• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 19 Apr 2021 06:32:08 -0400

You can see the plume leave St Vincent. It then splits between the low level (Easterly( winds taking the ash towards the West. The higher ash is picked up by higher winds bringing the plume South. As the ash falls it would have again been taken West, most of which would have missed Grenada. There is a very fine black dust on my car windscreen this morning. Did anyone else smell something last night?

Video of satellite images:

https://youtu.be/ce-sRmA-KQ0

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 18 Apr 2021 23:43:07 -0400

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 13 Apr 2021 10:46:31 -0400

Keep Safe

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 11 Apr 2021 07:00:33 -0400

Hi all,

Keep safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 31 Dec 2020 13:01:19 -0400

Good last day of 2020,

Please can I wish you all a 'Better 2021'

Hogan of Grenada

Attachment: Rain cloud over Grenada.mp4
Description: video/mp4

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 30 Dec 2020 13:08:41 -0400

Hi,

Hope you all have a better 2021 than 2020.

Hogan of Grenada


You have been sent 1 picture.


Jet Blue scenic trip of Grenada.jpg

These pictures were sent with Picasa, from Google.
Try it out here: http://picasa.google.com/

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 29 Dec 2020 15:15:39 -0400

Hi there everyone, Hope you had a reasonable Christmas.

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 21 Nov 2020 08:03:43 -0400

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 16 Nov 2020 16:57:52 -0400

Our thoughts and prayers should be with them tonight as it hits the land.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 2 Nov 2020 06:39:27 -0400

Eta has grown into a hurricane as it approaches Nicaragua.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 1 Nov 2020 11:18:25 -0400

Have a good afternoon

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 30 Oct 2020 08:40:59 -0400

Good morning Grenada,

Keep safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 23 Oct 2020 14:24:10 -0400

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 14 Oct 2020 08:00:27 -0400

Have a nice day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 13 Oct 2020 08:03:05 -0400

Good morning,

Have a nice day

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 12 Oct 2020 07:32:28 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

The only tropical wave is the one mentioned above which has spawned 93L.

Radar & Satellite

The radar and satellite animations show a few scattered  showers approaching from the east.

View from my vantage point

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 11 Oct 2020 09:39:00 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

The only tropical wave is the one mentioned above

Radar & Satellite

Both radar and satellite animation show an area of cloud/rain in the middle of the triangle formed by Barbados/Tobago/Grenada, so potentially this could bring some rain showers later?

View from my vantage point

SW- through West  to North, mostly clear blue sky, just a few scattered fluffy clouds. To the East there is more cloud coinciding with the area mentioned in the radar section. No rain visible though.

The horizon is slightly hazy. Only a slight breeze.

If it is a clear night, here are a fewf things of interest (not weather related).

I have had people ask me about some bright 'stars' in the evening sky. So for those that are interested: In the early evening almost directly overhead (in Grenada) there s a bright object, this is the planet Jupiter. Just to it's east is a slightly dimmer object, that is Saturn (the planet with the rings). The slightly reddish object rising from east in the evening is the planet Mars. And finally, if you wake before the Sun rises, you will see a bright object in the east, that is the planet Venus, exactly the same planet that we saw very bright in the western evening sky earlier in the year. Venus is known both as 'Evening star' or 'Morning star'. But none of the objects I have mentioned are stars, they are planets, which go round the Sun, like us. And none of them are, as I have often heard many Grenadians call them, 'satellites' and sometimes adding 'spying on us'. They definitely are not artificial satellites.

The above night sky info will not change much over the next month or so. 

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 9 Oct 2020 08:38:38 -0400

Good morning,

Just a brief update today.  I have changed the area of concern below....

We are in the trailing edge of a tropical wave, the axis of which passed through over night. We had a light shower during the night. There appears to be plenty of cloud/rain showers in this trailing edge of the wave.

Hurricane Delta, which was formed from the bad weather we had about a week ago, is about to kit the USA, just west of the Mississippi delta.

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There is one tropical wave just west of the Cabo Verde Islands (see area of concern above).

Radar & Satellite

The radar and satellite animation shows what looks like showers approaching from the east.

View from my vantage point

 To the NE and east it is almost completely overcast. It looks like some rain to the east, in the distance. To the South the sky is almost clear apart from some medium high wispy clouds. To the west it currently looks mostly clear.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 9 Oct 2020 06:30:49 -0400

Good morning,

Just a brief update today.

We are in the trailing edge of a tropical wave, the axis of which passed through over night. We had a light shower during the night. There appears to be plenty of cloud/rain showers in this trailing edge of the wave.

Hurricane Delta, which was formed from the bad weather we had about a week ago, is about to kit the USA, just west of the Mississippi delta.

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There is one weak tropical wave just west of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Radar & Satellite

The radar and satellite animation shows what looks like showers approaching from the east.

View from my vantage point

 To the NE and east it is almost completely overcast. It looks like some rain to the east, in the distance. To the South the sky is almost clear apart from some medium high wispy clouds. To the west it currently looks mostly clear.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 6 Oct 2020 09:02:33 -0400

Good Morning,

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 5 Oct 2020 08:00:13 -0400

Good morning,

Have a good day

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 4 Oct 2020 11:06:05 -0400

Good morning,

Just another brief post.

Have a good Sunday

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 3 Oct 2020 08:37:06 -0400

It does look as if we might have a few days with less cloud around.

Have a great weekend.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 27 Sep 2020 08:17:15 -0400

Good morning,

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 21 Sep 2020 07:53:03 -0400

Good morning,

Have a great day.

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 20 Sep 2020 08:29:13 -0400

Good morning,

Just a brief update today.

The breeze is back - lovely.

Someone mentioned to me last night that I often mention the Cabo Verde Islands, but until he looked them up, did not know where they were. This is the area where many of the Atlantic tropical storms start. They are approximately 460 miles off of the East Coast of Africa, due west of Senegal. At a latitude approximately 270 miles north of Grenada. They are about 2500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, over the other side of the Atlantic. There are no other islands between Barbados and the Cabo Verdes, at this latitude.

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There is one weak tropical wave just south of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Radar & Satellite

There are no significant cloud or rain showing on radar nor satellite animations, currently.

View from my vantage point

 A pleasant South-easterly breeze (at last). Only a few scattered small fluffy clouds to the west, and even fewer to the east and south. A larger cluster over the mountains to the north. A fairly clear horizon. At the moment, it looks like a pleasant day?

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 19 Sep 2020 07:41:59 -0400

Good morning,

Hurricane Teddy, now 900 miles North of the Leeward islands, is still causing the lack of wind down here in Grenada with a large area of low pressure bulging towards it, as seen on the synoptic chart.

A couple of web sites seem to show a slight breeze from the SE later today?

Areas of concern -

 Teddy now way north of us and heading away, it is no threat. Behind it is Tropical Storm Wilfred, which appears to be following Teddy. It is still 1600 miles to our east, but is expected to turn towards a more northerly direction, and is not expected to increase in strength.

There is another area just leaving Africa, but that is expected to turn north and only has a 10% chance of developing in 5 days.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

No tropical waves just the TS Wilfred.

Radar & Satellite

The latest satellite animation shows some bubbling up of clouds from our SE to SW. Radar shows a few showers scattered around, but a larger area to our South and SE.

View from my vantage point

Very hazy sky, but visible through the haze are some large clouds to our SE and SW. It does look as if we can have some rain. A bigger indication that we will get some rain soon, is my wife has just painted something outside!

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 18 Sep 2020 19:11:43 -0400

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 18 Sep 2020 07:50:29 -0400

Good morning,

Hurricane Teddy, now well NE of the Leeward islands, is still causing the lack of wind down here in Grenada. With the airport measuring a maximum of 5mph wind speed over night, and a low temperature of 26C.

A couple of websites I look at, are not showing much increase in wind speed until into tomorrow.

Areas of concern -

 Only one tropical wave is shown in the Atlantic, and that is SW of the Cabo Verde Islands. It is shown as 60% chance of developing in the next 48 hours, but is shown as following a similar path as Teddy, but does not look, at this time, as if it will develop into a Tropical Storm or hurricane.

There is another area still to leave Africa, but this is only showing 20% chance of development and is likely to turn north as it leaves the coast.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

Just the one 'wave' as mentioned above.

Radar & Satellite

Neither the radar nor satellite animations show any sign of rain in our area. But this was the case yesterday and it didn't stop some very heavy rain developing over Grenada, well at least in our area.

View from my vantage point

No breeze. Hazy blue sky with scattered fluffy bits. Horizon just visible but hazy. The sea is smooth stretching out for about half a mile, beyond that it appears ruffled by a breeze. There is still a slight swell breaking on the reefs, much less than yesterday.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 17 Sep 2020 08:14:44 -0400

Good morning,

We are currently beginning to feel the effect of hurricane Teddy. Not strong winds, but no wind. To see how this is happening I suggest you look at the link:

https://www.ventusky.com/?p=16.0;-59.2;4&l=wind-10m 

This shows ground level winds. From this you will see that Grenada is in the area of very little wind as Teddy drags the normal NE trade winds into it.  Change the date to tomorrow, and you will see a slight increase from the SW (hope).

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 Only one tropical wave is shown on the latest synoptic chart is that has 98L embedded in it (see above)

Radar & Satellite

Nothing of significance showing on the radar nor satellite animations, other than the big swirl of hurricane Teddy well up to our NE.

View from my vantage point

Very, very hazy. Looking out to sea, it is difficult to see the ocean (photos) as the smooth surface blends into the hazy horizon. There are no wind swept waves to disturb the surface. The only thing disturbing this is a swell, invisible in the ocean, until it nears the reefs, where it breaks. I believe the swell has been created by the distant Teddy?

Looking into the bay, the boats, at anchor, two are trying to face west, as what little breeze is coming from that unusual direction, while another is facing North and yet another South.

The sky is hazy, and thus difficult to see far. There is a towering cumulus cloud out to the west of Point Saline. A few small fluffy bits over the mountains. Apart from that there are very few clouds (within visible range).

I am just hoping Teddy will draw in a little southerly or westerly breeze as the day goes on.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 16 Sep 2020 07:21:50 -0400

Good morning,

Hurricane Teddy has turned to a more northerly course and we in the Lesser Antilles appear to be safe from it. But we will feel it's effect over the next three days, with it stopping the trade winds. Thursday and Friday will probably be the worst as it increases in strength, as in hardly any breeze.

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 Only one tropical wave is shown on the latest synoptic chart, it is the one which has spawned the Low mentioned above.

Radar & Satellite

The satellite imagery doesn't show any significant cloud in our area. The radar animation does show what could be a few small showers drifting down from the NE.

View from my vantage point

Clear hazy blue sky, with just a few clouds over the mountains. Horizon very hazy (20 miles). Hardly any breeze.

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 15 Sep 2020 06:57:05 -0400

Good morning,

The Atlantic has become very busy. We currently have two hurricanes Sally & Paulette, two Tropical storms Vicky & Teddy, and three other areas with some potential to develop. The only areas that we are watching are TS Teddy and a tropical wave that is just SE of the Cabo Verde Islands.

Areas of concern -

TS Teddy appears to be following the predicted path, it did a bit of coming due west for a while, but now appears to be starting its turn towards the north. Currently it is at 14W (at about the same latitude as St Lucia. If it continues as predicted, it will not be a threat to the Lesser Antilles.

Behind Teddy, having just come off of East Africa, is a tropical wave. The potential area of concern in this wave is at , a low latitude (below 10N). It is showing a 50% chance of developing in the next 48 hours, and 70% in next 5 days. It is too early to predict what path it will take. I will monitor this one.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 Only one tropical wave is shown on the latest synoptic chart, and that I mentioned above.

Radar & Satellite

The satellite imagery doesn't show any significant cloud in our area. The radar animation does show a few very small showers, mostly to our north-east.  Please note, rain from relatively low cloud, near Grenada,  does not show on the Martinique radar due to the curvature of the earth.

View from my vantage point

Slightly hazy sky with lots of fluffy cumulus clouds scattered around.A pleasant easterly breeze. Enjoy it while lasts as TS Teddy may drag those trade winds away as it passes to our NE in the next dew days!

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 14 Sep 2020 07:36:11 -0400

Good morning,

Got woken up at 03:00 by lightning and thunder. The nearest strike was about 1 mile away (5 seconds between flash and thunder).

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 Only one tropical wave is shown on the latest synoptic chart, and that is just coming off of Africa and has a 40% chance of developing in next 5 days.

Radar & Satellite

The current radar animation and satellite loop shows some rain showers passing near the north of Grenada. Nothing showing in the South at present.

View from my vantage point

Thick dark cloud over the mountains, otherwise blue sky, but with scattered towering cumulus clouds (possibly showers), still very little breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 13 Sep 2020 07:16:43 -0400

Good morning,

Sorry, I forgot to change the subject line.

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 Only one tropical wave is shown on the latest synoptic chart, and that is just west of the Cabo Verde islands.

Radar & Satellite

The satellite imagery doesn't show any significant cloud in our area. The radar animation does show a few small showers still being dragged from the south.

View from my vantage point

Low cloud covering the tops of the mountains. There is a heavy shower visible to my east, this I would normally expect to hit us in the south very soon, but the radar sequence (above) suggests it will pass up  the East coast. In all other directions there are just a few fluffy cumulus clouds. The minimum temperature recorded at the airport over night was 28C or 82F, it was a warm stuffy night.There is on;y a slight breeze from the SE.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 13 Sep 2020 07:13:13 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 Only one tropical wave is shown on the latest synoptic chart, and that is just west of the Cabo Verde islands.

Radar & Satellite

The satellite imagery doesn't show any significant cloud in our area. The radar animation does show a few small showers still being dragged from the south.

View from my vantage point

Low cloud covering the tops of the mountains. There is a heavy shower visible to my east, this I would normally expect to hit us in the south very soon, but the radar sequence (above) suggests it will pass up  the East coast. In all other directions there are just a few fluffy cumulus clouds. The minimum temperature recorded at the airport over night was 28C or 82F, it was a warm stuffy night.There is on;y a slight breeze from the SE.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 12 Sep 2020 17:16:20 -0400

Good afternoon

John - Looks like you won't need the hurricane boards - yet!

Have a pleasant evening.

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 12 Sep 2020 06:21:56 -0400

Good morning,

I was woken up at 05:20 this morning by lightning and distant (14 miles) thunder.

Areas of concern -

As per the last two days, the only area of concern is the tropical wave which is just South West of the Cabo Verde Islands. There are still two trains of thought.  1) if it moves quickly across the Atlantic, it could come through the Lesser Antilles. and 2) which does appear to be what most models are now predicting, it will move towards us, then turn north well before getting to our area.

So I will monitor this 'wave' over the next few days.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  The only tropical wave in the Atlantic is the one mentioned above, and it now has an associated 'Low' embedded in it. The two tropical storms, Paulette and Rene, are still working together to draw the air from us and that is why we have no wind, as they drag the usual Easterly trade winds towards the combined storms well to our NE.

Radar & Satellite

Both show a distinct line of cloud and rain drifting up from the South. This line is, as I write, on our doorstep. See below.

View from my vantage point

Despite having no breeze to speak of, the boats in the bay are all pointing towards the west, so there must be a slight Westerly breeze down there. What is clearly visible, and audible, is a storm off to our east (part of the line of cloud mentioned above). To the north it is currently mostly blue sky. Also to the South beyond the line of clouds it is much brighter. So it looks as if we could have a thundery shower, over the next hour, as this area of weather is dragged towards the north.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 11 Sep 2020 07:55:07 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

As per yesterday, the only area of concern is the tropical wave which is just South of the Cabo Verde Islands.  I am still trying to find out what the models are predicting. There appears to be a split between some models saying it will turn harmlessly north into mid Atlantic, and others that have it coming through the Lesser Antilles. The Ventusky website shows it passing through St Lucia Wednesday, which is slightly further South than it predicted yesterday. As we have seen this year, many of the storms have tracked further south than early predictions.

So I will monitor this 'wave' over the next few days.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  The only tropical wave in the Atlantic is the one mentioned above. But there are two tropical storms, Paulette and Rene, which are moving much further north of the island chain. But they are affecting our weather, by sucking the air into them, this is killing our normal Easterly breeze. We may get a slight breeze from the South later today/tomorrow. But looks like a couple more nights with little breeze, before Paulette moves further north and has less effect on our wind?

Radar & Satellite

Hardly a blip on the radar near us. The satellite animation does not have much significant cloud in our area.

View from my vantage point

Hardly any breeze at all!, indicated by the boats at anchor in the bay, which are pointing in all directions. No clouds to the North through East (including over the mountains), only the smallest of cumulus (small fluffy ones) in all other directions. No sign of rain. The horizon is very clear.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 10 Sep 2020 10:41:05 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

Just a brief update today, sorry for the delay. Lost internet again.

The one area of concern to us, is not TS Paulette and Rene, but a tropical wave which has just left the West Coast of Africa, it is at a low latitude (9N). One website has it passing through the Lesser Antilles in a weeks time as a hurricane!

Further update tomorrow.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 9 Sep 2020 07:23:08 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

Tropical Storms Paulette & Rene are following predicted paths and appear to be no threat to the Caribbean.

Still waiting to see what happens when the tropical wave mentioned yesterday comes off of Africa.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  There are no tropical waves in the Atlantic, just the two tropical Storms mentioned above.

Radar & Satellite & other sites.

Both radar and satellite animations show little significant cloud or rain in this area (see next section).    Looking ahead, due to TS Paulette dragging in the air, it does appear that we will have very little wind for the next few days.

View from my vantage point

No rain showers visible. Some very high light wispy cloud. Just a few cumulus clouds to the south. The mountains just have the smallest of fluffy clouds over them. So far it looks a lovely day. But could do with some more breeze, there is hardly any to speak of.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 8 Sep 2020 08:21:30 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

We now have two tropical storms out to our east in the Atlantic. Plus a warning of a tropical wave coming off of Africa later this week.

The two Tropical Storms are Paulette & Rene. Both look as if the will be 'fish storms' meaning they will tend to turn north and stay in the Atlantic. but ...

There is a tropical wave due to come off of Africa and currently the NHC show the area where it could develop lower than the two tropical storms  mentioned above.

More tomorrow.

Radar & Satellite

Very few isolated showers in our vicinity.  

View from my vantage point

A lovely day, so far. A few cumulus clouds in all directions, I can see two small showers, both out at sea. One to South, the other to the South east. There is some wispy high cloud. A slight easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 7 Sep 2020 07:26:32 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

I will monitor these.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  There is only one tropical wave, connected to the easterly of the two depressions. The other depression is marked on the charts as a 'Low', with no associated tropical wave.

Radar & Satellite

No significant indication of heavy cloud/rain at present, in our area.

View from my vantage point

Slight breeze.

NW almost entirely blue sky

SW A fairly heavy shower with associated rainbow, just South of Point Saline.

SE a couple of small showers visible, amongst some cumulus clouds

NE Tops of mountains chopped off by low cloud.

Clear horizon (where there are no showers)

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 6 Sep 2020 07:59:34 -0400

Good morning,

Areas of concern -

There are two areas that are showing a high probability of developing. Neither appear to look as if they will threaten us in the South of the Lesser Antilles.

The nearest is about 38W or about midway across the Atlantic. It has a 90% chance of developing in the next 48 hours. All tracks (so far) have it moving on a North-Westerly direction.

The other area has just left the coast of Africa - again it is showing a North-Westerly track. It has an 80% chance of development in 5 days.

Both of these I will monitor.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic - two are connected to the above mentioned areas of concern. The third is just passing through our region. According to NHC 'No significant convection is noted in this tropical wave at this time'. See radar & satellite section below.

Radar & Satellite

Both radar and satellite animations show little significant cloud or rain in this area (see next section).   

View from my vantage point

Despite the radar and satellite images showing little in our area, we are just having a small shower pass through! Gentle breeze. Looking out and directly above, there is no big cloud ('Sun rain'). Only a few fluffy Cumulus clouds, The horizon is very clear. On the whole it looks like a lovely day. A pleasant breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 4 Sep 2020 07:13:33 -0400

Good morning,

We currently have a tropical wave passing through the area, bringing showers further north near St Lucia and Martinique region.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   There are 3 more tropical waves in the Atlantic plus a low pressure spawned from a tropical wave. This area of low pressure (91L) has a 40% chance of developing in the next 5 days. The centre of this 'Low' was at 12.3N 37W (or about 1600 miles east of us).

The nearest 'wave' to us is at about 49W . Currently there is no significant convection from this wave. It is expected in our area about Sunday.

The other two tropical waves are over the other side of the Atlantic.

Radar & Satellite

Shows rain showers further north. Very little in our area.

View from my vantage point

A few fluffy Cumulus clouds scattered around in most directions. Slightly less to the west, apart from some slightly larger clouds building over Point Saline. A very small shower just visible out to my east. Hardly any breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 3 Sep 2020 13:51:09 -0400

Good afternoon,

Sorry about late weather post, just put it down to 'FLOW' our telephone and internet provider.

We are currently having some heavy rain. It appears to be coming from the leading edge of a tropical wave. Although this rain has just bubbled up from nowhere!

Looking East

   There are a couple of areas of concern in the Atlantic. The nearest has a 40% chance of developing in the next 5 days. Expected mid next week.

   The other one shows 80% chance of developing, but currently it appears it will have a more northerly course.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   There are 4 tropical wave. The nearest is the one I suspect is giving us some early rain.  More tomorrow, if I still have internet!

Radar & Satellite

The radar and satellite loops, both showed the current rain, bubbled up from nowhere. Possibly the 'wave' had some bearing on it, but also the heat and lack of breeze!

View from my vantage point

Wet & Cloudy! Squally wind.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 1 Sep 2020 08:06:51 -0400

Good morning,

Looking Easy

   Apart from a an area which still hasn't left Africa, there are no areas in the Atlantic to worry about - yet!

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   There are 3 tropical waves, the nearest is about 600 miles east of us and expected in this area Thursday. There is only moderate convection currently.

Radar & Satellite

Neither show much cloud/rain in our area, at the moment

View from my vantage point

Photos will tell the tale. Only problem - not the slightest breeze!

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 31 Aug 2020 06:43:34 -0400

Good wet morning all,

General comment

It has been a very wet night/morning. We had thunder & Lightning, with heavy rain in the early hours. Then for the last two hours continuous rain. The Sun should be up, but no sign of it. No real explanation, but I would guess this is what it is like if the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone moves north into our area. Although it is not shown on the synoptic chart! The satellite images do show a large amount of cloud spreading out, at our latitude, towards the east. Although there are a few breaks in it.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   There are three tropical waves in the Atlantic. Only one is showing as a 10% chance of developing.

Radar & Satellite

  As stated above, radar and satellite animation show a large amount of rain/cloud bubbling up to our east. Add to that I have just heard some distant thunder! It doesn't look as if this rain will stop soon? I hope I am wrong.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 30 Aug 2020 07:31:44 -0400

Good morning all,

Areas of concern -

There are currently two areas that the NHC have as potential areas that could develop and affect us.

The nearest is passing through our area now, but does not appear that it will develop until it has passed us by.

The other one is just SW of the Cabo Verde Islands. It has a 40% chance of developing.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There are now 4 tropical waves in the Atlantic (including the one passing through now).

One has just come off of Africa and is moving slowly

The second is the one that has the 40% chance of developing. This will take about 1 week to arrive in our area.

The third is at 42W, due here sometime Wednesday. This appears a weak 'wave' with little convection.

The forth is the one currently giving us spells of rain.

Radar & Satellite

  Both radar and satellite animations give the appearance that the showers will ease off and hopefully we will see more sunshine soon?

View from my vantage point

  Mostly cloudy, with the tops of the mountains chopped off. Slightly brighter to the east. Just a slight easterly breeze. as indicated by the boats at anchor in the bay. A clear horizon. Currently no rain visible, but very dark sky to the west. The Sun is glinting off of the sea to the east, showing brighter weather to come?

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 29 Aug 2020 08:37:15 -0400

Good morning all,

Looking East -

Two areas of concern to in the Atlantic.

The nearest area of concern should pass through this area tomorrow. Timing is difficult due to conflicting information (or me misinterpreting) data from NHC.

'A tropical wave located about 550 miles east of the Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.... this system will likely 
produce gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall across portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands on Sunday'.

Yet the discussion 'Tropical Waves' has it at more like 400 miles.

The other area marked with a yellow X is still in the Eastern Atlantic and has a 40% chance of developing within 5 days. The initial cone of probability shows a slightly more northerly course.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   There are three 'waves. two of which are associated with the areas of concern, above. The third is between the two (mid Atlantic).

Radar & Satellite

  There is a small band of showers on the radar about 70 miles east. moving in our direction. These are also visible on satellite animation. But they are very small. The satellite animation does show larger areas of cloud probably associated with the weather approaching for tomorrow.

View from my vantage point

  Hazy blue sky in most directions. Slight breeze. Horizon (20 miles) is hardly visible.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2020 12:32:38 -0400

Good afternoon all,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic. Both have a 30% chance of developing in the next 5 days.

  The nearest 'wave' is only two days away, and is given 20% chance of developing in that time. The NHC cone of possibility  covering almost all of the Lesser Antilles. Grenada is just below the middle of the cone.  So it does look as if we may get some 'weather' about Sunday.

 The other tropical wave, over the eastern Atlantic, is also showing 30% chance in 5 day, which is about how long it will take to reach us. It's cone of possibility is slightly further north.

  More on these tomorrow.

Radar & Satellite

 Just a couple of small showers showing on the radar. The satellite has just a few bands of cloud drifting in from the east, but nothing significant.

View from my vantage point

 Hazy blue sky in all directions, with the exception of a few clouds over the mountains. Just a slight easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 27 Aug 2020 08:58:14 -0400

Good morning all,

All thoughts go to the Texas and Louisiana  area of the USA, where Hurricane Laura is just smashing through. Being over land it will rapidly lose strength. I believe it struck land as a Cat 4 !!!

Looking East -

Just one area to watch - and that has just come off of Africa. It currently a 20% chance of developing in the next 5 days. NHC shows the 5 day cone heading towards the top portion of the Lesser Antilles. The one to watch. Remember many of the storms this year have tracked further south than the NHC has predicted. 

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 We are currently feeling the effects of a weak tropical wave which has just passed. We are getting some light showers and rainbows.

 There is another tropical wave in mid Atlantic. This wave has some moderate to strong convection.

 In addition to these waves there is the area mentioned in the 'Looking East' . This is not shown as a tropical wave.

Radar & Satellite

  There is an area of small showers stretching out about 70 miles to our east.  These show on radar and satellite animation. Currently just small showers. It does look as if there is some brighter weather to follow.

View from my vantage point

  .Almost completely overcast with various levels of cloud. As I write we are experiencing some very fine rain. To the east, I can see some slight showers. A gentle Easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 23 Aug 2020 07:05:00 -0400

Good morning all,

Just to say that There are no threats from the Atlantic, for now. Only one tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic.

So I will take a break - back as soon as I see something interesting.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 21 Aug 2020 08:29:19 -0400

Good morning all,

There was quite a lot of distant rumbling of thunder to our south this morning.

Looking East -

Tropical Depression Thirteen is just east of the northerly part of the Leeward Islands. It has an area of heavy convection to it's south, but currently it does not reach down to the Grenada latitude. But as with the area of thunder that just appeared from nowhere, just south of us, then just fizzled out, maybe this could happen again, anywhere in our area.

The only other area of concern has just come off of Africa, and has a 40% chance of developing over the next 5 days.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

Radar & Satellite

 Both radar and satellite show some significant rain further north. Currently the area to our east is fairly clear.

View from my vantage point

Draw a line from East to West. North of that line looks mostly blue sky with just a few clouds. South of that line is mostly high cloud which I believe has burst out the top of the storm cells which we had south of us. There is still some dark sky to the South, from which I can still occasionally hear a distant rumble. There is one small shower to the south-east. We have a pleasant light easterly breeze. The horizon is fairly clear.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 20 Aug 2020 09:17:56 -0400

Good morning all,

Looking East -

Tropical Depression Thirteen (98L) is about 800 miles east of the Leewards. It's track should take it just north of the Leeward Islands. I would like to say, that at that distance, we should not feel the affect of it, but looking at current satellite images, there is a large areas of convection running well South of it!

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  There are 3 tropical waves in the Atlantic.

The nearest is passing through at this time, probably what is causing the scattered showers.

There is one 'wave' mid Atlantic, with 'Scattered moderate convection has developed in association with this wave from 09N to 12N between 35W and 43W' (NHC)

There is a third just coming off of Africa, this has a 40% chance of developing in the next 5 days. One to watch.

Radar & Satellite

 There is a cluster of small blips on the radar, and satellites show some convective clouds until some big blobs further east (associated with TD Thirteen).

View from my vantage point

 Looking out I can see many showers to our East and South East. Also there appears to be rain over the Point Saline area. There are some towering cumulus clouds (the tall fluffy ones). The horizon looks reasonably clear except where blocked out by rain. There is just a slight breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 19 Aug 2020 08:02:42 -0400

Good morning all,

Looking East (areas of concern)-

98L is about 1000 miles due east of us. It is expected in our region sometime Friday (at present speed of between 15 to 20 MPH).  With a 90% chance of developing in 48 hours. All models show it going towards the northern end of the Lesser Antilles. We will have a better idea tomorrow.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  There are currently two tropical waves in the Atlantic, one between us and 98L and one following it.

The nearest one to us is about 500 miles away and due here tomorrow. Convection in this wave has diminished.

The wave following 98L according to the NHC is "forecast to approach the low pressure", I am a bit puzzled by this as it is travelling at 15MPH (per NHC), which is the same or less than that of 98L! If it does,somehow 'approach' it, I wonder what affect it will have on it? 

Radar & Satellite

  There are hardly any blips on the radar, and the satellite images appear to show mostly what appears broken low clouds, hardly any big convective clouds to our near east.

View from my vantage point

Broken clouds and plenty of sunshine. I can see a couple of local small rain showers, one passing to the south. Only a slight breeze. Horizon (20 miles) a bit hazy.

Two websites I monitor do show a chance of showers at any time today.

Have a nice day

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 18 Aug 2020 08:11:36 -0400

Good morning all,

Looking East -

  The tropical wave I mentioned yesterday has spawned a 'Low' pressure about 1500 miles to our east. Currently identified as 98L. The NHC has it as 60% chance of developing in the next 5 days. Initial path is towards the Northern part of the Leeward islands. At the current speed it should arrive in the Lesser Antilles sometime Friday.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   The Synoptic chart says there are two tropical waves, not including 98L (above) in the Atlantic. This contradicts the NHC discussion that only mentions one! More on this tomorrow when they sort out what is there.

Radar & Satellite

  Very little rain is shown in our area, as I type.

View from my vantage point

  As I type, the Sun is breaking through a few gaps in an otherwise overcast multi-layers of cloud. There is a stiff easterly breeze. The horizon is a bit hazy. I can't see any showers. 

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 17 Aug 2020 08:16:28 -0400

Good morning all,

We did have plenty of rain and some lightning and thunder over night.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 Three 'waves in the Atlantic, two which NHC have some chance of developing.

The axis of the nearest tropical wave is about 400 miles east of us. It consists of large areas of convection ahead and behind the axis. The rain we have had over night does not appear to be part of this wave. This wave is expected to pass through early Tuesday, it does look as if we could get more rain from it well before it arrives. This wave has a 50% chance of developing, but that is after it has passed through our area.

The second 'wave' is mid Atlantic. It currently looks weak and the NHC is not showing it developing.

The third 'wave' is near the Cabo Verdes. This the NHC has a 60% chance of developing in 5 days. It's initial cone of possibility, has it slightly further north than us, But remember Gonzalo, they did not predict that one very well. This is the one I will be monitoring over the next several days.

Radar & Satellite

Both radar and satellite imagery show rain showers almost every where in our area.

View from my vantage point

Cloud in every direction. I can see rain falling East through South to South-west. Slightly brighter to the NE. There are very small breaks in the cloud west to North.    There is an easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 15 Aug 2020 07:11:23 -0400

Good morning all,

Tropical waves/Storms) in the Atlantic -

Tropical Storm Josephine is following it's predicted path and passing to the north of the Leeward Islands. With very little or no effect to us.

You may hear Tropical Storm Kyle mentioned, that is way up off the East coast of the USA and it's path takes it into the Atlantic.

There is only one tropical wave in the Atlantic at 41W. At it's current speed should arrive n our area Tuesday night. At present it has just moderate convection associated with it.

Radar / Satellite, other websites

Neither radar nor satellite images show any significant rain, in our area. There are a couple of sites that predict a slight increase in the chance of showers later today.

View from my vantage point

 Mostly blue sky with the odd fluffy cloud. Just a few more over the mountains. A very slight breeze. The boats, at anchor in the bay, are pointing North - an indication of a slight northerly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 13 Aug 2020 11:00:15 -0400

Good morning all,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  There is one tropical wave plus tropical Depression Eleven, in the Atlantic.

Concentrating on Eleven - It is likely to pass just north of the Leeward Islands late Saturday. It may become a Tropical Storm later today. Currently it does not appear that it will cause any problems in the Windwards, but maybe the tropical wave which spawned Eleven could bring an increased chance of some rain at the weekend?.

Radar & Satellite

  Hardly any blips on the radar, and satellite images show no significant clouds, at present.

View from my vantage point

 Mostly slightly hazy blue sky in all directions, just a few small fluffy clouds above the mountains. A nice stiff easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 12 Aug 2020 08:41:54 -0400

Good morning all,

Very  brief, I am in a hurry.

This the NHC latest on Tropical Depression Eleven:

The center of Tropical Depression ELEVEN, at 12/0900 UTC, is 
near 12.2N 42.9W. ELEVEN is moving westward, or 280 degrees, 13 
knots. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. The 
maximum sustained wind speeds are 30 knots with gusts to 40 
knots. A west-northwestward motion is forecast to begin tonight, 
and continue through the rest of the week. Some strengthening is 
forecast during the next 48 hours. The depression is expected to 
become a tropical storm by tonight. Precipitation: widely 
scattered to scattered moderate isolated strong is within 240 nm 
of the center in the W quadrant; widely scattered moderate to 
isolated strong is from 08N to 15N between 40W and 49W.

It looks as if it may strengthen slightly before weakening. It should turn more towards the NW and hopefully, what there is left of it, pass north of the Lesser Antilles.

Have a nice day.

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 11 Aug 2020 18:43:49 -0400

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 11 Aug 2020 07:43:01 -0400

Good morning all,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

  Yesterday I mentioned the wave SW of Cabo Verdes as being 60% chance of developing. This morning it is 70% chance in 2 days but still only 70% in 5 days. Websites I monitor show that it may pick up a bit, possibly becoming a Depression. It currently looks as if it will go towards the top end of the Lesser Antilles. It is shown as weakening before reaching the island chain.

Apart from that, there is a tropical wave, the axis of which should pass through over night, currently it has isolated showers  further north than our latitude.

There is a new wave which has come off of Africa.

Radar & Satellite

  Both radar and satellite show a line of what appears to be heavy rain between the Grenadines and Barbados ( I believe Barbados had thunder storms over night?). It has pulses of big convection. We look as if we could be swiped by the southern side of this area of rain as it passes to the north of us.  We have already had some heavy showers this morning.

View from my vantage point

Mostly blue sky to the South, the area of rain we recently had can be seen going off to the west. There is a very dark cloud to our immediate east, which looks like a shower very soon. A pleasant slight easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 10 Aug 2020 10:03:33 -0400

Good morning all,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 There are two tropical waves in the Atlantic. One due in our area in two days time, the the one to watch is due in our region approximately Friday (my calculations using current data). The NHC now have the 'Low'  pressure having a 60% chance of developing in the next 2 days, this remains at 60% over 5 days. This was only 20% yesterday over 5 days!!!,  I will monitor.

Radar & Satellite

  The radar and satellite show rain in the St Vincent area, but currently clear near Grenada.

View from my vantage point

Lovely day, light breeze. Some high wispy cloud and scattered low cloud. A slightly hazy horizon. No rain in sight.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 9 Aug 2020 09:48:47 -0400

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 9 Aug 2020 09:41:11 -0400

Good morning all,

Tropical waves and warnings in the Atlantic -

  Three tropical waves in the Atlantic - well, two in the Atlantic and one , believe it or not, directly over us. It just shows that tropical waves can bring lots of rain or none.

The other two 'waves' are approximately 1100 miles east and 2500 miles east (just south of the Cabo Verdes).

it is the one near the Cabo Verdes that the NHC shows as having a small chance of developing in the next 5 days. I will monitor this.

Radar & Satellite

 The radar and satellite animations show rain in an east-west line starting from just South of us (Tobago is getting rain) and stretch for a distance towards the east. The convection can be seen increasing over the last few hours. This area of rain is moving generally westward. I am hoping it will slide past south of us, but it does look as if there is a drift north. If this happens, I am guessing, we could get a prolonged spell of rain. Let us hope not.

Two websites I monitor don't show this rain moving this far north!!!

View from my vantage point

Hazy Sun, and mostly thin overcast, there is a nice breeze. I can see what looks like a couple of showers well out to sea towards the SSE to south.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 8 Aug 2020 09:26:44 -0400

Good morning all,

The heavy rain did not appear to come from any tropical wave, as far as I can tell there was a bulge in the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) the area of storms where north meets south, weather-wise. At this time of year it is north of the equator!

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   There are two tropical waves to our east. The nearest is approximately 190 miles to our east, but currently has very little convection. The tropical wave's axis is due through this evening, using the speed mentioned on NHC.

The second wave is well over 1000 miles away, The NHC show it with a small chance of developing (10%) over 5 days. Worth watching though.

Radar & Satellite

 Both radar and satellite images show some rain in our area, but mostly north and south of us. There is still a large blob towards Tobago, where they are having storms (from Tobago airport info).

View from my vantage point

 Pretty murky in all directions, mostly caused by high cloud. A pleasant breeze. The distant sound of thunder to the south.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 7 Aug 2020 07:46:24 -0400

Good morning all,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

The 'wave' I mentioned yesterday has passed through, but took most of it's rain through the St Vincent / St Lucia area

Two more waves in the Atlantic. The nearest is due in our area Saturday evening at current speed.

The NHC chart has a comment that there is no tropical cyclone activity expected  anywhere in the Atlantic basin in the next 48 hours.

Radar & Satellite

 Te radar shows a few showers in our area (one hitting the roof as I type).  Satellite images show some large convection popping up, mostly to our West. probably courtesy of the last 'wave'. Looking out further East, the next 'wave' can be clearly seen with blobs of convection that keep bubbling up, scattered over a large area, mostly south of our latitude.

View from my vantage point

 Mostly cloudy, I can see a small shower to our east and the one that has just passed can be seen over the Grand Anse area to our west. apart from that the horizon is clear and there is a slight easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 6 Aug 2020 10:46:14 -0400

Good morning all,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   The nearest of three tropical waves is currently along 57W or about 200 miles east of us, travelling west at approximately 13 MPH. The axis is expected in our area approximately 01:00 Friday. The delay is due to it slowing and also gave an incorrect position yesterday. Currently there is some convection mostly further north than us, but it is possible we could get showers ahead of it

The two 'waves' following are currently very weak. 

Currently there are  no areas of concern for us.

Radar & Satellite

  There are a few showers to our east, showing on the radar, but they seem to be fizzling out. the satellite images don't show much significant convection, at present. 

View from my vantage point

 A few cumulus (fluffy) clouds in all directions, maybe some more bubbly ones visible to the east. A pleasant breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 5 Aug 2020 06:58:46 -0400

Good morning all,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

   The nearest of three tropical waves is currently along 55W or about 430 miles east of us, travelling west at approximately 20 MPH. The axis is expected in our area approximately 03:00 Thursday morning. Currently there is some convection, at our latitude, up to about 100 miles to the west of the axis, if this remains the case we could expect showers about 5 hours earlier - maybe?

The two 'waves' following are currently very weak. 

Currently there are  no areas of concern for us.

Radar & Satellite

  There are only a few showers in our area, showing on the radar, the satellite images don't show much significant convection until the 'wave' mentioned above.

View from my vantage point

  In all directions, except over the mountains, there is blue sky, with just the occasional fluffy cloud. The horizon is clear. Hardly any breeze. And the mocking birds are busy feeding their young in a nest in a palm tree just feet from our veranda, just to add to the picture.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 4 Aug 2020 07:23:12 -0400

Good morning,

From starting to type the subject line to a few minutes later, things changed rapidly tp very heavy rain with strong gusty wind!

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There are three 'waves' in the Atlantic, none as yet are a threat. The axis of the first is due to arrive approx Thursday. The wave currently has showers running well ahead of the wave. If it continues then we can expect showers much earlier. But the current showers are not from this wave, or are they?!

Radar & Satellite

Radar is showing  quite a few showers in our area. The satellite images do show a lot of broken areas of cloud all the way between us and the 'wave' mentioned above. So maybe a period of sunshine and showers??

View from my vantage point

The last heavy, gusty shower has almost passed, much brighter to the east and the wind has dropped again.

Whatever the weather, have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 2 Aug 2020 08:21:35 -0400

Good morning,

My sleep was interrupted several times by thunder overnight. But the nearest being about 2-3 miles away. This morning I am receiving messages from people in the Lance aux Epines and Grand Anse area that they had heavy rain and there at about 04:00. We had no rain here in Westerhall.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

Three tropical waves. One has just passed through and I guess caused the thunder storms.

The other waves are mid Atlantic (about 1500 miles to our east). And one at about 20w having just left Africa.  Neither are showing any significant development at this time.

Radar & Satellite

The radar sequence over the last four hours, shows the storms over Grenada, which just built up and are now dispersing. leaving a few showers out to our east.

View from my vantage point

I did see a few showers out to the NE through east of me about 20 minutes ago.  But I just looked out again, and they have also disappeared.  The sky is mostly blue with a very small amount of high cloud. Not much breeze. Looks like a nice morning.

Tropical Storm/ hurricane Isaias

What started as tropical depression Nine (not ten as I mentioned in an earlier post), is now approaching the East coast of Florida. Causing the Dragon spacecraft to land just off the West coast of Florida later today, instead of it's planned landing in the Atlantic off the east coast of Florida. The storm is expected to scrape up the eastern coast of the USA as a borderline hurricane/tropical storm.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 31 Jul 2020 07:55:27 -0400

Good morning,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

Two tropical waves in the Atlantic, plus a 'Low' behind the furthest. Two significant areas of concern, 1) the mid Atlantic wave has a 20% chance of developing in the next 5 days (expected to go north of the Lesser Antilles), the second one, I mentioned yesterday, still in the same area SW of the Cabo Verdes, not likely to be of concern to us.

Radar & Satellite

Both show a few showers further up the island chain, None in our immediate area.

View from my vantage point

No breeze! Hardly a cloud to the west, plenty of bubbly Cumulus clouds overhead and to the east. No rain in sight except what looks like a slight shower in the hills?  More Sargasso seaweed drifting by (photo - slightly enhanced).

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 30 Jul 2020 09:41:50 -0400

Good morning,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

 There are two 'waves' in the Atlantic. The nearest is about half way across. These waves are expected in our area approximately Monday and Wednesday next week. There does appear to be a 'Low' pressure causing showers just to the east of the furthest wave, but it currently is not expected to develop after the next two days.

Radar & Satellite

 Neither radar nor satellite show any significant showers or  cloud in our area.

View from my vantage point

 Mostly clear skies with a few clouds (more over the mountains, as usual). Slightly hazy, and a pleasant easterly breeze. It was such a nice change yesterday having the southerly breeze blowing on our veranda.

TD 10

Tropical depression 10 has become Tropical Storm Isaias. The NHC now has it going up the East coast of Florida rather than the West coast of Florida, yesterday. That is about 140 miles East of yesterday;s track! Good news for residents near Naples and Fort Myres, but not so good for Miami and Cape Canaveral! Unless it changes again!

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 29 Jul 2020 06:46:07 -0400

Good morning,

TD Nine

Or was it ever really a depression, it still looks like a rather large tropical wave, What the NHC are calling TD Nine, still hasn't made it to Tropical Storm, sort of appears to be going through the island chain about Dominica (or 72 miles south of the predicted track put out by NHC yesterday). Looking at the swirl of rain on the radar, the centre looks even further south than Dominica.  This was obviously a very large system with its affects (mainly rain, cloud and some thunder, but little or no wind) felt throughout the Windwards. I guess slightly stronger winds in the northern half of the Leewards.  In the past, the NHC have put out fairly accurate predictive paths, so what is going on with the weather?

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

We must now look East again to 30W ( or just over 2000 miles)to see the next 'wave'. Not currently very strong.

Radar & Satellite & other comments

There is plenty of rain to the north of Grenada, all courtesy  of TD Nine.  Satellite images are still showing areas of big convection, so heavy rain is still possible, although it is clearing from the east. It does look as if the wind will pick up from the south during the day.

View from my vantage point

 Again there is no breeze, boats at anchor below me are pointing in all directions.  But as I type, I am getting a slight breeze come in through a SW facing window - not normal. There are a couple of small showers visible to the SE way out to sea and they are moving towards the NE. There is quite a bit of low cloud and through the break a lot of higher cloud. Between them giving us almost complete cloud cover. Although it does appear brighter to the east, where I can see shafts of sunbeams. And yes, more breeze from the SW, a sure sign of low pressure to the North.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 28 Jul 2020 12:31:13 -0400

That is it for now.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 28 Jul 2020 07:13:41 -0400

Good morning,

92L

     92L has still not developed into a tropical depression. It appears that the elongated shape (from NE to SW, which also seemed to spawn the big blob to the SW yesterday) is what is causing the delay in its development.  The NHC still have 92L as a 80/90% chance of developing, but it is not clear as to which end (SW or NE) of the system will develop. Whichever it is or even if it remains elongated, the models are showing it going through the Leewards later tomorrow. But, as a large system, the convection is still spread over a large enough area for us potentially to get some rain from the associated tropical wave.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

    The only other tropical wave, other than 92L, is over the other side of the Atlantic and currently is not any cause for concern.

Radar & Satellite

    As I mentioned above, I suggest you view the link above  to see an interesting animation. Which shows a large amount of cloud approaching Tobago. Apart from that the radar isn't showing many showers in our neck of the woods, yet. There are some appearing in a line from Barbados to Tobago and moving in our direction.

View from my vantage point

    High cloud is causing a very hazy sky ( which I believe is outflow from or at least caused by  92L system), apart from that there are few lower clouds, accept over the hills and a bit towards the west. There is absolutely no breeze!  It does appear the high cloud will continue and probably increase. As for rain, going by the satellite images, yes later.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 27 Jul 2020 18:19:23 -0400

Good evening,

92L

I have been waiting for 92L to become a depression, at least. But so far it has failed to do so. in the early hours of this morning, a large chunk of 92L appeared to break away and moved away to the WSW. From that point it seemed to take some energy out of 92L. If any experts read this post, I would love to know if this is common, or I was imagining it? Something similar happened to Gonzalo, which also seemed to be the point at which it stopped strengthening.

So currently 92L is just a low pressure embedded in the tropical wave approximately 750 miles east of us.And moving west at about 22mph. All model tracks have it going to the north of the Lesser Antilles. Although they believe it will still strengthen, it does appear to be a slow process? Unlike Gonzalo, 92L is a much larger, yet weaker system. It has convection spread over a much larger area, so it does look that, where ever it passes through the island chain, heavy showers could be spread over a large area, especially in the Leewards. It is currently expected to reach the Leewards late Wednesday   It still has the big chunk, that appeared to break off this morning, out to its South-west.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There is another 'wave' which has just left Africa. It has some moderate to strong convection associated with it (NHC).

Radar & Satellite

Hardly any showers on radar at the moment.

View from my vantage point

A lovely evening, hardly any clouds, not much breeze and a beautiful clear half moon overhead.

Have a nice evening.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 27 Jul 2020 08:03:57 -0400

Good morning,

92L

At 44W and 11.2N  Just over 1000 miles to our east and beginning to show some circulation, 92L, at its current speed is due in the area of the Lesser Antilles about late Wednesday.  The early models are showing tracks that go near the top of the Lesser Antilles (near Antigua), but I have noticed that its current position already appears lower then the tracks. Once it becomes a true Tropical Depression, then the model tracks will become more accurate (but don't forget Gonzalo!!).

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

We have a weak 'wave' going through at this time. Causing a few showers and, as I type no wind.

The tropical wave midway across the Atlantic is the one spawning 93L

There is a third 'wave' just leaving East coast of Africa.

Radar & Satellite

Numerous rain showers further north (on the radar), and the satellite images show bands of cloud that appear to spiral in to 92L, Guessing there could be isolated showers at any time?

View from my vantage point

Mostly blue sky with a few clouds, especially over the mountains. No sign of rain. Absolutely no breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 26 Jul 2020 07:41:53 -0400

Good morning,

The last word on Gonzalo

I do not want us to forget Gonzalo. It eventually passed us about 86 miles south and was breaking up at that point. What I want to emphasize is that, despite the fact that Gonzalo only brought some strong winds, it must be remembered as to how much the predicted tracks and intensity differed from the final storm as it passed.

Only the day before Gonzalo passed us, its track was predicted to be about 90 miles further north than it finally went, also it had been forecast as a high Tropical Storm or low Cat 1, passing through Grenada. The day before that its track was forecast to go through Union island as a TS, a good 130 miles north of it's final path.

I hate to mention the name Ivan, but that also was forecast to go much further north than it did.  I had hoped that by now, with the more powerful computers, they would have been more accurate. But obviously that is not the case. This isn't to say that very often the forecast and actual tracks are very accurate, But in some cases their computer programs get it wrong. I am guessing their are experts analysing Gonzalo and tweaking programs to improve future forecasts - well I hope they are!

The point I am making is, I and NaDMA etc, put out warnings based on information received from the 'experts' in good faith. The danger now is that the next time a TS or hurricane warning is put out, they should still be taken seriously. Gonzalo only gave us a few strong puffs and passed, or should I say broke up, close on 80 miles south of us. But it could have been much different. Take warnings seriously. It is better to be safe than sorry.

At this point can I repeat my apology for the mistake I made on Friday, where I omitted the word 'Saturday' from my post. I know that put the wind up (no pun intended) at least one person - thanks for pointing it out.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There are two waves in the Atlantic, the first to pass through late tomorrow 'No significant convection associated with this wave' .

The second wave is just under about 2000 miles east of us and has a 60% chance in 48 hours and 90% chance in 5 days of developing into a tropical depression. The 5 day cone, shown on the NHC chart shows it could approach anywhere in the Lesser Antilles. I will  leave out mentioning probable tracks until the system develops further.

Radar & Satellite

The radar and satellite images show some small showers between us and Barbados, travelling towards the Grenadines.

View from my vantage point

A lovely morning, a few cumulus clouds around. No visible sign of showers. Just a slight breeze. Looks like a nice day.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 25 Jul 2020 14:27:20 -0400

Gonzalo

I was wondering why the wind wasn't picking up as much as I was expecting. It now seems that Gonzola has reduced it's strength down to a tropical Depression and appears to be breaking up. With a minimum pressure of 1010 mb this is only slightly less than the surrounding atmospheric pressure. So, my feeling is that the afternoon will remain windy, and there is still the chance of rain, but currently there is little rain showing from the east. There is still a large amount of high cloud courtesy of Gozola.   The boats in the bay have already swung round, on their anchors, to a South-easterly direction, indicating that the system has almost passed.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic

So, as Gonzola gives us it's final puffs, we must now look east again. The system I mentioned earlier is building just SE of the Cabo Verde islands. NHC have it as a 70% chance of developing into a depression in the next 5 days.It is heading west at about 15 MPH. This is the next one to keep an eye on.

Enjoy the rest of the day

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 25 Jul 2020 12:08:06 -0400

With  the centre of Gonzalo at 60.5W and 10.5N (50 minutes ago) that puts it 130 miles SSEof Grenada. The NHC track has it passing right over Port of Spain then along just off the Northern Coast of Venezuela. This will put it, at it;s closest, about 90 miles South of us. But as NHC have stated that the position is within 45nautical miles it is possible that it could be nearer. As we are on the north side of the tropical storm, we will pick up some stronger Easterly, winds for a time. That is definitely an increase on what we have now.  As NaDMA have put out warnings these should be taken seriously.

I believe the worst of the winds will be before 8pm, by which time the wind direction will be more from the SE.

We are hearing plenty of thunder off to our South, all part of the Gonzalo system.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There is another system building across the Atlantic. This has 60% chance of developing in the next 5 days. They are showing it going slightly north of us, but the past week has shown us not to take anything for granted.

Radar & Satellite

Look at this link to watch the progress of the storm:

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastfullDiskband14&lat=12.0&type=Animation&numframes=20&lon=-61.0zoom=1&width=700&height=600&quality=80&palette=ir2.pal

View from my vantage point

Miserable

If possible have a good day

.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 25 Jul 2020 06:26:29 -0400

Good morning all,

Very heavy rain blowing against our bedroom window woke me up. We are not due to get the effects of Gonzalo for many hours! I hadn't even planned to tidy the last few things until this morning!!!

Looking at the satellite images, what appears to have happened is Gonzalo appears to have just spawned a twin area of very thick cloud and rain over 150 miles to it's north-west. This is not the storm, but could it develop, who knows? Apparently the minimum pressure in Gonzalo has increased (weakened it) and really it doesn't look much more than a tropical depression.

If you are awake early click on this link to see what happened. Suggest you click on 'Speed +'  about 5 times to speed it up. Then scroll to the middle of the image.     

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-abi?satellite=GOESEastfullDiskband14&lat=12.0&type=Animation&numframes=40&lon=-61.0zoom=1&width=700&height=600&quality=80&palette=ir2.pal

You will then understand why the experts are confused.

This morning, the latest forecast has Gonzalo still off to the SE of Trinidad and tracking right through Trini and then well south of us. Also it is weakening all the time.  In the short time I have been up, the strong wind has eased off. What we just had was just a squall created by, but was not, Gonzalo.

So be prepared for some high winds and rain, especially this afternoon/evening as the main part of Gonzalo passes well to our south, but, and this is only my opinion, we should not get the tropical or hurricane force winds that we were fearing. It does look as if Gonzalo is breaking apart. But I still stress that you should take the advice from the experts. If they are saying Tropical Storm warning, then expect that, it is better to be safe than sorry! The radar shows plenty more rain from the east. Looking outside it looks miserable.

I will update later. Please remember, I am an observer, not an expert.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 17:21:07 -0400

Gonzalo

I must apologize, This morning's post I  said that Gonzalo would arrive at 18:00. I forgot to say Saturday!!!

Update NHC now have the storm passing 20 mles South of Grenada and has reduced in strength.

Sorry for short post and sorry for the mistake,

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 11:41:14 -0400

All the best. More later as I receive it.

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 24 Jul 2020 07:17:20 -0400

Good morning,

Gonzalo

Gonzalo is currently about 700 miles almost due East of us at a latitude of about 10N The latest NHC predicted track from Forecast 11 has it passing through Carriacou, but as we noticed yesterday this track can still change quite a lot.  Using the data from NHC, it looks like it  will be over this area about 23:00 Saturday, but where it passes will feel the approach well before that. Gonzalo is still a Tropical storm, at the moment, but is forecast to become a low Car 1 hurricane before arrival in our area.  Gonzalo is currently travelling at around 14 MPH.

Where Gonzalo finally passes, the highest winds can be expected in the northern half of the storm. It is expected to bring a lot of rain. This is a relatively small (size) storm, but could still have a big punch. It is expected to be travelling reasonably fast.

Radar and Satellite

Radar and satellite show a band of scattered showers about to pass through our area.

View from my vantage point

Looking out I can see the approaching band of rain to our East, mentioned above, mostly clear to the West.

Have a great day. And be prepared.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 18:07:56 -0400

The predicted track(s) of Gonzalo

This morning I reported the predicted track was between Carriacou and Union Island. This was after seeing the NHC tracks forecast 7. Then in the afternoon I changed it to south of Grenada - using NHC forecast 8 tracks. Now I have received the Forecast 9 track data, it is back passing through Union Island. I don't think I have ever seen forecast tracks vary so much in such a short period of time.

The image attached is NHC predicted track data overlaid on Google Earth. If you wish to try it yourself try this website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gis/

The best thing is to continue assuming the worst and be prepared.

Have a good evening - let us see what tomorrow brings.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 11:36:26 -0400

Tropical storm Gonzalo - update 

The latest Forecast Track from NHC (Forecast 8) now shows Gonzalo tracking just south of Grenada. This is very bad news, if it follows this path. This will bring the strongest winds to the southern part of Grenada!

The track has moved 55 miles south of their previous forecast track!

Watch this space.

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 23 Jul 2020 08:21:52 -0400

Good morning,

Tropical Storm Gonzalo

For this post I am using data from NHC Forecast advisory 7. 

The storm is currently approximately 900 miles east of us. It's track (using data from the above advisory) takes Gonzalo between Carriacou and Union around midnight Saturday/Sunday. The forecast shows it as being in the low region of a Cat 1 hurricane.  With 2.5 days to go all of this could easily, and probably will change. I will try to post when I see any change.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There are two 'waves' to our east, one is just approaching, but little convection associated with it. This is the wave that spawned Gonzola, before zooming ahead to clear it's path! Just maybe there is some truth in that, if it has reduced the Sahara dust?

The other wave is at about 31W and at current speed will arrive about Monday.

Radar & Satellite

The radar is showing rain further north ( I guess  from the tropical wave). Apart from that very little showing on satellite images. Unless one looks further out in the Atlantic, to Gozalo which shows as a small swirl.

View from my vantage point

Lovely clear day, a few cumulus clouds in most directions, fewer to the east and the usual bigger ones over the mountains.

Finally

I must stress, anything I put out is based on information I pick up from other sources (mainly the NHC). Please use official websites and only use my posts as a guide.

Have a great day. Yet be prepared.  

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 22 Jul 2020 09:38:16 -0400

Max sustained: 45 mph

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 22 Jul 2020 07:41:18 -0400

Good morning,

Tropical storm!

The Low pressure system mentioned yesterday has now developed into a Tropical Depression (TD7). The bad news is that it is expected to become a Tropical Storm later today and Grenada is currently in it's path for Saturday afternoon. According to the National Hurricane Centre it is not expected to become a hurricane.  There is still relatively dry Sahara air to the north of TD7, I guess this is slowing development. But it still has about 1275 miles to run.  Time to prepare! Even if it remains at TS level.

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -

There are currently 3 tropical waves in the Atlantic.

One is currently passing through our area and probably what has given us some rain over night.

The 2nd one is what spawned TD7, which as NHC said yesterday has moved ahead of the depression. It is currently moving at between 20 to 25 knots westward. At this speed will arrive tomorrow.

The third one is about 2500 miles away.

Radar & Satellite

The satellite and radar show some fast moving showers in the area.

View from my vantage point

Mostly clear blue sky to the west, some clouds and a couple of showers can be seen to the east and will hit the Ft Jeudy area soon. The mountains have their usual clouds scraping just above them. There is a gentle easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 21 Jul 2020 15:21:50 -0400

Good afternoon,

99L could become a tropical storm over the next couple of days

Just to give an update on the 'Low' in the Atlantic. It is now probable that it could develop into a tropical storm in the next day or so. Currently the early models do not have it becoming a hurricane, as yet.

We will have more information as to track and intensity by tomorrow.

Have a great afternoon.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 21 Jul 2020 07:29:52 -0400

Good morning,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic -  One to keep an eye on

A tropical wave passed through yesterday evening with only an increase in clouds and a few showers.

There are currently two tropical waves heading towards us, plus a third just coming off the African coast.

The first 'wave' appears to be speeding up and likely to reach us over night, tonight. Like other recent waves it appears weak, with very little rain associated with it.

The 2nd wave is expected later in the week, but this is where I now get confused. According to the National Hurricane Centre, the 'Low' associated with the wave, is being left behind. The tropical wave is expected to increase it's westward motion to 20 knots, but the 'Low' is expected to slow to 10 knots. The 'low' now has a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours and has already been allocated an id of 99L on one website I watch. So using the speeds mentioned above - the wave can be expected Thursday and the 'low' which could become a depression could arrive Saturday night through Sunday.  Please do not shoot the messenger (me), I am just trying to understand the information I am seeing. Maybe tomorrow things will be clearer!

Radar & Satellite

There are no showers currently showing on the radar in our area. And nothing significant on the satellite images.

View from my vantage point

Just the odd small cloud in an otherwise blue sky. A pleasant Easterly breeze.

Have a great day.

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 20 Jul 2020 09:19:52 -0400

Good morning,

Tropical waves in the Atlantic - must keep an eye on the third one.

There is one weak wave passing through overnight tonight. It is approximately 180 miles east of us, and satellite images are showing some towering clouds. It does look like there is an increased chance of rain overnight.

The second wave appears fairly weak at present. Which, at current speed (from NHC) looks as if it will arrive Friday afternoon. *1

The third wave is appearing much clearer on satellite imagery and according to NHC has a 10% chance of developing into into a depression in the next 48 hours, this increases to 20% over the next 5 days. This is around the time it is due to arrive in our area, also Friday. *1

*1 Please note that I use the current position and speeds given by NHC, which in this case has the two waves arriving about the same time.

Watch this space tomorrow to see the progress of these last two waves.

Radar & Satellite

Scattered showers are visible, further north in the Lesser Antilles. The satellite images are showing the heavier clouds, to our east, associated with the tropical wave expected this evening.

View from my vantage point

I can see a fairly clear horizon. A pleasant blue sky with scattered fluffy (Cumulus) clouds in all directions - with slightly more sitting over the mountains. No showers in sight.

Comet Neowise

I saw the comet Neowise yesterday about 1 hour after sunset. See image.  A clear sky is required to the NW, also a pair of binoculars.To find it wait until you see the stars appearing in 'the Plough (Ursa Major)' look to the left and slightly down. You have to wait almost until the twilight goes. The photo was taken at about 19:50.  For the next week it will be rise slightly, but will also dim. Best of luck finding it.

Have a great day.

Hogan of Grenada

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 19 Jul 2020 08:57:25 -0400

Good morning,

Do have a nice Sunday.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 18 Jul 2020 07:22:11 -0400

Good morning,

Have a good day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 16 Jul 2020 08:05:33 -0400

Good morning,

Garden plants are beginning to suffer again with lack of good rain.

Hope you have a great day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 15 Jul 2020 07:46:56 -0400

Have a good day

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 14 Jul 2020 08:01:08 -0400

Good morning.

Have a great day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 13 Jul 2020 06:46:02 -0400

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 11 Jul 2020 07:54:43 -0400

Have a great day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 7 Jul 2020 09:04:50 -0400

Good morning,

Hope you all had a nice day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 6 Jul 2020 07:52:00 -0400

Good morning,

Have a nice day

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 30 Jun 2020 11:13:09 -0400

Good morning (late),

Currently a lovely day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 29 Jun 2020 08:19:14 -0400

All the best

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 28 Jun 2020 11:56:39 -0400

Hazy, and no sign of rain.

Have a great day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 26 Jun 2020 07:20:09 -0400

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/sal/g16split/movies/goes16split.html

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 25 Jun 2020 07:31:19 -0400

So maybe we could have some showers as he wave approaches.

Have a good day

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 24 Jun 2020 08:26:45 -0400

Another wave is just under 1000 miles to our West and should arrive Friday.

Hogan


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• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 23 Jun 2020 06:28:19 -0400

Photos taken yesterday evening.

This morning there is slightly less haze, the Sun is a little clearer.

Hogan

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• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 22 Jun 2020 06:57:08 -0400

The tropical wave is passing through see the bit below from NHC.

'The axis of a tropical wave is near 61W south of 18N, moving W 
at 20 to 25 kt. Isolated showers are over water south of 12N 
within 180 nm of the wave axis. A stable air mass attributed to 
the Saharan Air Layer is preventing any convection N of 12N.'

So it appears this Sahara dust has weakened the wave. There is currently a band of rain showers midway between us and Trinidad.

I can't see more than a few miles in the Sahara dust haze.  The Sun is just visible through either high cloud or Sahara dust.

Have a good day

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 21 Jun 2020 08:26:45 -0400

Good morning,

Have a great day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 20 Jun 2020 08:16:31 -0400

So my guess is Sunshine and possible showers. A typical day?

Have a nice day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 19 Jun 2020 09:35:26 -0400

Hi,

Have a great day - Grenada is (apparently) free of the virus, I believe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 17 Jun 2020 07:43:55 -0400

Apart from the weather - Have a nice day and keep safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 16 Jun 2020 07:57:45 -0400

Good morning,

So I hope you all have a pleasant day and keep safe.

Hogan

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• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 15 Jun 2020 06:52:04 -0400

It looks like a day of sunshine and probable showers.

Have a safe day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 14 Jun 2020 07:44:36 -0400

Good morning

So we wait to see what the tropical wave brings us tomorrow, if anything.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 12 Jun 2020 06:53:23 -0400

The tropical wave mentioned yesterday, although passing through, has weakened considerably. Currently most rain from it is from just North of Grenada to St Lucia. The sky to the North is definitely much darker than looking South.

So now we look back into the Atlantic where there are three more tropical waves, the next to arrive Monday (at it's current speed). The conveyor belt has definitely been switched on.

Looking out I see plenty of blue sky to the south, but to the North, as I mentioned above, completely overcast with the mountains completely shrouded in low cloud. The Martinique radar shows a large amount of blips and blobs between here and St Lucia. Satellite imagery does show some heavy convection just to our East, so there looks like a chance that we might get some rain, possibly heavy)?

Have a nice day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 11 Jun 2020 06:41:18 -0400

The  next tropical wave is just 300 miles or so East of us and the following is from the NHC:

 A well-defined tropical wave located about 350 miles east of the 
Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Although significant development is not expected due 
to dry air and adverse upper-level winds, some areas of heavy rain 
and gusty winds are possible across portions of the Windward 
Islands later today through early Friday while the wave moves 
westward at 15 to 20 mph.

It is clearly see on Satellite images as a large blob to the East of Barbados, and is the first 'wave' in our area to be given a yellow 'X' on the NHC chart, indicating 10% chance of developing in the next 24 hours.

The first indications of what weather this is bringing will be in Barbados this afternoon, hopefully someone there will update the StormCARIB later today?

Another 'wave' is following it, currently halfway across the Atlantic from West Africa, estimated to arrive in our region about Monday.

Looking out, there are a few bubbly low clouds. There is almost 100% hazy high cloud to the East, with a very hazy Sun attempting to shine through, but much clearer to the West. Currently there are no weather related blips on the radar to our East.

Have a nice day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 10 Jun 2020 06:09:47 -0400

Good wet morning,

Have a nice day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 9 Jun 2020 09:31:17 -0400

Rain update

Hogan

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• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 9 Jun 2020 07:41:59 -0400

Good morning,

Have a great day and stay safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 8 Jun 2020 09:41:04 -0400

Good morning,

At least, for now, we have lost most of the high cloud.

Have a nice and safe day.  And thanks for many photos of last nights Sunset.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 7 Jun 2020 09:09:34 -0400

Good morning,

After the last two days of rain the plants are already looking happier.

I wish you all a good and safe day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 6 Jun 2020 07:55:42 -0400

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 5 Jun 2020 07:13:55 -0400

Good damp morning,

Have a good and safe day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 4 Jun 2020 08:19:51 -0400

Good morning,

Yesterday, we had a couple of nice showers, enough to wet the ground, a bit.

Keep safe and have a nice day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 3 Jun 2020 08:33:02 -0400

Good morning,

Have a nice and safe day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 2 Jun 2020 08:32:34 -0400

Have a great safe day

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 1 Jun 2020 07:43:44 -0400

Good morning,

Get those rain dancing shoes back on!

Have a good and safe day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 30 May 2020 08:49:07 -0400

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Fri, 29 May 2020 09:17:35 -0400

Maybe slightly less high cloud later. Very little chance of rain.

No tropical waves (as yet) in the Atlantic.

Have a good day, keep safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Thu, 28 May 2020 07:00:18 -0400

Good morning,

Hope you all have a pleasant day, and stay safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 27 May 2020 07:55:53 -0400

Hi all,

I would like to apologize for giving you false hope about having rain. My sources included the National Hurricane Centre. According to the NOAA Synoptic chart, the wave is passing over this area right now. Yet looking out it looks like a typical day, just a few fluffy clouds, just the odd one that could bring a few drips..

NHC Tropical wave discussion :

'A tropical wave is along 16N60W to 08N62W. The wave is moving 
west at 10 to 15 knots. TPW imagery has been showing enhanced 
moisture to the east of the wave. Precipitation: isolated 
moderate is from 10N southward between 50W and 60W'.

Note we are 12N and 62W

Everywhere is now really beginning to look dry. Unfortunately, looking at the same websites, they show no rain for some time. But as at any time, we could have the occasional shower.

My wife always points out that I am wrong, so let us hope I am wrong again. The garden needs rain!

Have a good day, and stay safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 26 May 2020 07:46:18 -0400

Hi all,

Hope you all have a nice day.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 25 May 2020 07:09:28 -0400

A tropical wave is still approaching.

Sorry for being brief, but struggling to see screen in sunlight.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 24 May 2020 06:38:23 -0400

Good morning,

Now to go close to neighbour's house to send this post.

Keep safe

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 23 May 2020 06:26:16 -0400

Good morning,

More posts as I can. Sorry!

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Wed, 20 May 2020 06:49:46 -0400

The rest of the Atlantic is currently clear of tropical waves.

Have a good day - keep safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 19 May 2020 07:56:18 -0400

Good morning,

Now down to do some gardening.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 18 May 2020 07:33:07 -0400

Good morning,

Still very hazy, the breeze has picked up in the last hour.

Hope you all keep safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sun, 17 May 2020 12:47:59 -0400

Hi all,

Hope you all keep safe and life gets back to normal fairly soon.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Sat, 25 Apr 2020 08:18:39 -0400

Have a safe day

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Mon, 20 Apr 2020 06:55:01 -0400

Hi all,

All the best to you all and keep safe.

Hogan

• By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
• Date: Tue, 7 Apr 2020 06:31:54 -0400

Hi all,

I was asleep and didn't feel it.

I hope you all keep safe during this time of Covid-19.

Hogan