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- - - 2011 Hurricane Season - - -

- All looks fairly calm.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 30 Oct 2011 07:14:58 -0400
Sorry I have not done a post for a couple of days.
We seem to be in typical Windward island weather. We have a slight Easterly breeze, plenty of sunshine (at the moment). As I write this I see a slight shower just off Ft Jeudy. There are a few clouds touching the tops of the mountains.
The radar is showing some small showers north of a line between Barbados and St Vincent. Our area is showing just the odd very small shower.
The satellite images appear to show us in a relatively calm area of weather, with a high Southerly airflow that could bring some high cloud off of South America. Apart from that it appears that it could be a normal Windward Island day, with the chance of showers bubbling up.
Now lets see how wrong I can be today? 3 days ago the weather changed as soon as I put out my suggestions. The next day I was about to put out a post expecting a really nice day. I was a bit busy, so didn't do it. I was glad because it turned out to be pretty dull with quite a bit of rain! 

Lets see how wrong I can be today!

Have a good Sunday.

Hogan of Grenada
- Orographic rain!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Oct 2011 07:23:33 -0400
Studying the satellite and radar images, I am convinced that the rain we are getting at the moment is caused by low level moist air being pushed up by the mountains. The radar is showing rainfall over, and to the leeward side, of all the larger islands from Martinique down to Grenada. There is none, or very little to the east of the islands.
We have a slight trade breeze this morning. To the south are just small scattered clouds, no sign of rain, but looking North and West there is more cloud. It is difficult to predict, well for me, but I guess we are have sufficient moisture and weather conditions to form rain showers, especially in the hills and on the west side of Grenada.
Orographic rain is caused by warm moist air being forced up by hills or mountains, the air cools and cannot hold the moisture. Where the mountains are really high the rain is all dumped on the windward side. In the case of our islands, the hills are not high enough and the up-draft causes the moist air to continue bubbling up after the tops of the hills, thus the rain falls, in the mountains and beyond. As this appears to be happening on all the larger islands this morning, my guess is we could get more for a while. The satellite images are not showing any major areas of bad weather, just areas of what looks like low cloud, moving in on the trade winds. 

So my guess is sunshine and showers. That is normal for the time of year.

Hogan of Grenada
- a picture for you
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 25 Oct 2011 06:40:33 -0400
Good Morning,
The strange weather system that went through here yesterday is moving away from us, moving West. It now has a 40% chance of developing, with predictions taking it just south of Jamaica.
Here in Grenada it looks like we should have a better day. There is a band of showers out to our east both visible on the radar and on the photo attached. By the time I got the camera the clouds had lost some of the red sunrise colour. The radar shows these showers to be about 30 miles east of us and moving in our direction. At present it is only a narrow band of rain and, if they survive long enough to reach us, should pass quickly. There are very few other showers in the area, at present. So it appears that we could have a reasonable day today, I hope I am right for once! Still no trade winds, no breeze at all again. 

Have a good day.

Hogan of Grenada



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- In addition to last post about the weather
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 24 Oct 2011 19:05:26 -0400
Strange weather:
A interesting cloud photo I took today - Marian in the Foreground and Morne Jaloux in the background! 

Hogan of Grenada

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- What strange weather!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 24 Oct 2011 17:38:45 -0400
Well that was an interesting day. Rain, Lightning & thunder (mostly north of us), mist - strange seeing clouds floating past below us and we are only at 250ft! There is a strange mist drifting out of a valley near Calivigny. All that rain and hardly a breeze. Strangest bit of weather I have seen in Grenada.
The Low pressure seem to have moved to our west,and still no breeze, I would have expected it to pick up. Complete overcast high cloud.
Hopefully we will see an improvement in the weather tomorrow. The radar is not showing any rain out to our East, 

Have a good evening.

Hogan of Grenada
- The low pressure system is approaching the Windward Islands.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 24 Oct 2011 06:54:58 -0400
Good morning,
The NHC says that the weather system that has been hovering , a few hundred miles to our SE, for the last few days, is approaching us. The radar image is showing many more showers than we have seen on it recently. But the satellite images are not showing any large area that can be identified as the centre of this system, infact they are not showing much at all. But with the NHC saying that there could be heavy rainfall and Windguru predicting some today, it looks like we could have a cloudy and wet time Monday and going into Tuesday.
Looking out (07:00) I can see a heavy shower about to hit us from the East, it is completely overcast, with just a few bright patches. The is still hardly ant breeze. 

Have a good day.

Hogan of Grenada
- a picture for you
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 23 Oct 2011 07:15:10 -0400
Good morning Grenada.
Yesterday was a very still day. Yet another day with virtually no breeze. Where have the trade winds gone?
I guess the weather system that I mentioned a couple of days ago, could hold the key. The NHC still have it stuck about 300 miles SE of us. This is about where it was first mentioned. It has become far weaker, but still there. The NHC still have it as around 10% chance of becoming a cyclone in the next 48 hours. I believe the above system is being held from moving towards us by a 'High level ridge', if I read the reports correctly? But this is believed to disperse over the next couple of days and thus allow what is left of the low to move North Westward.
The radar is showing some small showers between us and Barbados (nearer to Barbados than us).
There are hardly any clouds, this morning. The mountain tops are completely clear. There is absolutely no breeze, again. I suspect a day similar to yesterday, as the sun heats the land the clouds will form and we could get some showers. Yesterday was a good example of what in the UK is common, a "sea breeze". The land heated up and with no trade winds the warmer air over the land began to rise, this sucked in cooler air from the sea. You would have noticed that it was clear skies just off the coast, in all directions, yet large black and sometimes rainy clouds inland, well at least in the South of Grenada. Unless we get a normal breeze back I suspect something similar today. But there again, I have been known to be wrong! The photo attached shows the effect of the sea breeze. Note how calm the sea is beyond about a mile offshore, and the wind blown ripples inshore. It was like this most of the day. 

Have a great Sunday.

Hogan of Grenada

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- Update about the weather I mentioned.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Oct 2011 16:46:57 -0400
Hi,
Well that nice day I mentioned has deteriorated. The cause seems to be due to the area of storms I mentioned. Mostly high cloud, but some rain in the hills (and some off of them). We spent a couple of hours at The Estuary Bar at Simon (Seamoon) and didn't see any rain until our drive back. 

NHC have put out this communication:

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS FORMED ABOUT 350 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TRINIDAD IN THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS.
CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAVE BECOME A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT HAS
INCREASED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...CLOUDINESS AND HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY SPREAD OVER
NORTHERN VENEZUELA AND THE SOUTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS DURING THE
NEXT FEW DAYS.
So it is possible that we could have rain and high level cloud for the next few days. 

This evening is very hazy, but no showers in sight.

Hogan of Grenada
- Another fine day?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Oct 2011 07:08:50 -0400

Good morning,

The blob I mentioned has almost disappeared.
There is a trough to our SE which is causing a lot of storms and heavy rain, This is easy to sea on the satellite images, but too far to be seen on the radar. It is not normal for this weather to come north, but this year has brought some exceptional weather to many places. The animation shows heavy showers bubbling up near the coast of Guyana, they move north then fizzle out near 10 degrees North.
We seem to remain in this stable air. The radar shows no showers to our East. It is another hazy morning with no breeze. 

Have a good day.

Hogan of Grenada
- A blob in the Atlantic.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 20 Oct 2011 11:55:11 -0400
There is a large area of disturbed about 950 miles (a bout 3-4 days) East of us. The chances of this developing into a tropical Cyclone are small, but it if it continues in our direction it could bring some rain by about Sunday. I will monitor this system.
There is a nice breeze at the moment, with mostly clear (with some haze) skies. There are only a few small showers scattered around this area of the Caribbean. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Couldn't have got that more wrong if I tried!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 17 Oct 2011 06:53:47 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
Well I hesitated sending out last nights post. There was a huge area of rain just East of us, but I did have doubts about it reaching us. But I did the post anyway. Well, no sooner had I sent it than the area of rain seemed to dissipate. Even Tobago only received some light rain. There is now very little left of it, although there is a thin band of rain showers (on the radar) slipping through the Grenadines near Carriacou. This band appears to be moving slowly in a SW direction, therefore we may get some rain later, especially possible in the North of Grenada.
The other blob, 1400 miles out in the Atlantic, is being broken up by high level South-Westerly wind shear. It is still given a 10% chance of developing by NHC, but does not look as if it can last.
I can see some bubbly clouds towards the North, beyond the mountain tops which are clear this morning. To the East it is hazy with high scattered cloud, to the West and North West it is clearer, a bit hazy, but blue skies. There is hardly any breeze as I write this at 06:50 Monday morning. 

Have a good day,

Hogan of Grenada
- Two points of interest:
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 16 Oct 2011 17:53:03 -0400
Good evening,
We have just had a heavy shower in the Westerhall area. Looking at the radar, there is a large area of rain just off to our East. This blob seems to be responsible for Barbados having rain, or rain in the vicinity, for the last 14 hours. Looking at the satellite imagery this area of rain appears to be embedded in the tropical wave I mentioned a couple of days ago. Over the last 12 hours it (the heavy rain) seems to have moved south while the wave has struggled to move west. The main area of rain is now about 50 to 150 miles due east of us, with numerous other showers scattered around. It looks as if Tobago could get the rain very soon. Windguru has been updated and is expecting us to have rain over the next 24 hours. It is difficult to read the satellite images, as there appears to be drier air also pushing down from our North West, this appears to be holding the rain back, for the time. but I would expect a good bit of rain tonight, but as many of you know, I am often wrong! The NHC does not have this wave developing over the next 48 hours.
Further East, about 1500 miles, there is a tropical wave that does have a 10% chance of developing in the next 48 hours, but apparently the conditions are not very good for it developing beyond that, as it moves West at 10-15 mph.
Had a quick look out, There is blue sky to the North and North East, but plenty of cloud to the East and South. There is a small shower in the direction of Point Saline, but none visible elsewhere. But the sun is shining on the tops of some towering clouds far out to the South East. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Hazy but mostly dry?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 15 Oct 2011 06:55:49 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
A look outside and it is a fine morning. Hardly a cloud to be seen - just a few nestling on the mountain tops. There is a slight breeze and a hazy sun coming up. The horizon is somewhere in the haze.
The radar shows a few scattered showers north of Grenada and nothing (as yet) to our east. The satellite imagery confirms that we are in the drier air that I mentioned yesterday. It seems to be being squeezed from the north, but it still looks as if we are in for a bit more drier weather. The Windguru site is not predicting much in the way of rain over the next few days. Mind you it says we have a fair chance of high cloud - I can't see any at the moment. 

So it looks like a nice weekend, weather wise, Maybe with the odd shower?
Oh, I nearly forgot: The NHC has a small blob south of The Cape Verdes that they say has a 10% chance of developing. I will watch this. 

Hope you all enjoy the weekend.

Hogan of Grenada
- Much drier - maybe?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 14 Oct 2011 07:02:05 -0400
Good morning,
After the rain and wind yesterday, it appears the drier air seems to have pushed the bad weather away, for the time. There is hardly a blip in the whole of the Eastern Caribbean. Hopefully a good day. The Tropical wave is still out to our east and moving in our direction.It does not appear to be anything to worry about, at the moment. 

Here in Grenada, it is hazy, scattered low clouds, and a nice breeze.

Hogan of Grenada
- Strong trade winds.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Oct 2011 09:20:06 -0400
Hi and sorry that I have not been doing any posts for a few days.
After all that hot weather with hardly any breeze, we now have the trade winds back, what a pleasure. We have had some decent rain over night, which the garden was needing.
The radar is showing many showers in the southern Windward Islands, and the satellite images are confirming this. Just north of us is an area of drier air, trying to push down and appears to be pushing these rain showers ahead of it. I am not sure if the drier air will reach us before a bigger area of less dry air pushes in from the Atlantic. This seems to be ahead of a distinctive tropical wave moving west and is currently about 1000 miles east of us. There is no talk (yet) of this developing.
The Windguru web site is expecting the high winds to continue until about this time tomorrow and then to drop slightly. But it does look as if we have the Trade Winds back.
An eyeball look shows mostly overcast high cloud with scattered lower shower clouds off to the east. The hills are currently covered in low cloud and it appears to be raining heavily in the Mardi Gras area and to it's east. 

Now back to painting!

Have a great day.

Hogan of Grenada
- Dull & overcast.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 04 Oct 2011 06:42:55 -0400
Good morning,
Since two days ago there has been a big change in the weather. It felt much cooler last night.
We are under the western edge of an "Upper level cyclonic flow" which seems to be giving us this high overcast sky. Just out to our east (as I write this) there are some large areas of rain. This whole system is not showing much movement, but convection showers appear to be bubbling up almost anywhere in the area (mostly to the east), at the moment,
The Windguru website is giving high probability of high & mid level cloud over the next few days, with the chance of rain.
Looking out side, it is completely overcast with just a small glimpse of blue towards the West. To the East the sky looks much darker. The horizon is not clear so it is difficult to see if there are any showers within sight. A last glimpse of the weather radar shows a large area of rain to the ENE of Grenada which seems to be trying to move towards the Grenadines. There are plenty of other showers also showing so I guess there is a good chance of rain popping up anywhere and could be slow moving. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Here we Go
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 2 Oct 2011 10:56:49 -0400
Well, now it is heavy rain, low cloud and thunder and lightening...... a little bit of breeze.  I can’t see what the sea is doing because I literally can’t see it, the cloud is so low and thick. 
 
So now I have 6 wet dogs all clambering to be next to me..... yuck!!!  Oh well, let’s hope it doesn’t last too long because I have jobs to do.
 
Jacquie.
- Rain overnight.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 02 Oct 2011 06:39:10 -0400
We had numerous showers overnight. The wave is still out to our East and moving slowly in our direction. The amount of convection seems to have reduced overnight. Windguru is not predicting as much rain for today as it was yesterday.
It does appear that we have our trade winds back, they were very welcome last night when we had a big power outage in the Westerhall area, for several hours.
It is a nice breezy morning, with the odd shower visible. With a pleasant breeze. The radar shows showers to our south and a few to the east.
I will reduce my posts to Stormcarib from now, unless anything special pops up. 

I hope you all have a pleasant Sunday.

Hogan of Grenada
- Sweet Breeze
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 1 Oct 2011 18:12:57 -0400
Hi
 
Just to let you know Hogan it reached us here in Mt. Moritz.  We had a heavy shower earlier and one just now with the accompanying cooling breeze, which is greatly appreciated.
 
Oh, and again as I type we are having a little shower.....
 
Stay safe,
 
Jacquie.
- Tropical wave off to our east.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 01 Oct 2011 17:47:05 -0400
The tropical wave is moving slowly in our direction. How much it will affect us is difficult to say. The showers that are around at the moment appear to be being pushed ahead of the wave, the main part is still a couple of hundred miles out in the Atlantic. There appears to be heavy convection from our latitude and further south. Windguru is predicting quite a bit of rain tomorrow. I feel we will see much more in the way of cloud cover.
It has been nice to have the breeze and the heavy shower was welcome, I am not sure how far it stretched, but it was at least between Westerhall and Grand Anse. 

Have a pleasant evening.

Hogan of Grenada
- The breeze is back!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 01 Oct 2011 11:06:08 -0400
Hi all,
Sorry for a quiet spell from me, but there wasn't much to report. Ophelia is galloping (18mph) in a northerly direction and should pass east of Bermuda later today. Phillippe is in the ATlantic as a tropical storm and appears to be no threat to the West Indies. There is a small tropical wave that should start to pass through here late tonight and tomorrow, which should bring the chance of rain and a bit more cloud. The garden could do with the rain.
Today it is hot, but there is a nice easterly breeze, some cloud over the mountains, but few out to the South. 

Have a good day.

Hogan of Grenada
- Another dry and hot day in Grenada.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2011 18:11:44 -0400
Good evening Grenada.
That is another hot dry day. I believe it is caused by Ophelia dragging the air from us. It had to be three days when we are on the roof trying to construct a platform for solar panels!!
Ophelia has started (at last) to move north. It still looks as if we will be in dry air for a while, It feels that the dry season has arrived, early! That is only a comment and not to be believed.
We have another day on the roof, and so I expect another hot, sunny day tomorrow. Windguru does not predict rain for a few days. Please can we have a few clouds!!! 

Now to have a drink and relax.

I probably won't do a post tomorrow, due to having tp start early.

So have a good evening and day tomorrow.

Hogan of Grenada
- Phillippe & Ophelia
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 28 Sep 2011 09:47:54 -0400
Good morning,
Tropical Storm Phillippe is moving in a NW direction as predicted, although not as much to the North as was predicted a few days ago.
Ophelia (a Tropical depression) is still wandering around a couple of hundred miles East of Antigua. The last few fixes have shown a slight zig-zag move NW. It does appear to be strengthening and should then continue in that direction. It does seem to be giving us a bit more high cloud today. But still will probably be sucking the breeze away from us. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Very little to report.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 26 Sep 2011 06:47:59 -0400
Ophelia is just a very disorganised (at the moment) low pressure system. It is somewhere north of Antigua, but difficult to pinpoint on satellite images.
TS Phillippe is following the predicted course further North into the Atlantic.
The weather in Grenada is calm, with anchored boats in the harbour pointing in all directions. There is a bit of high haze and a few scattered low clouds. A very nice day, but hope the breeze picks up soon. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Short one - off to Mount Moritz breakfast.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 25 Sep 2011 07:41:28 -0400
Hi,
Lovely day out, slight breeze. Little cloud. (Can't get much briefer than that)!
The radar shows a few small showers near St Vincent, none near us, at the moment.
Both Tropical Storms,Ophelia and Phillippe, are behaving themselves and following (almost) the predicted paths, 

Must leave for the breakfast now before everything goes!

Hogan of Grenada.
- Following Ophelia is TD Seventeen.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 24 Sep 2011 06:16:28 -0400
Ophelia is behaving itself following a path that should take it NE of Antigua.
We now have Tropical Depression Seventeen which is due south of the Cape Verdes. All predictions are for it to turn north, it doesn.t appear to be a threat to us.
The weather looks fine, for the time. I can see (and hear) large waves breaking on the nearby reefs, I guess being sent by Ophelia just to remind us that it is still there. I would like to hear what the East coast waves are like? Sally, what does it look like at Bathway? 

The UARS satellite came down in the Pacific Ocean early this morning.

Have  a great day.

Hogan of Grenada
- Ophelia and UARS.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 23 Sep 2011 10:31:02 -0400
Ophelia is still disorganised with dry air between us and it, causing it problems. It's path has dropped a little with more predictions bringing it nearer to Antigua.
But most have it passing safely to the NE.


Not weather related, but:

The UARS satellite that you have probably heard is 'crashing to earth' probably today, is doing one pass over the Eastern Caribbean at about 18:15-18:25 this evening (as it is getting lower it's orbit changes so difficult to make an exact prediction). But it is just possible that it could chose this orbit to come down, in which case it will be quite spectacular.  At the moment, Antigua area will be about the best place to see it.  I stress that in the still bright sky, at this time, it will only be easily visible if it happens to be burning up. If it has started to enter the atmosphere earlier, then crash helmets might be a good idea. From Grenada you will have to look very low to the west to North West.  The chances are very low, but you never know.

A graph showing it's decaying orbit (Height), over the last week. The heights are in kilometres and the green one is just an arbitrary height that I chose as the point at which it cannot stay up any longer (just a guess).



Chris Bolt (Hogan of Grenada)
- Ophelia passing north.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 22 Sep 2011 06:44:14 -0400
Good morning,

Briefly:
Ophelia looks as if it will pass north of Antigua, no predictions are for the Windwards.
There are plenty of showers on the radar, so I think we can expect a shower at any time. A couple of light showers are visible to the East as I write this. 

Have a nice day.

Hogan of Grenada
- Ophelia - Tropical Storm
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 21 Sep 2011 05:18:14 -0400
Good morning.
The blob has become tropical storm Ophelia, it is about 1400miles East of Grenada. The good news (at least for the time), at least for Grenada, is that Ophelia is predicted to move north also the experts are not predicting much of an increase in strength over the next few days. Arrival in this general area is expected in about 4 to 5 days. The lowest latitude prediction now is in the St Vincent/St Lucia area, but the majority have it passing north of Antigua.
It is too dark outside to see what the weather is. We did have some rain in the night. There are only very small showers showing on the radar in our area. 

Have a good day.

Hogan of Grenada
- 98L slow to make up it's mind!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 20 Sep 2011 06:26:48 -0400
06:00 Tuesday. The latest position of 98L is 11.3N 37.7W. It hasn't moved much over night. I wanted to wait a couple of hours to see what the 12:00Z position is, but felt I will be busy at that time. The satellite images are showing a distinct turning in the blob. NHC are giving it 70% chance of developing in the next 48 hours. It's slow movement, which is not helping to decide which way it wants to go. The model predictions this morning have a good spread of paths from Grenada direction, the most southerly to some going north of the Lesser Antilles! It is currently about 1500 miles away, and as I said slow moving. It is expected to pick up speed to between 10 to 15 mph So that puts it 4 to 6 days away.
The yachties appear to be taking it seriously, yesterday we had 4 boats arrive in the protected bay below us. There are 6 boats there now, one seemed to have difficulty finding the route in between the reefs. It got in safely following another boat and with a crew member standing in the bow, pointing.
The weather this morning is typical for Grenada, A slight Easterly breeze, about 3 small showers visible out to the East to South. The mountain tops have their hats on (small clouds just hiding the tops). 

Have a good day but be prepared.

Hogan of Grenada
- So what is 98L going to do?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Sep 2011 21:20:17 -0400
The last few updates on the 98L blob have it going all over the place. Also some of the model predictions have it coming through the Windward Islands slightly lower than previous. a few have it coming through between St Lucia & St Vincent about Friday/Saturday. To be fair to them, 98L's last few positions have been all over the place! Looking at the satellite images it is impossible to find the centre. All that I can say is there appears to be a lot of activity in the area of 98L,
Below us we have seen several sail boats come into the bay, I assume as they have heard about 98L and not to have a breach picnic on the spit. 

Wednesday should give a better idea of what 98L is up to!
Anyway we got out rendering done today without the rain washing it away, this time! 

The radar has no showers in the area.

Have a good night.

Hogan of Grenada
- Nasty little blob - 98L
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 19 Sep 2011 06:03:38 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
About 1700 miles due east of us is 98L. It appeared yesterday morning and is now at 60% chance of developing into a storm in the next 48 hours. One model prediction shows it heading for Grenada, the rest have paths further north, but this does appear to be the lowest (latitude) prediction this year. It's current direction is due West, with an arrival in this area in about 4 days. This one is worth watching! 

NW of 98L is 99, this has less chance of developing (10%).

I will monitor both.
A look out side: it is a lovely morning. A bit of a breeze, very few clouds and a lovely red Sun halfway through popping it's head over the horizon.
Going to have another attempt at rendering the walls today! The radar shows no rain in this area - so far - and I have checked the date/time on it this time! 

Hogan of Grenada.
- Sorry to be so short!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Sep 2011 07:57:27 -0400
Have Got to go in garden - the boss is after me!
Two tropical waves in the Atlantic, now. One is about half way across and more likely to develop that the one I mentioned yesterday which is S. of the Cape Verdes.
The weather here seems to have returned to almost normal. Slight breeze from the east. Still a high level wind towards the north, but the upper low seems to have partly broken up. 

Please have a nice day.

Hogan of Grenada.
- The upper low and the blob part 2.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 17 Sep 2011 06:34:52 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
The satellite images show very little movement for the 'cut off upper low'. Barbados seems to have had rain most of the night. For us it has been mostly dry. The airport reported thunder in the vicinity about 23:00 last night.
There are a few model predictions for the blob, 97L, SSE of the Cape Verdes. The predicted paths mostly show a steady WNW direction. It's current latitude is 10.8. and about 2500 miles away to our east.
Looking outside, there is plenty of high cloud and way out to the East a very large cloud is visible, this is showing on the radar about half way between us and Barbados, but it appears to be moving north. I can see a couple of showers to the SE, again quite a distance away. My guess, with the 'upper low' not moving very much, is that the weather could stay a bit unsettled with possible heavy showers at any time. It is strange, in Grenada, seeing the rain showers moving in a northerly direction, even though our low level winds are still from the East. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Little blob and the cut off upper Low!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 16 Sep 2011 17:18:55 -0400
Good afternoon.
I have been looking at satellite images and the upper low I mentioned, this morning, is clearly visible if one looks at the NOAA website:- http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html . load it then tick HDW-high. It will show the anti clockwise winds that are only at high altitude, centred near PR. Click on the low & mid to see them. It seems as if this is helping to cause the weather that we are receiving.
NHC have recently identified a blob SE of the Cape Verdes. It is less than 10% chance of developing and I have not seen any model predictions for it yet!
With high level cloud over us and clearer skies to the west, I am hoping for a good sunset this evening. It would be nice after the weather we have had. 

have a pleasant evening.

Hogan of Grenada
- 'A cut off upper low' - ehhh?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 16 Sep 2011 07:25:37 -0400
This strange weather appears to be caused by 'A cut off upper low' (whatever that is?). Well whatever it is it gave us some interesting and unexpected weather yesterday afternoon and it is still with us, and likely to be for a few more hours, I think. I never saw this weather coming and ended up as a casualty of it! I had looked at the radar images from Martinique and all looked fine (the reason I didn't do a post yesterday), we sere putting some cement rendering on some walls. By the afternoon we noticed some clouds moving in, but the radar showed nothing! Little did I know (notice) that the radar I was watching (and I wasn't the only one) was from the previous day!!. To cut a long story short, the rain and I mean rain, along with driving wind, washed away several hours of our work, making an awful mess where it dropped! Still two of the 4 walls were missed by the rain and are still fine!
This morning, I hear thunder. The radar (and I have checked the date/time) shows a band of heavy rain passing just south of us, but numerous showers scattered around almost everywhere in this area. Looking outside confirms the radar, I can see some blue sky to the north and completely overcast to the south. (07:15)
Further afield, south of the Cape Verdes is a tropical wave. Apparently a couple of models are giving this a chance of developing in about 5 days time. Something to keep an eye on. 

Thanks Jacquie for doing a post last night. I was about to when I saw yours.

Hope you all have a nice day.

Ohh, it has just started raining again - lightly at the moment.

Hogan of Grenada
- That'll be rain then!!
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 15 Sep 2011 19:02:01 -0400
Wow, I got soaked in about 3 minutes as I left work in Grand Anse and just got home before the heavens opened once again.  This time accompanied by very gusty winds.  It is nice and cool now but what a wild and windy couple of hours!!!
- Where did this come from?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 12 Sep 2011 22:09:29 -0400
This afternoon we had wind from the NW, We could hear thunder from the direction of St Georges. We could see rain across the valley towards Mariane. The low clouds were streaming in from the NW, yet we didn't get any rain - that is not until about 6pm when lightning and rain started. It is now 10pm and we have that constant fairly heavy rain. It is welcome, especially over night. But where did it come from? All afternoon there had been the sign of rain to the West, yes West, on the radar. It was struggling to move East (very few weather systems move East in Grenada), but it did manage it. It is too early for it to be caused by the small tropical wave just off to our east. But it could be a part of the whole Maria system, looking at the satellite images.
I have just looked at the radar and we now appear to be in the middle of this slow moving rain system. The rain appears like that UK rain that lasts for days! I remember it from camping!
I hope the rain does not cause any flooding. Now to try to get to sleep with the sound of rain on the roof. Still the tree frogs seem happy! 

I hope any of you that are awake to read this have a good night.

Hogan of Grenada
- Consistent Heavy Rains
  • By Amit Chhabra <jiamitji at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Mon, 12 Sep 2011 16:09:53 -0700 (PDT)
These appear to be local, from the island's rainforest in Grand Etang.

However, the high cold clouds we saw yesterday could be interacting with low pressures coming in from the southeast to produce the consistent heavy rains we are seeing. Continuous high sea temperatures have been passing through, thus creating conditions ripe for the thunder we heard.

Thankfully, this has cooled things off and we hope should pass soon.

Amit in Grenada
- Maria is struggling to hold TS status.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 10 Sep 2011 05:51:00 -0400
Good morning,
Maria is only just holding on to it's tropical storm status. There is plenty of rain associated with it, mostly to the East and North of the apparent centre. The course is now taking it towards Antigua.
We have had some distant lightning overnight , but now it is fine. There are a few clouds within sight that look as if they could drop some rain, but no sign of showers yet. There is a slight breeze from the SW.
The radar shows plenty of showers to our east, but few to the south, at present. 

Hope you have a nice Saturday.

Hogan of Grenada
- Maria is moving North.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 09 Sep 2011 22:46:03 -0400
It is now following predictions and going further north. It is possible that we could get some heavy showers anytime from now until sometime tomorrow. There are some bands that are stretching out in our directions which could have showers. 

I expect to see some breeze pick up from the south overnight.

Hogan of grenada
- Maria has turned slightly north.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 09 Sep 2011 08:20:41 -0400
Maria seems to have developed slightly over night. It has turned slightly towards the north. The XTRP line is pointing towards St Lucia, but most models predict it will pass in the area of Guadeloupe. in 24 hours. There is some impressive convection NE of Barbados, but relatively dry air to the South of Maria. So it looks (at the moment) that Maria will pass well to the north of us in 24 hours. We may get an increase in showers with an increase of winds coming from the south over night. 

Currently the weather is mostly high overcast cloud with hardly any breeze.

Have a nice day and I will look again later.

Hogan of Grenada
- Maria - Thursday 23:00
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 08 Sep 2011 23:02:57 -0400
Maria has only drifted slightly further north. Now at 13.2N.
24hours to go before it strikes the Lesser Antilles.probably in the area of Dominica and Guadeloupe. The XTRP path now takes it through between St Vincent & St Lucia. 

Will look tomorrow.

Hogan of Grenada
- Maria progress.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 08 Sep 2011 12:05:57 -0400
Maria has made a slight move towards the south! All the predictions have likewise shifted further south. Maria is still only a Tropical Storm and the models do not predict a rapid rise in strength. Looking at the satellite images it looks like a very broken tropical storm. Even so we should keep a close eye on Maria. As she has not followed the predicted paths in the last 24 hours, what is to say she may ignore them in the next 24 hours. The only prediction that has Grenada in its path is the XTRP, which I take as Extrapolated, which is the last couple of positions predicted forward. Although I am sure that Maria will turn north in the next 24 hours, maybe this is the time to check that lose items around the garden are moved to a safer place. I do not want this to mean that it will continue towards us, I am just being careful. Most models have Maria passing in the area of Martinique / Dominica, in about 36 hours time, (remember yesterday the predictions were north of Antigua). 

I will try to do another post later today.

Meanwhile have a good afternoon.

Hogan of Grenada
- Maria - on course for near Antigua?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 08 Sep 2011 07:41:55 -0400
Maria is making good progress across the Atlantic. Its current direction takes it towards St Lucia (06:00 GMT), but all the models show it doing a slow turn further north, taking it through Antigua area sometime Friday night. We hope that 1) it turns faster and misses Antigua & Barbuda and 2) it does not pick up strength.
It is a nice morning, there are a few showers visible to the south of us. The radar is showing numerous small fast moving showers out to the East of us. I guess we could have a quick shower anytime today, although the water vapour satellite images show a wedge of drier air passing through, before the outskirts of Maria start to affect us. As often happens, we can expect wind direction changes and probably lose the nice trade wind that we have only just got back! Windguru is showing a wind direction change Friday afternoon/evening coinciding with the passing of Maria. It is also predicting some rain around midday tomorrow, with high overcast skies (probably caused by the high level outflow from the storm). 

Have a good day - off to do some gardening before it gets too hot.

Hogan of Grenada
- 95L - TD 14 - Now Tropical Storm Maria
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 07 Sep 2011 12:07:47 -0400
From the musical 'Paint Your Wagon' The words 'They call the wind Maria', well TD14 has now become Maria and it will probably be bringing 'Maria' wind and rain to the north of the Lesser Antilles in about 3 days time. Many of the predictions have it just passing North of Antigua, lets hope, for their sake, it does. 

Today we are having the odd shower. But it is a nice day with a breeze.

I will keep an eye on Maria and report.

Hogan of Grenada
- 95L following predicted paths -so far.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 06 Sep 2011 06:30:14 -0400
Good morning.

We just had a small shower in Westerhall area.
95L has moved slightly further north, At 06:00 GMT it was reported to be at 10.6N 32.5W. All predictions take it just North of the Lesser Antilles, at the moment.
Looking around, I see many showers and much more cloud than the last few days. A small area of more moist air is passing through. There is still no breeze. Although there is some drier air moving in during the next couple of hours, I guess we could have showers at any time. The radar is showing some heavy showers in our area, especially just off to the East and South. I just want some breeze! 

Have a good day.

Hogan of Grenada
- 95L just come into existence South west of Cape Verdes.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 05 Sep 2011 10:24:12 -0400
Good morning.
A brief post to say that there is a new blob (95L) SW of the Cape Verdes. It is slightly further South than where Katie was at this point in the ATlantic. The few model predictions that have been made so far show it curving north, but it is a bit early to tell. I will keep an eye on this one. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Still in the dry air.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 04 Sep 2011 06:19:30 -0400
I commented yesterday that we were in dry air, yet around 1PM I saw a large black cloud just north of us and another to the west. There was a couple of rumbles of thunder. Apparently the airport/ Aquarium area received a good bit of rain, also up near Mardi Gras and along the southern range of hills. Gut I hear Grand Etang did not get much and we only had a few spots in Westerhall area.
We are still in this dry air region, which looks like lasting for another day, there is a what looks like a tropical ripple (moister air) which could reach us tomorrow. Today, I guess there is the chance of more rain showers popping up, like yesterday. A beautiful red Sun has just risen. There are only a few small clouds, the tops of the mountains are hidden by some cloud. There is hardly any breeze at all, and the sea is really calm, with some small waves breaking on the reef outside Westerhall Bay, these are smaller than yesterday, I guess leftovers of Katia which is now moving further north. The calm weather has allowed most of the seaweed to drift off shore in the bay, this will please the residents on 'the point'.
Katia is still travelling north and is predicted to pass between the US and Bermuda. Lee is still dumping plenty of rain in the area of New Orleans. 

Hope everyone has a good Sunday.

Hogan of Grenada
- Looks like another hot dry day?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 03 Sep 2011 06:44:18 -0400
Hi,

Katia is moving slowly NW out of the Caribbean area.
There is no wind this morning. This is good for the people in Westerhall Bay as the seaweed has drifted out into the bay, but a small breeze will bring some of it back.
We are still in this dry area of weather and guess that today will be similar to yesterdays, with a small chance of a shower. 

I will keep my eyes peeled towards the East.

Hogan of Grenada
- Hot Hot Hotter!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 02 Sep 2011 17:43:21 -0400
It has been a very hot day today. Our pool has reached 33.7C or 92.7F, which I think is a record! It is unbearably warm to go in during the day. I hear that in the US they put truck loads of ice in their pools to cool them down - don't think that does much for global warming! I think I will put sme form of shade over mine!
There has hardly been a cloud in the sky, more like a dry season day than the middle of the rainy season! It looks like tomorrow could be similar.
Katia is following the predicted path, to the NE of the northern Lesser Antilles. It has gone back to a Cat 1 hurricane. Between it and us is some dry air, which is probably giving us today's weather. The radar is back online and only showing a couple of small showers near St Vincent, none in our area (yet). 

Have a pleasant night.

Hogan of Grenada
- Katia has dropped to TS level.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 02 Sep 2011 06:18:09 -0400
Katia has reduced to tropical storm force, but expected to return back to a hurricane soon. It is following the model predictions and appears that it will go well north of the Lesser Antilles. 

A pleasant morning, but the breeze has almost disappeared.
Martinique radar is still not working, but it does appear that we are in a relatively dry area.
The seaweed that washed into Westerhall Bay a few days ago is turning a nasty brown colour as it bakes in the sun. A friend and I found some interesting creatures in the weed! Not sure if they came in with the weed or not? See photos. 

Have a good day

Hogan of Grenada

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- Hot Hot Hot
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 1 Sep 2011 16:38:07 -0400
Good evening fellow Islanders,
 
Glad to see Katia is following the predicted line so far, good for the Islands except of course Bermuda, Susan best not let your husband know what she’s up to. 
 
Here in Grenada it is hot, hot, hot and me and him indoors with a rotten cold!!!  Hogan you can keep that seaweed by you although it would be useful for the garden.
 
By the Hogan I thought you might like to know you have some fans, some friends of mine (who keep a wary eye on our weather to make sure I am OK), one in Ireland I believe and one bordering Wales love to read your posts, they have this site in their favourites.  Smile
 
Stay safe everyone.
- Katia is mid Atlantic and moving north.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 31 Aug 2011 07:05:11 -0400
Good morning Grenada
Katia is now mid Atlantic, and fortunately it has been following the model predictions. It is now at a latitude of 13.9N, which puts it on the same latitude as St Lucia. But it's current track takes it well NE of the Lesser Antilles.
Yesterday we awoke to the sight of seaweed in Westerhall Bay, see photo. Yes that is all seaweed! I found a lovely seaweed coloured crab in it, which had made it's way all the way from the Sargasso Sea to our shores.
No more seaweed has been added overnight and it is turning a darker colour as the surface starts to decay.
Only a slight breeze as I write this. The radar is not displaying, but an hour ago it showed some rain off to our east. Looking out, I can't see any showers, we have scattered low clouds. The tops of the mountains are hidden in low cloud. 

Off to do some gardening now. Have a nice day.

Hogan of Grenada



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- TD 12 is Now Katia.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 30 Aug 2011 06:23:44 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
We now have Katia on the way across the Atlantic! Currently it is about 450 miles SW of the Cape Verdes and generally following the rough course of the majority of the models. It has moved up to latitude 11.5 N. All models still predict Katia sliding past just NE of the Lesser Antilles.
We have had a few showers during the night. It is a lovely morning, with a nice Easterly breeze. There are a couple of showers within sight. And one corner of Westerhall Bay is crammed solid with Sargasso seaweed! When will this stop coming? 

Have a good Tuesday.

Hogan of Grenada
- I forgot to send a post yesterday.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 29 Aug 2011 07:46:37 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
I am sorry I did not send my post yesterday, actually I did write one, but somehow did not hit send!
We now have tropical depression 12 in a place I do not like! it is 9.3N and 25.7W. This means it has become a tropical depression about 120 miles east and a little further south than Ivan! All of the models are showing that it will do a slight turn towards the north, eventually passing just north of the Lesser Antilles, but, and I hate to say this, so did Ivan! For the record Ivan started life as a tropical depression at 9.7N 27.6W. Let's hope the models are accurate this time.
It is much more hazy today than over the last few days. There are a few showers showing on the radar midway between us and Trinidad and Tobago. It is possible that we could get some showers later today. Windguru is not indicating any rain, but it is showing that we could get some high cloud as the day goes on. 

Hogan of Grenada
- As Irene is about to hit East Coast USA.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 27 Aug 2011 06:22:50 -0400
All the best to the East coast of the USA. At least hurricane Irene is only a cat 1, but quite large. 

Very little to report down here. 91L is hardly anything in the Atlantic.
And Tropical Depression 10 appears to have broken up over night. But there is what looks like heavy showers south of TD10 in the tropical wave that created TD10.
The Martinique radar was out for some time, but is now back online and showing few showers in our area, but plenty north of Barbados. 

Have a good day.

Hogan of Grenada
- Correction to previous post. I meant WSW
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 25 Aug 2011 07:57:06 -0400
Irene is following it's predicted path up through the Bahamas.
90L has now become a tropical depression. It is 435 miles WSW of The Cape Verdes but all models show it going towards the NW. We had a nice shower during the night, and the radar shows many showers in the southern part of the Lesser Antilles. Maybe more showers today. Wibdguru is predicting quite a bit of rain this evening. 
Hogan of Grenada
- 90L not a Tropical depression.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 25 Aug 2011 06:22:00 -0400
Irene is following it's predicted path up through the Bahamas.
90L has now become a tropical depression. It is SE of The Cape Verdes but all models show it going towards the NW.
We had a nice shower during the night, and the radar shows many showers in the southern part of the Lesser Antilles. Maybe more showers today. Wibdguru is predicting quite a bit of rain this evening. 

Hogan of Grenada
- 90L - first models look OK.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2011 12:57:37 -0400
Hi,
Invest 90L, using the first few models that have been released show a turn north. I will still keep an eye on this. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Irene, 98L and now 90L
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Aug 2011 08:42:12 -0400
Good morning Grenada,

Irene is now about 150 miles from Turks & Caicos. All the best to all there.
98L - little change. It now looks as if it will pass just to the east of Bermuda.
Now there is a new wave coming off Africa (90L) it is too early to get any good model data from this system. We should know more this afternoon. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Answer to the seaweed.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 22 Aug 2011 18:27:55 -0400
Hi all,
Thanks Richard for pointing me to a post from Stormcarib (Antigua) 12th August. Apparently it is a lump of seaweed that has broken off from the Sargasso sea. For a good explanation see http://antiguaisland.blogspot.com/2011/08/sargassum-come-ashore-in-unprecedented.html From WWW.Adventureantigua.com 

The question is now, is this an indication that currents are changing?

Hogan of Grenada
- Irene, 98L, the Sun and dead seaweed!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 22 Aug 2011 13:00:43 -0400
Irene is now a Cat 1 hurricane and heading towards the Turks & Caicos islands. 

98L appears to be going harmlessly NW in the Atlantic.
Just for interest, actually I missed this by 1 day, The Sun was directly overhead (Westerhall) at 12:10 on the 21st. For the next few days you should notice that any vertical structure (assuming it is completely vertical) will have no shadow at 12:10. Also from now for the next 8 months the sun will be to the south of Grenada (good if you have your solar tank or PV panels facing in a southerly direction.
And finally, I have noticed over the last couple of months large areas of dead seaweed being either washed along in ribbons out along out to sea, and also being washed up on the East facing shores (today it has washed into the south facing bays). Does anyone have an explanation? We have not had any rough seas recently to break it off. Where does it come from? Is it an annual occurrence? Has it always happened? Any comments , I am interested?
Lovely day today, plenty of sun, and a pleasant breeze. There are only a few small showers showing up on the radar midway between us and Barbados. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Correction to last post!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2011 07:49:39 -0400
My last comment about little or no rain! In the last hour a 'street' of large showers has appeared off the SE coast, there are about 6 separate showers that I can see. They are becoming visible on the radar in a line that extends right up towards Irene, from south of Grenada. They are hardly moving, but guess they could pass over us (slowly), and give some heavy showers, in places. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Irene passing Guadeloupe region.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2011 06:37:19 -0400
As I write this Irene, still a tropical storm, is passing through Guadeloupe . Antigua is receiving 25mph winds from the NE. We are getting no breeze at all, and haven't had all night - phew!. Apart from the lack of breeze, it is a lovely morning. The sea is absolutely calm.
I expect, that is I hope, that a breeze will pick up from the SE as Irene moves further west. As I said yesterday, Irene does not have much rain in it's SE quadrant, so we shouldn't get much, if any, rain. There are very few showers showing in the southern islands.
98L (currently due West of the Cape Verdes), is still following a course due west, but all the models say it should turn towards the North. 

Have a good day Grenada.

Hogan of Grenada
- Stay Safe
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 Aug 2011 03:09:55 -0400
Calm and quiet now down here in Grenada, expecting some more rain as Irene passes over the Islands.  Hoping the northern Islands wake up and find everything is OK, with this going straight to TS there was probably no daylight left by the time warnings were put out.  Looking like Haiti will get hit again.
 
Stay safe.
 
Jacquie.
- Irene - Caused our rain.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2011 19:37:16 -0400
I have just seen that 97L the tropical wave affecting us now has just been named "Irene", another one that seems to have bypassed Tropical depression stage! It has been named just before coming through the Lesser Antilles. Its latest position was 162 miles due East of Martinique. Most of the Models have it passing north of Martinique and South of Guadeloupe (Dominica seems to be favourite), this is slightly lower than earlier predictions. Hopefully it won't get beyond TS before hitting the islands. The heavy rain we had today was from the southerly tip of one of the outer spiral arms of this tropical wave. There could be more rain from Irene, before she clears this area, but it does look drier south/east quadrant of the storm, so hopefully we will be OK. 

We had about 2 inches of rain in about two hours.
Further afield, 99L has been clumped into 98L which is now East of The Cape Verdes. All the models take it up in the N. Atlantic, although it's current direction is WNW. 

Have a good night.

Hogan of Grenada
- The Rain is here
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2011 15:03:53 -0400
Hi Fellow Islanders
 
I can’t say Good Afternoon because it is certainly not that!!  From a beautiful early morning to a white here in our part of the Island, the sea and horizon have totally disappeared and we had a roll of thunder about 15 minutes ago, the wind has picked up too which is OK at the moment as a cooling agent but at this time of year I would do without.  Thunder again, louder this time, how far away this is?????
 
Take care everyone.
- 97L heading towards Guadeloupe.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 20 Aug 2011 07:05:32 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
97L is moving steadily towards Guadeloupe. With outer rain showers appearing on the radar to the East of most of the islands. With the centre about 300 miles east it looks as if it will come through the Leeward islands near midnight this evening. We may receive some showers from the outer bands of showers from later today?
99L I am still watching, the few models show it going North, but it is at an uncomfortable latitude. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Now it is getting busy!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 19 Aug 2011 16:42:01 -0400
93L which passed us a few days ago becoming Tropical Depression 08.
Now out to our east we have 97L which is the one we have been following for a few days. It is currently 700 miles East of Barbados. All of the path predictions still have it passing well north of us, but many of the paths have dropped slightly south of yesterdays predictions. The majority have it passing through between Martinique and Guadeloupe, sometime Sunday.
Yesterday 98L came off of Africa. All of the models show it going harmlessly NW into North Atlantic.
In the last few hours a small system has popped up just South of the Cape Verdes, designated 99L. It currently is travelling in a SW direction (a bit worrying). But all the models predict it will go NW, harmlessly into the North Atlantic. 

Lets see what tomorrow brings.

Hogan of Grenada
- The swirl I mentioned yesterday is now 97L
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 18 Aug 2011 14:04:19 -0400
The NHC have given the swirl the Invest id of 97L.
The few models that have started predictions for 97L have it passing through the Easterly Windward Islands about Saturday, but probably only at a level of Tropical Depression. If this is the case then we in Grenada will hardly notice it's passing. 

I will look again tomorrow.

Hogan of Grenada
- An interesting swirl 500 miles WSW of Cape Verdes
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2011 18:13:28 -0400
Good afternoon Grenada.

We had that rain I wished for this afternoon.
Jeff Masters has pointed out what looks like an impressive swirl, in the visible satellite images about 500 miles West South West of the Cape Verdes. Worth watching this. Maybe more on this tomorrow.
According to Jeff, this system should arrive in the Lesser Antilles about Saturday. 

Hogan of Grenada
- A rain blob just East of Barbados.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 17 Aug 2011 06:55:23 -0400
93L has increased it's chances of developing to 30%. It is now well to the West of us and should not pose a threat to us.
About 100 miles to the east of Barbados is a largish blob of cloud, and just showing as rain on the radar. The centre of this rain system appears to have moved south in the last few hours. The normal direction for weather systems is westerly, thus I expect it to head towards Barbados, and then in the direction of the rest of the southern islands. This system is not mentioned on any of the major weather sites. But hopefully will gives us a little rain.
The lack of rain over the last few days has quietened the tree frogs down over night. The garden is also looking as if it could do with some rain. Apart from the really heavy rain we had a couple of weeks ago, it appears to be a fairly dry wet season,so far!
Today there is slight easterly breeze and a fairly hazy sun, there appears to be high level haze to the east. There are no rain showers in sight. There are no rain echoes on the radar in our area, at the moment. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Short reprieve for 93L now it is back.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Aug 2011 08:41:39 -0400
Hi,
After my comments this morning, 93L is back. There is a large area of rain (radar) and cloud (satellite). North of Barbados and now spreading from just east of St Vincent to just east of Guadeloupe. and a 2nd blob slightly further east. NHC have given it's identity 93L back but with only a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression in the next 48 hours! But it does look as if it could drop some heavy rain in the upper Windwards and lower Leewards. I guess we could get some rain from it in the next 24 hours. 

Hogan if Grenada
- remnants of 93L
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Aug 2011 06:40:53 -0400
Good morning.
The remnants of 93L are just about to pass through Barbados. There appear to be some active storm clouds and potentially quite a bit of rain for them and some of the northern islands later. Studying the satelite images over the last few hours it looks as if we may not get much rain from this system, but I do expect to see an increase over what we have had recently. 

Have a good day.

Hogan of Grenada
- 93L is no more ----
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 14 Aug 2011 08:06:11 -0400
The weather system that was heading generally in our direction, according to NHC, is not being mentioned. Although, looking at the satellite images some heavy cloud appears to be in it's general position. So we may still get some rain as it passes through in a couple of days. Windguru is still showing a change in weather around midday Tuesday. 

Sorry to keep this brief, but must do some gardening!

Hogan of Grenada
- 93L has been down graded again.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2011 20:49:06 -0400
The system that was most like to have affected us, 93L, has now been put at about 0% chance of developing to Tropical Depression in the next 48 hours. It has almost disappeared from the satellite images.
As it is only 3-4 days away it seems unlikely (at the moment) that it will have much affect on us, other than possibly a noticeable change in the weather on Tuesday. Windguru is predicting a brief change in wind direction, and possibly an increased chance of rain as the wave passes through.
We had a pleasant shower about an hour ago. The radar is showing a few small showers, but not many. 

Hogan of Grenada
- 93L - not looking very organised, at the moment.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Aug 2011 09:55:50 -0400
Good morning,
The two systems that are making their way across the Atlantic do not look very organised at the moment. 92L has moved quite a way north and does not look a threat. 93L has been down graded to only 20% chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 48 hours. Most tracks have it passing through the Leeward islands or even further north, but some are showing it further south. Whatever, if you haven't stocked up yet, it is probably a good time. If we are going to get any weather from this system it would be about Tuesday-Wednesday period. 

I will look at it again tomorrow.
Today the weather is warm, slight breeze, very hazy. The radar is showing only the odd small showers in the whole of the range of the Martinique and Guadeloupe radars. 

Hogan of Grenada
- The Atlantic conveyor has started!
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Aug 2011 09:00:04 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
There are now two systems on their way across the Atlantic. One is WSW of the Cape Verdes and has 30% chance of reaching tropical cyclone in next 48 hours. the other is South of the Cape Verdes, and has a 20% chance. 

Otherwise the weather looks fairly stable.

Hogan of Grenada
- Have you ever been glad to be wrong?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 10 Aug 2011 08:07:15 -0400
Yesterday I predicted rain, and we had clear blue skies! Thank goodness, the day was perfect for the Parade of the Bands. Everyone seemed to have a great time. We did! 

The weak tropical wave gave some rain to the northern islands, but not much.
It looks like a good day today, there are no showers in our part of the Caribbean, at the moment. The various websites are not giving much chance of rain for a few days.
There is a tropical wave SW of the Cape Verdes that needs to be watched, NHC are giving it a 20% chance (on the their email) but near 0% (on their map), over the next 48 hours. Worth watching. 

Have a great day everyone.

Hogan of Grenada
- The tropical wave has diminished.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 09 Aug 2011 10:01:30 -0400
The wave I mentioned earlier has diminished somewhat in the last couple of hours. The radar is not showing much rain in the southern islands, only a bit near Barbados. Windguru is no longer predicting rain today. Hopefully we should get through today with fair weather, with a chance of a shower. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Parade of the Bands day.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 09 Aug 2011 06:30:49 -0400
A beautiful, but hot day yesterday, with no breeze and clear blue skies.

What does today have in store for the Parade of the Bands?
Looking at the various web sites, I see a tropical wave currently stretching from Tobago to NE of Barbados, with some heavy rain about 150 miles East of Barbados. The Windguru website is anticipating some rain around the afternoon time. It looks as if, after a good start the cloud could increase during the day and give us the chance of some showers. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Dare I say?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 06 Aug 2011 17:10:13 -0400
Looking at the various sites, it does appear that the weather system has passed through. It didn't produce much in the way of rain, and only some distant rumbling of thunder, well that is in the South. 

Let's now hope for a dry evening for the bands.

Hogan of Grenada
- A largse area of rain near Barbados
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 06 Aug 2011 08:09:56 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
The radar and the satellite images are showing a large area of rain just ENE of Barbados. It looks like they may get some rain from this in the next couple of hours. The system that is causing this could easily give Grenada some rain today, but it does look like the worst of this rain is moving in a North Westerly direction.
The Windguru web site is giving small amounts of rain later this afternoon and evening. Lets hope it stays off for the Panorama in the Stadium this evening.
08:00 this morning the sky is mostly hazy but clear, except for some fluffy low clouds and some high cloud way off to the East. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Rain Rain Rain.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 05 Aug 2011 07:37:27 -0400
Morning Grenada.
We have been having some more heavy rain! I don't feel it has been as bad as the last time. If you have been affected then please let me know.
This rain is coming from a narrow band of rain clouds that have unfortunately been sliding along from east to west. North and south of the band there is little or no rain.
My feeling is that the band is slipping slightly south, so hopefully it might brighten up soon.
Over night a large blob of heavy (what looks like) storms about 300 miles east of T&T appeared. It is ahead of a tropical wave pushing across the Atlantic. This may be nothing, but I am keeping an eye on it. 


Hogan of Grenada
- Some showers passing just South of Grenada
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 04 Aug 2011 18:26:46 -0400
18:26 Good evening Grenada
I have just noticed that, to our south, there are some rain echoes on the weather radar, also what looks like rain showers on the satellite images. A quick look out of the window, and I see some ligt showers to the SE. These showers may pass us by or we may get some as this small weather system passes, this evening. The showers are coming in for some distance east of Tobago, who are only reporting light showers at the moment. 

Hogan of Grenada
- The rain this morning.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 04 Aug 2011 10:05:24 -0400
Good morning, sorry for being late.
The radar is not showing much rain in the area, we just seem to be getting the odd shower in our area, just typical for this time of year. As I am typing this we have had two claps of thunder, both about 2 miles away*, not sure of which direction from Westerhall as I was inside. * for those that do not know, to work out how far away the lightning is, start counting (seconds) between the lightning and the thunder, then divide by 5 - 10 seconds is 2 miles approx.
Emily is hitting the South of Dominican Republic and Haiti. It is showing signs of decreasing as it is affected by the large landmass. I guess they could get some large amounts of rain though. 

The Atlantic to the East of us looks quiet at the moment.

Hogan of Grenada
- Clear view to Trinidad
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 02 Aug 2011 20:18:54 -0400
After all that rain we now have a very clear view to the horizon and beyond. Very very rarely we can see the tops of the mountains of Trinidad and Venezuela. This evening it was the turn of Trinidad, see photo. At the distance of nearly 90 miles these mountain tops are nearly 3000 ft and look like islands. Also visible, when it got dark, were storms over Venezuela. 

Still very little breeze here, but cool outside.
TS Emily is now heading for The Dominican Republic and looks like lots of rain for them!
Now, for Grenada. our eyes turn back across the Atlantic. I am watching a blob SW of the Cape Verdes. 

Until tomorrow, have a good night.

Hogan of Grenada



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- When is a depression a tropical storm?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 02 Aug 2011 07:15:07 -0400
Last night 91L moved straight into Tropical Storm status, just after passing Dominica, from what appeared to be a very disorganised low.
I have just looked at the wind speeds from most of the islands and could not find any high wind speeds as it passed. I thought a Tropical Storm should have Tropical Storm force winds (35mph), shouldn't it? Who actually decides when a system becomes a Tropical Storm. What happened to its Tropical Depression stage? Apparently it went over Dominica, yet the highest reported speed at Canefield airfield in the last 24 hours was 10mph. Dominica did seem to get some very heavy rain and lots of it, but little wind. Antigua did appear to get some stronger wind (good Trade wind levels), but that would be expected on the northern side of a depression. 

The lowest pressure recorded at Cranefield was 1006 at 5pm.
07:14 Here in Grenada we had some rain in the last hour. Looking out the sky is almost entirely overcast (a couple of glimpses of blue to the south. It looks dark to the North & East. There is hardly a breeze, just a whiff from the SW. Hopefully the wind will slowly move round to the SE and pick-up (slightly) as the day goes on. The radar is showing a band of rain a few miles off to our east.
Interestingly, after my report yesterday, about the huge amount of rain we had in the south, I received a report from the Bathway area saying "You will not believe me but we have had blue skies, light breeze and a normal August day! Nothing else!"!
Lets hope the weather improves for the rest of Carnival, I am looking forward to it. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Emily is born
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 1 Aug 2011 18:27:22 -0400
So we now have Emily...... again.
- The Sky was exploding
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 1 Aug 2011 18:11:29 -0400
You well got caught Hogan, the rain was coming down like stair rods, no wind just lots and lots of very loud thunder.  I heard town was flooded but nothing new there, I wonder what River Road was like?
Very still now, solid cloud coming over but no rain, the dogs have eaten and calmed down but are lazing on the veranda by the door ready for a quick dash inside.
 
Take care everyone.
 
Jacquie
- Floods, storms & roads flooded.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 01 Aug 2011 15:30:31 -0400
Hey where did that come from?
I went out about 12:00 to drop something off for a friend. Having done that I though I would do a small detour to friends at Bay Gardens before coming home. What a mistake. Also not having my camera with me was a mistake,
The Bay gardens area had about 3 inches of rain in about an hour or so, with lots of thunder & lightning . The river below Bay gardens was in full flood, but still able to get over the bridge. But I was turned back by people telling me the road ahead was blocked in at least 2 places with landslides. So I turned back to try another way. Not too bad coming down through Laborie, apart from trees hanging on power lines. Many people were out trying to unblock drains and tidy up the debris. I was able to give a lift to a lady so she didn't have to wade through water. But then I got to the straight stretch between Calivigny and Westerhall. The road was well and truly flooded with two cars stuck in the middle of the flood (they had had an accident before the rains had happened) - wonder if the paint the police put on the roads had had time to dry? There was plenty of laughter while we waited for the level to drop, with people trying to convince others to drive through first to see if it was safe!
The water dropped rapidly and we were able to get through after about 45 minutes. From our vantage point we can see the inlets/bays have turned brown.
The great thing about Grenada is how everyone was out helping each other. That is what it is all about. I hope people haven't had to suffer too much with flooding.
This is all probably due to 91L, as the low pressure stretches a long way into the Lesser Antilles. 91L has now been put at 80% chance of developing in next 48 hours. The centre is now passing just north of Barbados, and appears to be heading towards Dominica. At time of writing the Martinique radar is out and so it is difficult to see what rain there is in the area. 

Hogan of Grenada
- 91L seems to have slowed a bit.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 01 Aug 2011 06:59:03 -0400
06:23 Monday
91L - Over night the blob ahead of the wave has mostly disappeared. The Low pressure belonging to 91L appears to have slowed down a bit. The centre of the low is now about 250 miles east of Lesser Antilles, 200 miles ENE of Barbados and travelling in a WNW direction at between 10 and 15 mph. The centre part of 91L seems to have built a bit this morning.
I have just heard some thunder from north of my position, this is from a small shower that passed through. The radar isn't showing much rain in the area at the moment.
The weather here at present is hazy sun, no wind at all, small showers within sight and fairly cloudy, and I can just hear a small shower on the roof! 

I will look again at the situation later today.

Hogan of Grenada
- Is Emily revising?
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 1 Aug 2011 05:44:18 -0400
It would seem that what could well be Emily is knocking the door of the Islands this morning, just heard the first roll of thunder followed swiftly by the arrival of 6 dogs quietly but hastily seeking protection under the coffee table, behind the chairs etc.  thankfully not on my lap as yet!!  Keep alert everyone because although it would seem Grenada shouldn’t be too badly effected by it it is that time of year and to a non-expert I continue expect the unexpected.
 
Take care everyone and let’s hope it brings nothing more than a bit of wind and a bit of rain.
 
Jacquie.
 
- Still not Emily
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 31 Jul 2011 07:12:49 -0400
06:43 Sunday.

The NHC now have 91L as 100% to become a tropical cyclone in next 48 hours!
Over night 91L has turned on a more westerly course. It is at 12.9N 51.2W, about 570 miles East of Barbados (that was at about 02:00 our time). Due to the slight turn towards the west many models have moved the predicted path slightly further south with the majority now between Martinique and Dominica. Some dry Sahara air to the north of 91L is probably slowing its growth.
This looks like the first one of the season for somewhere in the Lesser Antilles, but hopefully it will still be weak when (if) it reaches the islands.
Looking at the radar and satellite images there are some heavy (thunder?) showers ahead of 91L they are currently approaching Barbados.
I will be happy (for us) to see it return to a more northerly direction over the next 6 hours, but it will have to turn very much to the north now to avoid the Leewards.
As I look at posts from other islands, I am sure many look at ours. I hope that wherever 91L goes it causes little or no damage. All the best to everyone in the area as our 2011 season starts. 

Hogan of Grenada
- 91L progress.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2011 14:45:42 -0400
14:32 Grenada time, Good afternoon Grenada.
What looks like good news (so far) for us in the southern Windwards is not looking so good for the Dominica/Guadeloupe area. The most southerly model track is now north of St Lucia. At 12:00 GMT The Low pressure was about 700 miles East of Barbados at 12N 49W and moving slightly North of West.
NHC are now giving 91L an 80% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within 48 hours. Looks like Emily will be reborn soon.
In my opinion, the rain we are getting today is only loosely connected to 91L, we being on a southerly band of rain that appears to spiral into 91L.
The windguru website has reduced the expected rainfall, but still shows a wind direction change Monday afternoon through Tuesday, I guess this is because of the predicted passing of 91L further north. They are not predicting any high winds for our area. 

Hogan of Grenada
- 91L now at 70% chance of becoming a 'tropical cyclone' in next 48 hours
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Jul 2011 07:37:56 -0400
Good morning,

It is looking like 91L will become a tropical depression soon.  This morning all the models show it passing north of us.  Most take it through Dominica, but a couple have it going  between St Vincent and St Lucia, that is where Tomas went last year.  It is still about 1000 miles out to the East and is still stated as moving at 15-20 MPH in a W to WNW direction. If 91L gets named it will be Emily

We will have more idea about the course of 91L by tomorrow morning. But I will be monitoring it throughout today.

Hogan of Grenada
- NHC now have 91L as 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2011 22:29:58 -0400
All predicted paths are still above Grenada, but I will look again in the morning. 

Hogan of Grenada
- The wave I spotted yesterday has now been mentioned by NHC.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2011 08:25:44 -0400
Good morning,
The Area I was talking about yesterday has now been given a 30% chance of developing in the next 48 hours. It is just over 1000 miles out in the Atlantic and at its predicted speed should arrive in our area in about 2.5 - 3 days time.
Winguru appears to show wind direction changes and more rainfall around the Monday/Tuesday timeframe, although they are not predicting strong winds, as yet.
Most models seem to agree that the path of this weather system takes it through the Leeward islands. 

It has an invest id of 91L

I will be monitoring this one.

Hogan of Grenada
- Tropical wave on course for the Lesser Antilles
  • By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Jul 2011 13:23:02 +0100
A large tropical wave 91L Invest accompanied by a well-defined low pressure system is located about 1200 miles east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles. This disturbance continues to show signs of organization, and the National Hurrican Centre says environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development over the next few days. This system has a medium chance, 30 percent, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward or west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. This system has the potential to be out next named storm of the year either over this weekend or early next week. Worth keeping an eye on how this progresses. The CLI-matology PER-sistence (CLP5) model puts it's path between Tobago and Grenada. Other models see it tracking north, which is probably more likely.
Have a good day all

Katy


--

Katy Young
Director


Store Bay Marine Services Limited

Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar, Pigeon Point Road,Crown Point, Tobago

Mailing Address: PO Box 130, Scarborough, Tobago

Website: www.sbms.co.tt Email: katy at sbms.co.tt

Phone: 660 8468 Cell: 740 2269 VHF: Ch06

Facebook: Store Bay Marine Services: https://www.facebook.com/?sk=lf#!/group.php?gid=121639071203368

Directors: John R Stickland, Rajesh Singh & Katy Young




- Is that a wave in the Atlantic?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 28 Jul 2011 19:43:39 -0400
Everything looks quiet at the moment. But there does seem to be a small tropical wave about 1000 miles east of us. The models do not show it developing at this time. 

This evening feels cooler than recently, but still very little breeze.
We have been looking out towards Venezuela, at this time of year we normally see lightning in that direction. Even that seems quieter than normal. 

Have a pleasant evening. Nearly the Weekend!

Hogan of Grenada
- Rain this evening???
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 19 Jul 2011 16:20:18 -0400
16:11 Looking at the radar there is a band of showers approaching, at this time they were just approaching Barbados and Tobago. At the rate of movement I would feel, if it continues, that we could have some heavy showers later this evening. I think the band of rain will be short lived (2-3 hours maybe).
Barbados Airport weather reported a sandstorm this morning! Not sure what that meant! 

Hogan of Grenada
- SOme well needed rain.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 17 Jul 2011 07:52:59 -0400
Having had a short dryish spell, it looks like today will be quite overcast with showers. The radar showes one big blob of rain showers between Grenada and Barbados. There appears to be some heavy showers in this weather system. It is possible that the worse of the weather could pass to the north, we will see! Anyway it doesn't look like a good day for the beach. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Leading edge of the tropical wave?
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 12 Jul 2011 05:56:51 -0400
Good morning Grenada,
What appears to be the leading edge of the tropical wave went through at about 03:00 this morning. This was earlier than expected and seems to be caused by a bulge in the wave pushing up from the south. The wind has eased off and the rain has stopped, for the time. As of 05:30 this morning the weather radar is not showing much rain ( a little just south of Barbados) and Barbados airport are reporting thundery showers. The satellite imagery shows little activity to our SE, and as the sky brightens the view in that direction confirms a thin layer of high cloud with breaks. The question is weather the stormy clouds moving east from Barbados will go north of us or not? In this weather pattern we could get heavy rain showers at any time. The Windguru website is predicting far less cloud cover and rain. for today, than than it did earlier. overall the wave seems to have weakened since yesterday, for the time. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Tropical wave update.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 11 Jul 2011 07:57:11 -0400
NHC has just sent out an update saying the tropical wave - has a 10% chance of developing in the next 48 hours. It is likely to produce heavy showers and gusty winds tomorrow. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Tropical wave heading our way,
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 11 Jul 2011 06:35:39 -0400
A tropical wave is approaching us from the East. It appears it should reach us Tuesday probably bringing some rain and gusty showers. The NHC are not predicting this develops into a cyclone in the next 48 hours.
Hope fully we will still have clear skies for tonight's viewing of the ISS (with Shuttle linked). Look high up in the West at 18:50. If you have never seen it before, it will be a bright light moving fairly fast across the sky. 

Hogan of Grenada
- The weather blocked out the Shuttle viewing.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 09 Jul 2011 20:00:37 -0400
To StormCarib, sorry if my last report was not strictly weather related, but I thought it would have been interesting for some. As it is the weather did get involved by blocking out the view.
What is that law that says something always goes wrong when you least want it to?
We managed to get a couple of glimpses of the ISS, but the only holes in clouds were all in the wrong place for the Shuttle. When I sent the email the sky was clear, within minutes it had clouded over.
The satellite images and the radar show everything being clear to the east. Just bad timing. I hope some people slightly up the chain of islands had a better viewing.
There will be one last, evening, chance to see the ISS & Shuttle linked up at 18:49 to 18:55 on 11th Look NW to SSE. It will be very bright.
Apart from that we appear to be in a relatively dry area for the next day or so. Nothing on the horizon yet! 

Hogan of Grenada
- ISS and Shuttle Last chance to see both in the evening sky.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 09 Jul 2011 17:53:50 -0400
Hi all, I thought you may be interested in this if you are in Grenada, as we seem to have clear skies this evening (so far),
Latest calculations for viewing the ISS (International Space Station) and Shuttle tonight.
The ISS will come up from NNW at 19:07 and pass high to NE at 19:10 then disappear just above the horizon in the SE at 19:37.
The Shuttle should follow it rising at 19:27 in the NW and pass high to SW at 19:29 disappearing (into the Earth's shadow at 19:30 not long after passing overhead. * both my calculations and confirmed by Heavens Above website.
The interesting thing is that both craft are on the same orbit, but you will see them following what appears to be two different lines across the sky. This is because in the 19 minutes between the craft the Earth would have turned almost 5 degs below them.
The Shuttle will not be as bright as the ISS, but it is travelling faster and lower. By travelling lower it is able to catch up with the ISS without having to use any fuel, other than for minor corrections and to get higher when it approaches the ISS . 

The Sky looks vary clear at the moment, so good viewing.

Hogan of Astronomy
- The tropical wave.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 08 Jul 2011 06:50:09 -0400
The wave has diminished somewhat over night. But it looks as if we still have around 24 hours of rain and mostly overcast skies. The worst of the weather (at the moment) appears to be South of us. The Satellite images show a large amount of cloud coming in from the SE. I suspect a good bit of this is high cloud that will block the sun, but not produce rain. This does not mean will won't get some heavy and prolonged showers. As I send this the radar shows heavy rain Passing between Grenada and Trinidad. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Tropical wave
  • By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
  • Date: Thu, 7 Jul 2011 13:32:44 +0100
The tropical wave which was forecast to hit Tobago and Trinidad has now moved north towards Grenada. Windguru is predicting winds of 21 knots with gusts of 25 knots on Friday night. Wind direction is shifting overnight Friday into Saturday from E to ESE. Wave direction E to ENE. Rain prediction is 6.1mm. Again this system could still move further north but worth keeping an eye on the forecast models for the next 24 hours.
Best wishes
Katy

--

Katy Young
Director


Store Bay Marine Services Limited

Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar, Pigeon Point Road,Crown Point, Tobago

Mailing Address: PO Box 130, Scarborough, Tobago

Website: www.sbms.co.tt Email: katy at sbms.co.tt

Phone: 660 8468 Cell: 740 2269 VHF: Ch06

Facebook: Store Bay Marine Services: https://www.facebook.com/?sk=lf#!/group.php?gid=121639071203368

Directors: John R Stickland, Rajesh Singh & Katy Young




- Tropical wave to pass Grenada later
  • By Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
  • Date: Tue, 5 Jul 2011 14:44:40 +0100
Morning all...
Forecasters are predicting rain and winds for Grenada later as a tropical wave passes over the island. Windguru is forecasting wind speeds of around 19-20 knots tonight and into tomorrow morning, with gusts of 22-23 knots, direction east. There could also be up to 4.9mm of rain.
It seems as though we're getting a series of systems over the next week, with Friday night forecast predicting winds of 21 knots, direction east - east-south-east and gusts of up to 25 knots going into Saturday, although there doesn't seem much rain around.
Monday night into Tues looks wet with 7.2mm of rain and wind gusts of up to 21 knots but Monday is a long way away in terms of weather so this could all change.
Have a safe day all and stay dry!
Katy

--

Katy Young
Director


Store Bay Marine Services Limited

Unit B, Bago's Beach Bar, Pigeon Point Road,Crown Point, Tobago

Mailing Address: PO Box 130, Scarborough, Tobago

Website: www.sbms.co.tt Email: katy at sbms.co.tt

Phone: 660 8468 Cell: 740 2269 VHF: Ch06

Facebook: Store Bay Marine Services: https://www.facebook.com/?sk=lf#!/group.php?gid=121639071203368

Directors: John R Stickland, Rajesh Singh & Katy Young




- First named storm of 2011.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 29 Jun 2011 08:21:57 +0100
Good morning Grenada.
Arlene is the first named storm of the year, for the Atlantic region. It is in the Gulf of Mexico, very close to the first named storm of 2010 which became a tropical storm just 3 days earlier, June 26th. Arlene is no threat to Grenada. 

Hogan of Grenada
- Rain, rain, and more rain.
  • By "Jacquie Dowden" <jacquiedowden at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 26 Jun 2011 07:39:32 -0400
Good morning fellow Islanders
 
Yesterday we had showers on and off all day and during the evening and night heavy showers continued.  This morning they have had thunder and lightning in the North of the Island but not heard any by us and the dogs would certainly let me know if it was around.  We have, however, had more heavy rain and the horizon seems to have disappeared!!!! 
 
Last week we had some quite strong winds with lots of branches and banana falling.  The big silk cotton tree on the land next door also broke half way up the trunk and fell, luckily not on our water tanks,  this was no big surprise as half the trunk had been burnt away from the bush fire we had two years ago.  Very sad to see a beautiful tree die like that.
 
Stay safe
 
Jacquie.
- Stormy Saturday Night
  • By storm tracker <grenadatracker at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 18 Jun 2011 20:51:51 -0400
My first check-in of the season. Strong wind squalls and heavy rains in Grenada today/tonight! A big burst around sunset saw localized flooding and a fair ammount of debris blowing into the road (sticks, leaves, garbage can lids). Similar microbursts have been passing through ever since. I thought I heard the neighbours galvanize flapping (one sheet, anyway) but since it's night we'll have to see how much damage has been done in the morning. My laundry fell down...so I'll have to do that again. :o(
 
 
- 94L giving Jamaica rain and wind.
  • By Chris Bolt <gommier at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 06 Jun 2011 07:23:21 +0100
Hi all,
I am sorry I have been quiet for some time. We have had some family problems. I am still in the UK, but I am still watching the weather in the Caribbean.
There is a weather system - 94L giving rain and wind to Jamaica. With strange weather happening in N. America (tornados) and UK having, record, droughts in the SE and higher than normal rain in the NW. I wonder what this year has in store for the Caribbean. Lets hope for a record of the least named storms! 

All the best for this season.

Hogan of Grenada

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