Our thoughts and prayers are with the People of Jamaica as Landfall is expected by later Tuesday morning. We All Hope and pray that persons moved to shelters and prepared as best as they could for this multi- day Hurricane onslaught, which appears bent on being an absolute nightmarish and apocalypticly life threatening situation for Jamaica. Also, Let's Hope and pray that Melissa does not continue to intensify any further.

On the local front we had a series of Earthquakes yesterday, Monday, 27th October;- a Major foreshock of 6.5 in the early morning, was followed by a 6 Magnitude (quake) or aftershock, and then a lesser Aftershock of 5.4 Magnitude and then a 4.9 magnitude tremor in the evening. All were centered nearer our northern French neighboring Island of Guadeloupe.

Thankfully & miraculously the impacts were negligible to unnoticeable here across the Nature Isle. Some residents did feel some shaking, but a lot of persons never felt any of the quakes. My area experienced some mild or light to moderate shaking from the first two tremors, however the subsequent aftershocks were not felt. 

Well, these Natural phenomena are certainly inviting us All to remain on our knees, and be ever aware that indeed we are merely a breath. Let us strive to Live in the best way possible in Keeping with God's Will, & let's leave this planet a little better than we first met it!

Blessings & Stay safe this season folks. Special Thoughts and prayers are with Jamaica. Jesus Christ is Lord!

#We Are Caribbean Strong!

Here in the Nature Island of the Caribbean, Dominica we have been having occasional showers from morning time - some of which have been mostly moderate with a few heavy showers interspersed. One particularly heavy thunderstorm squall knocked out power for a while on the West Coast, but as of typing all utilities have been fully restored thank God.

Stay safe folks.

God Bless!

In fact, Perhaps it may make it to Tropical depression status while coming through the Windward Islands. 

Nonetheless, tropical storm conditions are likely from this Sunday into Monday. 98L is yet Another system which is seemingly exhibiting the "Lesser Antilles rule" often referred to by fellow blogger Conan Shillingford (Fr.) as systems tend to close off their center of circulation; consolidate and intensify their convection while nearing the Lesser Antilles Islands.

It's a wait and see at this point...

It seems like the wave preceding it may also act as a sort of precursor event with the more serious tropical storm conditions likely by Sunday afternoon or evening in the windward islands as the vigorous tropical wave labelled as 98L approaches.

Of course, we are not yet 'fully out of the woods' so additional vigilance should be maintained. Hopefully, the additional expected rainfall will not be too heavy. So far there are no no significant reports of flash flooding etc. across the Nature Island which is good news. Also, All utilities have held up soundly in my area after a bit of a beating from last night so kudos to our utility companies & networks -post Erika/ Maria.

Currently, However this more extreme rainfall incidence and associated adverse conditions have now spread to the West Coast where gusts have also recently picked up -in the range of probably 25mph tops. Winds continue to be mainly out of the South West and West for now with some variable gusts as well.

As Always time will tell -regarding the impacts which Jerry may bring to our area.

Blessings!

Hopefully, Most persons did some amount of preparation for the storm even though a storm watch or alerts for Flash flooding etc. have not Yet been issued. I was pleased to see our National water company (Dowasco) -advising persons to stock up early on at least three days supply for their households -given the expected water turbidity etc. & possible interruptions to the supply. 

This good advice serves both as a safe measure and precaution for families in particular. In this era of Climate change and accelerated Human caused Global warming it's imperative that consistent mitigatory steps are adopted by everyone as much as possible.

-Likely island impacts from T.S. Jerry as per our Met Service: (8/10/2025)

Perennially it's always Most baffling as to why there is such undue delay and hesitance in the issuance of the necessary & requisite watches/ alerts and advisories- in a timely fashion for the Nature Isle. Clearly this will be a last minute type of issue unfortunately Re: Thursday's eventual School and Work official statements etc. 

I'll be watching closely this time around yet again to see what obtains in this regard, & whether the 'matter of course' decision may be left for 'last minute'. 

Afterall we are just South of Guadeloupe and it's dependencies... For all intents and purposes- *"Guadeloupe and the adjacent islands" -might as well include Dominica. As a matter of fact, It would not be surprising to see the French Government eventually include even Martinique in some sort of Cyclonic advisory and Watch.

As per the latest NHC Advisory (7th, Oct) at 11P.M. -the following new watches were added and the updated list is stated Below:

At this rate Climatology, and multiple post cyclonic cumulative experience tells me that we in the Nature Isle need to also be on the lookout as we are considered to be ('straddling') at the mid point of the Leeward island chain, & the Windward Isle grouping to which we officially belong.

The last thing any of us want in the islands is an unexpected landfall occuring within a fairly short space of time (a possibility -if Jerry's track remains more Westerly than north Westerly) with a frightful possibility of Rapid intensification on top of all of that.

Vigilance is certainly needed over the next 48hrs as Jerry will make it closest approach by late Thursday into Friday. The official forecast also calls for intensification and Jerry is expected to be a Hurricane then... Time will tell.

Stay safe and prepared as Always everyone, and let's beef up the Prayers in Jesus' Precious Name!

Blessings!

It will be interesting to see which way Jerry eventually goes as per the track models & their early predictions.

However, with its current track and intensity projection Bermuda will likely have to look out down the road. We continue to stay vigilant here in the islands.

Stay safe & prepared everyone.

Blessings!

Here on the West Coast the rains were not nearly as heavy as in the South thankfully.

Stay safe everyone.

God Bless!

So far the effects have been varied across the Nature Island of the Caribbean, Dominica. Here along the West Coast we have had some moderate to light showers and thunder showers from last night into this morning. Thankfully most of the shower activity has not been on the heavy side so far, though the accompanying thunderstorms were relentless from last night into this morning.

However, on the East Coast of the Nature Isle and to the North some flash flooding was experienced in some of the usual areas as well as in parts of the South of the island. As a result schools across the Island are closed for the day as an added precaution. 

At the Moment the winds have also died down for the most part, which were quite gusty earlier this morning. The Sun has also peeked out occasionally from under today's cloud cover.

Hopefully, 94L will not be too impactful overall as we expect more adverse weather later in the day with 94L's continued passage. 

I will report further if warranted...

As Always stay safe this Hurricane season everybody.

God Bless!

Nonetheless, rapid intensification appears to be the 'name of the game' -So the tropical disturbance which has spun up to the East of the islands bears watching as it tracks westward.

Thankfully, there is nothing close to the likes of the intensity of Hurricane Maria anywhere on the Horizon in the tropical Atlantic at this time. 

On the anniversary of this mega destructive storm the weather gave us a mix of sunshine and Clouds along with rain showers- some of which were heavy at times.We're grateful for only having to deal with a tropical wave- a minor disturbance compared to what unfolded 8 years ago.

But with the Advent of Climate change we Must stay prepared, however, everyone in the Nature Island of the Caribbean, Dominica surely hopes and prays that we will not have anything near as strong as Catastrophic Hurricane Maria anytime soon. 

Of course, we're still keeping at least one eye on Gabrielle (expected to go north of us) and what may follow.

It may also be one to watch in the coming days as it could spin up a low level circulation center and gain greater signs of organization.

So far the Beautiful Nature Island of the Caribbean  has been pretty wet & occasionally humid. The last tropical wave which had a bit of vorticity (spin) over the weekend gave us a few solid inches of precipitation across most of the island of Dominica especially on Saturday. The electrical- thunderstorm activity was quite impressive as well in some areas of the Nature Isle.

Perhaps it was a sort of precursor to 92L as this 'seemingly back-loaded' season gets underway. Of course, Time will tell as to what potential impacts 92L and other systems following it may bring.

Stay prepared and Vigilant folks.

God Bless!

Currently we do have moderate to heavy showers as the 'tail' of the system clears our area. We're thankful that the disturbance was not any stronger, which would have certainly been more impactful. So far the shower activity has not been squally in nature this morning, which is certainly a good thing. 

Notably, despite not having a Closed low level center of circulation as per the NHC - the Mid -level center of circulation of 99L seemed significant enough given the hazards it produced- as forecasted in the windward island chain especially from yesterday.

Associated gusty winds and squalls from 99L resulted in power losses in parts of Martinique especially in the south. & Similar gusts to Tropical storm force were reported in Barbados and more so at Hewanorra airport  in St. Lucia (*airport data via weathercarib), which could have had similar impacts like in Martinique.

See the respective links below.

Nonetheless, however, because of the expected impacts regardless of whether this system is named or not -then it might be prudent to solicit or advocate for the issuance of Potential tropical Cyclone (PTC) advisories which, *(sidenote)- was an advisory system rallied for & championed by Regional correspondent Conan Shillingford since 2012 - Re: Pre Helene's impacts (2012) in the Nature Island of the Caribbean, Dominica, which unfortunately resulted in the loss of one precious life. Such critical appeals were consistently made through online meteorological mediums & communities such as Wunderground linked to WMO etc.

Despite his sustained advocacy on various meteorological forums the National Hurricane Center (NHC) only began using the oft requested new advisory system in 2017. This change was part of the NHC's efforts, which it eventually deemed necessary -to provide advance warning for systems that had not yet organized into a tropical depression or a tropical storm, but *posed a threat of hazardous winds or *storm surge to land within 72 hours.

Hi everyone, Both 90L and 99L.appear to be currently undergoing imminent Cyclogenesis. In the case of 99L based on previous wind data Re: a closed center of circulation (windy.com) & satellite appearances it seems like it may have already briefly attained Tropical depression status about 24hrs ago in the Central Atlantic. 

At this point however, it's a wait and see, and as always- Time will tell which invest becomes Fernand first. Although 90L which is on its way to Bermuda is most likely to do so.

& As 99L approaches the key 55 West Longitude point the atmospheric favour-ability factor Re: cyclonic formation is likely to kick in aka- "The Lesser Antilles rule." Hopefully, any potentially explosive or rapid deepening and intensification the likes of Hurricane Erin will not be in the cards for these future named systems.

Stay prepared and Vigilant this season folks.

God Bless!

Greetings, It's almost unbelievable that Erin underwent a process of Rapid and Explosive intensification from a Mere Tropical storm to a Category 5 Hurricane in just twenty four hours. 

Thankfully Erin is not likely to make direct impact or landfall on any landmasses.

We are truly grateful for that fact in the Lesser Antilles Islands. Here in the Nature Island We have been having a sort of lull in the weather from this morning with scattered and sporadic showers occuring across our beautiful island today.

We still have rough seas, however more rain bands and shower activity is expected tonight into tomorrow God's Willing. Perhaps we might also get some more rain squalls late tonight like we had early this morning. However, So far so good in Dominica the Nature Isle.

Thoughts and prayers- to the islands further north who are nearer to Erin's center.

Blessings!

What a difference a few hours can make... Hurricane Erin is now a Category 4 Hurricane with winds at 145mph. Truly a classic text book case of Rapid intensification (RI)

This is why Tropical systems are never to be underestimated especially in this time of climate change, & accelerated human caused Global warming. This is quite literally an Epic cyclone as Erin is now a Category 4 Monster.  & the 'Lesser Antilles rule' Re: increased probability for intensification has been evident once again going West of 55 degrees longitude.

Here in the Nature Isle our Winds, rains and Seas have dramatically picked up along our West Coast- though of course it's not any where near as bad as what could have occured had dangerous Hurricane Erin barreled directly through our island chain.

Thoughts and prayers go out to those further north in the Leeward island chain. Stay safe & be prepared.

God Bless!

Greetings... Indeed, we still need to maintain vigilance going into the weekend God's Willing as the 'tail' of Erin comes through with anticipated rain bands etc. This looming threat was rightly highlighted in the earlier post.

So far it's very still outside with the odd breeze- very eerie. However, it's likely that this may not last for much longer as more rain clouds from Erin's circulation drift down our way to the Nature Isle of the Caribbean.

Erin seems to be truly consolidating it's overall structure, and a concentric eye has visibly formed on Satellite imagery. Perhaps some rapid intensification is on the cards & it could at least be near Category three strength soon. Thankfully the center is not any where nearer our islands.

As per our Met Office we have been put on alert for above normal seas as well as the potential for isolated thunderstorms & rain squalls from Erin's bands. Hopefully Erin will not have any 'tricks up its sleeve' in that regard.

Let's continue to hope and pray for the best.

& Thoughts and prayers go out to our sister islands further north. 

As is Oft said by Gert folks- "hang in there."

It continues to be very humid in the Nature Isle and generally cloudy or overcast as the outlying bands and cloudiness from what is now Hurricane Erin comes nearer to our Lesser Antilles.