Caribbean Hurricane Network

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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season
| Alberto | Beryl | Chris | Debby | Ernesto | Francine | Gordon | Helene | Isaac | Joyce | Kirk | Leslie | Milton | Nadine | Oscar | Patty | Rafael | Sara | Tony | Valerie | William |

Active Tropical Systems: None!
Atlantic Hurricane Season is from June 1 - November 30


GOES Satellite - Zoomed in on the Caribbean (17:00 UTC, 133320 minutes ago)
Note: Old image - NASA server down(?); Look here for more recent images.

Scale bar (lower right) is 250 miles. [more satellite imagery].
See storm-centered satellite image and loop in the tools section below (if available)

Friday, April 4, 2025 16:25PM PDT - Another active season?
Last year an extremely active season was forecasted, in the end we had 18 named storms, 11 hurricanes of which 5 were major hurricanes. Quite active, but not as extreme as feared. There were 2 category 5 hurricanes (Beryl and Mylton), something that doesn't happen that often. Beryl was by far the most unusual, for all the wrong reasons, very early in the season, formed far east in the Atlantic, went pretty far south, fast intensification, etc... Overall Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) for the season was 162 (123 is 'normal'). Three names were retired, Beryl (no surprise), Helene and Milton. In 2030 they will be replaced with Brianna, Holly and Miguel.

This year might be a repeat... A few days ago the forecasters at Colorado State issued their first seasonal forecast. The team let by Phil Klotzbach anticipates 17 named storms (14.4 is normal), 9 hurricanes (7.2 is normal) of which 4 might become major ones (3.2 is normal), with an overall ACE value of 155 (26% above average). The probability for at least one major hurricane traveling through the Caribbean (a big area) is 56% (average is 47%).

The main reasons for the above normal season is the absence of El Nino conditions, above normal sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic (though not as crazy warm as last year). One note about this early forecast, this early season forecast doesn't have much 'skill', so don't get too anxious about it. But as we all know, it only takes one..., but hopefully we won't have a big one like Beryl last year and that we have a lot of 'fish' storms. We all know that you can reduce your risk of harm by preparations. Now would be a good time to check your hurricane shutters or invest in hurricane proof glass, etc. Stay safe everybody! -Gert

... Older discussions >>

Current Tropical Weather Outlook (NHC/TPC):
Accompanying satellite image (pop-up, source: NHC)
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
915 AM EDT Tue Mar 18 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

Routine issuance of the Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 
15, 2025.  During the off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks 
will be issued as conditions warrant.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
More detail in the Tropical Weather Discussion or view the Graphicast Image

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Join our team of special local hurricane correspondents.


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Latest local updates from the special
hurricane correspondents on the islands:
- St.Thomas [Apr 23 18:13]
- Antigua [Apr 18 11:47]
- Bermuda [Apr 14 15:17]
- Nevis [Apr 4 19:40]
- Barbados [Apr 3 11:21]
- Saba [Mar 20 7:28]
- St.Maarten/St.Martin [Mar 19 22:41]
- Bonaire [Feb 28 15:19]
- Puerto Rico [Feb 8 20:00]
- Dominican Republic [Jan 13 18:07]
- Trinidad & Tobago [Dec 21 4:39]
- St.Croix [Nov 29 22:46]
- Tortola & Virgin Gorda [Nov 19 10:42]
- Cayman Islands [Nov 15 16:20]
- Aruba [Nov 10 11:09]
- Jamaica [Nov 6 8:41]
- Haiti [Oct 30 8:38]
- Bahamas [Oct 21 12:43]
- Turks & Caicos [Oct 21 9:24]
- Dominica [Oct 19 21:06]
- Mexico (incl. Cozumel & Cancun) [Oct 8 0:30]
- Montserrat [Oct 7 19:21]
- Vieques (PR) [Aug 14 20:22]
- Anguilla [Aug 13 15:43]
- St.Vincent & Grenadines [Jul 21 19:38]
- Relief Efforts/Where to Donate [Jul 11 14:32]
- Grenada [Jul 7 6:43]
- St.Lucia [Jul 2 9:55]

Only reports received for this season are listed. See the archive for previous years.

Links to excellent websites:
- Navy/NRL Monterey
- NOAA/NESDIS (floater loops)
- RAMSDIS Imagery
- Radar Composite - E-Carib.
- Caribbean/Atl. buoy data
- RT model guidance (RAL/NCAR)
- STORM2K forum
- Tracking Waves (McNoldy)
- Tang/UAlbany (model tracks)
- tropicaltidbits.com
- weathernerds.org (ensembles)
- CIMSS/U.Wisc-Mad
- Brammer/UAlbany
- ECMWF Model Forecast
- Jeff Masters Blog
- Brian McNoldy Blog
- Michael Lowry's Blog
- zoom.earth hurricane tracker
- more...

Storm definitions by wind speed:
- Tropical Depression <39mph
- Tropical Storm 39-73mph
- Cat.1 Hurricane 74-95mph
- Cat.2 Hurricane 96-110mph
- Cat.3 Hurricane 111-129mph
- Cat.4 Hurricane 130-156mph
- Cat.5 Hurricane >=157mph
More info in the Practical Guide

Wind force relative to Category 1:
- Tropical Storm 39mph: 0.28x
- Cat.1 Hurricane 74mph: 1x
- Cat.2 Hurricane 96mph: 1.7x
- Cat.3 Hurricane 111mph: 2.3x
- Cat.4 Hurricane 130mph: 3.1x
- Cat.5 Hurricane 157mph: 4.5x
- Irma 185mph: 6.3x



- - - Local hurricane correspondents wanted! - - -

The local hurricane correspondents are the heart and soul of stormCARIB. They are the people who live on the island and write to us what is going on around them. First hand very local personal reports instead of very limited or sensationalized coverage by the general media. Do you live on one of the islands? We need your help! We are looking for more people who are interested in sending us a few paragraphs about the situation on your island before, during and after a storm hits. You don't need to be a weatherman or expert on the subject, just share with us what you know, feel and see on your island. Your help will be really appreciated by Caribbean people living abroad with family living on the islands, future visitors who have their Caribbean dream-vacation booked, etc.etc. Reliable, not-sensationalized information is just so hard to get in crisis situations. Help keep the rest of the world up-to-date with what is really happening! We really need you, Georges back in 1998, and many others since then are proof! If interested, contact gert@gobeach.com.


WHAT TO FIND ON StormCARIB.com:
This website is all about the Caribbean. Here you can find information, weather discussions and local reports regarding tropical systems threatening the Caribbean islands. A central part of this website is the volunteer network of special local hurricane correspondents, living on the islands, who will report, when need be, on how it looks and feels like around them. Above also hopefully easy to understand weather discussions by me and Dave. In addition, as an aid in locating family or friends on the islands in an emergency situation you can post your 'plea for help' on the bulletin board. Also featured on this website is the Quick Hurricane Web Resource Navigator, for easy locating to the least overloaded webserver for National Hurricane Center advisories and the latest satellite images. Another part of the Caribbean Hurricane Network is the 'practical guide' to hurricane tracking with unit conversions, definitions, tips, links, etc. You can also find out how close the storm is and how many hours you have left to prepare plus you can map the closest point of approach of a hurricane to your location. New is the climatology of Caribbean hurricanes section. Find out when the real peak of hurricane season is for individual islands, view hurricane tracks passing by the islands over the last 150+ years. An archive with detailed reports of how the Caribbean islands fared during the 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004 (incl. Frances and Ivan), 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000, 1999 (incl. Floyd and Lenny), 1998 (incl. Georges and Mitch), 1997 and 1996 seasons are still available as well. Plus there is more, like storm-centered satellite images, make your own local satellite loop, etc. Hope you find the information on this website (now counting over thousands pages with original content) helpful. Comments always welcome! RSS web feed available. As a side note I am now accepting donations as well. Thanks for visiting!

Maintained & moderated by: Gert van Dijken (gert@gobeach.com).
Weather discussions also by Dave McDermott, St.Thomas, USVI.


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Disclaimer
The information on these pages is derived from weather statements provided by the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center, and others, and from hurricane correspondents in the Caribbean. I tried to translate the official weather statements in more layman's terms. Also, I tried to fill the gap in reporting on what is happening in the Caribbean, instead of the US (there are already many other good website which focus on the US). Keep in mind that my statements are my own interpretations from the information available to me. Therefore, use the information at your own risk, and above all, don't use these webpages for making life-or-death decisions, always rely on the official and qualified authorities! Accuracy of eye-witness reports by the special hurricane correspondents have not been checked. They may be highly subjective. The author can not be held responsible for lost property, ruined vacations and the like. Despite all this I hope you found the webpage informative and useful. These pages do not have a commercial intent. GoBeach Vacations provided the means and opportunity to start all this. 'Unfortunately' this website has become too popular, placing too much load on the gobeach.com webservers. Luckily, starting in 2000, my excellent webhost provider, pairNetworks, liked my website so much that they support services whenever they can. Comments are always welcome. Just send a note to gert@gobeach.com. Gert