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- WOW -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 28 Aug 2016 19:08:48 -0400
Good Evening and Good Night,
People of Paradise,

Pre-Hermine is now TD #9.
The Carolinas apparently were lost for attention. 🤔

Back to TD #9, "To me" it looks like,
It took a drastic dip south of South Florida.
I don't know! But,
I tried to express myself by the graphic attached.

In my admiration for Dr. Jeff Masters,
I admire and follow Bob Henson as well.

He has provided a very interesting forecast 
in the other graphic.

Last Note:
I hope I am wrong but the LPS coming out of Africa,
will be between 40 - 50 W. Longitude in 72 hours.

May Almighty God Bless US


Attachment: Capture TD 9 at 620pm sun28th aug 2016 - dipped south of south Florida -.PNG
Description: PNG image

Attachment: wpc-5-day-8.28.16 Bob Henson Report - Sun 28th Aug.jpg
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- Pre-Hermine
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 27 Aug 2016 03:58:37 -0400
My God and My Lord,
People of Paradise,

This Atlantic 'El Nino' 2016 is awe-inspiring, ... !

The 'Advisory' Charts are like checker boards 
(ie. tic, tac, toe) with lots of X's and O's, ...
The satellite images are a lot of swirls,
(the closest imagery I can use in English)
like a hawk or falcon or eagle pouncing on a dove 
and creating a swirl of feathers! 

High-Level, Low-Level, Surface Circulation, Cyclonic System,
they are all there everyday, .... (Since January as a matter of fact.)

For this one and only time, I am going to be totally superstitious.

"If you can't see the relationship between:
Humanity, Nature, God, Prayer, and Fasting (hard-work and selflessness),
then I will eat the dog food and cook my lunch  for the dog and strays."

Whatever about religion and superstition,
Pre-Hermine and a few others have been 'Phenomenally Merciful' !

God Bless



Attachment: 27th August (Saturday) 2016 - NHC.png
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- Praise God -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 25 Aug 2016 02:35:53 -0400
Hearty and Cherry Good Morning,
To The Eastern Side of Paradise,

(Yawn)
(I finally got some sleep.)

Thank God we got over it !

Now:
Now !
Now, let join hearts and hands
to wish The Turks and Caicos and Bahamas
THE SAME REPRIEVE !!!

Talking about Mercy,
I wonder if Louisiana knows something worse 
can hit them.

Thank God, (every minute) !

- I know trouble is coming towards us this time
  • By Andrea Sorrillo <andrea_tt at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 10:34:33 +0000

The placed was cold and suddenly got dark. 


- 5:00 a.m. - Full Impact -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 05:14:43 -0400
The LPS is not going to let up for another 2 - 6 hours !!!!!

Stay in a safe place and keep calm !!!

You are hurt and injured, even if it's only your nerves,
but,
1) There are people less fortunate than you.
2) Anything else will be worse, ... !!!!!

If it keeps a centre in the hot sun,
Puerto Rico and its Dependencies are in for trouble !
6 - 8 hours of Trouble !
It is determined to form a centre between Guadeloupe and Montserrat.

There are a lot of things you can do during a storm:
Draughts
Checkers
Dominos
Cards
Read
Cell Phones
Learn Survival Skills first-hand.

But maybe the best thing to do and bond with children 
for along time is 'keep a diary', an ongoing diary.

I have been, I am and I will be standing by, ....

- 12:30 a.m. - Antigua - 12:30 a.m.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 00:58:18 -0400
A N T I G U A

STAY INDOORS
&
CALL FOR HELP !

Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, St. Barts,
Anguilla,  British and US Virgin Islands and all others,
North and West of Guadeloupe, ....

Stay Indoors and Call for HELP !

DO NOT PANIC
for identifiable, trained and Equipped personnel 
will HELP YOU.

If you are unsafe,

Call the authorities for HELP, NO ONE ELSE !
In the meantime stay Indoors.

If you are indoors and your life is threatened,
Stay Indoors, and wait there till help comes,
Or,
Is brought to YOU.

THE AUTHORITIES WILL BE IDENTIFIABLE !

No one else !

If you are safe but uncomfortable and need advice,
CALL FOR HELP,
But not the emergency numbers.

Eg. Local/Community Aldermen
Hospitals,
Fire Services,
Approved Organisations.

If you can't communicate,
CALL FOR HELP,
anyway possible in the form of a chain or bucket brigade, ....

Standing by

- Much Too Slow Moving !!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2016 22:04:26 -0400
My estimate is from 2:30 p.m. today Tuesday,
it will take 28 hours for this system to leave us alone.
That is 6:30 p.m. tomorrow Wednesday.

I am going for my second cold shower for the day now.

STAY CALM
God Bless

Attachment: Capture at 900pm 23rd aug - Full Impact -.PNG
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Attachment: Capture at 930pm 85miles from Antigua 23rd aug.PNG
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Attachment: 23rd aug 915pm full impact starts.jpg
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- Standby -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2016 15:13:36 -0400
People of Paradise,

I had lunch one hour ago and 
while eating bananas and oranges 
for dessert brought in the dry clothes 
off the lines. (Baked Food).

I haven't a clue what the Hurricane Hunters found.
But if, as they should be, 
'devil's advocates on pronouncements'.
they will not pronounce 'Depression'.

My take is,
Winds: 20 mph. in the centre extending out 125 miles.
Seas: 7' - 11' From 350 miles moving inwards.
Precipitation: VARIABLE 'specially during the night',
BUT NO LESS THAN 1 1/2" INS. FROM 350 - 500 MILES OUT.
A centre of Depression may form north or south of Puerto Rico.
From 2:30 p.m. today Tuesday, it will last three (03) days.

My point is;
I am on standby and awake for the next probable 48 hours.

G o d     B l e s s 

Attachment: Capture at 230pm 23rd august.PNG
Description: PNG image


- Keep Calm -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2016 02:47:08 -0400
Stay Calm

We are all in this together, ...

Let's support each other?


WITHOUT TAKING ANY FURTHER RISKS !

Attachment: 23rd aug 115am infrared.jpg
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Attachment: 23rd aug 0130am radar map.PNG
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Attachment: 23rd aug 130am satellite.jpg
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Attachment: 23rd aug NHC Map.png
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Attachment: Capture 550 miles away 23rd aug 0130am.PNG
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- Let's keep it SIMPLE !!?
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2016 11:37:40 -0400
The attached graphic is my 'take' or 
forecast as regards minimum preparedness, ...

The Characteristics of 99L (at present) is as follows;
- Winds 15 - 25 mph. consistently.
- Waves 7' - 9' Ft.
- Diameter of 20 mph. winds :=
  = From 75 miles north of Guadeloupe to 200 miles west of Guyana coast.
- Barometric pressure at current status at landfall. 1009 millibars. 'Storm'.

You have to get prepared and pray like last year for SAL, Wind-Shear, and
God's Intercession as seen in the role of Authorities and Life - Savers.

Stay Safe and Sound
God bless

Attachment: 21st aug 72 hour forecast (Tuesday Night).gif
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- ITCZ/Tropical Wave with Impact upon T&T
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2016 14:29:30 -0400
People of Paradise,

By tonight, early tonight,
Trinidad and Tobago will feel the persistent fall of rain,
first in heavy spurts,
then rough seas, and gusts between 25 - 35 mph.

I don't know for the other islands.

My guess, I repeat, my guess is;
"Whatever conditions greet us tomorrow foreday morning,
will persist for the next two weeks."

My guess, once again, is that;
As a blanket statement for the Eastern Caribbean,
seas will be un-friendly,
from tomorrow morning, ....
6' - 7' ft. waves will be the order of the day.
Sometimes even in the West Coasts. (3' - 4' ft.)

I strongly urge everyone to start their preparation 
from now for a train of events, ....

Stay Safe and Sound !!!!


Attachment: 17th aug 0200am.GIF
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Attachment: 17th aug 2016 (0400am).PNG
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Attachment: 18th aug 115pm.jpg
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- Prepare! Rather than Panic Purchase, ....!!!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 16 Aug 2016 15:08:12 -0400
1) There is a weak Tropical Wave upon us now !!

2) This image is a distinct possibility.

Inline image 1

Whether or Not !!!!
3) The attached picture of SAL
shows a Train of LPS's heading this way, ....

Pray and Prepare, ....


Attachment: 16th aug 200pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Impact tonight south of Guadeloupe
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2016 16:55:46 -0400
Pleasant Pleasantries,
People of Paradise,

Tropical wave axis extends from 07N52W to 14N52W moving W at 10-15 kt.
The wave coincides with subtle 700 mb troughing between 51W-57W
and a maximum in 850 mb relative vorticity in the vicinity of
the wave axis near 10N as depicted in the global models. An
upper trough associated with an upper low at 20N55W is helping
to enhance moderate to isolated strong convection from 09N-11N
within 120 nm west of the wave axis.
This wave is well expressed above.

Added to that,
Because it is slow moving, THE BOTTOM LINE is,
- less than 2' ins. of rain south of Guadeloupe (until Monday morning).
- No breeze - gusting not over 22mph.
- To describe the seas - CALM -

Attached you will see no wind shear till it reaches us.
Copious SAL (Dry Air).
The next wave is a killer. (see SAL).
But may end up in The Atlantic.

God Bless


Attachment: 13th aug 200pm.jpg
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Attachment: 13th aug 345pm.jpg
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- Hope is on The Horizon -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Aug 2016 16:32:39 -0400
Tomorrow morning, 
where St. Lucia is concerned.
IT WILL ALL BE OVER !!!

GOD BLESS !

- Latest, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Aug 2016 12:31:12 -0400
Attached is the system's position at 11:30 a.m.

"We started having thunder and rain in Diego Martin, Trinidad."

(that is between 12:00 - 12:20 p.m.)

Attachment: Capture at 1130am Thursday 11th August 2016 (8hrs rain-St Lucia).PNG
Description: PNG image


- It's Not Over !!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Aug 2016 10:13:44 -0400
Included are graphics to show what can happen!

In other words,

It is not over !!!

EXPECT IT TO CONTINUE, ....

Boil Water !!!!!!

(Even bathing your skin might scratch in severe cases.)

Don't eat fallen fruit and food (animals) and BOIL WATER !
In an emergency, as a quick solution, put chlorine (bleach) in the water.

LISTEN TO THE AUTHORITIES, .... !!!!!!!

Attachment: Thursday 11th August 2016 - 0915am - (Lingering Nature) - (Commencement 445a.jpg
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Attachment: Capture 0915am St Lucia Thu 11th Aug.PNG
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- First Response
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Aug 2016 08:38:47 -0400
Thanks,
Humble Thanks Mrs. Beckwith,
for informing us of ongoing conditions.

What you describe is 'hurricane wetness'.
MINUS THE BREEZE
When everything is said and done,
EVERYTHING IS GOING TO BE MOIST
Even what you have in plastic.
For people less fortunate than you,
They would not be able to catch a nap
Without dry blankets.

About napping, ....

One cannot describe the amount of work that has to be done after!!

BUT, - ,NAPPING IS JUST AS IMPORTANT !!!!
Not just for the nerves.

Standing by, ....
God Bless

- St. Lucia & Martinique
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Aug 2016 04:34:32 -0400
I am not sleeping.

We are standing by, ....

God be with YOU All !

- Not so soon !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 8 Aug 2016 20:35:43 -0400
Good Day, Good Night, People of Paradise,

I am here to report that everything is safe and sound 
and we don't only wish all those affected well 
but standby in readiness.

I prognosed at least a week of reprieve, ....
And whether the chicken came first or the egg,
so did a lot of other people.

Well! There is something with an Impact time of 
Thursday morning / Wednesday night.

Just like the typical secondary stage of a tropical blob
it flared up out of nowhere.
It seems to be exiting the ITCZ (at 50 W.).
It's circular and sizable.
It's origin and exit is circumstantial proof. (To be wary)!

One thing I know, I am not missing tonight's sleep over it !

God Bless

- One more (98L) to go, then REPRIEVE !!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 5 Aug 2016 03:20:11 -0400
Non-highlighted 98L has started to impact south Trinidad.

Ex-96L as I hope you recognized and heeded is exiting Guadeloupe.

In less than 24 hours if it maintains character 98L will have 
35 mph. wind gusts but less rain than ex-96 L.
The problem with this last one is,
It has been so strong and thru difficult circumstances,
It can change (intensify) (specially in localized areas),
in the puff of a breath !

I AM NOT A DESIGNATED AUTHORITY:

Due to;
- Inundation from three back to back
- Lack of SAL and Wind Shear
- Character sustained thus far.

If the authorities concur with standby first responders,
some type of VOLUNTARY evacuation to safer areas 
should be provided.

Eg. Dominica, Grenada, / Moruga, Toco and Tobago in Trinidad.

Then Reprieve, ....

Stay safe and sound, ...

- ex-96L - 48 hrs.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 3 Aug 2016 00:35:35 -0400
My Dear People of Paradise,

There are three Tropical Low-Pressure-Systems in the picture!!!
WE HAVE NOT DODGED THE BULLET !
TS 'Earl' is the very first (1st.) Invest from Cabo Verde for 2016 !
And boy oh boy, has he done some amazing things, ....
Once again we express full support where needed, ...

Ex-96L is not what you see in graphical images.
As soon as she comes out of wind shear 
200 miles from the Eastern Caribbean
you will see what I mean?

Ex-96L is much more organized and stronger and
fought rigorous SAL (Dry Air).
It is also more south.
Where as Earl exited the ITCZ at 38 - 40 W. Longitude,
Ex-96L is still partly in the ITCZ at 46 - 48 W. Longitude.

It's circulation in time lapse has always been more pronounced than 'Earl'.

Then again, who knows!

God Bless


Attachment: 2nd aug 800pm.jpg
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Attachment: 2nd aug 816pm.gif
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Attachment: 'Earl' - 96L.jpg
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- Solidarity and Support, ....
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 3 Aug 2016 00:12:43 -0400
This humble correspondent, will like to join
his brothers and sisters of 'what-we-call Paradise'
in expressing full and uncompromising support
to all those affected and that may be affected 
in the future by TS 'Earl'!

To those who lost their lifes, ...,
I wish you Peace, Perfect Peace,
in a Land where you will worry no more, ....

May Their Souls and The Souls of The Faithful Departed,

Rest In Peace, .....

- Good Morning, ..., Praise God !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 31 Jul 2016 08:45:01 -0400
P/Vly, D'go M'rtn,
T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.
2016/07/31st-08:35a.m.

The ole man is not what he used to be.
I am not as strong as before, ...!
I fell asleep at about 3:50 a.m.
Just as Martinique was getting 
a serious pounding, ...???
And I got up half hour ago 
when it exited Dominica and posed itself 
as a Depression west of Martinique!!!

Thank God Anguilla and the other 
drought - stricken areas got rain, ...

And will continue to get.

God Bless
Thank YOU, LORD !

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- Attention, Dominica !!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2016 23:29:41 -0400
The latest:

There is a breakaway from the cluster 
affecting just north and east of Barbuda.

This cluster appears to be breaking up, 
(to feed the lower pressure formed 
approx. 200 miles east of Martinique!!!)
and is forming part of the inward spiral!!!

The Impact time is more or less the same!!!
Between 01:30 a.m. and 04:00 a.m. , ...,
That is the touchdown of the Centre 
as NHC always said, DUE WEST!

BESIDES HEAVY SEAS, THERE IS W I N D !!!

"I hope to God, I am wrong and it goes north of Barbuda."

WHATEVER HAPPENS, DOMINICA TREAT THIS AS
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN TWO (02) HOURS !

GOD BLESS

Attachment: Capture at 1005pm.jpg
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Attachment: 30th July 1015pm.jpg
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- Two points of Update and a 8:10 p.m Image
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2016 20:35:43 -0400
Everybody seems to be correlating, ....

There are two recent, as in the last half hour,
updates that have become more obvious as 
Impact approaches at about 02:30 a.m. tomorrow, Sunday!

One, 
is that a 'discernible or visible' cyclonic formation shape 
will be evident any time now !

Two,
is that the track is no longer ?Westward?,
but North-Westward, not even exact, west, north-west!

The Image attached was done at 20:10 (8:10) p.m. tonight.

Follow The Authorities!
Comply, don't Complain,
Stay Indoors!

God Bless

Attachment: Capture approximate Centre.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Northerly Impact Ongoing, ..., Climaxing 12 - 48 hrs.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2016 12:45:10 -0400
Be Prepared,
People of Paradise,

Ceteris Paribus:
"I assume those involved have been following 
and prepared themselves."

My take:
"Is what everyone else is saying."
Apart from that, It is outside of Trinidad's portfolio
as a primary, direct affect.
(Even though we stand by.)

This is a separate and non-low pressure wave affecting us now. 
The real one or the first one is behind. (12hrs.)
Then there's a more potent one behind that.

(My take cont'd):
The only bad part to the actual low pressure wave 
is that we will be on the bad side of the circulation!

At best (and quite possible);
The center or rather axis will pass 25 miles north or south from Anguilla.

Winds; should occasionally be 17 - 25 mph. 
Very, very seldom gusting to a little above 35 mph.
(Worst case scenario!)
Waves; will be higher than usual and dangerous!!! (Blanket!)
Some will have waves higher than 2 metres from the west coasts.!.!.
Precipitation; will be in localized areas no more than 2.5 ins.
(If Dominica (Martinique and Guadeloupe) are involved 4" inches max.

Finishing my take:
"I don't see Dominica and Puerto Rico in the life-threatening picture!"

IF ANY ISLANDS SOUTH OF GUADELOUPE ARE INVOLVED
I WILL BE UP ALL NIGHT !

STAY SAFE AND SOUND !!!!!



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- North of South -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 25 Jul 2016 05:38:20 -0400
Summer greetings to all the People of Paradise,

I was praying and praying.
I prayed that last year is not like this year.

Who knows?

But just maybe, it will be better. As at least one of 
the scourges, 'drought', has not been reported 
way into August! (Like last year?) (Thanks, aunty Jane).

My posts have been like me last year.
Forceful and to the point! Let's have a better year, please?
(These posts are generalizations and a good 
one-on-one email doesn't hurt?)

Attached; Is the pedantic stuff, .... 🤔

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A 1011 mb low is centered over the eastern Tropical Atlantic
near 13N28W, moving west at 5 kt. The low is in a very moist
area as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable Water imagery. A 700
Mb low is also noted at the same location. Scattered showers are
within 120 nm of the center. 

A tropical wave is over the western Tropical Atlantic with axis
from 20N51W to 10N51W, moving west at 25 kt.  The wave coincides
with a well defined 700 mb trough as depicted in the global
models and is within a surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI
Total Precipitable Water Imagery.  No deep convection is
observed at this time as Saharan dust is located north of 15N.
(Apparently, the weather is good for sailing back to safe harbour.)

God Bless !





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- Welcome Rain
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 20 Jul 2016 01:57:47 -0400
Hi everyone,

What a relief!
Some welcome rain is going to affect the 
entire Eastern Caribbean (and soon)!

For most it will be more than a 24 hour event!

My take, (bottom-line of preparation),
is that there is 13% - 33% chance
It may either slow down,
Dip south, (meaning westward),
or linger to become something more substantive.

It's all in the run of things 
as this one is the most northerly so far.

God Bless

Attachment: 19th july 1100pm.jpg
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- Rain Rain and More Rain
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Jul 2016 06:10:21 +0000

Good Morning to all,

As I sit at home enjoying the temperature of the atmosphere I reflect on the amount of rain that I witnessed first hand today at work. I left home yesterday in rain, I got soaked at work in the rain and I made my way home during the rain tonight. Today in Trinidad we had rain throughout the country with flash flooding being recorded in the South and Central districts. Most of our flights at the airport were delayed due to the weather conditions which hampered our operations.

Looking at the upcoming weather we are seeing that the ITCZ has dipped back south so weather conditions should settle over the next few hours. Below are a few pictures of the flooding in Trinidad.

Regards,

S Abouhamad




- Protracted Precipitation, .....
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Jul 2016 06:03:43 -0400
Hi everyone,

Trinidad (and Tobago), had rain consistently for the last two days.
Just nice refreshing rain that will make some envious.

However, today and tomorrow, the weather pattern 
may prove to be more hazardous than beneficial.

All possible factors taken into account.

God bless

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- HEAVY RAIN IN TRINIDAD
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Jul 2016 00:59:40 +0000

TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO

14/7/16



Good Evening to all readers of StormCarib. Well today was a day of rain in Trinidad. Early morning rain that was caused by the ITCZ which climbed north this morning. This heavy rainfall caused flooding in some areas.



Regards,

S Abouhamad



- Rainy Season
  • By Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 12 Jul 2016 19:51:25 +0000

Trinidad and Tobago

12/07/16



Good afternoon to all the readers of StormCarib. The rainy season is here and i am loving it. Love the sound of rain falling of the roof top as it brings a well deserved cool from the day time heating. Hope you all are getting all those hurricane supplies in order as a precaution. We gotta be ready for any threat that comes our way this year. Ensure that all water courses are cleared of all garbage cause some of these day time showers can be pretty heavy. You all be safe and enjoy.

Regards,

S Abouhamad


- Upper level vs. Lower level Circulation, and DUST !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 9 Jul 2016 18:56:57 -0400
Good Day,
My fair friends of Paradise,

Apparently in my last post I panicked over upper-level winds.
Not so apparent (to me) was the circular motion was not precipitation.
Can I hear it, for Sahara Dust!

Having gotten over that apology,
I repost NHC so there is no mistake but support.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 45W, from 16N-05N,
moving westward at 20 knots. Broad inverted troughing at 700 mb
is noted along 50W. Abundant Saharan dust and dry air continues
to surround this wave. Isolated moderate convection is from 10N-
12N between 43W-48W.  

As Isabel said the wave tonight and tomorrow early is two part 
and we have the first (broken up once again by SAL) over us now 
and should have but did not give the Leewards precipitation.

This wave is not hazardous and if it was it's moving too fast to be !

Pray for China,

Thanks,
God bless


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- I don't Understand !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 3 Jul 2016 08:41:42 -0400
P/Vly, D'go M'rtn,
T'dad. & T'bgo.
Eastern Caribbean
2016-07-03rd. Sun.
08:35 a.m.

People of Paradise,

I would love to bow out to this one.
I really would.
For the simple reason I can't understand.
Secondly nobody else is saying anything!
It will affect others more than T & T.

I ask you have I ever been one to be 'negligent'?

Inserted in this post is a link to make obvious, the obvious, ...


I really don't understand??

God Bless
(Put on YOUR Boots !)

- Surviving, close-knit and Formative system 12 - 36 hrs.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 1 Jul 2016 05:31:42 -0400
Good morning, good day, good night,
Fair Friends of Paradise,

The weather one person remarked was 'heavenly'.
First time in the rainy season, for over a week,
for the last three years, have we seen 
such 'heavenly' weather with a prospect to continue.

Almost everybody is going to Tobago, the sister isle,
to enjoy the vacation. (The Recession Vacation) ?
Cool dawn periods, midday  breezes, dry afternoon and 
night time highways, always reminded practically everyday,
with a short burst of heavy rain, that we are in the rainy season.

'Paradise' !

(Good for servicing property, plant and equipment).

The dry-air (SAL) has been omnipresent!!
Not even 'The La Nina' wind shear can compete.
Our sentiments and actual support go out to drier territories.

In the midst of all this dry air and fine weather is an approaching system.
Rather, not a system but a formative system. (12 hrs. away).
I can see why they say the Western Caribbean after July 5th 
may have some activity. This one is a 'fighter'.

Now let me see how much colors I can spot in the sky during sunrise.
While the birds sing me back to sleep.

God Bless

Attachment: 29th june 1100pm.jpg
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Attachment: 1st July 145am.jpg
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Attachment: - Maracas -.jpg
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- Simple but Heavy Convection
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 22 Jun 2016 03:54:31 -0400
Good Day, Good Night,
Fair Weather Friends
People of Paradise,

That wasn't all that bad, was it?
In addition, it is the reason we can have the beautiful
flora and fauna we have on a perennial basis.

For south Trinidad in particular, 
we can expect localized heavy convection today.
This will widen and spread to the possibility of 
flash flooding in 12 - 36 hours. Not only down south 
but up north, then to islands north of Trinidad and Tobago.

Nothing cyclonic about it! Just simple convection, ....

Attached is the north breakaway from what was over us and
another of the imminent convection.

Exercise caution in marine waters.

God Bless


Attachment: 22nd june 245am.jpg
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Attachment: Wed 22nd June 245am.jpg
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- Minor Impact - Ongoing - Peaking 12 - 24 hrs. -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 19 Jun 2016 02:55:15 -0400
Happy Father's Day,
People of Paradise,

For the Eastern Caribbean, (not just T&T),

There is an area of precipitation that started yesterday 
and runs from Trinidad to Guadeloupe 
and moving further north. 
The moisture mass has it's main axis 12 hrs. away.
Both the facts that,
Wind shear yesterday continued to dissipate it.
and,
The axis exited the ITCZ after 50 W. Longitude.
mean,
"There's absolutely no reason this should  be a mortal threat."
Just like the weather, seas are manageable if you exercise caution.

It is still early and this is a slow moving system,
so it is not advisable to let our guards down till Tuesday morning.

Now to enjoy Father's day, 
children are the most precious, rewarding and spiritually uplifting
thing that God has allowed us to procreate, ....

God Bless



Attachment: 18th june 315pm.jpg
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Attachment: 19th june 145am.jpg
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Attachment: Sat 18th June 2016 - 1515 (315) pm.jpg
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Attachment: - 2015 - 'Exody' - 2016 - July 2014 to March 2016.jpg
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Attachment: - 'Liberty' - Peter & Marian - May 2016.jpg
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- Precautions in Place, for next 4 - 5 days time, ...
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 15 Jun 2016 20:28:16 -0400
People of Paradise,

We have the following in NHC words not mine.

How you react and what you do is 
'Do a dry run and prepare! (and Pray)!'
It is not 'Paranoia'.

My forecast is The eastern Caribbean 
will have some sort of moderate to heavy 
Impact in 4 - 5 days.

...TROPICAL WAVES... 

Tropical wave in the east Tropical Atlantic extends along 26W
from 2N-10N moving west 20 TO 25 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave
coincides with a 700 mb trough noted in the global models and is
embedded within a surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total
Precipitable Water imagery. Isolated moderate convection is from
1N-6N between 26W-32W. 

Tropical wave in the central Tropical Atlantic extends from
12N43W to 5N47W moving west near 15 kt over the past 24 hours.
Wave coincides with a low amplitude 700 mb trough noted in the
global models and a surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total
Precipitable Water imagery. No associated deep convection. 

Tropical wave is inland over South America along 70W moving west
near 25 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a weak
surge of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable Water
imagery. No associated deep convection in the Caribbean waters.

Tropical wave in the western Caribbean extends along 82W/83W
south of 15N across Panama into the east Pacific region moving
west near 15 kt over the past 24 hours. Wave coincides with a
700 mb trough noted in the global models and is embedded within
a broad area of moisture as seen on the SSMI Total Precipitable
Water imagery. Scattered moderate to strong convection is south
of 16N west of 82W to inland over Central America.

God Bless




- Safe and Sound
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 3 Jun 2016 16:08:57 -0400
Hi, good people of Paradise,

Attached is my unexaggerated view of the start of 'Wet Season' 2016.

Also, a few pics of my sister's craft 'Exody'
at a family get-together in New York
after circumnavigating the tropical world
on their way back home to Scotland.

Everything is safe and sound and
we can expect 3 - 4 quiet pleasant days
if not 5 - 7 , (at least in this neck of the waters).

God Bless
and 
Thanks

Attachment: - Central Park - 2016 Family Get-Together.jpg
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Attachment: - Exody - New York - 2016.jpg
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Attachment: 'Exody' - 2016 - Chris & Kibibi.jpg
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Attachment: 91L - Invest - 26th May 2016.jpg
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Attachment: 1 st june 315pm.jpg
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- Rally, ... !
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 26 May 2016 15:46:36 -0400
Let's say a prayer of reprieve,
for The Bahamas,
recovering from last year.

(North, South Carolina and Georgia).

God Bless !

- Reprieve - 36 hrs.
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 16 May 2016 11:55:37 -0400
Good Day, Good Everything, People of Paradise,

The branches of the vine never gets more than it could bear.
In like manner, we have a 36 hour reprieve before 
something similar to the last three days reoccur.

Listen, I really don't want to know if I am right or whatever?
Because it's not for money or to help me personally.
And I think you should do the same.

We have enough trouble procuring tools and equipment
and keeping them working. So let's work on that instead.

God Bless


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Attachment: Matelot catch 2016-04-04.jpg
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- Consistent Convection
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 12 May 2016 03:20:42 -0400
Good Day, Good Everything, People of Paradise

One can safely say,

"Today is a day to take out your boots."

God Bless

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Attachment: 12th may 2016 - Atl_Tropics.gif
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- First True Event
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 7 May 2016 08:10:58 -0400
People of Paradise,

Within a few hours, specially for Trinidad and Tobago first of all,
We will have a system that resembles the rainy season of June 
and July and August.

The good part is it will be short - lived.
That is the intensity will be short-lived.

Reason: This one will have breeze at times below 32 mph.
And seas will be un-friendly.

The above forecast is over 50% probable and endorsed by others.
Less forecasted and could prove dangerous,
is if after initial impact it spreads and lingers.
This is hardly likely !

God bless


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Attachment: 7th may 2016.jpg
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