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- - - 2008 Hurricane Season - - -
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- drought ends with a splash
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Tue, 12 May 2009 11:56:17 -0700 (PDT)
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After being in the worst drought in years we have finally come out of it with a splash. Today it has been cats and dogs on and off all day. As photo shows right now we are still getting it. The island went from being a dry dusty brown patch to a brillian green within a few days. I think we can get back to being sunny now. We were lucky to have had such a nice weekend and start of the week. Hope tomorrow is nice as i have a sailing trip!
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- Finally seeing some green!
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- From: Steve Coghlan <steve at candw.ag>
- Date: Tue, 12 May 2009 11:26:44 -0400
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We had a few showers last night and again this
morning. Still a lot more rainfall needed to ease the drought, but at
least the vegetation is responding and we are seeing some greenery
again.
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- rough and wet
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Tue, 5 May 2009 04:23:20 -0700 (PDT)
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Sailing from St. Barts to Antigua after the West Indies Regatta wasn't that much fun yesterday and last night. We had squalls from about 8 PM in the 30 knot range. Man it was wet! Glad we had reefed the big main and even more glad to be home now. Looks like it will kinda stick around for the next couple of days. I would sit back and relax for a few if you are in port and don't have to move.
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- WARMING!!
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 17 Apr 2009 16:59:02 +0000
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I have just opened one of my shutters upstairs as its getting warmer! But the wind is funny..nothing , then a sudden gust which again messes up my filing system and sadly has broken my 2nd lamp. Sarah Fuller our local potter made them for some idiot who didn't want them and they are or were so beautiful I decorated my living room around them, well..sort of! James pieced the first one together in a couple of days and I touched it up. BINGO! lamp back. This one seems to be giving him a harder time but I think he may succeed . We now have 4 birds in the house on a regular basis though unlike some of our bloggers I'm not exactly familiar with bird faces and haven't named them yet, though Im sure Ill get there. Its still very dry and dusty though we did have rain for a couple of nights. The island looks awful especially on the west coast ..miles of brown hills. I know I've seen this many times but it never ceases to amaze and upset me. Classic week this weekend , I hope that the winds are fair, behaviour is good and all events are without incident. Unhappy that dogs are not always welcome in and around retaurants and bars in English Harbour ( used to be) so Max will have to stay home. Off to listen to some music , and do some more painting. Jan
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- Update
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- From: "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Fri, 27 Mar 2009 21:15:59 -0400
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Should have said foto by my
son alexander
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- Update
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- From: "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Fri, 27 Mar 2009 20:48:49 -0400
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YESTERDAY A MILE OFF SHORE!!
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- HOT,HOT,HOT!!
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 23 Mar 2009 15:49:30 +0000
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One day it was doors closed and blankets and the next...can I be perspiring??? Im quite happy that the wind has died down 25 to 30 knot gusts every 30 minutes doesn't make for a calm life or a good sleep, banging doors and papers flying around made filing a challenge, but rain would be nice. Just wait!!! I know when it does rain it will demolish our new road. YES we do have one thanks to general elections. I'm trying to start a garden .just palm trees at the moment, very small ones, but with no government water and no rain they probably won't survive . Max our dog is sleeping on the floor as the bed is too hot, and the tiny ants are back in the kitchen looking for water. Ill be looking for water soon via Jim Daddy the island's water vendor as I see trucks on our hill already. One government promise was water soon!!!
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- huge waves coming this weekend
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Wed, 4 Mar 2009 10:01:31 -0800 (PST)
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Everyone on the north and west coasts of Antigua and around the caribbean should be warned that there is a huge ground swell coming our way in a few days. IT's gonna be good surfing but could be extremely dangerous for boats and properties not expexting it.
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- crrection
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 20 Jan 2009 20:46:43 +0000
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. The picture is not upsidedown!!! The signature is. Its now covered with paint, An artists moment ,forgot which way up it was, Jan
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- changing times
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 20 Jan 2009 20:37:13 +0000
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We are still overcast today though no rain its so nice to have warmer weather for the last couple of days. we can open up our house and enjoy the soft breezes . Its been about a month since we could eat outside. Instead of wearing sweaters and eating off our laps we can relax and watch the lights at night and the changing view of the sky and the sea. The birds are back in our living room so the bananas in the bowl need to be covered again. We really don't need to complain ,as at least we don't have to wear fur hats and earmuffs as do the inauguration guests and visitors today in Washington DC ..even in our hurricane season!! Don't mean to make light of the weather as its a very important part of our lives from the beginning of summer until the beginning of winter. Im trying to save enough money to buy house insurance for the coming season, not that Im being a pessimist. We are due for elections soon here in Antigua, but I don't think we are looking for drastic changes :just a government that can deal with the economic downturn that the Caribbean is going to feel with a vengeance shortly. Id be interested to hear from sailors this winter on this blog on how the weather is . I know from when I cooked on a 50 ft charter boat, bad winter weather had an effect on our livelihood. Strong winds and high seas are not much fun for weekend sailors or charter guests. OR COOKS!!!! I can remember taking 4 rather overweight men ashore {or trying} on a beach in Barbuda near Coco Point in a rubber dingy on my own on a very rough windy evening. I jumped out into the surf held the boat and urged them to get out which they were so slow in doing that the boat threw them in the water. Spoilt their evening!!! Im adding the sunset view from our veranda, or at least my idea of it, Jan
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- VOLCANO
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- From: "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2009 20:41:54 -0500
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NOTWITHSTANDING THE PREVAILING NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WE WERE
WELL ASHED FROM MONTSERRAT TO THE SOUTHWEST!!! EVEN ONTO THE BED SHEETS.
EVERYWHERE.
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- Happy New Year
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- From: Steve Coghlan <steve at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 01 Jan 2009 08:48:33 -0400
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The weather in Antigua is cool and quiet with a
slight swell from a cold front up North.
Best wishes to everyone for a happy and healthy 2009.
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- Happy New Year.
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2008 17:48:21 +0000
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After a pretty wet and windy christmas the weather seems to be improving for the new year. We still have some unhappy campers trying to build their houses in the middle of mud and serious run off on our left and on our right and below us. My daughter, here for a christmas TAN!!! went back as white as she came. A one day art show was sabotaged by rain on boxing day but christmas day at the beach was fun ,though no-one went swimming as the waves were huge. NOTHING will stop christmas!! The dog is as usual muddy but fine. My husband caught a tourist cold so spent most of the holiday in bed. Wishing everyone a prosperous and happy new year despite the economic climate and hoping that the regular climate[ie. hurricanes] leaves us alone again and does'nt revisit the islands that were hit last year. Attaching a painting that to me is the best of the Caribbean. Jan
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- Seasons Greetings all around
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- From: Alan B Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2008 19:23:30 -0400
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The Christmas weekend brought some strong brisk winds.
At times I had a flashback to the beginnings of a few past storms but
they remain fairly steady with an occasional gust.
I did visit some friends who live on a hill and oh boy it was almost
TS force up there wow.
Have a Happy New Year 2009 when it rolls in.
Alan
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- "xmas winds"
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2008 17:02:16 -0800 (PST)
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hope everyone enjoys the holidays and stays safe. the xmas winds look like they will be very strong with some big waves. windguru.com is showing some good windsurfing weather but not so good boating weather.
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- Paloma's fury
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- From: Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 7 Nov 2008 22:41:49 -0500
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It looks as if Paloma will pass between the two Caymans after scraping pass Grand island an hour ago. A friend of mine spoke to me earlier on his shortwave set. He reported very strong wind up to 98 mph gusts with possibly stronger winds elsewhere on the island(he's somewhere in the Bodden area), there's also heavy rain in sheets(~3.67 in. since 6 p.m.). He's not able to gauge the sea condition due to poor visibility. As from the Cuban doppler radar attached, you can see the eye(marked) pass just to the east of Grand Cayman. The strongest of Paloma remains offshore of Grand Cayman however. Jamaican radar also show rainbands approaching from the west of the island.
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- LUCK!
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 6 Nov 2008 12:05:40 +0000
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Someone must be watching over me! Our road had just become passable for any car high enough to miss the potholes and combined with a ferry service operated by my stepson, managed to have 20 ladies for a Women's Club lunch on Tuesday. This was to acquaint everyone in these lean times that I am about to have a gallery studio here in Buckley's. By yesterday no-one would have turned up and I would have had food left for an army.!! I don't know how much rain fell in Antigua on Tuesday night and Wednesday but schools and businesses closed along with roads. We didn't have a lot of rain yesterday on our hill but I could see it all around us and it was dark enough to have lights on most of the day. This is the second near miss as the last large gathering at our house was our wedding which was bright sunny and quiet! The following morning at 7.am a bacco started clearing ground 30 feet from our veranda. I hope that the roads are better today. My husband tried to shop yesterday and both supermarkets we use were inaccessible due to flooded car parks. Heres to a dry Antigua!! Jan
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- RAINY STORMY NIGHT
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 5 Nov 2008 19:31:30 -0400
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The bad weather warning expected to end by 6 p.m. Has been extended ... Here on the Atlantic coast we just got a heavy down pour. There are discussions on the radio on schools possibly being closed tomorrow but the MET OFFICE says the weather should pass by tomorrow. Meanwhile, due to Antigua being "water logged" there could be serious flooding so precautions are being taken in low lying areas and storm shelters have been opened in some areas. Just spoke to someone who lives near the airport and it took them 2 hours to get home due to roads being flooded! RAIN RAIN GO AWAY!! We don't say that often in Antigua!  |
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- Flash flood warning and dumped on
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- From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 05 Nov 2008 15:15:27 -0400
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Due to a trough, we just got inches of rain dumped on us
once again. Some places looked worse than when OMAR passed
a few weeks back.
The Met Office here issued a Flash Flod Warning and warned
residents living in low lying areas to take precautionary
measures against flooding.
At around 1PM, there were several main roadways blocked
which caused significant traffic. Schools were closed
early as were some business places in St.Johns.
Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
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- BEAUTIFUL
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 28 Oct 2008 13:39:07 +0000
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What a beautiful day, what a beautiful beach! The calm warm turquoise water lapping the white sand beach, fried chicken with friends, a bottle of chilled wine. It doesn't feel like an alien grey wet place any more. I was beginning to think it only existed in my paintings!!!Jan
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- some of omar
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- From: "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2008 13:37:31 -0400
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- more info on Omar
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Sun, 19 Oct 2008 09:49:39 -0700 (PDT)
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I just wrote about the storm as i experienced it in Jolly Harbour and showed some radar shots which clearly point out why Antigua got hit as hard as it did with rains. You can see the line of severe thunderstorms as it passed from south to north over us. Here is the report:
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- BABY HUMMERS after OMAR
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2008 09:49:28 -0400
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OK.. I know baby hummingbirds are not HURRICANE RELATED... But have had some who have asked about the baby hummers who were born during HURRICANE OMAR --(see my previous posting - the morning after)
These photos attached were taken early this morning with them both begging for their nectar! I THINK MAMA is around .. As I saw a hummer in the area but have not witnessed her FEEDING THEM YET so must watch this carefully in the hope she survived the storm. Not easy to try to feed baby hummers so hope I don't have to take that on Will let you know if mama comes back ( possibly with a photo of her feeding them)! |
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- little vid from omar
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Sat, 18 Oct 2008 06:40:12 -0700 (PDT)
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this terrible vid was taken by me during the storm. my laptop battery is failing while i borrow some internet from my old man. the north finger of jolly harbour has no internet but got power back late yesterday thankfully. about 30 properties in jolly were badly flooded and some small boats without bilge pumps went under. most of the area is back to normal and the weather is nice once again. dad's gone fishing. here is the vid: I hope i muted it properly. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H2Vh1pu-i20
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- BEAUTIFUL DAY
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2008 12:48:13 +0000
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What a beautiful day!!! Apart from "a mashed" up road we are all in one piece especially the house. I spent some of Wednesday night under the sheets trying to block out the light and sound effects until new leaks got me out of a wet bed. Yesterday was cleanup day and 16 hours without power, not bad actually After Louis it was 3 months. Internet was playing up with generator power ,but I thought that this space was best left to the serious bloggers who connect to all the weather sites. Hurricanes freak me out I'm afraid, during Louis I spent the night pacing and worrying and this was no different. My family thought I was mad to move everything inside and pack up all the cushions and photos into plastic bags. I learned from experience ,as before Louise I piled all my paintings sans plastic into the shower and inadvertently gave them all a bath as the water came horizontally through closed louvers. I have heard that there has been a lot of flooding but as our road is so bad haven't been to look. Our new next door neighbor who has only just finished building the ground floor of his new house and has been here for 3 weeks overseeing the processor understands a little more why our roads are so bad as he has seen them disintegrate in a few days. My heart goes out to everyone on all the islands who have suffered damage as I remember the aftermath of Hugo and Louis both to persons and the economy. Congrats on new Fuller baby. Jan
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- THE MORNING AFTER miracle babies and birds
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Fri, 17 Oct 2008 07:02:26 -0400
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It is much nicer waking up this morning than yesterday when we were in the thick of HURRICANE OMAR... And even during the night just a few hours after the blow, the wonderful Caribbean tree frogs were all singing as usual and life goes on!
Antigua had big time flooding and schools still closed today... But my ELECTRICITY IS BACK ON! That was quick work by our power guys!
And doing a walk around in my garden to survey the damage I was delighted to find that my Hummingbird nest I have been watching HAD TWO NEWLY HATCHED BABIES (see photos)...
SO the FULLER FAMILY had their "hurricane baby" and I have my "hurricane birds"! Have not actually SEEN MAMA BIRD so just hope she survived the storm but I feel she must have done to have protected these fragile babies. You will note the branches are all BROKEN SUPPORTIING THE NEST but yet the nest remained! Nature is FULL OF MIRCLES! All in all Antigua was lucky as we did not get devastating wind damage. Let's hope it is over for this season. Thanks again to all for concern.
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- reporting from aquantigua
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- From: "eli fuller " <elifuller at hotmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 22:07:24 +0000
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when I made my last report it was before dawn and we were in the middle of the
worst. I had just come back from a drive around jolly harbor and all was ok. an
hour later something happened and the ''levy broke'' somewhere in the hills
that drain into this development and former drainage swamp. I left my rented
villa to go and check on my powerboats (the sloop was fine) and could see the
waters coming over the roads. it was 3 hours before I could get back to the
north finger of jolly. in that time I saw 2 suvs, two helicopters, a few boats
all sorts of debris and a huge pig all get washed into the drink (marina). many
villas along the golf course road were totally flooded as were cars and carts
throughout. three major torrents of fast moving water cut off the north side
from everywhere else. I have some crazy video footage and if and when we get
power back... I will put em on u-tube. jolly harbor without power is weird. we
were very lucky nobody was killed. and as soon as the waters let me get back to
my girlfriend we were able to go to the clinic to see my brother new hurricane
baby... Alexander Fuller. what a ..... great day to be alive.
Good job ali and julia!
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- Omar - Flooding in Antigua
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- From: Steve Coghlan <steve at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 12:28:08 -0400
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- IMG00049.jpg
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- From: fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 15:14:16 +0000
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Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel Attachment:
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- RAINNNNNNNNN
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- From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 10:50:15 -0400
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When I didnt think it couldn't rain any more it did. WOW
we are seriously flooded here in Antigua.
There are unofficial reports of people being
rescued/evacuated in the Pigotts area. Runaway Bay
residents have been cutoff and the water is at 3 feet in
some areas. The Paynters area behind the stadium is
literally a lake.
I have a attached a few pictures of my property and the
Fryes Hill Rd by WOODS to give you some idea.
Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
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- More on antigua
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- From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 10:48:00 -0400
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Been very serious flooding island wide. Rain still pouring ...wind dying a bit
... power out island wide ..but radio just back on .. Prime Minister just on
radio on tour of serious flood areas and has been major rescue of boats going
into residental areas to rescue people..pigotts is worst hit .
My own house had big flooding under doors as the water rose ....
Also many elec poles down island wide with work going on now but it will be
slow....i think it is finally safe from lightening for me to go out to my
neighbors homes to see if all safe ...will report back later today ..but no
internet only communication on my cell .. So concerned about those in st
croix etc who got Cat 3 hit...we were lucky with wind but still have
serious water flood damage ... Evyone will have to roll up or sleeves and
pull together ...
radio just reported looting in town but police now on scene ..
martha
Martha Watkins Gilkes
from Palm
Paradise accomadations: http://www.antiguanice.com/treetops
268 460 4423 phone
268 460 4424 fax
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- IMG00049.jpg
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- From: fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 13:13:08 +0000
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Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel Attachment:
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- Antigua east coast & OMAR
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- From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 7:40:00 -0400
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What a night.. Not much fun......and this a.m. Very strong wind gusts still.
Lost my electricity 2 am and both internet providers down...am on my palm
treo on GPRS. My wind guage down too but think we had 40 to 50 MPH.. Just
spoke to our MET office and this should go on all day..they report
strongest winds of 50 mph ..thinking of those in the hurricane eye and path.
Txs to all who have been in contact.
Martha Watkins Gilkes
from Palm
Paradise accomadations: http://www.antiguanice.com/treetops
268 460 4423 phone
268 460 4424 fax
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- Omar
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- From: fullerj at candw.ag
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 09:53:02 +0000
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The most frightening lightning show I have witnessed. Endless rain. Strong wind
30 kts direct from montserrat. Strong smell of sulphur. No power. My first
grandchild being delivered now!!!
Sent from my BlackBerry® device from Digicel
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- Omar
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- From: Steve Coghlan <steve at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 06:14:07 -0400
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Antigua was witness to an amazing show during the
early morning hours. Lightning was almost continuous, with thunder in
the background.
Winds are from the SW at about 30 KT with gusts to 45 KT.
Almost continuous rainfall, with some very heavy squalls.
Electricity is off in the North of the island. Probably as a result of
a lightning strike.
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- most amazing lightning eva!
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 02:37:34 -0700 (PDT)
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i have never seen or heard of any lightning storm like this, and i went to university in florida. This is totally crazy. It's like being in a rave disco with constant flashing. I would say that there is lightning every second or more. From the looks of things on the radar and on sat maps there is a band that is just cruising from south to north right over us. The east of the island doesn't even look like its getting the full brunt of this band, but let me tell you.... Jolly Harbour and most of the rest of the island is. Rain is in sheets. Boats look fine in the harbour, but the tide is about a foot higher than normal. more later.
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- OMAR PLOWING THROUGH
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- From: Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 16 Oct 2008 02:44:28 -0400
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TIME 3:15 AM EST, 16 Oct-2008:
Haven't been able to get much observations since an hour ago, seems like everyone's pretty much hunkered down. Omar has been strengthening steadily through-out the night and early morning and is now at 122 mph(1-min average) which makes it a modest category 3 hurricane. It's currently moving through the BVI/Leeward Island passage pass its closest point to St. Martin and then Anguilla. Last report coming from an associate in Virgin Gorda at 2:25 am EST indicate a sustained wind of 35 mph with higher gusts coming from the NE and the west side beach's got 2-3 ft swells rolling in, much calmer than the east side. Lime Tree Bay(St. Croix) still reporting tropical storm wind conditions and moderate rainshowers. Grand Case, St. Martin reported a gust of 48 mph at around 1:46 am EST but there's been no data available since. Satellite presentation on IR remained good with a large canopy. A strong convective mass is situated just west of the Northern Leeward Islands.
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- STRONG WINDS AFFECTING ST.CROIX & USVI
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- From: Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 23:59:14 -0400
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Station 9751364 at Christiansted Harbour, St. Croix just reported sustained winds(NNE) of 51 mph with a gust to 67 mph at 12:06 am EST. There's also an unconfirmed report from Cruz Bay, St. John of sustained wind at 38 mph with gusts to 56 mph. HR composite radar shows that the strongest hurricane winds(at least 90 mph) remains just offshore of St. Croix to the east. From this point on, the eye of CAT3 Omar will begin to move away from St. Croix but strong winds(possibly the highest is yet to blow onshore) will continue to affect the island for another 3 hours or so. Meanwhile, conditions across Anguilla, St. Martin/St. Maarten and the rest of the Northern Leeward Islands will continue to deteriorate. The eye of Omar is expected to pass just west of Anguilla at around 3:30 am EST. It should be noted that the strongest sustained hurricane force winds of Omar(100-120 mph) is located on the east and southeast side of the eye which means islands such as Anguilla and St. Maarten will take the full brunt of this storm.
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- TS CONDITION TO AFFECT SABA, ST. EUST & ST. MAARTEN SHORTLY...
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- From: Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 23:04:02 -0400
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11:20 pm hurricane hunter aircraft data continues to show a band of strong thunderstorms moving towards the St. Maarten/St. Martin-Saba-St. Eustatius region. These thunderstorms contains very heavy rainfall as well as strong gusty winds up to 50 mph. As Omar continues on its NE path, TS conditions will start to affect these islands followed by Anguilla, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Barthelemy and Antigua & Barbuda. Frigate Bay of St. Kitts just reported a gust to 36 mph(SE) along with rainshowers and thunderstorms. Conditions in Antigua remains relatively calm in terms of wind conditions, but there's been unending rainstorms and lightning since 9:00 pm. Hope everyone is fine on the other islands affected by Omar.
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- 8 PM HURRICA ORMAR
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 22:44:58 -0400
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Seems we will be spared this time.. But still alert if there is a change... We listen to our local radio -
And will watch the 11 PM advisory! Our sat is broken down from the storm so cant see the the pictures.. Or the debate!
Cheers ! Martha....
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- OMAR APPROACHING USVI/BVI...FAST!!!
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- From: Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 22:04:59 -0400
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At 10:00 pm EST, San Juan doppler radar and data from two off-shore NOAA bouys indicate that tropical storm conditions are beginning to spread over St. Croix and approaching the US Virgin Islands. Bouy #41140 reported large waves up to 7ft above normal are impacting the SE and ESE shoreline of St. Croix, in addition onshore station LTBV3 reported sustained winds of 37 mph gusting to 50 mph from the NE at 10:05 pm EST, since then the wind continues to pick up gradually. However, it looks like the strongest winds located in the compact eyewall of Omar will remain just offshore of St. Croix as the hurricane passes to the SSE and E but portions of the BVI and Northern Leeward Islands may not fare so well as the 15 NM eye may actually passes directly over some of the islands and cays. In the path of this potential danger includes, Dog Island, Anguilla Island and Sombrero Island(BVI).
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- So much for the calm, oh before the storm
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- From: Alan B Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 18:31:31 -0430
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The sky just went crazy at 17:50 local, 30 mph gusts, torrential
rainfall, lightning turning the night sky into day and the thunder
claps that follow.
Power immediately went off at Lower Fort Road. Had to inch myself
trough the rain to get to McKinnons, which fortunately still has power
so far.
Looking at the Martinique radar, you can see the long band coming in.
It is still raining and I am hearing thunder at 18:27.. This could be
a long night..
Alan
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- OMAR
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- From: "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 18:27:52 -0400
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There is absolutely no need to panic anywhere in our family
of islands. We’ve been through many storms much worse than Omar. Omar is
a puppy compared to Hugo or Luis or George.
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- omar's bands
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 15:16:26 -0700 (PDT)
|
Well after not having anything at all for the day we just had our first rain in Jolly Harbour and it was a good one. I estimate 25-30 knots with heavy rain and lightning. Action! Gone calm again now though. Amazing how choppy it can get in here in such a short time. Glad all the extra lines are on the boats. the first image is of the cloud coming into jolly and the second image shows the rainfall on the radar.
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Attachment:
6769.jpg
Description: JPEG image
Attachment:
1st rains of omar.png
Description: PNG image
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- Happenings...
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- From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 17:25:44 -0400
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At the moment it is gray and overcast. I took a quick
drive down to Fort James beach, the Caribbean Sea is as
calm as a bathtub. It has an eerie look took it along with
the horizon.
We have not had any rain on this northern side for most of
the day and some of the mud puddles are acually drying up.
If the predicted track goes as expected OMAR will pass 193
miles away, with storm winds out 115 miles, not sure how
much of this we will get but as these things go you just
never know. Some of the supermarkets are packed with
shoppers as is one gas station that I passed on the way
home.
Other than that, I wish all our friends in the closer
affected islands a safe night while OMAR makes his way
through.
Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
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- HURRICANE OMAR BIG THUNDER AND LIGHTENIING!
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 15:18:10 -0400
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GOODNESS.. It is still a long way off but we are getting BIG THUNDER AND LIGHTENING - no rain yet......! I am going to power down for a while as I also have more "hurricane preparedness" to do ... So will hopefully be back on line for the 5 p.m. Report. Antigua is still very much ON ALERT in case the path changes .. Which of course happens in HURRICANES!
Signing off for now...
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- no real action yet...
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 12:10:17 -0700 (PDT)
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Have been speaking with my surfing and windsurfing friends around the island and no waves or winds yet anywhere. We haven't had any rain either, but just now i am hearing thunder. Radar shows some rain starting to show up, but the guru is forecasting less overall rain than they had done before. Will keep ya updated.
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- 11 AM HURRICANE OMAR
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 11:22:09 -0400
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Things are looking a bit better for us here in Antigua as the north turn has started with Hurricane Omar.. Now at 15.2 N at 11 am ( was at 14.6 at 8 am). Search results for
How close it will come if it stays on the PROJECTED TRACK are below.
However, they are closing all of our schools at noon today so we are still in "storm mode" and I am taking action.. But then I am on the HIGHEST hill on the Atlantic side so I am a "sitting duck" in hurricanes! Thinking about those poor people right in the path....
More later.
Results for Antigua (17.12N, 61.78W):
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 18.8N, 64.1W or about 193.6 miles (311.5 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the center of the storm will be at that location is in about 22.8 hours (Thursday, October 16 at 9:48AM |
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- calm
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 05:46:07 -0700 (PDT)
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before the storm? It's nice and calm with little or no swell. In Jolly Harbour it's been dry since the middle of the night when we had some thunderstorms pass through. Windguru is still saying we will have over 30 knots of wind early tomorrow morning which is good windsurfing weather.The problem is the rain. A friend and i will be out there trying to windsurf somewhere where there are a few waves probably between Johnson's Point and Jolly Harbour if the wind and waves are to come from the south as forecast. I don't mind storms coming this close, but i am sure that there will be some problems for people who don't do any prep work for this storm. People should still get their boats properly secured. I imagine there will be some beach erosion over by OJ's as well. Such a shame he put in the "breakwater". With the eye about 200 miles to our North it will be close
enough to keep us on our toes. Radar shows very little rain in the area at the moment. I'm sure this will change. www.weathercarib.com has a link to the martinique radar which shows the eastern caribbean.
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- HURRICANE OMAR
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 06:24:23 -0400
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Up early this morning now with eyes WIDE OPEN.. This weather developed fast... And is coming at us FROM THE WRONG WAY as LENNY DID in 1999 !! . We have a hurricane on our doorstep... . Just since I came home from having fun in the big apple this monster has developed and certainly has the attention of all of us in the northern leeward islands...
On the present path Antigua is just outside of hurricane winds with the closest point of the eye expected to pass 178 miles from us in 27 hours or early tomorrow (WEDNESDAY MORNING) -
However just spoke to our met office and they say THERE COULD BE A SHIFT to the SOUTH and we would be in the more direct path so we must pay close attention for the next advisory this morning.
Will certainly do a review of my hurricane check list over the next hours.
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- HIT PROBABILITY A32380
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- From: Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Wed, 15 Oct 2008 03:56:50 -0400
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TUE WED THU FRI
11 pm 5 am 11 am 5 pm 11 pm 5 am 11 am 5 pm 11 pm 5 am 11 am 5 pm 11 pm
Within 15 miles-Puerto Rico 0% 0% 0% 9% 28% 34% 38% 32% 30% 34% 25% 22% 15%
Hurricane conditions in PR 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 8% 14% 21% 12% 8% 5% 3% 0%
Within 15 miles-BVI 1% 2% 5% 16% 39% 58% 66% 62% 55% 43% 31% 24% 13%
Hurricane conditions in BVI 0% 0% 0% 2% 22% 47% 66% 57% 58% 39% 31% 20% 20%
Within 15 miles-St. Mart(een/in) 0% 5% 5% 14% 42% 67% 72% 56% 42% 33% 30% 28% 26%
Hurricane conditions in St. Martin 0% 0% 4% 19% 31% 48% 69% 69% 55% 41% 21% 19% 11%
Within 15 miles-Antigua 1% 0% 0% 1% 18% 45% 36% 44% 50% 46% 41% 21% 9%
Hurricane conditions in Antigua 0% 0% 0% 0% 11% 27% 38% 28% 26% 22% 18% 13% 6%
Shown above is a computer rendering of a few statistical hit probability run and its corresponding reference point based on climatic and dynamic data obtained at 0000Z. Residents should not based their preparation on these readings.
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- ANU under TS Warning!
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- From: Allan D <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2008 23:56:00 -0400
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With the uncertainties in the path of Omar and the expected expnsion in it's corresponding wind-field, a Tropical Storm warning has been issued for Antigua & Barbuda as well as Montserrat. Hurricane warnings have also been issued for St. Kitt & Nevis, St. Bart, St. Eust, Saba....
Based on the latest fixes and reports from the recon missions, most of the winds extends south-east of the center which is where the Leeward Islands are located when the center pass through taking the brunt of the storm. One piece of good news is, unlike Lenny, since the hurricane will be accelerating NE-wards, significant deviations are not as likely, hence the actually track may be pretty close to those of the forecast models...then of course, the 'unexpected' can always happen so BE PREPARED!!!
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- EYES to the EAST
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2008 21:11:06 -0400
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Just flew back to the rock ( Antigua!) tonight... From the big apple ( they are having an "INDIAN SUMMER"... The weather is beautiful and WARM....
And my mouth is open at this HUGH weather patch out there.... We are closely watching this for the next day or two. Am told while I have been away, Antigua has been SOAKED for the past few days .. We may have more to come... Will circle back tomorrow with an update.  |
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- OMAR IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT!!!!!!!
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- From: "John Fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
- Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2008 17:04:16 -0400
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THE
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS NOW 060/06. THE THREE RECON FIXES
THIS
AFTERNOON SUGGEST THAT OMAR MAY BE FINALLY MAKING THE TURN TO
THE
NORTHEAST THAT THE MODELS HAVE BEEN FORECASTING FOR THE PAST
SEVERAL
CYCLES. ALL OF THE AVAILABLE MODEL GUIDANCE IS TIGHTLY
CLUSTERED
ON A TRACK THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN ABOUT
36
HOURS...WITH
SIGNIFICANT ACCELERATION EXPECTED AFTER THAT AS
OMAR
GETS LIFTED RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A DIGGING
MID-TROPOSPHERIC
TROUGH THAT COVERS MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
ATLANTIC.
THE MAIN DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE MODELS IS IN THE FORWARD
SPEED
OF OMAR AFTER 24 HOURS. THE GFS...GFDL...AND HWRF MODELS RACE
OMAR
QUICKLY TO THE NORTHEAST...WHEREAS THE UKMET AND ECMWF MODELS
ARE
NOTICEABLY SLOWER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS BEEN SHIFTED
SLIGHTLY
TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK THROUGH 36 HOURS...BUT
REMAINS
JUST TO THE WEST OF AND SLOWER THAN THE MODEL CONSENSUS.
The
northern leewards is US
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- drying today thank god
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2008 10:53:26 -0700 (PDT)
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So far we have been dry in Jolly Harbour for the day. I made a trip up to falmouth earlier and it was dry up there too..... when i say dry i mean not raining because after yesterday there are puddles everywhere. I just checked the radar and see that the east side may have gotten some more rain today for a short while too. Whatever happens i think we are in store for more if Tropical Storm Omar keeps tracking up towards the Virgin Islands. I doubt we will escape more rain and according to windguru we are gonna get some 15 foot waves and up to 35 knots of wind thursday morning. I think we have to carefully monitor the track and forecast for Omar because i think many people are gonna get fooled by this joker. As you can see from the image i included, the model tracks put it slightly closer to Antigua and Barbuda today. Not good at all.
eli
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Attachment:
storm_15.gif
Description: GIF image
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- Where am I?
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2008 16:24:28 +0000
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Its raining again..suprise, suprise!! At about 4 pm yesterday afternoon I felt as though I was in London ,IN THE WINTER. It was dark and cold ,mind you the unneccesary air conditioning was on in the gallery.!! You could hear the gurgle of overloaded gutters, the steady noise of the rain and the swish of cars labouring through deep water and it was dark!!!! Cars had on headlights.! sorry but at 4pm?. We dont seem to have had any serious flooding though most roads were pretty waterlogged last night. I see American news has noticed the bad weather in the Caribbean, I hope that Haiti ,Puerto Rico and anyone else in the way doesn't get any more flooding from this depression , now a tropical storm. Jan
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- Absolutely dumped on...
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- From: Alan B Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2008 21:10:58 -0430
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Further to my morning's post, the heavens opened up its pipes even
more this afternoon.
WOW I cannot remember this much rain other than the passage of
Hurricane LENNY in November 1999!
It hasn't rained since around 5:30PM but looking at the Martinique
weather radar I suspect we could have a bit more coming this way
though I hope I am wrong.
The local weather service has cautioned us to expect more rain until
around Wednesday so we will see.
Alan Scholl
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- Was really hoping but ...
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- From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2008 12:23:41 -0400
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I was really hoping to see some sun today but no such
luck. I just peeked outside the office and it is still
gray and raining. Like some other posters I cannot recall
this amount of rain in one sitting, there is water
everywhere. Fortunately, it does drain off pretty fast (in
some areas).
Now it has become TD#15, and its path is curving back NE
over PR and the VI's, it probably means this rain around
us won't disappear anytime soon. At this rate I will need
to get a trench coat and some wellingtons...
Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
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- I DON'T LIKE IT!
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2008 08:27:13 -0700 (PDT)
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A depression now, but we could have told them that after being at sea in it for 2 days! I don't like how slow its moving and i don't like how close it is forecast to come. I don't like this strange weather. CLIMATE CHANGE!!
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- Update
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Mon, 13 Oct 2008 13:43:05 +0000
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In over 30 years of living in Antigua six of those on a boat., I cannot remember quite so many thunder storms!!. On Friday afternoon I sat in a restaurant car park for half an hour with a lake growing around me and thunder cracking overhead unable to get out of the car. Im not a wimp but as I had a lunch date and hadnt seen this person for years did not want to look like a drowned rat!!! On Saturday sitting at home as the skies became darker and heavier the thunder rumbled and a huge lightening crack put the power out. So...needed to get more gas for the generator hence a trip to town through what looked like a fast moving river. [ our wonderful road] Luckily not too deep but with plenty of very sharp loose stones.I hope that this depression moves on soon and we can go to the beach.!! Jan
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- RAIN
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Fri, 10 Oct 2008 12:22:57 +0000
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I know that we're really lucky not to have had any hurricanes,YET. but enough with the rain.!! Our little yorkshire terrier has to suffer having his feet washed a dozen times a day as he comes in and out and his puzzled face when he is refused the sofa makes me feel guilty . We have many MUD conversations which Im sure he understands.. Luckily our house is already built but we have three houses at different stages of construction around us. Not only are the trucks destroying our [for want of a better word] road, but the foundation trenches filled with water are mosquito breeding farms. we could charge people to see the waterfalls ..Im very grateful for the lack of hurricanes but please ease up on the rain. Jan
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- not again!
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Tue, 7 Oct 2008 06:08:57 -0700 (PDT)
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It seems like everytime i go to the nevis fishing tournament they have ground swell which makes docking there a nightmare. Not only do I see swell forecast i see strong winds and rain too. What's going on this weekend? Is windguru going to be wrong. Please say they will be.
eli
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- look east
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Fri, 26 Sep 2008 06:37:47 -0700 (PDT)
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something may be brewing in the east.....
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- raining again
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Tue, 23 Sep 2008 09:56:26 -0700 (PDT)
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after getting way too much sun on the "Xtreme" boat today while doing maintenance I got up and noticed some grey clouds. That was an hour ago and its been raining hard ever since.ThankfullyJolly Harbour has pretty good drainage because i think some people will have flooding today if it continues. Radar shows some more to come. Kinda sucky as i think we have had enough rain for the month.
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- Brighter day
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- From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Mon, 22 Sep 2008 08:33:19 -0400
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After a very gray and wet weekend, the sun did finally
peek out this morning on my way to work. Still a lot of
clouds around so there could be the occasional shower but
for the most part the sky is blue.
Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
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- rain is gone....
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Sun, 21 Sep 2008 04:21:30 -0700 (PDT)
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Now that that weird mass of clouds has pushed off after sitting on us for several days the forecasts on windguru have gone back to the normal sunshine again. The radar shows no rain near us either. Looks like we are in for some excellent weather which is good. We have a fishing tournament next weekend.
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- STORMY MORNING
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- From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
- Date: Sat, 20 Sep 2008 10:51:47 -0400
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We just had an unexpected heavy heavy downpour of rain and very gusty winds. .. Again blowing from the south.. Not our usual wind pattern. My wind gauge is down so not sure how strong but certainly very gusty... And looking at the sat picture it looks like we are in for more weather for today and maybe even tomorrow. All of my cisterns are overflowing which is always a nice thing. We still have to watch to the east as the old time saying OCTOBER ALL OVER IS NOT TRUE... We have proven that in the past. |
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- THE EXPLODING BLOB
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- From: jan farara <janfarara at hotmail.com>
- Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2008 18:12:21 +0000
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WHERE did that come from? I had checked my stormcarib report which was nothing on the horizon for the present ,watched a movie which is very rare in Antigua at the moment due to a scarcity of POWER!! and went to bed. I was woken up with a crash as lamps were blown to the floor in the living room and and rain was in our bed upstairs. The power was out [normal] but the rain was coming from a strange direction and straight on to the veranda and into the house.The power is still out for a large part of the island and has been for up to 12 hours. The problem is that no-one knows if this was caused by lightening, downed trees or design.The storm or blob seemes to have come off the South American coast and has moved on, thank goodness. The winds were gusting to 30 or40 knots but it felt like more ,as we had to hold on to doors to bring patio funiture inside. My husband has been to town and apart from the fact that a lot of places are closed due to the lack of power he could see no damage. We have an untested wooden house as we moved in in November.so IF we have a hurricane I think Im going to find a concrete bunker!!!Jan
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- clearing up after all
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- From: eli fuller <elifuller at yahoo.com>
- Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2008 07:17:15 -0700 (PDT)
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no rain in over an hour and the winds have gone light again. According to the news the Met office here recorded a peak wind gust of just over 50 knots with sustained 40 several times through the night. Today at 8 am we had 40 knots once again. Now not more than about 15 knots. Radar and sat maps show the rain moved south.
eli
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- Tropical Wave with Teeth
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- From: Steve Coghlan <steve at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2008 09:28:14 -0400
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A dark and stormy night was experienced with the passing of a rather
vigorous tropical wave through the Windward and Northern Leeward
Islands. Distant thunderstorms were observed early in the evening
followed by rain (heavy at times) and winds gusting to Tropical Storm
force.
Local reports suggest that there was flooding in some areas and some
damage to structures and vegetation.
This morning the sky is very overcast with light rain and gusty winds.
Latest images suggest that there is more rain to the East, so it will
probably be a day with only "liquid sunshine" here in Antigua.
Many of us were surprised at the intensity of this wave. This one may go
on to cause problems further West.
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- WOW...
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- From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
- Date: Thu, 18 Sep 2008 08:19:50 -0400
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Though there was no indication on any winds from this
system on any of the main weather sites, we had quite a
bit of activity last night.
There was up to 25 knots of wind according to
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TAPA.html with
occasional higher gusts. My satellite dish though a bit
weakened with age and rust was blown blown completely off
its mount. It started around 2AM and even up to 6AM was
still a bit gusty though much lower. There was even a lull
before a second session of wind and rain indicating some
form of a central area. I hope the USAF plans to check
this one out.
Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
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