NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
715 PM EDT Tue May 22 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A broad surface low centered just east of Belize is producing a
large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern
Caribbean Sea across Cuba and into the Florida peninsula. Little
development is expected during the next couple of days due to strong
upper-level winds and proximity to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.
However, gradual subtropical or tropical development is possible
late this week while the system moves slowly into the central or
eastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible across western Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and
much of Florida during the next several days. For more information
on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local
weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this
system will be issued by 800 AM EDT on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.