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- - - 2000 Hurricane Season - - -


- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 24 Sep 2000 17:59:10 -0300
meanwhile back at dodge(ing) city the boys in the backroom say that that
desperado "big issy"knows better than to mess around with us,so he took the
right fork at the pass and seems as if he'll end up north of the border.


- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 23 Sep 2000 20:08:30 -0300
isaac shmisaac.
all that rain wasted on fish.


- TROPICAL STORM ISSAC
  • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 22 Sep 2000 06:30:31 -0300
6 a.m.  and  TROPICAL STORM ISAAC   (which was born yesterday!!)  is well worth watching!!!   ev. time i travel this  happens...something kicks up out there!!!!   ...leaving for Miami  in an hour for a couple of days   (maybe just OVERNIGHT NOW... watching this!! 
        but it is early days  with  it way out there  ( 12.7 north and 28.2  west...just off Cape Verde islands......)  so  maybe the turn will be more  to the north and  again  ( how many times this storm season??? )  Antigua will be spared....  Have a feeling I will be  talking more about this one, however.......  

- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 21 Sep 2000 23:23:10 -0300
isaac it is.the first real one of the season.
boys in the backroom stopped snoring.
great chefs packing their knives away.


- TD #13
  • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 21 Sep 2000 13:50:28 -0300
#13. (TD).....just born  at 11 a.m.!!  ....boy  that is an unlucky number!!   but then it is SEPTEMBER!!   

- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 21 Sep 2000 07:27:39 -0300
10n  20w  looks like a pitbull


- Update
  • From: "ali fuller" <ali_fuller AT hotmail.com>
  • Date: Sun, 17 Sep 2000 22:09:08 GMT
this thing coming off africa at 10 degrees looks like it will turn into a 
strong storm.http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/SAB/TROP/DATA/img/atl/eatl/ir4/20.jpg

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- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 17 Sep 2000 12:36:25 -0300
over 3 inches of rain.solid wind from s.e. between20&35 mph since 2
a.m.stopped about11 a.m. loverly.boys in backroom unrecognizable and
smeeling like roses!


- Very rainy last night...
  • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 17 Sep 2000 12:17:07 -0400 (AST)
RAIN RAIN RAIN.... There was no wind at all in the Fort Road area but
torrential rainfall starting aroung 1:42AM. It has been raining for most
of the morning and it finally stopped about 15 minutes ago. 

Included with all the rain early (~2:00AM) was significant lightning and
thunder, the likes of which I have not experienced in quite a while. At
one point the core must have been directly overhead as there was not even
1/2 a second between the flash and the thunder.

I noticed in the last post from Martha that she mentioned TD12. This was
really the remnants of TD12 as of the 1PM report it was downgraded to a
"strong tropical wave". Oh well just a minor correction.

Ciao for now.


Alan B. Scholl
Email: scholla AT candw.ag  alan.scholl AT cwanu.cwplc.com
       schollab AT hotmail.com     scholla AT hushmail.com 



- GOOD RAIN IS RIGHT!!!!*!*!*
  • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Sun, 17 Sep 2000 08:50:54 -0300
A REAL  "RAINY NIGHT IN GEORGIA"........i  mean  Antigua!!!   but not much wind thank goodness..... just the odd gusts.......
          hard rain started about   2 a.m.  and  still falling on the  Atlantic side.......but  there are some bright patches of blue sky way off in the Atlantic so maybe  TD 12 is  making its way  past  with only VERY VERY WELCOME RAIN.......had one water cistern completely DRY  ......usually  buy 2000 gallons and THEN some rain comes  so  grateful for ev. drop this time round!!!!!          and  glad  to hear the  boys  got their bath,  john boy!!!!   Hey  i may even make my party if  the rain stops and the sea calms down enough to jump in my little boat and head out!!!     and once again  ANTIGUA  lucky  with   the potential weather......so  we will  watch that next thing coming off Africa coast!!       
                  

- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Sep 2000 16:51:44 -0300
amazing parade of cb cells each accompanied by 30-40mph winds and driving
rain-but all seperated by beautiful blue sky.t.d.12 looks a sure bet for
tonight.finally some good rain we hope.boys in backroom may finally get a
bath.


- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Sep 2000 06:38:14 -0300
small system passing now.good wind,showers,thunder.will t.d.12 become she
who (un)launched a thousand ships?sorry about your party martha.


- EARLY MORNING WEATHER !
  • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Sat, 16 Sep 2000 06:07:26 -0300
5 a.m.  weather report  puts Antigua on  Tropical Storm watch....possibly to  be  upgraded to  warning later today!    TD #12  formed  out of no where  and  at   5 p.m. last night the first advisory was issued...       we made the weather channel again......... guess this will be the    NO NAME storm  (hope so cause that means it is just a blow and hopefully RAIN  needed badly!!)    Anyway.....it is 355 miles  due east of Antigua moving at only 12 mph......so  that puts  it over us about mid morning  tomorrow.... Sunday......great.......had big boating plans for a double birthday and an anniversary party...but guess mother nature rules  as usual!!!           Still,   at  least this is NO HURRICANE... so  Antigua can't  complain too  much.......and  "the back room boys"   have not even MENTIONED this one  so that is always reassuring!      So... we will watch the weather today and see what is in store for  us..... may be some minor preparations if  this things  gains in  strength....only    35  mph now...  for us   seasoned trackers that  is nothing    AT THIS POINT!!!          

- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Fri, 15 Sep 2000 17:46:55 -0300
will it be GORDON or gardenia?  looks impressive east of us doesn't it? the
boys seem to be hibernating or is it estivating?


- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Mon, 11 Sep 2000 19:29:18 -0300
4 days without a single report!! wind came back saturday and we changed from
flat,clear,beautiful weather to very hazy windy easterly.dry.yuk.


- Update
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 7 Sep 2000 20:02:35 -0300
quickie:the last site shows pretty much what the wart is up to---probably
get some rain.please.the boys need a bath.


- montserrat (http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/volcano/montserrat.gif)
  • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
  • Date: Thu, 7 Sep 2000 20:00:22 -0300


http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/volcano/montserrat.gif
  • Attachment: montserrat (3).url

  • - Current Earthquake Information (http://wwwneic.cr.usgs.gov/current_seismicity.
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Thu, 7 Sep 2000 19:52:27 -0300
    
    
    http://wwwneic.cr.usgs.gov/current_seismicity.shtml
    
  • Attachment: Current Earthquake Information.url

  • - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Thu, 7 Sep 2000 19:51:04 -0300
    can you imagine that there has not been a single posting on the
    carib.hurr.page in the first week of september for two straight days!!! a
    most unseasonable season--so far.
    if we hadn't awakened the boys in the backroom for a free pint of Cavalier
    rum they would have slept all week in the blissful hope of a visit from miss
    nightingale(FLORENCE) but alas she has not deigned to appear.we did,
    however, have a little EARTHQUAKE here on tuesday afternoon--4.8 on the
    richter scale--epicenter 55 miles southeast of us and 33 kilometers deep.not
    enough fortunately to arouse the boys.big enough,i'm sure,for many
    homeowners sufficiently wealthy to have insurance(it's astronomically
    expensive here for obvious reasons) to be able to claim for all those cracks
    in the walls for which no obvious explanation has been found since the last
    earthquake. good luck to them.
    i'll flag a great earthquake site in my next missive and you can read all
    about it yourselves.
    so back to the surface of the atlantic.other than that meteorological wart
    sitting just east of me, nothing.
    i shall not goatmouth (in local parlance-tempt fate) our relatively peaceful
    time and i'm sure it is early times yet but....
    extremely hot,windless and getting very dry...sorry but the mention of the
    word "dry" woke up a few of the boys in the backroom and who require
    attention.gotta go.
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 5 Sep 2000 19:26:03 -0300
    ho hum
    
    

    - ???? HURRICANE FLORENCE in the making
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 4 Sep 2000 18:40:11 -0300
    FIVE YEARS AGO TODAY  Antigua was being blown apart by  HURRICANE LUIS.....worst hurricane we have know in long since...and that sure makes  us all AWARE......
     
    Yea.....there is a scary wave  down around   12 !!!       
    Well.. it could be HURRICANE FLORENCE in the making.... they say ev. thing is right for  strengthening.....and  she is  real far south!!! not good for the Leeward  islands....... suppose to fly north  for a few days to DALLAS TX tomorrow...... will have to decide  soon on that one!!       we better watch  this one real close...
           break up the card game in the back room......the boys need to be watching..........

    - Update
    • From: "ali fuller" <ali_fuller AT hotmail.com>
    • Date: Mon, 04 Sep 2000 20:23:06 GMT
    scary looking wave at 12 42.
    
    prepare
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    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sat, 2 Sep 2000 19:12:05 -0300
    forget about ernesta,deborah.alberta, WE WANT MONICA (at least a little bit
    of her).
    what is that at 24w,11n?
    normally a system in ernesto's position would have caused the beginnig of a
    change in the wind to the north.not so here.sunny,hot,gentle south-east
    breeze.
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sat, 2 Sep 2000 07:21:11 -0300
    the emasculation of ernesto continues.will we even get a little rain?---but
    then again sometimes too hard the eye of heaven shines.
    gert and superdave look well together.
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 1 Sep 2000 23:22:27 -0300
    t.d.8.=? ernesto?
    boys in backroom are listless--but it is the silly season--so anything can
    happen.
    it is very hot.
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 1 Sep 2000 20:14:04 -0300
    the previous site i posted shows the full glory of  the birth of a
    hurricane.john harris the clockmaker couldn't design anything more naturally
    symetrical.
    
    

    - HUIR (http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG)
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 1 Sep 2000 20:10:05 -0300
    
    
    http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/HUIR.JPG
    
  • Attachment: HUIR.url

  • - just watching AGAIN!! TROPICAL DISTRUBANCE!!!
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 1 Sep 2000 16:49:47 -0300
    ONCE AGAIN   THE LEEWARD ISLANDS  ARE  "in the news" with a   "well organized disturbance 1000 miles away!    as of early this morning.........  yea... even the weather channel has mentioned  us.........  I know.....the boys in the back room are playing cards and don't even  know about it...  and hopefully  it will stay that way.......
                    BUT.....still worth watching........it is at  14.7  and  44.5  so still way out there......and  hope  for the usual north turn...   been a beautiful calm HOT summer day  so  maybe we can get some rain out of this one... 
                Some of you know,   cause I've written about it in the past... that i  am suppose to FLY into a hurricane with the Hunters  on a press pass (in spite of john's warning about those guys!!!  )  .... have been trying  for  my hurricane since last season.........and  was  CALLED  last Thurs. AFTER  HURRICANE DEBBY passed Antigua and we were all clear,  to head to Kessler Air Force Base to fly her from there........got to MIAMI  and  while she was off  Cuba  DEBBY DIED!!!   so  never got further than Miami......so still waiting  on   my storm!!!    wouldn't  think someone from hurricane alley  would be  wishing for a hurricane!!!!....and I don't  FOR IT TO HIT  ANTIGUA ...or  ANYONE... just one for  me to get to fly thru!!!.......   so will keep u  posted if   it works!!    
             Hope there is not much more to comment on with this one!!
                   

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 25 Aug 2000 18:27:28 -0300
    ALL'S QUIET ON HURRICANE ALLEY.WE SEEM TO BE LIKE MOLES-COMING OUT ONLY DURING THE DARKNESS CAST BY THE SHADOWS OF THE SPAWN OF THE CAPE VERDES.
    THE BOYS IN THE BACKROOM SEND THEIR REGARDS.

    - Business as Usual...
    • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Wed, 23 Aug 2000 08:45:17 -0400 (AST)
    Hi,
    
    Everything is back to normal here. As you drive around, there are houese
    that are still boarded up. I gather people just could not be bothered to
    take them down or they are all catching up on sleep they may have missed
    the night before. 
    
    Someone in my office joked that this was the "fire drill" for September. I
    certainly hope he is wrong.  In retrospect, I think we can be ready in
    very short notice for any impending storm.
    
    Again, we were fortunate this time, our prayers go out to anyone that was
    or will be affected by this time.
    
    Until..
    
    Alan
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 09:08:38 -0300
    the boys in the backroom snored all night.
    got about 1 inch of rain.
    wind dutifully moved from north around to west and now at south west at
    about 30 mph.
    overcast and squally.
    kettle is boiling gotta go make madam tea.
    hurr.ali.
    
    
    

    - Debby passes
    • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 06:18:50 -0400 (AST)
    Hi,
    
    PHEWWWWW!!!!!!
    
    Well, luck is on our side this time around. Debby swung north and in my
    location not  whole lot happened. We never lost power and I slept all
    night. There was no significant wind or rain in the Lower Fort Road area,
    none at all. It was no worse than any normal night.
    
    I hope that the storm bands do bring some rain. There is no information on
    any of the local radio stations, so I am sure that many are confused as to
    whether they are to report to work or not.
    
    Alan B. Scholl
    
    

    - 5:30 AM HURRICANE DEBBY
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 05:44:06 -0300
    Well....things still  howling out there......was able to go outside but it is barely  light  so can't see  much....but  MET OFFICE  says the bulk is past us..although we will get feeder bands through the day  and hopefully  some RAIN.....does not  seem we have had too much rain..... MET OFFICE   stressed that  Antigua was  real lucky and did not get what was expected with that north swing at the last... DEBBY seems to be heading for  St Martin now...and  will  probably hit most of the islands around...sorry for those people as they are probably getting the northern side....

    - 3 AM.....and now HURRICANE DEBBY
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 03:17:22 -0300
        3 AM..  (guess my last report of  1 PM must have been wishful thinking cause when it  is  1  p.m.  this will be over!!
     
    JOHN BOY RIGHT....thank goodness!!   she shifted a bit north  and   even though she is a HURRICANE  as of   2  am report  the center is going between Barbuda and Antigua..(at 17.9...and we are  17.1 )  .and the bulk of the strong weather is  north of this...so  Antigua is lucky  (well if you can say having a hurricane is lucky)... Just spoke to MET OFFICE..and they  say  here  at Half Moon Bay  we would be getting stronger winds due to location.....  Just tried to go outside and it is very gusty and wind howling... but hopefully not strong enough for  structural damage.....for sure garden is going to be trashed.....  Not lots of rain yet.....  but  Met Office says there is a heavy  feeder band  that  will follow all of  this around  6  a.m.  so we have that to come....
            Electricity still off..... but  at least phones are working....
          will try to go back to sleep....
     

    - Debby Goes Hurricane As It Nears Antigua and Barbuda
    • From: "Ronnie H. Knight Samuel" <rsamuel AT funleather.com>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 01:59:39 -0400
    Eastern Caribbean Nationals the latest (intermediate) advisory given by the National Hurricane Center goes as follows:
     
    591
    WTNT32 KNHC 220545
    TCPAT2
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE DEBBY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
    2 AM AST TUE AUG 22 2000
     
    ...DEBBY STRENGTHENS TO A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS ANTIGUA AND
    BARBUDA...
     
    HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM
    GUADELOUPE NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE BRITISH AND THE U.S.
    VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO AND ITS SURROUNDING ISLANDS.  A
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA...AND FOR THE
    COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO CABRERA.
     
    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN HAITI NORTH OF PORT AU
    PRINCE.
     
    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
     
    AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
    LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.7 WEST OR JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE
    ISLAND OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
     
    DEBBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...
    AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  THIS MOTION WILL
    MOVE DEBBY DIRECTLY OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY.
     
    REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
    THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  75 MPH...120
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
    POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
     
    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM
    ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
     
    THE LATEST PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 994 MB
    ...29.35 INCHES.
     
    STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
    DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED
    AREAS.
     
    RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...
    ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
    LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
     
     

    - 1 AM in the Morning
    • From: "Henk van Beever" <vanbeeverh AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 01:09:07 -0400
    My First report of the season(boring and nothing exciting to report. Sitting
    here with generator on and watching the Weather Channel satellite loop
    having Debbie crossing the island and reconnaissance aircraft reporting 80
    Kts with an eyewall . Funny had more water falling early when I took a
    shower than outside  at the moment and very little wind no more than 6-10
    kts if that. Maybe I'll go to bed like my friend John Fuller. Good nite...
    Henk
    
    

    - 1 p.m.......
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 00:56:42 -0300
         Power went off little while ago......... UPS beeping woke  me up.....
    raining really heavy here  on Atlantic side....gusty wind but nothing to
    write home about!!  (or really even write you about..  but since you wanna
    know what we are going through...here  it is!!   Bit hard  to tell what is
    going on when you are shuttered up.... like being in hot box...  we
    normally  live  open air with tropical breeze blowin  through..so  when it
    is like  a hot box feel like you are in  a greenhouse... and since ev.
    potted plant I have is here too really does seems like that..... with tree
    frogs chippin...  wonder where  DEBBY   REALLY   IS..how many times have i
    wondered that!????   gonna try to sleep bit more  in case winds to pick up
    and i cant!
    
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 00:46:59 -0300
    rain-wind from n. AT 20><
    power off island wide
    on battery
    huge roar from ocean
    not much else
    going to join boys in backroom for a snooze
    manana
    hurricane alley
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Tue, 22 Aug 2000 00:05:05 -0300
    just spoke to barbuda police station.little wind-no rain.
    
    

    - Re: debbie
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 23:50:11 -0300
    just starting to kick up a bit.wind now nearly due north-increasing to
    20-25mph.rain now--getting heavier. can hear ocean roar however--can't see
    it but must be a heavy northely swell.
    -----Original Message-----
    From: huck <huckphotovi AT theglobe.com>
    To: baxterlm AT worldnet.att.net <baxterlm AT worldnet.att.net>; fullerj AT candw.ag
    <fullerj AT candw.ag>; gilkesm AT candw.ag <gilkesm AT candw.ag>;
    rafapr AT centennialpr.net <rafapr AT centennialpr.net>; lcrum AT worldnet.att.net
    <lcrum AT worldnet.att.net>
    Cc: huckphotovi AT hotmail.com <huckphotovi AT hotmail.com>
    Date: Tuesday, August 22, 2000 12:32 AM
    Subject: debbie
    
    
    >hello from st thomas
    >weather is breezy with a few showers so far.hurricane warning in
    >effect.debby may pass to our south sometime tomorrow morning... weather
    >updates can be found at
    >http://www.huckphotovi.com
    >or http://members.theglobe.com/huckphotovi
    >best wishes and good luck
    >        huck
    >
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 23:35:28 -0300
    center of storm now 30-35 miles 70 degrees magnetic from north coast of
    antigua.
    wind n.e. AT 5-10 mph.
    no rain.
    experts shmetzperts.
    
    

    - Updates
    • From: "Ronnie H. Knight Samuel" <rsamuel AT funleather.com>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 23:04:29 -0400
    928
    WTNT32 KNHC 220249
    TCPAT2
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER  10
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
    11 PM AST MON AUG 21 2000
     
    ...DEBBY NEARING NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
    ...THREATENS TO STRENGTHEN...
     
    HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM
    GUADELOUPE NORTH AND NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE BRITISH AND THE U.S.
    VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO AND ITS SURROUNDING ISLANDS.
     
    THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
    PUNTA PALENQUE TO CABRERA.
     
    AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN
    HAITI NORTH OF PORT AU PRINCE.
     
    THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS WILL ISSUE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
    THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AT MIDNIGHT.
     
    AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.0 WEST OR ABOUT 55
    MILES...90 KM...EAST OF ANTIGUA.
     
    DEBBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...
    AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON TUESDAY.  THIS MOTION
    WILL MOVE DEBBY DIRECTLY OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT
    AND TUESDAY.
     
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS.  DEBBY IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY.
     
    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM
    ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
     
    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS RECENTLY FALLEN TO 996 MB
    ...29.41 INCHES.
     
    STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
    DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED
    AREAS.
     
    RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...HIGHER OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...
    ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE STORM.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
    LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
     
    REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 61.0 W.  MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
    70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.
     
    Cheers,
    Ronnie
    Internet / Systems Engineer
     
    Suite 201 Lauriston
    Collymore Rock
    St. Michael
    Barbados, West Indies
    BGI
     
    Suite 016-517
    7296 NW 44th Street
    Miami, Florida, U.S.A
    33166
     
    ronnie AT emailbarbados.com
    [encrypted email solutions]
     
    Tele: + [305] 423 2155 x.185
    Fax: + [508] 448 0228
     
    http://www.caribbeancity.com
    The Web Site For Caribbean Folk !
     

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 22:58:30 -0300
    wind in north,increasing--20-30 mph.lightning every 10-30 secs.from due
    east--maybe 20-30 miles away.intrmittent drizzle.flashes expose north  to
    west bands out in the east.  all of that tells me it has jumped north.
    
    

    - Fw: United States Atlantic Tracking Chart 2 by Intellicast.com.htm
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 22:41:38 -0300
    Title: United States Atlantic Tracking Chart 2 by Intellicast.com
      HOPE JOHNS  RIGHT  on  this... see his comments earlier... ......would  like to  join the boys and nod off... but  there are other opinions..
     
    CLICK ON  STORM   tracking  ...... then DEBBY
             this puts it  more south!!     would rather have JOHNS  OPTION...   tired of getting hit from the south...my weak side........but  nature  rules...and  she does not even listen to the boys in back room~~!!!!!
     
     
    ----- Original Message -----
    Sent: Monday, August 21, 2000 10:33 PM
    Subject: United States Atlantic Tracking Chart 2 by Intellicast.com.htm

     

    - montserrat (http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/volcano/montserrat.gif)
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 22:14:16 -0300
    open this site and you will see what i meant in last dispatch.boys in the
    back room starting to nod off.
    
    http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/volcano/montserrat.gif
    
  • Attachment: montserrat (3).url

  • - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 22:11:58 -0300
    95% sure the bulk of it shall pass north over barbuda. the south west outer
    wall is about 35 minutes away from us now.wind n.e. AT  10-15mph. so far debby
    is a mere debutante.hope for some rain.
    
    

    - BACK AGAIN
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 21:34:09 -0300
    AM  BACK AGAIN..... after about  6 hours of  hurricane preparation!!!  including  chain sawing all my  magnificent "in full bloom" bougainvillea off the top of a gazebo to keep it from coming down with the weight  (has done that  3 times before  so don't need a  4th!!)  
     and  all secured  and shuttered in  now   with   3 cats and  37 birds !!!   (you can imagine the  confusion !!)    caught   35 of my   free flying love bird flock...among protests and a few nips on the fingers!!!... ungrateful s.......
    and  now.....latest.. as of   8 p.m..   DEBBY is  115 miles east  of us... at  60.2  (that's  about 48 miles to our south... towards Guadeloupe... and she  has slowed to  20 mph... that puts her on us  at  2 p.m...   (now  9 p.m.. so have  5 hours to wait!!....just talking to you guys and sipping a little nice vintage vino!!   and  making the time pass... what else  do you do waiting for a hurricane!!
      They  say they will turn off the electricity but have not given a time..    but as long as  my phone lines work  i  can transmit on battery..... trying to  get sorted out to log on via CELL PHONE  so I  can STAY ON LINE  during hurricanes  but not quite there yet..... 
    anyway... as has been the case with  DEBBY  there is some confusion  on  when she will leave us.. some say she will  be here for  all of Tuesday... others say she will  move on more quickly..  and we still  are  not certain if she will pass us as a HURRICANE OR A TSTORM......
          i was called by  the HURRICANE  HUNTERS  TO FLY DEBBY  on my press pass  OUT OF BARBADOS ON WEDNESDAY  -- sorry john ...didn't listen to you on this!!      ( they  have moved  their base from St Croix as   this will be under threat soon.....      but since  i don't know when our  airport will be open  (It closed at  6 p.m  tonight... and    don't know if I will have personal damage... declined  for Wednesday........  but  if  we come out of this  ok...MAYBE DEBBY IS MY HURRICANE TO FLY LATER IN THE WEEK.........so..  we get ready for the  long night and the hype of a  "hurricane"  -- if it is that.....John's right......this aint a LUIS  or a George of  Jose.....  but  it is still NATURE and  she is her own law so  who knows what is ahead.......   thanks to those  who are concerned about us .......later.........

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 21:16:52 -0300
    could it be jumping north at the last minute?
    
    

    - Updates
    • From: "Ronnie H. Knight Samuel" <rsamuel AT funleather.com>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 20:13:26 -0400
    070
    WTNT32 KNHC 220000
    TCPAT2
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM DEBBY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
    8 PM AST MON AUG 21 2000
     
    ...DEBBY HEADS TOWARD LEEWARD ISLANDS...
     
    HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS FROM
    GUADELOUPE NORTH AND WESTWARD THROUGH THE BRITISH AND THE U.S.
    VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.
     
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
    DOMINICA.
     
    AT 7 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ISSUED A
    TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THEIR COUNTRY.
     
    ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
    COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
     
    AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.2 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES
    ...185 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA.
     
    DEBBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...
    AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
    HOURS.
     
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.  STRENGTHENING IS
    FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND DEBBY MAY BECOME A HURRICANE
    LATER TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.
     
    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
    ...280 KM FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
     
    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
     
    STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
    DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
    AREA.
     
    RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LARGER AMOUNTS OVER HIGHER
    TERRAIN...ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH DEBBY.  THESE RAINS COULD
    PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
     
    REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...16.4 N... 60.2 W.  MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70
    MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
     
     
    Cheers
    Ronnie.

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 18:17:59 -0300
    meant "unpredictability"
    
    

    - Very Quiet
    • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 18:06:40 -0400 (AST)
    Hi again,
    
    At the moment, it is very calm. Most of us have bought gas and food and
    hopefully have completed preparation. I can still hear hammers going down
    in the Lower Fort Road area. The sky is gloomy but there was some sunshine
    a few hours ago alternating between heavy showers (I can assume outer
    bands).
    
    We are done and I guess I will be waiing fior the 0000Z (8:00PM) report.
    Until then I am going to be lazy.
    
    Alan S.
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 17:27:05 -0300
    as you can imagine the inherent predictability of our storms is causing
    everyone to prepare for the worst.as i write there are long lines at all gas
    stations,supermarkets and hardware stores. the windsurfers are all at the
    beach "shredding" and the frigate birds are hugging the shore as they always
    do before a storm.
    wind steady from the east at about 20mph and gusting to 35mph in
    squalls,many of which have passed.
    the sky is mostly layered with clouds ranging from very light grey to very
    very dark grey.
    the re-re-adjusted course puts it over us(literally) at about 2am.not much
    to worry about after luis.georges and jose.---------- the boys in the back
    room don't fraid that.
    
    

    - 5:00PM EDT UPDATES
    • From: "Ronnie H. Knight Samuel" <rsamuel AT funleather.com>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 17:22:57 -0400
    The 5:00PM EDT Advisory has put Debby centered at about 165 miles east-southeast of Antigua, moving West at 22mph, with winds of 70mph, and higher gusts from the Northern and Eastern section of the center.
     
    Hurricane warnings have been issued for the islands extending from Guadeloupe north and northwestward through the British and U.S. Virgin Islands. A hurricane warning is also in effect for Puerto Rico, while a tropical storm warning and hurricane watch remain in effect for Dominica.

    The projected path of the storm takes it over the northern Leeward Islands Tuesday morning, then on to Puerto Rico by late Tuesday into Wednesday morning.

    Ronnie Samuel

    Internet / Systems Engineer
     
    Suite 201 Lauriston
    Collymore Rock
    St. Michael
    Barbados, West Indies
    BGI
     
    Suite 016-517
    7296 NW 44th Street
    Miami, Florida, U.S.A
    33166
     
    ronnie AT emailbarbados.com
    [encrypted email solutions]
     
    Tele: + [305] 423 2155 x.185
    Fax: + [508] 448 0228
     
    http://www.caribbeancity.com
    The Web Site For Caribbean Folk !
     

    - Debby Gains Strength and Speed.
    • From: "Ronnie H. Knight Samuel" <rsamuel AT funleather.com>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 11:49:44 -0400

    Issued By the weather centre: associated press, thanks to Donna Sauer & Stephanie Watson, weather.com

    Tropical Storm Debby is careening toward hurricane strength as it aims for the Leeward Islands.

    Hurricane warnings have been issued from the islands extending from Guadeloupe north and northwestward through the British and U.S. Virgin Islands. A hurricane watch is in effect for Dominica and Puerto Rico; the latter may be upgraded to a hurricane warning later today.

    As of 11 a.m. EDT, Debby was centered about 280 miles east of the Leeward Islands, racing toward the west-northwest near 22 mph. Top sustained winds had increased to 70 mph, with higher gusts north and east of the center. Debby is expected to reach hurricane intensity (winds of 74 mph) later today or tonight.

    The exact forecast for Debby is still unclear because the precise center of the storm has been hard to define on satellite. A reconnaissance plane is investigating the storm this morning, and should give a better indication of the location of Debby’s center.

    In the meantime, forecasters are urging anyone with interests in the Caribbean to prepare for landfall.

    Debby has the potential to bring 4 to 6 inches of rain to the warning areas. "These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides," the NHC said in a statement.

    Stay Tuned..........


    Encrypted E-mail Solutions

    - Advisory
    • From: "Ronnie H. Knight Samuel" <rsamuel AT funleather.com>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 11:36:07 -0400
    Title: Forest Floor
    At 11:01 AM the following was issued:
     
    Hurricane Advisory: Hurricane Watch: Puerto Rico, Dominica.
    Hurricane Advisory: Hurricane Warnings: U.S.V.I, B.V.I, Antigua, Barbuda, Guadeloupe.
     
    Cheers
    Ronnie.
     
     
     
     

    Encrypted E-mail Solutions

    JPEG image


    - Web cam disabled :-(
    • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 11:16:37 -0400 (AST)
    Hi,
    
    Well the webcam was short lived as our windows at work have been barred
    up. we have also just been instructed that Cable & Wireless' employees at
    Clare Hall will be leaving at 1:00PM.
    
    ==========================================================
    Alan B. Scholl
    Email: scholla AT candw.ag  alan.scholl AT cwanu.cwplc.com
           schollab AT hotmail.com     scholla AT hushmail.com 
    Tel:   (268)480-4115        Fax:    (268)480-4105
    Pgr:   (268)409-4638        Mobile: (268)464-1350
    ICQ:   18248455             Ham:    V21BF
    Antigua, West Indies - "Where Land & Sea Make Beauty..."
    
    

    - Debby 11:00AM AST UPDATE
    • From: "Ronnie H. Knight Samuel" <rsamuel AT funleather.com>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 11:16:38 -0400
    Title: Forest Floor
    Tropical Storm Debby at 11:00AM AST located
    15.7N.................57.3W
    400Mi East Of The Leewards
    Winds: 70mph
    Moving West at 22mph
    Est. Pressure is: 29.77 in/1008mb
     
    Tropical Storm Watches in effect for: Anguilla, Antigua, Barbuda, B.V.I, Guadeloupe, Montserrat, Nevis, St. Kitts.
    Hurricane Watches in effect for: Puerto Rico, U.S.V.I, St. Maarten, Saba, St. Eustatius
     
    Ronnie Samuel (Hurricane Correspondent)
    Internet / Systems Engineer
     
    Suite 201 Lauriston
    Collymore Rock
    St. Michael
    Barbados, West Indies
    BGI
     
    Suite 016-517
    7296 NW 44th Street
    Miami, Florida, U.S.A
    33166
     
    ronnie AT emailbarbados.com
    [encrypted email solutions]
     
    Tele: + [305] 423 2155 x.185
    Fax: + [508] 448 0228
     
    http://www.caribbeancity.com
    The Web Site For Caribbean Folk !

    Encrypted E-mail Solutions

    JPEG image


    - Upgraded to Hurrican warning!!!!
    • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 11:00:00 -0400 (AST)
    Hi,
    
    The 1500Z (1100AM local) report indicates that we (Antigua) are now under
    a Hurricane Warning and the storm has jumped up to 70mph and 
    it is moving West!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    
    I guess it will be a little more than previously expected....
    
    Alan B. Scholl
    
    

    - WHERE IS DEBBY!!???
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 10:38:19 -0300
    WHERE  IS  DEBBY.....she seems to be a mystery...but  the hurricanes  hunters  flew her  earlier so the  11 a.m... soon to come.. will give us better picture...  so are saying she is SOUTH OF ANTIGUA....bad if is as the northeast is the stronger side!!!       so  most are a bit confused on HOW MUCH TO DO... Put up ALL SHUTTERS... put up some...  etc???  and  they say  she is moving faster now..so  will be with us sooner....we have had some  HEAVY HARD RAIN SHOWERS......always welcome...  but we wish without the WIND....  

    - Weather sites
    • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 10:07:24 -0400 (AST)
    Hi,
    
    This is a short of list of my favourite weather sites. If anyone knows of
    any other feel free to send them to this site or to me.
    
    http://www.wunderground.com/tropical
    http://www.intellicast.com/Tropical
    http://nlmoc1.nlmoc.navy.mil
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
    http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/index.html
    http://weather.yahoo.com/graphics/satellite/Eastern_Caribbean.html
    http://www.weather.com/weather_center/trop_season/
    http://www.storm2000.com
    
    Alan B. Scholl
    Email: scholla AT candw.ag  alan.scholl AT cwanu.cwplc.com
           schollab AT hotmail.com     scholla AT hushmail.com 
    
    

    - Web cam
    • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 08:59:32 -0400 (AST)
    Hi,
    
    I have put up a temporary web cam pointing out over the Clare Hall area.
    It may be short lived as our handymen may cover up my window but until
    they do, you can see what's going on every 10 minutes.
    
    http://www.candw.ag/~alan/webcam.htm
    
    ==========================================================
    Alan B. Scholl
    Email: scholla AT candw.ag  alan.scholl AT cwanu.cwplc.com
           schollab AT hotmail.com     scholla AT hushmail.com 
    Tel:   (268)480-4115        Fax:    (268)480-4105
    Pgr:   (268)409-4638        Mobile: (268)464-1350
    ICQ:   18248455             Ham:    V21BF
    Antigua, West Indies - "Where Land & Sea Make Beauty..."
    
    

    - TS Debby
    • From: "Alan B. Scholl" <scholla AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 08:56:05 -0400 (AST)
    Hi All,
    
    Well here we go again. It seems as if this will be an annual or bi-annual
    event. We have to look at hurricane visits as we do Christmas, birthdays
    and Easter. It has become a fact of life or as a "price of paradise".
    
    Visibility is down to 300 feet as rain is pounding Antigua which I hope
    signals the end of drought conditions that we have been experiencing. Up
    to Friday, the mangrove swamp at McKinnons-Runaway area had completely
    dried up. I cannot recall ever seeing it that bad.
    
    We await Debby's arrival. When? No-one can give us that info yet. So we
    anxiously look out for the 1500Z report.
    
    Alan B. Scholl
    
    

    - DEBBY!!
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 06:19:23 -0300
       6:15 a.m.......was hoping  to wake  up to a miracle  and  she would have
    turned north.....but ....as John  says....track puts her  right on top of us
    during the early morning hrs. tomorrow...so  gonna start with the  serious
    stuff....
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Mon, 21 Aug 2000 05:11:49 -0300
    5a.m.---
    wind gone to north.
    gusting to 25mph.
    official track puts debby over our house tomorrow at 5 a.m.
    deja vu.
    going back to bed.
    
    

    - 5 PM TROPICAL STORM WATCH
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sun, 20 Aug 2000 17:14:45 -0300
     Antigua Govt.  just issued  trop. storm watch.....possibly to be upgraded to hurr  watch  later..... DEBBY  now  50 MPH winds..... its  no  LUIS  but  it is still   645  miles off us...so   may increase.....that makes it 35 hours if it keeps moving at   16 mph...... 3 or 4  a.m. on TUESDAY MORNING....so we still have TOMORROW  to  put up hurricane shutters  if needed.....Keep hoping for  a more NORTH TURN  that takes her away from the islands.... Next 12 hours critical.....and   Hurricane hunters  will fly her  tomorrow morning so that will  give a better picture.....

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sun, 20 Aug 2000 09:45:12 -0300
    for the weather heads:
    deep ocean surface temperature,i.e.,12 miles east of antigua,is 82.3 deg
    far.
    very strong pelagic current pulling from the south west.
    winds now 10-13 kts 80 degrees.
    t.d. 7  adjusted  slightly north--looks like it will pass north of antigua.
    good close up is at:
    intellicast.com/Tropical/World/UnitedStates/Float2/
    
    

    - TD #7 maybe soon HURRICANE DEBBY
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sun, 20 Aug 2000 07:08:48 -0300
    EARLY  THIS AM in  "PARADISE"   the CALM IS HERE.....It is a beautiful  clear sunny  morning....Guess it is the  CALM BEFORE THE STORM!!?? 
    .. we know  TD#7  is  brewing   930 miles to the  east/ southeast of us.... and most likely will be a hurricane before it comes VERY CLOSE TO ANTIGUA on  the projected track.. It is now  about 50 hours away  if it continues on the present course...and   the Met Office  says they will most likely issue hurricanes warnings  later today.......that means  it is likely  that  we will get a hurricane within  36 hours....
    so  it is time to think about  getting ready in case!!! 
     
    For me personally,  one great concern;    since last hurricane season,   in addition to my free flying cockatoo,  I have released about 40 love birds that come and go from their nesting cage  as  they fly all over the hillsides of Half Moon Bay and even  into the nearby village of Freetown..... they bring great joy to many people who spot them living in their element...... but maybe I can catch some of them and hopefully the others  can hang on tight!     all for now.......
     
          
     

    - al072000 (http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/newpage/tropics/al072000.gif)
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sun, 20 Aug 2000 02:12:40 -0300
    anyone worried about antigua and t.d. no.7 should NOT open the attached
    site---it's a little scary.
    
    http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/newpage/tropics/al072000.gif
    
  • Attachment: al072000.url

  • - SITES To CK OUT.......re TD #7
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sat, 19 Aug 2000 21:45:05 -0300
    This WEB SITE is maintained  by a knowledgeable West Indian now in
    Canada......he has some great weather sites  to ck out........
    
    
    
     http://www.caribbeanavenue.com/weather/index.shtml#Hurricane
    
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sat, 19 Aug 2000 19:03:26 -0300
    aside from the fun stuff:
    spent the day today 15 miles east of antigua fishing.not a bite,but for the first time in a few months it was(and is)flat calm and the visibility 50 miles! an incredibily beautiful day.not a hint of the turmoil n.e. and s.e. of us.by monday the boys in the front and backrooms will be busy.Martha i went swimming in 1500 feet of ocean.very unusual froth/weed lines miles long.
    montserrat steaming and spewing ash all day.t.d no.7 has not sunk in yet. won't take long for panic buttons to be beaten to death.present 4 day forecast has t.d.7 a hurricane,category 2-3,passing just south of us.hurricane alley signing off for now.

    - Fw: Hi again
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sat, 19 Aug 2000 18:08:47 -0300
    after getting the message below the boys in the backroom all shuffled off to
    the john.
    -----Original Message-----
    From: Eric Blake <eblake AT atmos.colostate.edu>
    To: fullerj AT candw.ag <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    Date: Friday, August 18, 2000 10:57 PM
    Subject: Hi again
    
    
    >Hello,
    >
    >This is Eric Blake.. I run the Atlantic Tropical Weather Center... we have
    >talked a few times and I guess usually when you hear from me it isn't the
    >best of news..
    >
    >I really think that wave around 10 & 40 is going to be a Caribbean
    >monster.  I have no idea where it is heading in the islands.. but I would
    >bet a fair sum of money that this one won't miss... also from the large
    >wave it is imbedded in.. it will probably take a long time to get
    >going... but once it does, it will probably be a large and powerful
    >hurricane.. perhaps the size of Allen or maybe Hugo.
    >
    >Anyhow... the main threat in 4 days or so... we'll see how the forecast
    >verifies then.
    >
    >Eric
    >
    >
    
    

    - ??? TD NUMBER 7 in the making???
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sat, 19 Aug 2000 13:21:23 -0300
    HEY  John  boy....wake up the boys in the back room....the big thug is out there;  we just not sure when and where.... and  we  hope he does not come our way...but this thing way down south  is of more  concern than  what we have seen lately....could be  TD #7 in the making...and then the next hurricane!!!    so you may have  more than a doctor fish to chew on!!   anyway guess it is better not be a  " fraidy cat"  cause we sure do know about the huffin and puffin of the big bad wolf round  Antigua....(how many majors have we weathered now??? )
      they say  the possible,  probably soon to be TD #7  is about 50 hrs away from  the islands... so  gotta keep an eye out......
                hard to believe on  this beautiful  calm  sunny summer day  but we know this scene from the past.........
                    
     

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 18 Aug 2000 21:33:40 -0300
    dispatch from hurricane alley:
    the boys in the backroom hardly raised two eyebrows at the news of those two sissies alebrtie and chrissie.they say we're accustomed to taking on much bigger thugs,chewing them up and spitting them out like the bones of a well fried doctor fish.so if africa wants to take us on it'll have to engage the services of  some bigger guns.maybe then the boys may think of stepping outside to see their mettle.

    - Tropical Storm Chris forms east of Antigua
    • From: "Terry & Andrea" <terand AT sunbeach.net>
    • Date: Fri, 18 Aug 2000 13:05:42 -0300
    Tropical Depression #6 has strengthened into Tropical Storm Chris at 11 am today when it was located 410 miles east of Antigua.
     
    Although no immediate watches or warnings are posted, residents of Antigua and other states of the Leeward Islands have been advised to carefully monitor the progress of Chris.
     
    Recon aircraft are due in the system at 2 pm and that will help to pinpoint the eye which has so far been elusive on satellite. Once the eye is located a better sense of its track will be established and we will know then whether any watches or warnings would be needed for any islands.

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sun, 13 Aug 2000 19:25:18 -0300
    we haven't had a decent rain for 5 months.
    the ocean has been cool.
    the sky has been painfully hazy.
    everything is drying up.
    the high court is on vacation till the middle of september.
    even the fish have moved north.
    WE WANT SOME ACTION!

    - HURRICANE ALBERTO
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sun, 6 Aug 2000 09:41:47 -0300
      Here in Antigua we are carefully watching  this newly formed HURRICANE.....  most reports have it turning NORTH   but for now it is tracking  due west and that makes us all nervous.....but it is still a long way off....
    so  for now....especially with Antigua Carnival in full swing... most are just watching   and   normal life goes on! 
     

    - ALBERTO...OUR FIRST TROPICAL STORM for 2000!
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 4 Aug 2000 15:12:12 -0300
         It has been a quiet summer thus far... and lots of people around
    Antigua  are saying it is so cool compared to the past few summers...and the
    sea is not as  hot has it has been in past years...
    Some were beginning to feel  this may be a hurricane free season in spite of
    all the bad forecasts!!   HOWEVER IT IS STILL EARLY DAYS...only  early
    August.......
                and now  as of  5 a.m. this morning...Friday    August 4th....
    TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO has been born  -  the first of 2000!!!    It's   Way
    to far out to sea to know  what it may do...  down at 12.4 north and  25.0
    west.....long way off...  but  the forecast path  shows a north turn and
    puts it around 15  north and  36 west  in about 3 days..  (Antigua is  17.1
    and  61.4)   The Advisory  # 2  (11 a.m)    from the Miami Hurricane Center
    states that  Alberto could become a hurricane in the next couple of days.
    The Hurricane Hunters are sending  a crew today and another tomorrow to
    their Caribbean base in ST CROIX....and  while that gives  me reassurance,
    it also  makes  me a bit nervous.    These guys don't fly these thing just
    for fun.....  Still.....the info we have now is all on SATELLITE...and until
    the system is FLOWN into by the Hurricane Hunters  the info is not as
    accurate....    so.... as   before... we just watch and  wait.....   ANTIGUA
    CARNIVAL  is in full swing... Official holidays are Monday and Tuesday...
    this is big time for  Caribbean people an local Antigens...and will be
    ashame if  it is spoiled by this bad weather.......maybe Antigua will get
    lucky this year!!   until......
    
    

    - swell coming??
    • From: "simmo" <trigging AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 4 Aug 2000 11:22:06 -0300
     

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sat, 24 Jun 2000 13:03:11 -0300
    WOW---T.D.NO.2----AT THE MOST DANGEROUS LAT.

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Sat, 17 Jun 2000 06:39:57 -0300
    more rain,windy,hazy.ocean temp.-79.1 f.
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 19:20:47 -0300
    some showers.been very dry.love the rain.nuff sun.

    - TESTING HURRICANE REPORTING
    • From: "MARTHA WATKINS GILKES" <gilkesm AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Fri, 2 Jun 2000 14:51:57 -0400
    JUNE 2nd... and the second day of hurricane season!!  Here we go again.  It
    is beautiful in the islands   just now... hard to think of a hurricane
    coming  our way but they say we better be ready!  Just testing communication
    on this new hurricane site Gert has arranged.
    
    

    - Update
    • From: "John Fuller" <fullerj AT candw.ag>
    • Date: Thu, 1 Jun 2000 23:12:54 -0300
    june-too soon
    july-standby
    august-come they must
    september-remember
    october-all over?
    lenny lied.

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