- Updates from the Islands -

- - Nevis - -

- - - 2016 Hurricane Season - - -

- November NOAA eather Date

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 3 Dec 2016 14:50:11 -0400

Attached pdf file of Nevis weather data, compiled in NOAA format.

Finally weather broke into "winter pattern", well what I call winter.

Regards,

Harry

Attachment: 11_Nov 2016 - Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document

- NOAA Data Report for October

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 2 Nov 2016 08:27:35 -0400

Greetings,

Well October has to be a record breaker for Nevis, with all but one day above 90 deg F.

I don't remember a October with temperatures like this.

I have weather data back to 1970's so will go back & see whats recorded in previous years, might be interesting.

We'll see what November brings?

Regards,

Harry

Attachment: Oct 2016 - Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document

- Nevis: Rain Damage.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 2 Nov 2016 02:07:34 +0000

Good night everyone,

Well it is still raining here on the south side of Nevis (10pm) with today's rainfall total reaching 101mm (4in). The rain is still falling but has become a little lighter now.

The Bath Stream has overflowed its banks and has caused flood damage to at least one home.

There are also problems on the roads around the Pond Hill and Cole Hill area ( my neighbourhood) with road closure and the police have advised motorists to be extremely cautious.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Nevis: Rain has arrived!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 2 Nov 2016 00:38:29 +0000

Good night everyone,

After a few light showers this during the early morning with the rest of the day remainng cloudy. The effects of the low pressure and associated trough have finally caught up with us on the south side of Nevis with heavy rain falling since 7:30pm. with the small amount this morning we have had 80mm (3in) of rain so far today and it is still raining (8:30pm)

Antigua Met Services issued a flash flood warning earlier today:

FLASH FLOOD WATCH STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
BULLETIN
FLASH FLOOD WATCH
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
10:00 AM ECT TUE NOV 1 2016

THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES HAS ISSUED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS OF ANTIGUA, BARBUDA, MONTSERRAT, ST. KITTS, NEVIS, ANGUILLA AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS VALID FROM 10 A.M. TODAY UNTIL 10 A.M. TOMORROW WEDNESDAY.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO SAFE GUARD LIFE AND PROPERTY. SOME HOUSES IN LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS MAY REQUIRE EVACUATION. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND MOVE QUICKLY TO HIGHER GROUND IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IMMINENT OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED. NOTE, JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS, BE EXTREMELY CAUTIOUS, AND IF IN DOUBT, MAKE THE SMART CHOICE, TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN, MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE VICINITY IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE FURTHER INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION. BASED ON RADAR ESTIMATES, UP TO 50 MM (2 IN) RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. A FURTHER 25 TO 100 MM (1 TO 4 IN) IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HENCE, MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION. PLEASE CALL 463-4638 OR STAY TUNED TO LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

Here in the foothills of Nevis Peak with heavy and continuous periods of rain we will see a fair bit of water run-off from the mountain. It looks as if these conditions will continue into tomorrow, Wednesday.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Unsettled Weather for Wednesday.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 30 Oct 2016 19:14:20 +0000

Good sfternoon everyone,

Hot and humid with a possible passing shower is the weather for today and the next few days.

A light south easterly to south wind flow will continue maintain a warm moist airmass across the area over the next few days. This will keep the atmosphere across the area relatively unstable during this time. As a result, expect partly cloudy skies becoming locally cloudy at times with a mixture of passing showers and localized shower activity.

The temperature will peak to 33C (91F) but will probably feel like 40C (100F) at times.

By Wednesday a trough of low pressure will move into the area from the west and heighten the chances for increased cloudiness with scattered showers and thunderstorm activity.

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services.

Today: Partly cloudy with a good chance of some locally cloudy spells and localized showers during the late morning and afternoon hours. Isolated thunderstorms are also possible.

Tonight: Fair to partly cloudy with the chance of a brief passing shower.

Winds: Today, SE-SSE at 04-10kts/(7-19 km/h). Tonight, becoming light and variable or calm.

Seas: Slight, waves/swells 0.6-1.2 m or 2-4ft.

Regards,

Frank Goodwil

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Very Warm With Light Winds.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 27 Oct 2016 23:25:57 +0000

Good night everyone,

We have had a number of showers since last Sunday mainly due to a weak slow moving Tropical Wave. Though being on a relatively small island you can watch a lot of them pass by as a 'near miss'.

Some shallow moisture and weak instability will remain in the atmosphere over the Northeast Caribbean tonight and overnight and could still trigger some localized showers across the Islands. However, for most of tomorrow a drier and stable airmass will yield little shower activity. Also, a warm and light southeasterly windflow will produce an uncomfortably warm environment tomorrow. The temperature high will peak to near 33C (91F) but it could feel like 38C (100F) at times.

The winds will blow mainly out of the southeast for the next two days then shift to the east starting on Sunday and continuing into Monday. Speeds will not exceed 11 knots.

The weather forecast for St. Kit's and Nevis from Antigua Met Services.

Tonight and Overnight: Partly cloudy to cloudy with a good chance of some localized showers.

Tomorrow: Sunny to partly sunny with a low chance of showers for the morning. However, during the afternoon, some locally cloudy spells with some light and localized showers are possible.

Winds: Mostly light and variable tonight. Tomorrow, SE at 04-08kts over land and increasing to near 10kts over coastal waters..

Seas: Slight, waves/swells 0.9-1.2m m or 3-4ft.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Hot-Hot

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 19 Oct 2016 14:09:18 -0400

Looking at recorded highs for Oct 2016, EVERY day has been above 90 degrees, with majority in 92-93 degrees range. Is this the year w/out a winter? October is supposed to be the cool down month to those more comfortable mid 80's.

I saw reported, USA temperatures are above normal for most of the west and central states. Maybe this global warming is upon us?

--
Sent via IPhone.

- A Little Hiccup That might Give Us Some Rain.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 18 Oct 2016 02:54:46 +0000

Good night everyone,

It has been pretty hot over the last few days but Tuesday may bring some showers.

Some major problems with Internet access on Nevis today (Monday) in the early hours and morning on both the Flow and Digicel Caribbean Cable networks. Outage lasted about 9 hours from just after midnight until 9am. Added to that another 2 hour outage on Digicel Caribbean Cable from about 7pm.

That didn't bode well for uploading my local weather station information to Weather Underground.

Weatherwise.

The presence of a frontal trough just to the north of the area coupled with a warm moist southerly wind flow and increasing atmospheric moisture will introduce some instability into the atmosphere across the area over the next few days. This could result in periods of increased cloudiness and some isolated to widely scattered showers across the area during that time. Daytime heating added to this instability could trigger an isolated afternoon thunderstorm along the coastal
areas during that time. Following on after a high pressure ridge will cause the atmosphere to become relatively dry and stable once again.

The proximity of this frontal trough to the area will also generate sea swells along some coastal areas, hence warnings will become necessary (see weather forecast below).

Weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services.

The presence of a weak frontal trough just north of the islands coupled with a warm moist southerly wind flow and increasing atmospheric moisture will cause the atmosphere across the islands to become relatively unstable during the next 24 hours, thus increasing the chances for some shower activity across the area during that time.

Partly cloudy skies tonight with a brief late night shower possible, becoming increasingly cloudy by tomorrow with periods of isolated to widely scattered showers.

Temperature: High 32C (90F) Low 24C (75F)

Winds: SSE at 8-14kts (15-26km/h) becoming lighter and variable overnight..

Seas: Moderate to locally rough, swells 1.8-2.4m or 6-8ft. Warnings are now in place for small craft operators and sea bathers against rough sea conditions mainly along the northern and eastern coastal areas.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Hot, Sunny and quiet.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 16 Oct 2016 22:56:12 +0000

Good night everyone,

It has been a hot sunny Sunday here in Nevis today,j though I did spot some lightning to the south of the island at around 6:30pm.

A dry and stable air mass will remain across the region until at least the middle of the week. Hurricane Nichole will have an effect on the North Eastern Caribbean through moderate to rough sea swells. No tropical waves are in the Atlantic Basin at the moment.

Weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services.

Skies tonight will be mostly fair. Tomorrow, conditions will be sunny to partly sunny with low chances for isolated brief showers.

Temperature: High 31C (88F) Low 24C (75F)

Winds: ENE-E at 5-10 kts, (9-19 km/h) becoming ESE tomorrow..

Seas: Moderate - rough with swells 1.8-2.1m/6-7ft. Small craft and sea bather warnings in effect.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Possible Showers.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 12 Oct 2016 00:20:45 +0000

Good night everyone,

Lots of weather coming up from the south but it seems to have passed us by to the east associated it travels northwards. My Weather Underground App keeps telling me it is going to rain but nothing falls from the heavens. Maybe I'll have to do some washing and wash the car!

Looks as if there has been rain over the Windward Islands and it has been overcast here most of the time, but no rain. Rain/showers still threaten over the next few days into the weekend.

A south-easterly trade wind flow coupled with available moisture and daytime heating could trigger periods of isolated to widely scattered showers across the area over the next few days. By
Friday, a weak tropical wave will increase the moisture and instability in the atmosphere across the area and heighten the chances for some scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms.

Weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services.

Temperature: High 32C (90F) Low 26C (79F)

A light to moderate south easterly wind flow will continue to cause an influx of moisture and instability into the atmosphere across the area this evening into tonight and gradually diminish becoming drier and more stable by tomorrow as high pressure ridge becomes dominant..

Partly cloudy to cloudy skies tonight with a good chance of some widely scattered evening and overnight showers, becoming partly sunny in general tomorrow with only brief isolated showers possible.

Winds: SE at 10-16kts (18-30km/h).

Seas: Moderate to locally rough, swells 1.5-2.1m or 5-7ft. Small craft operators and sea bathers should continue to exercise caution.

Update on Water Rationing On Nevis.

Nothing to do with drought conditions but a well pump failure.

http://www.nia.gov.kn/index.php/news-4/news-articles-3/2846-nia-working-to-restore-water-service-to-normalcy-says-jr-minister-liburd

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Unsettled Weather

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 8 Oct 2016 00:41:16 +0000

Good night everyone,

Things look quiet to the east across the Atlantic for the moment. The northern end of a tropical wave passed us and has given us some rain through brief showers.

Thursday 6th October - 2.3mm (0.09in)

Today, Friday 7th October - 5.6mm (0.22in)

Looks as if it's Tropical Storm Nichole's turn to impact our wearher after the sea swells from Hurricane Matthew! More unstable weather across the islands is expected for the next few days. Showers and thunderstorms are likely across the area, mainly during the afternoon period each day. Possible rainfall total over the next four days is 25 to 50 mm (1.0 to 2.0 in).

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

Temperature: High 32C (90F) Low 24C (75F)

The proximity of Tropical Cyclone Nicole along with a trough emanating from the system will cause a flow of warm, moist air across the area. This will result in more unstable weather across the islands through Saturday. Possible rainfall total over the next 24 hours is 1 to 10 mm (0.04 to 0.40 in).

Weather tonight: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent (or moderate) chance of showers.

Weather tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with a 60 percent (or high) chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon across northern coastal areas.

Winds: East-southeast tonight, becoming south-southeast tomorrow at 7 to 19 km/h or 4 to 10 knots.

Seas: Moderate with heights near 1.5 metres or 5 feet.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Rough Seas on the West Coast of Nevis.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 6 Oct 2016 01:59:15 +0000

Goodnight everyone,

It looks as if Hurricane Matthew has sent us a little reminder today on Nevis. We have experienced some rough seas on the west coast of the island. Waves today have washed over the Charlestown Pier and the Samuel Hunkins Drive. Some minor damage to the roadway was experienced and the police cordoned the area off for public safety reasons. The rough seas have also resulted in the cancellation of the inter-island ferry services today. Further impact was felt on the west coast with some flooding by the beach bars on Pinney's Beach.

The rough seas are forecast to continue overnight and probably into tomorrow.

Photo of the Charlestown Waterfront today is attached.

Meanwhile the tropical wave approaching from the east will probably give us some blustery showers late Thursday into Friday. It is now not forecast to develop into anything more serious until it has passed by and is over the Caribbean Sea.

Weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

Temperatures: High 31C (88F) Low 26C (79F)

An approaching tropical wave and available low level moisture will cause the atmosphere across the area to be relatively unstable during the next 24 hours, thus increasing the chances for some shower activity across the islands.

Partly cloudy to cloudy skies tonight and tomorrow with a good chance of some brief passing showers moving across the island at times.

Winds: ESE at 10-16kts (19-30km/h)..

Seas: Moderate to locally rough, swells 1.2-1.8m or 4-6ft. Small craft operators and sea bathers should continue to exercise caution..

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Attachment: Charlestown waterfront.jpg
Description: Charlestown waterfront.jpg

- Looking to the East!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 4 Oct 2016 20:40:20 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

After 'Matthew' passed us the first tropical wave moved off to the North of us but a second wave behind it looks as if it tracking towards us with possible development into a tropical cyclone. It doesn't look much at the moment but through experience you never know.

"A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur while the wave moves westward at 10 to 15 mph. Regardless of development, heavy rain and gusty winds are possible in the Windward Islands during the next couple of days during the wave's passage.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent"

The graphic forecast for the disturbance from the US National Hurricane Center for 2pm (EDT) is attached

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services is:

Temperatures: High 31C (88F) Low 26C (79F)

Cloudy skies, associated with Hurricane Matthew, continue to be the dominant feature. However low moisture levels will restrict showers to a minimum.

Skies tonight will be cloudy with low chances for isolated brief showers. Tomorrow, skies will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated showers.

Winds: E-ESE at 6-15 kts.

Seas: Moderate with waves 1.5m/5ft.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Attachment: two_atl_5d0.png
Description: two_atl_5d0.png

- NOAA Summary Data for September

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Sun, 2 Oct 2016 06:57:46 -0400

Greetings All,

Nevis Daya Report.......

Here is the station data for month of September for those interested.

Regards,

Harry

Attachment: 09_Sep 2016 - Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document

- Post Hurricane Matthew - Nevis

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 30 Sep 2016 00:21:54 +0000

Good night everyone,

Things have quietened down for us in Nevis with the passing of TS Matthew (now a hurricane) with the wind speeds dropping this morning. So far, up in the foothills of Nevis Peak, we have had more rain measured today than yesterday.

Wednesday's total 13.2mm (0.5in)

Today's total to 8pm 17mm (0.67in)

This was the result of some early morning and evening showers today. We had cloudy weather all day with periods of hazy sunshine. Spent some time late morning clearing up 'storm damage' of broken off branches from Cedar trees

The weather forecast for St Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

Trailing moisture and instability from what is now Hurricane Matthew will continue to linger across the area tonight and tomorrow, thus keeping a good chance for some shower activity across the islands during that time.

Partly cloudy to cloudy and hazy conditions tonight and tomorrow with periods of passing showers moving across the island.

Temperature: High 30C (86F) Low 27C (79F)

Winds: ENE at 10-16kts (19-30km/h)..

Seas: Moderate to locally rough, swells 1.8-2.1m or 6-7ft. Warnings remain in place for small craft operators and sea bathers against rough sea conditions.

The trailing moisture and instability from Hurricane Matthew will continue to linger across parts of the area. This could result in partly cloudy to cloudy skies with periods of widely scattered showers Friday into early Sunday. Dry and stable conditions will move into the area thereafter.

There are acouple of Tropical Waves crossing the Atlantic at the moment that may result in showery weather later next week.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Matthew Departing Report

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 29 Sep 2016 05:08:44 -0400

Greetings All,

Matthew is looking mean......a tight ball of trouble as it departs the Island chain heading West.

Weather station reports a max gust of 35 mph yesterday. Not a big rain maker with 0.38" total recorded.

Stay alert, those in it's path!!!

Cheers,

Harry

- TS Matthew - Nevis 7:40 pm

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2016 23:27:26 +0000

Goodnight everyone,

The wind has eased off a little but it is still gusty. After the two squally showers this afternoon things quietened down with only some light rain following. Some cedar tree branches are down so I have some clearing up to do tomorrow.

Despite the wind and rain the lower temperatures today have been a nice respite.

Total rainfall so far today up in the Nevis foothills measured at 6.6mm (0.25in).

Looking at the guadeloupe radar there seems to be a large area of rain/showers approaching us so we will see what that brings.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- TS Matthew - Nevis 2:45pm

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2016 19:43:53 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Another rain band arrived at 2:45pm and gave us a squally shower a little longer than the previous one.

The weather station has registered a wind gust of 48 km/h (30 mph) and the rain total for this last shower at 3.5mm (0.13in).

Even without the squalls I am measuring highest wind speed at 33 km/h (20 mph).

Latest rain band: https://youtu.be/mxNgdjUIZGI

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- Tropical Storm Matthew - Nevis 12:15pm

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2016 19:04:10 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Even though Nevis is about 150 miles north of the centre of TS Matthew the first rain band 'hit' us at about 12:15pm. Some very strong gusts of wind for about 15 minutes and rainfall total was about 2.8mm (0.1in).

Short video attached.

https://youtu.be/yjsRy4M1BMg

The radar shows more rain on the way.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Web Cams

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/eaB1rJytnpS4q6qi

https://map.bloomsky.com/weather-stations/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

- IN97L -Wednesday Morning

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2016 12:28:51 +0000

Good morning everyone,

I hope everyone is keeping safe and well. Gusty winds have been the order of the day so far. Looking at the satellite pictures a lot of 'weather' is to the north of the centre of this disturbance,

therefore we may expect some passing showers/thunderstorms as the day progresses.

The latest Antigua Met Services alert statement follows:

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
3:00 AM ECT WED SEP 28 2016

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

...POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE REMAINS A THREAT...

THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CONTINUES TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 97L. THE SYSTEM HAS A 90 PERCENT CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE (I.E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION, TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE) IN 48 HOURS.

AT 2 AM ECT OR 0600 UTC, THE CENTRE OF THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WAS LOCATED AROUND LATITUDE 13.0N, LONGITUDE 56.5W OR ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

THE DISTURBANCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTRE OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD PASS OVER 140 MILES SOUTH OF ANTIGUA.

THE POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS, MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTRE. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MOST OF THE CLOUDS, SHOWERS AND WINDS EXTEND FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF THE CENTRE. THIS MEANS THAT THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS, MAINLY LATE TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. SIMILAR WEATHER IS LIKELY ACROSS THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, MAINLY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. POSSIBLE RAINFALL TOTAL IS 10 TO 50 MM OR 0.40 TO 2 INCHES.

FOR THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE, PEAKING NEAR 25 MPH AND GUSTING TO NEAR 40 MPH WEDNESDAY EVENING. RESIDENTS SHOULD SECURE LIGHT OBJECTS. NO SUSTAINED STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED; THUS, NO TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE ISLANDS. THEREFORE, MOST DAILY ACTIVITIES SHOULD CONTINUE AS USUAL.

SEAS ARE DETERIORATING AND ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK NEAR 4 METRES OR 13 FEET. HENCE, MARINE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT; MARINERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE ANCHORAGE AND RESIDENTS SHOULD AVOID THE BEACHES.

ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF DISTURBANCE 97L CLOSELY UNTIL IT IS OUT OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED AT AROUND 9 AM ECT OR 1300 UTC.

FORECASTER DALE DESTIN

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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- Invest 97L - Tuesday Morning.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 27 Sep 2016 14:09:41 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Invest 97L will probably become a cyclonic storm today as it continues on it's path towards the Windward Islands.

The US National Hurricane Center forecast for IN97L

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent

Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

(the above percentages are at the maximum values that can be issued before a cyclonic storm forms)

As the weather disturbance has now entered the Antigua Met Services monitoring area they have issued the following statement for the Leeward Islands and British Virgin Islands:

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
6:30 AM ECT TUE, SEP 27, 2016

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 600 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS, CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE COULD BE FORMING. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES, THEN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM WOULD LIKELY FORM LATER TODAY WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS TO WESTWARDS AT ABOUT 20MPH. AS A RESULT, WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED AT ANY TIME.

REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLY TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE, ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD MAINLY OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN LESSER ANTILLES BEGINNING TONIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DISTURBANCE THIS AFTERNOON.

WHEREAS THIS DISTURBANCE HAS A GREATER CHANCE OF AFFECTING THE WINDWARDS ISLANDS, RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM

FORECASTER LENARD JOSIAH

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

Weak instability will be replaced by a more stable atmosphere over the Leewards today and tonight as a low level ridge builds over the islands. Meanwhile, an area of disturbed weather located several hundred mile east southeast of the Leewards has a high chance of developing into a tropical cyclone later today. Whereas this system has a greater chance of impacting the Windwards Islands, residents of the Leewards should closely monitor the progress of this system. A special weather alert is now in effect for this developing weather situation.

Temperatures: Today 31C (88F) Tonight 27C (81F)

Today: Partly cloudy with a chance of brief morning showers

Tonight: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of a brief shower

Winds: East to east-southeast at 8-16kts [15-30km/h] today becoming East-northeasterly by tonight and increasing slightly by tomorrow.

Seas: Moderate: heights 1.5-1.8m or 5-6ft; A small craft caution remains in effect for marginally safe seas. The seas are expected to build to 2.4m or 8ft by tomorrow and a warning comes into effect after midnight tonight for the coastal waters around the Leewards

Regards,

Frank Goodwilll

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- Weak Tropical Wave Today and also IN97L.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 26 Sep 2016 13:11:16 +0000

Good morning everyone,

A bright sunny start to Monday here in Nevis as a weak tropical wave may bring scattered showers today.

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

Temperatures: Today 31C (88F) Tonight 26C (79F)

Moisture and instability associated with a tropical wave, combined with an upper level trough will heighten the chances for increased cloudiness and shower activity across the islands today and tonight.

Partly sunny skies today and partly cloudy skies tonight, with periods of increased cloudiness and a good chance of some widely scattered showers developing.

Winds: ESE at 6-12kts (11-22km/h) becoming lighter and variable at times..

Seas: Slight to moderate, swells 1-1.5m or approximately 3-5ft..

Invest 97L

The National Huŕicane Center forecast update for Invest 97L: 60% chance (medium) of cyclonic system development within 48 hrs & 90% (high) within 5 days.

5 day graphic tracking forecast for IN97L is attached

As the NHC forecast warns: "Regardless of development, heavy rains and strong gusty winds should spread over the Windward Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles beginning late Tuesday or Wednesday."

The outlook for the Leeward Islands and BVI also forecasts some impact from Invest 97L on Wednesday and Thursday this week.

Showers are likely but it should be mostly dry due mainly to high pressure at the low levels of the atmosphere. Possible rainfall total over the forecast period is 1 to 15 mm (0.04 to 0.50 in).

The main thing to note is an increase in wind speed and rough seas.

Winds: The wind will be easterly at 9 to 19 km/h or 5 to 10 knots through Tuesday and 19 to 37 km/h or 10 to 20 knots on Wednesday and Thursday with higher gusts likely.

Seas: The seas will be become very rough with heights rising to 4 metres or 12 feet Wednesday and continuing through Thursday.

As advised by Antigua Met Services: Warnings are in effect for Wednesday and Thursday; mariners should seek safe anchorage and sea-bathers should avoid the beaches.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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Attachment: two_atl_5d1.png
Description: two_atl_5d1.png

- Weak Tropical Wave Today and also IN97L.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 26 Sep 2016 13:10:56 +0000

Good morning everyone,

A bright sunny start to Monday here in Nevis as a weak tropical wave may bring scattered showers today.

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

Temperatures: Today 31C (88F) Tonight 26C (79F)

Partly sunny skies today and partly cloudy skies tonight, with periods of increased cloudiness and a good chance of some widely scattered showers developing.

Winds: ESE at 6-12kts (11-22km/h) becoming lighter and variable at times..

Seas: Slight to moderate, swells 1-1.5m or approximately 3-5ft..

Invest 97L

The National Huŕicane Center forecast update for Invest 97L: 60% chance (medium) of cyclonic system development within 48 hrs & 90% (high) within 5 days.

5 day graphic tracking forecast for IN97L is attached

The outlook for the Leeward Islands and BVI also forecasts some impact from Invest 97L on Wednesday and Thursday this week.

Showers are likely but it should be mostly dry due mainly to high pressure at the low levels of the atmosphere. Possible rainfall total over the forecast period is 1 to 15 mm (0.04 to 0.50 in).

The main thing to note is an increase in wind speed and rough seas.

Winds: The wind will be easterly at 9 to 19 km/h or 5 to 10 knots through Tuesday and 19 to 37 km/h or 10 to 20 knots on Wednesday and Thursday with higher gusts likely.

Seas: The seas will be become very rough with heights rising to 4 metres or 12 feet Wednesday and continuing through Thursday.

As advised by Antigua Met Services: Warnings are in effect for Wednesday and Thursday; mariners should seek safe anchorage and sea-bathers should avoid the beaches.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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Attachment: two_atl_5d1.png
Description: two_atl_5d1.png

- Weekend Tropical Wave and More.........

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 24 Sep 2016 15:13:12 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Dry and stable conditions have moved into the area today (Saturday) resulting in very little shower activity across the islands. A short respite as by late Sunday into Monday we will see an increase in cloudiness and shower activity as a tropical wave moves into the area. Some showers could be moderate to locally heavy at times accompanied by isolated thunderstorms.

The forecast for next week requires the monitoring of a Tropical Wave and associated low travelling due west and is presently located south of the Cape Verde Islands. This is moving at 20 to 25 mph towards the Lesser Antilles across the Atlantic, which is a pretty fast speed. The US National Hurricane Center has given this disturbance a 10% chance of developing into a cyclonic system within 2 days and a 50% chance withiin 5 days, as of 8 am EDT this morning.

As with most forecasts this early things can change. Tropical Waves travelling at this speed are usually slow to develop, but there is less dry air in front of this disturbance unlike previous systems. The general forecast is that if it reaches the Lesser Antilles it will be a Tropical Depression/Tropical Storm later next week with a high probability of reaching Hurricane status over the Caribbean Sea.

Early days for this one but it needs to be watched.

NHC graphical 5 day forecast issued at 8 am (EDT) today is attached.

Weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services.

Temperatures: Max: 32C (90F) Min: 25C (77F).

A ridge of high pressure is the dominant feature. This along with low moisture levels will keep cloudiness and showers at a minimum. Skies today, Saturday, will be sunny to partly sunny with low chances for isolated brief showers. Tonight will be fair to partly cloudy with showers developing early Sunday.

Winds: SE at first but becoming ENE-E at 5-12 kts, (9-22 km/h) by tomorrow..

Seas: Moderate with waves 1.1-1.5m/4-5ft.

ZIKA Virus.

St. Kitts and Nevis has now joined the majority of other Caribbean Islands with the confirmation on 15th September 2016 of 3 people having been infected with the mosquito born ZIKA virus.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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Description: two_atl_5d0.png

- Living in an Oven - Hot, Hot, Hot!!!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 22 Sep 2016 17:40:39 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Another day in the OVEN - with the temperature reaching 32C / 90F with an associated heat index of 40F / 104 F or higher. This is especially so at sea level though up in the hills it is a bit fresher. No shower activity so far this morning.

Tropical Depression Karl although not expected to directly affect the Northeast Caribbean will continue to have some influence on the weather for the next two days. The trough induced by the system along with a light, warm and moist southerly windflow will maintain a high chance of showers and thunderstorms over the islands particularly during the afternoon hours. High pressure and a drier airmass settling over the area on Saturday and Sunday will yield a possibility of an odd shower under mostly partly sunny skies during the day and partly cloudy skies during the nights.

Today's weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

A trough system extending from Tropical Depression Karl along daytime heating and associated sea-breeze convergence will likely result in another day of localized heavy downpours. Possible rainfall total for the next 24 hours is 5 to 25 mm (0.20 to 1.00 in), with the potential for locally higher amounts. A flash flood advisory may be required sometime today. It is also expected to be another very warm day with high temperatures made to feel even higher due mainly to light southerly winds

Weather today: Partly sunny with a 70 percent (or high) chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the northern half of the islands.

Weather tonight: Mostly clear with a 20 percent (or slight) chance of showers.

Winds: Southerly at less than 19 km/h or less than 10 knots.

Seas: Moderate with heights near 1.5 metres or 5 feet and decreasing.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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- Overcast, Calm with Showers

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 21 Sep 2016 19:06:35 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

The showers part in the forecast is holding true with 12.95mm (0.5in) of rain measured so far today. Due to the lack of wind/breeze it feels hotter and more humid.

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services

Temperature: High 32C (90F) LOW 25C (77F)

As Tropical depression Karl or its remnants move north of the islands today, it will induce a light windflow over the Leewards and BVI. This, along with available moisture and daytime heating will create an environment that is favorable for the formation of convective activity over and around these islands. Motorist are particularly advised to be cautious while navigating if heavier downpours develop

Today: Partly cloudy in the morning with a high chance of skies becoming locally cloudy in the afternoon with scattered showers. Some showers could be locally heavy and thundery at times

Tonight: Decreasing clouds and shower activity

Winds: NE - N at 4-8kts [7-15 km/h] shifting to S - SW this afternoon and becoming variable of calm at times but mainly tonight.

Seas: Moderate to rough with swells 1.5-2.1m or 5-7ft in the Atlantic Ocean east and north of the Leewards and BVI and a small craft advisory is in effect.

A picture of this morning's view is attached.

TS Karl has weakened due to hostile conditions involving wind shear and dry air. This

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- Partly Cloudy, Possible Showers

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 19 Sep 2016 14:10:58 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Happy Independance day as St. Kitts and Nevis celebrate 33 years of nationhood.

It looks as if we are back to 'normal' this week regarding the weather - partly cloudy with a chance of a shower. We may feel some indirect effects of TS Karl later in the week. TS Karl is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane later in during the week and the forecast track shows Bermuda in its path.

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

A ridge of high pressure will dominate weather conditions over the Leewards and BVI on Monday and Tuesday. On Wednesday, Tropical Strom Karl is forecast to move sufficiently north of the islands to spare the islands of significant impact. Its broad circulation, however, will have impact of the local winds and seas. Residents are advised to continue monitor the progress of this system.

The ridge of high pressure is the dominant feature. However day time heating could enhance cloudiness and showers across the Islands today.

Skies today will be partly sunny with the chance of a few locally cloudy spells with widely scattered showers. Tonight will be fair to partly cloudy with low chances for showers.

Winds: SE at 3-8kts.

Seas: Moderate with waves 1.2-1.5m/4-5ft.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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- Partly Cloudy, Possible Showers

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 19 Sep 2016 14:10:57 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Happy Independance day as St. Kitts and Nevis celebrate 33 years of nationhood.

The weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

The ridge of high pressure is the dominant feature. However day time heating could enhance cloudiness and showers across the Islands today.

Skies today will be partly sunny with the chance of a few locally cloudy spells with widely scattered showers. Tonight will be fair to partly cloudy with low chances for showers.

Winds: SE at 3-8kts.

Seas: Moderate with waves 1.2-1.5m/4-5ft.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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- Showers and a Near Miss!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 18 Sep 2016 17:19:57 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

We had a few showers Saturday that in total gave us 3.6mm (0.14in) of rain. There were some periods of thunder and lightning but most of that activity passed to the south of Nevis. Radar rainfall forecasts for Saturday indicated that some islands to the south of us could have had up to 100mm (4in) of rain in total.

The weather forecast from Antigua Met Services for St. Kitts and Nevis:

A surface trough system, a tropical wave and sea-breeze convergence will cause some instability across the area on Sunday. Skies will be variably cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly across western coastal areas.

Although the instability over the Leeward Islands will be weak, a warm and slightly moist east-southeasterly prevailing windflow could still trigger some localized showers across the islands.

Today: Partly sunny to cloudy with the chance of some brief localized showers. An isolated thunderstorm is also possible.

Tonight: Partly cloudy to cloudy with the chance of some more brief and localized showers.

Winds: ESE at 06-12kts/(11-22km/h) over land and peaking to near 14kts/(26km/h) over coastal waters..

Seas: Slight heights 0.9-1.2m or 3-4ft..

Tropical Storm Karl is forecast to track north of the Leeward and Virgin Islands on or around this coming Wednesday. Conditions seem to become more favourable for development at the same time and TS Karl will probably be upgraded to a Hurricane. The forecast track next week takes it between the Bahamas and Bermuda so there may be some impact on the US East Coast.

Attached is the 11am EDT graphic forecast for TS Karl from the US National Hurricane Center.

Invest 96L is a disturbance near the Cape Verde Islands and this is forecast soon to become a cyclonic system that will track towards theNorth-West. This would indicate that it will travel into the mid Atlantic to become a 'fish storm' (no threat to land).

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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Attachment: 145559W5_NL_sm.gif
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- Scattered Showers Today

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 17 Sep 2016 12:36:46 +0000

Good morning everyone,

A very different weather pattern today from the last few days here in Nevis. We have had a couple of showers so far during the early morning and lot of showers showing up in the area on the Guadeloupe radar.

Today's weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services

Max Temp: 31C (88F) Min Temp: 24C (75F)

A surface trough will maintain unstable conditions across the Leeward islands today.

Today: Partly cloudy to cloudy with scattered showers and possible afternoon thunderstorms.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with scattered showers.

Winds: Light at first becoming SE to ESE at 5 to 13 knots(9 to 24 km/h).

Seas: Moderate with waves 1.2m/4ft..

More on TS Karl and Invest 96L on Sunday.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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- TD12 Thursday

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 15 Sep 2016 15:58:04 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Attached is the latest graphic forecast for the track of Tropical Depression #12 from the US National Hurricane Center. The forecast track at the moment sees this system passing near the Northern Leeward Islands and BVI/USVI. A more definate forecast track for this system will probably show itself on Sunday coming. Due to the systems slow development due to dry air and some wind shear it is forecast to become a Tropical Storm by the time it reaches our area and not a hurricane.

One to continue to watch as it progresses/develops over the weekend.

Back in the here and now the good weather continues.

Today's weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis from Antigua Met Services:

Max Temp: 31C (88F) Min Temp: 27C (81).

A weaker high pressure ridge will result in lighter windflow over the islands today and this, along with afternoon heating, could generate brief localize afternoon cloudiness over portions of the islands today; But apart from this, no significant weather is expected over the Leewards and BVI for the next 24hrs

Today: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of a coastal afternoon shower

Tonight: Mostly Fair

Winds: East to East-northeast at 5-13kts [ [9-24lm/h] with lighter spell at times mainly tonight.

Seas: Slight to moderate: heights not exceeding 1.2m or 4ft.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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Attachment: 143708W5_NL_sm.gif
Description: 143708W5_NL_sm.gif

- IN95L now Tropical Depression #12

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 14 Sep 2016 15:17:37 +0000

Good morning everyone,

IN95L over the Cape Verde Islands has been upgraded to Tropical Depression #12 by the US National Hurricane Center this morning. It still has to move through dry air and will be effected by wind shear for the next 3 to 4 days, therefore further development, if any, will be slow. Forecasts predict it will dip a little further south as it continues it's westward journey and moves around the Bermuda/Azores high. Will it come knocking at the islands door next week? The computer models show a wide spread 5 days out but it is thought not to be a threat at the moment. Still needs to be watched as computers/forecast models are not mother nature.

Attached:

Satellite picture of TD12

NHC forecast track of TD12

Back in the 'here and now' the Antigua Met Services weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis:

A dry and stable atmosphere will continue to persist across the area and restrict any significant shower activity during the next 24 hours.

Mostly sunny skies today and partly cloudy skies tonight with only a light passing overnight shower possible.

Winds: ENE at 6-12kts (11-22km/h) becoming lighter and variable at times..

Seas: Slight to moderate, swells 1-1.5m or 3-5ft..

Attached: View towards Nevis Peak this Morning

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

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Description: IMG_20160914_104429.jpg

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- IN95L now Tropical Depression #12

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 14 Sep 2016 15:17:17 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Attached:

Satellite picture of TD12

NHC forecast track of TD12

Back in the 'here and now' the Antigua Met Services weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis:

A dry and stable atmosphere will continue to persist across the area and restrict any significant shower activity during the next 24 hours.

Mostly sunny skies today and partly cloudy skies tonight with only a light passing overnight shower possible.

Winds: ENE at 6-12kts (11-22km/h) becoming lighter and variable at times..

Seas: Slight to moderate, swells 1-1.5m or 3-5ft..

Attached: View towards Nevis Peak this Morning

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Attachment: IMG_20160914_104429.jpg
Description: IMG_20160914_104429.jpg

Attachment: IMG_20160914_104557.jpg
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- All Quiet On The Western Front.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 13 Sep 2016 12:34:44 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Tropical Storm Ian (ex-In95L) is happily playing with the fish in mid Atlantic. A new Tropical Wave with an associated low is near the Cape Verde Islands and is designated Invest 95L. Early forecast track points it passing to the north of the Leeward and British Virgin Islands. Again worth keeping an eye on as it moves across the Atlantic.

Weather forecast for the next 24 hours from Antigua Met Services for St. Kitts and Nevis:

The airmass across the area is dry and stable. Skies today will be sunny to partly sunny with low chances for isolated brief showers. Tonight skies will be fair to partly cloudy with low chances for isolated brief showers

Winds: ENE at 8-15 kts (15-28 km/h)..

Seas: Moderate with waves 1.2-1.5m/4-5ft.

This will probably change to more unsettled weather by late Thursday as some weak troughs arrive in the area increasing the chance of showers over the weekend.

Photo attached.Yesterday's sunset on Nevis.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

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- IN94L Sunday

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 11 Sep 2016 18:56:28 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

A hot day here in paradise and we had a couple of showers overnight.

Weather forecast from Antigua Met Services for St. Kitts and Nevis:

The atmosphere across the region is dry and relatively stable. Skies today will be partly sunny with low chances for showers.

Tonight, skies will be partly cloudy with low chances for showers.

Winds: ENE-E at 8-15 kts, (15-28 km/h).

Seas: Moderate with waves 1.8m/6ft. Small craft operators should exercise caution.

Antigua Met Services also updated their Tropical Cyclone Alert Statement for Invest 94L. They have said it will not become a threat to the Northeast Caribbean islands and this is the last statement they will be issuing concerning this disturbance. The US National Hurricane Center has narrowed the cone of uncertainty for development for formation into a cyclonic system. They have also forecast it to track to the east of us in a north westerly direction.

There is a fair bit of weather to the south of this large disturbance so I presume this still requires monitoring.

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:22 AM ECT SUN, SEP 11, 2016

FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS, BUT IT CURRENTLY HAS LIMITED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS STILL LIKELY TO FORM LATER TODAY OR ON MONDAY BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

THE DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER RESIDENTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER LORNE SALMON

http://antiguamet.com/Antigua_Met_files/ALERT_STATEMENTS/alertStatement_The%20Leeward%20islands%20and%20British%20Virgin%20Islands.html

Attached is the NHC graphic 5-day forecast for 2pm Sunday showing IN94L.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

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Pond Hill, Nevis, KN Weather Station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

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- IN94L - Tropical Cyclone Alert Statement

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 9 Sep 2016 15:47:58 +0000

Hello again,

Following on from my last post a short while ago, a Tropical Cyclone Alert Statement has been issued by Antigua Met Services:

TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
10:11 AM ECT FRI, SEP 9, 2016

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARDS AND IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE SYSTEM IS GETTING BETTER ORGANIZE AND CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THIS WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH WESTWARDS AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS, RESIDENTS IN THE LEEWARDS AND VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

FORECASTER CECIL MATTHEW

http://www.antiguamet.com/Antigua_Met_files/ALERT_STATEMENTS/alertStatement_The%20Leeward%20islands%20and%20British%20Virgin%20Islands.html

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Invest 93L and 94L

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 9 Sep 2016 15:29:38 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Invest 93L gave us a couple of showers overnight totalling 1.78mm (0.07in) of rain. So today is a little cloudy with a chance of a shower. Most of the cloud and rain has passed to the north of the islands.

The forecast from Antigua Met Services:

A weak area of low pressure is in the vicinity of the Leeward Islands. Instability associated with this feature, along with the addition of a light to moderate and warmer southeasterly windflow, could ignite convective activity around these islands today. By tonight, A ridge of high pressure will return over these islands

Today: Partly sunny at first with a good chance of skies becoming increasingly cloudy with scattered showers by this afternoon. Some showers could become moderate to locally heavy and thundery at times

Tonight: Partly cloudy with brief isolated showers

Winds: East-southeast to southeast at 5-11kts or 9-21km/h increasing slightly by tomorrow.

Seas: Moderate: heights 1.5m or 5ft.

The strong 'disturbance' that was near the Cape Verde Islands has now been designated Invest 94L by the US National Hurricane Center.

This disturbance is now located some 1200 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. From recent satellite pictures it looks as if this will be developing into a cyclonic system sooner rather than later. It will be interesting to see the NHC updates at 2pm (EDT) and at 8pm (EDT) today. As I mentioned in a previous post the cone of uncertainty forecast for development is nudging closer to the North Eastern Caribbean Islands. It may not have a direct impact on the islands but it is a large area of 'weather' so high rainfall totals/flash flooding could result from a close pass.

Antigua Met Services are viewing 94L with some concern.

Attached:

NHC 8am (EDT) 5-day graphic forecast. 94L 70% chance of development.

Today's view from Pond Hill, Nevis.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Invest 93L and more.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 8 Sep 2016 14:43:24 +0000

Good morning everyone,

The tropical wave closest to us has now been designated Invest 93L by the US National Hurricane Center. No direct impact on the North East Caribbean Islands it but will probably bring some increased shower activity to the area Thursday night into Friday. At the moment this disturbance has a low chance of developing into a cyclonic system.

Antigua Met Services forecast as follows:

A trough system will likely cause cloudy skies and showers across the Leeward Islands Thursday night and Friday. Otherwise, mostly dry weather will prevail across the area. Possible rainfall total over the forecast period is 1 to 5 mm (0.04 to 0.20 in).

Winds: The wind will be east at 7 to 22 km/h or 4 to 12 knots, peaking around Saturday and calmest on Thursday night.

Seas: The seas will be moderate with heights not exceeding 1.8 or not exceeding 6 feet. Marine cautions are in effect for mainly the Atlantic waters on Thursday, Friday and late Sunday.

The Tropical Wave near the Cape Verde Islands requires monitoring though, as the NHC 5-day development track has put it a little closer to us. They are forecasting that this disturbance may develop into a Tropical Depression early next week.

As always, early days, but worth keeping an eye on.

Attached images.

Invest 93L as it approaches the North East Caribbean.

NHC 5-day forecast graphics issued at 8am (EDT) today

An evening stroll picture from yesterday on Nevis.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- IN92L rain/showers

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 6 Sep 2016 01:40:48 +0000

Good night everyone,

An interesting day as this Tropical Wave passed us by. I recorded 13.2mm (0.5in) of rain in Pond Hill, Nevis while Antigua Met Services have estimated now that 150mm (6in) of rain fell over Antigua. 50 miles apart but a different weather result.

I have attached a rain radar picture that shows St. Kitts and Nevis in the top left hand corner with very little rain covering the islands. Antigua on the other hand is under a 'red/pink patch' to the right of us, denoting heavy rain and that resulted in flash flooding. The rain/shower band ran up from Dominica over Antigua and up to near Anguilla and just brushed against St. Kitts and Nevis on it's journey.

It shows how the weather can differ dramatically from island to island in these situations.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- IN92L rain/showers

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 6 Sep 2016 01:40:47 +0000

Good night everyone,

It shows how the weather can differ dramatically from island to island in these situations.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- IN92L Monday

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 5 Sep 2016 22:10:52 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

You don't need a Hurricane or a Tropical Storm to have Problems!

We had a heavy downpour early this morning at around 5:30 am and poof! The cable TV and Internet went off. Reported the fault and service was restored at 4:30 pm!

It has been overcast and cool today with showers off and on. Measured 13.2 mm (0.5in) of rain so far today with soon cool daytime temperatures e.g. 23C (73F).

Low cloud keeps sweeping in and hiding the top of Saddle Hill, Nevis (picture attached).

I gather that there has been some flooding in Antigua as Antigua Met Services have estimated that some parts of the island have received 100mm (4in) of rain in 12 hours. The Potworks Dam water catchment area has water in it for the first time since July last year!

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- IN92L Sunday

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 4 Sep 2016 18:08:46 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

It looks like the 'weather' associated with IN92L has finally caught up with us. We continue to have gusty winds and had a heavy shower at about 1:30pm yielding 4.32mm (0.17 in) of rain. We are also hearing rumbles of thunder.

Most if the weather action seems to be around Barbados and the Windward Islands as far up as Guadeloupe.

Pond Hill # Now:24° # Pond Hill, Saint George Gingerland Parish, KN
http://bsky.co/e/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- IN92L Saturday

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 4 Sep 2016 03:54:41 +0000

Good night everyone,

Much of the weather action as Tropical Wave IN92L approaches us was further down south. We did have a shower at about 6 am Saturday morning that amounted to 1.5mm of measurable rain. It has been a breezy day that was due more to the trade winds than the Tropical Wave. A partly cloudy day with some hazy sunshine mainly due to the dusty dry air/Saharan Air Layer.

The weather forecast from Antigua Met Services for tonight/tomorrow is as follows:

An approaching area of disturbed weather will move over the islands later this evening into tonight, causing unsettled weather conditions and a high chance of showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds across the area during the next 24 hours.

Mostly cloudy skies tonight becoming overcast tomorrow with periods of scattered showers, some of which could be moderate to heavy at times accompanied by isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds later this evening into tonight and tomorrow. A flash flood advisory may become necessary later tonight or tomorrow, given the anticipation of heavy shower activity.

Winds: ENE at 16-24kts (30-45km/h) gusting to 32kts (59km/h) in near gale force conditions during heavier showers and squalls..

Seas: Rough, swells 2.1-3.1m or 7-10ft. A firm warning remains in place for small craft operators and sea bathers against hazardous sea conditions.

I have attached

A picture from today showing the haze seen from Pond Hill, Nevis.

A satellite picture of IN92L showing water vapour and the dry air/dust that surrounds it (brown colour). Picture source the NOAA. The dry air has suppressed development of IN92L right from when it left the West African coast.

A satellite picture of IN92L showing a normal visable view. Picture source the NOAA.

We wait and see what tomorrow brings.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Nevis NOAA report for August

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 3 Sep 2016 12:47:28 -0400

Greetings All,

Attached NOAA Weather station data for month of August.

Cheers

Attachment: 08_Aug 2016 - Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document

- Guess Who's Back........ IN92L

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 2 Sep 2016 14:45:48 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Yes back on the watch list is Tropical Wave/disturbance IN92L mid Atlantic between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Having been wrapped in dry air since leaving the African coast this Tropical Wave started as a 50% chance of developing into a Tropical cyclone within 5 days and is now down to 20% within five days and 10% within 2 days.

Forecast at 8 am EDT today from the NHC:

A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean located about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles is accompanied by disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Development of this system, if any, will be slow to occur while it approaches the Lesser Antilles and continues westward into the eastern Caribbean Sea early next week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Though it has a low chance of development near the Lesser Antilles it can still deliver heavy showers/rain and gusty winds over the area during Sunday/Monday.

Antigua Met Services forecast for the next four days:

A weather disturbance is expected to cause very wet and thundery weather across Leeward Islands late Saturday/Sunday and the Virgin Islands and Anguilla Sunday/Monday. Otherwise, mostly dry weather will prevail. Possible rainfall total over the forecast period is 25 to 75 mm (1 to 3 in).

The wind will be east-northeast at 7 to 26 km/h or 8 to 18 knots, peaking around Sunday and falling below 7 km/h or 8 knots on Monday.

The seas will be moderate with heights of 1.8 to 3 metres or 6 to 10 feet, peaking near 3 metres or 10 feet around Sunday. Marine warnings are in effect for Saturday through Monday.

Attached some graphics:

IN92L this morning

NHC graphic forecast from 8am EDT today.

Saharan Air Layer (SAL) over the Atlantic.

I must admit the SAL plume looks pretty impressive for this time of year. It will probably help put a lid on any other Tropical Waves leaving the African coast at the moment.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- The Disturbance ex-IN92L

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 31 Aug 2016 20:14:38 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Lots of focus on the weather happenings near Florida, but looking at the disturbance in the Eastern Atlantic (ex-IN92L). This Tropical Wave is forecast to be slow to develop as it continues to battle through an area of dry air (Saharan Air Layer). The US National Hurricane Center has lowered it's forecast of this wave developing into a cyclonic system within 5 days from 40% to 30%.

The NHC forecast issued today at 2pm is as follows:

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located over the far eastern Atlantic just west of the Cabo Verde Islands. This wave is expected to be in an environment of very dry air for the next few days, which should prevent significant development during that time. Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for slow development on Sunday or Monday when the wave is near the Lesser Antilles.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

The graphic view is attached:

It is still forecast to travel in the general direction towards the Lesser Antilles, but may only be a strong Tropical Wave when it arrives Sunday/Monday. This could still result in some heavy showers/rain and gusty winds.

The local area weather forecast by Antigua Met Services for the next few days is as follows:

Dry and stable conditions associated with a high pressure ridge will persist across the islands over the next few days except for Thursday when a weak trough (this iS In front of ex-IN92L) moves into the area. This will hence increase the chances for some cloudiness and shower activity over and around the islands during that time . Otherwise we can expect generally fair to partly cloudy skies with only a brief passing shower.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- The Disturbance ex-IN92L

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 31 Aug 2016 20:14:25 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

The NHC forecast issued today at 2pm is as follows:

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

The graphic view is attached:

The local area weather forecast by Antigua Met Services for the next few days is as follows:

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Ex-Invest 92L

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 31 Aug 2016 01:21:57 +0000

Good night everyone,

It looks as if the dry air in front of the Tropical Wave in the eastern Atlantic is doing a good job of suppressing development. The US National Hurricane Center is treating this as a normal Tropical Wave at the moment due to it not having a discernable centre. Therefore they are no longer tracking it as an Invest but as a disturbance.

It still has a chance of development in a few days time, so the longer it takes helps to reduce the impact if it continues its course towards the Lesser Antilles. The NHC are still giving this disturbance a 40% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within 5 days.

It needs to be watched in case of any suprises and no doubt there will be plenty of showers/rain even if it remains just a Tropical Wave.

Latest graphic issued by the NHC is attached for 8pm today.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- IN92L Struggles

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 30 Aug 2016 18:38:37 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

It looks as if IN92L will have a battle on it's hands as it punches it's way through dry air a.k.a Saharan Air Layer. The US Hurricane Center have trimmed the odds of this disturbance developing into a cyclonic system from 50% yesterday to 40% today. Also from the graphics it will probably start developing later as its travels across the Atlantic.

There is a weak Tropical Wave in front of it and this may bring some showers on Thursday/Friday with IN92L bringing further more frequent showers on Sunday/Monday next week.

The local weather forecast from Antigua Met Services:

A ridge of high pressure will maintain a dry and stable atmosphere and little shower activity over the Northeast Caribbean for the next two days. However, by Thursday and Friday, a surge
of moisture and weak instability associated with a tropical wave will increase the chance of some showers across the islands.

Winds have picked up locally giving a nice breeze:

An easterly and moderate to fresh windflow is anticipated for the next four days. Speeds will range between 10 and 18 knots.

As far as IN92L is concerned it needs watching due to possible development later this week. You never Know! As a strong Tropical Wave it will still give plenty of showers some heavy.

NHC 5 day forecast graphic issued at 2pm EDT today is attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- That African Wave.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 30 Aug 2016 01:36:23 +0000

Good night everyone,

That tropical wave has finally launched itself into the Atlantic and is now designated as Invest 92L.

We watch and wait to see how it progresses as it is forecast to head towards the Caribbean Islands of the Lesser Antilles.

For now the weather over the next few days will be fine, as a ridge of high pressure will maintain a dry and stable atmosphere, with little shower activity over the Northeast Caribbean.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Disturbance Exiting West African Coast

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 29 Aug 2016 18:24:38 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

The 'disturbance' is nearing it's exit from the West African coast and the development of this Tropical Wave will be of interest to those in the Lesser Antilles.

US National Hurricane Center forecast 2pm EDT:

A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa tonight. Conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

This wave will track westwards due to a 'high' to the north but it will have to cut through some dry air to begin with from the Saharan Air Layer. Hence the slow development to start with. Computer models continue to point this system towards the Lesser Antilles.

As I have said - 'early days' but it is worth keeping an eye on as 'it only takes one'. Always worth checking any emergency plans that you have in place if you are resident in the Lesser Antilles.

Attached. Latest graphical forecast from NHC today 2pm EDT. Also the Saharan Air Layer graphic.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: SAL.jpg
Description: SAL.jpg

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- Disturbance Exiting West African Coast

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 29 Aug 2016 18:24:26 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

The 'disturbance' is nearing it's exit from the West African coast and the development of this Tropical Wave will be of interest to those in the Lesser Antilles.

US National Hurricane Center forecast 2pm EDT:

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

As I have said - 'early days' but it is worth keeping an eye on as 'it only takes one'. Always worth checking any emergency plans that you have in place if you are resident in the Lesser Antilles.

Attached. Latest graphical forecast from NHC today 2pm EDT. Also the Saharan Air Layer graphic.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: SAL.jpg
Description: SAL.jpg

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- Monday/Tuesday New Wave

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 29 Aug 2016 01:28:02 +0000

Good night everyone,

The forecast by the US National Hurricane Center for the Tropical Wave forecast to exit the West African coast on Monday/Tuesday remains much the same.

The chances of the wave developing into a cyclonic system are 50% within 5 days, but as an optimist you could also say there is a 50% chance it will not.

Current computer model guidance suggests that this system could be steered west across the Atlantic ocean underneath a building ridge of high-pressure in the Atlantic. At this stage there is no forecast regarding the intensity of any system that may develop.

Early days but needless to say, the system will be watched.

Attached is the 5 day graphical outlook issued by the NHC today at 8pm EDT.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Disturbance #3 - one to watch

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 28 Aug 2016 18:10:11 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Lots of activity regarding the weather in and around the Atlantic basin.

One for the Lesser Antilles to watch as it leaves the West African coast on Tuesday coming.

A tropical wave is expected to move offshore of the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Conditions are expected to be favorable for development of this system later this week while it moves westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical eastern Atlantic.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Map forecast is attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Disturbance #3 - one to watch

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 28 Aug 2016 18:10:02 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Lots of activity regarding the weather in and around the Atlantic basin.

One for the Lesser Antilles to watch as it leaves the West African coast on Tuesday coming.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent

* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Map forecast is attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Tropical Wave African Coast

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 28 Aug 2016 00:19:54 +0000

Good night everyone,

Looks like the forecasted Tropical Wave due to leave the African coast Monday has caught the US National Hurricane Center's attention. Development within 5 days has increased from 30% to 40%.

Early days but progress needs to be watched if you are in the Lesser Antilles.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: two_atl_5d3.png
Description: two_atl_5d3.png

- One to Watch!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 27 Aug 2016 17:56:56 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Local weather forecast: A trough system along with daytime heating and sea-breeze convergence will likely cause isolated heavy showers over the next two days, mainly during the afternoon. Otherwise, surface divergence will result in clear to partly cloudy and minimal shower activity. Possible rainfall total over the forecast period is 0 to 5 mm (0 to 0.20 in).

One to watch - Disturbance #4 Issued at 2pm

The US National Hurricane Center has highlighted a Tropical Wave forecast to exit the West African coast on Monday, as having a 30% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within 5 days.

Computer models suggest this could travel due west towards the Lesser Antilles. Estimated speed 15 to 20 mph.

Early days but at this time of year it needs to be watched.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: two_atl_5d4.png
Description: two_atl_5d4.png

- In99L Fading a Bit

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2016 00:28:54 +0000

Good night everyone,

Back to normal in Nevis weatherwise. Partly cloudy with the possibility of a shower though we had nothing in Pond Hill so far.

Some more unsettled weather is forecast for Sunday, due to a trough passing through the area.

The latest 'Key Message' (8pm today) from the US National Hurricane Center regarding In99L is attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160825_201551.jpg
Description: IMG_20160825_201551.jpg

- In99L Fading a Bit

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 26 Aug 2016 00:28:35 +0000

Good night everyone,

Back to normal in Nevis weatherwise. Partly cloudy with the possibility of a shower though we had nothing in Pond Hill so far.

Some more unsettled weather is forecast for Sunday, due to a trough passing through the area.

The latest 'Key Message' (8pm today) from the US National Hurricane Center regarding In99L is attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160825_201551.jpg
Description: IMG_20160825_201551.jpg

- Invest 99L this afternoon

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 20:21:48 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

The grey skies are still with us but the sun is trying to break through and brighten up the day after the passing of the centre of Invest 99L.

We lost NEVLEC grid power for three short periods so far today.

Total rainfall today in Pond Hill, Nevis since midnight stands at 58.42mm (2.3 in).

There are still some showers moving up towards us from the south east.

I added a short video from this morning as the rain started to ease off at about 10:00 am.

https://youtu.be/PU02_yTfFiU

How, when, where will this invest be going? The US National Hurricane Center issued a 'key facts' bulletin at 2pm. See attached.

There are still many uncertainties regarding the development and direction this disturbance will be heading.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160824_155647.jpg
Description: IMG_20160824_155647.jpg

- Invest 99L this afternoon

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 20:21:45 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

The grey skies are still with us but the sun is trying to break through and brighten up the day after the passing of the centre of Invest 99L.

We lost NEVLEC grid power for three short periods so far today.

Total rainfall today in Pond Hill, Nevis since midnight stands at 58.42mm (2.3 in).

There are still some showers moving up towards us from the south east.

I added a short video from this morning as the rain started to ease off at about 10:00 am.

https://youtu.be/PU02_yTfFiU

How, when, where will this invest be going? The US National Hurricane Center issued a 'key facts' bulletin at 2pm. See attached.

There are still many uncertainties regarding the development and direction this disturbance will be heading.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160824_155647.jpg
Description: IMG_20160824_155647.jpg

- Out the door photo........

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 07:45:12 -0400

This is our day today.

Attachment: 20160824_074152.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Nevis wet

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 07:42:22 -0400

Greetings All,

Looks like the low pressure system is right on top of Nevis slightly to the south.
Heavy rain started early am and continues as I write. Weather Station reorting just under 1.75" of rain. Some wind associated with storm but nothing to write home about.
Just a gray drab day in store for the area.

Harry

- In99L Wednesday Morning

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 11:06:10 +0000

Good morning everyone,

Showers started around 10:30 pm last night. Heavy showers/rain started at about 2:30 am this morning and eased off by 6:00 am. The weather station has measured 46.5mm (1.8in) of rain since midnight up in the foothills of Nevis Peak.

A damp and grey start to the day with not much wind blowing.

Picture attached of Saddle Hill this morning.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: 20160824_064603.jpg
Description: 20160824_064603.jpg

- Still calm in Nevis 8pm

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 24 Aug 2016 00:19:03 +0000

Good night everyone,

After a very hot day with little breeze to give some relief from the heat, all remains calm.

The US National Hurricane Center has upped the percentage rate for IN99L to become a tropical cyclone to 70% within the next 48 hours.They forecast it to become tropical depression in the next day or 2 while moving near Leeward Islands & the Greater Antilles. #99L https://t.co/EGLLHQ1pNl

Hot day for a walkabout but here are some pictures attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160823_135440.jpg
Description: IMG_20160823_135440.jpg

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Description: IMG_20160823_135216.jpg

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- Incoming!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2016 19:03:57 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Attached is the radar view from France Meteo. Cloud to the east associated with Invest 99L

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: 2GMF21DEZVY.gif
Description: 2GMF21DEZVY.gif

- Waiting for Invest 99L

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2016 17:08:26 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

You wouldn't think it at the moment looking at the weather, but the approach of Invest 99L has started to produce warnings from the local Met Services:

Flash flooding warning from Antigua Met Services for the Leeward Islands and BVI.

http://antiguamet.com/Antigua_Met_files/FLOODWATCH_STATEMENTS/floodwatchStatement.html

Warning issued by St. Kitts Met Services.

St. Kitts Meteorological Services
Weather Bulletin - Issued at: 7am Tuesday 23rd August, 2016
SEVERE WEATHER ALERT STATEMENT

A tropical wave continues to approach the island chain (about 400 miles southeast of the federation) and is expected to begin
affecting the federation from later today about mid-afternoon into tomorrow. Some periods of moderate to heavy showers are possible accompanied with thunderstorms and gusty conditions. Rainfall totals between 1-3 inches are possible as this weather system passes over the islands.

Persons living in areas that are prone to flooding are asked to exercise caution. Persons are advised against attempting to drive through the “ghauts” if they are running heavily. Motorists and residents who traverse areas that are prone to rock slides are also asked to exercise extreme caution.

The tropical wave is struggling against some dry air but it is closely being monitored for potential development as it begins moving through the islands today. Persons are advised to pay close attention to the weather updates provided by their local meteorological services on this weather disturbance and any other that may develop in the future. At this moment there is no flood advisories in place but this may become necessary as the system begins to affect the federation.

A next update will be given this evening.

Elmo Burke - Senior Meteorological Officer
St. Kitts Meteorological Services

Picture attached of the weather at the moment, but the storm will soon come!

Will update further later subject to Internet and electricity grid working!

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: 20160823_122740.jpg
Description: 20160823_122740.jpg

- Invest 99L and 90L change hats.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2016 18:55:17 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

It appears that Invest 99L is still ploughing through dry air (Saharan Air Layer - SAL) as it approaches the Leeward Islands. This continues to inhibit development into a cyclonic system. Therefore the latest forecast is for it to pass over us on Wednesday producing gusty winds and showers as an open Tropical Wave. Development into a cyclonic system is still possible but this may finally take place near the Bahamas.

Still a fair way out so it may still surprise us.

Invest 90L is forecast to develop into a cyclonic system over the next five days and therefore rake the name 'Gaston'.The good thing is that on it's present Forecast track it will travel north west into the Atlantic away from land.

Today's weather forecast from Antigua Met Services:

"High pressure at the lower levels of the atmosphere, will maintain light to moderate trade winds across the region and continue to keep shower activity to a minimum."

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN local weather station:

www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: 1471805485217.jpg
Description: 1471805485217.jpg

- Invest 99L and 90L change hats.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2016 18:55:06 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

Still a fair way out so it may still surprise us.

Today's weather forecast from Antigua Met Services:

"High pressure at the lower levels of the atmosphere, will maintain light to moderate trade winds across the region and continue to keep shower activity to a minimum."

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN local weather station:

www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: 1471805485217.jpg
Description: 1471805485217.jpg

- Invest 99L Slow Development

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2016 02:54:44 +0000

Good night everyone,

The forecast development of this disturbance into a cyclonic system is starting to look impressive. It appears to be battling against dry air (Saharan Air Layer - SAL) for the next couple of days. So on the face of it if it keeps to the forecast track given by the US National Hurricane Center we in the Lesser Antilles will experience a Tropical Depression or a Tropical Storm rather than a Hurricane. Bad enough! Early days but it is one to watch as it develops and the track becomes more Accurate.

As of 8:00 pm EDT Fri Aug 19 2016 ...
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located about 600 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This disturbance is producing a large area of cloudiness but only a few showers and thunderstorms, and any development of this system during the next couple of days should be slow to occur due to its proximity to dry air. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development after that time, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle of next week while the system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic Ocean and into the eastern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Graphics attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Note: Internet down between 1pm and 5:30pm today, Friday. No Web based readings for that period.

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: two_atl_5d1.png
Description: two_atl_5d1.png

- Invest 99L Slow Development

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2016 02:54:33 +0000

Good night everyone,

Graphics attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Note: Internet down between 1pm and 5:30pm today, Friday. No Web based readings for that period.

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: two_atl_5d1.png
Description: two_atl_5d1.png

- Surprise! Looks A Bit Ominous.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2016 18:20:57 +0000

Good afternoon everyone,

A quiet day weatherwise in Nevis. The latest forecast from Antigua Met Services for St. Kitts and Nevis: A surface high pressure will maintain a moderate wind flow across the area.

Today: Sunny with a chance of a few isolated showers.

Tonight: Partly cloudy.

Tropical Storm Fiona continues to strengthen a bit but is heading in a north west direction away from the islands.

The Atlantic conveyor belt is fully running and is starting to pick up the Tropical Waves now. The Tropical Wave behind TS Fiona has now been designated Invest99L with a 20% chance of developing into a cyclonic system within 5 days.

Early days yet but the forecast track of this system is definately a wake up call for those living in the Leeward and Windward Islands.

This is in addition to the Tropical Wave due to exit the West African coast on Saturday and that is also forecast as having a 20% chance of developing into a cyclonic system within 5 days.

Latest forecast map issued by the US National Hurricane Center today at 2pm is attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN local weather station.

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160818_140431.jpg
Description: IMG_20160818_140431.jpg

- Next Please!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2016 18:54:25 +0000

Good afternoon,

No showers/rain as yet from the Tropical Wave that is passing us today. Hot, partly cloudy, sunny and a little hazy.

Antigua Met Services weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis, today/tonight:

A tropical wave will likely cause some unsettled weather across the area, mainly today. Possible rainfall total for the next 24 hours is 1 to 5 mm (0.04 to 0.20 in).

Weather today: Partly sunny with a 60 percent (or high) chance of showers.

Weather tonight: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent (or moderate) chance of showers, mainly before midnight.

Midday picture attached.

The US National Hurricane Center has highlighted another Tropical Wave in their 5 day forecast at 2pm today, as it moves from the West African coast this coming Saturday (in my last post I said Sunday). They forecast this wave has a 20% chance of developing into cyclonic system as it travels in a westerly direction.

Forecast map attached.

It's that time of year.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN weather station

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: two_atl_5d1.png
Description: two_atl_5d1.png

Attachment: Mid-day_Picture_Nevis_Peak (179).jpg
Description: Mid-day_Picture_Nevis_Peak (179).jpg

- Next Please!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2016 18:54:10 +0000

Good afternoon,

No showers/rain as yet from the Tropical Wave that is passing us today. Hot, partly cloudy, sunny and a little hazy.

Antigua Met Services weather forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis, today/tonight:

A tropical wave will likely cause some unsettled weather across the area, mainly today. Possible rainfall total for the next 24 hours is 1 to 5 mm (0.04 to 0.20 in).

Weather today: Partly sunny with a 60 percent (or high) chance of showers.

Weather tonight: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent (or moderate) chance of showers, mainly before midnight.

Midday picture attached.

Forecast map attached.

It's that time of year.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN weather station

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: two_atl_5d1.png
Description: two_atl_5d1.png

Attachment: Mid-day_Picture_Nevis_Peak (179).jpg
Description: Mid-day_Picture_Nevis_Peak (179).jpg

- Livening Up!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2016 03:48:29 +0000

Good night all,

Another Tropical Wave is due to pass over us tomorrow so there is a chance of more shower activity in the area.

Antigua Met Services forecast: A relatively stable environment will continue over the Leewards and BVI tonight, however early tomorrow, moisture associated with a topical wave will increase the chance of shower activity over these islands

Tonight: Fair to partly cloudy this evening with an increase in clouds and shower activity overnight.

As far as the bigger picture is concerned Invest98L has become better organised and has been upgraded by the US National Hurricane Center to Tropical Depression #6 (TD6). The system will probably develop into Tropical Storm Fiona on Wednesday and it is still not a threat to the Caribbean Islands.

Attached is the forecast track of TD6/TS Fiona.

What next? A disturbance is due to exit the African coast on Sunday and the general chatter in the weather world that this may develop into a cyclonic system next week and take a more westerly route. It therefore may become Invest 99L and develop into "Gaston" and pose a threat to the Caribbean.

This is a forecast and by no means a certainty this far out. It has been quiet so far, but as we move into the peak period of the hurricane season 'be prepared, it only takes one'.

Also attached a sunset picture from today.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN local weather:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160816_232221.jpg
Description: IMG_20160816_232221.jpg

Attachment: A_Nevisian_Sunset_August_16__2016_at_0609PM.jpg
Description: A_Nevisian_Sunset_August_16__2016_at_0609PM.jpg

- Livening Up!

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2016 03:48:14 +0000

Good night all,

Another Tropical Wave is due to pass over us tomorrow so there is a chance of more shower activity in the area.

Tonight: Fair to partly cloudy this evening with an increase in clouds and shower activity overnight.

Attached is the forecast track of TD6/TS Fiona.

This is a forecast and by no means a certainty this far out. It has been quiet so far, but as we move into the peak period of the hurricane season 'be prepared, it only takes one'.

Also attached a sunset picture from today.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN local weather:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160816_232221.jpg
Description: IMG_20160816_232221.jpg

Attachment: A_Nevisian_Sunset_August_16__2016_at_0609PM.jpg
Description: A_Nevisian_Sunset_August_16__2016_at_0609PM.jpg

- Tropical Wave in98L - Fish Storm?

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 15 Aug 2016 01:43:50 +0000

Good night everyone,

We had a brief shower to finish off the day at 7pm in the foothills of Nevis Peak.

The tropical wave just of the African coast has now caught the eye of the National Hurricane Center and has been labelled Invest 98L. Looking at the computer models the track would seem to take it off into a north-westerly direction into the the Atlantic. It might develop into a named storm in five days but will meet unfavourable conditions later in the week. The projections would mean it is not a threat to the islands.

Attached picture of computer model track of In98L.

Plenty more to come though!

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN weather station.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160814_212643.jpg
Description: IMG_20160814_212643.jpg

- Sunny Sunday in Nevis

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 14 Aug 2016 20:20:55 +0000

Good day everyone,

Most of the rain action was further to the south of Nevis last week. We had 25.1mm (1in) of rain yesterday, Saturday, due to a weak tropical wave/trough that passed us. The main shower activity was around 6am.

Today is hot and dry and the forecast suggests that there may be some increase in shower activity over night as another weak tropical wave passes.

Antigua Met Services forecast into Monday: "A weak mid level trough will move over the islands tonight causing some weak instability. A slight increase in moisture are also anticipated.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with a chance of brief evening and overnight showers."

This quiet period is forecast not to last though. Forecasters are starting to indicate there is a good possibility of three Tropical Waves heading out from the African coast into the Atlantic. The first one has started it's journey. As the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) with its dry air has dissipated the door as could now be open for favourable cyclonic development as we approach the high point of the hurricane season.

Will these waves spin off on a more northerly track or continue on a more westerly direction towards the Caribbean? We just have to keep an eye on the forecasts.

Picture of the first wave leaving the African coast attached.

Picture of sunny Sunday on Nevis

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN weather station.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160814_151204.jpg
Description: IMG_20160814_151204.jpg

Attachment: IMG_20160814_155015_resized.jpg
Description: IMG_20160814_155015_resized.jpg

- Fair Weather

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 7 Aug 2016 22:36:30 -0400

Good night everyone,

The calm after the storm. There was a short and very light showers this morning but nothing of consequence. The day has been cloudy/partly cloudy and humid.

The Antigua Met Services forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis and surrounding area.

A ridge of high pressure will prevent significant weather from forming over the Leewards and BVI during the next 24 hours. Only a few shallow early morning clouds are expected over these islands during this time.

Outlook: Mostly fair this evening becoming partly cloudy overnight with light and brief pre-dawn showers possible.

Weather map attached.

Lapsed time video for cloud watchers: https://youtu.be/HbINC8wGjag

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis Weather station.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

Attachment: IMG_20160807_221722.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Very Wet Friday, Quiet Saturday So Far

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 6 Aug 2016 11:46:34 -0400

Good day everyone,

We had a very wet Friday afternoon up in the foothills of Nevis Peak. For the 24 hour period the weather station measured 61.2 mm (2.4 in) of rain, a large part of which fell between 4:30 pm and 5:30 pm and was accompanied by thunder and lightning.

Lapsed Time video for the day: https://youtu.be/LcdlfXDRpGI

Most of the rainfall last night passed to the north of us so we just had periods of drizzle.

Today's forecast is showery but so far it has just been partly cloudy.

Antigua Met Services forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis.

"Lingering moisture from a tropical wave coupled with a moderate SE'ly trade wind flow and daytime heating will maintain an unstable atmosphere across the area today and tonight, thus keeping the chances for shower activity relatively high during that time."

The Tropical Wave that passed us yesterday has now become of some interest to the NHC, with a low chance of developing into something more serious as it swings northwards.

As usual at this time of year the Atlantic conveyor belt is rolling and there are a couple more Tropical Waves moving across the Atlantic with more waiting in the wings over Africa.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis Weather station.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Interlude

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 4 Aug 2016 21:00:48 -0400

Good evening everyone,

After the hour long downpour from about 8:45 am the breeze picked and we had light showers and drizzle until mid afternoon with a few rumbles of thunder. All is calm again this evening but the total rainfall was 21.1 mm (0.83 in) forbthevday from midnight.

The weather prompted Antigua Met Services to issue a flash flood warning between 12 noon and 4pm. This was latter extended to 10pm.

We are in for what should be a quiet night but things pick up again as another Tropical Wave makes its presence felt from Friday Evening.

Antigua Met Services forecast for the Leeward Islands:

"Remnant moisture and instability associated with a tropical wave which has exited the area to the west will result in some brief passing showers across the islands tonight into Friday morning. However, a second tropical approaching the islands from the east will increase shower and thunderstorms activity starting Friday evening and peaking on Saturday. Ridge of high pressure dominating with a lot of dry and stable air on Sunday into Monday will keep the chance of showers low across the islands."

Things look to settle down again from Sunday.

Lapsed time video of the day: https://youtu.be/x4g27GOnRmY

Regards,

Frank Goodwill.

Pond Hill, Nevis local weather station

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Another Tropical Wave

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 4 Aug 2016 09:06:58 -0400

Good morning everyone,

We had some heavy showers/persistent rain overnight that measured 20.9 mm (0.77 in) up in the foothills of Nevis Peak.

Today has started off sunny but there is a gradual build up of cloud as a Tropical Wave approaches.

Antigua Met Services forecast for SKN

"Partly cloudy at first with an increase in clouds and scattered moderate showers later this morning. There is a high chance of scattered thunderstorms later this afternoon."

This would seem to be the case looking at the Meteo France radar.

As I type the sky has darkened and rain has just started to fall!

Showers should ease off overnight but Friday and Saturday look as if they will be showery as well.

Strangely enough I think this will provide more rain for us than when In97L (now hurricane/TS Earl) passed us.

Attached a couple of photos how things have changed in less than an hour.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill.

Pond Hill, Nevis Weather station.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- The Day After...... for us.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 1 Aug 2016 10:53:42 -0400

It is still a little breezy and we had a shower at 3am this morning. It is partly cloudy with some hazy sunshine breaking through.

Tropical Wave Invest 97L has passed us but is forecast to strengthen into Tropical Storm Earl that will probably have an impact on Jamaica. As always tjose in the path of this system should regularly view the National Hurricane Center site: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov and tune into local weather forecasts for updates.

Nevis had its fair share of rain on Satuday 30th and Sunday 31st July 2016 with 16.3 mm (0.64 in) and 13.5 mm (0.53 in) on each day respectively. These readings were measured up in the foothills of Nevis Peak, so I guess this is more than other places on the island.

The difference in rainfall between June and July is quiet marked as we moved from the dry season to the wet season.

June rainfall total: 52.6 mm (2.1 in)

July rainfall total: 196.1 mm (7.7 in)

Again this will be different elsewhere on the island due to height and location.

The timelape pictures for each day are linked as follows if you like watching grey clouds:

Saturday 30th July 2016

Sunday 31st July 2017

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis local weather:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Sunday Morning

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 31 Jul 2016 08:55:24 -0400

Good morning,

It looks as if the central area of Tropical Wave IN97L has passed over with the main action further south. Today has started cloudy to partly cloudy with some sunshine earlier. As per the weather forecast we have had a some showers this morning and since midnight this has resulted in 12.7mm (nearly 1/2in) of rain.

Pictures attached:

Pond Hill view this morning

NHC two and five day forecasts.

Invest 97L has 70% chance of developing into a cyclone within 5 days probably over the Western Caribbean Sea.

Invest 96L development has decreased to almost nothing due to unfavourable conditions. It will be interesting to see if this Tropical Wave fizzles out altogethet or still has some rain to deliver.

We now await to see what is next off of the Atlantic conveyor belt.

Pond Hill # Now:25° # Pond Hill, Saint George Gingerland Parish, KN
http://bsky.co/e/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis local weather:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab®

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- Sunday Morning

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 31 Jul 2016 08:55:16 -0400

Good morning,

Pictures attached:

Pond Hill view this morning

NHC two and five day forecasts.

Invest 97L has 70% chance of developing into a cyclone within 5 days probably over the Western Caribbean Sea.

Invest 96L development has decreased to almost nothing due to unfavourable conditions. It will be interesting to see if this Tropical Wave fizzles out altogethet or still has some rain to deliver.

We now await to see what is next off of the Atlantic conveyor belt.

Pond Hill # Now:25° # Pond Hill, Saint George Gingerland Parish, KN
http://bsky.co/e/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis local weather:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab®

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- Saturday's Observation.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2016 22:42:19 -0400

Good nighy all,

Today's weather was overcast, with frequent showers/drizzle in this area of Nevis. So far today we have had 13.46 mm (over 1/2 in) of rain though over on the west side the measurement was 4.57mm (about 1/5 in) of rain. We also had some rumbles of thunder during the afternoon.

The Antigua Met Services forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis tonight and Sunday is : Skies tonight will be cloudy to overcast with scattered showers. Some of the showers could be moderate to heavy at times and accompanied by thunderstorms. These conditions will continue through to Sunday afternoon.

Winds: ENE-ESE at 16-25 kts, (28-46 km/h) with higher gusts in showers..

Seas: Rough with waves 2.4-3.1m/8-10ft. A small craft warning is in effect for rough seas and low visibility. Mariners should not venture far from port..

So the weather put a bit of a dampener on the Culturama events today such as the Food Festival.

This Tropical Wave has a high chance of developing into a cyclone (60%+) as it moves over the Caribbean Sea and on towards Mexico.

The other Tropical Wave (In96L) out in the Atlantic has become more disorganised and has a reduced chance of development (10%) due to unfavourable high level winds.

Attached is today's weather cam sequence.

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN weather.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab A

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- BloomSky # NevisStorm

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2016 07:40:07 -0400

Good morning,

Nice start to the day here in Nevis, but looking at the weather radar it will not last long!

Pond Hill # Now:26° # Pond Hill, Saint George Gingerland Parish, KN

http://bsky.co/e/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Bands of showers coming in from the Atlantic today as can be seen from the attached wrather radar pictures.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN weather

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Activity in the Atlantic

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 28 Jul 2016 14:14:31 -0400

Good afternoon eberyone,

Three tropical waves heading scross the Atlantic at the moment.

The first wave is forecast to give us some showers possibily thundery on Saturday - "On Saturday instability associated with a Tropical Wave will increase the chance of shower activity a the Leeward Islands and the BVI."

Another wave following has now become of interest to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and has been given a designation of Invest 97L.

This is being followed by another Tropical Wave that has already become of interest to the NHC and is Invest 96L.

Attached is the NHC graphics for the 5 day forecast for Invest 97L & 96L, as well as the tropical wave locations.

Interesting projected paths for further development. Of course things can change so these are worth monitoring.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Something Brewing?

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 27 Jul 2016 08:22:32 -0400

Good morning,

As the hurricane season continues to move towards the peak period, the National Hurricane Centre has just designated a Tropical Wave, moving westard from the African coast, Invest 96L with a 20% chance of developing into a storm within 5 days.

Early days but as always, one to keep an eye on.

Regards,

Frank

Pond Hill Weather

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Nevis NOAA Weather data for June

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Mon, 25 Jul 2016 06:57:41 -0400

Greetings All,

Sorry, just realized I had forgotten to post June 2016 data.

Regards,

Harry

Attachment: 06_Jun 2016 - Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document

- Let Battle Commence

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 18 Jul 2016 19:16:37 +0100

Good day everyone,

It is always interesting looking at the weather around the Caribbean at this time of year as we move towards the peak of the hurricane season in September. We have a good cover of Sahara Air Layer (SAL) over the Atlantic and the Tropical Wave conveyor belt is ramping up moving from the African Coast towards the Caribbean.

It looks as if we have a fairly robust Tropical Wave to the South east of the islands with a couple more moving towards the west coast of Africa. Will the SAL cause the Tropical Wave nearest to the Caribbean to fizzle out or will the NHC place one of their "x"s on the map. Will the wave leave a nice moisture path for the other two to follow? All we can do is keep one eye on the forecast.

Picture attached of the Tropical Waves and SAL

As for St. Kitts and Nevis weather: 'An upper level trough is located over the eastern Caribbean causing weak instability. Meanwhile, a broad surface high pressure will continue generating a moderate wind flow moving shallow pockets of low level moisture across the islands. The passage of a tropical wave is expected late today into Tuesday increasing the chances for shower activity.'

The view in Nevis today looks good from another attached picture.

As Antigua enters it's third official year of drought I think they like the rest of us wouldn't mind some more rain.

Another point of interest is the high Sea Surface Temperatures in the west Caribbean that could spawn some activity.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Local Nevin Wetherby Station.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Cloudy day with some showers

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sat, 25 Jun 2016 10:52:36 -0400

Good day everyone,

Looks as if the wet season is starting to get into full swing. Today's forecast is "Upper level windflow associated with an upper level trough and an upper ridge over the island chain will cause weak instability and enhanced cloudiness across the Leeward islands."

Weather: today: Partly cloudy to cloudy and hazy with brief morning showers.

Up in the Nevis Peak foothills I have recorded 2.29mm (about a 1/10th of an inch) of rain from showers. As it is overcast it is cooler as well.

Weather Sat ion at Pond Hill, Nevis, KN.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Picture attached.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Some rain yesterday.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Wed, 22 Jun 2016 09:56:28 -0400

Good morning everyone,

Yesterday's weather (Tuesday) was changeable with showers during the morning. This resulted in us receiving 3.8mm (0.15 inches) of rain.

Today's forecast is sunny to partly cloudy with the chance of a few isolated showers.

Looking at various weather maps another band of dry/dusty air (SAL) from Africa is heading across the Atlantic and a couple of weak Tropical Waves are showing up south of us. The 4 day forecast predicts that the SKN weather as being sunny and partly cloudy.

The Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, weatherstation:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Passing Tropical Waves

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 20 Jun 2016 14:28:49 -0400

Good afternoon everyone,

As a second tropical wave passed us by on Sunday we were left with overcast and showery weather. The heavier showers were in the early morning and during the evening, that left us with a total of 15.5 mm (about six-tenths of an inch) of rain for the day. Today, Monday, things are starting to brighten up with some hazy sunshine.

The forecast for the rest of the week looks as if it will be sunny and partly cloudy.

TD 4 has been upgraded to TS Danielle. Danielle marks the 4th earliest storm to form in the Atlantic Basin. The previous record was on 23rd June 2012. Danielle will move ashore today in east-central Mexico. Heavy rainfall and rip currents will be the biggest issues. A tropical storm warning remains in effect from Laguna Verde to Rio Panuco Mexico.

This is not in our locale so will not have any impact on us.

The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet with no development expected over the next 7 days.

Picture of yesterday's view (Sunday) and today (Monday) are attached.

Weather station at Pond Hill, Nevis, KN.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Tropical Wave Passing By

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 19 Jun 2016 00:50:21 -0400

Good morning everyone,

A tropical wave is passing by and gave the foothills of Nevis Peak some rain. Between 8:30 pm and 11:30pm Saturday, we received 4.8 mm of rain from a couple of showers.

Looking at the Guadeloupe radar there is a possibility of further showers during the early hours of Sunday.

This has been helped by the SAL (Sahara Air Layer) giving us a break and not choking off the Tropical Wave with its dry and dusty air.

The forecast for Sunday in SKN is: increased moisture will trigger further cloudiness with brief passing showers. So it is not looking like it will be a Sunny Sunday.

Local weather station in Pond Hill, Nevis.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Looks like a 60% chance of a storm forming over the Bay of Campeche near the Mexican coast in the next 5 days. Thankfully not coming our way.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- A Scattered Shower

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 16 Jun 2016 08:55:08 -0400

Good morning everyone,

Weather forecast for today in Nevis: Partly sunny with a 30 percent (or moderate) chance of showers.

We have had one of those elusive scattered showers up in the foothills of Nevis Peak at about 7:30 am this morning, giving a short, sharp 2mm of rain (under a tenth of an inch).

Pond Hill, Nevis, KN. weather:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- No Rain

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 13 Jun 2016 09:49:16 -0400

Good morning everyone,

09:45 hours - 27°C, Pond Hill, Nevis, KN.

https://t.co/PrDhhWVoS5 https://t.co/8Pm5dtRzFS

No rain from the passing tropical wave.yesterday or overnight.

Looks like another sunny, breezy and partly cloudy day ahead. Looking a little hazy no doubt due to SAL.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Sunny Sunday - Chance of a Shower Later

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 12 Jun 2016 08:06:04 -0400

Good morning everyone,

A clear and sunny start here in Nevis, another sunny Sunday. Spoiler alert: A tropical wave will spread cloudy skies with periods of scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms across the Leeward Islands later today and into the Virgin Islands tonight and into tomorrow.

It is estimated that the resulting rainfall if any will be low.

The view today.

Pond Hill, Saint Johns Figtree Parish, Nevis, KN
http://bsky.co/e/gqBxp6apnJSnnZu2

Local weather station in Pond Hill.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Enjoy your day,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Nevis Weather

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 10 Jun 2016 16:15:23 -0400

Good afternoon everyone,

Looks as if we will continue on Nevis with mainly dry but cloudy to partly cloudy weather over the coming days.

Daily weather forecast for St Kitts and Nevis

http://www.antiguamet.com/Antigua_Met_files/SKB_FCast.html

Four day forecast for St. Kitts and Nevis.

http://www.antiguamet.com/Antigua_Met_files/St%20Kitts%20and%20Nevis_4_dayforecast.html

Weather in Pond Hill, Nevis, KN.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Pictures.

Nice sunrise this morning at Ocean Point, Antigua.

The welcome though cloudy return to Nevis at the VWA airport.

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Caribbean Regional Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF)

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 9 Jun 2016 16:52:42 -0400

Good afternoon everyonr,

For those interested here is a link to a report in the Jamaican Gleaner about the Caribbean Regional Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) recently held in Dominica.

The impact of climate change was the focus of this year's staging of CariCOF, hosted at the Fort Young Hotel in Roseau, Dominica from 30th to 31at May 2016. It enabled Caribbean meteorologists and international climate researchers to hold discussions with stakeholders in climate-sensitive sectors, including health, agriculture and tourism.

http://jamaica-gleaner.com/article/health/20160608/climate-change-biggest-threat-global-health

Local weather report for Pond Hill, Nevis, KN

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- May NOAA Weather Data

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Thu, 2 Jun 2016 20:19:12 -0400

Greetings To All,

Attached NOAA formatted weather data for month of May.

Regards,

Harry

Attachment: 05_May 2016 NOAA Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document

- Possibility of something brewing in the Gulf

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 2 Jun 2016 18:35:21 +0100

Good afternoon everyone,

A little extra to add to my previous post about Saharan Air Layer (dust and haze).

Some interest in a possible ‘Colin’ forming in the Gulf of Mexico within the next five days (60% chance) with a track towards Florida. A lively start to the official season if so.

Not a definite but worth keeping an eye on in case there is some development and if you have a connection with area outlined.

Pond Hill, Nevis KN weather at:

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from Mail for Windows 10

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- Saharan Air Layer (SAL)

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 2 Jun 2016 15:39:49 +0100

Good afternoon everyone,

Besides tropical storms and hurricanes another phenomenon is becoming active over the Caribbean area – the Saharan Air Layer and its dry and dusty air.

Antigua Met Services have advised that a thick stream of Saharan dust is expected to move across the area this week. This could be the worst dust cover for the Caribbean so far this year. The prediction is that the dust will reach the Eastern Caribbean on Thursday, 2nd June and the western Caribbean on Sunday, 5th June .In addition to reducing visibility, the dust could cause health issues for some, especially asthmatics and others with respiratory ailments. Such persons are advised to take precautions and seek advice from their general physician on how best to protect themselves from the effects.

Picture of SAL is attached.

Regards

Frank Goodwill

Sent from Mail for Windows 10

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- CariCOF Predictions for 2016

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 31 May 2016 00:16:24 +0100

Good night everyone,

The 2016 Wet / Hurricane Season Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) is currently underway in Roseau, Dominica!

This morning (Monday 30th May), event co-host Dominica Met officially announced the 2016 Wet / Hurricane Season Outlook for the Caribbean. Key messages include:

For June-July-August 2016:
- Gradual drought alleviation across the region.
- Where it has not already started, the wet season may start abruptly in June.
- Extremely wet spells may occur; serious potential for flash flooding and landslides.

For September-October-November 2016:
- Chance of more hurricane activity than in past five years.

Beyond November 2016:
- La Niña increases chances of a wetter dry season for most.

Weather in Pond Hill, Nevis, KN

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Regards,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

- Atlantic Hurricane Season - NOAA

By "NevisStorm" <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 27 May 2016 20:03:42 +0100

Good afternoon everyone,

The NOAA’s view of the up and coming Atlantic Hurricane Season.

27th May 2016.

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center says the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from the 1st June through to 30th November will most likely be near-normal, but forecast uncertainty in the climate signals that influence the formation of Atlantic storms make predicting this season particularly difficult.

The full briefing can be found at: http://www.noaa.gov/near-normal-atlantic-hurricane-season-most-likely-year

So the influence of El Nino’s decline, Saharan Air Layer, Wind Shear and Surface Sea Temperatures to name but a few will have their part to play.

As Donald Rumsfeld said:

”There are known knowns. These are things we know that we know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that we know we don't know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don't know we don't know.”

Weather in the foothills of Nevis Peak: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Have a great day,

Frank Goodwill

Attachment: AHS 2016.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Sunny Sunday

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Sun, 22 May 2016 20:06:31 -0400

Good night everyone,

Just to say it has been a really sunny Sunday today in Nevis. It looks as if it has been wetter over the last couple of days in the Winward Islands. A picture is attached for the weather today in Nevis.

Have a look at my weather station for how things are going in my part of Nevis.

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

As always there can be interruptions to the readings due to grid supply issues (Nevlec) as happened on Friday and Saturday mornings. That's island life for you!

Have a great week,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- A Wet Afternoon.

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 16 May 2016 17:39:58 -0400

Good afternoon everyone,

A little on the wet side this Whit Monday afternoon over in Pond Hill with 14.7mm of rain so far today. Quite a few showers passing over but it is nice to get some rain.

The Guadeloupe radar gave a good view of the rain showers earlier today (see attached).

Interesting to see Saddle Hill with low cloud around it after one of the showers.

We are drawing close to the official start of the Atlantic Hurricane Season from the 1st June. Time start checking plans and preparations. As they say #itonlytakesone ....... and it doesn't have to be a major hurricane.... TS Erika that Dominica experienced last year, a quiet year.

Enjoy the rest of your day,

Frank Goodwill

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- A Little Wet

By Frank Goodwill <nevis.storm at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 13 May 2016 09:51:20 -0400

Good morning everyone,

We are experiencing overcast and showery conditions over the last day or so. Rainfall reading up in the Nevis Peak foothills yesterday, 12th May, was 12.7mm (about 1/2 inch). So far today the measurement has been 1mm. The forecast indicates that things should brighten-up as the day progresses with overnight showers.

Radar picture of rain over this part of the Caribbean is attached.

Have a great day,

Frank Goodwill

My weather station

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361

Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A

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- Nevis April Weather Data

By "Harry W. Hallstrom" <hwh888 at gmail.com>
Date: Tue, 3 May 2016 08:18:21 -0400

Attached the NOAA weather generated data from weather station.

A rather hot April which seems a bit unusual for April, normally this is July-August-September type weather.

Regards,

Harry

Attachment: April 2016 - Weather Data.pdf
Description: Adobe PDF document

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