- Updates from the Islands -

- - Puerto Rico - -

- - - 2007 Hurricane Season - - -

- The Guacamole Forecast (!)

From: Fincadelseto at aol.com
Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2008 08:20:31 EDT

Rec'd this info from a fellow local farmer:

"....found out that we have a nice 'old timer' method for predicting the season; the avocados are loaded with flowers.

Our wild trees on the farm prompted the remark. The old timers say that when the avocados are is loaded to the gills with flowers, there will be a very active season with many hurricanes. Between this and flipping coins, I go with the Guacamole Forecast...."

Coffee Trees Flowering - March '08 - Jayuya, PR

Planning your summer road trip? Check out AOL Travel Guides.

- Cool day in San Juan, Puerto Rico

From: Francisco Echegaray <fechegaray at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 3 Apr 2008 03:06:23 +0000

Hello to all Caribbean weather reporters:

Today has been a cool day in San Juan, Puerto Rico. Weather has been mostly cloudy and we have have many sporadic
showers, though they have ended shortly. The most striking element has been strong winds since tuesday night. And today
all throgh the day we have had an almost constant strong breeze from the north east. This strong breeze, and rain has brought temperatures down significantly, not higher than low eighties and for a good part of the day in the seventies. Since the early evening we have had readings of 72 F and it is now feeling chilly. We probably are going to go down to the upper sixties during the night....which is cold for San Juan in april....just when I thought our cool winter days were over. :-)

Greetings,

Francisco

- COASTAL FLOOD WARNING TO NORTH PUERTO RICO

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Thu, 20 Mar 2008 20:11:07 -0400

We are in a Flood Warning State to the north of Puerto Rico from Mayagüez, to Humacao…. All these Cities are watching the swells, in Carolina (Piñones), the sea come inside the Little Store (Kiosos), that many citizen lost his possessions. Some street like the #187 (that run to Loiza) is disability, and the transportation from Cataño to San Juan Via Sea, Is out of service. In Arecibo, the sea destroyed part of the Avenue Victor Rojas. Even so, the peoples go to the beach to see, and other to come inside the water. The authorities said, that is very dangerous, visit the bleaches in the north of our island. Now the warning go to Friday, at 12:00pm.

COASTAL FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE

NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN AREA...LOIZA AND

BEACHES OF VEGA BAJA. COASTAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OCCURRING UNTIL

AT LEAST FRIDAY...WITH TIMES OF INCREASED DANGER ALIGNING WITH THE

HIGH TIDES.

COASTAL FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE

NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN

AREA...LOIZA...HATILLO AND THE BEACHES OF VEGA BAJA. COASTAL

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE OCCURRING THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY...WITH TIMES

OF INCREASED DANGER ALIGNING WITH THE HIGH TIDES.

EXTREMELY HIGH SURF CONDITIONS OF 15 TO 25 FEET HAVE ALSO BEEN

REPORTED ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS EXPOSED TO THE NORTHERN swells.

Now the winter Storm, is moving to the East , in low motion, the effect of the swells go down, to Sunday the weather will be normal. But we wait a cool from go near out.

This is advance like the weather go to change in out planet Earth.

Héctor L. Matos

Puerto Rico

- From the Finca

From: Fincadelseto at aol.com
Date: Wed, 13 Feb 2008 06:59:39 EST

Have a Happy Valentines Day!

From

Suzanne & Ed

The year's hottest artists on the red carpet at the Grammy Awards. AOL Music takes you there.

- From Puerto Rico

From: Fincadelseto at aol.com
Date: Mon, 24 Dec 2007 06:11:33 EST

See AOL's top rated recipes and easy ways to stay in shape for winter.

- Olga

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Tue, 11 Dec 2007 17:53:30 -0400

Well, Metro San Juan certainly got pounded with rain today. From my 8thfloor window at work, I watched to the north as San Juan disappeared ina huge, blustery downpour. Then, as I boarded the Tren Urbano to headhome, the clouds were coming from the other direction and the mountainsdisappeared from view as rain blew from the south. Even train stationsgave warnings to be careful on the platforms as they are slippery fromthe rain. "Las mujeres y los caballeros: la precaución a causa lospisos mojados, cuando abordar el tren."As we are cleaning up from dinner, I can see some blue sky reappearing.It's been a few days since we've seen that. The strange thing about allof this, we are all experiencing what feels like COLD WEATHER to us.Jackets, and hats outdoors. Blankets and warm socks indoors!! Nowonder! It's only 76 degrees!!


I'm sure Olga will bring lots or moisture to our neighbors, too.

Bendigate,
Eric in PR

- invest 94 or Olga? Only Nature Knows for SURE!

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 10 Dec 2007 21:27:30 -0400

As my subject says, only nature knows:

HOWEVER, here on the North Shore of Puerto Rico, we're getting poundedwith torrential rains and wind. Christmas shoppers are getting a goodsoaking, and many malls are operating on diesel power as AAE has failedin throughout Bayamón, Cataño, and portions of Toa Baja making driving abit treacherous. I am soaked from walking to my car in the local mallparking lot. My wind chimes are singing a loud song on the patio andstreets are flooding quickly. We usually experience Tropical Rains likethis, but it's been a while.

I hope my friend is missing this on her Caribbean Cruise this week.I'll find out Friday.


Bendigate,
Eric in PR

- So far not bad...

From: Francisco Echegaray <fechegaray at hotmail.com>
Date: Tue, 11 Dec 2007 01:27:46 +0000

Just around 9 pm we have started to experience copious rains here in San Juan. There is wind but nothing extraordinary. No wind howling at all here, unlike what some other folks have reported in the Virgin islands. According to some local weather reporting stations wind gust are at most 10 miles per hour in San Juan (= 16 km/hr).
The radar picture shows that the system is developing a round core which is partially over Puerto Rico's north eastern part at this moment. It seems like we will have rain for a while. But doesn't look like like a flooding event.

If there is something more interesting I will report later. Good night everyone.

Francisco Echegaray
Rio Piedras(San Juan)

- Update

From: "Alex Avila" <geo_tropical at hotmail.com>
Date: Mon, 10 Dec 2007 21:04:57 -0400

Hello! Feeling the storm now, strong winds from the northeast, at about 30mph or more. Trees are dancing from side to side and the raindrops can beseen almost horizontal carried by the winds.

Have seen only one flash of lighting.

_________________________________________________________________

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- Safe to get back in the water?

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Sun, 09 Dec 2007 22:09:05 -0400

Just as you thought it was safe, The Christmas Season has begun, here inPuerto Rico and yet we find ourselves needing vigilence in our stormwatch.

Invest 94 is in the Western Atlantic, just to our Northeast, with thepotential to become a storm. Our waters are cooling, but that doesn'tmean we can't have a storm. Remember, Nature can't read the GregorianCalendar.So, for the next few days, let's watch Invest 94 for development and becareful of the waves it is producing on the north shore of Puerto Rico.


Forecaster Franklin gives this Special Report:

00
WONT41 KNHC 092158

DSAATSPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM EST SUN DEC 9 2007

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
TODAY ABOUT 550 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO...IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH AND A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL
LOW.  THE SYSTEM IS ALREADY PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS...MAINLY TO
THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE MAIN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS.  THE
SURFACE TROUGH HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.  WATER TEMPERATURES ARE STILL WARM ENOUGH IN THIS AREA TO
SUPPORT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
ESPECIALLY PROHIBITIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT.  THIS SYSTEM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...AND INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...HISPANIOLA...AND THE EASTERN BAHAMAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FURTHER SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS
NECESSARY.  FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...CONSULT

STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Bendigate,
Eric in PR

- Not a Storm but dangerous weather

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Sun, 09 Dec 2007 21:57:55 -0400

No, its not a Hurricane, but with the Christmas Winds come somedangerous Rip Tides in the Atlantic Coastal areas of the CaribbeanIslands. This notice is especially important to TROPICAL VISITORS whoare excited about the waves and surf available in Puerto Rico. This isNOT the right kind of surfing weather. These are dangerous Rip Tidesthat can carry ANYONE out to sea as this Weather Service Warning states:


MONDAY.

A BROAD SURFACE TROUGH EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES WILL ENTER THE
LOCAL AREA THIS EVENING AND WILL INCREASE WINDS AND SEAS ACROSS
THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. BUOY NUMBER
41043...LOCATED NORTH OF ST THOMAS...WAS REPORTING 10 FOOT EAST
NORTHEAST SWELLS AT 9 SECONDS. THESE LARGE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO
START AFFECTING THE LOCAL WATERS AND COASTLINES LATER TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. THESE SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES OF
10 TO 14 FEET OR HIGHER ALONG THE LOCAL REEFS...BEACHES AND SHOALS
OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS.

THESE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE STRONG AND DANGEROUS CURRENTS
WITHIN THE SURF ZONE...CALLED RIP CURRENTS. THESE NARROW OUTWARD
FLOWING CURRENTS CAN CARRY PEOPLE AND ANIMALS AWAY FROM THE COAST
LINE AND OUT TO SEA. IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...DO
NOT PANIC. CALMLY...REMAIN AFLOAT...GATHER YOUR BEARINGS RELATIVE
TO THE BEACH...AND SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH. YOU WILL
EVENTUALLY LEAVE THE GRIP OF THIS NARROW CURRENT...AND BE ABLE
TO SAFELY SWIM TO SHORE.

LOCAL BEACH GOERS...AND INEXPERIENCED SURFERS AND SWIMMERS ARE
URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL THESE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS
SUBSIDE. PERSONS ON THE BEACH SHOULD BE VIGILANT FOR LARGE
BREAKING WAVES SURGING UPON THE SHORE...WHICH CAN CARRY PEOPLE OF
ALL SIZES INTO THE OCEAN. YOU SHOULD AVOID BEING NEAR THE SHORE
LINE AND STAY OFF OF ROCK FORMATIONS.

THESE SURGING WAVES WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR BEACH
EROSION DURING TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

THE TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS ARE:

SAN JUAN HARBOR: 7:58 PM AST TONIGHT 9:56 AM MONDAY MORNING

MAGENS BAY ST THOMAS: 10:16 AM MONDAY MORNING

CHRISTIANSTED ST CROIX: 8:35 AM MONDAY MORNING

STAY TUNED FOR ANY ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
SAN JUAN.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.


Bendigate,
Eric in PR

- Strong Tremor felt in Puerto Rico

From: Francisco Echegaray <fechegaray at hotmail.com>
Date: Thu, 29 Nov 2007 21:46:11 +0000

Hi everyone;

This is to inform that here in San Juan, Puerto Rico we felt the treemor at 3 pm. We were in an office and all furniture started swaying. It lasted about 10 seconds. It was comparable to the strongest tremors felt here in the last 10-20 years.

In some parts of San JUan there was panic among people in high buildings which were evacuated.

There were reports of the tremor being felt all over the island of Puerto Rico. But no reports of damage so far. Just scared people.

I hope there are not many serious damage in Martinique...

F. Echegaray

- rain rain go away...lluvia lluvia va pa'ya...

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Sun, 28 Oct 2007 20:52:33 -0400

So THAT'S why we're getting so much rainy weather this weekend...There'sa storm brewing just south of Haiti and it's drenching Puerto Rico andthe VI. Fear not, it's heading north over Cuba and the Bahamas. SunnyPuerto Rico will see the sun again!

We have had some local street flooding in nearby towns of Cataño andBayamón. Levittown, however, drains very well. The Atlantic Ocean atthe Bridge of Flags (Puente de Bandejas) in Levittown is BROWN from theriver waters from Rio Hondo and Rio Bayamón pouring out to sea. It'sbeen very breezy, too.

Otherwise, it's been a great weekend to stay home and make chicken soup(sopa de pollo) and stay warm.


Bendigate,

Eric in Puerto Rico

- Puerto Rico In Water Rain!

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 28 Oct 2007 08:27:19 -0400

Hello,

Today we wakeup, with more water that yesterday. Yesterday, I pickup 3.125” of rain in my rain gauge, the winds ware calm, in some time hard like 12mph, and the temperature Maximum 78.4° F and minimum 72.3° F, so cool. In the night, light rain, but constant. Look at the Photos and see yourself.

From “La Isla del Encanto”

Héctor

- gusty rainy AM

From: David Garcia <byfion at hotmail.com>
Date: Fri, 26 Oct 2007 16:21:04 -0400

Woke up to gusty winds, and no power at 4:30 AM, showers have been pretty much on and off as a result of the weather system that is moving west.

Climb to the top of the charts! Play Star Shuffle: the word scramble challenge with star power. Play Now!

- Waves

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Fri, 12 Oct 2007 17:49:25 -0400

Yes just like the sea, Waves come and waves go. We've seen many comeand go the past few weeks and the north shore of Puerto Rico is WET WETWET. Which in the tropics means one thing: MOSQUITOS!

Puerto Rico has announced an epidemic of over 7,000 cases of suspecteddengue of which 25% are confirmed, already. We know that number is low,because it takes time to report all those cases to El Departmento deSalud. And of course the more dangerous form is hemorrhagic denguewhich killed a child this year. As a result, our emergency rooms havebeen flooded with people. One small ER saw over 7,000 patients lastmonth, where the normal volume is less than 4,000 per month.And so, the Dept de Salud is begging citizens to take action: KEEP allwater sources covered and collection vessels empty, DAILY! We areexperiencing a short break from the daily heavy rains. We also knowTHAT won't last long in the midst of the rainy season.


Otherwise, things are as normal as they get en la Isla del Encanto.

Stay vigilant, it's only mid Oct and things can happen fast andfurious. Sí, esta solo médio del octubre y las cosas pasa con fuerce yrápido! Observa con vigilancia.


Bendigate,
Eric in Levittown

- Wheather Now!

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 7 Oct 2007 11:57:51 -0400

Hello!!!!

Today, Puerto Rico, most Sunny Day, Temperature 86.9°F, winds 5 MPH, not rain, humidity 65%, Beauty Day. Well, in the vicinity we have a Tropical Wave (91L), that going to the west as 10 mph (proximity), in the last hours his course is to SW (at 230° aprox). It’s the clouds outside of the perimeter of the weak Low pressure at sea level. In the last satellite photo, her cold clouds diminish, but insist in survive until find more warm water, at this moment the season is download in intensity. It’s interesting that in this part of the season at upper level in the atmosphere it’s find jet winds journey SW to NE at 60, 50, 40 degrade in Atlantic, almost always these winds are in summer. But that said Gert, Lenny, it’s made her debut on November 15, 1999, and leave us with open mouth. So, don’t think that is all. We will be watching the Atlantic until December.

Héctor L. Matos

Puerto Rico “La Isla del Encanto”

- Weather Puerto Rico...and more!

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sat, 6 Oct 2007 09:34:28 -0400

Salutes!

Today we wakeup with a most sunny day with less clouds that yesterday. The temperature in our area is 76.8° F with not winds, not rains, humidity 74%, pressure 29.88”. It’s a nice day in “La Isla del Encanto”. But I be watch the Tropical Wave like a 1,383 miles of P.R. at this moment it’s try to organize her clouds, but upper winds is there. The weather change each time, and is the last two moths of hurricane season. The luck is that the winds in the upper atmosphere impede her development. But remember the winds it’s not will be there all the time. So, we will be watching this phenomenon in case that becomes a depression.

Héctor Luis Matos

Puerto Rico

- Much Rain In Puerto Rico

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Fri, 5 Oct 2007 17:53:07 -0400

Hi, Everybody !

Puerto Rico is submerge in rains, in the last 2 hours the rain gauge is 1.437”, now the National Weather Service has a warning issue to our area.

MUNICIPALITIES IN PUERTO RICO,  BAYAMON...CAGUAS...CIDRA...COAMO...COMERIO...AIBONITO...AGUAS

     BUENAS...BARRANQUITAS...NARANJITO AND GUAYNABO (The Green Area) including Saint Croix.

The wind is in calm, the temperature now 77° F and the rain is light in this moments. So., we go to have a Nice, cool night.

 For the Marine (coast)

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE COASTAL ATLANTIC AND

CARIBBEAN WATERS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE U.S.

VIRGIN ISLANDS...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS ARE

AFFECTING THE LOCAL WATERS NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.

VIRGIN ISLANDS. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO

CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS REDUCING VISIBILITIES AND

CREATING CHOPPY SEAS ACROSS THESE WATERS.

Hector

Puerto Rico

- Let's do it again...

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 17:06:42 -0400

Today's weather was a repeat of yesterday. Sunny in the morning, cloudyby noon and HEAVY showers all afternoon. And at 5pm, the sun hasreappeared. The canal at Levittown is once again risen. Not flooding,but it's higher than it usually is the rest of the year. We have acement wall at the water's edge and it is usually 6 to 10 inches aboutthe water. It's under 2 to 4 inches of water. The turtles areswarming, and the herons are feeding on lizards, and fish. Thekingfishers are busy, too.

It's a cool 76 degrees an hour before sunset, and that means we're infor a cool night, tonight. Although forecasts are only 75 degreesovernight.The morning commute should be sunny, dry and warm with a high of 88degrees. Here in Toa Baja it's sunny and beautiful as we're drying outfrom the drenching rains.


Bendigate,
Eric

- WET WET WET

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 10:20:10 -0400

WOW! all I can say is WOW! Saturday was a WET WET WET WET WETafternoon. We got many inches of rain in a few short hours, enough tomake the canal come up over the edge of its banks in Levittown. Andagain, this morning is clear and sunny, but there are some wet lookingclouds on radar heading this direction.

As I check out the radar, Karen has vanished. And Melissa is sluggishto say the least. Hopefully she'll go the direction of all hergirl-friends.

Temperatures here in Toa Baja are 83 with winds out of the east at 9mphand our humidity a dry 69% making the air feel like 93%. Visibility isgood at 10 miles and seas are calm. AccuWeather says our dew point is72. Thankfully we never get that cool here! The sun rose at 6:15am andwill set tonight in what appears to be stormy weather at 6:14pm.This season is much last 2006 for us, and we hope it continues to be thesame.

Be vigilant, be safe

Bendigate from The Isla del Encanto, Puerto Rico

Eric

- KAREN FELLOW LIVE

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 30 Sep 2007 08:52:08 -0400

Puerto Rico….. Beautiful Morning with much sun, at the hills and valleys, no rain in this moment, and the temperature is 79.9° F, with some kind of clouds. The winds are in calm with no other event. Great!

Karen, Oh! Karen….. you resist to died….

Karen (depression), it’s fighting ..WOW!...with wind shear, and its hard to die. No matter that other say. She undertake her run to be alive, and become close to us, to bring us some rain… and maybe winds. In the observation of the satellite photos, we can appreciate that Karen, her movement is to west in the last 6 to 12 hours, I don’t understand why the forecasters insist that the movement is to WNW. In future Karen go to be close to us, and waiting to disappear the wind shear or download to moderate to run again like Storm. It’s interesting to see that she persist in circulation at sea level that never lost. So, we have to be monitoring close Karen for any event, can arise.

Héctor

Puerto Rico “La Isla del Encanto”

Attachment: Karen DEP.jpg
Description: JPEG image

- Karen... The Incomprehensible Girl !

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sat, 29 Sep 2007 06:42:39 -0400

Salutes,

In our Island the rain was run out for yesterday and the morning is beautiful (That Tony Orlando song), the stream bed, persist down us. We wait to day less rain that yesterday like a sunny day with some clouds

Well…. Karen is the unique Storm that I remember for most years…. Its wonderful see as Karen is fighting with the wind shear and survive like Storm. In various occasions, the winds was down, but never lose the characteristic as she get in the beginning. The nature to be determined in destroy Karen, but energy, tenacity, perseverance, keeping it’s alive. The heats in the sea down there Karen supply the energy to Karen run away of the menace of the winds. We can see the powerful of the nature, that the men’s can understand. We are learning every day how is the function and the importance of the hurricane and storm in the balance in the world (between heat and cold). So, Karen persist in run to wnw, and looking for in Atlantic the way to be there for long time.

We get to look close Karen to learn more about she!.

Héctor

Puerto Rico

- A rainy day in Puerto Rico

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Wed, 26 Sep 2007 12:26:24 -0400

Yes, we do get rainy days. Not many but we do get them. However, herein Toa Baja, it's been just a few light showers this morning with somescattered clouds.BUT...last night was a different story with spectacular Lightning andthunder along with some locally heavy showers. Everything looks freshlywashed today. I see that Invest 97 is passing Puerto Rico's north shoreand headed west. I also see that TS Karen's right arm is dragging inthe water today, as she continues to turn northward toward the Bahamas.Let's hope she continues this trend and doesn't find the Caribbean.

The rumored TS Lorenzo is taking up residence in the souther YucatanPeninsula, hence no worries for him finding Puerto Rico.

Nevertheless, we remain vigilant and ready for this higher than averageactive hurricane season.

Bendigate,
Eric

- Strong Wave!

From: matrix at coqui.net
Date: Wed, 26 Sep 2007 05:18:24 -0400

Strong Vawe are on Puerto Rico.... Begining for the East Area. The thunderstorm so continuous with a light rain.

The Tropical Storm Karen, go in the Atlantic with her motion west now. but they say that she go to the north in 24 hours. That is the espected, but we can follow the trayectory for any change. I think that Karen go to run most to the west that the forecast said. Well. only has to wait... for what she like to do....

Héctor

Puerto Rico

----------------------------------------------------------------
This message was sent using http://webmail.coqui.net

- rain rain go away...I don't think that will work either...

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Tue, 25 Sep 2007 18:00:03 -0400

We're in for some rainy days this week, and I understand it will be asizable amount of rain: three to five inches. That's a a lot of rain.San Juan newspapers and local media are warning residents about locallyheavy downpours over the next couple of days. (MUCHO LLUVIA!)

Let's hope that TS Karen keeps her right arm in the water until sheswings well past us. We'll have enough rain this week.Otherwise, things are pretty normal here in Levittown. I guess it washotter than usual today, as we had a record number of iguanas sunningthemselves in the yard. We had a very hot, sunny day until about anhour ago when the clouds began to roll in. Currently it's cooled off to85 degrees and should reach a low of 77 tonight. Sun will set at 6:18pmand rise tomorrow at 6:14am. Our humidity is 72%, wind out of the ENEat 9mph and, ready for this? The WIND CHILL is 92 degrees according toweather.com. I got a chuckle when I realized they include wind chill inthe tropics.

Bendigate,
Eric

- shhhhh

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 24 Sep 2007 19:59:02 -0400

Here in Levittown, it's been delightfully sunny, it's been raining hard,we've had thunder storms, and there's been clouds. It's quite the mixedbag. Nothing severe, except that it's been hot. The Atlantic has beencalm, here. The beaches have been very pleasant.

There are several Atlantic Invests out there. The closest is 97 justoff to the east of the Caribbean. We'll see what the next few daysbring. Perhaps if we're all rather quiet, these invests won't find us.(Shhhhhhh)

I notice Christmas, Thanksgiving and Halloween are in the stores. Butalas, no snowstorms in our forecast hehehehehe. Just easterly breezesand warm seas.


Bendigate and be vigilant.

Eric

- Nice Day.... But Watch to east !

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 23 Sep 2007 11:41:08 -0400

Salutes!

Puerto Rico….. A Nice Day…. Some clouds, Nothing it’s serious. Temperature in 86 F, Wind is breezing, Rain… Not rain. But…. Looking to east in Atlantic 2 waves run there, waiting to grow. I have a theory about the Hurricane season in this times. We are bring forward in time, now like said Isabel, October seem is the Peak of the Hurricane Season.

-“True, I did hear on the weather channel that the next two waves coming off of Africa will go out to the shipping lanes, however, I sometimes get that terrible feeling that the hurricane season is working on a delayed regime, that the October peak will be the first real peak, then will come the next in November”-

I am following the Hurricanes when I was a child, before at the personal computers, I make calculations, collecting information of the patterns in the Atlantic. I can to say that season time run out for the setting that is June 1 to Nov 30. In the close future we can see Storms in December…. And is possible in January. We are interfering in the geoclimatic cycling, we our human’s activities. Well, that is an other 20 Dollars!

The wave that is SSW at the Cape Verde Islands, run vigorous, and we have to check it in the few days…..By the other…. The Atlantic is so quiet!

Héctor

- Weather In Central

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Tue, 18 Sep 2007 16:13:35 -0400

Today was a Sunny Day, with the exception, for Guavate (Montaña Santa), this area is susceptible to the rain. In the mayor of the time have clouds. For the rest, everything is ok.

You can appreciate the rain there

But whatever, we need rain…. All is wonderful in our Island…. “La Isla del Encanto” Puerto Rico.

Héctor

- Ingrid Say...." I BE BACK "

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Mon, 17 Sep 2007 20:59:05 -0400

WOW!!!!! ….. It’s incredible…… The Nature……  Ingrid going again. Well, according with the last Discussion, Ingrid it’s dissipated; don’t regenerate again in couple of days…

 THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID ARE LOCATED JUST EAST OF

THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS.  REDEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS

NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY

WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

But the last photography of the satellite the system seems is right now. The north of Leeward Island, have to be in observation this system close. Anguilla, San Martin San Bartolommeo, San Eustaquio, Barbuda, Nevis, San Cristobal, All Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. I think that we will have much rain in our area, with some kind of winds… Maybe….. Open Eyes!!!.

The last Bulletin NHC

000

WTNT33 KNHC 170828

TCPAT3

BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID ADVISORY NUMBER 20

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007

500 AM AST MON SEP 17 2007

...INGRID DISSIPATING EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION

INGRID IS DISSIPATING.

AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE DISSIPATING TROPICAL

DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0

WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF ANTIGUA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THE

REMNANTS OF INGRID ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE WEST-

NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS...IN A FEW SQUALLS. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH OVER

THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

Héctor

Puerto Rico

- "Taps" for Ingrid

From: Eric D Oliver Kidney <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 17 Sep 2007 10:01:59 -0400

Well, this morning, The National Hurrican Center officially laid her torest at 18.3 x 62.3 and declared Ingrid as DISSAPATED in Franklin'sreport. It seems Ingrid ran into so hostile upper level wind sheer andlost her balance, as Franklin said, ""No longer qualifies as a tropicalcyclone."

Well, Ingrid and the disturbance in the central Caribbean seem to beinfluencing weather here in Puerto Rico. Yesterday reminded me of afall day in Pennsylvania: dark, cloudy, gray and misty rain. All thatwas missing were the crunch of dead leaves in the air. And once again,this morning is sunny and beautiful but there are huge fluffy cumulusclouds to our north in the Atlantic and big dark clouds looming inlandover the mountains to the south of us. The air is still, and quiet. AsI look at the sattelite, I see a huge mass of moisture moving over TheIsland from the Caribbean and the remnants of TD Ingrid hanging aroundto our north and east. We could be in for a wet week.

Otherwise, things on our tropical Enchanted Isle are typical for thistime of year. Grocery stores are packed over the weekend (they alwaysare) and the malls were busy, as were the beaches and puebloscelebrating life. And so, Él Tapon (literally the drain plug, but itsslang for traffic jams) lives on the highways and byways of PuertoRico. As always, traffic was heavy everywhere in the Metro-San Juan area.

Levittown is bustling this morning, with the Monday Morning Ladies outfor their walk from the Sports Complex and the next aerobics class wasforming on the grassy inner track.We continue to be vigilant about Atlantic disturbances off the IvoryCoast and Cape Verde Islands for our next wave of weather.


Bendigate,
Eric

- INGRID.... SHE IS IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 16 Sep 2007 19:11:59 -0400

Wow!!!!....Wow!!!!...... Ingrid get the meteorology without Ideas. Now they emit precaution to the north of Leeward Island, because don’t know if Mrs. Ingrid run to us or turn to north. I was be watching Ingrid about 5 hours, and the center was in the same place, only walking in circles…. Hummmm….. I think that Mrs. Ingrid is make time to catch us, with the pants down!!!..

This is the NHC said at 5:00pm (EST)

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID DISCUSSION NUMBER  18

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082007

500 PM EDT SUN SEP 16 2007

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE

PROGRESS OF INGRID SINCE IT IS POSSIBLE FOR THE SYSTEM TO MOVE MORE

TO THE LEFT OF OUR FORECAST TRACK.  A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE

IS SCHEDULED TO FLY A RESEARCH MISSION INTO THE CYCLONE AROUND 0000

UTC AND HOPEFULLY WILL BE ABLE TO PROVIDE A POSITION AND INTENSITY

ESTIMATE.

Héctor

Puerto Rico

- Nice Day in Puerto Rico (Central)

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 16 Sep 2007 11:00:24 -0400

Helloooo!.....

Everything is alright here…… Sunny Day with some clouds, but not is a big deal! … Well…. The satellite photos show a Ingrid, in good shape…. They say (NHC), she have to be weak, but I don’t think so!... I was looking in the last 10 hours, her movement is to west (westward), and they insist that she turn to more to north. Ingrid, have problems with her track, in some time she lost characteristic, integrity , but don’t loose concept of tropical storm. Yes, now is a tropical depression, I think that she go to take up again her personality of storm. Only we have to wait time to see that. Ahhhhh don’t remember we haves to be in attention to the other phenomenon in deep of Atlantic, by the parallel 10.

I calculate the track of Ingrid, and this is my data

TRACKING INFORMATION ON INGRID.'07

DATE TIME LAT LON FWD SPEED DIRECTION WIND SPEED PRESSURE

(EST) (MPH) (MPH) (mb)

09/12/07 11:00 13.2 44.6 35 1007

09/12/07 17:00 13.5 45.5 10.7 289.0° (WNW) 35 1006

09/12/07 23:00 13.4 46.4 10.2 263.7° (W) 35 1006

09/13/07 5:00 13.9 47.5 13.7 295.1° (WNW) 35 1006

09/13/07 11:00 13.9 48.0 5.6 270.0° (W) 35 1006

09/13/07 17:00 14.2 48.4 5.7 307.8° (NW) 35 1006

09/13/07 23:00 14.7 48.7 6.7 329.9° (NNW) 40 1002

09/14/07 5:00 15.1 49.2 7.3 309.6° (NW) 40 1002

09/14/07 11:00 15.2 50.0 9.0 277.4° (W) 45 1004

09/14/07 17:00 15.6 50.6 8.1 304.7° (NW) 40 1004

09/14/07 23:00 15.9 51.5 10.6 289.2° (WNW) 40 1005

09/15/07 5:00 16.5 52.7 15.0 297.6° (WNW) 40 1006

09/15/07 11:00 16.4 53.7 11.2 264.3° (W) 35 1006

09/15/07 17:00 16.5 55.0 14.5 274.7° (W) 35 1006

09/15/07 23:00 16.9 55.7 9.0 300.9° (WNW) 35 1006

09/16/07 5:00 17.0 56.8 12.2 275.6° (W) 35 1006

09/16/07 11:00 17.2 57.9 12.4 280.8° (W) 35 1006

Héctor

Puerto Rico

- Ingrid: If I knew you were coming I'd have baked a cake!

From: "Eric D. Oliver" <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Sat, 15 Sep 2007 18:23:13 -0700 (PDT)

Well, as most females are unpredictable and surprising, Ingrid seems to have all female characteristics. She has vascilated from Tropical Depression to Tropical Storm to Tropical Depression and she has headed North, Northwest, Westward and The NHC's Avila says Ingrid should experience lots of wind shear from the upper level ridge, turn west a little while, then northwest and weaken, possible strengthening farther, beyond the Leeward Islands. The GFDL computer model is the only one showing westward movement, all others show a northward turn and all seem to predict weakening. Ingrid DID weaken today to a Tropical Depression, again. And so, another storm is hopefully blinded to the Leeward Islands. HOORAY!

Here in Toa Baja, we have had quite a basket of weather, starting off with brilliant sunshine this morning, to showers and more sunshine throughout the day. I always remember the description of weather in New England: "If you don't like the weath-ah, wait a few minutes, it'll change." Seems to hold true here in Puerto Rico, too. Tonite, we're partly cloudy, with scattered thundershowers and temperatures 77-80.

Neighbors are enjoying their boat in the canal and once again, I mowed the quick-growing lawn. Of course, daily rains tend to help that along.

It was a great day for Vega Baja's Agriculture/Exotic Bird Show, and Dorado's Town and Country Celebration, as well. We sampled Alcapuria, Bacalauito and found some beautiful orchids for 5 bucks to add to our collection. The Atlantic Ocean was as calm as glass today at Levittown (Thanks for cleaning up the beaches!), it looked like "Lake Puerto Rico." Even Guaynabo, was sunny with a few scattered showers today. We did a lot of traveling today.

So, to my family and friends who monitor this site, and my comments, we appear to be skirting yet, another one. YOU on the other hand, have been getting rather extreme weather with flash flooding, hail and dangerous lightning damage. I've had reports of lightning damaging homes and property in Pennsylvania and Maine. Gracias a Dios, no one was hurt.

Have a great day and Bendigate,

Eric

- Ingrid...... at #$% What up!

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sat, 15 Sep 2007 17:55:16 -0400

The nature …. What Nature!!!!!...... the forecast of Ingrid, all the time was to WNW and NW….. Now Ingrid is insist go to us!!!!.... maybe it let us time to be ready for she!... But believe or not we have to be, waiting for she, what gonna do! Go up or bring to us some kind of heavy rain or decide be Storm. The rest of the season seem be not clear…. For the decision of the tropical waves. This morning the two low pressures that was in the Atlantic, disappear like magic, now are Tropical waves. Well, Now I am looking close to Ingrid, for her decision…..

Tropical Depression Ingrid Current Track

Hector

- Possible Storm!

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 9 Sep 2007 12:54:37 -0400

I said yesterday, the Tropical wave next to Leeward Islands (Sotavento), have a convective improvement that make a Tropical depression. Maybe in some day, but the NHC said the movement is to westward I think that go to WNW (like 290). The Bahamas Islands have to watch this system for following days.

Héctor

- Possible Storm!

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 9 Sep 2007 04:57:07 -0400

I was seeing this phenomena of a group of clouds, and it’s look like the we have the next Storm.

The NHC, don’t said anything about this. But I am following his trajectory, in some days and it’s possible that the Bahamas have a storm there.

The weather is unpredictable, only we have to see, and write!.... (scientist method)

Héctor

- It's A Girl!

From: "Eric D. Oliver" <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Sat, 8 Sep 2007 10:31:37 -0700 (PDT)

Gabrielle is born as a ...a...a SUB - TROPICAL - STORM?! Umm, forgive me, I'm a little new at this, but, whattheheckizzat? I've never heard of a SUBtropical storm. Is that like almost pregnant? Aww c'mon guys, that's a stretch. It wasn't even called a tropical depression. However, SUBtropical Storm Gabrielle is building up steam to make landfall in the Carolinas and head northeast, then to sea. Not much concern for the islands.

BUT, off to the east, Puerto Rico and other islands need to be vigilant and mindful of other systems developing in the Atlantic. There is one on it's way and it's too early to tell what its future may bring to us. It may even become a SUB-tropical storm, folks, so beware! (chuckle) Sorry, I couldn't resist.

Here in Levittown, on Puerto Rico's North Shore/SUB-metro area it's cloudy and we're having showers, heavy at times, with some accompanying lightning and thunder. Not exactly a nice beach day, but I'm sure the malls and restaurants are crowded. So be careful and stay safe out there on those wet highways and roadways.

Bendigate a todos!
Eric

- POOF it's GONE!

From: "Eric D. Oliver" <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Wed, 5 Sep 2007 05:57:57 -0700 (PDT)

I had a rather busy personal day, yesterday, but nevertheless, the first thing I did, was to check weather status for the Atlantic and Caribbean, which has become a habit, this time of year. I felt as though I was living the poem: The Night Before Christmas. "I flew to the window in a flash, threw open the shutters and raised up the sash. When, what to my eyes should appear?" Invest 98 has DISAPPEARED! I shouted: LOOK! LOOK! It disappeared! Was I dreaming? Was there really a possible storm brewing in the Atlantic destined for the Antilles Islands? We'll never know, will we?
Either way, te lo agradezco! (I'm grateful!)

THIS morning, I find Felix is now a Tropical Storm, albeit a DANGEROUS one dumping, not inches, FEET of rain on the Central Americas. My prayers go out to them, as they don't usually get these types of storms and so, as described by others, lots of flash flooding and mud slides. Bendigate!

Here in Puerto Rico, it is sunny most of the time. This time of year, the hot days yield to storms late in the day and yesterday was no exception. Around 3pm, the dark clouds (los nebulos oscuros) rolled in to the Metro/North Shore area and yielded a nice tropical rain storm on the area into the darkness of the evening. The dogs got nervous when the lightning and thunder (la luz y rompe fuerte sobremos) broke and sent them to their respective hiding places for comfort.

THIS morning is beautiful and sunny with clear, bright blue skies, a light breeze and the birds are chirping. But, since the full moon has passed, I'm sure our weather pattern is set for the next few weeks, sunny mornings, cloudy afternoons and rainy evenings until the next full moon. Let's hope Mom Nature doesn't throw any big surprises our way.

Bendigate,
Eric

- Shhhhh, this one missed us, too..

From: "Eric D. Oliver" <ericdoliver at yahoo.com>
Date: Mon, 3 Sep 2007 12:51:01 -0700 (PDT)

let's hope 98 invest doesn't know where Puerto Rico is, either.

I feel guilty discussing Levittown's weather but, we have been warm and sunny except for some heavy thunder shower activity this weekend during the town's 44th anniversary finale of the 5 day celebration, complete with fireworks. The carnival atmosphere was dampened just before dinnertime, however, our neighbors in San Juan stayed dry for the excellent concert of Puerto Rico's Philharmonic Orchestra, free in the Luis Muñoz Rivera Park.

Today, Levittown has been dry, sunny and a bit cooler than the past week, with a nice easterly breeze.

Currently, Toa Baja is 87 degrees under sunny skies.

Felix, Category 5 and growing is a frightful thought in the western Caribbean and headed for Nicaragua. The only picture my mind can conjure up was a photo I saw of a poor frail old main placing bricks on his loose tin roof in preparation for the hurricane. Some people in our neighboring islands and countries have no idea of the awesome power of nature at work with a category 5 hurricane. I hope and pray that Central America will be spared as we have been spared.

Bendigate,
Eric

- ¡Ahy viene el Huracan!

From: "Hector Matos" <matrix at coqui.net>
Date: Sun, 2 Sep 2007 21:42:08 -0400

Wow, Félix, it’s a Monster! In the Caribbean Sea…… Now have winds of 165MPH, and Yucatan it’s possible that take this “Huracan”.

It’s have a definition eye, and centric power (934 MB...27.58 INCHES) make that inside bands being destructive to all terrain. We hope that “Félix”

don’t cause some dead in land. I believe, that “Félix” go to be the most Powerful Hurricane, in this season.

Now Jamaica, will be in calm, because the only that they will have it’s rain.

Héctor

- Unexpected rains in San Juan, Puerto Rico