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For the most recent reports from St.Croix see this page.

- Nice and Quiet
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 22 Aug 2013 22:34:21 -0500

Good Night, All !

That's how it's been and hope it stays that way. The experts keep reminding us that the storms are coming. In the meanwhile, let's enjoy the quiet. Blessings!

Isabel

This is our cat "SKYPEE"

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- TW Passing Through
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 20 Aug 2013 08:39:14 -0400
Good Morning, RAIN!

It's been on and off and now we are getting the heaviest downpour. I am sure 
most of us in the Caribbean are getting something from this system. (Of course, 
only PR is mentioned by the Weather Channel.) This should continue for a good 
part of the day with a 70% chance of rain. It could easily have been a storm 
had it not been for the dust in the middle of the Atlantic. Blessings!

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- ERIN & 94L
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 18 Aug 2013 21:51:51 -0500
Good night, all!

I was just checking stormpulse/symcyclone and it seems that we are not quite out of the woods with ERIN. After some meandering she has turned W S W downwards in our direction. At 4:00 p.m. the coordinates were at 20.4 N 39.8 W. moving at 8 mph.as for 94L its moving W at 21 mph. One is coming from above and the other from across. In the meanwhile, we got more than two inches of rain from the thunderstorms overnight from Saturday to Sunday. We have to get some sand bags before the next deluge.The TW that's passing tonight thru Monday is weaker but still has "numerous showers" with it. Let's keep our eyes and attention focused on those two systems.God bless us all.

Isabel

- A Soggy Sunday Morning
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 18 Aug 2013 07:15:05 -0400
Greetings!

The photo shows the beginning of what was to last all night long with 
thunderstorms and heavy rain, and still is ongoing with a lighter, sometimes 
heavier rain. It did not start until late last night, but it is lasting and 
looks to continue for a few more hours. We are getting some much needed rain. 
Have a wonderful day. May God bless us all.

Isabel


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Sent from my iPod

- Raining!
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 17 Aug 2013 22:20:26 -0500
Good night, All!

We've been having showers on and off today. We're happy that ERIN seems, so far, to be no threat to anyone. The folks in Khartoum, Sudan were not so fortunate. They have been having a series of waves since Aug.2, according to Dr. Masters which have set off some devastating flooding, especially the one that became ERIN; 53 people died there as a result. There is a very "healthy" tropical wave that stepped off the coast, but no storms are expected for the next seven days, perhaps because there is so much dry dust in the middle of the Atlantic.Let's hope that this quiet trend continues. May God bless us all.

Isabel.

- T S ERIN
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Thu, 15 Aug 2013 15:12:38 -0400
Good Afternoon!

ERIN developed quickly. What could that possibly mean? Time will tell. The 
track is somewhat of concern. Considering that it's still so very far away one 
hopes for a disruption of sorts. Watch and pray! In the meanwhile we received 
some much needed rain at lunchtime and there's an even better chance of rain 
for Friday. Let's keep both eyes on ERIN and may God bless us all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- TROPICAL DEPRESSION # 5
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 14 Aug 2013 22:42:52 -0500

Here we go, folks. It looks as if it's time to "wake up and smell the coffee" as the saying goes, the lull is over. This TD could very well become a "fish storm" according to some computer models, it could also get disrupted by dry air and cooler waters, but if it turns on a more westerly route then we're in trouble. It's always better to prepare for the worse, just in case.  May God bless us all.

Isabel


- Watching "African" Invest
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 13 Aug 2013 22:26:23 -0400
The word is out. That suspicious flare up off the coast of Africa is being 
investigated for possible development. There's still a lot of dust out there, 
perhaps it will take care of this one also. The TW that passed us to the south 
now has a 40% chance of developing and the name Erin has already been mentioned 
on the Weather Channel. The one to be watched is that new Invest. Let's watch 
and pray. May God bless us all.

Isabel 


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Sent from my iPod

- So Far, So Good...
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 12 Aug 2013 16:02:45 -0500
Good Afternoon!

The weather here is undecided. It does not know what to do. The wind managed to "shoo" away all the rain last night that was in the forecast. We had a very peaceful night. We've had sunny skies today and the usual heat and humidity. The sky has clouded over in the last hour and all we can do is hope we get some rain for the house (cisterns) and garden. The tone of emails can be misconstrued, but there really are some people who are more interested in Meteorology and do more research than others perhaps; they know that we truly are in the hurricane season and are hoping everyone else realize that too, and prepare for the worse while hoping for the best - no hurricanes, here or for any land. May everyone have a safe season. God bless us all.

Isabel

- Stormy Night in the forecast
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 11 Aug 2013 23:30:06 -0500
Good night, All!

This evening We had a hugh thunder clap and some other rumbles, very little rain. The bulk of the storminess is suppose to happen overnight and into the next day. I noticed on the animation of the Satellite Imagery that there is still a lot of wind shear. I'm keeping both eyes on the tropical waves that are crossing the Atlantic. If you are living in the Caribbean, you should too. Dr. Jeff Masters wrote about the most powerful storm on earth so far this year--Cat 4 Super Typhoon UTOR which made landfall in Luzon in the Philippines.It had sustained winds of 150 mph with a capability of reaching 185 mph.!! That would be stronger than HUGO. We certainly don't want such a monster around here, unfortunately, the storms are predicted to be larger and stronger. Let's prepare well. May God bless us all.

Isabel





- Sunny at The Moment
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 11 Aug 2013 08:44:55 -0500

Good Sunday Morning, All!

There's lots of rain in the forecast for later today, possibly through Tuesday. Plan accordingly. Canceling outdoor plans ahead of time is never a good thing since the weather has a "mind of its own", it always depends on various factors. There are several waves crossing over from Africa; as Dave wrote those, and for the next 6 weeks, all the others have to be watched. Let's make sure we don't have to make any last minute runs to the store. May God bless us all.

Isabel


- Rain! Tomorrow's TW ?
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 9 Aug 2013 21:30:59 -0400
Hello, Caribbean Folk and Beyond! 

We got some torrential downpours today. We expect a TW tomorrow, perhaps this 
was part of it? Whatever the case, we needed it. However, I've been reading the 
experts' reports for the upcoming very active season and it is reason for 
concern, especially watching the Hurricane Hunters this past week with memories 
of the devastating hurricanes so fresh, with destruction still so obvious. Even 
here, we have empty shells abandoned by owners after HUGO'S powerful, 
relentless assault in 1989. Let's hope and pray that we do not have a repeat 
performance. May God bless us all. 

Isabel 
 

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Sent from my iPod

- Between "weak" Waves
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 7 Aug 2013 19:04:51 -0400
Good Evening, All!

The promised tropical waves are producing some rain, though not as much as we 
need. However, that's better than Missouri which is having major flash 
flooding. I just took this photo at our favorite beach. Come on down, the sea 
is absolutely delightful. Be happy. Blessings!


Isabel


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Sent from my iPod

- Dry, Hot, Weather
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 6 Aug 2013 20:55:39 -0500

Good evening,

The rainy season begins in August and continues through October, but the waves have been sparse due to the dust and wind shear. I hope that the next wave due to arrive on Wednesday will bring some much needed rain. Be well. May God bless us all.

Isabel

When you have a moment read Dr.Jeff Masters' WunderBlog report for August 5th.

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- May the QUIET Continue..
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 5 Aug 2013 23:29:05 -0500

Good night, all! A stiff, refreshing breeze was blowing at Henry Rohlson International Airport today as I watched some interesting cloud formations while waiting for the return of the kids from vacation. So far, so good, so quiet this hurricane season. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Good Shiny Monday Morning!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 5 Aug 2013 07:02:36 -0400
Hello Caribbean and Beyond!

The quiet spell continues apparently until the middle of the month. As for the 
dust storm, even though we were embedded in red we were none the worse for 
wear. The stars were quite visible. The next tropical wave should be in the 
region on Wednesday. Everything is starting to dry out here, so we hope for a 
good, soaking rain so that the Flora smiles again and we don't have to buy 
water for a long time. Let's not be fooled by the quiet. Prepare and be ready 
in advance of a storm. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- A Dust Storm Crossing.....
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 2 Aug 2013 07:11:37 -0400
Good Morning, All!

According to Dr. Jeff Masters' blog, a "massive dust storm" from the Sahara 
Desert, is now crossing the Atlantic. We can be sure that for the next seven 
days there shall be no development of systems. Whew! That's good news, 
especially with so many waves heading out to the Atlantic. As for the 
"massive", hopefully by the time that gets here all we will have is the usual 
dust film on the cars and hazy skies. So far so good. It seems to me that the 
Pacific is more active than the Atlantic, quite the contrary to what the 
experts predicted. The Pacific is already at "G" and the Hawaiian Island chain 
could be sorely challenged this season as it has been already. Our weather as 
seen from this photo taken a few minutes ago, is perfect. Have a great day and 
may God bless us all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- Wednesday July 31, 2013
  • From: Christine Hendley <stxweather at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Wed, 31 Jul 2013 19:13:26 -0400
While watching the sunset and listening to the news there was a comment made on 
some conditions that will effect hurricane season...

There is Sarah Dust stretching from Africa to Puerto Rico that will (for now) 
hinder the development of any storms due to the dry air mass that it is 
associated with.

That right there is some great news for those of us that obsess over every 
little radar blip that rolls off of the cost of Africa this time of year! 

So for now I will continue to enjoy the amazing sunset Mother Nature has given 
us and sleep well knowing we have a few extra, worry free days when it comes to 
developing storms. 

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Here's to sunny days and breezy (mosquito free) nights
~Christine

Sent from my iPhone


- A Perfect Beginning.......
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 31 Jul 2013 07:24:46 -0400
Good Morning!
 
Have we done our homework ? Dave's update : "Lining Up"? Especially the last 
detailed paragraph....? I was so happy when I checked the Atlantic Weather 
Outlook and not a single thing out there of concern. How long is this 
suspenseful quiet going to last? Are all the name storms waiting for our Golden 
Wedding Anniversary celebration..? Yikes !! Kids, grandkids, and friends from 
the mainland, besides locals are coming. The peak of the hurricane season! The 
kids planned it; you can tell that the "Weather
Lady" had nothing to do with this plan! Ha!  I'll just take it a day at a time 
and do the best we can with what we have, so there! God bless us all!

Isabel
(Keep smiling)


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Sent from my iPod

- Hurricane Season 2013
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 30 Jul 2013 19:14:01 -0400
Good Evening, Stormcarib correspondents, all the Caribbean
and beyond!

OUR hurricane season is about to begin. Dave outlined the various reasons why 
NOW is the time to get ready if we have  not done so as yet. We are near 
completion of various projects which we pray will hold in case of a strong 
storm. I look at the news and see how the weather has been devastating one 
place after another. Some have had a month's rainfall in a 24 hr period. Major 
flooding everywhere; often places have not seen the likes of if, or it has been 
a long time. Let us not be deceived by the lull we're having. As Dave said this 
time is usually quiet. Read "Lining up". There is currently a blob off the 
coast of Africa which will probably soon become an Invest unless it dissipates. 
Let's hope and pray we won't have to deal with any catastrophic system. May God 
bless us all.

Isabel

If you can get a copy of Sally Jacobs book Hurricane Hat, it's one of my 
favorite books about a hurricane in St. Croix long before all the weather 
technology.

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Sent from my iPod

- A Drag-Along Trough
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 30 Jul 2013 10:01:01 -0500

Good Morning,

There's a trough that's being dragged along by ex_DORIAN. It's passing us with rumbles of thunder and drops of rain are falling like little diamonds on the plants. It's quite cloudy, so this could be of longer duration. We are still in that quiet phase, but not for long says Dave.  Please read his update "Lining up" and find out why. Have a wonderful day! Blessings!

Isabel

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- When Morning Fills The Skies
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 29 Jul 2013 06:28:16 -0400
Hello, Hello!

We can open the present, it has arrived! If NOAA Weather Radio is accurate we 
should be having a change in the weather soon. That's the tropics for you! All 
we can do is enjoy the moment and be ready for the change. There are no threats 
at the moment, but those are preparing for their cue. We have only had four 
storms and that's unheard of that there should be no more. I am grateful and 
cautious. What we do have are a daily quota of earthquake alerts. That's one 
reason why some people are concerned that perhaps we should prepare for a 
tsunami rather than a hurricane.
Time will tell; as for now let's enjoy what we have, beautiful, tranquil, 
weather. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- Showery Sunday Morning
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 28 Jul 2013 08:44:12 -0500
Good Morning, All!

Have you noticed the blob which was once DORIAN? It is now a tropical wave. It is being investigated for possible formation. If it does, the track takes it across to Florida and other places along the coast. We are having rain as I write. This is one of the showers we've had so far this morning. Where is it coming from? Good question! The tropical wave, if we get anything at all, will affect us tomorrow. A second invest 90L is closer to the coast. That one will move up to destinations unknown. So far, we have no other invest coming from Africa. Those are the ones we have to worry about. However, August should be the time for lots of action. If the hurricane season plays out the way the experts in Colorado and others have predicted, the action should start soon. A hurricane free season would be great. So far the only hurricane we're having is "hurricane Francis" - a very dynamic Pope Francis who had a following of 3 million plus at a vigil celebration of  World Youth Day in Rio, Brazil at the Copacabana Beach Front last night. Today an even larger crowd is expected for the final event. Being Winter there the weather has been cool and rainy quite often, but that has not dampened the enthusiasm of young and older alike. May God bless the country of Brazil and all of us. Have a wonderful day.

Isabel

- The Metal Bird vs. Storms
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 26 Jul 2013 23:51:44 -0400
It has survived every one that has come by. It defies them. Hooray for our 
bird. At least it does not have to contend with DORIAN. The TV experts are not 
even talking about rain as the depleted system passes us on Monday. Right now I 
am more concerned with the next one. Will our bird survive it?
I pray we all will. Blessings!

Isabel

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. 


Sent from my iPod

- Monitoring TS DORIAN
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 26 Jul 2013 15:20:10 -0500
Good Afternoon, Caribbean!

We were told to keep our eyes on TS DORIAN. It should pass us on Monday morning over 100 miles away, but that can change at any moment. As long as it is in the vicinity we cannot become complacent about the current track. It is wiser to stay alert. Even the NHC acknowledges that there are discrepancies in the forecasting of these systems; they can be off one way or the other. We may not even get rain out of this systems, but that we'll find out next week. The weather is what it should be at the moment at this time of year, quite sunny, warm and hazy. There are always scattered showers in the forecast which often do not materialize where we are, but could happen somewhere else on the island. So, let's be alert! May God bless us all.

Isabel

- TS DORIAN'S Tail
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 25 Jul 2013 16:38:10 -0500
Good Afternoon/Evening!

It's been very hot. Would be nice to get some refreshing showers. I notice that DORIAN has a long sweeping tail. Is that perhaps going to give us some rain? We are still within the "cone of uncertainty" and some computer models still have the storm moving towards us. I'm glad to read in Dave's blog that we do have to be aware of a possible wobble. The forecast track is not always accurate and there's that dip south that can bring it closer. Keep tracking. May God bless us all.

Isabel

- A Great Start to Thursday July 25th 2013...
  • From: Christine Goodrich <stxweather at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Thu, 25 Jul 2013 07:05:57 -0700 (PDT)

 Good Day All,

Well it is that time of year where we need to pay close attention to the tropics and any disturbances that may be bouncing around and heading our direction...

The following statement was released from VITEMA just a little while ago: "Dorian is forecasted to have little to no impact on the Virgin Islands. On the current forecast track, Dorian is expected to makes it closest approach to the Territory on Monday when it will pass more than 180 miles north of the Territory.  At 5 a.m., the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near 15.6 degrees north, 34.5 degrees west moving toward the west-northwest near 17 miles per hour. Maximum sustained winds are now near 60 miles per hour with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the center. There are no watches or warnings in effect for Tropical Storm Dorian."

That's good news for us... let her keep heading north and right past us!

I had to share the picture below from this morning... After a great workout I look up to see (look closely) a double rainbow and just below it... the moon! With a site like that first thing in the morning how can it not be a good day!



Here's to sunny days and breezy nights!
~Christine 

- Tracking TS DORIAN
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 24 Jul 2013 21:19:25 -0500
Hello and good night!

I guess we can breathe a sigh of relief? I think I'll wait until it passes us. They have been known to wobble. You never know. I just hope that DORIAN will not cause havoc anywhere
. I was checking my log book for last year's hurricane season, and it was quite busy. So, we're getting into that time now. It makes a difference where it comes off the coast. DORIAN was at 12degrees and it started to climb passing us, but had it started out lower it would be at our front doors this weekend. Even so, as I said, storms do tend to wobble. Let's hope this one does not. Blessings and sweet dreams.

Isabel

- Postcard Weather
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 24 Jul 2013 09:23:40 -0400
Hello, again!

It's perhaps a bit hazy to compare to this aerial postcard photo, but close. 
It's very nice, nice weather; partly sunny, partly cloudy, ever changing skies; 
very tropical. If the system to our east continues developing and tracks this 
way as some computer models have it, then our weather will definitely take on 
another face. Let's keep track! Blessings!

Isabel 

Send an aerial postcard to stormcarib so that we and those around the world who 
log on can see and want to visit or revisit.

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Sent from my iPod

- Tropical Depression in the Atlantic
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 24 Jul 2013 07:40:14 -0400
Good Morning, All, on this beautiful new day!

On July 11th it was announced that there will be no tropical development in the 
Atlantic during the rest of the month. That's what we call "going out on a 
limb". Well, the limb broke ! The disturbance, 98L, which came off the coast of 
Africa on Monday is now a Tropical Depression. This one may or may not harm 
anyone, but the fact is that it developed, and conditions will become more 
favorable for the next systems that are lining up to step off the coast. In 
other words, this is no time to become complacent. Enjoy each day, but monitor, 
prepare, and pray! May God bless us all.

Isabel 



Sent from my iPod

- Hot, Hazy, Hurricane Weather
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 23 Jul 2013 15:33:54 -0500
Hello Again!

How nerve wrecking to see all the computer models of 98 L pointing this way. Luckily it is over 2000 miles away and lots can change by then. It has to pass a few tests. The NHC gives it a 60% chance of developing, but then it can diminish again. I remember how CHANTAL beat all the odds on its trek here. Let's hope this one does the same. The D storm would be lots bigger. We have to keep monitoring and prepare for the worse while hoping for the best. May God bless us all.

Isabel

- Fair Weather
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 23 Jul 2013 07:40:00 -0400
Hello! 
With this kind of weather we have countless things we can do outside. Other 
than the usual surprise shower, we should have fair weather until Saturday 
evening when rain and gusty winds shall invade the region with the first signs 
of the disturbance off the coast of Africa. This system now has a 40% chance to 
develop, but apparently on Wednesday it will enter a less favorable environment 
and before it reaches us there will be very strong wind shear. So, it does 
appear, as of now, that this system will arrive as a TW. Let's keep monitoring 
98L and may God bless us all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- Invest 98L has a 30% Potential !
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 22 Jul 2013 15:40:20 -0500

Good afternoon, all!

Everyone should keep track of this monstrous TW, monsoon trof, with a 30% potential for developing into a cyclone. Only two computer models gave it much credence. They expect it to break up or remain aTW. As for now the NWS in San Juan expect it here as a TW this coming weekend. It certainly must be monitored by everyone on the island chain and in the Caribbean.

The current TW dumped a huge amount of rain this morning as we were getting ready for a funeral at Holy Cross, our parish. The heavy rain swept in through all the open, tall windows and doors. It took "forever" to mop up and dry off the pews. At the moment it's very overcast. So now, all eyes on 98L!! May God bless us all.

Isabel


- Rainy Monday Morning...
  • From: Christine Goodrich <stxweather at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Mon, 22 Jul 2013 06:30:54 -0700 (PDT)

 
Good Morning,

The weather this weekend was perfect for sailing, sunning and enjoying the outdoors with friends and family!

Today however, well I guess its the perfect day to be at work.... or cuddled up in bed with a good book or movie. Today the forcast calls for a 70% of precipitation and so far Mother Nature has not disappointed with thunder storms starting in the early morning and so far this morning they seem to be continuing.

JUST IN: St. Croix is under a Thunderstorm alert until 4:15... Strong showers and thunderstorms with frequent lightning can be expected.

Also there is a Tropical Wave that we have been watching that has come off Africa. It is approx. 500 miles ESE OF Cape Verdes. Conditions, for next few days, are marginal for development, as he moves W 12 mph. NHC gives 10% chance of TC development in next 48 hrs. We will keep you posted on any developments.


Here's to sunny days and breezy nights!
~Christine 



- Those Awesome Clouds!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 22 Jul 2013 06:57:00 -0400
Hello! On this interesting Monday morning we have the signs of a TW in the 
area. The breeze is stiffer as the minutes pass. As usual we can use some rain 
of which there is a 70% chance later today. Rather later, so that our worker 
can 
finish the project we started in May. There is concern coming from St. Bart's 
and most likely others on the island chain about the GFS prediction for the 
islands, us included, for the coming weekend. All we can do is prepare, watch, 
pray, and hope that the system exiting the coast of Africa today will not reach 
us as a cyclone. Let's have a great day. God bless us.

Isabel

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I


Sent from my iPod

- Good Morning, Caribbean Friends and Beyond!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 21 Jul 2013 07:59:41 -0400
A beautiful day is in store for us judging from the brilliant sunrise rounding 
the corner of our house. There are, however, scattered showers in the forecast. 
Tomorrow, Monday, should be a wet day if the Tropical Wave passes through. The 
Weather Channel brought our attention to a suspicious Wave exiting the African 
coast. The GFS computer model has it developing and be in the Lesser Antilles 
by next Sunday; a Canadian model agrees with this, but all the other reliable 
CMs do not agree. They think it will break up before anything serious happens. 
Let's watch and pray, and pray. May God bless us all.

Isabel 



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Sent from my iPod

- The Weather Bird Assembly
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sat, 20 Jul 2013 12:13:50 -0400
Good High Noon!

I'm sitting in the shade of an "ancient" Divi-Divi tree with view in the photo 
before me. The weather birds have assembled which usually means there are 
fishermen cleaning their catch, inclement weather is coming, or perhaps just a 
friendly gathering? Other than that, I see haze and more haze. A huge Manjack 
tree near by has two branches rubbing against each other as the breeze blows; 
it sounds like a language. It is full of "fruit" , that is, those clusters of 
transparent looking grapes that can be used as glue. My other half continues 
working while I sit in this nice, breezy spot. I heard there's a TW passing 
through on Monday. We shall see! Have a great weekend. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- The Sahara Sun..?
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 19 Jul 2013 20:01:24 -0400
Good Evening Caribbean Folk and Beyond!

We are having hazy conditions due to the Saharan dust moving in for the 
weekend. It's been breezy and quite pleasant. We do not expect rain these days 
except perhaps a little surprise shower. The next TW is rather large, but that 
one most likely will stay below us; have't heard much about it. Whatever the 
case, it's a great time to visit. Mangoes are in, the Flamboyant trees are 
ablaze with brilliant colors, and the sea is excellent therapy. The sun usually 
takes on another look with dust in the air. I took this photo around 6:00 p.m. 
The sun has a lilac glow, which makes it extra special, especially since it's 
the color of my birthstone. I wish you all a wonderful weekend, one hour at a 
time. May God bless us all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- Special Weather Statement July 18, 2012
  • From: Christine Goodrich <stxweather at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Thu, 18 Jul 2013 09:26:35 -0700 (PDT)

Good Day,

The sky is a bit ominous today with thunder storms rolling through over the next few hours...

There has been a advisory put out for Puerto Rico, Culebra and the U.S.V.I. (that includes St. Croix)...Strong showers and thunderstorm activity with a chance for frequent lightning. There is a chance for heavy rain fall and gusty winds... These showers and thunderstorms will continue to move west northwest until at least 4 PM AST. Please make sure to take the necessary precautions if thunderstorms roll through your area.

Here's to sunny days and breezy nights!
~Christine 

 







-




- The Lightning Rod
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Thu, 18 Jul 2013 11:35:44 -0400
Hello!

There's a Tropical Wave passing through as I write. This is supposed to last 
only for a short time with the weather improving by this evening. There's a 
flash flood watch in effect until 6:00 P.M today. In the photo one can see the 
unused post, which I mentioned in a previous update. It serves as a lightning 
rod for us. The thunder clouds are approaching, and in the meanwhile it has 
been flashing, thundering, and raining a most welcome rain. May God bless us 
all.

Isabel 

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- Looks like RAIN!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 17 Jul 2013 18:37:10 -0400
Good Evening, All!

It does look as if the 90% chance of rain is about to start, or?
The day has been a mix of sun and rain, and a nice breeze. After this TW which 
is coming through tonight and tomorrow, we expect another batch of Saharan Dust 
to take over on the weekend. If the rain from this TW fails us, well, we did 
get the truck full of water today. Have a wonderful rest of day! May God bless 
us all.

Isabel 

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- Steel Grey Sky...
  • From: Christine Goodrich <stxweather at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Wed, 17 Jul 2013 06:43:02 -0700 (PDT)
Good Day,

Waking up this morning and looking out of my window our usual beautiful blue sky has been replaced by steel grey clouds that hold the promise of rain! 

The forecast calls for rain today and tomorrow so hopefully by Friday we will have happy cisterns and emerald green hills! 

As always we will keep you updated if there is any tropical cyclone activity to keep an eye on. For now we will enjoy a bit of cloud cover that will hopefully come with some rain and relief from the warm weather we have been experiencing.

 
Here's to sunny days and breezy nights!
~Christine 




- The Face of Rain
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 17 Jul 2013 08:34:25 -0500

Good Morning, Caribbean friends, you on the mainland, and you around the world!

I wish you peace, love, and joy no matter what face the weather shows us this day. As you look at the photo, you'll notice a blue slit, almost like a smile. It's as if we are being informed that no matter how gray your day, it's always blue above and soon the gray will pass and all will be well again. /// We have scattered showers in the forecast and a more steady rain with the passing of a tropical wave tomorrow. Today a truck will deliver 3000 gallons of water. We hope that the TW tomorrow will add to that. Have a great day! God bless us all.

Isabel

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- July, July
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 16 Jul 2013 22:05:33 -0400
Hello! There must be some dust in the air. With the waves coming tonight and on 
Thursday the air should clear. It's been hot and sticky, but for sure not as 
hot as on the mainland where temps have been flirting with 100 degrees. We 
always have a nice breeze. As I said before, this is the time to prepare. 
According to past records CHANTAL, the 3rd storm of the season, would've come 
in August. Let's just be ready for whatever comes. God bless us all

Isabel

Sent from my iPod

- Continuation of the previous
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2013 23:56:25 -0400
Wednesday into Thursday should see some decent rain with the wave that's 
coming. The construction site has used a lot of water. We're halfway through 
July and one month and a half month into the hurricane season. May we all be 
safe. God bless us all. 

Isabel 

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- Cat on a Hot "Tin" Roof
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2013 23:33:56 -0400
Good Night, All!

Our cat, Morris, thinks he's the Lion King and we feel as if we are in Africa. 
It's been intensely hot. We have to buy another truck full water tomorrow. 
Wednesday into Thirsdayq

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- Monday July 15th, 2013
  • From: Christine Goodrich <stxweather at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Mon, 15 Jul 2013 12:37:38 -0700 (PDT)

Good Day,

It is certainly is a warm day today on the beautiful island of St. Croix and I can't think of a better place to hide from the sun than under the shade of this majestic Mahogany Tree. 

Today's forecast  calls for a 40% chance of thunder storms, but so far the only thunderous noises in my area are coming from the road work outside my office! We will see what the afternoon and evening hours bring...

Regarding tropical cyclone activity everything is quiet which is just the way we like it! 


Here's to sunny days and breezy nights!
~Christine




- Sunday July 14th
  • From: Christine Goodrich <stxweather at yahoo.com>
  • Date: Sun, 14 Jul 2013 15:58:22 -0700 (PDT)
Good Day,
 
Today on St. Croix was picture perfect from the start!
 
The sky was "crucian blue", a color that is unique to our island, there was a light breeze that kissed your cheeks and the ocean (in front of my house anyway) was calm and clear... it was a beautiful, lazy summer day on the island.
 
Hi, My name is Christine and I have been a resident of St. Croix for 30+ years. I love my island and sharing its unique beauty and I look forward to sharing that beauty with you through my eyes.
 
As I am sure you know it is hurricane season so all eyes are on the Tropical Atlantic Forecast pretty much daily (some times hourly if there is a storm lurking). Today I am happy to say that today there is no tropical cyclone activity that we are currently tracking. We will keep an eye on some areas coming off the coast of Africa and enjoy the picture perfect weather while we do!
 
Here's to sunny days and breezy nights!
~Christine 
 

- A Sunny Sunday Start
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 14 Jul 2013 07:06:31 -0400
Good beautiful morning, all!

It's such a blessing to look out and see such a calm, absolutely charming 
sight; the beginning of a new day, with the rising sun casting it's rays far 
and wide. There is rain in the  forecast for today coming from a trough in the 
area. Will it keep us from dining on the deck with our guest? Hope not. Looking 
farther out, there are two tropical waves on the way in Atlantic, a monsoon 
trop stepping off the coast of Africa, and a Low Pressure system behind that! 
We are counting on those strong upper level winds to stay in place and wipe 
them out. In the meanwhile, let us cease the moment with God's richest 
blessings upon us all, and enjoy the day.

Isabel

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- Last Blue of the Day
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 13 Jul 2013 17:22:58 -0500

It was an amazing day, weather wise and otherwise . AND it was repeated again that we will not be threatened by storms for the rest of the month. Excellent! August and September, however, are the dramatic months with the appearance of the BIG ones. And then, maybe not...Let's watch and pray. God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Quiet Time ---sh-h-h-h !
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 12 Jul 2013 21:55:46 -0400
Hello! We had very good weather here today, hope you did too. This is the type 
of day we should have for the rest of the month unless there's a broken limb. 
Let's enjoy this quiet time while we have it. Our Gazebo, in the lower garden  
should be ready soon; maybe we'll have some lazy, lazy, calm, sunny days to 
enjoy it. God bless us all.

Isabel 

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- July Quits !
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 11 Jul 2013 23:19:11 -0500
Good Night, All!

I'm trying to beat the clock tonight. I could not resist getting this in. Ready for the latest, greatest, weather news? NO STORMS FOR THE REST OF JULY!(???) Really? That's what they said on the Weather Channel tonight. Strong winds aloft are going to install themselves over the Gulf, Caribbean, and Atlantic making it virtually impossible for the development of storms. Does not that sound absolutely wonderful? BUT, wait a minute!  When are the other 15+ storms coming? Most likely a concentration of them! Read the post from St. Martin (July 10th) again and don't let your guard down. Let's remember that it does not only take a storm/hurricane to inflict pain, suffering, material loss..RAIN can do it. Think of the blessings we have while the people of the Sichuan Province in China have 31 dead and some 166 missing amid continuing floods (just in from CNN).

So, now we can relax. Have a good night. May God bless us all and the people in Hispaniola who are suffering as a result of the "remnants" of CHANTAL.

Isabel

- False Alarm..?
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 10 Jul 2013 21:21:28 -0500
Good Night, Folks!

At 1:00 p.m. today I received an alert of a Severe Thunderstorm Warning in effect for Christiansted until 5:30 p.m. Sometime later we got a brief shower; no hint of a thunderstorm. False alarm, or probably just a miscalculation. It made we wonder how those conclusions are reached, what made it seem as if we were in for severe weather? It's like "cry wolf",--after a while people don't pay attention to those alerts and simply look out to see if an umbrella will be needed. Nevertheless, I admire the people who work hard at keeping us safe.

Has everyone recovered from the CHANTAL fright? Well, let's just be ready. I suggest, if you haven't read it as yet, to please read the News Release (July 10th) from the Department of Communication in St. Martin. THAT applies to all of us. Let's not think that all the others are going to be like CHANTAL. At least one, if not more, will be like the detestables of the past. I don't have to name them. How can we forget them. Even if they never appear on the list ever again, we shall never forget them. DORIAN will be the next name storm, now we know that the classic Dorian bears bad news. We hope that the TS/Hurricane by that name will not be as bad. Be well, be safe, be prepared, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

- CHANTAL'S Voluminous Clouds
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 10 Jul 2013 06:44:47 -0400
Good Morning!

CHANTAL'S clouds early this morning are most impressive, but we did not have 
the 100% of rain, any rain, at least not in Christiansted. I will be in touch 
with someone in Fredriksted over 30 miles away, at the West End of the island, 
to find out if they got the brunt of the storm. We are still under a 
Watch/Warning. I will check in later with another update. Blessings!

Isabel 

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- CHANTAL - So Far, So Quiet....
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 9 Jul 2013 23:20:20 -0500
Hello, Again!

CHANTAL is quiet, but we do have a lot of real tweeters and chirpers and all kinds of sounds out there. No storminess, yet the information keeps coming about the "ton" of rain, etc.. Well, could be, we shall see what the morrow brings. After FLOYD passed us that time it was the same, then the rain came when we did not expect it anymore, then it rained for a week! I doubt this will be the same. We have another feature in the Atlantic that looks rather large. We could be hearing about that one before long. CHANTAL is quiet, but it could be that she "opened a can of worms". I'll let the experts deal with that and take myself off to bed. I need a good night's rest. A good night to you too and may God bless us all.

Isabel

- CHANTAL'S in the Neighborhood
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 9 Jul 2013 21:02:21 -0400
Hello, Everyone in the path of this tropical storm! Be safe not sorry. Stay 
indoors until it passes. This afternoon several of us attended the Tuesday 
Prayer Meeting at 5:00 p.m. It was sunny, breezy, some clouds. Suddenly, the 
wind increased and it rained a heavy rain for a space of a few minutes. It was 
so intense that it really shook us. We shortened the meeting and headed for 
home expecting the real thing to arrive much later tonight. At home everything 
was secured outside, including the turtles' habitat with extra palm branches to 
protect them from the wind. We noticed that these turtles don't like wind. 
According to NOAA we should be getting 60 mph wind and heavy rain tonight and 
through tomorrow, decreasing to 55 mph. That's to be seen! Jim Cantore of The 
Weather Channel says that CHANTAL is looking ragged, in need of life support. 
So, will it be rough? or mild? Suspense heightens! I will check back later! God 
bless us all.

Isabel


Sent from my iPod

- Waiting for CHANTAL.?
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 9 Jul 2013 11:11:05 -0400
Good Morning!

We still have good sitting outside weather as you can see from the photo. There 
is a pleasant breeze and some clouds.  The sea is choppy and we are being 
warned to be prepared for the possibility of heavy rain/flash floods when 
CHANTAL passes to our South. So far, each time I've checked the storm has moved 
up closer. This morning the closest approach to us would be 119.5 miles 
tonight. It would not surprise me if it passes closer than that. Remembering 
Hortense, which passed 100 miles to our South, we did get heavy rain and 
flooding. This could be the same scenario setting up for tonight and tomorrow. 
Only time will tell. I will check back later. God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Checking CHANTAL'S Vitals
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 8 Jul 2013 20:42:53 -0500
Hello, Again!

Well, She does look healthy; because of that she has been able to fight her way through the usual terminators of tropical waves. She means to get to where she's going. The high mountains in Hispaniola will determine whether she in invincible or not. Mountains and storms don't do well. In the meanwhile she will be passing us at 1:00 a.m. by 127.2 miles. She has moved up some 17 miles and could very well do so again. I noticed a little jog upwards before it reaches the islands. The forecast is for CHANTAL to intensify to 70mph  before it reaches The Dominican Republic. I pray that everyone will take all the precautions and
stay safe. Blessings!

Isabel

- CHANTAL Passes
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 8 Jul 2013 18:42:00 -0400
Good Evening,

It's nice and tranquil here and it should stay that way. The last time I 
checked CHANTAL will be passing us tomorrow some 144 miles to our South. This 
can change, so I will check it again tonight to see where we stand. I 
understand that 96L is also getting ready for the limelight? It was looking 
rather healthy. The "bowling alley" as Dave calls it, is now open for business. 
May God bless us all as we prepare.

Isabel 

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- Sunrise, Sunset
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 7 Jul 2013 22:40:45 -0400
Good Night, All! 

It almost seems as if 95L will be declared a Depression or perhaps even a T 
Storm tonight or tomorrow morning. It is already at 70% potential, wind at 40 
mph. It's still low, speeding WNW at 26 mph! Even so, it will dump heavy rain 
wherever it passes. Water is more dangerous than wind. Be safe! Don't venture 
out for anything. One ft of rushing water can knock you off your feet. Our 
weather has been quite calm, except for some light rain this afternoon, it's 
been dry with a nice, refreshing breeze from the East. God bless is all.

Isabel 

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- 95L Has a High Potential of 60%
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 7 Jul 2013 15:00:26 -0400
Good Afternoon!

It's time to take a second and third look at 95L. Please read NOAA's and Dr. 
Jeff Masters updates. This system is protecting itself against the odds around 
it and now it's clear that it is rapidly becoming a storm sooner than was 
expected. It should be in our vicinity by Tuesday unless it slows down. We are 
going to have to start putting away light weight garden furniture, anything 
that can blow away. The nearer it passes the stronger the wind. The Lesser 
Antilles seems to be the target with the Dominican Republic getting it's first 
sighting on Wednesday. Please take Watches and Warnings seriously. Blessings!

Isabel 

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- Sunday Sunrise
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 7 Jul 2013 06:59:00 -0400
Good Morning, All!

This gift of a glorious sunrise is quite a surprise! According to the forecast 
it was going to be a stormy one. That means that the strong winds are still 
ripping apart the T Waves. We are watching 95 L with great interest as it could 
very well be here as a weak tropical storm by mid weak, according to Dave (read 
his update). He was our favorite weatherman on TV2, still is, and always look 
forward to what he has to say about our weather. Let's hope and pray that we do 
not have a BIG storm to deal with, though, we are prepared, aren't we? May God 
bless us all.

Isabel 

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- Tracking 95L
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 6 Jul 2013 20:27:26 -0500

Hello Again! As of 7:00 p.m. the NHC has given 95L a 30% chance of developing. If it is able to cough it's way pass the SAL (Saharan Air Layer) then it should stand a good chance! The projected path I've seen so far has it tracking mostly in our neck of the woods. According to the Weather Channel lady, the "little number spinning in the Eastern Atlantic" will most probably stay to the South. We have lots of lush green vegetation as a result of all the rain brought by T Waves. Let's keep an eye on this system. May God Bless us all!

Isabel


- 95 L in the Eastern Atlantic!
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sat, 6 Jul 2013 12:23:18 -0500

Good afternoon!  It' s raining cats and dogs! (Not mine!) Then sunny; I'm in Christiansted Town at a food sale to benefit the Luth. Ch. The famous band Stanley and The Ten Sleepless Knights were playing such great music that one could  not but shake a leg, or even both, or the whole skeleton for that matter! Ha!  A thumbs up event even with the rain. Smiles and laughter all around. The food was absolutely delicious! Even so, I'm keeping an eye on 95L. Let's hope it breaks up before it reaches land. I'll check back later. Blessings!

Isabel

It'


- The missing photo..
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 5 Jul 2013 22:27:16 -0400
Good night, all! In my previous post I did not see the photo I referred to, so 
here it is. " the sea was very warm late this afternoon when I took this 
photo". Blessings!

Isabel

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- The Day After....the 4th
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 5 Jul 2013 20:27:07 -0500

Hello! It was as warm and as dry today as yesterday. The rest of the weekend should be stormy beginning on Saturday night through Tuesday with the passage of a Tropical Wave. A slow mover, or a large one. According to NOAA Weather Radio there a system off the coast of Africa with a low potential of 10% for development. They don't seem too concerned at the moment. Perhaps there are factors present which will destroy it before it forms into a cyclone. The sea was very warm late this afternoon when I took this photo. Be safe, be prepared, be happy and may God bless us all,

Isabel


- Fantastic 4th of July Weather!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Thu, 4 Jul 2013 21:30:25 -0400
Hello, Everyone! 

I hope you had a great time here on our island. We certainly had very good 
weather. Some threatening clouds passed over and kept moving. The same cannot 
be said for parts of the mainland where flash floods flourished with the 
abundance of rain from a Low Pressure system, and along  the Southeast coast 
moisture from a Tropical Wave in the Gulf was affecting that area; that's 
something  to watch. We have to keep an eye on Africa and the potential weather 
woes that are coming off the coast. One feature already had a Low of 1002mb. I 
think the H Season shall be heating up soon. Be prepared. May God bless us all 
in the United States of America, and beyond.

Isabel 

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- An Awesome Day!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 3 Jul 2013 21:04:56 -0400
Good Evening!

Judging from the photo with the "Heavenly" rays, it had to be an awesome day. 
It was perfect in every way. The gazebo builder had nice weather to work. The 
trick will come when several dry days will be required to coat the roof. I 
guess he will soon have to go to plan B. On the 4th of July we shall all try to 
chill out a bit and enjoy the freedom. With a 70% chance of rain courtesy of 
the T Wave that arrives tonight we may not be able to have that outdoor 
barbecue, but that can be remedied with an indoor "happy" broiled meal. Let's 
hope it's going to be as awesome, rain or shine. May God bless the United 
States of America (again)!

Isabel 

To read previous posts with photos, please scroll down. I've been receiving 
some very nice comments. Thank you!

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- The Greeter & the Weather
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 3 Jul 2013 13:45:09 -0400
"I am the Greeter at this house. I stand at the front door and greet everyone 
and every moving creature, cat, dog, turtle, frog... with a happy chirp, and I 
don't care if the sun is too hot or the rain too wet. I enjoy being the greeter 
and also enjoy being greeted right back as the lady does each time."

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- A Beautiful Day...to start out.
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 3 Jul 2013 07:09:15 -0400
Good Morning!

We shall cease the moment. It is as beautiful as a postcard, more so, perhaps. 
However, according to the forecast, we can expect a continuation of the showers 
we've been having these past days. The good thing about these showers is that 
they are sandwiched between slices of glorious sunshine. I hope that the 
celebration of Emancipation Day can be held without much interruption by 
inclement weather. Tomorrow will be a different story for the Fourth of July; a 
70% chance of rain is expected with the passage of the Tropical Wave. At the 
moment, there are three T Waves in the Atlantic heading in our direction. Let's 
pray that these remain "friendly". Blessings!

Isabel

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- A Day of "Hide and Seek" Weather
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 2 Jul 2013 16:15:11 -0400
Good Afternoon,

Since this morning we've been having beautifully strange weather. One moment of 
glorious sunshine, the next, we had huge, dark threatening clouds. It rained 
and poured for a minute, if that. People caught outside suddenly had to run and 
seek shelter. Two older ladies having the chat of their lives, ambled leisurely 
in the parking lot, when I noticed yet another surprise raincloud like the one 
in the photo. The rain pounded upon the roof of the store a short while later. 
So it has been all day and another "weak wave" arrives Wednesday night into 
Thursday. I like this kind of weather; it's full of surprises; not the least 
bit boring. I bless God. He blesses us each day and He "wipes the tears of 
those who weep".--like the young widow of a 28 yr old fireman who died in the 
blaze in Arizona. Be well, be happy, don't take life here for granted. God 
bless you.

Isabel 

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- We Have Time to Prepare
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 1 Jul 2013 22:21:39 -0500
Good Night, All!

As Dave wrote,--it is Quiet for Now-- even our town is quiet, we have visitors from Cruise Ships and Air, but many of the locals are away, so traffic is lighter, life is not as hectic. It gets very hot in the early hours of the afternoon, so it definitely is a great time to have siesta if you're not at your job, that is, those of us who have earned it by our age, should take advantage of it. It's good for the mind, body, and soul. A bit of reading, napping,..it's great. Now, during this quiet spell, is the time to consider how we would prepare in the event that a major storm is heading our way, create the worse scenario, and plan how we would protect ourselves, family, property, and what we would need. Start getting those items together in a special place reserved for emergencies. After Hurricane HUGO in 1989,  there was no electricity for months. That has not happened since then, but it can happen again. Preparedness is the keyword. So, let's get a head start, while we can. May God bless the families of the Firefighters who mourn their loss, most of them were in their 20s, and may God bless each and everyone of us.

Isabel



- Tropical Wave Trailers
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 1 Jul 2013 07:12:09 -0400
Good Monday Morning,

It is not "good" for many in view of the terrible loss of 19 brave firefighters 
in Arizona. This morning we had a "shower of tears" as we can imagine the pain 
being felt by their loved ones, friends, and the Fire Dept. Years ago, before 
the Bypass, some such firefighters protected our house from a brush fire that 
was dangerously close. A good, drenching rain, like our tropical wave rains 
trailing behind it, is the best aid, but is often not there when needed. They 
have to use various methods to keep the fire from spreading, including putting 
their lives on the line as these 19 men did; may they rest in peace. It is only 
right that we should join our prayers to those being raised in Arizona right 
now. Life is fragile. May God bless us all.

Isabel 

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- An Interesting Weather Bag
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 30 Jun 2013 20:49:12 -0500
Hello Again for today!

It has been a truly interesting and wonderful day. Yes, on and off it was stormy-ish, but nothing to fret about. We did not get the type of rain the other correspondents are writing about. By the time the wave gets to us it has already been through the mill with the wind aloft. There is another wave trying to battle the dust out there in the middle of the Atlantic. Let's see if the dust will win again. One thing to keep in mind. This is still very early in the season for us. Our real season does not start until later. I am reading some tones of doubt about the season. It is better to think that it will be rough and prepare for it, than to fall into a lethargic attitude and get caught unprepared for the big ones when they start showing up. I think we can expect the storms (hurricanes) to be larger, more powerful, as the SST (Sea Surface Temperature) is warmer. The fuel is ready. If you take a good look at Africa you can see how many waves are getting in line for the trek across the Atlantic. Consider those getting through to us. I suggest that we prepare, take one day at a time and enjoy it, and remember that it is the Hurricane Season. God bless us all.

Isabel

- The Rainbow
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 30 Jun 2013 07:01:35 -0400
Good Sunday Morning,

On this day, which held a stormy forecast, we rose to one that held the rainbow 
promise of a far better day. Yes, we had some rain and maybe will have some 
more. So, what happened to that mighty disturbance? It fizzled in the face of 
strong winds aloft. Those winds and the Saharan dust protect us from developing 
storms. If only that could hold throughout the season, but we know the pattern. 
Eventually, those winds will no longer be in place, and the dust will lift. 
Last night before I retired, I checked the progress of the disturbance and read 
that the cloudiness and showers had diminished. It had encountered wind shear. 
Let us enjoy the gift of this new day, and each day, rain or shine. May God 
bless us all.

Isabel

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- Disturbance Approaching
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sat, 29 Jun 2013 17:07:26 -0400
Good Early Evening!

I'm keeping an eye to the weather. Clearly the cloudiness is beginning to reach 
our area. The breeze has picked up and therefore the sea is becoming choppy. I 
think I'll skip the swim this evening. Maybe I'll run up and down our terraced 
garden ( once upon a time an ordinary slope ); that would be quite a feat for a 
lady my age! On the other hand, pureeing the Cabbage Soup (a fat burner) while 
listening to NOAA Weather Radio, if the blender let's me, is a far more 
productive idea. Besides, I have Puma, Tammy, Morris, Luna, Bunny, Speedy, 
Weepee, Peewee, and Fluffy to attend. Those are all pets and I'm not counting 
the lizards and the many birds that constantly entertain us! The turtles enjoy 
a good mud bath after a heavy rain, my fear is, what happens when the mud 
dries! They will get stuck if they are not plucked out, yet how they manage to 
survive in the wild!
The "potential disturbance" which is not expected to develop, is as of 1:00 
p.m. at 14.3 N 59.9 W . Obviously, the fact that it is called a disturbance 
must mean something. Perhaps once it passes us it will become a real threat..? 
Be safe out there, wherever you are, and be happy.  Bloom where you're planted. 
Life is short! May God bless us all!

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- Potential Disturbance #1
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 28 Jun 2013 20:48:26 -0500
Hello Again for the day!

There's a disturbance soon to be in our neighborhood. At 7:00 p.m. it's position, that is, it's center was located at 11.5N  58.1W . Movement is West Northwestward at 20mph. It's not expected to develop, nevertheless, gusty wind and heavy rain is accompanying this system. Though this Tropical Wave/Disturbance was in the forecast for Sunday into Monday, we can expect a higher percentage/chance of rain already on Saturday evening.. The disturbance is huge, stretching from Venezuela to our level. Perhaps the strong winds aloft will rip it apart, but as we have seen from the last ones, enough of it gets through. We don't mind having rain, especially those of us who need it for cisterns, but too much of it causes varied problems, especially flash floods. Let's keep an eye on it. Blessings!

Isabel

- Some Dry Hours Ahead
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 28 Jun 2013 06:57:28 -0400
Good Morning, World!

Here, it looks like it's going to be a good day for outdoor things. Like having 
iced tea for two...? Hope you'll be having a good day in every sense as well. 
June is not a typical month for hurricanes, but that could change with July. 
So, it's important that we do what we have to do to get ready for anything. We 
can expect another T Wave Sunday into Monday. Have a great day! May God bless 
all of us.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- Thundering!
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 27 Jun 2013 14:48:45 -0500

Good Mid-Afternoon,

We haven't had thunder with any of the Tropical Waves, but today we do. I expect the next one to be more dramatic. It arrives on Sunday according to NOAA. Be well, be happy, be prepared! Blessings!

Isabel

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- In Between Tropical Waves
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 26 Jun 2013 21:08:09 -0500

Good Night,  Y'all!

I could not resist sharing the beauty that we enjoy in between T Waves. I took this photo at Cheney Bay where the Friends of Denmark celebrated with all of Europe the beginning of Summer, by lighting a bonfire to throw in all the bad habits, etc., before the dinner this spectacular view unfolded itself. I grabbed my phone and took it, ceasing the moment forever. In  between Waves there are countless charming sights  on St. Croix. Blessings!

Isabel

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- The Kitchen Window
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 26 Jun 2013 16:24:06 -0400
Greetings on this soggy-sunny-soggy day! Typical T Wave with heavy, dark 
clouds, the rain, and then not; the eerie stillness, then the brief rush of 
wind with pelting rain. That's what lashed the kitchen window at the sink, 
where my view, usually, is a beautiful, white Bougainvillea tree a short 
distance away, and the Yellow Breast birds at the feeder or the bath, AND the 
clothesline reminding me that there will be entire smiling, sunny days again 
for laundry fun. Ha! My view at the start of the day was RAIN. Dave is watching 
the next T Wave with suspicion. We ought to keep an eye on it as well. May God 
bless us and help us to enjoy one day at a time.

Isabel

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P.S. the un-used post sticking up, like a sore thumb, from the road above, at 
the back of the house, has served as a lightning rod. We thought it best NOT to 
have it removed.

Sent from my iPod

- "Numerous Showers and Isolated Thunderstorms"
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Tue, 25 Jun 2013 23:04:23 -0400
Good Night, All!

NOAA Weather Radio has been repeating frequently that tonight into tomorrow we 
can expect a lot of rain, that is, if the wind does not rip apart the T Wave. 
We've had some short bursts of heavy showers throughout the day. If these 
should be of longer duration it could spell big trouble in flood zones and 
landslides. Dr. Jeff Masters has some amazing photos and videos on what too 
much rain can do. In Calgary the whole city was flooded. In Austria a cleverly 
engineered wall kept the city of Grein from flooding as well. India's monsoon 
rains seem worse than ever with many fatalities. 
These stories are repeated in countless other places. May God bless us always.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- Good Morning, Moon!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 24 Jun 2013 18:49:56 -0400
This is the last glimpse of the Super Moon (second photo). The clouds could 
never overtake it and the fizzled TW had barely a drizzle. Now,  I noticed that 
the next TW is quite large. Could this be "trouble, trouble, trouble..." as the 
song says..? The Saharan dust has also lifted somewhat. Perhaps that's what The 
Weather Channel meant by --changes can come for the beginning of July--. Our 
gazebo constructor is hoping to get it done before anything comes. He does not 
expect it to be blown away though; it's quite strong. TW or not, we went to 

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our favorite beach for a swim. The sea was kind of wavy, but not affected 
adversely by the remnants of the TW. It was most delightful. The best things in 
life are free, so I hear, this beach is definitely one of those. Check my post 
"Tranquility" for a better look. God bless you, and me, and the whole wee world.

Isabel 

Sent from my iPod

- The Super Super Moon
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 23 Jun 2013 23:24:16 -0400
Hello again!

Greetings from St. Croix on a beautiful, clear night! It may not be clear for 
long, but what a treat to see this sight. We often have "daylight" full moons 
on clear nights, so I expect that as the super moon rises higher in the sky, 
the "daylight"
will be brighter. Oops! I guess not. No clouds when I took the photo at 10:00 
p.m, but in the meanwhile it's cloudy and after midnight there's a 60% chance 
of rain with the first TW. That's the tropics for you! Blessings!

Isabel

P.S. what you see under the moon are trees. I took the photo at a lower level.

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Sent from my iPod

- The Brain Cactus & the Weather
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 23 Jun 2013 19:59:37 -0400
Good Evening,

First of all, thank you for reading these updates and your appreciation of the 
photos and your most welcome offers. I respond to each one as soon as I can. 
Here is a fascinating cactus which attracts everyone's attention. We call it a 
Brain. It looks like a brain and defies all kinds of weather. If anyone knows 
the name of this cactus I would like to share it with those who ask. According 
to NOAA we are going to have two    
Tropical Waves this week. This is sometimes contradicted by other weather 
sources, so it's  a matter of "wait and see". Most of the time NOAA is 
accurate, if not, it's because the weather has a mind of it's own. May God 
bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- The Super Perigee Moon
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sat, 22 Jun 2013 23:53:21 -0400
Goodnight, All!

At 11:30 tonight I could not resist taken a photo of this supersize moon. I 
know that it will peak tomorrow, but in case of a cloud cover I decided to go 
for it. There is a good chance of rain/thunderstorms for the next few days. Be 
well, be happy and may God bless you and me and all ah we.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- Hurricane & Tsunami Season?
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sat, 22 Jun 2013 17:03:23 -0400
Good Saturday afternoon ! 

This morning I stopped at Sunday Market Square ( so named during donkey cart 
years ) to take a photo of one of the new signs recently installed around 
Christiansted Town. I mentioned them in my post yesterday. Because of the 
timing of this action some people are no longer in a Hurricane Season state of 
mind, which means no preparation. I think the Government should clarify that 
these signs were on the board for a while, like the By-Pass which took over 
twenty years from planning to completion. While a Tsunami can occur, it is more 
difficult to tell when than a hurricane which one can track from its beginning. 
They often start as a Tropical Wave, then a Depression, then a Name Storm, then 
a Hurricane, but sometimes they can develop faster. Last year the new Tsunami 
sirens were tested in the town in the areas which would be affected by a 
Tsunami, however, in an air-conditioned building the sound cannot be heard as 
it should. My daughter, who is a teacher right in the town did not hear the 
test, which came from the Fort a short distance away. Perhaps other measures of 
alert will also be taken. As for right now, I heard on the Weather Radio that 
another TW shall be here by Monday. Have a great weekend and may God bless us 
all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- Change of Concerns
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 21 Jun 2013 23:13:31 -0500

I wish you a good, peaceful night. All is quiet. I see far, though, and I think there's going to be a change in the weather,  hopefully not before the kids fly off on their vacation next wee. Today I was speaking with a friend who connects with many locals. It seems that there is more concern over a Tsunami than over a hurricane. They don't believe it's going to be active this year, but the Tsunami could be more of a reality. I think their concern is due to the signs that have been installed around the town. These signs indicate evacuation zones and routes. While they are somewhat worrisome, they are necessary and should have been up a long time ago. The important thing is to be ready for anything and "take the bull by the horns" when it comes.
May God bless us all.

Isabel


- River Cloud & Evening Lights
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Thu, 20 Jun 2013 21:57:43 -0400
A Hearty Good Evening!

We are entering a tranquil pattern which should last through the weekend. 
That's great! We're planning a beach picnic for Saturday morning. This photo 
was taken at twilight. The line of clouds in the distance is trailing the 
Tropical Wave that bombarded us with pitchforks yesterday. The NHC does not 
expect it to develop as the wind aloft is too strong. The next name storm will 
be the "C" storm. When and where will it develop? When SANDY passed us as a 
Tropical Wave who could imagine the monster it would later become? So, let's 
pray, hope for best, while preparing for the worse. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- The TW Slowly Moves Away
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Thu, 20 Jun 2013 06:17:32 -0500

The photo shows how the Crepe Myrtle flowers bowed to the heavy rain yesterday. The branches usually stand straight up. I think I prefer this bowed look. My daughter and family, who live in the apt downstairs, don't mind having it partially covering the window. They have other windows, besides, from one of those branches hangs a feeder for the Yellow Breast birds, known here as Sugar Birds because they love sugar. We can still expect some rain today, otherwise the weather should improve through the weekend. There are other TWs on the way, thanks to the Saharan Dust, formation of these is very difficult. Good for us. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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- Heavy RAIN
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 19 Jun 2013 14:25:13 -0400
A Soggy, Good Afternoon !

A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for Christiansted! If this is considered a 
"weak" Tropical Wave, a strong one would be a tropical storm! We have been 
having a deluge!
Blessings !

Isabelj

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Sent from my iPod

- It Has Arrived !
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 19 Jun 2013 09:41:47 -0400
A Rainy, Good Morning!

During the night, flashes of lightning heralded the approach of the Tropical 
Wave. Our elderly dog was restless; we thought maybe it had to do with the 
weather. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast until Thursday. 
Let's follow the Wave! The previous one is headed to Vera Cruz where copious 
amounts of rain is expected. Stay tuned! May God bless your day and mine.

Isabel



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Sent from my iPod

- A "Weak Wave" Approaching..?
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 18 Jun 2013 21:42:22 -0500
Hello and Good Night!

I listen to NOAA Weather Radio quite frequently, like every time I'm in the kitchen. Can't help it, it's right there. Well, I'm mighty confused because they are now calling for a weak wave passing Wednesday into Thursday, with a probability of an increase of rain; yet, on the other hand, they also tell us that we're going to have numerous showers and thunderstorms, that does not sound like a weak wave with just a probability of rain. The satellite imagery on stormcarib is showing quite a wide area of storminess, so I guess we'll just wait and see what tomorrow brings. It won't be a good day for putting on the roof of the gazebo, if the weak wave turns out to be stronger than they think. I like to multitask, so if the weather is not good for one task it will be good for another. I have a "ton" of things to do and not enough hours in the day to do them. Besides, some of those hours go to reading, rest, (w)riting, and relaxation, all of which is an earned privilege especially when we are living on borrowed Time. May God bless us this night and always.

Isabel

P..S. Attached are flowers of the night


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- Another Tropical Wave on the Way
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 17 Jun 2013 23:49:39 -0500
Good Night, All!

Before I retire I wanted to bring your attention to the increasing activity. As TD Two ploughs through Beliz and surroundings, I am keeping a watch on another Wave. It's quite a large one capable of becoming something. NOAA Radio tells us it will be in our area by Wednesday. I hope that we are ready with everything we'll be needing throughout this season. Be safe. Watch Hurricane Hunters this week on the Weather Channel and see what those brave people have to do to gather data that save lives. In the first showing, the lady pilot was seen arriving back home to the arms of her little son with a gift she bought him in St. Croix where the Hunters call home for a spell. May God bless them and us all.

Isabel


- Hazy Sunshine
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 16 Jun 2013 11:55:24 -0400
Happy Sun and Father's Day!

As I sat on this bench where I had a commanding view of earth, sea, and sky, I 
enjoyed the gentle breeze while keeping an eye on the dark cloud looming 
overhead. The % of rain is low, good for the Swim Meet today. Our swimmer did 
so well yesterday that she will be moving up to the Gold team. For now it just 
means more training... Back to another %, the disturbance in Central Caribbean 
is now at 20%. It is being monitored. There are many TWs getting ready to track 
across the Atlantic towards the islands; the Saharan dust is keeping them to 
the South at the moment. Good for us, bad for them. One way or the other 
potential storms will cross the Atlantic. May God bless all Dads this day and 
all of us throughout this hurricane season.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- Hot, Humid, and Hazy
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sat, 15 Jun 2013 16:29:21 -0400
Good afternoon!

After the early thunderstorms this morning the day has dried out leaving a 
heavy tropical heat with additional thunderstorms in the forecast for later in 
the afternoon. The Swim Meet needed a dry weekend even though they were getting 
wet in the pool. They are called out if there's a possibility of lightning 
strikes. The Meet lasts through Sunday with teams coming from the mainland as 
well. We'll continue to hope for great weather for them and for all great Dads 
of which I know quite a few! Have a very happy day and may God bless us all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- The TW
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 14 Jun 2013 21:29:51 -0400
Good Evening/Night,

On checking stormcarib this evening I could not figure out where the TW was 
located. It seemed to be more to the south. It definitely was in the area; the 
sea was warm and I was getting chills! On the way back we passed the ballpark 
where a huge crowd was gathering for a game. The announcer's voice boomed 
throughout the vicinity. It seemed like an important game. About an hour after 
we arrived home it poured and I felt sorry for all those folks on the bleachers 
and on the field as excitement built. After a pause another shower; clearly we 
were getting some of the TW. Our 12 yr old gd hopes that the Swim Meet tomorrow 
will be TW free. So we hope. God bless us all, especially all Dads as they get 
ready for their DAY!


Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- The Lush, Secret Garden
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Thu, 13 Jun 2013 13:51:41 -0400
A Pleasant, Good Morning!

The "lush" part of our secret garden is an abundance of rain; Every day, or at 
night, we get enough to keep the plants happy and the fruit trees producing. 
Sometimes the paths disappear and park benches are hidden by over sized ground 
cover, however, before long and lots of TLC it  becomes once again "a thing of 
beauty". More rain is coming tonight and tomorrow in the form of a Tropical 
Wave, according to NOAA Radio. There are already signs of a change in the 
weather. Stay tuned! God bless us!

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- Enjoying the QUIET!
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 11 Jun 2013 23:24:09 -0500
Good night, All!

Hope it's been a good one for everyone! We had some nice rain showers today. They really help to keep us cool, at least on our hill. The pineapple of a few photos ago is now sitting on the counter. It's too pretty to eat; maybe it can be part of the gazebo celebration, but can we resist that long? The weather has been holding up, just a shower now and then, so before long it should be completed. We can hardly wait. It's all part of our 50th year celebration this year. Much ado is going on and people are expected from off island. However, we have to accept whatever comes. I heard on The Weather Channel that the MJO is going to be set in place in the Atlantic by June 25; that should allow the formation of storms. Not a good thought with which to end the day, so I shall bid you all sweet dreams and God's blessing!

Isabel

- The Trough ( photo )
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 10 Jun 2013 18:50:11 -0400
This photo, taken this evening, was part of the  previous post. In the 
meanwhile it is raining again. Have a nice, cozy evening/night. Watch and pray. 
Blessings!

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- The Trough
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Mon, 10 Jun 2013 18:42:03 -0400
Good Evening,

We're having the effects of a "weak trough"- an elongated region of relatively 
low pressure, often associated with "fronts". (Wikipedia). What are "fronts"? 
Naw, not the opposite of backs. Can't explain it now, but Wiki informs us that 
"it is usually less convective than a trough in the tropics or subtropics...." 
We had rumbles of thunder and heavy showers. It seems to have passed now, 
however, the sky remains very dark as if there's more coming. On Friday the 
next Tropical Wave is predicted for the region. Thank God no one has control 
over the weather. So, let's enjoy it, and prepare for the season as we should. 
May God bless us all!

Isabel


Sent from my iPod

- Grayish Kind of Day
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 9 Jun 2013 16:00:50 -0500
No rain, though it seems always on the verge. The Satellite Imagery on stormcarib looks very active, but nothing going on around here except for the gray sky and sea. Each day there's another face to the day. One never knows what to expect, because even if the weatherman says it's going to rain, it does not always happen on our side. Our Gazebo builder almost did not come one day as it was pouring where he lived and it was dry here. The distance between both places is not that big. So, visitors, do not hesitate to visit. It does not rain everywhere at the same time, and it passes quickly anyway, unless there is a tropical system affecting us, then it usually covers the whole island and beyond. The next TW (tropical wave) according to NOAA radio is arriving on Friday. Enjoy each day as it comes, it could very well be our last, right? God bless you and me and "all ah we" !

Isabel

- A Funky Error!😳
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sat, 8 Jun 2013 16:37:01 -0400
In my previous post which I revised and revised I still made a funky error. The 
"sea mili-inches from Earth" ? I meant the SUN. Thank you, I know I'm excused. 
Writing on an iPod is more difficult than on an iPad or a computer, then why do 
it? I like challenges. So, now, rain or sunshine, we're heading out for a swim 
in the warm Caribbean Sea.

God loves You and me,
Isabel 

Sent from my iPod

- The Sea Water Heater
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sat, 8 Jun 2013 16:17:55 -0400
The photo below shows why the sea is getting warmer. Could the sea be 
mili-inches nearer to Earth? Most likely not; it just feels that way. The photo 
was taken towards evening, same as the previous one. In that post I mentioned 
that the sea felt warmer. According to NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric 
Administration) that is one of the reasons for their high prediction of 13-20 
name storms this season. The wind shear works in our favor, as for instance, in 
the case of this latest Invest 92L approaching us. It was sheared apart by high 
winds of 30-40 knots, and we were spared a potential storm. This will not 
always be the case; that's another reason for the high prediction of name 
storms. We can expect passing showers from the tropical wave through the 
weekend. Those are most welcome. The "W" letter goes with the "H" 
Season...watch and pray! May God bless us all.

Isabel 

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Sent from my iPod

- Tranquility
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 7 Jun 2013 22:31:59 -0400
The area of disturbed weather that was being investigated has been 
discontinued. The Saharan dust choked it. The weekend may not be as wet. We had 
this beach all to ourselves, my husband and I, towards evening. The sea felt a 
lot warmer today. I spoke with our son in Queens, NY and they were getting a 
good soaking; the total extreme of our day. There are many soon to be storms 
coming off the coast of Africa. Let's be attentive. May God bless us all!

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- A Gorgeous Day!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Thu, 6 Jun 2013 23:17:37 -0400
It was just one of those days! Good to enjoy them while we can. As Gert 
mentioned, the blob to our east has been upgraded to Invest 92L. It does not 
seem to have much of a chance to develop but you never know. Good thing is that 
it might go north of us. NOAA Radio is predicting rain on Sunday from that 
system, if it doesn't the Youth Group will be happy to have their event as 
planned. We shall see. May God bless us all.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- Tropical Storm ANDREA
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Wed, 5 Jun 2013 18:23:43 -0500

Here we go! Early in June already the first name storm! More people die in storms from the surge and flooding than from the wind. I just saw that report a few days ago. So, be very careful Floridians and everyone in the path of ANDREA. I suggest you monitor this storm if you are within the cone, or projected path. Tune in to the Weather Channel at ten to the hour for the Tropical Update for the latest and  check in at stormcarib at any time to find out if and when anything is coming from Africa . There are several tropical waves on the way to the Atlantic, some are already making their way across. We were hit by a deluge all morning with short breaks in between; all that from a "weak" tropical wave. The next one is halfway here, probably by the weekend we should see that one unless it moves to the North or South of us. Let's track these systems and not get caught off guard. May God bless us all.

Isabel


- The Pineapple
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 5 Jun 2013 10:59:22 -0400
"I need lots of tropical sunshine and I need lots of rain. At the moment I am 
getting both in abundance at Isabel's front door. Visitors admire me all the 
time. I am just about ready to be harvested and make a delectable dessert for 
the household. Am I ever thankful for the sun and the rain!"

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Sent from my iPod

- Our Weather This Morning, plus....
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Wed, 5 Jun 2013 07:10:32 -0400
Good morning! Perhaps it will not be gray all day, but has certainly started in 
a delightful way. Nice and cool. The "plus" is the understatement in my post 
last night. There are not just two Blobs, but rather, a series of them which 
can become name storms in the near figure. Keep your eyes to the East, towards 
Africa. However, the very first name storm could be in the Gulf of Mexico 
(GOM). Be back later.

Isabel

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Sent from my iPod

- The Weather Was Over Me
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Tue, 4 Jun 2013 23:22:39 -0500
Hi folks!  Doesn't that sound like the title of a song? Perhaps, but what it means is that I was under the weather for a short spell, so the thunderstorm last night was a special treat. It rained and poured and rained again! I'm sure we got something in the cisterns, I hope. More was promised for today, but though it looked threatening and everyone had to tote an umbrella, it did not rain. That was good for the construction that's going on in our lower garden. My husband had been wanting a Gazebo for the longest while, so he finally got a model from the Internet and contacted a fine Carpenter we know from Barbados. They both have been working on it. They mixed and poured the cement for the floor. Some Gazebo, that! Rain today definitely would not have helped, but we did get a few drops this evening.I'm keeping an eye on the African Coast. There are two large looking Blobs heading for the coast. It's not too early to start stocking up on non-perishables, etc..Every time we go shopping we should get a few additional items for our Hurricane Pantry, instead of making a dash for everything one time. So, be well, be busy, and may God bless you, me, and everyone we know.

Isabel

- Our Weather and Theirs
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Mon, 3 Jun 2013 19:58:23 -0500
Good evening!

Rain, rain everywhere! The Northeast has been getting pummeled,-when I arrived there on the 8 May they were having a dry spell in New York. They thanked me for the rain which arrived the next day. Since then they've been getting rain regularly with some clear, warm days in between. May was cold, I had to warm my hands at the open toaster, and one day I turned on the oven to heat the kitchen!. (All I had to do was ask that the heat be turned on, but this was an experience for me coming from warm St. Croix.) Florida is suppose to be the Sunshine State, but the rain has not stopped and now they are being threatened by Invest 91, more RAIN! As for us, we are happy when we hear some drops on the roof, hoping that more will follow. The word is that we should be getting a good amount tonight and tomorrow from a weak tropical wave.That's great! We need the rain. My husband was checking the cisterns. So, between our weather and theirs, they are getting the better part. I wish them some of our sunshine, especially in Richmond Hill, Queens where I spent three wonderful weeks. Let us try to stay safe and enjoy each day as it comes, and may God bless us all.

Isabel

- Happy Hurricane Season!
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Sun, 2 Jun 2013 20:10:25 -0400
Can one really say that ? Of course we can! As long as we do the right things 
to prepare, yes, we can be happy resting assured that we have done everything 
to stay safe if there is a storm. There are two tropical waves out there in the 
Atlantic at the moment, nothing ominous looking; however, with the sea being 
warmer, each wave has the potential of becoming something to watch. In the 
meanwhile we can enjoy the season along with the tourists. Be well, be happy, 
and may God bless us all.

Isabel

My condolences go out to the families of the scientist and crew killed by a 
tornado yesterday.  

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Sent from my iPod

- Hello! - It's THAT Season Again!
  • From: Isabel Cerni <isabelcerni at gmail.com>
  • Date: Fri, 31 May 2013 23:22:45 -0500

I got a jump start last night. Now it's after midnight and the season is official. I usually write only from June 1st_Nov.1st .  Hope all my Caribbean neighbors and friends have been well weather wise and otherwise . We had a landslide a month ago after the torrential rain from the first tropical wave. Since then it has rained a good bit but not enough to satisfy the many demands on the Washing Machine, not to mention daily baths/showers of five people. We depend on rain for our cisterns. It rained copiously in NY where I spent three weeks recently; just returned a couple days ago. It was cold! Not all the time, of course. Extreme heat set in after I left. Before I turn in I want to draw your attention to a very large blob just exiting the African coast. Chances  are, the Saharan dust in the vicinity will destroy it. Keep an eye to the weather. May God bless us all.

Isabel


- Lazy, Hazy, Eve of Hurricane Season 2013
  • From: isabelcerni at gmail.com
  • Date: Fri, 31 May 2013 21:00:45 -0400
A Big HELLO to everyone around the globe who tune in to Stormcarib !! It is 
hazy and warm with a very nice breeze on our hill. An early warning by NOAA of 
up to 20 name storms for this season is most unsettling. Are we ready for this? 
No way! After SANDY last year there are many out there who fail to believe that 
it can happen again. And yet, it can! June 1st is the beginning of what can be 
an unforgettable Hurricane Season, especially where the storms make landfall. 
Preparedness is of utmost importance. By tracking the storms, listening, 
reading the latest developments, etc. we can be on top of Andrea, or Barry, or 
Chantal and on down the line. It up to us to remain informed. This website does 
a great job doing just that thanks to Gert. We should promote it as much as 
possible so that those with interests, be it people or property, on the 
islands, can know what the conditions are before and after a storm. So, here we 
are, another hurricane season! I wish everyone well, stay safe and may God 
bless us all.

Isabel

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