- - Barbados - -

• By Jurgen Starck <weather at turtle48.de>
• Date: Thu, 28 Sep 2023 17:39:36 -0400

...I have never read anything like this: "...PHILIPPE'S FATE IS UNCERTAIN..." (Tropical Storm Philippe Advisory Number 22, 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023) from the NHC. Did PHILIPPE has outrun the NHC by unforeseen jinking? I guess I need help on this one... maybe the NHC too? Where are the hurricane hunters?

The NHC has never had so many accurate forecasts in any previous hurricane seasons as to my knowledge, than it had this year. My kudos to the NHC for that! And now this? I just don't understand.

That's why my last post was kind of correct at the time I have posted it. But as Dave has marked in the headline of his post today: "What a difference a day makes" is so true! My thanks to Dave!

Now we are looking at Philippe's jinking all of sudden:

WOW! I am not sure if it is good or bad news for the north-eastern islands. In this case it may mean "no storm, no rain!"

• By Jurgen Starck <weather at turtle48.de>
• Date: Wed, 27 Sep 2023 21:32:29 -0400

As to the latest zoom.earth graphics as of 20:40 this evening (8:40 pm), it doesn't look that PHILIPPE has a distinct eye. It also looks like that the following INVEST 91L has picked up some of PHLIPPE's outer bands, not sure. But zoom's forecast track shows, when it hits Puerto Rico with a full hit but it would only be a Tropical Depression. However, lots f rain may come down there. The same goes for the northeastern Leewards and the Virgin Islands where PHILIPPE will still be a storm. Just use this site's "How close can it get" tool for your location. Also, click the overlay checkbox once you have the result, which will show you the entire size of the storm.

Current tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center.

Best regards and stay safe and prepared, Jurgen, from Barbados South, near airport (BGI)

• By Jurgen Starck <weather at turtle48.de>
• Date: Wed, 27 Sep 2023 16:24:43 -0400

The flash-flood warning for Barbados has been discontinued at 4:14 pm.

• By Jurgen Starck <weather at turtle48.de>
• Date: Wed, 27 Sep 2023 13:13:35 -0400

The Barbados Meteorological Service has issued a flash-flood warning for northern and central districts of Barbados valid from 11:30 am until 6:00 pm, today. 1-2 inches of accumulated rain are to be expected.

• By Jurgen Starck <weather at turtle48.de>
• Date: Fri, 8 Sep 2023 18:28:52 -0400

Good evening to all,

as for Barbados H4 LEE hasn't done a thing to Barbados in terms of damage. It only changed the incoming wind direction to South-Southwest (instead of normally easterly winds) with low wind speeds around 20 km/h (12 mph). Hence, flights approaching and departing directions have changed since the morning. CPA (Closest Point of Approach) to Barbados was at 772 km (480 miles) just at 17:00 hours (05:00 pm) AST. There was not a drop of rain. Also, the forecast heat increase due to low winds as to which LEE would have had an impact, did not occur as to the Barbados Weather Service forecast has predicted. May be it may happen tonight or tomorrow.

Situation this morning by zoom.earth.