- Updates from the Islands -

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- - - 2000 Hurricane Season - - -

- Belize
  • From: "Victor Vivoni" <vvivoni AT coqui.net>
  • Date: Mon, 2 Oct 2000 07:15:17 -0300
Keith is really creating havoc to our Caribbean neighbors in Belize, especially at San Pedro. Our heart is with them. There is an active message board from there at http://ambergriscaye.com/cgi-bin/forumdisplay.cgi?action=topics&forum=Hurricane+Information&number=2&DaysPrune=20&LastLogin= 
Connection is possible through http://ambergriscaye.com

- Joyce
  • From: "Victor Vivoni" <vvivoni AT coqui.net>
  • Date: Sat, 30 Sep 2000 11:45:54 -0300
Satellite loops show that what seems to be the center of circulation is south of 10N and tracking WSW, towards Venezuela!
There also seems to be westerly shearing.
If this trend continues Joyce could miss the islands, and possibly weaken further (it was blowing at 40mph at 11:00 AST, 1005mB). Should it make landfall in South America, this would be a very rare event and we could probably wave good-bye!
Good luck.

  • From: "luis albelo garcia" <logarcia AT prtc.net>
  • Date: Fri, 29 Sep 2000 21:36:40 -0400
Greetings from the Cote d'Sur, area of Ponce, Puerto Rico. As a preliminary Report, I would like to touch on a very weather-related topic we seldom focus upon: Landslides. Several years ago, the Ponce area suffered a devastating landslide that literally soffocated dwellers in their own homes, as the top of a community of houses on a hillside slid onto the homes below. We have to congratulate the local authorities for heeding the citizens observations when ruts unlike gullies were seen around hill top houses. The situation came-about due to several weeks of almost daily rainy deluges that saturated the country sides on the slopes approaching the higher grounds leading into the mountain area just North of Ponce. What may have brought about these perilous conditions? The "human touch!" Excavations without geological opinions or surveys. Like Mrs. Lady Bird Johnson, the ex-first Lady, "Puerto Rico is looking like a "concrete jungle!. And if you study her statement in depth - concrete is being poured onto land fills, and what do you get! Trouble in the making. Felt I should bring this weather related thought to surface, so we can spread the word - the thought - about construction on the Islands, where we are not only menaced by Hurricanes, but also the ravages of Man's doings to the Environment. Luis.

- Joyce
  • From: "Victor Vivoni" <vvivoni AT coqui.net>
  • Date: Thu, 28 Sep 2000 18:16:53 -0300
There's a high in the mid-Atlantic pushing Joyce towards the south: http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh3.html (Isaac is really impressive!)
Computer models, however, predict that Joyce will return to the WNW after 50W, which is bad news for us.
Let's hope these predictions are wrong and that she will continue this WSW track. If so, South Americans should keep an eye on this one.

- Correction
  • From: "Victor Vivoni" <vvivoni AT coqui.net>
  • Date: Wed, 27 Sep 2000 05:39:35 -0300
It's not Gert's prediction, but GFDL's. Sorry, Gert.
Right now it's raining in Arecibo. We've had 2 very welcome inches since last night.This is due to a strong wave over the northern
Caribbean (future Keith?).

- Joyce
  • From: "Victor Vivoni" <vvivoni AT coqui.net>
  • Date: Wed, 27 Sep 2000 05:25:22 -0300
At 05:00AM AST Joyce was apparently taking a slight WNW turn.
Let's hope Gert's prediction turns out to be the correct one!
She's expected to become a minimal hurricane today.
If history is a determinant, we have a 50% chance of being missed (or hit). http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200014_climo.html
Eyes open!

- The world
  • From: "Victor Vivoni" <vvivoni AT coqui.net>
  • Date: Sun, 24 Sep 2000 08:24:17 -0300
Check this out. http://rsd.gsfc.nasa.gov/goese/autogvar/goes8/full_earth/latest/color.jpg
Pretty impressive,huh?
Isaac looks BIG!
Helene seems to rebuild.
What about the mess in South America?

- Isaac
  • From: "Victor Vivoni" <vvivoni AT coqui.net>
  • Date: Sat, 23 Sep 2000 17:58:41 -0300
At 5:00 PM AST  Isaac was estimated to have sustained winds of 100 mph!!
The bar. press. dropped from 992 to 980 in 6 hrs.!!
It was 2131 miles from Puerto Rico, traveling at 12 mph, which would make
its unwelcome arrival in  AT  7 days, possibly as a cat. 3 or 4 monster.
Lets hope it continues on a WNW track and miss the islands to the north.

Older reports can be found on another page.

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