branches were breaking every few seconds, ....
Even though it seems to have been raining for a week.
The river at that time was flowing normally.
And only now at 02:15 a.m. I see lightning, ...

I attach a few pictures but,
I have a lot of work to do 
and welcome contributions from my brothers and sisters.


To work is To pray,

God Bless

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- Tropical Storm Bret
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 20 Jun 2017 06:02:46 +0000


San Juan


Good Morning to all,

Well its a few minutes to 2am and all i can hear is the rain falling on my rooftop here in San Juan. We had a constant strong shower from since 7pm with gusts of high winds. As Bret passes slowly over we wait to see what the morning will bring. Several areas in Trinidad are already out of electricity and there are reports of some houses being damaged by the high wind. With the hours of constant rain I;m sure we will hear reports of flooding. Lets continue to pray for the best.


S Abouhamad

- Tropical Storm Bret
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 20 Jun 2017 01:46:34 +0000


San Juan Trinidad

Good Night to all,

At presently here in Trinidad it is raining with gusts of winds. Tobago has already suffered damage and we trust that everyone is safe within Trinidad and Tobago. Hello to the folks in Grenada. Keep safe and God bless. Next post will be tomorrow please God.


M Abouhamad

- Waiting patiently as Tropical Storm Bret approaches
  • By Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Jun 2017 18:32:39 -0700
There is sporadic wind gusts followed by an eerie calm. Right now I can hear the pitter patter of rain drops as we await the arrival of the storm. It is very very cold outside and the lights have flickered . The storm is on the projected path and from all reports can have a disastrous effect in the southern part of the island. The storm is moving at 25mph at this time and about two hours away .
It is at this point that you realize how vulnerable mankind is to a natural disaster.

- Landfall at 12:45 p.m. Galeota
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Jun 2017 13:47:24 -0400
TPC #2 
Has made landfall at 12:45 p.m. just West and including - 'Galeota' -.

By now interests in Tobago, The East Coast and South Coast,
should consider moving further inland or stay at home 
if they have communication devices for Emergencies handy 
and have personnel or themselves equipped to deal with 
waves over 10 feet and winds for three hours averaging 35 mph.!

I suggest Cedros be put on a higher degree of alertness.

The reason being the time of landfall and the climax of misfortune
are delayed until late evening and overnight !!!!!!!

Stay Safe and Sound 

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- Fwd: 24 Years Later...Bret may be on our doorstep again!
  • By Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Jun 2017 21:48:28 -0700

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Adesh Nanan <adeshcnanan at gmail.com>
Date: Monday, June 19, 2017
Subject: 24 Years Later...Bret may be on our doorstep again!
To: gert at stormcarib.net

I remember the very heavy rainfall and severe flooding associated with Bret.Some parts of the island were cut off completely and their was loss of livestock. In certain areas in Penal , the entire community was under water.
At present our soil is waterlogged due to persistent and heavy rainfall leading to isolated land slippage. This is a recipe for disaster and even though all precautions are being taken at this time, I believe that prayers could shift the trajectory of this system so sparing us the brunt of heavy rainfall and avert any disaster

Dr Adesh Nanan

- Crescendo
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Jun 2017 23:34:50 -0400
Good Night, Good Day,
People of Paradise,

The 'inclement' weather persisting over T&T, 
is coming as someone indicated to an expected Crescendo.

The first ever - Potential Tropical Cyclone - Advisory #1
was issued at 5:00 p.m. today Sunday. 
800 miles from Tobago and Barbados.

 NHC said“Under previous longstanding NWS policy, it has not been permitted to issue a hurricane or tropical storm watch or warning until after a tropical cyclone had formed.  Advances in forecasting over the past decade or so, however, now allow the confident prediction of tropical cyclone impacts while these systems are still in the developmental stage.  For these land-threatening ‘potential tropical cyclones’, NHC will now issue the full suite of text, graphical, and watch/warning products that previously has only been issued for ongoing tropical cyclones.”


Models are in close agreement taking PTC 2 toward the west or west-northwest toward the Windward Islands by late Monday or Tuesday. The government of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadines. NHC is predicting peak winds of 50 mph. With the highly favorable conditions ahead of PTC 2, I would not be shocked to see it intensify a bit more—especially if its eventual center of circulation ends up on the compact side. The 12Z Sunday run of the HWRF model, among our most reliable for predicting short-range intensity, brings PTC 2 to Category 1 hurricane strength as it passes near Tobago and Barbados.

First of all;
1) Let's give thanks that what Haiti and Dominica 
have raged and campaigned about has come to pass.

2) With the new PTC's Advisories,
The Onus of: Any loss of personnel or property can now 
be placed firmly in the hands of unprepared and 
unaccommodating victims. 
Unless they were forced to do otherwise.

3) The information is,
(And that is the original intent of PTC's Advisories !)

We are our brothers' keepers,
God Bless

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- Tropical storm warning, not watch
  • By Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Jun 2017 02:58:05 +0000 (UTC)
Trinidad and Tobago is under tropical storm warning and not tropical storm watch.
  As I type this message, there is heavy rain in my area.  I also hear thunder from time to time.  Tomorrow morning, one of our popular annual road races, the OWTU Butler 20K, takes place from San Fernando to Fyzabad.  I hope that the weather is kind to the runners and that all stay safe on the course.  In the light of the expected impact of Potential Tropical Cyclone Two by tomorrow afternoon, I expect that participants and officials alike will be anxious to be home long before the system hits.  

- Storm watch for Trinidad and Tobago and southern Windwards
  • By Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Jun 2017 02:34:04 +0000 (UTC)
At 6.00 p.m. today, Trinidad and Tobago and the southern Windwards were put on tropical storm watch.  We have had a lot of rain this morning but the afternoon was bright and clear though somewhat damp underfoot.  A few showers are expected in places tonight.  The system making its way towards us, designated Potential Tropical Cyclone two, is forecast to begin affecting us in earnest on Monday afternoon and into the early hours of Tuesday morning.  A rough seas bulletin has already been issued.  The latest track takes the storm between Tobago and Barbados but the system will most likely bring widespread flooding, landslides and some damage to roofs in both islands.   We should all be taking the precautions necessary for ensuring that we remain safe and dry over the next few days.  Grenada and its dependencies are also under tropical storm watch.  The Government of Barbados has also issued warnings to its citizens.

- Tropical Storm Warning
  • By Buffalo Soldier <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Jun 2017 22:41:37 -0300
Hi everyone,

Well it's official Tobago is under TS Warning. I have had my eyes on this system from inception.

Tomorrow is Labour Day. It's a public holiday but I am going to get some supplies, prepare and pray for the best.

Today there was rain with very strong winds and a tree went down in the west of Tobago which made the road impassable. I wonder if this is a sign of things to come.

Anyway stay safe and have a good night. Keeping my eyes closely on the weather.


- On the lookout
  • By Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Sat, 17 Jun 2017 13:55:34 +0000 (UTC)
Yesterday, Friday, saw heavy, continuous  showers in south Trinidad that, coming on the heels of a public holiday (Thursday's Corpus Christi) and preceding another public holiday on Monday (Labour Day), kept many school children away from classes.  By early afternoon, the sun had come out and we had no more rain despite the still lingering cloudiness.  There was no rain here in San Fernando last night and this morning we have had just a light shower to start the day.
Meanwhile, the radio and television stations are advising that we are on the lookout for the approaching invest 92L which should begin impacting on us by Monday or Tuesday.  Regardless of storm development, heavy rainfall can and will probably cause widespread flooding.  Not good news for farmers, home and business owners and commuters who have to bear what is, at the very least, awful inconvenience and is, in practice, crop and property loss and even sometimes loss of life.  Clogged drains and waterways and irresponsible and illegal re-routing of rivulets and building-related earth removals as well as deforestation play havoc with us every year.  
Public awareness of these issues is increasing and there have been moves to clear drains in flood-prone areas but we will continue to pay for our environmental sins for some time in the future.
On the bright side, the plants are loving the rain and Nature is lavishing her loveliness and her bounty upon us.  May we truly appreciate the roles we are called upon to play in the wonder of creation.

- Crescendo Impact - 12 hrs. - 72 hrs. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 9 Jun 2017 05:15:17 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

There is, as Isabel (and others ) noted
a tendency now for Tropical Waves 
to rise after 50 West Longitude
and strike us with little notice with heavy rain.

Another three TW's are on the way !
Depending on (as usual) wind-shear and SAL,
one of the next TW's 'may form into an LPS',
over The Eastern Caribbean.

A TW or LPS is not a 'graphical traveler',
it's 'hot ocean temperatures boiling'.
And finding right conditions.
Circular or Cyclonic Convection can happen anywhere
and at any time in summer. 
It is not a pigeon-hole hazard.

Will the vulnerable nations please take note and prepare.
Highly-trained personnel and animals
risk their lifes to save lifes.

God Bless

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- Grey skies
  • By Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Jun 2017 02:57:12 +0000 (UTC)
Grey skies all of today.  Rain intermittent.  Looks like we may have some more rain tonight.  

- Tropical wave (Impacting) not an LPS
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 5 Jun 2017 18:02:26 -0400
Trinidadians/Tobagonians, &/People of Paradise,

I am sorry to be late in forecasting this 
more than inclement weather we had last night and whole day today.
(For some probably political reason, my normal feed wasn't working.)


Tropical wave extends from 06N57W to 13N55W moving W 10-15 kt. 
This weak has become more convectively active during the past 24
hours as it moves beneath the western periphery of an upper level
anticyclone centered near 10N43W. This is providing for enhanced
upper level diffluence and scattered moderate convection from 
06N-12N between 52W-63W...influencing Trinidad and Tobago...and
also the southern Windward Islands.
Waves will be no more than six feet.
Winds (even gusts) will not be more than 22 - 27 mph.
Precipitation However !
(Barring what has transpired so far (until 6:00 p.m. Monday) )
Will be in excess of two (02) inches!!!
That two inches will NOT be localized or 'scattered' as they like to say !!!!

Let's pray some sobriety returns to weather resources, ....

Until then,

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- Dry and hot start to hurricane season in Trinidad
  • By Christine Westmaas <chrisalis1003 at yahoo.co.uk>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Jun 2017 00:50:35 +0000 (UTC)
Today was very hot and dry.  We have had a few showers off and on over the past few days but the start of the hurricane season here has been quite unremarkable apart from the heat.

- Update! - NHC says Impact within 24 hrs. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 27 May 2017 05:33:58 -0400
People of Paradise,

This is where we are at,
at 05:30 a.m. Saturday morning
240 miles away from Tobago.

[see attached: ]

This link shows explicitly wind-shear.
This is not normal.

Notice also how the wind shear is breaking up the SAL
at 20 N. 60 W.

Stay Safe and Sound
God Bless

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- Potent LPS Forming - 3 days away -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 26 May 2017 02:41:11 -0400
Glencoe, Carenage,
Diego Martin,
T&T, W.I.
2017-05-26th. Friday

Dear People of Paradise,

The Spring Semester has been completed and 
graduation if not already taken place, is on our minds.
There is a whole beautiful world out there!


A tropical wave located in the W Atlc has an axis extending from 
11N47W to 03N50W. The wave is moving W 20 to 25 kt. The wave is 
located in an area of moderate wind shear. TPW imagery shows the 
wave is situated in an area of deep layer moisture. Scattered 
moderate and isolated strong convection is present from 07N to 11n
between 46W and 50W.
With some experience under my belt,
I will say, 
"This one is the first one with signs of 'trouble'."
(If only because of its strength and singularity 
in slightly above normal inhibiting circumstances.)
I assure you the animated graphics will make this 
quite evident by Sunday night.

Once again, to use the word, 'Synchronicity'.
Miracles, Phenomenae and Lucky Coincidences
are not part of First Responders Lifes.
There is no shortcuts in 'Emergencies'.
There is a 'time and place, reason and season',
for everything under the sun.

Now at graduation time and summer holidays.
Let's synchronize our plans and preparations.
(For whether we each realize it nor not).
Each of us have a part to play in the 
'Formation of The next National Budget'.

God Bless

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- Haitian Solidarity
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 16 May 2017 21:31:00 -0400
Qu'a-t-il arrive en Haiti?

Je ne comprends pas aucune!

Ditez-nous, ..., s'il est necesaire
Nous sommes prets, ....

Dieu Vous Benisse !!!!!

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- TW, not an LPS -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 14 May 2017 06:35:47 -0400
So far, So good,
People of Paradise,

If you would allow me to  pat myself on the shoulder,
"Everything went as said (at the bottom level)."
Things went better than expected.

We now have an imminent Tropical Wave.
This is not an LPS.
(I will prefer not to say it, 
but seems to have more rain and less wind.)

Stay Safe and Sound,

God Bless

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- 1st Eastern Caribbean Impact - 1 1/2 Days -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 May 2017 06:00:27 -0400
Fellow People of Paradise,

One saw the 'scissors-tail' bird of North America,
(during winter, the largest in The Caribbean)
going into the third week of April.

As sure as science,
This meant we had a late 'Spring'.
In my new location, I can spot anything in the sky
between the North Coast and The Gulf of Paria.
However I am pitted between two 400' ft. plus hills.
Running North to South.

- T'dad & T'bgo can expect Impact of a LPS in 36 hrs.
- At 05:00 a.m. it was approx. = 10 N. and 55 W.
- Formerly guided by North - West Wind Flow 15 - 25 mph.
- In the last two hours, more guided by 
South West Wind Flow and dissipation of SAL. (land to sea breeze).
- Winds are higher than its strength. 15 - 25 mph. (gusting to possible 32mph.)
- Waves will on average peak at 08' ft.
- Precipitation is too early to tell as it has now exited The ITCZ. (SAL is present.)
- It would not hurt Guadeloupe, Dominica and Martinique to include themselves.

Stay Safe and Sound
God Bless

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- Agree! 1st. TW intransit, ... -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 8 May 2017 11:30:04 -0400
I agree with all forecasts and
think that there is something out there
in The Central Atlantic.

I don't know and nobody knows.

But my guess is;
"It will pummel into South America
not even affecting Grenada."

- More than 3 days away -

God Bless

- Forecast for Trinidad & Tobago
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 4 May 2017 05:38:04 -0400
Good People of Paradise,

More due to a High-Pressure Ridge than SAL 
(in the wind-flow that hazardous precipitation comes from).
The possible beginning of the wet-season
I predicted to happen yesterday Wednesday.
Has turned out to be a non-event of heavy rain 
for less than three minutes once in a day.

According to NHC,
Any hazardous precipitation would begin Saturday morning.

Once again,
That does not mean rain will not fall or
We should not be prepared, ....

God Bless and pray for the young adults doing exams, ....

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- Steady, Set and Get Ready -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 30 Apr 2017 00:34:18 -0400
Hello, to all People of Paradise,

This 'post' may be long and ambiguous.
Nothing about Flora and Fauna, sun, sand and surf, in it.
(Phew) !
Based on:
Low-Level and High-Level, Clouds
Dark/Grey and White,  Clouds
The pattern of breezes and winds 
(over the so-called 'dry-season'.)

"I was going to post that indications are that 
the 'wet-season' will start in earnest, BY Wednesday morning."
(At least for Trinidad.)
Then I did my research and have attached scientific proof of same.

Then there's also NHC,

Widely scattered moderate convection is along the ITCZ from 04S-05N
between 30W-54W.

This is not a last-minute call to action!

Get ready to put on your boots 
and put your shoulders to the wheel.

To emphasize,
"That was no normal dry season."

Stay safe and sound.

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- Happy Easter -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 14 Apr 2017 06:12:15 -0400
I think this is VERY accurate.

Have a Happy Easter in Paradise, Everyone ,  . . . !

(The ITCZ has reached the Caribbean 
and 10 N. Latitude.) = 'Rain'.

An area of low pressure of 1011 mb resides south of 
the occluded front near 25N69W with a surface trough that extends
from the low to 24N64W to the Virgin Islands near 18N64W.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are from 23N to 28N between
63W and 71W, and from 19N to 30N between 53W and 62W. Scattered
showers are elsewhere within 90 nm of the stationary front. Fresh
to strong east to northeast winds are occurring north of the
occluded front. Dissipating high pressure centered near 35N14W 
covers the eastern Atlantic. Over the next 24 hours new low 
pressure will develop to the northeast of the current low, and the
current low will become absorbed by the new low as the entire
system moves northeast over the central Atlantic early this 
weekend. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will 
accompany this broad system.
Happy Easter 

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- Feeling the dry season
  • By Buffalo Soldier <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 26 Mar 2017 21:52:25 -0300
Hi everyone

Well here in Tobago it appears that the dry season has now began to show itself. The last significant rainfall experienced was on the 10th of March. It rained light to moderately for about 6 hours. Since then rain showers have been few and when they occur they are very light.

As a result the grasses are beginning to die and trees are losing their leaves. All the greenery around is limp and looks quite thirsty. We have even started sprinkling the garden.

The days are hot and the nights are warm. There was a 50/50 chance of precipitation this weekend  but last night there was just a sprinkle.  At present its currently about 25 degrees and the  night is clear with lots of stars out.

I have included a couple of pics. The mango tree behind the kitchen is flourishing despite the weather and I intend to make good use of them and the other is just a pic of today's hot weather.

I'm off and  I wish everyone a pleasant night.

By the way, my name no longer appears next to my email because my husband has without my permission made  changes to my account. Sorry about that.


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- Eternal Vigilance -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 26 Mar 2017 03:23:17 -0400
Dear People of Paradise,

This morning, (tonight), Sunday 26th March 2017
we have a distinctly sub-tropical low-pressure system evolving, ....

It's located somewhere around 25 N. and 71 W.

As usual for this writer, ..., let's not see if it will be
- the first named storm
- sub-tropical or tropical
- plot its trek (with apathy and denial).

"Let's be our brothers' keeper."

Continuing, ...
My take is, - It will dip about three (03) degrees south 
in its passage eastward for about 36 - 48 hours 
before veering off into the Atlantic. 
(This based on Barometric pressures and wind-flow).

My (minimum low point) view takes it:
Affecting  Bahamas, most of all,
Hispaniola (already),
and close contact with the tip of Cuba.

It's not a guessing game, but the fact is we know little or nothing.

Pray and Watch for The 2017 Season

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- At Ease -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 21 Mar 2017 01:41:28 -0400
Fair Friends of Paradise,

Yesterday, Monday 20th March 2017 marked the beginning of Spring!

Weather is Lovely !

(It is not March weather but plain and simple),
The weather yesterday was Lovely !

If you check the graphics, (animated or otherwise),
today, Tuesday's Precipitation is the first time
in its northward voyage the ITCZ
bears waters on the Caribbean.

Nothing significant, only recorded for the sake of 'Prosperity'.

One can 'hazard' a guess that Easter will be fair-weather!
Start planning your vacation, .....

God Bless

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- Perilous vs Pretty
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 17 Mar 2017 05:54:40 -0400
People of Paradise,

"There is a fine line between 'perilous and pretty'."

I am leaving other more reliable evidence of how 
to treat this weekend.
One is the written word. The other a graphic (attach'd.).

It will be remiss of me to not mention that we are actively 
'our brother's keeper' in the case of Dominica and The Caribbean.
We therefore urge you to do likewise.

Here goes, ...

An upper-level anticyclonic circulation is centered over NW Venezuela
near 09N68W providing much of the basin with southwesterly to 
westerly flow aloft. An upper-level trough over the western 
Atlantic supports a frontal system that enters the the western
Caribbean as a stationary front from the Windward Passage near 
20N74W to the coast of Nicaragua near 15N83W. Isolated showers 
are occurring within 100 nm on either side of the front. Moderate
to fresh trades are expected through the overnight hours into 
Friday east of the front, while fresh to strong northeast winds 
will prevail across the northwest Caribbean west of the front. The
overall pressure gradient supporting these winds is expected to 
relax by Sunday.


Southwesterly flow aloft over the island in addition to a
stationary front analyzed across the Windward Passage region is 
providing for isolated showers across the island and the adjacent
coastal waters. The front is expected to drift very slowly eastward
through Friday night with isolated showers accompanying fresh to 
strong northeast winds to the west of the boundary.

Fare Well, ...
God Bless

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- Wet Wet Wet
  • By Buffalo Soldier <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 7 Mar 2017 21:26:09 -0400
Hi all

It has been a while. The weather of late according to my husband can only be described as a farmer's paradise. It has been unseasonably wet. 

Usually at this time of the year we find ourselves struggling to find grass for the sheep and having to sprinkle the garden but so far the grass remains  fresh and green and the garden is holding up well on its own. Even those trees that would lose their leaves are still full of leaves. 

It seems that for this week trade winds are responsible for that moisture that is triggering the rain. It is expected to produce light to moderate showers at intervals up until Friday. The winds are also whipping up the seas. A rough seas bulletin is also in effect until Friday. From where I live you can imagine how that sea roars and tumbles.

Are we in for a wetter than normal dry season? Well so far it's panning out that way but we will wait and see. 

This year our pigeon peas crop is truly flourishing. We have picked and shelled so much and yet there is more. This peas is great stewed with coconut along with some dumplings. Which my family had on Carnival Tuesday. In Trinidad and Tobago around carnival time one must have pigeon peas. I have included a couple pics of our pigeon peas.

I am off so everyone have a safe and restful night and enjoy the wet weather. I certainly am.😀

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- More of the Same
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 6 Mar 2017 02:52:54 -0400
Hello to all the People of Paradise,

It's Monday morning and Saturday gone,
and partly Friday and Sunday, yesterday,
we had unusual RAIN. Unusual for the season.
But not unusual for the year so far and Global Warming.

I would like to say at this graveyard hour with 
evidence to back it up.

There will be more of the same today and tomorrow.

"It will only be hazardous, if you allow it to be."

God Bless

- Festivity and Flowers (The Joy of Pro-Creation)
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 25 Feb 2017 07:58:20 -0400
Happy Festivity, People of Paradise,

Let's take a break-off of
Hazard Preparation,
Prevention, Management
and Amelioration to celebrate

Pro - Creation

Pictures attached
( I don't have to pluck them
and bring them in the new house).
They are everywhere.

Everything in Moderation, ....

God Bless, No Man can curse!

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- Valentine's Day
  • By Kelly Kerr <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 14 Feb 2017 22:27:28 -0400
Hi all
Just a quick post to wish the entire stormcarib family and all those who visit the site a happy Valentine's Day.

I hope that everyone enjoyed a day full of love and I hope that this love lasts for the rest of the year.

Bye and enjoy what is left of this day of love. Stay safe.😍

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- Re: Precipitation, Wave Heights (Avg.), Tidal Levels, Wind Speeds and Gusts, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 9 Feb 2017 04:28:10 -0400
Glencoe, T&T, W.I.
2017-02-09th. Thu.
04 : 10 a.m.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Night,
People of Paradise, 

"Are you enjoying the Carnival 2017 build-up?"

(This weekend is Steel Orchestras Semi-Finals !!!!!)
{ For those who don't know this is a district war of dance, rhythm, and music, sex and debauchery }

May the best loser enjoy themselves, .... EVERYBODY WINS !

While precipitation may not be hazardous,
because of low barometric pressures 
that hamper cyclonic travel.
The distance of the ITCZ.
The Overwhelming presence of SAL.

Wave Height averages and 'd odd roller' or 'bomb',
Definitely, WINDS, (which we have already had to deal with),
are going to increase. (20 - 25 kts. gusting to 45 kts.).
{Great help to pick early fruits and produce!}
By the way,
Dry season winds help fertilize and plant the land.

(this time, when I predict a 'hazard',
I have included scientific evidence.)

God Bless

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- The dry season begins
  • By Kelly Kerr <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Feb 2017 21:13:05 -0400
Hi all,
It has been a while. Well the dry season officially began on Tuesday 31st January. I got this info from the local met office. The dry season is expected to have normal rainfall and some record breaking hi temps are also expected.

Here in Tobago we have been affected all week long by trade winds. As a result seas have been choppy to very rough and bulletins have been issued. At present there is a fisherman missing at sea and there is a massive search on. I pray for his safe return.

The trade winds have also given us light to moderate showers every afternoon for the past week . On Thursday afternoon after a light shower I saw three snails. Two large ones and a very small baby that I have never seen before. Later that night we experienced heavy rains and gusty winds overnight.

The weather is fine so far and the days are beginning to get really hot and the nights are definitely getting warmer. I have included a few pics.

1. A wildflower _ the sheep do not even eat this plant. 
2. The bay leaf tree in our front yard _ it's one of about three and it's probably about 12 feet tall
3. Rough lemons from the tree in the back yard_ they make an excellent drink 

Well I am off for the night and I hope that everyone has a safe and restful night.

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- Wet January
  • By Kelly Kerr <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 22 Jan 2017 20:57:55 -0400
Hi all,
Another week begins and soon we say goodbye to January . How time flies. This past week weather-wise has been quite fine and fair. No rain to shout about and the bitter cold has been abating a bit. 

This morning it rained for almost half of the day. It rained so much that the weep holes on the back wall were actually weeping. This only happens when the earth is really saturated. This has been quite a wet January and I heard on the weather news that the dry season has not officially stated as yet. It has also been predicted that this is going to be a wet dry season  so I wait to see what will actually happen.

Schools are all closed in Tobago tomorrow due to the THA elections. The THA is the body that governs the island of the Tobago. I am actually going to be working tomorrow as an election official at a polling station. So my day starts from 4am and ends when the last vote is counted and all ends tied up. It's a lot of work but I love the volunteer work. It gives me a chance to do something besides teaching. I have been working as a teacher since leaving school at 18. I have been teaching all my life.

I have included some pics of the rains today. I saw a snail last night so I should have known it would rain . I am off for the night as tomorrow is indeed going to be a long day. Have a safe and wonderful night.

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- Off the beaten track, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 03:58:44 -0400
Glencoe, T&T, W.I.
2017-01-17th Tue.

Good Morning, Good Day, Good Everything,
People of Paradise,

The pools and rapids of the river in my new location 
keep calling me. The beauty and healing 
can't be matched by the dangers 
everyone seems concerned about.

I have tried my best to capture in photos.
But it is a big 'fail'. Because one cannot capture 
a white butterfly like a moth playing with you 
and landing on your shoulder twice 
and the feelings it provokes. (Attached).

In the meantime, I missed my mark, (weatherwise).
First, there was a low-pressure system, (to make a joke),
"that started mid-Atlantic, off the Bahamas 
and worked its way to the Caribbean".
(I know, not funny.)
Then we had precipitation in 'my' dry spell.
Night - time precipitation, day- time precipitation. 
Haphazard precipitation, haphazard weather !
Thirdly, I don't know if its because there is so little cloud cover
but, IT HAS BEEN COLD ! Colder than usual !
Complete with mozzies. (So still need the fan). (Sweater & Comforter) !

Usually, the images attached show 
there will be heavy rain within 36 hours.

But its 2017, and anything can happen.

God Bless

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- Cool days and cold nights
  • By Kelly Kerr <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 15 Jan 2017 21:40:15 -0400
Hi all I haven't written for about a week. I have been quite busy this week as school reopened on Monday. I am a teacher by profession so I have just been trying to settle back into the routine. Even after 20 years it's tough going back to work after the holidays.

Anyway the weather for this past week was very wet here in Tobago . From Monday right through to Wednesday it rained a lot and the days were so cold. No dry spells as talked about by Ian or probably not yet.

There have been some record low temps in Trinidad  but Tobago has also been freezing at night but no records have been broken. I have to say that I grew up in the neighbouring village called Mt. St. George and my home was next to  the river and this time of the year was very cold. There was always heavy dew on the cars and you could see the mist coming up from the river early morning. I have been married and living here in Studley Park for 10 years and this is the coldest weather I have ever experienced. It reminds me of being back home. My husband made the comment that there is winter in Tobago this year.  Everyone is feeling the chill.

This Christmas was also the wettest I can remember experiencing. There is a cold front to pass over Tobago which is suppose to cause a few showers but so far none has shown up. This entire weekend was fine and clear but cool during the day. There is also a rough seas bulletin in effect but here on the Atlantic side for the past four days including today the sea has looked like a lake. The tide is high  because the entire beach is covered but you can hardly hear the waves breaking . The sea is just so calm it looks like blue glass. Not a whitecap in sight. The Caribbean side is always calmer but I haven't visited so I do not know the conditions.

Well this weekend I washed and as usual made bread. I have included a couple pics  one is a view of the ocean from my front yard on one of the calm days. The other is of the sunset and if you look closely you can see one of our sheep. He is our latest addition we bought him about a month ago.

I am off to relax before going to bed, work beckons in the morning and it is so hard to wake up for school when at 5:45am it is cold and pitch black outside.  Well as the seasons change the sun shows itself earlier. Anyway I wish you all a peaceful and restful night.

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- Plenty room for discussion
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 9 Jan 2017 02:42:59 -0400
Mon 09th Jan 2017
Glencoe, T&T, W.I.

I am putting out for speculation and discussion.

There seems to be the hint of a 'dry-spell'
for about 9 days beginning tomorrow Tuesday.

(If I am wrong and there is precipitation,
what have we got to lose?) If after drawing this 
to meteorologists/climatologists attention 
it turns out to be so
in the Western Tropics.

It would not hurt to conserve WATER.

(Last year was the third consecutive year
on all-time record it was the hottest globally !!!)

God Bless

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- Mixed Weather
  • By Kelly Kerr <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 6 Jan 2017 22:38:19 -0400
Hi all

Today started out very warm and sunny but from midday to present it has been raining off and on. These showers are very brisk and heavy.  I even heard a slight rumble of thunder. I understand that the wind is bringing in moisture from Guyana which is causing this rain.

I must say that December was the wettest that I can remember experiencing. I understand that this dry season is expected to be wetter than normal but we will see.

Tomorrow is expected to follow as today with those brisk showers showing up from noon in varying localities. This wet trend is not forecast to continue as high pressure is building.

In between the showers today I saw a couple of my garden snails crawling about. These snails are not the African Snails that are currently wreaking havoc in Trinidad. These are snails that are indigenous to Tobago. They are harmless as they feed on dead vegetation and plants, we often see them in the garden but they never seem to harm the crops. They are poisonous, so eating them is not an option. They are very common in the backyard and at times you have to be careful how you walk. There can be half a dozen of them out a time. All different sizes, so we have to be careful not to step on one.

As usual I have included a few pics. The first two are my families dinner tonight. I made fried bake and smoke herring. The others show the rainfall today and my garden snails.

I'm off so have a restful night.

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- Rain Rain Rain
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 6 Jan 2017 05:01:27 +0000

Trinidad Tobago


Good Morning and Happy New Year to all my StormCarib family. I pray that you all are well and dry and safe. It has been a wet start to the year in Trinidad. With rain due to the ITCZ system that has drifted more north than expected for this time of the year. Today for example we had strong showers with gusty winds throughout majority of Trinidad. The rains came down suddenly that I got soaked while at the airport today. Please don't forget to walk with your umbrellas and be blessed.


S Abouhamad

- Cold and Wet
  • By Kelly Kerr <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 5 Jan 2017 21:11:58 -0400
Hi everyone today was overcast all day without any rain, but at around 5:00pm the heavens opened and in Tobago we received two brisk but heavy showers. Those couple of showers has made the night very cold and there is a slight breeze, which just adds to the chill of the night. I am sure tonight I am going to need covers.

When I went outside after the rain I saw two of my garden snails. So we might be in for some more showers. 

The weather for tomorrow is expected to be just as today so we will see what happens.

I have included a couple pics .The first is of a lizard I saw resting on one of my flowers. In local parlance we call that lizard a "goung-goh-la-la". I do not know the scientific name. That is what my parents called it and I am just going by what I know. They are very common around homes here in the countryside.

The last pic is of bananas from my husband's garden. There are two different varieties. I am not even going to try to spell there local parlance names.

Off to do some reading, so have a goodnight all.

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- A beautiful day
  • By Kelly Kerr <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 3 Jan 2017 20:55:26 -0400
Well hi all, today was a very beautiful day. In my part of Tobago it was sunny , only blue skies all around, there wasn't even a cloud in the sky. It was breezy also so it helped to keep the temps down. I live on the Atlantic coastline of the island I am just 3 mins away from a bathable (not sure if that is a word) beach. 

So I can see the sea from my house  and it was just slightly choppy because of the wind action. Tomorrow is expected to be similar to today but there may be a few showers in the afternoon period.

Well I made use of the fine weather today and did some laundry and I also baked some bread. I learnt how from watching my mom, she always baked and hardly ever bought store made bread and I am just continuing the tradition.

I am off to do some reading and I have included a few pics of my freshly baked bread and also a view of the Atlantic from my front yard and a pic of the sun going down also from my front yard.

I wish everyone a restful and safe night.

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- Low-Moving Cold Front
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 3 Jan 2017 03:21:29 -0400
2017-01-03rd Tuesday

People of Paradise,

Welcome to the New Year, 
New Spirit, New Successes,
Filled with Life, Love and Laughter!

There is a possibility later today
and definitely tomorrow of
inclement or Hazardous weather!!

There is not much scientific evidence 
to support this however. Except a low 
(60 W. and 18 N.) cold-front edging closer.
And an ITCZ closest since the hurricane season.


Welcome Everyone
God Bless

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- First Day of 2017
  • By Kelly Kerr <kellykerr68 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 1 Jan 2017 21:03:25 -0400
Well here in Tobago it was a mostly sunny day. There were a few times when it seemed that it would rain but it just cleared away. Today, my husband, son and myself took the opportunity to drive around the countryside of Tobago.

We started from home in Studley Park and headed east through the rainforest . Of course with the merriment of the Christmas season still in the air we made a few stops to family and friends along the way.

We were back by 4:30 to feed the dogs and our many sheep. I attached a few pictures that I took along the way.

Weather wise tomorrow in Tobago is expected to be mostly sunny but at times breezy . There maybe predawn or morning showers and the temp is expected to be around 31 degrees Celsius. 

Well I haven't seen any of my garden snails lately so I guess there will be no rain. Whenever I see a garden snail at night or early morning, it always rains after. Trust me they are my meteorologist. I will share some pics of them at a later time.

I wish you all a restful and peaceful night.

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