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- Sunrise - A New Spirit -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2015 03:11:02 -0400



- Sunrise Tomorrow - A New Day / A New Spirit -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Aug 2015 00:10:03 -0400
D'go,T&T, W.I.
27th/08/15
11:50 p.m.

Four (04) hours after the complete passage of Erika',
should bring us, by my reckoning, to sunrise. And the sun will rise.
We are being helped as I type and once again, health permitting, 
I will be up all night. Tangible relief efforts begin with each and 
everybody's help at sunrise in the morning!!!

Tonight, we have got to plan. Before we prepared.
Tonight we do a stock check and a stop check,
because tomorrow,
"Once I remembered shoveling for 10 hours straight."

High Energy Work without Planning, is counter-productive and Panic.

Re-establish communications, don't help without verification and compliance.
Beef-up tools and equipment. Re-enforce rules and laws. 

Whatever is the individual plan, have backup, rest and relief available 
or don't start without help or on your own. Don't make a bad situation, worse.

Standing by




- Please, don't venture (out or anything), ... !!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Aug 2015 10:41:27 -0400
Listen to The Authorities, ....
Don't despair or Panic but PRAY ,  . . . .
Stay indoors at all costs, ..., - BUT ASK FOR HELP -
Stay indoors until 4 hours after the complete passage of the storm.
If sequestered, move to an emergency shelter without complaining or 
criticizing.but be  proactive and complimentary.

Nothing is important now, ( imagine toxicity around you ), nothing 
but your breathing, heart beat and blood circulation is important.

Boil water or add chlorine. Ask authorities?
Leave fallen fruits and dead animals alone.

Feel free to safeguard children and less fortunate.

God Bless !!!

Not everyone is qualified to deal with this. Understand that !

- Solidarity
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Aug 2015 08:09:31 -0400
I am here.
and
I will be here,

Till everybody is safe and sound.


Attachment: 515am 27th aug.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- To: Dominica
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Aug 2015 04:55:04 -0400
Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Martinique,
St. Lucia and St. Vincent, you are not left out!!!!!

Dominica the centre is passing over you instant.

It appears an eye will form on the western exit area off Dominica.

FOR NOTHING IN THE WORLD

GO OUTSIDE WHEN THE CENTRE PASSES.

That's where the wind is, ...



- PRAY - Impact - PRAY
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Aug 2015 01:08:51 -0400
I will be up all night praying and watching.

I am definitely invited to help afterwards.

It is much more organised,
I would say just less than hurricane strength.
An allegory to give you advice will be, ...
"All who were under stormwatch
are now under storm warning
with Impact underway."

Pray, pray, Pray, .....

Attachment: 27th aug 0015am.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Scattered Notes and Summary -
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 25 Aug 2015 20:58:34 -0400
2015 - 08 - 25th. Tuesday
T'dad & T'bgo, W.I.
20:35 (8:35) p.m.

Good Night, Good Day, Good Everything,
to We People of Paradise,

This is two part but all is a scattered summary of effects and affects, ....
(Which in no way I deserve the courtesy of Dave and Gert,
along with my much admired ladies like Martha and Isabel, ....)
Please donate, ....

- Anyhow one takes it the seas will be dangerous. (Yes, I used the word dangerous.)
- We can't thank God fully as yet for 'Danny' because he cleared up SAL,
WHICH IS BAD - for 'Erika' and the others.
- This is not 'Danny'.
a) It's survival chances are much greater and deadlier.
b) It is bigger and if it slows down. God help down the road.
c) The dwarfs and feeder bands are more pronounced.

Talking about feeder bands,
I base the rest of my input on an outlandish supposition, ...

It inverted (as hurricanes do when they exit the ITCZ) at 50 W.
outside of the ITCZ. This must mean something?
The tail or feeder bands turned from SE. to  NW. and are now
North to South. or trying to be, depending on eventual direction / path.

It could slow down.
It is trying to form the eye after inversion.
It will not stay the same. Either break up or get more organised.

Then again who knows,

"Don't count your grapes when they are in the wine-press."



Attachment: Erika effects on Impact.gif
Description: GIF image


- Stay Indoors and Await Word from The Authorities !!!!!!
  • By Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 22 Aug 2015 21:54:53 -0400

[Eastern Caribbean Interests] :

If you follow the very graphical representation of 'Danny' attached,

you will see, .....
ALL EASTERN CARIBBEAN INTERESTS SHOULD GO INDOORS
and await word from the authorities, ... !!!!!!!!!!

- It is now headed due west.
- It's moisture has reached.
- Breaking up into feeder bands for the next three days 
means it has enlarged.



Attachment: rbtop_lalo-animated.gif
Description: GIF image


- Update -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 14 Aug 2015 08:39:23 -0400
Please receive the two attachments.

Precipitation for all of The Eastern Caribbean.

Hazards for St. Vincent, Dominica and Tobago.

Impact!

Attachment: 14th aug 545am.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: 14th aug 745am.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Hot Hot Hot!!
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 13 Aug 2015 04:45:39 +0000

San Juan 

Trinidad


Good Morning to all,

These days in Trinidad I have to say have been extremely hot and sticky with high humidity levels. Please make sure and drink lots of water throughout the day and keep cool. Looking at the satellite map we can see more dry conditions for the forecast in Trinidad and Tobago. Lots of dry air as well. This proves that's its been a slow start to the hurricane season.  But we got still keep our eyes open.


Regards,

S Abouhamad


- Another one in train, ...
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 12 Aug 2015 17:26:55 -0400
Petit Valley, Diego Martin,
Trinidad & Tobago, W.I.
2015-08-12th. Wed.
17:20 (5:20) p.m.

Here again, People of Paradise,

We have another blob in train. It's of note because
it's exiting the ITCZ at 50 W. 10 N. at 2:00 p.m. today.

It's barely discernible just like the others.
It is bombarded with SAL (dry air) just like the others.
It is barely visible because of the jet stream.

However as we know I write as best as possible 
when it's 36 hrs. away.

(Haven't taken of my boots as yet!)

God Bless






- Just for Southerly Islands
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 9 Aug 2015 16:58:27 -0400
Well People of Paradise
the last blob sure did fizzle out after reinvigorating a dry scene.

Trinidad and Tobago and maybe a few more can expect 
similar weather, (more rain), tomorrow. Maybe early tomorrow.

This is due to a combination of factors,
including the jet stream.
(Ever wondered what happened to all that moisture it dispersed.)

Leaves me to say what goes around, comes around.

God bless

- Impact - 48 hrs. -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 6 Aug 2015 11:39:09 -0400
People of Paradise,

Please don't focus on me or my posts, or satellite images,
or fashionable conversation, panic buying, denial or over optimism.

Preparing to protect life and limb is or should be a daily routine 
to teach, as much as catching a fish. Dangers are part of life.

It is not paranoia.

It is a tradition of our forefathers that has to handed down.

It is the history of survival.

God bless

Attachment: 00 UTC August 05 2015.gif
Description: GIF image

Attachment: 4th august 215pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: 06th august 200am.gif
Description: GIF image

Attachment: 6th august 1015 am.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Four Pics of Fauna and Additional Confirmation
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 4 Aug 2015 15:12:40 -0400
Please receive four photos to add to previous posts.

[Notice the Longitude and Latitude.]
[The one previous also dipped south twice.]

Attachment: 4th august 215pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: IMG-20150729-WA0044.jpg
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Attachment: IMG-20150729-WA0045.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: IMG-20150729-WA0046.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Trying to Understand - SAL (+ High-Level Affects in Global Warming)
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 4 Aug 2015 05:39:09 -0400
People of Paradise,

Can you imagine we are in August of the year 2015.
It's 5:15 a.m. and everyone expects another normal sunny day in Paradise.
My one and only child if she lives to over 100 years old will survive three centuries.

Well folks, sad to say, it is not so.
Yesterday besides 'Saragossa' weed making the Tobago beaches unbathable,
We had rain, maybe on and off, but disruptive rain out of nowhere whole day.
I wonder if mosquitoes are planning a new chemical warfare attack.
Animals and birds that were in deep forests before, cross the streets and 
are in plates, if not pets.
We don't only have drought, nobody is able to give a clear forecast.
I could go on but will end by saying,
"Marine life was the first to go."

There is a blob with already spin and adequate moisture exiting the ITCZ
after 40 W. Longitude which is a decisive time.
In addition: - The route of this blob in 36 - 72 hrs. is clearing up of SAL.
- Normally blobs are surrounded by SAL. The SAL that affected this blob so far 
is now surrounded by moisture. 
- After 40 W. if it breaks ITCZ, spin or no spin, it's a refreshing blob.

God Bless

- Weak Tropical Blob - Tonight and Tomorrow
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 29 Jul 2015 15:23:01 -0400
A weak,
rapidly moving
but 
hazardous
blob is going to affect us. (instant).

It should not be underrated
and though not clearly visible
will affect the entire eastern Caribbean.

Stay safe and sound

Attachment: 29th july 245pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Kick 'em Jenny alert lowered to Yellow
  • From: Katy Young <katy at sbms.co.tt>
  • Date: Sun, 26 Jul 2015 11:38:20 -0400

Kick 'em Jenny alert lowered to Yellow
NADMA Press Release - Kick 'em Jenny Alert Lowered to Yellow
Jul.26.2015

NATIONAL DISASTER MANAGEMENT AGENCY (NaDMA) Grenada - The Seismic Research Centre (SRC), University of the West Indies has reported that the activity levels at the Kick-‘em-Jenny under water Volcano has reduced significantly during the last 48 hours. Since 6:00 p.m., on Saturday July 25th, no activity was recorded.

On Saturday, July 25th at around 5:50 p.m., a team including a Volcanologist from the SRC, Grenada’s Acting National Disaster Coordinator, and a camera person, participated in a fly over of the Kick-‘em-Jenny area by helicopter. The volcanologist, Dr. Frederic Dondin, who has conducted extensive research on Kick-‘em-Jenny, concluded, after his observations, that there was absolutely nothing unusual in the area.

Based on the above findings, and given the fact that the activity levels at Kick-‘em- Jenny has diminished, the Government of Grenada, based on the advice of the SRC has lowered the alert level to YELLOW with immediate effect.

The YELLOW alert level means that vessels should observe a 1.5 km exclusion zone. However, as a precautionary measure, the marine community is advised to continue observing the 5 km exclusion zone.


Stay safe all

Katy


- Touch-down, ....
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 20 Jul 2015 08:46:09 -0400
Well folks,

The dust-buster blob has touched down,
at least the outskirts of it,
at 7:12 a.m. in Trinidad and Tobago.

Tonight is going to be 'wet'.

We are having intermittent showers,
non-hazardous in nature presently.

God bless

Attachment: 20th july 745am.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Blob Moving Across The Atlantic
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 17 Jul 2015 03:21:04 +0000

Trinidad and Tobago


Good Night To All,


Its been a while since I posted but there is something that grabbed our attention. A couple hundred miles away from the Caribbean is the first real sign of Tropical activity as a Tropical Wave has a low pressure system and its slowly gathering strength. The National Hurricane Center is giving this wave a 10% chance for further development. Its something for all countries to keep an eye at as the wave shows signs of getting stronger. Hope all is well and enjoying the C.P.L throughout the Caribbean.


Shout out to my #Favorite French Girl Petula from Dominica (From Mr Trini)


Regards,

Stephen and Michael Abouhamad


- Semi-Significant Blob - (8 - 48 hrs.) -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 16 Jul 2015 03:52:33 -0400
Petit Valley, Diego Martin,
Trinidad & Tobago, W.I.
2015-07-15th. Thu.
03 : 30 a.m.

People of Paradise,

The much-needed and much-anticipated moisture/precipitation
should have reached some localities already. My analyses
while only are for Trinidad & Tobago, incorporate, by nature,
islands lower than Guadeloupe and up to The ABC islands.

We have had quite a crop of mangoes and guavas and paw-paws,
and even though more fortunate in the rain department,
the month long ripening of the golden apples which never ripened
keep us close to our drought-stricken neighbours.

One can easily generalize and say,
Global-Warming still exists even though,
atmospheric patterns are normalizing
and are more predictable in the norm.

It's much too early, but about 5 days away at 38 W. Longitude
There is a blob which will be the strongest yet
to battle SAL and wind-shear.
I am predicting discernible circular motion at 58 W. in 5 days time.
While it is too early to even do what I just did;
The fact is, the biggest one is 5 days away.
(And it's not going to turn south.)

Keep your boots on and umbrellas handy
while helping the less fortunate,
God Bless





Attachment: 15th july 645pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- The subsequent post ( of three threatening blobs) -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 6 Jul 2015 13:25:21 -0400
The main part of what I experienced and spoke about before
has reached the eastern Caribbean.

While tempered by SAL (Dry Air) and high level currents,
it is my experienced opinion it's still hazardous.

We have a mixture of whiteout and blackout for two days now!

Maintain vigilance, ....

Attachment: 6th july 1245pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Pre-Cursor to Circular Movement - 12 - 48 hrs. - albeit SAL
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 5 Jul 2015 04:23:02 -0400
Petit Valley, Diego Martin,
Trinidad & Tobago, W.I.
2015-07-05th Sun.
04 : 05 a.m.

Belated, 4th July, People of Paradise,

Independence Day this year is noteworthy for the fact that,
females are in the forefront and are becoming more and more independent.
And the voice of minority groups are gaining representation more and more.

A forward-progression blessing, ....

At 1:45am. tonight, I woke to see if outside was flooding.
Not being sensational at all, in the true vein of disturbances,
it came out of nowhere. Or rather SAL (Dry - Air).

The attached picture tells it all and it's getting worse. I'm on standby.

Satellite images suggest Impact has not arrived and will happen in 12 - 48 hrs.
But at 2:00 am. we Trinidadians had to be first in the party.

All this requires a subsequent post.

Standing by
God bless




Attachment: 5th july 315am.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- 2nd. Blob -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 21 Jun 2015 06:21:54 -0400
Trinidad & Tobago, W.I.
Sun. 21st. June 2015
06 : 10 a.m.
 
Good Morning everyone,

The attached image taken at 05:15 a.m. this morning,
along with quite a few others I saw, make this blob,
our fifth for the rainy season and second with cyclonic possibility,
seem much worse than it really is.

In reality,
Diego Martin, Trinidad, has 400' -1,000' (Ft.) grey clouds
moving at about 35kph. Sparse as rain clouds go.

This scientifically means two things.
"It's going south america or is too fast to be cyclonic over t'dad."
"The lowness of the clouds means showers are here."
(In localized areas). Typical for let's say the first 15 blobs.

To repeat: the rain has reached but looks worse than it really is.

God bless

Tomorrow is always a different matter.




Attachment: 21st june 515 am.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- First Flash Flood
  • From: Stephen Abouhamad <stephen_abouhamad at hotmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 16 Jun 2015 03:50:35 +0000
Trinidad and Tobago

Good night to all readers of StormCarib. Well today Trinidad had a rude awakening to the rainy season. One of the season's early Tropical Waves made its presence felt as strong showers greeted everyone as they woke up this morning. intense rainfall was felt throughout Trinidad which caused flooding in our Capital. I was also caught by surprise as I was trapped in the middle of one of those rain showers while inside a business place for over a hour waiting for the flood waters to subside. We all should get ready for the season ahead of us.

Regards
S Abouhamad

- Fourth Blob maybe nascent Cyclonic - 72 hrs.
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Jun 2015 23:20:03 -0400
People of Paradise,

One of the attached pics below is testimony
of how ' N~o~r~m~a~l ' June 2015
the wettest month in T'dad & T'bgo has been
in terms of Atmospheric Conditions.

That night it rained.
For practically three hours in fore-day morning it rained.
Not drizzled, not thunder showers, it rained. (with gentle breezes).

The morning sun, dawn, and trek to work was
a marvelous, miracle of re-creation, alleviation (from dryness),
and an overall Bliss of pressure, temperature and humidity.

Please, please, please, let's continue to live of of The Earth.

That was the third blob. In 36 hrs. for T'dad and T'bgo,
72 hrs. for The Virgin Islands areas, expect a fourth blob.

Except that it's from 39 W. - 47 W. Longitude, (large)
and that it is concentrated below 9 N. Latitude in The ITCZ,
only early arthritis says it can be nascent cyclonic.
There is too much SAL, it's the first one, it is too south,
there is too much wind shear.

Whatever happens, I am keeping my boots on
between June and November and when I lose our umbrella
buy a new one.

Now, THE MAIN EVENT :
T'dad & T'bgo will have National Elections, September 7th.

God bless

Attachment: 11th june 445am.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: 13th june 915pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Rain again, but less, .....
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 3 Jun 2015 19:44:26 -0400
In 12 - 36 hrs.

There will be another blob
with less intensity and duration
than the first for the season.

God bless

- Proof - Aloof
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 28 May 2015 06:10:56 -0400
P/Vly, D'go M'rtn, T&T, W.I.
2015-05-28th. Thu.
6:00 a.m.

Good Morning, People of Paradise,

We had a massive shower last night.
It was so refreshing to the atmosphere
that in fits of waking moments, (audible moments),
we slept thru it.

The ground is soaked !!!
The rheumatoid fever is dissipating.

As a pedantic aside;
There is more than a hint of moisture in the atmosphere,
meaning more is to come, ....

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS W OF THE ITCZ FROM 1N TO 14N WITH AXIS NEAR 
54W...MOVING W AT 15-20 KT DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. SSMI TPW 
IMAGERY SHOW THE WAVE CONTINUES EMBEDDED WITHIN ABUNDANT 
MOISTURE IN THE MIDDLE TO LOWER LEVELS. SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS 
AND MODEL GUIDANCE SHOW A DIFFLUENT ENVIRONMENT ALOFT E OF THE 
WAVE AXIS THAT SUPPORT SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 03N TO 
07N BETWEEN THE AXIS AND 50W. FURTHER CONVECTION IS BEING 
HINDERED MAINLY BY STRONG DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR IN THIS REGION 
OF THE TROPICAL ATLC.

God Bless





Attachment: 25th May 2015 315am.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: 28th may 515am.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- skirting danger - 36 hrs. -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 26 May 2015 05:01:59 -0400
Hello,
People of Paradise,

There is an imminent blob that will skirt us well within 36hrs.

There are two good news and one bad news;
- It is moving very fast.
- It is very south.
The bad news is that,
- It will be at its biggest at about 62 W. Longitude.

That is also when it will make landfall. (as a tropical wave).

Keep your boots on,
and
God bless

- The season starts today (ample evidence) -
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 14 May 2015 00:23:57 -0400
Good Day, Good Everything People of Paradise,

Today, Thursday 14th. May 2015 has hovering over it
ample evidence that the rains are here.

For the Caribbean, The Season has Started !

May God Bless Us in Our Endeavors, ....

Attachment: 13th may 2015 1115 pm.jpg
Description: JPEG image

Attachment: India & Nepal's earthquake april 2015.jpg
Description: JPEG image


- Dual Case Scenario - possible but not probable - 36 hrs.
  • From: Ian Martin Borde <readkrox51 at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 9 May 2015 09:44:05 -0400
Good Fellows of Paradise,

I forecast rain, (specially as it just fell). (tee hee) ( like Grenada ) !
AND SOON.

TS. Ana is 12 - 36 hrs. from true landfall but my opinion is it will head out to sea.

There is a system forming, ( possible after eastern Caribbean ), at 40 W.
That 's not where the rain came from.
But at 60 W. the bands (I call feeder bands that make it cyclonic)
are touching the coast of Trinidad. Definite rainfall, ..., in 12 - 36 hrs.,
(If like all the previous the whole gamut doesn't go Venezuela or even Brazil.).

Thanks and Praise

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