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- - - 2006 Hurricane Season - - -

- ANTIGUA SAILNG WEEK 2007
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Mon, 30 Apr 2007 20:24:03 -0300

LOTS OF EXCITEMENT. FABULOUS SAILING. INCREDIBLY FAST BOATS. CLOCKED 1 ON MY GPS AT 23 KNOTS!!

 

ONLY EXCITEMENT AFTER THIS WEEK BEFORE STORM TIME WILL BE MARLIN FISHING.

- HURRICANE SEASON
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Wed, 4 Apr 2007 15:01:09 -0400
Have  been focusing on  the fact that  in less than 60 days we will be BACK IN HURRICANE SEASON...  Seems it comes  quicker now!  Hope the boys in the  back room DO NOT GET THEIR  THRILLS from anything coming our  way  again.  Antigua has been hit enough!  
 
MEANWHILE  THE ANTIGUA LEG of  WORLD CUP CRICKET is in full swing with the  final match  on EASTER SUNDAY.   Ck out  the  site below for more
 
HAPPY EASTER TO ALL 
- Yessiree bob
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 3 Apr 2007 19:57:03 -0300

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/6524017.stm
- ???
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 3 Apr 2007 18:55:50 -0300

BILOXI, Miss. - Residents along the Gulf Coast, still rebuilding from the devastation of Hurricane Katrina, were told Tuesday to brace for another difficult year after forecasters predicted 17 named storms this season, including five major hurricanes.

The Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University projected that there was a 74 percent chance that at least one major hurricane would hit the U.S. coast this season.

The Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, averages 9½ named storms, with 2.3 of them developing into intense hurricanes. Federal government forecasters plan to release their prediction in late May.

Story continues below ↓

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The Colorado State team also predicted a busy hurricane season last year, which largely failed to materialize. Warm air driven by El Niño winds both arrived later and dissipated earlier than expected, essentially cutting off the fuel for hurricanes.

Gary Archibald, a forecaster with NBC WeatherPlus, said Dr. William Gray and his team of forecasters at the Tropical Meteorology Project were unlikely to get it wrong two years in a row.

“Dr. Gray is one of the leading forecasters in the world,” he said.

Archibald said the formation of La Niña winds over the Pacific was a bad sign. La Niña is a cooling of the mid-Pacific equatorial region; when those cool winds begin to sweep across the country and meet warm air from the Atlantic, the recipe for a series of hurricanes is in place.

“The ingredients are there” for a dangerous season, Archibald said. “The Pacific La Niña is starting to form, and in the Atlantic, we’re looking at very warm temperatures over the Atlantic and Caribbean.”

 

- Only 4 more months!!
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Wed, 28 Feb 2007 19:04:42 -0400

La Nina's Brewing, Forecasters Warn


Feb 27, 7:45 PM (ET)

By SETH BORENSTEIN

 

 

 

WASHINGTON (AP) - Forecasters warned Tuesday that a La Nina weather pattern - the nasty flip side of El Nino - is brewing, bringing with it the threat of more hurricanes for the Atlantic.

Officials at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced the official end of a brief and mild El Nino that started last year. That El Nino was credited with partially shutting down last summer's Atlantic hurricane activity in the midst of what was supposed to be a busy season.

"We're seeing a shift to the La Nina, it's clearly in the data," NOAA Administrator Conrad Lautenbacher said. La Nina, a cooling of the mid-Pacific equatorial region, has not officially begun because it's a process with several months with specific temperature thresholds, but the trend is obvious based on satellite and ocean measurement data, he said.

"It certainly won't be welcome news for those living off the coast right now," Lautenbacher said. But he said that doesn't mean Atlantic seaboard residents should sell their homes.

Forecasters don't know how strong this La Nina will be. However, it typically means more hurricanes in the Atlantic, fewer in the Pacific, less rain and more heat for the already drought-stricken South, and a milder spring and summer in the north, Lautenbacher said. The central plains of the United States tend be drier in the fall during La Ninas, while the Pacific Northwest tends to be wetter in the late fall and early winter.

Of special concern is west Texas which is already in a long-term drought, which during a La Nina will likely get worse, Lautenbacher said.

Historically, El Ninos and La Ninas are difficult to forecast, said National Center for Atmospheric Research senior scientist Michael Glantz, who studies how they effect humans.

"I don't see it as a useful forecast," Glantz said. "Every event since they've been looking at El Nino ... surprised scientists."

La Ninas tend to develop from March to June and reach peak intensity at the end of the year and into the next February, according to Vernon Kousky, NOAA's top El Nino/La Nina expert. La Nina winters tend to be warmer than normal in the Southeast and colder than normal in the Northwest.

Andrew Weaver, a meteorology professor at the University of Victoria in Canada, said NOAA's forecast looks good because the signs of a brewing La Nina are apparent just below the ocean's surface.

"La Nina is the evil twin sister of El Nino, so it's good or bad depending on where you live," Weaver said. However, in general La Ninas do not have as costly effects on humans as El Ninos do, he said.

The last lengthy La Nina, from 1998 to 2001, helped cause a serious drought in much of the West, according to NOAA drought specialist Douglas Lecomte.

"There are winners and losers, people tend to concentrate on the losers," Lautenbacher said.

---

On the Net:

NOAA's El Nino/La Nina page:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml

 

- Dec 28 07
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 26 Jan 2007 07:08:39 -0400

An incredibly beautiful day today.

Dolphin (Mahi Mahi) coming in in droves

- 2007
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 31 Dec 2006 21:23:17 -0400

THE BOYS IN THE BACKROOM CAN’T WAIT FOR JUNE

- MALTESE FALCON
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Dec 2006 09:06:29 -0400

CHECK  OUT THIS SITE—FOTOS OT THIS INCREDIBLE YACHT

http://www.flickr.com/photos/79371516@N00/

- Wild weather
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2006 08:03:48 -0400
We have been experiencing some very high winds and fairly low (nippy) temperatures. While there is still some clouds overhead, this morning there is a large patch of blue sky dotted with altocumulus clouds, very pretty as the sun rose.
I hope the large patch on the sat maps are moving away from us. This is a long weekend (holiday on the 11th) and I would love to visit the beach to relax. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- STORMY DAYS
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 21 Oct 2006 20:10:59 -0400
 It is  RAINY  DAYS  in Antigua just now!  Some roads  flooding  making driving  a bit tricky  and our  local "island ponds"  which were  dried up are now nearly full again!   The island is  very green due to all of the  rain.   But thank goodness no ill winds  with the rain!    Looks like  we  got through this  hurricane season in good shape! 
 
- rain
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 19 Oct 2006 19:25:41 -0400
Title: Message
rain kyan done
- WOW!
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Mon, 16 Oct 2006 21:33:54 -0400
Title: Message
INCREDIBLE LIGHTNING, THUNDER AND FANTASTIC RAIN THIS PM. FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. BARBUDA DRENCHED.
- Getting there...
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 13 Oct 2006 08:29:20 -0400
The clouds are parting and the blue sky the sun is appearing. It will probably be a very hot day. While we enjoyed the blessings that came upon us, I do enjoy my sunny weekends. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Dumped on...
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 12 Oct 2006 07:46:34 -0400
Starting about 6:30PM last night, we have been under a deluge of rain.
Very nice "bed weather" but most of us need to get out and get to work. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Rain
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 12 Oct 2006 07:15:08 -0400

Endless blessed rain. A little wind, much lightning. Married man”s weather they say.

- FLORENCE
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 10 Oct 2006 23:27:49 -0400
  
     MAYBE THERE IS A TUNE LEFT IN THE FAT LADY :




 http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_90.gif

Attachment: storm_90.url
Description: Binary data

- OCTOBER 8 1974
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 7 Oct 2006 19:55:26 -0400
Title: Message
OCTOBER 8TH 1974 WAS A FLAT CALM DAY HERE IN ANTIGUA. THE SEA WAS LIKE GLASS. AT 6:50 AM WE ALL HEARD WHAT SOUNDED LIKE A 747 JET COMING IN AT 50 FEET FROM THE NORTH, AND THEN....... ALL HELL BROKE LOOSE.  A MAGNITUDE 7.25 EARTHQUAKE SHOOK ALL OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. AFTERSHOCKS WENT ON FOR WEEKS. IT WAS 10 TIMES SCARIER THAN ANY HURRICANE I'VE BEEN THROUGH. NO MORE PLEASE.
AS FOR THIS YEAR'S STORMS, I THINK THE FAT LADY HAS SUNG HER LAST NOTE.
- nice rain yesterday...
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Wed, 04 Oct 2006 07:58:17 -0400
Just the mere thought of washing my pickup brought us some nice showers yesterday afternoon and some more late last night. So far today has been quiet but it is beginning to look like another wet day. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Overcast, cold , and damp
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Sep 2006 07:46:18 -0400
Again, looking at the US Navy sat map, looks like a concentrated cloud mass is passing over Barbuda. 

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?ACTIVES=06-IO-05B.NONAME,06-ATL-09L.ISAAC,06-WPAC-18W.XANGSANE,06-WPAC-91W.INVEST,06-WPAC-95W.INVEST,06-ATL-97L.INVEST&PHOT=yes&ATCF_BASIN=al&BASIN=ATL&NAV=tc&ATCF_YR=1&ATCF_FILE=1/&CURRENT=20060929.1115.goes12.x.vis1km_high.97LINVEST.20kts-1013mb-186N-623W.100pc.jpg&AGE=Latest&ATCF_NAME=al971&ATCF_DIR=1&YEAR=2006&YR=06&ACTION=Latest_Photos&ARCHIVE=active&MO=SEP&STORM_NAME=97L.INVEST&STYLE=tables&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&DISPLAY=Latest&DIR=/TC/tc06/ATL/97L.INVEST/vis/geo/1km_zoom&PRODUCT=vis&TYPE=vis&PROD=geo&SUB_PRODUCT=geo&SUB_SUB_PRODUCT=1km_zoom&SIZE=full
It is dark, damp and overcast but no significant shower activity in the north east. Going to be an interesting weekend. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Ominous horizon..
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 28 Sep 2006 07:46:50 -0400
Looking at the sat map, there is a big "splotch" just east of us. The sky is ominous, clouds are very grey and low, many lower than Boggy Peak (1310ft). There hasnt been any rain in the north and west this morning but you could see showers blessing the south and sotheast. I suspect there will be quite a bit of rain today off and on. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- georges
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 21 Sep 2006 22:22:24 -0400
Title: Message
8 YEARS AGO TOMORROW CAT 4 HURRICANE GEORGES HIT ANTIGUA--THE EYE CAME OVER THIS HOUSE--IT WAS TRULY TERRIFYING.
 
SO EVEN HURRICANE FREAKS LIKE MYSELF ARE NOT TOO UNHAPPY ABOUT BORING SEASONS LIKE THS ONE--HOPE I HAVEN'T SPOKEN TOO SOON
- TANTALUS
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 19 Sep 2006 01:11:50 -0400
Title: Message
WE'RE STILL HERE DAVE
- 17 09 06
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 17 Sep 2006 20:30:12 -0400

17 YEARS AGO TODAY HURRICANE HUGO SMASHED GUADELOUPE AND VIRTUALLY DESTROYED MONTSERRAT.

WE IN ANTIGUA WERE HIT AND IT WAS A  VERY LOUD WAKE-UP CALL FOR US—WITHOUT HUGO WE WOULD NEVER HAVE BEEN AS PREPARED AS WE WERE FOR LUIS IN 1995. HUGO WENT ON TO FLATTEN ST. CROIX AND LATER TO WALLOP CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

 

ALL QUIET OUT HERE.

- muggy and hot
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Sep 2006 09:01:50 -0400

Although the breeze has picked up a notch, last night
was calm and muggy. Again, the west coast was quite rough
yesterday.
Although the tracks all have HELENE moving more north of 
the Leewards, I am beginning to get a little twinge in
the midriff. We will certainly have to keep a watchful
eye on her!
Have a good weekend. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- 14. 9 .06
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 14 Sep 2006 07:04:04 -0400
Title: Message
All quiet here. Ocean is 86.3 f out in the deep.
- Volcano grit
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 10 Sep 2006 00:03:28 -0400
We are covered on the  east with VOLCANO ASH... Was out to  sea to view    the  full moon  tonight on my boat  (ok 2 nights  after full moon..  Still close!!  And  first wondered who dumped  SAND on my  boat deck..but   with this west  wind today  realize  we  are GETTING  ASH.. When i washed  the boat down realized this is what is   going on!          Odd things   these winds  do.. But  thank goodness  FLORENCE  blew away and seems the   system behind her  will do  the  same.... 
So far  we  are  so lucky in  Antigua... But SEPTEMBER   NOT  OVER>. And  as they  say ...
It is not over till the fat  lady sings!!
- Wind shift
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 09 Sep 2006 12:48:33 -0400
The wind has changed direction over the past 2-3 days.
Aircraft were taking off into a westerly direction yesterday.
It is quite rough on the normally calm west coast (Fort James etc) but 1/2 moon Bay was nice and flat calm this morning. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- THIRD WEEKEND OF SEPTEMBER ???
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 7 Sep 2006 17:20:44 -0400
Title: Message
"My next post will discuss the impending tropical wave action with one long
range computer model depicting major development over the Northern
Caribbean the third weekend in September. At least I know my generator
works!
 
DAVE"
 
DAVE, YOU'RE ONLY SAYING THAT TO KEEP OUR ATTENTION !!   IF SO IT'S WORKING.
- T.D. # 7 ???
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 5 Sep 2006 19:20:39 -0400
  
The message is ready to be sent with the following file or link attachments:

Shortcut to: http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_91.gif


Note: To protect against computer viruses, e-mail programs may prevent sending 
or receiving certain types of file attachments.  Check your e-mail security 
settings to determine how attachments are handled.

Attachment: storm_91.url
Description: Binary data

- ATLANTICUS MORTIFICATUS ?
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 2 Sep 2006 14:43:01 -0400
Title: Message
..
 
LOTSA BREEZE, A FEW SQUALLS, BUT THERE'S STILL HOPE ON THE HORIZON, VIZ :
 
 
.TROPICAL WAVES...
A NEW ERN ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ADDED TO THE 1200 UTC MAP ALONG
20W/21W S OF 17N MOVING W 15 TO 20 KT. CYCLONIC CURVATURE IS
SEEN IN LOW CLOUD MOTIONS ON VISIBLE IMAGERY...BUT THE MAIN
JUSTIFICATION FOR ADDING THIS WAVE LIES IN THE VEERING SEEN IN
THE LOW LEVEL WINDS IN THE DAKAR SOUNDING OVER THE LAST 24 TO
36HRS. CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED A FEW DEGREES OVER THE ASSOCIATED 
CLUSTER OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION THAT
MOVED OFF AFRICA LAST EVENING...THOUGH SCATTERED MODERATE STILL
LIES FROM 11N-16N BETWEEN 22W-25W. GFS SEEMS TO HAVE THIS
INITIALIZED FAIRLY WELL...THOUGH THE MODELS PLACEMENT IS
SLIGHTLY E OF MINE. THERE MAY BE A WEAK SURFACE LOW FORMING
ALONG THIS WAVE BUT MY CONFIDENCE IN THIS AT 1200 UTC WAS NOT
HIGH.
- overcast
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 02 Sep 2006 12:34:52 -0400
It is overcast with occasioinal showers although noe for the late morning. The wind has beenm up and down but pretty good sailing. We should have some fun today at Jolly Harbour. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- AFRICA
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 27 Aug 2006 19:42:59 -0400
Title: Message
JUST LOOKED AT THE SAT PICS OF AFRICA--COUPLE OF BAD BOYS HEADING FOR THE OCEAN!!
 
BY THE WAY, MY FRIEND TONY IN DOMINICA WILL NOT EVEN GO TO AN AIRPORT MUCH LESS FLY WITHOUT LOOKING AT STORM CARIB'S SAT PICS!!
- ATLANTICUS PACIFICUS
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 27 Aug 2006 19:12:57 -0400

All quiet out here. The Atlantic seems to have been pacified. Absolutely beautiful here. Check out my son’s fotos to see how we’ve been using the good weather at this

 

web site:   http://www.flickr.com/photos/79371516@N00/

 

We were with the dolphins yesterday—no fish tho. Ocean temperature between 81.1 f and 81.3 f.

 

Boys in the backroom complaining about voodoo meteorology.

 

- yuk
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Wed, 23 Aug 2006 18:11:55 -0400

FED UP WITH WIND AND DUSTY HAZE. IT’S AWFUL HOT. WE NEED SOME CLIMATOLOGICAL HOUSECLEANING.

 

THE BOYS HAVE NEARLY GIVEN UP ON GETTING SOME ACTION.

- Numero cuatro
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2006 16:56:19 -0400
TD #4 just formed in the Eastern Atlantic. This was a fast track storm, it is even threatening the Cape Verdes! 
Hmm, I hope that this is not a sign of things to come.

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Latest AFRICAN SAT
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 15 Aug 2006 09:09:12 -0400
 Big blob off African coast but lets hope  the projected path going  north and  away from ANYONE is  correct.  This is  the  time  we  really start watching the action with  SEPTEMBER  REMEMBER  being so true.   The rain showers we  are getting off and on are always welcome. 
- AUGUST 15TH ?
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 15 Aug 2006 07:26:21 -0400

THE BOYS IN THE BACKROOM SAY THAT IT CAN’T REALLY BE AUGUST 15TH WITH THE ATLANTIC LOOKING SO BORING.

- Vigorous wave?
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Wed, 09 Aug 2006 08:51:40 -0400
There is quite a spot off to the east of the southern Windwards and Barbados. 
It only seems to be a wave but it is very closed.
I havent seen much if any information on potential development etc. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- ALL QUIET OUT HERE
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 4 Aug 2006 21:37:09 -0400

BRISK WARM BREEZE—ALL QUIET

- SOUTH
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Wed, 2 Aug 2006 23:54:53 -0400
Title: Message
LOOKS LIKE CHRIS IS MOVING SOUTH
- like a thief in the night
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Wed, 02 Aug 2006 08:24:56 -0400

CHRIS passed by without much fanfare.
Not sure if I sleep that hard but I didnt not hear a puff of wind or any significant rain. It is overcast but you begin to see light hazy blue patches and a bit ao f sunlight peeking through occasionally. 
Good luck to our Bahamanian and US neighbours.

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- THAT ORANGE GLOW SUNSET
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Aug 2006 21:00:17 -0400
 ALAN MENTIONED  THIS   in his posting.. Wow  oh wow  was  it   super.. Check out the image below... Taken  from half moon bay just  before sunset... ....    A very  weird  sunset  color drew me  to the  horizon  and  as i followed  it   this   is  the photographic  truth of the  beauty... Be it  a storm on our step or  what....  Right now it is  very calm and  TREE FROGS  are  certainly singing  as  others  noted...   

Attachment: IMG_1232.JPG
Description: JPEG image

- all is calm
  • From: Alan B Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Aug 2006 19:13:16 -0400
It has stopped raining and we had a very beautiful yellow/orange sunset glow about 45 minutes ago. It is dead calm and a bit humid, the crickets and tree frogs are chirping away. 

Alan Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- JIZZLE
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Aug 2006 18:50:28 -0400
Title: Message
JUST SPOKE TO MY GOOD FRIEND MORRIS "TOMACK" NEDD ON BARBUDA. HE SAYS "JUST SOME JIZZLE AND A FEW SHOWERS" AND THE WIND NOT VERY STRONG FROM THE WEST.
WIND HERE FROM THE NORTH WEST 12-18 MPH.
TREE FROGS GOING BANANAS.
- Back ON THE ROCK
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Aug 2006 18:36:38 -0400
Just  came  back to Antigua from 2 weeks in Cayman islands on  big diving adventure.... where we  caught a couple of  tropical waves that  rocked our  boat  for  2 days!   And  now  back to  Antigua (the  "rock).... With  CHRIS on our  doorstep  bringing  badly needed  RAIN..  With some  thunder here on the  East coast...  Looking to  the  east it is  VERY  GRAY with heavy  clouds out there.   We   are  lucky, however, that   Antigua and  Barbuda    only getting the  edge of this as  it moves north.   Lets  hope our neighbors to the  north are  as lucky.   We  do  expect  so gusty winds  during the night  but nothing to serious.  This is  a  good  drill for us  to  remember  we need to be  ready  for "the  real thing'!    
- Wind has shifted
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 01 Aug 2006 15:44:37 -0400
Over the past 10 minutes the wind has shifted and is coming from the south west along with some rain. Nothing significant in terms of speed but gusty. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Grey and a little rain
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 01 Aug 2006 14:26:02 -0400
There was a shower a few minutes ago.
The sky is overcast and there is a large grey wall north-east of my location in Clare Hall out past the airport. The Antigua Met Office (www.antiguamet.com) has predicted winds between 18-25 knots for Antigua and 25-36 knots for Barbuda. 
Time to get out the Melges for a hell of a run ;-)

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Weather Conditions Starting to go Downhill
  • From: Rosalie Allen <sugarlips_2020 at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Aug 2006 11:14:38 -0700 (PDT)
It's getting a bit dark here in St. John's.  I just got a report from a friend in the eastern section of the island that they are having thunder and strong winds.

Rosie

Do you Yahoo!?
Next-gen email? Have it all with the all-new Yahoo! Mail Beta.
- CHRIS
  • From: "fullaw" <fullaw at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Aug 2006 12:06:33 -0400
ALL QUIET HERE. SLIGHT BREEZE FROM NORTH-WEST.
THAT DON,T FRAID WE.
- hazy with clouds floating around
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 01 Aug 2006 07:36:31 -0400
So far it is a pretty nice day. There is a bit of haze and clouds floating by, with pacthes of blue sky. If you looked at the sat map of Messr CHRIS, one would expect a bit more here but we will wait and see.
The atmosphere seemed to have coughed up this week. We have TS CHRIS in the ATL, Eight-E, TS Fabio and TS Prapiroon in the Pac. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- CRISP
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 1 Aug 2006 06:13:51 -0400

NEARLY FLAT CALM HERE. GOING TO BE AN INTERESTING DAY WITH THE BABY WOLF AT OUR DOOR.

- FAT LADY
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Mon, 31 Jul 2006 23:42:49 -0400

THE FAT LADY IS JUST CLEARING HER THROAT. THE SONG SHE IS GOING TO SING WILL LAST OVER 8 WEEKS.

 

THE BOYS IN THE BACKROOM LOVE FAT LADIES---ANY KIND OF LADIES AS A MATTER OF FACT.

- overcast and high winds..
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Jul 2006 13:56:10 -0400
We have been experiencing gusty conditions 15-25knots maybe more. 
It is overcast but no rain in the north as yet.

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- REVVED
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Jul 2006 07:38:41 -0400

LOOKS LIKE SOMEBODY SUDDENLY STEPPED ON THE GAS. ALL OF A SUDDEN THE ATLANTIC HAS COME ALIVE!!!

- blue skies with a bit of haze
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 20 Jul 2006 08:21:14 -0400
Another beautiful summer day although there was a heavy shower this morning but just to wet the leaves. 
It is going to be a scorcher.
I see Madame BERYL is fluttering her skirt at the US east coast. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- not ready yet
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Wed, 19 Jul 2006 07:20:37 -0400
Title: Message
a watched pot never boils
- Very hot
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 18 Jul 2006 14:01:23 -0400
A few scattered clouds about but it is a very hot day with blue sky and bright sunshine. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- sun is back out but...
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 18 Jul 2006 07:49:56 -0400
The sun is once again shining brillianly but this morning at apprximately 5:40AM, we had some thunder and quite a bit of rain. I was still under the covers so I cannot comment on the lightning but the dogs were gong nuts and some thunder claps were quite loud rattling the louvres. 

Blue sky, white clouds and again, the sun is back out.

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- visibility back
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 14 Jul 2006 07:42:15 -0400
Visibility is back to the horizon but still very gray.
Will keep you posted.

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Gray and rain...
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 14 Jul 2006 07:35:06 -0400
For the past two days it has been raining off and on. I was hoping with the passing of that weather system we would see some sunshine today. It doesnt seem as if that is going to happen this morning. The skies just opened up and visibility is down to about 6 miles. I am hoping that we will see a break later this afternoon. It always seems to rain on the weekend and clear up just in time for work on Monday :-( 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- BLOWZ
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 9 Jul 2006 20:35:17 -0400

25-35 MPH WINDS HERE NOW

LIGHTNING, THUNDER & RAIN

- STORM CARIB'S 2006 DELUXE MODEL-ONE STOP SHOP
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 9 Jul 2006 07:39:03 -0400

THE NEW MAPS ARE WICKED

- ?
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 8 Jul 2006 23:02:24 -0400
Title: Message
VERY INTERESTINK STUFF SWIRLING OUT EAST
- Nice weather...
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 06 Jul 2006 10:01:47 -0400
Hi,
Over the last few including the weekend we have had some lovely weather. Saturday was sunny, and went to a few beaches. Other than that, the occasional shower but lots of sunshine. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- WAVE
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Mon, 3 Jul 2006 18:22:02 -0400

25-35 KTS GUSTS HERE IN FRONT OF THE LEADING SQUALLS

- 2.7.06
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 2 Jul 2006 10:21:36 -0400

As no one wants to start for the 2nd July I’ll put 2 cents worth in.

Lovely weather here. All is green from last week’s rains. King fish are biting for the new moon but not much else.

The boys in the backroom did get washed in the rain and now are at least approachable.

My wife and I were able to get some of the seeds of the only flowering Talipot palm on the island 2 weeks ago and they are already shooting roots!! We have about 100 of them!!

All eyes to the east. The waves come off Africa like clockwork and march west like footsoldiers.

- Rain and overcast...
  • From: Alan Scholl <scholla at candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 29 Jun 2006 07:42:49 -0400
Hi all,
It is that time again! For the past two days it has been gray and overcast with some scattered showers. Last night, the heavens opened up around 8PM and it rained torrentially for about two hours in the St.Johns area.
I haven't observed any rain this morning thus far but it is still gray and gloomy. 

Alan B Scholl
www.digitalphoto.ag
- Fizzle and Drizzle
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 13 Jun 2006 23:26:00 +0000
Ever since the downpour early this morning, we haven't had much rain for the 
entire afternoon, just a few drizzles. The convections seems to be undergoing a 
minima towards nightfall(now that is). Maybe, hopefully, the Diurnal maximum 
should bring back a few bursts of showers and thunderstorms later tonight and 
early tomorrow, but the wave is moving away quite fast. The wind have also died 
down a bit, just about 10 knots now. A trade surge is however expected by 
tomorrow and some gusts can take place during showers. Seas moderate at 6ft now 
(a bit rough this morning). And...the Atlantic currently hold two healthy 
tropical waves. One near 36'W has a swirl to its cloud structure but not well 
organized, another wave was just introduced near 23'W with well defined 
structure. mmh..quite potent.
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- soupy
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 13 Jun 2006 17:26:56 -0400
Title: Message
cool breeze under brer lion's nether parts.
nice showers, some good gusts.
empty cisterns replenished.
active out east!!
anti-hurricane fitness not to peak too early
 
boys in the back getting scrubbed.
- Rain, Rain, finally more rain
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 13 Jun 2006 14:57:05 +0000
We have had .48 inch of rain near St. John's between 12 midnight and 7 am this 
morning and is expecting more through out the day. Sad to say,these precious 
rain will be gone by tomorrow afternoon or night. Also, the weather was fairly 
stormy this morning with a few thunders, lightning and finally squalls. We had 
a 37 mph wind gust round 6:00 this morning and another 40 mph gust just came 
through a few minutes ago. It's beginning to look like the classic summer here 
while up in the north, Florida is bracing for their first storm of the season, 
Alberto. Well, it did surprise some forecasters by the burst of strenghtening 
yesterday to near hurricane force and it almost scared some residence shitless, 
but it's back to its usual self now. Will keep you updated, all the best.
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- YESTERDAY
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Mon, 12 Jun 2006 19:35:38 -0400
GOOD FISHING YESTERDAY. SEA WAS CALM. HEAVY SHOWER IN THE NIGHT. WIND IS
UP TODAY.
MY PAL ALLAN RELEASED THIS FISH. TROPICAL WAVE COMING UP FROM THE SOUTH.

HOPE FOR MORE RAIN.
MANY MARLIN ABOUT.

Attachment: Fishin 5 13 003.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Alberto
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 11 Jun 2006 17:53:52 +0000
Well...the first tropical storm of the season reveals itself rather in a 
tattered manner. A large part of the center(~75%) is literally cloud free! That 
dosen't sound to good for the system especially when the environment is getting 
more hostile by the hour. By the look of it, Alberto would not survive for long 
unless it becomes extra-tropical(its only option actually).
And finally, Antigua is getting rain that we're waiting for the past couple of 
months, much needed rain which stopped as I type(only lasted for 15 minutes). 
But the sky remains cloudy, I just hope we will get more. The temperature has 
cooled down a lot since an hour ago currently 31 degree C. The sun is peeking 
out now, darn...
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- TD# 1
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 10 Jun 2006 16:53:17 +0000
There's been only a slight change in appearance of the overall structure of the 
low pressure system lastnight. Locating the center of the depression was 
somewhat tricky last evening especially when I'm unable to secure an update of 
the QuikScat data. The convection is a little bit more concentrated this 
morning near the northeastern quadrant. But the majority of the center is void 
of strong convection with strong winds confined mainly to the northern 
semi-circle. Visible, Water Vapour images and QuikScat data allow for an easier 
identification of the center this morning as shown in the images attached. The 
first one is a standard IR with QuikScat analysis superimposed, you can see the 
stronger winds(larger number of strokes on the main rod, the wind direction is 
blowing towards the stroke free end of the rod.) to the northeast though some 
data may be contaminated by rain. The depression is expected to strenghten into 
a tropical storm(the first one for this season) later tonight or early tomorrow 
morning before moving into the Gulf region where it may encounter some shear(up 
to 25kts is possible). Then again, if it move more to the west rather than 
recurving, it can encounter less shear. How I wish this storm is over us right 
now. We really needed some lengthy rain spells in Antigua. Everywhere is so dry 
down here! We haven't had some good rain for months!
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Attachment: TD01a01.JPG
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: TD01a02.JPG
Description: JPEG image

- DRY,ARID,PARCHED,WHATEVER.
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 9 Jun 2006 19:25:39 -0400
Title: Message
NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN INNEARLY 5 MONTHS!!   THE ISLAND IS BROWN.  CAN'T WAIT FOR A COUPLE OF GOOD STRONG TROPICAL WAVES TO GET
 
HERE.  MORE WATER RATIONING NOW THAN IN THE LAST 10 YEARS.
 
WILL NEED SALT WATER SOAP FOR THE BOYS IN THE BACKROOM'S MID-YEAR BATH IF I CAN GET THEM THE 500 FEET TO THE BEACH.
 
- Tropical Depression #1 imminent...for now.
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 9 Jun 2006 21:56:17 +0000
Hey, it's probably gonna be the first tropical cyclone for the 2006 hurricane 
season. A low pressure near the Cayman Islands is getting better organized as 
it drift northward. It has all the signs of developing into a depression within 
the next 12-24 hours. The two Convective Enhanced images taken at 8:00am and 
4:00pm respectively are shown here. You can see the convective structure 
starting to develop into a swirl and the cold cloud tops(white area) persists 
through-out the day with bursts here and there. If a strong one develops over 
the center, NHC is going to declare it a tropical cyclone. So far, sea surface 
temperature remain warm in the area (the yellow and green regions in the first 
image is actually an embedded thermal imagery of the sea surface temperature: 
yellow- 29C, bright green- 28C, green- 27C and dark green- <27C.) and ahead of 
the disturbance. Upper level wind shear is decreasing (currently about 5-10 
knots) so it will favor the storm's development, but an area slightly ahead of 
the disturbance remains high(20+ knots). If the system move into this area 
before it slackens, it will affect the storm's development. Given the system's 
current forward speed, there is a good chance it will develop into a depression 
before moving through this area of shear. Well, that's another storm in June 
just like last year. I wonder how this season's going to work out. Going for my 
math book, all the best...
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Attachment: DevSTM02SST-IR.JPG
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: DevSTM02bCE.JPG
Description: JPEG image

- Lightning phenomena???
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 8 Jun 2006 02:19:32 +0000
You have heard about cloud to ground and cloud to cloud lightning but have you 
ever heard about cloud to space lightning...? Here is one seen on Jupiter!
_________________________________________________________________
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Attachment: jupiter-f1.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Hurricane season
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Jun 2006 13:19:49 -0400
We are into the  5th  day of  hurricane season  -  expected to be an active one, as we know... So let's all get ready.    Meanwhile, as  John mentioned,  there is a big lobby here  to try to change our governments vote on pro whaling with   Japan.  It is very discouraging as it seems the  whales are going to lose.     Please see:
 
 
- Hurricane Season 2006
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 2 Jun 2006 20:52:52 +0000
Hey, happy Hurricane season! It's back again in the blink of an eye. Hopefully 
we will have a calmer season this year. Right now, all fronts are calm except 
for a little skirmish going on down south near Colombia. A low center has 
developed and is moving northwest out into open water. Nothing to worry about 
though. Upper level wind is not all too favorable at the moment. We'll keep you 
updated.
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- Emailing: 79371516 at N00
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 27 May 2006 18:43:40 -0400
  The marlin was caught by my son yesterday. Fought  2  more today for 1
1/2 hours each. Lost both.  Go to attached site.




The message is ready to be sent with the following file or link
attachments:

Shortcut to: http://www.flickr.com/photos/79371516 at N00/


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Attachment: 79371516 at N00.url
Description: Binary data

- MERRY MONTH OF MAY
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 26 May 2006 07:16:21 -0400

THE BOYS IN THE BACKROOM ARE STIRRING. THIS TIME LAST YEAR THEIR BEDDING (OLD CARDBOARD BOXES) WAS MOLDY AND SOGGY FROM ALL THE RAIN WE HAD FOR THE YEAR. NOW IT’S LIKE TINDER. WE’VE HARDLY HAD ANY RAIN FOR THE YEAR.

OF COURSE ITS’S HAZY AS USUAL FOR MAY WITH SAHARA DUST BUT STILL NO SIGN OF RAIN. THE BOYS ARE AWAITING THE SHOWERS FOR THEIR SEMI ANNUAL BATH.

THE WEATHER HAS BEEN TOO GOOD AND THE WINDS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN ESPECIALLY LIGHT FOR THE YEAR. GOOD FOR FISHING BUT THE KITE AND WIND SURFERS HAVE SUFFERED.SOME OF THE BOYS WERE GOING TO TRY KITESURFING BUT WITH NO MEDICAL INSURANCE DECIDED AGAINST IT.

 

THE INTERNATIONAL WHALING COMMISSION MEETS IN A FEW WEEKS IN ST. KITTS AND WE FEAR THAT JAPAN HAS BOUGHT OUT SUFFICIENT CARIBBEAN AND OTHER SMALL STATES TO OBTAIN A MAJORITY AND VOTE FOR THE RESUMPTION OF BARBAROUS COMMERCIAL WHALING WORLDWIDE .WE NEED TO LET OUR POLITICIANS KNOW THAT WE WILL NOT TOLERATE THIS SELL OUT OF OUR SOULS THE BOYS IN THE BACKROOM ARE CONTEMPLATING DIRECT ACTION.

- Montserrat Eruption
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 May 2006 21:23:17 +0000
Here are some SAT images from the eruption yesterday. The plume of ash cloud rising to 55000 ft was visible from Antigua. The first image was taken shortly after the dome collapse where the round top of the ash plume can be clearly seen. This was also visible on IR-images yesterday as an extremely intense cold cloud top at FL550 and lower level continuous emission at FL250-FL350. The second image was taken this morning showing continued emission of ash and gas moving northwest at near 30kt.
Good thing the event is not a long lasting one.
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Description: JPEG image

Attachment: soufVolMONT.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- MONTSERRAT VOLCANO
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 20 May 2006 10:58:56 -0400
There has been  more  activity with the Montserrat Volcano erupting.. It has been on our  radio this morning with  activity today!    For more info of recent activity check out the  site below  
 
Meanwhile,  only  11 days until THE  START OF HURRICANE SEASON
We will  be watching and  will keep you  informed on activities in the islands!
- STORMY!
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 May 2006 04:02:49 +0000
This afternoon suddenly turn dark-cloudy with a thunder cell rolling over northern section of Antigua. Just a few hours ago(5:00 PM LOCAL), we got multiple waterspouts forming just off the St. John's bay and Fort James vicinity. At least three of them were observed whirling towards the north-east. One of the waterspouts observed was at least 70 meters wide at the base and about 800 meters high connecting the sea to the cloud base in a majestic display. This one eventually stretched out into a long slanted thin line before breaking apart leaving a funnel cloud churning away. The entire outbreak lasted for about 45 minutes accompanied by relentless lightning and thunders finally capped by a heavy shower. Sorry guys, I would have posted some pics if I got my digital camera with me. It is a very interesting sight given that tornadoes and waterspouts rarely form this close to St. John's.
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- MAY 06
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 7 May 2006 19:42:42 -0400
Title: Message
WONDERFUL WEATHER FOR WEEKS NOW
CALM WINDS AND SEAS,PERFECT FOR CAMPING ON BARBUDA OR, EVEN BETTER, FOR FISHING.HAD A TREMENDOUS MAHI MAHI RUN THIS YEAR BUT IT SEEMS THAT ITS OVER NOW.
YESTERDAY ONE WAHOO 55LBS AND A DOUBLE HEADER OF BLUE MARLIN-LOST THE LATTER 2 AFTER MUCH TAILWALKING ETC....
TODAY ONE WAHOO 60LBS. WAHOO MEDALLIONS FOR DINNER!
SEA TEMP RANGED FROM 80.8 TO 81 DEGREES F.OUT IN THE FAR DEEP. WARMER INSHORE.
VERY LOCALIZED RAIN ALBEIT HEAVY FROM HEAT CLOUDS.
 
READY FOR THE SEASON??
- broke back
  • From: "john fuller" <fullerj at candw.ag>
  • Date: Tue, 2 May 2006 19:10:19 -0400
Title: Message
DON'T FIX WHAT'S NOT BROKEN
 
- ANTIGUA CLASSIC RACE EVENT
  • From: "Martha Watkins Gilkes" <gilkesm at candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Apr 2006 08:31:27 -0400
The week has  been  beautiful weather in Antigua and the  sea has been very flat and calm.
 
This weekend is  the  start of  the   19th  ANTIGUA CLASSIC RACE EVENT... With these  beautiful old  classic yachts  racing  ( largest is over  200 feet)!  Stand by for  some photos  and  this is the  site to learn more  for  those nautically oriented! 
- !!!GREEEETINGS TO ALL!!!
  • From: "Allan D" <top_shatta_ad2002 at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 17 Apr 2006 03:02:21 +0000
It's a very BLUE day in beautiful Antigua. There is the occasional calming breeze sweeping the face with a touch of cool tranquility. A few patches of cloud in the distance with a couple of short sharp showers is the entree for the day. It's good to know what Paradise felt like. I hope it is the same for our brethrens in the other islands.
Temperature is a bit warm here in the upper 80s. Somewhat similar to last year at this time in terms of temperature. Except for the breeze, not a good sign at all.
I could only give my best wishes to the other islanders and mainlanders in the region and hope that we are better prepared for whatever comes our way this time. Again, All the Best!

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