- Updates from the Islands -- - Antigua - - |
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More recent reports can be found on another page.
- Update |
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meanwhile back at dodge(ing) city the boys in the backroom say that that desperado "big issy"knows better than to mess around with us,so he took the right fork at the pass and seems as if he'll end up north of the border. |
- Update |
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isaac shmisaac. all that rain wasted on fish. |
- TROPICAL STORM ISSAC |
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6 a.m. and TROPICAL
STORM ISAAC (which was born yesterday!!) is well worth
watching!!! ev. time i travel this happens...something kicks
up out there!!!! ...leaving for Miami in an hour for a couple
of days (maybe just OVERNIGHT NOW... watching this!!
but it is early
days with it way out there ( 12.7 north and 28.2
west...just off Cape Verde islands......) so maybe the turn will be
more to the north and again ( how many times this storm
season??? ) Antigua will be spared.... Have a feeling I will
be talking more about this one, however.......
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- Update |
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isaac it is.the first real one of the season. boys in the backroom stopped snoring. great chefs packing their knives away. |
- TD #13 |
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#13. (TD).....just born at 11
a.m.!! ....boy that is an unlucky number!! but then it
is SEPTEMBER!!
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- Update |
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10n 20w looks like a pitbull |
- Update |
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this thing coming off africa at 10 degrees looks like it will turn into a strong storm.http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/SAB/TROP/DATA/img/atl/eatl/ir4/20.jpg _________________________________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free E-mail from MSN Hotmail at http://www.hotmail.com. Share information about yourself, create your own public profile at http://profiles.msn.com. |
- Update |
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over 3 inches of rain.solid wind from s.e. between20&35 mph since 2 a.m.stopped about11 a.m. loverly.boys in backroom unrecognizable and smeeling like roses! |
- Very rainy last night... |
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RAIN RAIN RAIN.... There was no wind at all in the Fort Road area but torrential rainfall starting aroung 1:42AM. It has been raining for most of the morning and it finally stopped about 15 minutes ago. Included with all the rain early (~2:00AM) was significant lightning and thunder, the likes of which I have not experienced in quite a while. At one point the core must have been directly overhead as there was not even 1/2 a second between the flash and the thunder. I noticed in the last post from Martha that she mentioned TD12. This was really the remnants of TD12 as of the 1PM report it was downgraded to a "strong tropical wave". Oh well just a minor correction. Ciao for now. Alan B. Scholl Email: scholla AT candw.ag alan.scholl AT cwanu.cwplc.com schollab AT hotmail.com scholla AT hushmail.com |
- GOOD RAIN IS RIGHT!!!!*!*!* |
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A REAL "RAINY NIGHT IN
GEORGIA"........i mean Antigua!!! but not much wind
thank goodness..... just the odd gusts.......
hard
rain started about 2 a.m. and still falling on the
Atlantic side.......but there are some bright patches of blue sky way off
in the Atlantic so maybe TD 12 is making its way past
with only VERY VERY WELCOME RAIN.......had one water cistern completely
DRY ......usually buy 2000 gallons and THEN some rain comes
so grateful for ev. drop this time
round!!!!! and
glad to hear the boys got their bath, john
boy!!!! Hey i may even make my party if the rain stops
and the sea calms down enough to jump in my little boat and head
out!!! and once again ANTIGUA lucky
with the potential weather......so we will watch that
next thing coming off Africa coast!!
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- Update |
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amazing parade of cb cells each accompanied by 30-40mph winds and driving rain-but all seperated by beautiful blue sky.t.d.12 looks a sure bet for tonight.finally some good rain we hope.boys in backroom may finally get a bath. |
- Update |
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small system passing now.good wind,showers,thunder.will t.d.12 become she who (un)launched a thousand ships?sorry about your party martha. |
- EARLY MORNING WEATHER ! |
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5 a.m. weather report
puts Antigua on Tropical Storm watch....possibly to be
upgraded to warning later today! TD #12
formed out of no where and at 5 p.m. last night
the first advisory was issued... we made the
weather channel again......... guess this will be the NO NAME
storm (hope so cause that means it is just a blow and hopefully RAIN
needed badly!!) Anyway.....it is 355 miles due east of
Antigua moving at only 12 mph......so that puts it over us about mid
morning tomorrow.... Sunday......great.......had big boating plans for a
double birthday and an anniversary party...but guess mother nature rules
as usual!!!
Still, at least this is NO HURRICANE... so Antigua
can't complain too much.......and "the back room
boys" have not even MENTIONED this one so that is always
reassuring! So... we will watch the weather today
and see what is in store for us..... may be some minor preparations
if this things gains in strength....only
35 mph now... for us seasoned trackers that is
nothing AT THIS
POINT!!!
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- Update |
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will it be GORDON or gardenia? looks impressive east of us doesn't it? the boys seem to be hibernating or is it estivating? |
- Update |
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4 days without a single report!! wind came back saturday and we changed from flat,clear,beautiful weather to very hazy windy easterly.dry.yuk. |
- Update |
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quickie:the last site shows pretty much what the wart is up to---probably get some rain.please.the boys need a bath. |
- montserrat (http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/volcano/montserrat.gif) |
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http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/volcano/montserrat.gif |
- Current Earthquake Information (http://wwwneic.cr.usgs.gov/current_seismicity. |
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http://wwwneic.cr.usgs.gov/current_seismicity.shtml |
- Update |
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can you imagine that there has not been a single posting on the carib.hurr.page in the first week of september for two straight days!!! a most unseasonable season--so far. if we hadn't awakened the boys in the backroom for a free pint of Cavalier rum they would have slept all week in the blissful hope of a visit from miss nightingale(FLORENCE) but alas she has not deigned to appear.we did, however, have a little EARTHQUAKE here on tuesday afternoon--4.8 on the richter scale--epicenter 55 miles southeast of us and 33 kilometers deep.not enough fortunately to arouse the boys.big enough,i'm sure,for many homeowners sufficiently wealthy to have insurance(it's astronomically expensive here for obvious reasons) to be able to claim for all those cracks in the walls for which no obvious explanation has been found since the last earthquake. good luck to them. i'll flag a great earthquake site in my next missive and you can read all about it yourselves. so back to the surface of the atlantic.other than that meteorological wart sitting just east of me, nothing. i shall not goatmouth (in local parlance-tempt fate) our relatively peaceful time and i'm sure it is early times yet but.... extremely hot,windless and getting very dry...sorry but the mention of the word "dry" woke up a few of the boys in the backroom and who require attention.gotta go. |
- Update |
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ho hum |
- ???? HURRICANE FLORENCE in the making |
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FIVE YEARS AGO TODAY Antigua
was being blown apart by HURRICANE LUIS.....worst hurricane we have know
in long since...and that sure makes us all AWARE......
Yea.....there is a scary wave
down around 12 !!!
Well.. it could
be HURRICANE FLORENCE in the making.... they say ev. thing is right
for strengthening.....and she is real far south!!! not good
for the Leeward islands....... suppose to fly north for a few days
to DALLAS TX tomorrow...... will have to decide soon on that
one!! we better watch this one real
close...
break up the card game in
the back room......the boys need to be
watching..........
|
- Update |
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scary looking wave at 12 42. prepare _________________________________________________________________________ Get Your Private, Free E-mail from MSN Hotmail at http://www.hotmail.com. Share information about yourself, create your own public profile at http://profiles.msn.com. |
- Update |
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forget about ernesta,deborah.alberta, WE WANT MONICA (at least a little bit of her). what is that at 24w,11n? normally a system in ernesto's position would have caused the beginnig of a change in the wind to the north.not so here.sunny,hot,gentle south-east breeze. |
- Update |
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the emasculation of ernesto continues.will we even get a little rain?---but then again sometimes too hard the eye of heaven shines. gert and superdave look well together. |
- Update |
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t.d.8.=? ernesto? boys in backroom are listless--but it is the silly season--so anything can happen. it is very hot. |
- Update |
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the previous site i posted shows the full glory of the birth of a hurricane.john harris the clockmaker couldn't design anything more naturally symetrical. |
- HUIR (http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG) |
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http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG |
- just watching AGAIN!! TROPICAL DISTRUBANCE!!! |
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ONCE AGAIN THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS ARE "in the news" with a "well organized
disturbance 1000 miles away! as of early this
morning......... yea... even the weather channel has mentioned
us......... I know.....the boys in the back room are playing cards and
don't even know about it... and hopefully it will stay that
way.......
BUT.....still worth watching........it is
at 14.7 and 44.5 so still way out there......and
hope for the usual north turn... been a beautiful
calm HOT summer day so maybe we can get some rain out of this
one...
Some
of you know, cause I've written about it in the past... that i
am suppose to FLY into a hurricane with the Hunters on a press pass (in
spite of john's warning about those guys!!! ) .... have been
trying for my hurricane since last season.........and
was CALLED last Thurs. AFTER HURRICANE DEBBY passed Antigua
and we were all clear, to head to Kessler Air Force Base to fly her from
there........got to MIAMI and while she was off Cuba
DEBBY DIED!!! so never got further than Miami......so still
waiting on my storm!!! wouldn't think
someone from hurricane alley would be wishing for a
hurricane!!!!....and I don't FOR IT TO HIT ANTIGUA ...or
ANYONE... just one for me to get to fly thru!!!....... so will
keep u posted if it works!!
Hope there
is not much more to comment on with this one!!
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- Update |
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ALL'S QUIET ON HURRICANE ALLEY.WE SEEM TO BE
LIKE MOLES-COMING OUT ONLY DURING THE DARKNESS CAST BY THE SHADOWS OF THE SPAWN
OF THE CAPE VERDES.
THE BOYS IN THE BACKROOM SEND THEIR
REGARDS.
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- Business as Usual... |
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Hi, Everything is back to normal here. As you drive around, there are houese that are still boarded up. I gather people just could not be bothered to take them down or they are all catching up on sleep they may have missed the night before. Someone in my office joked that this was the "fire drill" for September. I certainly hope he is wrong. In retrospect, I think we can be ready in very short notice for any impending storm. Again, we were fortunate this time, our prayers go out to anyone that was or will be affected by this time. Until.. Alan |
- Update |
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the boys in the backroom snored all night. got about 1 inch of rain. wind dutifully moved from north around to west and now at south west at about 30 mph. overcast and squally. kettle is boiling gotta go make madam tea. hurr.ali. |
- Debby passes |
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Hi, PHEWWWWW!!!!!! Well, luck is on our side this time around. Debby swung north and in my location not whole lot happened. We never lost power and I slept all night. There was no significant wind or rain in the Lower Fort Road area, none at all. It was no worse than any normal night. I hope that the storm bands do bring some rain. There is no information on any of the local radio stations, so I am sure that many are confused as to whether they are to report to work or not. Alan B. Scholl |
- 5:30 AM HURRICANE DEBBY |
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Well....things still howling
out there......was able to go outside but it is barely light so
can't see much....but MET OFFICE says the bulk is past
us..although we will get feeder bands through the day and hopefully
some RAIN.....does not seem we have had too much rain..... MET OFFICE
stressed that Antigua was real lucky and did not get what was
expected with that north swing at the last... DEBBY seems to be heading
for St Martin now...and will probably hit most of the islands
around...sorry for those people as they are probably getting the northern
side....
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- 3 AM.....and now HURRICANE DEBBY |
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3
AM.. (guess my last report of 1 PM must have been wishful thinking
cause when it is 1 p.m. this will be over!!
JOHN BOY RIGHT....thank
goodness!! she shifted a bit north and even
though she is a HURRICANE as of 2 am report the
center is going between Barbuda and Antigua..(at 17.9...and we are 17.1
) .and the bulk of the strong weather is north of this...so
Antigua is lucky (well if you can say having a hurricane is lucky)... Just
spoke to MET OFFICE..and they say here at Half Moon Bay
we would be getting stronger winds due to location..... Just tried to go
outside and it is very gusty and wind howling... but hopefully not strong enough
for structural damage.....for sure garden is going to be
trashed..... Not lots of rain yet..... but Met Office says
there is a heavy feeder band that will follow all of
this around 6 a.m. so we have that to
come....
Electricity still
off..... but at least phones are working....
will try to go back to
sleep....
|
- Debby Goes Hurricane As It Nears Antigua and Barbuda |
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Eastern Caribbean Nationals the latest (intermediate) advisory given by
the National Hurricane Center goes as follows:
591
WTNT32 KNHC 220545 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE DEBBY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM AST TUE AUG 22 2000 ...DEBBY STRENGTHENS TO A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA... HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
FROM
GUADELOUPE NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE BRITISH AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO AND ITS SURROUNDING ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA...AND FOR THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO CABRERA. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN HAITI NORTH OF PORT AU PRINCE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.7 WEST OR JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. DEBBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. THIS MOTION WILL MOVE DEBBY DIRECTLY OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 994 MB ...29.35 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...WITH
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREAS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS
AREAS...
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. |
- 1 AM in the Morning |
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My First report of the season(boring and nothing exciting to report. Sitting here with generator on and watching the Weather Channel satellite loop having Debbie crossing the island and reconnaissance aircraft reporting 80 Kts with an eyewall . Funny had more water falling early when I took a shower than outside at the moment and very little wind no more than 6-10 kts if that. Maybe I'll go to bed like my friend John Fuller. Good nite... Henk |
- 1 p.m....... |
|
Power went off little while ago......... UPS beeping woke me up..... raining really heavy here on Atlantic side....gusty wind but nothing to write home about!! (or really even write you about.. but since you wanna know what we are going through...here it is!! Bit hard to tell what is going on when you are shuttered up.... like being in hot box... we normally live open air with tropical breeze blowin through..so when it is like a hot box feel like you are in a greenhouse... and since ev. potted plant I have is here too really does seems like that..... with tree frogs chippin... wonder where DEBBY REALLY IS..how many times have i wondered that!???? gonna try to sleep bit more in case winds to pick up and i cant! |
- Update |
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rain-wind from n. AT 20>< power off island wide on battery huge roar from ocean not much else going to join boys in backroom for a snooze manana hurricane alley |
- Update |
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just spoke to barbuda police station.little wind-no rain. |
- Re: debbie |
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just starting to kick up a bit.wind now nearly due north-increasing to 20-25mph.rain now--getting heavier. can hear ocean roar however--can't see it but must be a heavy northely swell. -----Original Message----- From: huck <huckphotovi AT theglobe.com> To: baxterlm AT worldnet.att.net <baxterlm AT worldnet.att.net>; fullerj AT candw.ag <fullerj AT candw.ag>; gilkesm AT candw.ag <gilkesm AT candw.ag>; rafapr AT centennialpr.net <rafapr AT centennialpr.net>; lcrum AT worldnet.att.net <lcrum AT worldnet.att.net> Cc: huckphotovi AT hotmail.com <huckphotovi AT hotmail.com> Date: Tuesday, August 22, 2000 12:32 AM Subject: debbie >hello from st thomas >weather is breezy with a few showers so far.hurricane warning in >effect.debby may pass to our south sometime tomorrow morning... weather >updates can be found at >http://www.huckphotovi.com >or http://members.theglobe.com/huckphotovi >best wishes and good luck > huck > |
- Update |
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center of storm now 30-35 miles 70 degrees magnetic from north coast of antigua. wind n.e. AT 5-10 mph. no rain. experts shmetzperts. |
- Updates |
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928
WTNT32 KNHC 220249 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM AST MON AUG 21 2000 ...DEBBY NEARING NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS... ...THREATENS TO STRENGTHEN... HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN
IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM
GUADELOUPE NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE BRITISH AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO AND ITS SURROUNDING ISLANDS. THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO CABRERA. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN HAITI NORTH OF PORT AU PRINCE. THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS WILL ISSUE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AT MIDNIGHT. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.0 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...EAST OF ANTIGUA. DEBBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON TUESDAY. THIS MOTION WILL MOVE DEBBY DIRECTLY OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEBBY IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS RECENTLY FALLEN TO 996 MB ...29.41 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREAS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES...HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...
ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 61.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB. Cheers,
Ronnie
Internet / Systems
Engineer
Suite 201 Lauriston
Collymore Rock
St. Michael
Barbados, West Indies
BGI
Suite 016-517
7296 NW 44th Street
Miami, Florida, U.S.A
33166
[encrypted email
solutions]
Tele: + [305] 423 2155
x.185
Fax: + [508] 448 0228
The Web Site For Caribbean Folk
!
|
- Update |
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wind in north,increasing--20-30 mph.lightning every 10-30 secs.from due east--maybe 20-30 miles away.intrmittent drizzle.flashes expose north to west bands out in the east. all of that tells me it has jumped north. |
- Fw: United States Atlantic Tracking Chart 2 by Intellicast.com.htm |
|
Title: United States Atlantic Tracking Chart 2 by Intellicast.com
HOPE JOHNS
RIGHT on this... see his comments earlier... ......would like
to join the boys and nod off... but there are other
opinions..
CLICK ON
STORM tracking ...... then DEBBY
this puts
it more south!! would rather have JOHNS
OPTION... tired of getting hit from the south...my weak
side........but nature rules...and she does not even listen to
the boys in back room~~!!!!!
----- Original Message -----
To: AT candw.ag>a
cc
Sent: Monday, August 21, 2000 10:33 PM
Subject: United States Atlantic Tracking Chart 2 by
Intellicast.com.htm |
- montserrat (http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/volcano/montserrat.gif) |
|
open this site and you will see what i meant in last dispatch.boys in the back room starting to nod off. http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/volcano/montserrat.gif |
- Update |
|
95% sure the bulk of it shall pass north over barbuda. the south west outer wall is about 35 minutes away from us now.wind n.e. AT 10-15mph. so far debby is a mere debutante.hope for some rain. |
- BACK AGAIN |
|
AM BACK AGAIN..... after
about 6 hours of hurricane preparation!!! including
chain sawing all my magnificent "in full bloom" bougainvillea off the top
of a gazebo to keep it from coming down with the weight (has done
that 3 times before so don't need a
4th!!)
and all secured
and shuttered in now with 3 cats and 37
birds !!! (you can imagine the confusion !!)
caught 35 of my free flying love bird flock...among
protests and a few nips on the fingers!!!... ungrateful s.......
and now.....latest.. as
of 8 p.m.. DEBBY is 115 miles east of us...
at 60.2 (that's about 48 miles to our south... towards
Guadeloupe... and she has slowed to 20 mph... that puts her on
us at 2 p.m... (now 9 p.m.. so have 5 hours
to wait!!....just talking to you guys and sipping a little nice vintage
vino!! and making the time pass... what else do you do
waiting for a hurricane!!
They say they
will turn off the electricity but have not given a time.. but
as long as my phone lines work i can transmit on battery.....
trying to get sorted out to log on via CELL PHONE so I can
STAY ON LINE during hurricanes but not quite there yet.....
anyway... as has been the
case with DEBBY there is some confusion on when she will
leave us.. some say she will be here for all of Tuesday... others
say she will move on more quickly.. and we still are not
certain if she will pass us as a HURRICANE OR A
TSTORM......
i was called by the
HURRICANE HUNTERS TO FLY DEBBY on my press pass OUT OF
BARBADOS ON WEDNESDAY -- sorry john ...didn't listen to you on
this!! ( they have moved their base from St
Croix as this will be under threat
soon..... but since i don't know when
our airport will be open (It closed at 6 p.m tonight...
and don't know if I will have personal damage...
declined for Wednesday........ but if we come out of
this ok...MAYBE DEBBY IS MY HURRICANE TO FLY LATER IN THE
WEEK.........so.. we get ready for the long night and the hype of
a "hurricane" -- if it is that.....John's right......this aint a
LUIS or a George of Jose..... but it is still NATURE
and she is her own law so who knows what is ahead.......
thanks to those who are concerned about us
.......later.........
|
- Update |
|
could it be jumping north at the last minute? |
- Updates |
|
070
WTNT32 KNHC 220000 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DEBBY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM AST MON AUG 21 2000 ...DEBBY HEADS TOWARD
LEEWARD ISLANDS...
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM GUADELOUPE NORTH AND WESTWARD THROUGH THE BRITISH AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA. AT 7 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THEIR COUNTRY. ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES ...185 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA. DEBBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DEBBY MAY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DEBBY. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...16.4 N... 60.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. Cheers
Ronnie.
|
- Update |
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meant "unpredictability" |
- Very Quiet |
|
Hi again, At the moment, it is very calm. Most of us have bought gas and food and hopefully have completed preparation. I can still hear hammers going down in the Lower Fort Road area. The sky is gloomy but there was some sunshine a few hours ago alternating between heavy showers (I can assume outer bands). We are done and I guess I will be waiing fior the 0000Z (8:00PM) report. Until then I am going to be lazy. Alan S. |
- Update |
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as you can imagine the inherent predictability of our storms is causing everyone to prepare for the worst.as i write there are long lines at all gas stations,supermarkets and hardware stores. the windsurfers are all at the beach "shredding" and the frigate birds are hugging the shore as they always do before a storm. wind steady from the east at about 20mph and gusting to 35mph in squalls,many of which have passed. the sky is mostly layered with clouds ranging from very light grey to very very dark grey. the re-re-adjusted course puts it over us(literally) at about 2am.not much to worry about after luis.georges and jose.---------- the boys in the back room don't fraid that. |
- 5:00PM EDT UPDATES |
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The 5:00PM EDT Advisory has put Debby centered at about
165 miles east-southeast of Antigua, moving West at 22mph, with winds of 70mph,
and higher gusts from the Northern and Eastern section of the
center.
Hurricane warnings have been issued for the islands extending from
Guadeloupe north and northwestward through the British and U.S. Virgin Islands.
A hurricane warning is also in effect for Puerto Rico, while a tropical storm
warning and hurricane watch remain in effect for Dominica.
The projected path of the storm takes it over the northern Leeward Islands Tuesday morning, then on to Puerto Rico by late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. Ronnie Samuel Internet / Systems
Engineer
Suite 201 Lauriston
Collymore Rock
St. Michael
Barbados, West Indies
BGI
Suite 016-517
7296 NW 44th Street
Miami, Florida, U.S.A
33166
[encrypted email
solutions]
Tele: + [305] 423 2155
x.185
Fax: + [508] 448 0228
The Web Site For Caribbean Folk
!
|
- Debby Gains Strength and Speed. |
|
Issued By the weather centre: associated press, thanks to Donna Sauer & Stephanie Watson, weather.com Tropical Storm Debby is careening toward hurricane strength as it aims for the Leeward Islands. Hurricane warnings have been issued from the islands extending from Guadeloupe north and northwestward through the British and U.S. Virgin Islands. A hurricane watch is in effect for Dominica and Puerto Rico; the latter may be upgraded to a hurricane warning later today. As of 11 a.m. EDT, Debby was centered about 280 miles east of the Leeward Islands, racing toward the west-northwest near 22 mph. Top sustained winds had increased to 70 mph, with higher gusts north and east of the center. Debby is expected to reach hurricane intensity (winds of 74 mph) later today or tonight. The exact forecast for Debby is still unclear because the precise center of the storm has been hard to define on satellite. A reconnaissance plane is investigating the storm this morning, and should give a better indication of the location of Debby’s center. In the meantime, forecasters are urging anyone with interests in the Caribbean to prepare for landfall. Debby has the potential to bring 4 to 6 inches of rain to the warning areas. "These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides," the NHC said in a statement. Stay Tuned.......... Encrypted E-mail Solutions
|
- Advisory |
|
Title: Forest Floor
At 11:01
AM the following was issued:
Hurricane
Advisory: Hurricane Watch: Puerto Rico, Dominica.
Hurricane
Advisory: Hurricane Warnings: U.S.V.I, B.V.I, Antigua, Barbuda,
Guadeloupe.
Cheers
Ronnie.
Encrypted E-mail Solutions
|
- Web cam disabled :-( |
|
Hi, Well the webcam was short lived as our windows at work have been barred up. we have also just been instructed that Cable & Wireless' employees at Clare Hall will be leaving at 1:00PM. ========================================================== Alan B. Scholl Email: scholla AT candw.ag alan.scholl AT cwanu.cwplc.com schollab AT hotmail.com scholla AT hushmail.com Tel: (268)480-4115 Fax: (268)480-4105 Pgr: (268)409-4638 Mobile: (268)464-1350 ICQ: 18248455 Ham: V21BF Antigua, West Indies - "Where Land & Sea Make Beauty..." |
- Debby 11:00AM AST UPDATE |
|
Title: Forest Floor
Tropical Storm Debby at 11:00AM AST located
15.7N.................57.3W
400Mi East Of The Leewards
Winds: 70mph
Moving West at 22mph
Est. Pressure is: 29.77 in/1008mb
Tropical Storm Watches in effect for: Anguilla, Antigua, Barbuda, B.V.I,
Guadeloupe, Montserrat, Nevis, St. Kitts.
Hurricane Watches in effect for: Puerto Rico, U.S.V.I, St. Maarten, Saba,
St. Eustatius
Ronnie Samuel (Hurricane Correspondent)
Internet / Systems
Engineer
Suite 201 Lauriston
Collymore Rock
St. Michael
Barbados, West Indies
BGI
Suite 016-517
7296 NW 44th Street
Miami, Florida, U.S.A
33166
[encrypted email
solutions]
Tele: + [305] 423 2155
x.185
Fax: + [508] 448 0228
The Web Site For Caribbean Folk
!
Encrypted E-mail Solutions
|
- Upgraded to Hurrican warning!!!! |
|
Hi, The 1500Z (1100AM local) report indicates that we (Antigua) are now under a Hurricane Warning and the storm has jumped up to 70mph and it is moving West!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I guess it will be a little more than previously expected.... Alan B. Scholl |
- WHERE IS DEBBY!!??? |
|
WHERE IS DEBBY.....she
seems to be a mystery...but the hurricanes hunters flew
her earlier so the 11 a.m... soon to come.. will give us better
picture... so are saying she is SOUTH OF ANTIGUA....bad if is as the
northeast is the stronger side!!! so
most are a bit confused on HOW MUCH TO DO... Put up ALL SHUTTERS... put up
some... etc??? and they say she is moving faster
now..so will be with us sooner....we have had some HEAVY HARD RAIN
SHOWERS......always welcome... but we wish without the
WIND....
|
- Weather sites |
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Hi, This is a short of list of my favourite weather sites. If anyone knows of any other feel free to send them to this site or to me. http://www.wunderground.com/tropical http://www.intellicast.com/Tropical http://nlmoc1.nlmoc.navy.mil http://www.nhc.noaa.gov http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/index.html http://weather.yahoo.com/graphics/satellite/Eastern_Caribbean.html http://www.weather.com/weather_center/trop_season/ http://www.storm2000.com Alan B. Scholl Email: scholla AT candw.ag alan.scholl AT cwanu.cwplc.com schollab AT hotmail.com scholla AT hushmail.com |
- Web cam |
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Hi, I have put up a temporary web cam pointing out over the Clare Hall area. It may be short lived as our handymen may cover up my window but until they do, you can see what's going on every 10 minutes. http://www.candw.ag/~alan/webcam.htm ========================================================== Alan B. Scholl Email: scholla AT candw.ag alan.scholl AT cwanu.cwplc.com schollab AT hotmail.com scholla AT hushmail.com Tel: (268)480-4115 Fax: (268)480-4105 Pgr: (268)409-4638 Mobile: (268)464-1350 ICQ: 18248455 Ham: V21BF Antigua, West Indies - "Where Land & Sea Make Beauty..." |
- TS Debby |
|
Hi All, Well here we go again. It seems as if this will be an annual or bi-annual event. We have to look at hurricane visits as we do Christmas, birthdays and Easter. It has become a fact of life or as a "price of paradise". Visibility is down to 300 feet as rain is pounding Antigua which I hope signals the end of drought conditions that we have been experiencing. Up to Friday, the mangrove swamp at McKinnons-Runaway area had completely dried up. I cannot recall ever seeing it that bad. We await Debby's arrival. When? No-one can give us that info yet. So we anxiously look out for the 1500Z report. Alan B. Scholl |
- DEBBY!! |
|
6:15 a.m.......was hoping to wake up to a miracle and she would have turned north.....but ....as John says....track puts her right on top of us during the early morning hrs. tomorrow...so gonna start with the serious stuff.... |
- Update |
|
5a.m.--- wind gone to north. gusting to 25mph. official track puts debby over our house tomorrow at 5 a.m. deja vu. going back to bed. |
- 5 PM TROPICAL STORM WATCH |
|
Antigua Govt. just
issued trop. storm watch.....possibly to be upgraded to hurr
watch later..... DEBBY now 50 MPH winds..... its
no LUIS but it is still 645 miles off
us...so may increase.....that makes it 35 hours if it keeps moving
at 16 mph...... 3 or 4 a.m. on TUESDAY MORNING....so we still
have TOMORROW to put up hurricane shutters if needed.....Keep
hoping for a more NORTH TURN that takes her away from the
islands.... Next 12 hours critical.....and Hurricane hunters
will fly her tomorrow morning so that will give a better
picture.....
|
- Update |
|
for the weather heads: deep ocean surface temperature,i.e.,12 miles east of antigua,is 82.3 deg far. very strong pelagic current pulling from the south west. winds now 10-13 kts 80 degrees. t.d. 7 adjusted slightly north--looks like it will pass north of antigua. good close up is at: intellicast.com/Tropical/World/UnitedStates/Float2/ |
- TD #7 maybe soon HURRICANE DEBBY |
|
EARLY THIS AM in
"PARADISE" the CALM IS HERE.....It is a beautiful clear
sunny morning....Guess it is the CALM BEFORE THE STORM!!??
.. we know TD#7 is
brewing 930 miles to the east/ southeast of us.... and most
likely will be a hurricane before it comes VERY CLOSE TO ANTIGUA on the
projected track.. It is now about 50 hours away if it continues on
the present course...and the Met Office says they will most
likely issue hurricanes warnings later today.......that means it is
likely that we will get a hurricane within 36
hours....
so it is time to think
about getting ready in case!!!
For me personally, one great
concern; since last hurricane season, in addition
to my free flying cockatoo, I have released about 40 love birds that come
and go from their nesting cage as they fly all over the hillsides of
Half Moon Bay and even into the nearby village of Freetown..... they bring
great joy to many people who spot them living in their element...... but maybe I
can catch some of them and hopefully the others can hang on
tight! all for now.......
|
- al072000 (http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/newpage/tropics/al072000.gif) |
|
anyone worried about antigua and t.d. no.7 should NOT open the attached site---it's a little scary. http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/newpage/tropics/al072000.gif |
- SITES To CK OUT.......re TD #7 |
|
This WEB SITE is maintained by a knowledgeable West Indian now in Canada......he has some great weather sites to ck out........ http://www.caribbeanavenue.com/weather/index.shtml#Hurricane |
- Update |
|
aside from the fun stuff:
spent the day today 15 miles east of antigua
fishing.not a bite,but for the first time in a few months it was(and is)flat
calm and the visibility 50 miles! an incredibily beautiful day.not a hint of the
turmoil n.e. and s.e. of us.by monday the boys in the front and backrooms will
be busy.Martha i went swimming in 1500 feet of ocean.very unusual froth/weed
lines miles long.
montserrat steaming and spewing ash all day.t.d
no.7 has not sunk in yet. won't take long for panic buttons to be beaten to
death.present 4 day forecast has t.d.7 a hurricane,category 2-3,passing just
south of us.hurricane alley signing off for now.
|
- Fw: Hi again |
|
after getting the message below the boys in the backroom all shuffled off to the john. -----Original Message----- From: Eric Blake <eblake AT atmos.colostate.edu> To: fullerj AT candw.ag <fullerj AT candw.ag> Date: Friday, August 18, 2000 10:57 PM Subject: Hi again >Hello, > >This is Eric Blake.. I run the Atlantic Tropical Weather Center... we have >talked a few times and I guess usually when you hear from me it isn't the >best of news.. > >I really think that wave around 10 & 40 is going to be a Caribbean >monster. I have no idea where it is heading in the islands.. but I would >bet a fair sum of money that this one won't miss... also from the large >wave it is imbedded in.. it will probably take a long time to get >going... but once it does, it will probably be a large and powerful >hurricane.. perhaps the size of Allen or maybe Hugo. > >Anyhow... the main threat in 4 days or so... we'll see how the forecast >verifies then. > >Eric > > |
- ??? TD NUMBER 7 in the making??? |
|
HEY John
boy....wake up the boys in the back room....the big thug is out there; we
just not sure when and where.... and we hope he does not come our
way...but this thing way down south is of more concern than
what we have seen lately....could be TD #7 in the making...and then the
next hurricane!!! so you may have more than a doctor
fish to chew on!! anyway guess it is better not be a " fraidy
cat" cause we sure do know about the huffin and puffin of the big bad
wolf round Antigua....(how many majors have we weathered now??? )
they say the
possible, probably soon to be TD #7 is about 50 hrs away
from the islands... so gotta keep an eye out......
hard to believe on this beautiful calm sunny summer day
but we know this scene from the past.........
|
- Update |
|
dispatch from hurricane alley:
the boys in the backroom hardly raised two
eyebrows at the news of those two sissies alebrtie and chrissie.they say we're
accustomed to taking on much bigger thugs,chewing them up and spitting them out
like the bones of a well fried doctor fish.so if africa wants to take us on
it'll have to engage the services of some bigger guns.maybe then the boys
may think of stepping outside to see their mettle.
|
- Tropical Storm Chris forms east of Antigua |
|
Tropical Depression #6 has strengthened into
Tropical Storm Chris at 11 am today when it was located 410 miles east of
Antigua.
Although no immediate watches or warnings are
posted, residents of Antigua and other states of the Leeward Islands have been
advised to carefully monitor the progress of Chris.
Recon aircraft are due in the system at 2 pm and
that will help to pinpoint the eye which has so far been elusive on satellite.
Once the eye is located a better sense of its track will be established and we
will know then whether any watches or warnings would be needed for any
islands. |
- Update |
|
we haven't had a decent rain for 5
months.
the ocean has been cool.
the sky has been painfully hazy.
everything is drying up.
the high court is on vacation till the middle of
september.
even the fish have moved north.
WE WANT SOME ACTION!
|
- HURRICANE ALBERTO |
|
Here in Antigua we are carefully
watching this newly formed HURRICANE..... most reports have it
turning NORTH but for now it is tracking due west and that
makes us all nervous.....but it is still a long way off....
so for now....especially with Antigua Carnival in
full swing... most are just watching and normal life
goes on!
|
- ALBERTO...OUR FIRST TROPICAL STORM for 2000! |
|
It has been a quiet summer thus far... and lots of people around Antigua are saying it is so cool compared to the past few summers...and the sea is not as hot has it has been in past years... Some were beginning to feel this may be a hurricane free season in spite of all the bad forecasts!! HOWEVER IT IS STILL EARLY DAYS...only early August....... and now as of 5 a.m. this morning...Friday August 4th.... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO has been born - the first of 2000!!! It's Way to far out to sea to know what it may do... down at 12.4 north and 25.0 west.....long way off... but the forecast path shows a north turn and puts it around 15 north and 36 west in about 3 days.. (Antigua is 17.1 and 61.4) The Advisory # 2 (11 a.m) from the Miami Hurricane Center states that Alberto could become a hurricane in the next couple of days. The Hurricane Hunters are sending a crew today and another tomorrow to their Caribbean base in ST CROIX....and while that gives me reassurance, it also makes me a bit nervous. These guys don't fly these thing just for fun..... Still.....the info we have now is all on SATELLITE...and until the system is FLOWN into by the Hurricane Hunters the info is not as accurate.... so.... as before... we just watch and wait..... ANTIGUA CARNIVAL is in full swing... Official holidays are Monday and Tuesday... this is big time for Caribbean people an local Antigens...and will be ashame if it is spoiled by this bad weather.......maybe Antigua will get lucky this year!! until...... |
- swell coming?? |
|
|
- Update |
|
WOW---T.D.NO.2----AT THE MOST DANGEROUS
LAT.
|
- Update |
|
more rain,windy,hazy.ocean temp.-79.1 f. |
- Update |
|
some showers.been very dry.love the rain.nuff
sun.
|
- TESTING HURRICANE REPORTING |
|
JUNE 2nd... and the second day of hurricane season!! Here we go again. It is beautiful in the islands just now... hard to think of a hurricane coming our way but they say we better be ready! Just testing communication on this new hurricane site Gert has arranged. |
- Update |
|
june-too soon
july-standby
august-come they must
september-remember
october-all over?
lenny lied.
|
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