Good night everyone,
It looks as if the dry air in front of the Tropical Wave in the eastern Atlantic is doing a good job of suppressing development. The US National Hurricane Center is treating this as a normal Tropical Wave at the moment due to it not having a discernable
centre. Therefore they are no longer tracking it as an Invest but as a disturbance.
It still has a chance of development in a few days time, so the longer it takes helps to reduce the impact if it continues its course towards the Lesser Antilles. The NHC are still giving this disturbance a 40% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone
within 5 days.
It needs to be watched in case of any suprises and no doubt there will be plenty of showers/rain even if it remains just a Tropical Wave.
Latest graphic issued by the NHC is attached for 8pm today.
Regards,
Frank Goodwill
Pond Hill, Nevis, KN, local weather station:
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=ISAINTGE361
Sent from my Galaxy Tab® A
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