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- - - 2006 Hurricane Season - - -

- trying again
  • From: "Amy Spagnola" <snubagirl at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 21 Nov 2006 09:13:57 -0400
Good morning-
I tried to send this earlier but it got sent back (don't know why)

We recovered from the rain- but when I went to the Red Cross on Thursday- I should have had waders! We got 5inches in most parts of the island and some got 7 inches- that is 2 inches less than Ivan- Yikes. Good news is that no one got injured- just wet and alot of mud in their homes. Streets were rivers and rooi (the "drainage" we have here) were rapids. Here is a link to pictures taken around the island:
http://www.diario-aruba.com/gallery/thumbnails.php?album=204&page=1

Take care!
PS- Is anyone watching that blob to the west that is moving to the east?

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- OMG!
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 16 Nov 2006 11:28:51 -0400
Oh my god, it has rained like hell here in Aruba! and the Weather Service predicts eve more to come.

IMG 9894

IMG 9723

- Wow-
  • From: "Amy Spagnola" <snubagirl at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 16 Nov 2006 07:57:55 -0400
It started with a lightning show last night about 8. The rain started at about 10- and it is still raining. As I write this inbetween flashes of lightning and peals of thunder- I look into my backyard, LOTS of water. I will check in later-as Aruba can't really handle alot of rain. Time to grab my boots and check in at the Red Cross. I will update later. Take care and stay dry!

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- Clouds
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 20 Oct 2006 02:24:26 -0400
Finlay my Internet Connection is restored, after the heavy rains on Monday.
Rain clouds approaching on Wednesday, right now the radar image looks bad, more rain to come I'll post more pictures tomorrow!


- wow
  • From: "Amy Spagnola" <snubagirl at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 19 Oct 2006 08:16:12 -0400
Last night we had RAIN like I haven't seen in a while. The thunder rattled you teeth and the rain had it's own drum section playing on every roof. Didn't think it was sooo bad until I tried to drive home from class- talk about a shot of adrenaline- you couldn't see where the road or the puddles started or ended. Wound up having a white knuckle ride home as you couldn't get over 30kpm. I drove thru some streets that looked like the water was knee deep and passing cars sprayed waterfalls onto my windsheild. They have reports here of the usual spots going from roads to rivers. Our "dushi" island is not used to so much rain so fast. Things look muddy, but better today. It is a dead calm, but hopefully the breeze will pick up this weekend. Hope everyone stays dry and the rest of the season is very boring.

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- No wind
  • From: "Amy Spagnola" <snubagirl at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 17 Oct 2006 08:36:54 -0400
Our famous trade winds have taken a vacation- and it looks like they won't be back until this weekend. The ocean is as calm as a pond with barely a breath of air to ripple the surface. You can see straight down to the individual blades of sea grass and the fish swimming in it. I was planning to paint my kitchen- but it is just too hot. I'll take this as a sign that i should be at the beach snorkeling today- the kitchen can wait. My kitties have also given into the heat- they are now sleeping in the sink with water dripping on them- who said cats don't like the water- and my dog is happily licking the ice cubes in his water bowl. Miss Mermaid- hope the fin is on the mend! Take care to all!

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- Where's the wind
  • From: "Amy Spagnola" <snubagirl at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 05 Sep 2006 08:17:28 -0400
Whew- woke up and there is NO wind. This early and it is warm enough that my Siamese is languishing in the sink with the water dripping on his furry head. Our island is so used to being fanned by the famous trade winds. Anything under 15mph and we start to ask "Where did they go?". I personally think that the wind took the day off for Labor Day, as they only time we are usually windless is when there is a storm close to us. Thankfully, the year has been quiet, though Ernesto did give us a nice prep drill- my Mom and Dad in NJ got more effect of him than we did here. I think they are still manning the pumps ;-) Let's hope the rest of the season stays this quiet.
Take care to all on the islands- time for me to grab an iced coffee

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- Note from Aruba
  • From: "Chuckaree, Suren" <Suren.Chuckaree at valero.com>
  • Date: Fri, 25 Aug 2006 15:49:44 -0400

 

Good Afternoon Gert,

The morning started off very calm in Aruba and there has been very little wind all day (calm before the storm??). While this should be the norm for late August into September, the wind has been unusually high over the last week. Current projections show the closet point of approach to centre of  TD 5 will be at 3:00 am tomorrow at 140 miles. There is a southerly cloud band and I expect that the rain will begin sometime before midnight.

Concerns on the island are still flooding if there is excessive rainfall.

 

Will keep you advised on the outcome.

 

Suren Chuckaree


- Official Report from MDNA&A
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 25 Aug 2006 13:44:56 -0400
Telephone (+5999) 839-3360 839-3361 Telefax (+5999) 868-3999 869-2699  Web site: http://www.meteo.an, E-mail: cur-met at meteo.an
CYCLONE MESSAGE NO. 4
INFORMATION ADVISORY NO. 4
Date: August 25, 2006                   Time:12:00 P.M.  (NOON).
.....Tropical Depression Five Continues over Southeastern Caribbean.....

SYSTEM  IDENTIFICATION: Tropical Depression.

INTENSITY CATEGORY: Close to Tropical Storm Strength.

CENTER LOCATION: Within 80 km of 13.5N 66.4W or 250 km Northeast of Bonaire.

LOCATION TIME: 11:00 A.M.

MAX WINDS NEAR CENTER:   35 MPH / 55 KMH

PRESENT MOVEMENT: West or 280 degrees at 15 MPH or 24 KM/HR.

DISCUSSION: Tropical depression Five has changed little in strength and continues to move westward. The depression is expected to strengthen somewhat and forecasted to become a minimal tropical storm named Ernesto, later today. With the present forecast track the center of the system will pass well North of our islands late this evening.
The area with tropical storm winds is not expected to affect the ABC islands, but rain bands associated with the system may cause showers and thundershowers.
Although the system does not pose a direct threat to our islands, all interests should monitor the progress of this tropical cyclone closely.

EFFECT ON LOCAL CONDITIONS: Weather conditions associated with this system will affect the ABC islands today, causing local rainshowers during the afternoon with increasing shower activity starting this evening and continuing through the night. Winds are generally expected to be light, but may reach gale force in gusts during heavy showers and blow temporarily from southerly directions. Seas may become temporarily rough during heavy showers and gusty winds.

WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT: Owners of small craft are advised not to venture out of port this evening and tonight, and remain informed on the progress and development of the tropical depression.

Local authorities and residents are advised to continue monitoring the further progress of this weather system.

FORECAST CENTER POSITIONS:

DATE/TIME POSITION INTENSITY LOCATION
Friday, August 25, 2 P.M. 13.7N 67.1W
Tropical Depression
210 km North Northeast of Bonaire.
Friday, August 25, 8 P.M. 
14.2N 68.5W Weak Tropical Storm 230 km North Northeast of Curaçao.
Saturday, August 26, 2 A.M. 14.6N 69.8W
Weak Tropical Storm 226 km North of Aruba.
NEXT ADVISORY: Friday, 25 August 2006, 18:00 P.M.


END

- The calm before the storm
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 25 Aug 2006 03:25:19 -0400
The calm before the storm has started right now and satellite images concur with this, the skies are clear I can even point out various constellations right now. The depression seems to be organizing, but we will have to wait for the next advisory around 5am.



- Oficial Report fron MDNA&A
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 24 Aug 2006 18:51:24 -0400
Telephone (+5999) 839-3360 839-3361 Telefax (+5999) 868-3999 869-2699  Web site: http://www.meteo.an, E-mail: cur-met at meteo.an
CYCLONE MESSAGE NO. 2
INFORMATION ADVISORY NO. 2
Date: August 24, 2006                   Time: 6:00 P.M.
.....Tropical Depression #5 forms over Southeast Caribbean.....

SYSTEM  IDENTIFICATION: Tropical Depression.

INTENSITY CATEGORY: Moderate

CENTER LOCATION: 12.9 N  62.4 W or 640 km East Northeast of Bonaire.

LOCATION TIME: 5:00 P.M.

MAX WINDS NEAR CENTER:  35 mph......55 km/hr with higher gusts

PRESENT MOVEMENT: Towards the West at 22 mph....35 km/hr

DISCUSSION: The fifth tropical depression of the season has developed out of the strong tropical wave that entered the southeastern Caribbean this morning. The depression is expected to strengthen and become a minimal Tropical Storm named Ernesto by 2 a.m. early Friday morning. With the present forecast track this system is expected to pass well North of our islands during the course of Friday afternoon and evening.
The area with tropical storm winds is not expected to affect the ABC islands, but rainbands associated with the system may cause showers and thundershowers.
Although the system does not pose a direct threat to our islands, all interests should monitor the progress of the tropical depression closely.

EFFECT ON LOCAL CONDITIONS: The weather associated with this system may affect the ABC islands tomorrow, Friday, causing showers and thundershowers mainly during the afternoon and evening hours . Winds are expected to become light during the passage of the wave, but may reach near gale force in gusts during heavy showers and may blow temporarily from southerly directions. Seas may become temporarily rough during heavy showers and gusts.

WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT:  Owners of small craft are advised to be cautious when venturing out of part and to remain informed on the progress and development of the tropical wave.

Local authorities and residents are advised to continue monitoring the further progress of this weather system

NEXT ADVISORY: Friday, 25 August 2006, 8:00 A.M.
Forecast positions.
Friday,     25/8    2 a.m.  at  13.2 N   65.5W   Weak Tropical Storm, center  325 km East Northeast of Bonaire
Friday,     25/8    2 p.m. at   13.8 N   68.0 W   Weak Tropical Storm, center 185 km North of Bonaire
Saturday, 26/8    2 a.m. at  14.6 N   70.2 W    Moderate Tropical Storm, center 225 km North Northwest of Bonaire


END

- Signs of Ernesto???
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 24 Aug 2006 00:52:53 -0400
It hasn't rained for quite some time till yesterday, Wednesday when around 11:30am thunder began to rattle Aruba again for the first time since December last year. Harmless rain fell on Aruba, but it did remind us of that we are now in the Hurricane Season's busiest period, today in a press conference organized by the Emergency Coordinator, he made clear that Aruba is well prepared for moderate rainfall now, but has concerns what the wind can do to the island in case of a hurricane. Aruba has always had 3 scenarios the one that a storm will pass north of us which is the most common one and most time it's harmless, the other two are meanwhile less common but possible. These two are the possible passage of a storm south of the island between Aruba and Venezuela and a "wrong way Lenny" event, an eastward moving cyclone. these two will bring the more severe winds closer to the island with devastating effects. Our whole island infrastructure is localized on the southern part of the island, here we have the water and electrical stations and the oil refinery which are designed to whit stand a category 3 hit, the airport and ports and last but certainty not least the capital city of Oranjestad. Now which a possible formation of a depression well south of the Caribbean sea, this is starting to worry me again, although I don't think it will be a hurricane it could be a tropical storm passing close to the ABC Islands the rain can spell trouble for us, it has always do, but as always the forecast can change, as I always say "Who are we??, to put rules on mother nature" - Marko Espinoza


After the dark clouds in Colegio Arubano at Vondellaan in Oranjestad.


"Hooiberg" view from Vondellaan in Oranjestad, little bit hazy.

- Always on my day off!!!
  • From: "Amy Spagnola" <snubagirl at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 12 Jul 2006 11:49:25 -0400
Greetings from Aruba. Well months of dry and dusty have passed. Yesterday a nice spritz to settle the dust, but just because it is my day off this week, it looks like we might get some real rain. It has been calmer windwise today that is has been in a while and big grey clouds are looming in the south east. Hopefully it will pass so I can be like Miss Mermaid and spend a day at the beach when I don't have to be the lifeguard. I will keep updating as our new season progresses- as we all hope, let it be a boring and uneventful one!!
Regards,
Amy

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- Rainnnnnnnnn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 11 Jul 2006 01:23:46 -0400
Finally after weeks maybe months without rain, it's raining again thanks to the Tropical Wave passing north of Aruba.


- Rainfall Outlook 2006
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 4 Jun 2006 02:00:29 -0400
From the MDNA&A 2005 Climatological Report:
The outlook for the global sea surface temperature indicates, warm condition (0.5-1.0°<C above
normal) in the Caribbean Sea and the North Tropical Atlantic for 2006. On the other hand in the
equatorial Pacific Ocean the sea surface temperature will continue its cooling trend, which will
reflect a near neutral to a weak La Niña conditions for first six months of 2006.
As a result of a warm Caribbean Sea and the North Tropical Atlantic Ocean, the moisture in the
atmosphere will be abundant in the Caribbean Area. The upper level westerly winds in the Caribbean
that go along with a La Niña Event will be weak, hence enhancing the vertical development of deep
convection. Therefore the rainfall for 2006 will be normal to above normal for the Netherlands
Antilles and Aruba.

- High Winds
  • From: "Marko A.J. Espinoza Cangahuala" <markoespinoza at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 22 Apr 2006 16:01:59 -0400
Just like Bonaire here the roof is starting to rumble.... very windy.... according to MDNA&A It's going to be like this till Monday.
Windsurfers ENJOY!

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